Re-Test imminent The drop since the last top has pretty much been lower time frame charts cooling off the rsi ( 1 hour, slightly 4 hour ).
With the 4 hr candles staying in range / consolidating since last nights high, i believe there is a another big push or two left to top out 4 hr on rsi. When that happens a new all time high should be established.
Could be a long or short not worth missing in these next 48 hours. Will be watching 4hr, daily, weekly charts after new ATH to see if ATH will be tested again with next weekly candle before ultimate consolidations and retracements begin.
The NationWide Crypto / Digital era is beginning with more mainstream CO’s going into bitcoin And the public become more aware as a digital lifestyle/experience begins to sweep through as the world adapts during lockdowns and pandemics.
Bear or Bull enjoy these profits
Alltimehigh
BTC IS ALREADY AT 20K USD !!What we consider as a target to reach and the razor's edge separating us from the new bull run is actually only a decontestualized number. Indeed, if we look at the market cap, the BTC market already reached the ALL TIME HIGH of Dec 2017 as new btc were mined in the meantime.
TSLA: Road to the All Time High.Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how Tesla is doing today!
Ok, so Tesla was added to the S&P 500, and this is giving fuel to the stock right now. In my previous analysis, we discussed Bullish Engulfing , which was our last entry point on Tesla. Now it is too late to buy, but we could see an opportunity here if Tesla does a pullback. And if you missed my previous analysis, the link is below, as usual.
For now, since we are trading around $ 490, I see that a pullback to the $ 462 again would be good and would offer some interesting opportunities for the late buyers. But for now, it seems Tesla is going to hit the ATH!
Now, let’s see the daily chart:
We have a Breakaway Gap here, which could be the start of a new bullish run on Tesla, and this seems to be a recurring movement, as every time Tesla does an accumulation, it triggers a new bull trend after a Breakaway Gap. We saw this movement on Oct last year, then on 1st Jun, Jul 2 and Aug 12.
Most of these movements are followed by an increase in volume , which is happening right now too. It is not the same volume seen a few months ago, but it is a start. We are very close to the ATH, and maybe it'll offer some resistnce in the short-term, but we can't count too much on that.
Now let’s see the weekly chart:
Tesla did a Pennant chart pattern here, and as crazy as it sounds, it is breaking out from it this week. The volume decreased during the movement on the Pennant, which is normal and expected, according to the Dow Theory (the volume must confirm the trend).
Now it is too late to buy, as the entry point was the Bullish Engulfing in the hourly chart, but I would wait for a pullback here, ideally around the $ 460 zone. This way you’ll increase the R/R ratio of your trade.
Either, this movement seems to be the start of a new upside movement, and Tesla will be very interesting from now on. And if you liked this analysis, please, support it ! And follow me to keep in touch with my daily updates.
Thank you very much.
PayPal Moving Towards it's All-Time-HighPayPal has recently regained momentum, bouncing off from the lowere trend line in the channel. Recent price behavious is showing higher highs and lower lows.
If macro economic sentiment stays positive, like now, we might see PayPal hitting $215 soon again. Think around 2 weeks.
Consider exiting your short term trade around there since its a major resistance, formed by two previous tops around the all-time-high.
S&P Analysis Week of 11/15/2020: New All Time Highs?Will the market make new all time highs or will it dump and start its correction leg lower?
Last week the market made NEW all time highs after pulling back. The week ended green and price spent most of the trading sessions consolidating (building energy for the next leg up or down).
This week the variables are much simpler than previous weeks. My bias is more towards the upside because on Friday we closed above a very important resistance level (3575 - the previous all time highs). This was a zone that price had trouble getting above but finally accomplished it at the end of the week.
Although my bias is to the long side, I have trade setups for both the long and short so I can take the trade the market gives me. I don't try to force trades.
My Trade Setups:
Trade 1: Get above last Monday's break down candle (~3607 with retest) and we are likely to make NEW all time highs. I know people really doubt this scenario and have been shorting the market again. Look at my rationale below.
Trade 2: Get below last week's strong support area (~3435 with retest) and we are likely heading down for the next correction leg.
Keep in mind the area I marked as NO MAN'S LAND . I would not be taking a new trade within this area.
DO NOT PLAY THE BREAKOUTS. Last week was a great example of why you don't play the breakouts. More times they either come back down for a retest of the breakout area, or they become failed breakouts. Wait for the retest and resumption in the direction of your trade.
Rationale: The reason why I have the strong resistance where I have it (~3575) is because price loves to retest the top of breakdown candles and the bottom of break up candles. Once price begins climbing the breakdown candle, the higher they go, the easier it is price will reach the top (it acts as a magnet). It is very likely this week that price will reach the top of this breakdown candle and find heavy resistance. You'll usually see price pullback some after getting to that point. It rarely breaks out on the first try.
Getting above this heavy resistance will allow price to breakaway and could form new all time highs. This is why I have that area marked as strong resistance and why you can take the trade above this (after a retest). The previous all time high might act as some resistance but by then it should be easy to break.
Good luck trading.
