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MATIC - HOT ALT🔥, but Bearish SHORT TERM📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈 MATIC has been very profitable to us so far; watch my previous update HERE: If you've been following, you'll know I'm fundamentally bullish on MATIC. And it gets better than fundamentals - you could possible see a low entry point soon! Polygon is unique in that it's a blockchain platform designed to work with another blockchain platform. It improves Ethereum's scalability - which we all know if the biggest problem of ETH. ETH dApps can use Polygon's sidechains, thereby making it a functional and fundamentally great choice as an altcoin asset. One of the exciting things about Polygon is the partnerships it has established. Many big brands are working with Polygon to launch their NFT projects. Current partners include: ✅ Walt Disney ✅ Starbucks ✅ Meta Platforms ✅ Nike ✅ Mercedes ✅ Google ✅ Adidas ✅ Adobe ✅ Mastercard ✅ Reddit While it might not pump as hard as other altcoins, it's also far less likely to fail than smaller , newer cryptos with similar aims - and it still has plenty of room to grow. Its partnerships make it an interesting buy for those who are interested in a well diversified portfolio, containing assets with real-world use case and strong fundamentals. _______________________ 📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates📢 👍Hit like & Follow 👍 CryptoCheck BINANCE:MATICUSDT
COINBASE:MATICUSDShort
by CryptoCheck-
ETH: BEGINNER FRIENDLY ✅ Methods for Predicting Ahead For those who have been following me here for the past three years, you'll know that I usually never miss an opportunity at a April Fool's prank. However, today's post is NOT one of them. Instead, I'm going to take a turn and do a post that may be of real value to many investors and speculators at this point in the market cycle. We'll specifically use ETH for this example but these methods can be used across ALL MARKETS. Understanding the crypto/stock/forex markets can feel like stepping into a vast ocean of numbers, trends, and predictions. As an investor, you might wonder which pricing information is truly crucial: is it the current price or the future selling price? Interestingly, many investors look beyond these immediate numbers and delve into historical pricing data to guide their decisions. But does recent pricing history actually provide reliable insight into future market movements? Let's explore four perspectives on this topic and dive into the academic research supporting each viewpoint. ❕1. Momentum: Riding the Wave Picture yourself on a surfboard catching a wave. Momentum in the stock market is somewhat similar - it's about riding the wave of market trends without fighting against them. Think of it as the market's way of saying, "Go with the flow!" Behavioral finance tells us that investors tend to flock towards rising stocks out of fear of missing out or driven by greed. Academic studies, like the one by Narasimhan Jegadeesh and Sheridan Titman in 1993, suggest that stocks which have performed well in recent months are likely to continue outperforming in the short term. However, this momentum effect seems to reverse over longer periods, hinting at something called mean reversion. ❕2. Mean Reversion: Finding Balance Experienced investors often preach the gospel of mean reversion - the idea that over time, markets tend to return to an average value. This phenomenon isn't limited to stocks; it can be observed in various economic indicators like GDP growth or interest rates. While some studies support mean reversion in certain datasets, it's not a universal truth. It might take years, even decades, for these subtle shifts to become apparent. ❕3. Wyckoff Method : Planning WAY ahead The Wyckoff Method is a technical analysis approach to trading in financial markets, particularly stocks. Developed by Richard D. Wyckoff in the early 20th century, it focuses on understanding the intentions of large institutional players, such as smart money, through the analysis of price and volume. The method emphasizes the principles of supply and demand dynamics, as well as market sentiment, to identify potential trends and trading opportunities. Traders using the Wyckoff Method typically study price charts, volume patterns, and market phases to make informed decisions about when to buy or sell securities. Overall, it aims to provide a framework for interpreting market activity and making more effective trading decisions. ETH is clearly in profit release phase atm: ❕4. The Search for Value: Digging for Diamonds Value investors are like treasure hunters scouring the market for undervalued gems. But this method also accounts for knowing when the price is over- or under valued at its current level. Valuation Metrics include: Market Capitalization (Market Cap): Compares a crypto's total value (price x circulating supply) to similar projects. A high Market Cap relative to peers might indicate overvaluation. Network Value to Transaction (NVT) Ratio: Divides Market Cap by daily transaction volume. A high NVT suggests potential overvaluation, while a low NVT might hint at undervaluation. Both ETH (436 at time of writing) and BTC (417 at time of writing) have a relatively high NVT ratio, which could be an indication of overvaluation. ❕Long-Term vs. Short-Term Investing: Investors should consider their investment goals and time horizons when formulating strategies. Long-term investing typically involves buying and holding assets for an extended period, while short-term investing focuses on capitalizing on immediate market movements. Each approach has its advantages and risks, depending on individual circumstances and preferences. The long and short of the matter here is buying low and selling high. Two methods for TECHNICAL PRICE PREDICTION: 1) Fibonacci Fibonacci can be helpful to speculate future price targets by using it on a macro scale: 2) Logarithmic Analysis Find more information on ETH LOG here:
