ALTS
ALTSEASON 2025Dear investors and traders, members of the Horban Brothers community!
Today I come to you not with a warning of an impending crisis, but with the certainty that we are on the threshold of significant changes. The cryptocurrency market, which has been wavering in uncertainty for a long time, is finally entering a phase of active growth. Yes, you heard me right - from this moment, from today, we see all the signs that cryptocurrency is ready to take off.
All the data points to this: institutional investment in cryptocurrency is up 400% year-on-year, regulation is becoming clearer, leading to increased confidence among the big players, and most importantly, technological innovation in blockchain continues to convince even the most skeptical.
Make no mistake, the volatility of the cryptocurrency market will not go away, but those who are willing to accept these risks can expect rewards that are rarely seen in traditional markets. I'm not suggesting you rush out to buy everything, but carefully analyze those assets that show fundamental strength and technological resilience.
Now is not the time to be passive. Check your portfolios, reassess your strategies. If you're still standing on the sidelines of cryptocurrencies, now is the time to get in on the action. But remember, this is not for the faint of heart - this is a game for those who are willing to study, analyze and act.
This market, like any other, requires discipline and knowledge. Don't get caught up in emotions, don't fall for the hype, evaluate each project critically. But if you see that the project has potential, do not be afraid to invest.
Remember that cryptocurrencies are not just tokens; they are the foundation of the future financial world. And that world is already beginning to take shape.
Regards CFO Horban Brothers,
Alex Kostenich
Bulls or Bears? Who’s going to be Top Doge!The market remains in a critical state, with key levels in play that will determine the next major move. The price has failed to break the .41 level, confirming the development of a 3-wave move up. This signals that the market may be entering a period of consolidation or correction, rather than continuing its upward trajectory.
Currently, the price has broken below key support and is facing rejection at this level. This rejection suggests that bearish momentum could be taking hold, with the potential for an impulse move down in the near future.
For bulls, the immediate focus is on reclaiming the .35 level. If the price fails to regain this level, the next potential target could be .28. Traders should remain vigilant as the market tests these crucial levels.
Key Levels to Watch
.35 Level
For bullish traders, reclaiming .35 is critical. If the price breaks back above this level, it would signal potential strength and might open the door for further gains. A failure to reclaim this level, however, could signal the start of a deeper pullback.
.28 Level
Should the bulls fail to reclaim .35, the .28 level becomes the next major point of interest with a potential of going deeper. This level could act as strong support, but a break below it may lead to further downside potential.
Potential for Impulse Down
At the moment, the market shows signs of a possible impulse move down, especially if the bulls cannot regain control above .35. If the price continues to reject at key levels, the market may quickly shift toward bearish pressure, with .28 coming into play as the next potential target.
BTC - Dominance Rise puts ALT Season on IceThe CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D index has developed an Inverse Head & Shoulder pattern on the 2H timeframe, which points to further trouble ahead until we get some certainty and clarity with how the new administration decides to move.
The recent shakedown on ALTs has been driven by higher than expected inflation and repricing of FED reserve rate cut expectations, with no rate cut expected in the next FOMC. Wednesday is a key macro day as the CPI, a key gauge of inflation is due to be released. This data ultimately shapes policy and a hot print could spell more trouble for risk assets.
Having said that, we're only a week a way from the most crypto friendly White House administration taking office.
Will the crypto friendly policies turn the page to enable Risk Assets to surge higher despite inflation woes?
We are due a 2017 style ALT season.One for the memory banks!
Now
do we actually get what we are "owed" ?? :)
We don't know
and nothing is owed to us of couurse
But
Selling too soon could be quite disastrous... as many peopleI speak to say to me 5X - 10X I am out..
Which may be prudent
If you are out. Stay out and don't FOMO back in again near the tops
So it's best to scale out in my opinion
last cycle was a quite difficult Alt season ... some bag holders actually did not get to experience any euphoria
Hence why I am leaning to an exsplosive alt season
BTC at $70k doesn't feel euphoric
so what will it take?
Bearish trend on BTCHello everyone, BINANCE:BTCUSD
In my opinion, Bitcoin has entered a bearish trend. Considering its numerous touches on the support level I’ve drawn in the $91,000 to $92,000 range, there’s a strong possibility that this level may break, leading to lower price levels. Additionally, Bitcoin dominance has increased, indicating capital outflows from altcoins, which could suggest that the market is moving toward lower price levels.
It might be a good idea to close our long positions and gradually start opening short positions, especially in altcoins, after getting confirmation from the market.
What is your idea?
