ALSI
UPDATE: Life Health Care exceeded our targets big timeLife Health Care was presenting a simple Head and Shoulders with a usual drop for a short.
The price started off well then went to the entry.
Wake up and not only did it go past R15.96 target...
The market opened aty R10.80 exceeding our expectations and profits. It's these trades that we absolutely love and can't help but get excited when things go extraordinary to our favour.
Now there is a W Formation and the price has broken up. So looking at a Medium Probability setup, we can expect the price to head to R14.29.
UPDATE: Hulamin hit target at R3.91 heading to R4.40After a long wait once the price broke above the W Formation.
Then moved sideways and crossed above with the Cup and Handle.
The first target of Hulamin hit at R3.91.
The momentum is still strong and on the up. And we can easily see further upside to come.
So, the next target with similar momentum will be to R4.40.
Impala PLatinum fantastic for upside to R170.35With the PLatinum price running up very nicely and setting it's for a rally - JSE PLatinum stocks are looking almost perfect to buy.
We have a Cup and Handle with a breakout above and confirmed. We'll need to wait for Monday's Open price to confirm above the Breakout.
NATURE: HPT (High Probability Trade)
Price>20
Price>200
Target R170.35
Great trade analysis for the system!
Nampak huge upside to come after announcement to R271.81W Formation has confirmed and formed after the announcement they are leaving Nigeria.
This pumped up the price over 17% in a day.
However, high volatility is always a risky biscuit and big candles normally results in the counter candle.
So I'd wait for the price to break ABOVE the W Formation and for the price to break above the 200MA.
Then the nature will be HPT and the target will be around R271.81
UPDATE Redefine Falling Flag break into a sideways range Falling Flag - Breakout took place on 18 Dec 2024.
The price stayed above 200MA but lingered between the range of 20MA.
We are seeing lower highs and lower lows. WHich means a broadening formation is forming between the bulls and the bears.
There is no strong indication when the price will rally but the analysis does remain the same until the price either hits the target or below the stop loss range.
The target is still set to R4.39.
UPDATE Hulamin showing strong upside after it's break upto R3.91We were very close to the analysis being null and void.
But then, we had a change of wind and the market bounced off the lows heading back to the range.
It then broke up and is now on the way to the next target at R3.91
Looks good still.
Capitec Vuvuzela with bullish bias & strong fundaments to R2,485Capitec has been in this Broadening Pattern (Vuvuzela) formation since November 2023.
It breaks into higher highs and lower lows. But the overall momentum and trend channel is up.
It will continue trading in this range until we get a breakout of the resistance or support. My bet is it will first trade to the top of the range at R2,485.92.
Capitec has always been the outlier compared to the other banks with very little correlation. WHen it does well, it runs up regadless what the bigger banks are doing.
Also fundamentally, it doesn't seem to follow suit with the Big 5.
Firstly, Capitec announced a substantial 15% growth in headline earnings, which reached R9.7 billion.
This increase was driven by growth across various sectors of the bank, including a notable 124% profit surge in its business banking sector and a significant increase in net lending, investment, and insurance income
Also, Capitec has been actively investing in innovative digital solutions and client rewards programs, which have contributed to its strong performance.
They introduced a variety of digital payment solutions like Apple Pay, Samsung Pay, and Google Pay with zero transaction fees, as well as their own secure online payment tool, Capitec Pay.
So ye, big up to an innovative unclipped wings bank like Capitec.
Merafe Dividend messed up analysis to the upside of R2.00What a difference a dividend makes!
The payment went out on the 15 April 2024, and because there are derivatives that traders can trade off - the algorithm droped the share price quite significantly.
I don't think this company should be providing such high dividends if it wants growth in the share price, but hey I'm just the guy behind a computer.
So last time, we saw a Dividend release in September, it took 6 months for the share price to make it's way up and close the gap.
Now it is likely for the same thing to happen.
This is not a technical analysts haven type market because fundamentals trump the price action.
But overall, I guess shareholders are remotely happy for their income distribution and in the long run Merafe will one day hit R2.00 :D
Bidvest in resting mode until the big breakout up to R290.00Bidvest has been moving in a sideways consolidation pattern called a Diamond Pattern since November 2023.
This is where there is a tug of war between the bulls and the bears.
BUt the fact that the price is holding quite well despite the international market crashes, means the buyers are holding the stock strong.