by CryptoCheck-
1
MPC - Shift In Momentum In Action 📉📈Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📉 MPC has been overall bearish trading within the falling channel in red. 📦 Currently, MPC is hovering within an Accumulation Phase between $0.3 round number and $0.36 major high. 📈 For the MarkUp phase to start, shifting the momentum from bearish to bullish, a break above the last major high in red at $0.36 is needed. 🎯 In such a scenario, a movement towards the $0.525 resistance would be expected. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
KUCOIN:MPCUSDTLong
by TheSignalyst
11
SOL: Re-Accumulation After Decline (Decline already happened)Comparing Solana price action to this Wyckoff schematic known as "Re-accumulation After Decline" and it matches up beautifully. We should currently be in the LPS stages right before the next markup. Be careful with your entry obviously, because crypto doesn't always follow the rules, however we are definitely in a bull market and I'm looking long all day until proven otherwise, especially after finding this re-accumulation. Suggested entry: At the bottom of this local consolidation range, which is currently sitting on top of our "lower accumulation" range highs. This needs to hold for the markup to play out. If we lose those highs, this idea will be invalidated
Long
by DigiLex_LLC
MATIC: Major Lawsuits and the Long-Term TrendPrimary Chart: Monthly chart of MATIC (Polygon) with Monthly Four-Year Uptrend Fundamental Issues Arising from Recent SEC Legal Actions Significant fundamental concerns have been brewing relating to Polygon / MATIC. The United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), is the primary securities regulator in the US that handles securities registration, enforcement, and efficiency of capital markets. The SEC has recently named 13 securities that it alleges to be unregistered securities including the subject altcoin. This came as part of this agency's enforcement action (lawsuits) against Binance Holdings Limited, Changpeng Zhao, et al., as well as its action against Coinbase, Inc and Coinbase Global, Inc., essentially the Coinbase exchange. The SEC alleges defendants' "blatant disregard of federal securities laws and the investor and market protections these laws provide." Section 5 of the Exchange Act requires entities meeting the definition of exchange to register with the SEC as a national securities exchange under the Exchange Act unless exempted. Similarly, broker-dealers are required to register with the SEC under the Exchange Act as well, 11 U.S.C. § 78o(a)(a) (typically, broker dealers are defined as persons engaged in the business of effecting transactions in securities on the account of others). And offering and selling unregistered securities is also a major violation of the securities laws that carries severe legal consequences. Coinbase Inc., for example, is alleged to have never registered with the SEC as a broker, national securities exchange, or clearing agency. Accordingly, the SEC argues that Coinbase has unlawfully "evaded the disclosure regime" that federal law provides for securities markets. All these legal actions depend on on a pivotal concept: whether the crypto assets involved are securities. Broker-dealers by definition effect transactions in securities , so determining whether crypto assets are securities is a vital prerequisite to determining whether the defendants unlawfully effected transactions in securities on the account of others. Similarly, the registration requirement for exchanges depends on entities meeting the definition of exchange, which requires that the exchange constitute, maintain or provide a market for buyers / sellers of securities . If none of the crypto assets are deemed securities, then much (if not all) of the enforcement action would fail. Conversely if any one of the crypto assets is deemed a security, then the enforcement action would succeed at least in part. Further, if the altcoins are legally held to be unregistered securities, then the exchanges may have unlawfully failed to register as exchanges, which registration comes with heavy disclosure requirements, and defendants may be liable for engaging in multiple unregistered offers and sales of crypto assets deemed as securities as well as other illegal schemes. Further panic has been arising from derivative effects of these actions. To illustrate, reports have also circulated that Robinhood, a widely used trading platform for retail, has been "delisting" (dropping from its platform) major crypto tokens, although SquishTrade will recommend readers research this issue further for confirmation. Even if such reports were not correct, they instill panic, and their effects plainly follow from the legal actions. This discussion of fundamentals are presented solely for context . This post will not delve into further detail about the litigation nor will it discuss whether the legal actions are well grounded in fact or law. No speculation will be raised as to the probable legal outcome or ramifications of a particular adverse judgment against any crypto exchange defendant. Instead, the focus will remain on price, which is the best and most efficient processor of all fundamental information available. It's not always efficient and timely, but it is likely faster processor of