Alibaba - with Eyes on $200–$230 by end of 2025Alibaba (BABA): Entering a Bullish Phase
Alibaba (BABA) has officially entered a bullish phase after successfully holding the $80 support level at the beginning of 2024. This strong rejection set the stage for a rally to $127, confirming the start of an uptrend.
Key Resistance Battle: Breaking $130 with Ease?
The next critical price level to watch is $130, last seen in November 2018.
If Alibaba breaks through $130 without effort, this will confirm strong bullish momentum, allowing the stock to continue climbing.
However, if BABA initially fails to break $130, it could trigger a pullback to $108, offering a new entry opportunity before the next leg up.
Long-Term Target: $200–$230 by Late 2025
Phase 1: If Alibaba retests $108 and successfully holds, it will make another attempt to break $130.
Phase 2: Once $130 is broken, BABA will gradually climb to $200 by the end of 2025, following a steady growth pattern without rapid acceleration.
Bullish Catalyst Scenario: If news flow remains favorable, Alibaba could push even higher, targeting $230 by the end of 2025.
Key Price Levels to Watch:
Support: $108 (potential pullback zone if $130 is rejected).
Resistance 1: $130 (major breakout level).
Resistance 2: $200 (main target by year-end 2025).
Bullish Extension: $230 (if market sentiment remains strong).
Summary: Strong Bullish Structure with Potential Upside
Alibaba’s price action suggests a clear uptrend, with $130 being the next major battle zone. If it breaks with ease, expect a smooth climb toward $200 by 2025. If it faces rejection, a pullback to $108 will offer a new buying opportunity before resuming the uptrend.
Should favorable news emerge, Alibaba could even hit $230 by the end of 2025, reinforcing its long-term bullish outlook.
Alibabatrading
BABA: What happens next after this insane rally?Alibaba despite today's correction, remains massively overbought both on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 81.819, MACD = 5.940, ADX = 34.506) and on 1W (RSI = 75.158, MACD = 5.970, ADX = 33.938). As the price almost reached the 1W MA200, we expect a technical correction near the 1W MA50, which is the pattern the stock followed on its previous historic expansion in 2016-2017. We expect a similar Channel Up to dictate the trend and peak late 2025 - early 2026 (TP = 200.00).
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ALIBABA: 1W Bullish Cross leading it to 220. Cycle repeating.Alibaba is neutral on the 1W timeframe (RSI = 46.095, MACD = -1.100, ADX = 22.119) but with the RSI on HL since March 2022. Having crossed already over the 1W MA50 and being on the verge of the first 1W MA50-100 Bullish Cross since April 2019 (and the third ever), this bullish divergence is exactly what has historically formed before BABA's two prior bottoms. The 1W MA50-100 Bullish Cross has been the buy entry signal.
It is evident that all bottom patterns are identical in the form of a Triangle. The target from top-to-bottom has been the 1.786 Fibonacci extension. That is our long term target (TP = 220.00).
Prior idea:
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Don't Buy BABA in the short TermTechnical Analysis:
- As you can can see in the chart, Alibaba(BABA) is still correcting in short term wave V in red and it must be completed around $43 when we think smart buyers will appear
- If the price crosses the invalidation level around $121.30 it means that the correction is over or we can have a bounce in WXY Structure in wave IV which will extend more higher before goes lower
- H1 Right Side is Turning Up
- H4 Right Side is Turning Down
Technical Information:
- Wait for the correction in wave ((II)) in black to be completed in order to buy