Alltimehigh
Ethereum - Buy It Now Or Never!Ethereum ( BITSTAMP:ETHUSD ) will offer a final retest:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Ethereum is about to retest a perfect confluence of support from which a bullish reversal is almost certain. Following the overall bullish trend, Ethereum should retest the previous all time high next and then maybe even follow Bitcoin and create new all time highs going into 2025.
Levels to watch: $2.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
QQQ: A Rally Towards the ATH!Daily Chart (Left):
Resistance at $503.52: The price is approaching a key resistance zone around $503.52, the ATH, which may serve as a potential reversal area. A breakout above this could signal more bullish momentum.
Support at $493.15: There is immediate support at $493.15, where price action has consolidated briefly. This level might act as a pivot zone, where buyers could step in if there’s a pullback.
Momentum: The price is above the 21-day EMA, which is rising, indicating the trend is currently bullish. Buyers seem to be in control, and the price action has been making higher highs and higher lows.
Weekly Chart (Right):
Ascending Channel: The price has been trending upward within a well-defined ascending channel. The mid-point of this channel, around $493, has acted as resistance in recent weeks.
Next Resistance: The upper boundary of the channel, which is above the resistance at $503.52, could offer significant resistance. This suggests that QQQ could renew its ATH if this bullish momentum persists.
Overall Trend: The weekly trend remains strong, with the 21-week EMA providing dynamic support, reinforcing the overall bullish bias.
Conclusion:
The price is currently bullish but nearing key resistance at $503.52. Traders should be cautious around this level for potential profit-taking or reversal signals. If the price manages to break above $503.52, the next leg up in the bullish trend could begin. Conversely, if the QQQ loses the $493 support, it could materialize a sharper correction to the 21-day EMA, or even to tthe $477 in the mid-term.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
The Power of Bitcoin: How MicroStrategy’s $MSTR Soared 1,620%MicroStrategy Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSTR ) has experienced a massive surge in its stock price, climbing 15.9% on Friday's market trading and an additional 5% during Monday's premarket session. The stock broke out of a rectangular chart pattern, signaling a bullish move that could potentially lead to new all-time highs. This explosive growth is underpinned by the company’s strategic bet on Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ), which has not only outpaced the cryptocurrency itself but also the broader market, including tech giants like Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ), Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ), and the S&P 500. Let's dive into both the technical and fundamental factors driving this remarkable surge.
MicroStrategy's Bitcoin Bet
MicroStrategy (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSTR ) adopted a Bitcoin-centered strategy in August 2020 under the leadership of its executive chairman, Michael Saylor. This strategic pivot has yielded extraordinary results, with the stock gaining 1,620% since then. In comparison, Bitcoin itself has gained 426% during the same period, while the S&P 500 and the “Magnificent 7” tech giants, including Microsoft, Apple, and Nvidia, have lagged with gains of 73% and 243%, respectively.
As of September 2024, MicroStrategy (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSTR ) holds 252,220 bitcoins, making it the largest corporate holder of the cryptocurrency. In a recent acquisition, the company purchased 7,420 BTC for $458.2 million at an average price of $61,750 per coin, further solidifying its bullish stance on Bitcoin.
Michael Saylor has made it clear that he believes Bitcoin is the ultimate asset for long-term wealth generation. His famous quote, “The only thing better than bitcoin is more bitcoin,” encapsulates the company’s philosophy. This bold strategy has clearly paid off, as NASDAQ:MSTR has consistently outperformed both the broader market and even some of the most successful tech companies.
Bitcoin Outperformance & the Broader Market
What makes MicroStrategy's performance particularly notable is its stark outperformance compared to Bitcoin and other major stocks. For example, while Bitcoin’s price has increased 426% since 2020, MicroStrategy’s stock price has skyrocketed 1,620%, leveraging the company's heavy exposure to Bitcoin as a strategic asset. This outperformance can also be attributed to the broader market sentiment toward Bitcoin, which has attracted institutional investors and long-term holders like MicroStrategy. As the company continues to acquire more BTC, it positions itself as a de facto Bitcoin ETF in the eyes of traditional market participants.
In addition, NASDAQ:MSTR has far outpaced Nvidia’s impressive 1,107% increase and Arista Networks' 650% rise over the same period. These gains have positioned MicroStrategy as one of the most successful stocks in the past three years.
