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Alphabetshort

Alphabet (GOOGL) -> Following The NasdaqMy name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only trade stocks , crypto , options and indices 🖥️ I only focus on the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise. This is how you build real long term wealth! In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on Alphabet. Just 9 months ago Alphabet stock perfectly retested major previous resistance which was turned support and in confluence with a retest of the 0.618 fib level we saw a rally of 60%. Considering that Alphabet is now retesting the channel resistance it is quite likely that we will see a short term drop before I do expect new all time highs on Google stock. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - I know that this is a quite simple trading approach but over the past 4 years I've realized that simplicity and consistency are much more important than any trading strategy. Keep the long term vision🫡
NASDAQ:GOOGLShort
by basictradingtv
26
Alphabet(Google) Long BullishTechnical Bullish HHHL above 99 Trendomat BuySell pressure Bullish Weekly average price above Monthly average price 145.32 is critical as Volume value is weak. Incase volume would increase and abreak above 151 Alphabet will potentially walk to above 210 A break below 86 is bearish. Return vs Industry: GOOGL underperformed the US Interactive Media and Services industry which returned 22.5% over the past year. Return vs Market: GOOGL underperformed the US Market which returned 14.5% over the past year. Stable Share Price: GOOGL is less volatile than 75% of US stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 4% a week. Volatility Over Time: GOOGL's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year. Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GOOGL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.7x) compared to the peer average (51x). Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GOOGL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.7x) compared to the US Interactive Media and Services industry average (19.9x) What is the Fair Price of GOOGL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model. Below Fair Value: GOOGL ($123.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($160.36) Significantly Below Fair Value: GOOGL is trading below fair value by more than 20%. Alphabet is forecasted to grow earnings and revenue by 13.1% and 9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 14.6%. Return on equity is forecast to be 22.3% in 3 years. Analyst Future Growth Forecasts Earnings vs Savings Rate: GOOGL's forecast earnings growth (13.1% per year) is above the savings rate (2.1%). Earnings vs Market: GOOGL's earnings (13.1% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (15.7% per year). High Growth Earnings: GOOGL's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly. Revenue vs Market: GOOGL's revenue (9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (7.5% per year). High Growth Revenue: GOOGL's revenue (9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year. Future ROE: GOOGL's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (22.3%) Earnings and Revenue History Quality Earnings: GOOGL has high quality earnings. Growing Profit Margin: GOOGL's current net profit margins (20.6%) are lower than last year (27.6%). Earnings Trend: GOOGL's earnings have grown significantly by 25.9% per year over the past 5 years. Accelerating Growth: GOOGL's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average. Earnings vs Industry: GOOGL had negative earnings growth (-21.4%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Interactive Media and Services industry average (-16.9%). High ROE: GOOGL's Return on Equity (22.5%) is considered high. Financial Position Analysis Short Term Liabilities: GOOGL's short term assets ($162.0B) exceed its short term liabilities ($68.9B). Long Term Liabilities: GOOGL's short term assets ($162.0B) exceed its long term liabilities ($39.7B). Debt to Equity History and Analysis Debt Level: GOOGL has more cash than its total debt. Reducing Debt: GOOGL's debt to equity ratio has increased from 3.3% to 4.5% over the past 5 years. Debt Coverage: GOOGL's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (757.9%). Interest Coverage: GOOGL earns more interest than it pays, so coverage of interest payments is not a concern. CEO Compensation Analysis Compensation vs Market: Sundar's total compensation ($USD225.99M) is above average for companies of similar size in the US market ($USD12.23M). Compensation vs Earnings: Sundar's compensation has increased by more than 20% whilst company earnings have fallen more than 20% in the past year. Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.
CAPITALCOM:GOOGLong
by DaveBrascoFX
Alphabet fakeout after fear of AI update target $90 W Formation formed on Alphabet which then had a major fakeout There was a test of the 200MA which Failed to break above and dropped. Target $90 With Google and Alphabet trying to combat with the new challenge of creating a better CHAT GPT, it seems like the first version has failed. There were many errors and false answers. They also called the Ex CEOS and management to try and create similar versions through BING and BARD. This caused fear with investors and lead to a $100 billion drop in market value. Overall I think Google will find a way to replace Chat GPT or integrate the technology eventually. These are short term blips before the upside. Right now we can remain bearish as the charts don't lie, but the price will need to drop below $90 in order to have a new analysis for downside. I'll keep you updated as always.
NASDAQ:GOOGLShort
by Timonrosso