Alibaba (BABA) Share Price Declines from 40-Month HighAlibaba (BABA) Share Price Declines from 40-Month High
As shown in the Alibaba (BABA) share chart, the price reached a 40-month high this week, surpassing $145 per share.
Bullish sentiment is being fuelled by news related to AI prospects in China. According to media reports:
→ China’s AI spending is increasing through investments from state-owned enterprises, private companies, and local authorities, aiming to keep pace with the US $500 billion Star Gate project.
→ Alibaba plans to invest $52 billion over three years in artificial intelligence and cloud computing.
Technical Analysis of Alibaba (BABA) Shares
Despite a positive fundamental backdrop, the chart signals potential concerns:
→ The price is near the upper boundary of the ascending channel, which could act as resistance.
→ Bulls attempted to break the $145 level (which has acted as resistance since late February) on 17 March but failed, as the price could not hold above this mark.
→ Using your preferred oscillator, you are likely to observe a bearish divergence between peaks A and B.
This suggests that bullish momentum may be weakening, and investors could consider taking profits after Alibaba’s exceptionally strong price rally—up approximately 70% since early 2025. If so, a break below the orange trendline could lead to a correction towards the median of the blue channel.
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Alibabaforecast
Alibaba - with Eyes on $200–$230 by end of 2025Alibaba (BABA): Entering a Bullish Phase
Alibaba (BABA) has officially entered a bullish phase after successfully holding the $80 support level at the beginning of 2024. This strong rejection set the stage for a rally to $127, confirming the start of an uptrend.
Key Resistance Battle: Breaking $130 with Ease?
The next critical price level to watch is $130, last seen in November 2018.
If Alibaba breaks through $130 without effort, this will confirm strong bullish momentum, allowing the stock to continue climbing.
However, if BABA initially fails to break $130, it could trigger a pullback to $108, offering a new entry opportunity before the next leg up.
Long-Term Target: $200–$230 by Late 2025
Phase 1: If Alibaba retests $108 and successfully holds, it will make another attempt to break $130.
Phase 2: Once $130 is broken, BABA will gradually climb to $200 by the end of 2025, following a steady growth pattern without rapid acceleration.
Bullish Catalyst Scenario: If news flow remains favorable, Alibaba could push even higher, targeting $230 by the end of 2025.
Key Price Levels to Watch:
Support: $108 (potential pullback zone if $130 is rejected).
Resistance 1: $130 (major breakout level).
Resistance 2: $200 (main target by year-end 2025).
Bullish Extension: $230 (if market sentiment remains strong).
Summary: Strong Bullish Structure with Potential Upside
Alibaba’s price action suggests a clear uptrend, with $130 being the next major battle zone. If it breaks with ease, expect a smooth climb toward $200 by 2025. If it faces rejection, a pullback to $108 will offer a new buying opportunity before resuming the uptrend.
Should favorable news emerge, Alibaba could even hit $230 by the end of 2025, reinforcing its long-term bullish outlook.
Don't Buy BABA in the short TermTechnical Analysis:
- As you can can see in the chart, Alibaba(BABA) is still correcting in short term wave V in red and it must be completed around $43 when we think smart buyers will appear
- If the price crosses the invalidation level around $121.30 it means that the correction is over or we can have a bounce in WXY Structure in wave IV which will extend more higher before goes lower
- H1 Right Side is Turning Up
- H4 Right Side is Turning Down
Technical Information:
- Wait for the correction in wave ((II)) in black to be completed in order to buy