Technical Analysis
From a technical standpoint, MicroStrategy (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSTR ) has just broken out of a rectangular chart pattern, a significant bullish signal. A rectangle formation is characterized by a period of price consolidation between clearly defined horizontal support and resistance levels. In this case, NASDAQ:MSTR had been trading within a range, reflecting indecision among traders.
However, Friday’s surge confirmed a breakout above the ceiling of the rectangular pattern, signaling that the bulls have regained control. This breakout is particularly significant because it often precedes further upward movement, potentially setting the stage for a new high.
The Bullish Rectangle Pattern Explained
A rectangle formation typically occurs after an asset experiences an uptrend, which then consolidates as traders weigh the next move. In the case of NASDAQ:MSTR , the stock has been consolidating within a tight range as investors digested the company’s continued Bitcoin purchases and broader market conditions. With the breakout above the rectangle, it suggests that traders are once again optimistic, and the stock may be heading toward further gains.
As of Monday morning’s premarket session, NASDAQ:MSTR is up 5%, reinforcing the bullish sentiment.
Another key technical indicator supporting NASDAQ:MSTR ’s bullish outlook is the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which is currently at 76.76. Typically, an RSI above 70 indicates that an asset is overbought, and caution is advised. However, during periods of strong momentum, stocks can remain overbought for extended periods, particularly during significant bullish trends.
Moreover, the stock is exhibiting a gap-up pattern in the price chart, which is a strong indicator of momentum. Gap-ups occur when the price of an asset opens significantly higher than its previous close, often indicating a shift in sentiment or the release of market-moving news. In NASDAQ:MSTR 's case, the gap-up is driven by its breakout from the rectangle pattern, as well as renewed enthusiasm for Bitcoin.
Whale Accumulation and Bitcoin’s Influence
MicroStrategy’s stock is not just benefiting from technical patterns; the underlying Bitcoin market is also providing fundamental support. Recent data shows that whale activity has intensified around Bitcoin, with large holders accumulating 2.07 billion DOGE in a single week. While this specific data pertains to Dogecoin, it underscores a broader trend of renewed interest in cryptocurrencies by large investors, which often correlates with upward price movements in both the crypto market and crypto-exposed stocks like MicroStrategy.
Conclusion:
MicroStrategy’s breakout from the rectangular pattern, combined with its solid fundamental footing in Bitcoin, suggests that the stock could be setting a course for new highs. The company’s Bitcoin strategy has proven to be a game-changer, with the stock significantly outperforming both Bitcoin and the broader market since 2020.
As Bitcoin continues to grow in institutional acceptance and more companies adopt digital assets as part of their strategies, MicroStrategy’s long-term bullish outlook remains intact. Investors will be keenly watching for the next moves in both Bitcoin and NASDAQ:MSTR , as the stock could continue to serve as a leading indicator of market sentiment around the world’s largest cryptocurrency.
YEP! ALL-TIME HIGHS BABY! You're welcome! :)
Pretty simple... After identifying a candle with buying pressure, last week I announced that we would very likely be hitting new all-time highs simply by following the N# pattern that was unfolding at that very moment with precision.
VALIDATIONS ARE THE KEY TO PREDICTING A MARKET MOVE.
But what do I mean?
Here’s a recap of the moves I got in 1 week:
#1 It gave me a breakout.
#2 It gave me an exact retracement to my order block area that I was looking for.
#3 It gave me the volume I needed to see.
#4 It gave me a volume candle with buying pressure.
#5 It gave me an immediate bullish structure.
#6 The "N3" pattern is being fulfilled precisely.
How many validations do I have so far?
6 Validations!!!! Don’t you think we’re in a bullish scenario where, with all these validations being met exactly, we could see a new extreme, breaking new all-time highs?
OF COURSE WE ARE!
The more validations you have in an analysis, the more likely the scenario you’re looking for will be fulfilled correctly.
Now... Going back to SPY, all-time highs are uncharted territory! We must be very cautious, and as soon as the retracement begins, I’ll start my analysis again.
Best regards, and I hope this mini-lesson helps fine-tune your price analysis process.
Thanks for supporting my analysis.
Best regards.