all fundamental information than the best research team on the planet. Technical Analysis Focused on Longer-Term Trends Polygon (MATIC) has fallen over -32% in the past 10 days since June 1, 2023. Since the swing high in February 2023, MATIC has plummeted approximately –67.55%. The recent sharp downdraft in various altcoins may appear formidable, p and befuddling especially to those focused on intraday or even daily time frames, i.e., trends of much smaller degree than the ones shown here. Further, with leverage or oversized positions, a position traders may be stunned and unable to manage their positions. This would be true even for an experienced trader who had the foresight and discipline to buy the December 2022 lows ($.75) who may still be significantly underwater at this point if profits were not taken in a strategic or programmatic way. However, longer-term investors / position traders in this Ethereum-based Polygon network may do well to zoom out somewhat given the news. Doing so, they might discover that the very long-term trend remains higher in Polygon. Consider the 4-year uptrend line on the Primary Chart above. It hasn't been touched since November 2020. Furthermore, the long-term Fibonacci retracement levels (logarithmic only) show that even the shallowest of the widely followed levels has held as support since the peak in December 2021. The shallowest retracement level, Fibonacci .236 proportion, is shown below in Supplementary Chart A at $.53. Supplementary Chart A The next shallowest level is the Fibonacci .382 retracement (again on the highest degree of trend available here), which falls at $.19, also shown in magenta on Supplementary Chart A above and Supplementary Chart B below. Supplementary Chart B Of course, uptrends frequently retrace to .50 and .618 retracements as well. This could take MATIC to significantly lower levels shown in gold and green lines on the Primary Chart above. But discussing such distant Fibonacci support levels under .085 might be getting a bit ahead of where price action trades now. As shown on the Primary Chart, the uptrend line for 4 years has not been tagged since November 2021. This is not to say that it won't be. SEC enforcement actions are not to be taken lightly by investors or the defendants. A couple more long-term technical levels that are more dynamic should be mentioned. Supplementary Chart C shows an both an anchored VWAP from the all-time high and an all-time low (based on available data for Matic Network / TetherUS). Notice how the major low of 2022 tagged the anchored VWAP from April 2019 where the data begins on the chart. And MATIC's price found resistance at the VWAP anchored to the all-time high repeatedly, with one false break above it, confirming this level as strong resistance. So a trend-based analysis based on volume-weighted average price tells us that price remains in sideways consolidation within a very long-term uptrend—at least until price breaks and holds below the VWAP from the all-time low . Supplementary Chart C No one knows what will happen if price arrives at this uptrend line, but many trend-based traders and investors look for risk-defined entries at very long-term trendline support, with tight risk at / near the line itself to play for a sizeable bounce at a minimum or even a resumption of the larger-degree trend higher. But if the trendline is invalidated, the risk will have been kept small. Managing risk is vital since no one can say with certainty whether a trend will resume or whether it will resume at the trendline where it resumed after past countertrend moves. The same can be said for the key Fibonacci levels, each one providing a trend-based investor or analyst with another pivot to watch for support where a countertrend retracement may end and the shorter term trends realign with the longer-term trend. Does this longer-term trend provide absolute reassurance, a guarantee of sorts, that many nervous crypto investors want concerning whether this long-term trend will remain intact? No. In fact, no such guarantees exist in financial markets—this holds true regardless of whether one is bullish, bearish or non-directional / neutral. The aphorism in trading and investing is to make the trend your friend until the end, when it bends. Even long-term trends break, adjust, change, or reverse. To illustrate, consider that the upward trendline shown on the primary chart (monthly) could be broken and reconstituted if monetary policy continues to remain tight (or even to whipsaw as some argue). This may not mean a trend reversal on this very high degree of trend, it may just mean that the trend continues albeit at a less steep slope. Trends with steeper slopes have a tendency to be broken more easily than trends with less steep slopes (in downtrends or uptrends). This may be a result in part of the mean-reverting nature of price action on all time frames, from the shortest to the longest. In technical analysis, trend continuation should be favored over trend reversal. Further, when bullish trend-based supports are reached, no one ever feels that good about going long because the news has been awful to get price down to that level. And here, the term "trend" refers to the 4-year trend shown on the Primary Chart, which may be deemed an extended primary trend (which typically fall between 6 months and two years but can extend longer) or even a secular trend given its duration. In short, if a countertrend move is occurring, traders and investors should consider it more likely for the trend to continue than for it to reverse on this time frame and degree of trend. