AVAX : Potential Reversal in MACRO TFA downtrend, or bearish trend is characterized by a few things including making lower lows and lower highs. This is evidently seen when pulling up the macro timeframe and applying trendlines towards major bounce zones or wicks.
Similarly, an uptrend is characterized by the price making higher lows, and higher highs. Currently, we are only seeing ONE of these conditions met - the higher lows. This does not mean the price cannot retrace towards the trendline. However, as soon as the trendline is lost, the higher lows is invalidated and the price remains BEARISH.
A fall UNDER the trendline would likely lead to a revisit of a wick at $17.
While you're here👀 Make sure you check out yesterday's post on 3 Alt that are bearish right now:
___________________________________
BINANCE:AVAXUSDT.P
Altcoins
TOTAL3 on the verge of a massive breakoutThe altcoin sentiment is in the gutter, FUD everywhere, everybody is calling for "recession", including the stock market. Perfect conditions to turn the ship around and blast off to new highs and leave sideliners angry.
Historically, squeezing Boilinger bands point to a big volatility move after consolidation. Let's see how this play out.
CAT: Ready for the Next Big Leap?Many assets are currently in a phase of either correcting by double digits or potentially starting a strong uptrend. By 'most,' I mean the early movers in this cycle, including meme coins, some AIs, and the Solana ecosystem. Real-world assets (RWAs) are also part of this group. For now, I'm avoiding other areas.
Setup: NYSE:CAT
Targeting longs on a retest of 0.000025, with a potential entry as low as 0.000023.
I’ll manually exit if the price falls below this range.
I need this to be executed by Wednesday!
SHORT Setups : 3 ALTS in 2 MINUTESRecently I did a post on Altcoins that are good BUYS. Find it here 👇
Let's look at three alts that are BEARISH in lower timeframes, and very likely heading lower for the SHORT term:
1) JTO BINANCE:JTOUSDT
2) MKR BINANCE:MKRUSDT
3) TON BINANCE:TONUSDT
_____________________________________
Dogs: Reaction to invisible fencesIf you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
Dogs looks ok as long as it stays above 0.0009941. It's followed my paths down a played off of my levels down, which remain reactive. The price action is still printing lower highs and lower lows. A 3-wave move down to the last pivot suggests the correction may not be over yet. For the bullish case to strengthen, the move up needs to stay intact, no break of the low, and break 0.0011390 to challenge the current Elliott wave outlook.
Trade Safe,
Trade Clarity.
FTM: FML! If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
Bounce out of Golden Corner Pocket, reaction off PF median line. 👌
May have one more W4 in there.
Looking for an impulse down and internal retrace, as
always.
Trade Safe,
Trade Clarity.
ALTCOINS: Time to convert some Bitcoin to alts.The Altcoin market has been noticeably underperforming against Bitcoin since almost the start of the Bull Cycle. Even though both are currently testing the support level of the 1W MA50, Alts (left chart) are closer to the 0.618 Fibonacci level of the prior ATH, while Bitcoin is closer to the 0.236. The lagging tone was set since January 2023 when Bitcoin crossed over its 1W MA50 and formed a Channel Up while Alts stayed under the 1W MA50 and formed a Channel Down. Later the Bitcoin ETF euphoria and then its acceptance, naturally helped Bitcoin more (capital inflows) than Alts.
This is not the first Cycle where we see alts lagging, the underperformance was evident in both 2019 and 2020, with Bitcoin trading considerably higher than the 0.5 Fibonacci level, while Alts traded under.
This underperformance though is an opportunity in disguise and it may be time for investors to convert some of the Bitcoin gains to alts for greater profit % in 2025.
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
ALTSEASON 2025?In my opinion, 2025 will be a tough year for crypto and this remaining quarter for 2024 is only a bull relief rally.
Cut, euphoria, crash. It will not be different this time. I’d love to see data that supports it being different but no one provides any.
But, I'm still insanely bullish if it bottoms out, but 2025 will be a tough year for crypto and stock market.
SUI - Bullish times ahead?
SUI has been seeing very bullish action as of late. On the very long timeframe SUI has formed a possible double bottom with an almost full retrace of the last wave up. Creating a possible Low, Higher High and Higher Low structure on a macro-level (see pic1).
