Alibaba (BABA) Shares Fall to Lowest Level in 2.5 MonthsAlibaba (BABA) Shares Fall to Lowest Level in 2.5 Months
Yesterday, Alibaba (BABA) shares dropped to their lowest level since late April. The decline followed the company’s announcement of a planned bond issuance totalling approximately $1.53 billion, with a maturity date set for 2032. The funds will be used to support the development of Alibaba's cloud infrastructure and expansion of its international e-commerce business.
The market’s negative reaction may stem from concerns over rising debt levels and the potential return on these investments.
Technical Analysis of Alibaba (BABA) Share Price
When analysing the price movements of BABA shares in 2025, two key trading ranges stand out:
→ $126–145: This range originates from the long bullish candle on 20 February, following the release of a strong quarterly report;
→ $96–103: This zone was established in late April, as supply and demand stabilised around the psychologically significant $100 level.
The upper range has since acted as a resistance zone, with the price reversing from it in mid-May. The lower range has served as a support area, particularly in early April when the stock came under pressure after tariff-related headlines.
The current price action is notable in that Alibaba shares have:
→ Broken through the June support level at approximately $111.92;
→ Formed a bearish A-B-C structure, marked by lower highs and lower lows.
Using Fibonacci extension analysis, we can reasonably assume:
→ The $111.92 level is now likely to act as resistance;
→ The next potential target for the ongoing downtrend (leg C→D) lies at the 1 Fibonacci level ($100.55) — aligning closely with the previously identified support zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Alibabatrading
Alibaba - with Eyes on $200–$230 by end of 2025Alibaba (BABA): Entering a Bullish Phase
Alibaba (BABA) has officially entered a bullish phase after successfully holding the $80 support level at the beginning of 2024. This strong rejection set the stage for a rally to $127, confirming the start of an uptrend.
Key Resistance Battle: Breaking $130 with Ease?
The next critical price level to watch is $130, last seen in November 2018.
If Alibaba breaks through $130 without effort, this will confirm strong bullish momentum, allowing the stock to continue climbing.
However, if BABA initially fails to break $130, it could trigger a pullback to $108, offering a new entry opportunity before the next leg up.
Long-Term Target: $200–$230 by Late 2025
Phase 1: If Alibaba retests $108 and successfully holds, it will make another attempt to break $130.
Phase 2: Once $130 is broken, BABA will gradually climb to $200 by the end of 2025, following a steady growth pattern without rapid acceleration.
Bullish Catalyst Scenario: If news flow remains favorable, Alibaba could push even higher, targeting $230 by the end of 2025.
Key Price Levels to Watch:
Support: $108 (potential pullback zone if $130 is rejected).
Resistance 1: $130 (major breakout level).
Resistance 2: $200 (main target by year-end 2025).
Bullish Extension: $230 (if market sentiment remains strong).
Summary: Strong Bullish Structure with Potential Upside
Alibaba’s price action suggests a clear uptrend, with $130 being the next major battle zone. If it breaks with ease, expect a smooth climb toward $200 by 2025. If it faces rejection, a pullback to $108 will offer a new buying opportunity before resuming the uptrend.
Should favorable news emerge, Alibaba could even hit $230 by the end of 2025, reinforcing its long-term bullish outlook.
BABA: What happens next after this insane rally?Alibaba despite today's correction, remains massively overbought both on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 81.819, MACD = 5.940, ADX = 34.506) and on 1W (RSI = 75.158, MACD = 5.970, ADX = 33.938). As the price almost reached the 1W MA200, we expect a technical correction near the 1W MA50, which is the pattern the stock followed on its previous historic expansion in 2016-2017. We expect a similar Channel Up to dictate the trend and peak late 2025 - early 2026 (TP = 200.00).
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
ALIBABA: 1W Bullish Cross leading it to 220. Cycle repeating.Alibaba is neutral on the 1W timeframe (RSI = 46.095, MACD = -1.100, ADX = 22.119) but with the RSI on HL since March 2022. Having crossed already over the 1W MA50 and being on the verge of the first 1W MA50-100 Bullish Cross since April 2019 (and the third ever), this bullish divergence is exactly what has historically formed before BABA's two prior bottoms. The 1W MA50-100 Bullish Cross has been the buy entry signal.
It is evident that all bottom patterns are identical in the form of a Triangle. The target from top-to-bottom has been the 1.786 Fibonacci extension. That is our long term target (TP = 220.00).
Prior idea:
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Don't Buy BABA in the short TermTechnical Analysis:
- As you can can see in the chart, Alibaba(BABA) is still correcting in short term wave V in red and it must be completed around $43 when we think smart buyers will appear
- If the price crosses the invalidation level around $121.30 it means that the correction is over or we can have a bounce in WXY Structure in wave IV which will extend more higher before goes lower
- H1 Right Side is Turning Up
- H4 Right Side is Turning Down
Technical Information:
- Wait for the correction in wave ((II)) in black to be completed in order to buy