City Lodge looking good for upside R5.00There has been a change in the wind for City Lodge.
A small but evident Cup and Handle has formed.
7>21MA
Price is still below 200MA which is a minor concern but with the JSE and ALSI picking up and establishing a somewhat bull market, this should send the price up,
Target 1 = R5.00
ALSI
JSE still heading up despite FED 75 basis points hikeAs you can see as a position trader, we don't care about short term fluctuations with what happens with the FED, Employment numbers or Earnings.
We only care about what we see in the charts and where the markets are more likely to head.
The JSE ALSI 40 upside is still intact, and we are cautiously optimistic.
BULLISH BIAS
Bullish Harami - FSRA Bullish Harami has formed on JSE:FSR which is a bottom reversal signal. It has triggered our long position and we have a target at around the 64.40 level. There is however, a gap that needs to be closed at around the 61 level. Be aware of this, as it may close the gap and come down instead of continuing upward.
Choose your loss buy or sell We are currently in a very difficult trading environment for the JSE ALSI 40 (and the stocks in the index) and I believe world wide (with most markets).
This sideways movement has been going since July 2022...
The world is in a rut with major issues like high inflation, ongoing interest hikes, currency collapses, US dollar strength, UK economic collapse, East wars and COVID recovery.
Our hands are unfortunately tied, how long this will last and what the damage will be (drawdown wise). But we will control it with lowering our losses from 2% to 1.5%. This will all be guided through a process until we overcome it...
But it's part and parcel with trading and it's something that is very common on a yearly basis...
HOWEVER! This is crucial to understand as a trader.
Since the derivative markets, the algorithm of movement (between buying and selling) has changed drastically.
From the markets moving in strong trends (70% of the time) from 1940 - 2007 where a monkey could have thrown a dart and profited from any Blue Chip stock for 20 years.
To now we are seeing the markets trend around (20% of the time, if that) from 2007 -2022.
We have no choice but to make the stop loss and take profits prices tighter and to hold for less period of time.
This will be a patience game but will be worth it in the end.
Only those strong enough to stick around and act accordingly with their correct risk management will reap the rewards.
What are your thoughts?
Tigerbrands next run up to ATHLarge Tripple Bottom
There are also two Cup and Handles formed in the recent past.
Now that price has broken above both Brim levels it's looking bullish.
RSI> 50 and above the downtrend line.
Target R219.05
CONCERNS
Liquidity is low and it causes spikes in prices.
Such a large formation, can sizzle out the price move and it can continue sideways for the next few months.
We have our 7 week time stop loss so let's go.