"When it feels really wrong, it's probably right. When it feels really right, it's probably wrong."
Please support my chart by hitting the like button. Thank you.
IS BITCOIN GOING PARABOLIC?In my earlier analysis I argued that Bitcoin had a massive resistance ahead, namely the June 2019 high and the upper band of the upward channel.
It seems that the election frenzy has boosted investor's convidence to push Bitcoin towards 15k. The resistance was broken by such massive bullish force that it could signal a new parabolic move this year and push toward the all-time-high of 20k.
If the enormous buying pressure keeps persisting throughout 2020, we could see a new all-time-high soon.
Bitcoin highest monthly close ever Welcome fellow Tradingviewers,
This analyses is a follow-up from our BTC halving TA and the followup from that analyses analyses has proven to be effectious. (which will be linked in this analyses)
If you haven't already consider reading that analyses before going deeper into this one.
Since that analyses we are now on a 100 day streak above $10K and approaching new highs lets break down what the market is showing us.
In this analyses we are going to show you our view on the current market situation for Bitcoin .
We will be analysing BTC using a top-down strategy , including candlestick patterns , indicators and price patterns.
Monthly:
- This close was the HIGHEST CLOSE EVER for Bitcoin (By $20 on Finex)
- The monthly close was a bullish engulfing candle.
- Breakout immenent, with breaking ATH close price.
- We are still above all moving averages.
- Volume keeps increasing.
- Higher High seems immenent.
- Bullish MACD
Weekly:
- We closed the weekly as a bullish engulfing candle.
- We still have the strong trend from the W formation on the MACD.
- The MACD is bullish and shows strength.
- We are well above all MA's
- Volume increasing
- Forming a Higher high according to analyses one.
- We closed well above the 0.618 Fib. Level.
Daily:
- We closed the last daily candle as a bullish engulfing closing above $14K!
- Clearly closed above the 2019 high.
- The MACD is bullish.
- We are well above all MA's
- Volume increasing.
In summary:
Things are looking very Bullish for Bitcoin, the highest monthly close ever could result in heavy buying pressure from retail, smart and institutional money. We have seen crazy adoption by companies as microstrategy, paypal and square in the last couple of months. More companies will follow and with a graph like this we can only start to imagine what kind of companies/funds these are going to be. We ofcourse do not want to fall for FOMO and therefore we need to keep our vision clear. The still undicided elections are also things to take into account, this can create chaos in all markets including Bitcoin and while Bitcoin investors are mostly in GREED mode it will not be completely unreasonable to think about a pullback to squeze out the high leverage Long traders at the moment.
But for now there are very little bearish signals from our perspective, support levels are also located in the chart.
The lack of trading patterns is worriying making it difficult to set up targets on the current rise for the long term. If you disagree and see a price pattern, make sure to leave it in the comments with according targets!
We broke above the 0.618 FIB. Level which has historically been a important price for Bitcoin. The next aim from here would be the 0.786 located around $16300.
So we broke out of the downtrend and are forming the higher high that is going to move Bitcoin to higher grounds.
This analyses is only intended to share my idea, to educate and entertain you guys.
This should not be considered as financial advice.
I hope you guys enjoyed this analyses, if you did don't forget to leave a Like!
If you want to share your thoughts, please do so in the comments below!
Kind Regards,
Frank | Forallcrypto
bitcoin trying to break pennant and ready to test All Time HighWelcome to this quick update.
#BTC Update: Bitcoin is at critical Resistance now and i think it almost break it but wait for confirmation.
There are two important line which intersect with each other around 11.1k which is the most important level now. Though you can see those yello boxes. BTC really fluctuates alot in this are and breakdown won't be easy IMO.
Any break below the black trendline could take BTC to $10.3k. It won't happen that quick. My 1st target is 13.3k then move to its ATH and will get invalidated only on the break of $8867 which seems highly unlikely.
Do not forget we broke almots 950 days Resistance which is very important as per TA.
So look for the long term rather than the short term. Remember those people who sold BTC around $350 and bought back at $20,000.
If you look at the daily chart for the above scenario we need a weekly close above 10890 because the 50 D MA is at that level Break and close will confirm the upside momentum.
If you like this quick update please give it a thumbs up and do follow me for more future updates.
Stay safe
IS LINK PREPARING FOR A NEW ALL-TIME-HIGH?Over the past two years LINK has been bouncing off the daily MA200 on the logarithmic chart, resulting in a rally over 7000%.
In the coming month the chances are that it will hit the MA200 again. Looking at the past, getting close to the MA200 will result in a bounce with >100% growth each time, resulting in new all-time-highs.
Will LINK bounce and ascend to new all time highs or will its crazy run-up finally come to an end?
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Zooming Out on Bitcoin - $13,868 - What will happen?This monthly view shows that Bitcoin is at a pivotal price to position itself to reach the all time highs from 2017.
My projection, based on timing of previous 4 year cycle is that this could take place by March/April of 2021.
In July, we broke out of the long term down trend (see gold trend line) and have retested it and seem to be breaking out convincingly, which makes me lean in a more bullish direction for this longer term view.