It will most like need a few more weeks/months for the pattern to play out. But once it breaks above the consolidation, we can easily see the price head up to R290.00
It's a patience game for Bidvest.
Exxaro looks fantastic to R208.22! We recently saw it break out of the medium downtrend since January 20024.
The price broke above the W Formation's neckline and above the 20 and 200MA.
This states the medium term nature is HIGH probability for upside.
The concern is the price gapped up and now needs to fill.
SO I am patiently waiting for the Gap to close and then rebuy on the bounce of the retracement.
Target to R208.22.
Merafe Dividend payout caused a break in analysisMerafe was easily set to great upside to R1.72
This was due to a Box Formation, Upside and Price above the moving averages.
But then 22 cents Dividend was given out which caused the share price to drop quite quickly.
So is the analysis still on? I guess it is as long as it hasn't hit the risk level.
But these are things to take into account and learn from.
PPC M Formation ready to break down to R2.37?M Formation has formed on PPC since November 2023.
This is a very risky trade analysis due to the high volatile nature of the share.
But if the uptrend holds strong and lower highs continue, we could see a very big fall with the cement company.
Medium Probability Trade
Price<20 and Price <200MA
Target R2.37
Renergen showing tremendous upside to come BOX Formation has formed on Renergen. Also there is a rounding bottom.
The price has broken above the neckline of the Rounding Bottom but not the box form yet.
Once it does, we should get an easy indication that the market wants to head up.
The nature of the analysis is Medium probability due to
Price>20MA
Price<200MA
Target 1 will be to R21.82
Netcare looking sick at the moment - Target R10.36Inv Cup and Handle has formed on Netcare since November 2023.
It is a high probability nature that the price is likely to drop as the price is below both 20MA and 200MA.
First target is to R10.36.
NOTE: I do acknowledge that there could be a short term W Formation which could cause some chop and even short term upside.
So this is indeed a medium term analysis.
ABSA showing major downside to come to R76.08Head and Shoulders has formed ont he dail since Early 2022...
The price broke below the neckline and has since then, been showing lower highs within the down channel,
We also have confirmed downside with the Moving Averages.
Price< 20 and <200
It looks bleak but the system is the system, so the first target is set to R76.08
Sasol showing upside to come with two patterns target R228.61There are two potential rising formations to come for Sasol.
Either Rev Cup and Handle or Inv Head and shoulders
We do need the confirmation though for upside to continue to come.
Moving averages yield a Medium Probability setup with
Price>20
Price<200
Oil is also confiriming a short to medium term rally which will help push up the price
Target R228.61
Anglo American Plats rare metal and rare formation showing upsidBroadening Formation (Vuvuzela) and W Formation is forming on AngloPlats.
We are seeing synergy with the upside with the platinum price and platinum stocks.
I guess no suprise knowing they work in tandem with each other.
Also, there is a good chanc eof upside with the price above both:
Price>20 and Price>200
Wait for break above the necklines and we could get a Target of R1,001
Moving onto the fundamentals:
The increase in Anglo American Platinum's stock price in 2024 can be connected to the broader market dynamics affecting platinum prices.
Factors like a global supply deficit, driven by production challenges and rising demand from sectors such as automotive and green technologies, contribute to the metal's price increase.
As Anglo American Platinum is a major producer of platinum, these market conditions likely positively impact the company's stock price by enhancing profitability prospects due to higher platinum prices.
PPC made a bad turn taking it to the next target R2.37M Formation has recently formed on PPC.
We are seeing negative signs more than positive.
On Tuesday, the price crossed below the 200MA which confirmed downside to come.
Now we can expect a test and a consolidation period before further downside, but well need the price to cross and close below the 200MA first.
Target R2.37
Write off Kibo Energy off your time wastersThese are the type of stocks that I don't even give one breath of a time to see.
Yes I'm doing that now, but the thing is there are MANY traders who think these are the stocks they can buy at 1 cent and hold to 4c - 400% return and this can lead to one of three ways.
1. You hold forever
2. You strike lucky and it actually does go there
3. It goes to 0 and gets liquidated and you lose your money
But as traders, these are time wasters.
There is no liquidity, no volume, there is no action.
I can't analyse this type of stock and this is purely for the savvy Penny Stock INvestors who have read the fundamentals, share ratios and have seen the proespects for a POTENTIAL future for the stock.
Other than that for traders - I leave it alone.