When we zoom into the current view, we are holding the range after forming the first higher high on the daily timeframe in weeks. Right now, we are consolidating and probably creating a W-structure with a first broad target between 1.20-1.40$ after price successfully breaks the 1.12$ price (see pic2).
Finally, SUI’s price is also moving within a downward parallel channel after a major pump, meaning this can be considered a Bull Flag (Bullish) (see pic3).
P.S. This is my first post to try things out, sorry if it is still a bit rough around the edges.
Zeddit
Aave into ApexAave has moved into newly appeared weekly 200ma
This beautiful structure we refer to as an apex setup. While first test may need a bit of support.. the technical setup looks great for aave to eventually breakout above this apex and run very nicely.
Aave fundamentally is obviously performing incredibly well relative to the space. As eth experience influx of money from larger entities like blackrock.. theres a good chance Aaves presence and protocol will become much more well known and respected.
Perhaps mitigate with other chain competitors
If other chains like solana surge again which seems quite likely.. then lending platforms there can offer quite a bit of competition esp for retail users. May be best to look for good entries into competitors there like Kamino.
NEIROETH: Completed impulse? Levels to watch!If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
There is a potential for an completed impulse up here, not the most ideal look and the 3 wave move up could mean there is a flat in the works...
But I think the main level we have to watch is the 0.1168 area.
A sweep of the level would be ok, but a break of the level could lead to it turning into resistance and a revisit of some lower prices.
Trade Safe,
Trade Clarity.
TON of bricks or light as a feather?If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
Killed the impulse up. Doesn't feel natural to label the larger X as such due to the separation of correctives, but it's this or C of running flat.
Either way, the paths lead the same direction.
Impulse up with a corrective to LOI...of interest.
Trade Safe,
Trade Clarity.
Link: Signs of life?If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
Bullish Take:
Breakout Possibility: The price has been testing the downtrend line (blue line), and a potential breakout above could lead to a bullish rally.
Key Levels to Watch: The next target after a breakout is the $10.812 level.
Recovery Formation: The price is hovering near a critical support level at $9.910, and if it breaks and holds, this could trigger a bullish reversal.
Bearish Take:
Downtrend Still Intact: The price remains under the blue trendline, suggesting the downtrend is not yet broken.
Support at Risk: If $9.910 fails to hold, the next support lies around $9.329, which could lead to further downside.
Lower High Formation: The chart shows a series of lower highs, reinforcing a bearish sentiment unless a strong breakout occurs.
In summary:
Bullish outlook if price breaks the trendline and moves above $10.812.
Bearish outlook if price breaks down below $9.910, potentially leading to $9.329.
Trade Safe,
Trade Clarity.
ETH/USDT: High-Volume Breakout, Downside Risk -19.34%?Hey Realistic Traders, let's dive into the technical analysis of BINANCE:ETHUSDT
In the H4 timeframe, the price stubbornly stays below the EMA100, reinforcing the strong bearish trend we've been watching . A rising wedge pattern had formed, but recently, the price took a dive, breaking out of that pattern with high trading volume—never a good sign for the bulls. Adding fuel to the fire, the MACD has made a bearish crossover, with the MACD line slipping below the signal line, signaling that the downward momentum is picking up steam.
With all these technical indicators lining up, we’re eyeing a potential continuation of this downward journey toward Target Area 1 at 2,252.90 or even Target Area 2 at 2,073.77. However, bulls might find some hope if the price manages to break above the resistance level at 2,855.96.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Ethereum.
Please support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
CHEAP ShitcoinzIf you believe in the Crypto 4 year cycle
Here is a thread of cheap altcoins in USD terms, that have good technical patterns or sitting on previous support zones from which prices have rallied before.
There are no guarantees only probabilities.
Your capital is at HUGE risk gambling on S coins.
With that being said.
Let's kick it off with LOOM network.
DOG: Leash Yanked. If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
Bull Thesis:
Five-Wave Structure: A completed five-wave structure labeled as wave (5) suggests a possible end to the correction, followed by a potential bullish impulse.
ABC Correction Completion: The corrective ABC pattern seems to be nearing its end, indicating the possibility of a trend reversal upwards.
Support at 0.0010845: The chart shows significant support around 0.0010845, which could serve as a base for a potential rally if prices hold above this level.
Bear Thesis:
Price Target of 0.0009633: The chart indicates a downside target of 0.0009633, showing potential bearish pressure if the current support levels are broken.