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell MATIC. Instead, this is an attempt at an objective conversation about longer-term trends in this altcoin in light of recent regulatory lawsuits involving whether it may be an unregistered security as held on most exchanges. SquishTrade at the time of writing holds no position in MATIC or any MATIC derivative. ________________________________________ Author's Comment: Thank you for reviewing this post and considering its charts and analysis. The author welcomes comments, discussion and debate (respectfully presented) in the comment section. Shared charts are especially helpful to support any opposing or alternative view. This article is intended to present an unbiased, technical view of the security or tradable risk asset discussed. Please note further that this technical-analysis viewpoint is short-term in nature. This is not a trade recommendation but a technical-analysis overview and commentary with levels to watch for the near term. This technical-analysis viewpoint could change at a moment's notice should price move beyond a level of invalidation. Further, proper risk-management techniques are vital to trading success. And countertrend or mean-reversion trading, e.g., trading a rally in a bear market, is lower probability and is tricky and challenging even for the most experienced traders. DISCLAIMER: This post contains commentary published solely for educational and informational purposes. This post's content (and any content available through links in this post) and its views do not constitute financial advice or an investment or trading recommendation, and they do not account for readers' personal financial circumstances, or their investing or trading objectives, time frame, and risk tolerance. Readers should perform their own due diligence, and consult a qualified financial adviser or other investment / financial professional before entering any trade, investment or other transaction.
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by SquishTrade
33
DOGE Fractal: Following THIS Pattern? 📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈 Dogecoin was one of my TOP altcoins to watch for 2024. (Find the others here): Doge has been following an interesting pattern recently in the daily timeframe - Elliot Waves. We see the 5 impulse waves up (wave1-5) followed by the abc correction waves. Then we have a period of range bound trading finally before the next wave1-5 starts. Here's where it get's technical in terms of the wave fractal: If you found this content helpful, please remember to hit like and subscribe and never miss a moment in the markets. _______________________ 📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates📢 👍Hit like & Follow 👍 CryptoCheck BINANCE:DOGEUSDT
Long
by CryptoCheck-
5
The rise of the AI cryptocurrenciesThere's a cryptocurrency related to AI called PAAL AI that has surged 2000X from its low last year. I know, it surprised me too! Afterward, I examined some of their partners. One of the most affordable in terms of market capitalization, at just $1.7 million, is VUZZ AI. While I'm uncertain if it will follow the same trajectory, I believe it's worth noting. On February 8th, 2024, they announced that VuzzMind joined the Google Cloud Partner Advantage Program, which is quite impressive!
Long
by TopgOptions
STX / USDT FUTURES LONG ON SIGHTRight now i am in short position opened nearby last high, but i don't see strong reaction in this place. I will try to look for LONG positions and maybe some additional bags for my spot account. Actual downward movement leaves so much liquidity to grab - means that it don't have much power/momentum. We also need spring in this little reacumulation (if it's it) I don't know if the price will come there in recent hours, days or in weeks or months. I will try to seek long in golden hot zone Target - new high
Long
by HallFer
ETH - Still Bullish 📈Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 ETH has been overall bullish , trading within the ascending channel outlined in red. ETH is currently undergoing a correction phase but is expected to remain bullish as long as the $3500 support level and the lower red trendline hold. 🏹 For the next upward impulse to start , potentially leading to a movement towards $4000, a breakout above $3685 is required. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
Litecoin (LTC): Target 1 hit! ...what's next?Hi Traders! The Trend returned to bullish on the daily chart and our setup worked correctly reaching Target 1 around 102.00 area (see chart below). That said, if Litecoin manages to hold the supports shown on the chart, we still expect an interesting bullish continuation with our new Target 1 around the 130 area. With this in mind, we do not rule out some corrective structure in the near term, but if it happens it should be considered as a Buy Opportunity. As we can see on the daily chart, we are approaching the first major resistance around 108 area, if it wants to break it, it should do so within a couple of sessions. Litecoin Setup (Part. I) ====================== Trade with care Like | Share | Comment
BINANCE:LTCUSD.PLong
by TheAnonymousBanker
MPC - Wait For The Trigger 🏹Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📦 MPC has been overall bearish trading within the falling channel in red. 📈 However, it is currently approaching a strong round number $0.3. 🏹 For the bulls to take over and shift the momentum from bearish to bullish, a break above the last major high in red at $0.45 is needed. In such a scenario, a movement towards the $0.65 resistance would be expected. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
KUCOIN:MPCUSDT
by TheSignalyst
2