Also, we are close to having the 2nd highest monthly close in the history of Bitcoin.
There are 3 paths that I see Bitcoin possibly choosing, the first 2 seem more likely based on current news and what I see happening in the crypto space in general.
1) We see continuation, breaking past this $13,868 resistance within the next month, and start heading towards the all time high.
2) We form a Cup & Handle, which would delay things by a month or 2 before we retest the $13,868 resistance again.
Least Likely scenario, in my opinion:
3) We break down from here, unable to retest $13,868 resistance and move into a month long equilibrium that would need to find a higher low somewhere above $3,858.
A big stock market drop or a significant reaction to negative Covid news would be the most likely cause of such a move, and it would probably have a significant impact on the timeline of reaching the previous all time high.
Thanks for taking a look. I'm curious if you have similar expectations or if you have a more bearish view.
SPX500 - long to 3500+ then short to create a new lowHello traders and analysts,
Here is update to our weekly outlook provided April 24th.
judging by the closeness of our results so far - we are pretty much on track to our prediction.
We are already short on this and will hold our sells in conjunctions with longs and close out longs as price hits highs.
Do not over leverage and apply risk management if you use our analysis for your own benefit.
Technicals:
1. Looking back to 2000, 2008 - the dotcom, financial banking crisis and now 'Covid' - we can see a nice megaphone pattern which has emerged looking back since February 2018.
We have completed the the downward impulse of the wave pattern 1-5, with all waves forming without breaking the structure.
we are now in the minor wave 2 structure. and next up is the 5 wave corrective structure and looking to complete wave on the trendline .
2. From an imbalance method, we have a good double top retest which is showing profit and greed taking helped on from the Fed and using Fibonacci extension - price can over shoot to create an upper supply zone.
Price has seen a bounce back to 'normal priced of demand' however this is not really how halted economies can return so fast. it is artificial.
Divergence - we did not use this but looking at the pattern, we have a huge distinguishing gap. However this keeps widening - whilst we do not look at the divergence indicator, it does show a good area for sells - and according to RSI - we are not there yet technically speaking 80 zone is a major sell.
3. Looking at the VIX - the dollar is weakening to a 95.2 lows - however the buying of this at the lows will produce huge rewards.
4. Looking at Russell and SPY has the gap to fill to $340.00 per share , is this sustainable growth which is being propped up - with earnings quarter now in play, we will see those numbers finally provide profit targets either severely missed or the few will beat earnings.
Fundamentals:
US election rallies before taking place at the end of the year with campaigning -
We have NFP numbers showing millions return to work.. but also high unemployment still looming.
Trade war with China, Hong Kong unfolding with US responding
High figures in multiple states which are concerns for large communities- record numbers still being released
Fiscal intervention in July, August for stimulus.. constant printing money is not good for the economy.
US tech stocks have seen the highest returns and zero confirmation by Dow30 and S&P following suit. - will this last? no.. billionaires just adding wealth, SME businesses not receiving the correct funding at all..
Dow 30 is in a fragile state and desperate to keep pushing higher but limited upside will cause a steep decline - refer to Dow chart.. around 27,000 is a good point for a previous monthly high but it may fall over at 28000 tops.
Crippling 1trillion money printing exercise to be released to prop up false growth. enter sovereign debt crsis
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Amazing Week For SPX, Big October Coming 3800+SPX - Three weeks to go to election. Pretty amazing price action this week. After a scary push down on Tuesday. Wednesday, Thursday and Friday did nothing but go up the rest of the week.
SPX is due for some consolidation but all indication is SPX is going to have a big October including a test of all time highs and beyond.
3425 is a key level to hold on any pullbacks. If SPX can get over 3486 it opens up 3528 and 3579 above. 3486 is the final key resistance before 3600+.
Below 3425 is 3411 and 3389. If SPX loses 3425 look for longer term consolidation or sideways range bound action into the election.
SPX was stronger than NAS. It reached it's key resistance level at 3486, NAS is still under this level. BOTH NAS and SPX will have to clear their key resistance levels to test all time highs.
Avoid the noise of why the market is going up or why it can't go higher. Let go of your own biases. The price action is telling us it is going to test all time highs. If this changes we will change with it but don't let bias or fear hold you back from the opportunity that is currently being presented.
S&P500 New ATH and a Correction for Christmas!? Will we see it play like this, conveniently right up the middle parallel channel of the big trend?
Will we see new all time highs as soon as early November?
With a nice Christmas correction like we're all used to by now?
Lets do it!!!!
#NASDAQ35000hat #S&P500hat
Energy and Financials Adding To SPX Strength In ATH RunSPX with a key back test of the 3389 level overnight as it's trying to break up over the 3411 level. If it can over 3411 it should trigger a test of the key 3425 level. This is a key level from our double top back in September.
SPX is opening stronger than NAS and this is mainly because of energy and financials. If energy and financials are able to join this rally, SPX will run to ATH's and beyond. October is shaping up to be a very bullish month with the potential for a very large rally.