Rejection at Resistance: If the price fails to break above the highlighted resistance areas, a deeper correction could occur, pushing the price down towards the lower support levels.
Strong Resistance Zone: The area around 0.0011732 acts as a strong resistance, and repeated failure to break through could lead to a bearish reversal.
In summary:
Bullish if prices can break through key resistance at 0.0011732 and 0.0010845 and convert them to support
Bearish if prices fail at resistance 0.0010845 and breaks lower towards the 0.0009633 target.
Trade Safe,
Trade Clarity.
XRP - SHORT to 45cBINANCE:XRPUSDT
It seems like we in the drop I predicted a few days ago (find here👇):
I really just watched the rotation between Bitcoin, Alts and Bitcoin dominance which gave me a good idea of where we are in the cycle compared to the previous years. See also👇:
Naturally, alts will fall harder than BTC and there will be a few shorting opportunities across the market right now.
____________________________
We are in the most critical period for altcoins.There is a gap and pins that can be filled in the middle term.
There is also a nice falling wedge can be break up any time. Above 0.5 is bullish for me.
I showed other important levels on the chart.
A possible new downtrend wave would be a good buying opportunity for me.
* What i share here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any digital asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose all your money.
Dogs: Need to hop this fence. If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
Bull Scenario:
Break Above Resistance: If the price successfully breaks and holds above the 0.0010845 level, it could trigger bullish momentum.
Target Levels: Bulls would aim for higher levels, with potential targets around 0.0012 and 0.00125.
Higher Highs and Higher Lows indicates the trend at the smaller degree is up at the moment.
Bear Scenario:
Rejection from Resistance: If the price continues to reject from the 0.0010845 resistance, it could fall toward key support levels.
Downside Targets: Bears would aim for the first support at 0.0009999 and then the next level at 0.0009741.
Trend Continuation: Breaking the Lower Lows could lead to continuation of the down trend at the higher degree.
Trade safe,
trade clarity!
Phemex Analysis 19: PT _ Poised for the Next Move?After reaching an all-time high (ATH) of $1.377 on July 15th, PHEMEX:PTUSDT.P price declined along with the broader crypto market to a low of $0.942. However, PT rebounded by 32% during August, reaching $1.249. Currently, the price is trading between $1.10 and $1.20.
This post will analyze Phemex Token (PT) key support and resistance levels and discuss potential price scenarios for the coming days.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Intermediate Support: $1.088. This support has been tested previously and has proven its resilience in holding the price.
Strong Support: $1.0 and $0.92. The $1.0 level is a psychological support that many long-term PT believers may choose to enter at.
Resistance: $1.25 and $1.366. If the price breaks through $1.366, it could subsequently challenge the ATH of $1.377.
Possible Scenarios
Continued Consolidation: Given the current consolidation phase in the overall market, this is the most likely scenario. The price might create a higher low above $1.088 before entering a consolidation period. This could present a good opportunity to buy PT at a discounted price.
Continued Decline: If the price drops below $1.088 with high volume, there is a possibility of further price declines. Investors could consider buying the dip at the $1.0 and $0.92 support levels.
Breakout Rise: Alternatively, if the price breaks through $1.25 with high volume, there is a possibility of a price rise leading to a new ATH. Consider entering the market before it's too late.
By understanding these key levels and potential scenarios, we can make more informed decisions about our PT investments.
Note: Elevate Your Trading Game with Phemex. Experience unparalleled flexibility with features like Multiple Watchlists, Basket orders, and Real-time Adjustments to Strategy orders. Our USDT-based Scaled ordersgive you precise control over your risk, while Iceberg orders provide stealthy execution. Join Phemex today and unlock your trading potential.
Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
DOGS: Chance for redemption?If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
Bullish Scenario:
What Needs to Happen: The price needs to break above the descending trendline and sustain above the 0.0010845 USDT support level.
Target: Move towards the next resistance levels, potentially higher than 0.0011753 USDT.
Bearish Scenario:
What Needs to Happen: The price fails to break above the descending trendline and continues to respect it as resistance.
Confirmation: A drop below the 0.0010845 USDT support level will confirm further bearish momentum.
Target: Move lower, potentially testing previous lows, and further downtrend continuation.
This analysis hinges on the price action around the descending trendline and key support/resistance levels. Monitoring these areas will provide clues on the next significant move for DOGS/USDT.
Trade Safe,
Trade Clarity.