Bitcoin - It Will Reach $100.000!Bitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ) will break out soon:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Everything, and I literally mean everything, is bullish on Bitcoin. The previous cycles, timeframes, market structure and price action are all pointing towards the continuation of the bull run which started in 2023. And a breakout above the all time high, is the next trigger.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $100.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Alibaba - Finally The Trendline Breakout!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) finally broke above the bearish trendline:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Alibaba is breaking out and the breakout is not unexpected whatsoever. For a long time, Alibaba has been hugging the resistance trendline and finally managed to fulfil its destiny. This could very well be the bottom of the bear market and the start of something big: new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $115, $80
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Understanding ATH and ATL in Cryptocurrency TradingHello, Traders!
The terms ATH (All-Time High) and ATL (All-Time Low) are crucial in crypto trading. They represent the highest and lowest prices ever reached by a particular asset. These metrics capture the extremes of an asset's value and serve as indicators of future market trends. In this article, we'll explore what ATH means in cryptocurrency, how ATH and ATL help indicate price movements, and why understanding these metrics is important for successful trading.
What Does ATH Mean?
ATH (All-Time High) is an asset's highest price. This value is significant for traders because it reflects the peak demand for a digital asset during its existence. When a cryptocurrency reaches its ATH, it usually attracts increased interest from investors and traders. This event typically suggests strength in the asset and may indicate an opportunity for continued investment due to strong demand and market confidence. However, reaching an ATH also presents risks. Some investors may view this as a prime time to take profits, which can lead to a price correction.
ATH in Crypto Trading
The ATH for an asset is a crucial benchmark for market participants. Reaching a new ATH can signal a continuation of an uptrend or indicate an overheated market. Moreover, traders often use ATH levels to set resistance points and assess the potential for further growth. After hitting an ATH, the price may continue to rise or retreat to lower levels, depending on market conditions and investor sentiment. The fear of missing out (FOMO) can drive traders to make quick decisions, especially when an asset approaches its ATH. Understanding how ATH impacts market sentiment and price movement is essential for effective cryptocurrency trading.
Understanding All-Time Low (ATL)
ATL (All-Time Low) refers to an asset's lowest price since its market debut. ATL represents an asset's minimum demand and price weakness for investors and traders throughout its history. Reaching an ATL can cause concern among holders due to the significant decline in value. However, some investors may see an ATL as a buying opportunity, believing that the price is at a historic low and could rise in the future. Considering the broader market context and the reasons behind the price drop is crucial before making investment decisions. An ATL might be caused by FUD (fear, uncertainty, and doubt), leading to a sharp sell-off. For large cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, an ATL might be considered an opportunity for buybacks at low levels.
Impact of ATH and ATL on the Cryptocurrency Market
When an asset hits an ATH, it can attract new investors and amplify market Fear and Greed, particularly during altcoin seasons when other cryptocurrencies also experience rapid growth. The Fear and Greed index can reach extremes, potentially leading to market overheating and subsequent corrections.
Conversely, reaching an ATL can heighten investor fear and trigger panic selling. However, experienced traders may view ATL as a buying opportunity, especially if they anticipate a market recovery.
Conclusions
This article explored the significance of ATH and ATL in cryptocurrency trading and their roles in market analysis. ATH and ATL are essential benchmarks that help traders and investors navigate market trends.
SWING IDEA - HAVELLS INDIAHavells India , a leading electrical equipment company, is presenting a promising swing trade opportunity.
Reasons are listed below :
Breakthrough of Resistance Zone : The 1450-1500 zone has historically been a strong resistance area. The price has broken through, retested, and is now again breaking previous higher highs, indicating a potential upward momentum.
Bullish Marubozu Candle on Weekly Timeframe : A Marubozu candle, which lacks upper and lower shadows, shows strong bullish sentiment, suggesting continued buying pressure.
Breaking a Long Consolidation Phase : Havells India has emerged from a consolidation phase that lasted over 2.5 years, indicating a potential bullish trend ahead.
Trading Above Key Moving Averages : The stock is trading above the 50 and 200 exponential moving averages on the weekly timeframe. This is a strong indication of a prevailing upward trend.
Higher Highs : The stock is forming higher highs, suggesting that it is in a consistent uptrend and may continue to climb.
Trading at All-Time High : While this indicates a bullish outlook, it is important to monitor the price action for any signs of exhaustion or potential pullbacks.
Target - 1900 // 2100
Stoploss - weekly close below 1450
Disclaimer :
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
ABCapital Near its ATHOn monthly charts, stock has created inverted head and Shoulder pattern. Stock is consolidating near multiyear resistance and its all-time-high. short term target can be 260. If it sustains above 265, stock can show massive rally towards 450-500. But it will take time. Still, its good entry point if you can hold it for next 3 years.
Disclaimer : this is not stock suggestion. ideas are for educational purpose only.
S&P 500 forecast: Outsized rate cut music to bulls’ ears. S&P 500 forecast: The US stock market has shown impressive resilience following the recent volatility. Investors, thrilled by the Federal Reserve’s outsized rate cut, have pushed index futures higher. However, there are mixed opinions about what lies ahead. For now, it looks the S&P 500 will finish the week at a fresh record high.
Fed’s Rate Cut and Its Impact on Markets
The Federal Reserve’s decision to deliver a 50-basis point rate cut was largely welcomed by investors. The move was seen as a bold but necessary step to ease economic concerns without sending panic signals reminiscent of the 2008 financial crisis. Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasised that the cuts are not part of a long-term strategy but rather a proactive measure aimed at stabilising growth, now that inflation appears to be on the path of returning to its target.
Markets initially sold off but quickly rebounded, with S&P 500 futures suggesting a potential new record high is on the horizon at the cash open today. The Dot Plot projection also boosted investor confidence, showing a possible 50 basis points of cuts this year and 100 next year, with the terminal rate expected to hit 3.0% by 2026. But what now?
Can the S&P 500 Rally Continue?
With the S&P 500 up nearly 19% year-to-date, investors are wondering if the rally can be sustained. On the surface, it appears that market sentiment is bullish, bolstered by the Fed’s actions and a series of robust earnings reports. Yet, looming risks, such as global economic slowdown in the Eurozone and China, may challenge this optimism. Moreover, seasonal trends indicate that September is typically a tough month for equities, adding a potential headwind to the current rally – although so far this hasn’t held investors back. With the US presidential election approaching, market volatility could spike, leaving investors hesitant to dive into new rallies without a clear trend.
S&P 500 forecast: Technical Analysis and Key Levels to Watch
Despite some volatility after the Fed’s rate cut, the S&P 500’s bullish trend remains intact. Traders should keep an eye on the support range between 5613 and 5670, with the upper end of this range marking the high from July. As long as the index holds above this support area, the short-term path of least resistance will remain upwards, potentially keeping the market on course to head towards 5800 or even the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level of 5827, derived from the drop in July.
However, a dip below 5613 would signal a shift towards bearish sentiment, potentially pushing the index down to its next support and short-term trendline around the 5480-5500 area.
Bearish Risks and Market Sentiment
While the bulls are currently in control, bearish traders are watching for signs of a reversal. A drop below recent lows, as suggested above, could signal the end of the short-term bullish bias, reminiscent of the July sell-off when overbought conditions led to a sharp decline. Then, the signal came in the form of a bearish engulfing candle on 17 July. Bearish traders need to wait for a similar confirmation before making any significant moves, given the overall bullish structure of this market.
Risk Management in a Volatile Market
Regardless of whether you're bullish or bearish, managing risk is critical in today's market. With heightened uncertainty surrounding the economy and upcoming elections, volatility is expected to remain high. Traders should stay nimble and be prepared for sudden shifts in the market’s direction.
In conclusion, while the S&P 500 forecast remains cautiously optimistic, several factors could derail the current rally. Staying informed and agile will be essential for navigating the coming weeks. We will, of course, highlight any major shifts in the trends, if observed. Stay tuned.
-- Written by Fawad Razaqzada, Market Analyst
Hey SPY lovers, look at all that green! Do you believe me now?We are undoubtedly in a scenario where the price is showing a lot of strength. As we can see, the price previously attempted to break all-time highs but encountered an institutional liquidity block, trying twice and creating a double top before making a pullback for days !
This second attempt to break the all-time high will be very important because, after the pullback, we were able to forecast the limit where the price would bounce back. Just one candle with a lot of volume and buying pressure was enough to realize that the price would reverse at $544.
If you've been following this analysis for weeks or months, you'll notice that everything is playing out according to our price action and institutional analysis.
Now, we just need to wait for that ATH, and I think this time will be different, especially considering that we're in election months, and the current president's political party wants the economy to look strong before the elections. So, we can expect a bull run from now until November.
Thank you for supporting my analysis, and if you've benefited from it and made profits, congratulations, I'm happy for you.
Best regards.