Virtuals Protocol in Freefall Mode, Bounce Next?Virtuals Protocol www.tradingview.com has been in freefall since it cracked $5 a week ago. The good news? Currently Virtual is at $2.70, slowing down for a pit stop at a key support - the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. A strong bounce here (we would want to climb back up past $3) could mean the bulls have taken back control and we might be in for an exciting reversal! If that doesn't happen and the baby bears come correct $2.15 is the next key support level to keep an eye on. Do you think we'll get a second wave? Let us know if you are buying the dip!
.............
New video dropping today!
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ARWEAVE ($AR) Chart Analysis : A massive Weekly Bull FlagA massive Weekly Bull Flag, characterized by a strong initial rally followed by a consolidation phase within parallel downward-sloping trendlines.
Bull Flag Breakdown
1. Flagpole:
The sharp rally preceding the consolidation forms the "flagpole." This demonstrates strong bullish momentum.
2. Consolidation (Flag):
The price appears to be consolidating within the parallel downward-sloping channel. This often signals a pause in the market rather than a reversal.
Consolidation within a previous support zone (as highlighted in the green area) strengthens the bullish case.
3. Volume:
Ideally, in a bull flag, volume decreases during the consolidation and increases upon breakout. It’s worth monitoring this behavior.
4. Indicators:
The MACD looks to be flattening, suggesting that bearish momentum may be waning. A bullish crossover could confirm upward momentum.
The Stochastic RSI shows oversold conditions, which might indicate a potential reversal to the upside if confirmed by price action.
Targets Based on the Flag Structure
1. Breakout Target:
If this bull flag confirms with a breakout, the target is usually measured by adding the length of the flagpole to the breakout point.
The potential target could aim for the $40-$50 range, depending on where the breakout occurs.
2. Invalidation Level:
A breakdown below the support zone (~$13-$15) would invalidate the bull flag structure and could signal further downside.
Key Levels to Watch
1. Resistance:
The upper trendline of the channel is the key resistance. A breakout above it with strong volume would confirm the bull flag.
2. Support:
The lower trendline and the support zone (~$13-$15) need to hold for the bull flag structure to remain intact.
Potential Triggers
1. Macro Events:
Bull flags often play out during periods of improving market sentiment or bullish catalysts, watch for President Trumps inauguration on Jan 20, 2025.
2. Bitcoin’s Movement:
Arweave (AR) and altcoins tend to follow Bitcoin's price action. A Bitcoin rally could push AR out of consolidation.
CGPT - Just Got Listed On Binance MartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and sharing my thoughts on CGPT here.
CGPT is looking beautiful , very strong chart for more upside
Very similar to SUI which mooned from similar chart structure
Do not miss out on CGPT as this is a great opportunity
Watch video for more details
ChainGPT (CGPT) is an AI-powered platform launched in April 2023 that offers a suite of blockchain solutions, including chatbots, NFT generators, and smart contract tools.
Its native cryptocurrency, CGPT, is used to access various AI tools and products within the ecosystem. As of January 11, 2025, CGPT is trading at approximately $0.2129, with a market capitalization around $169 million and a circulating supply of about 795 million tokens.
Recently, CGPT has gained attention due to its listing on major exchanges like Binance, reflecting its growing prominence in the AI and blockchain sectors.
ALTSEASON to $3 Trillion with BITCOIN at $200k??This is not the first time we make the comparison of the current Altcoin (Crypto Total Market Cap excluding top 10) Cycle with the 2014 - 2017 one. But it is the first time that we make this comparison, including Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) Cycles.
As you can see, there are striking similarities between the Alt Cycles:
a) Both bottom formations were in the form of a Cup pattern
b) A Pivot trend-line that turned from Resistance to Support
c) The MA50 (blue trend-line) was supporting once broken until the next Bear Cycle
d) A Bull Flag after the MA50 break-out found support on the MA50 and 0.382 Fib and started the Altseason (green Channel Up)
e) That Bull Flag started with a MACD Bearish Cross and ended on a Bullish Cross
It appears that we are now on the stage where Alts have the 1st consolidation of the Parabolic Rally. What's remarkable and the key difference between the two Cycles, is that this time BTC has diverged massively and made a new All Time High (ATH), while alts haven't.
Of course this is directly attributed to the Bitcoin ETF, which attracted enormous amounts of capital that pumped the asset beyond the technical restrictions of this model. This may be an indication however, that part of this capital may be diverted to Alts, once partial BTC profit taking takes place, as it has happened during every Altseason.
In any event, if the Cycle continues to replicate the 2017 rally, it should reach the -1.5 Fibonacci extension, which would translate to at least a $3 Trillion Altcoin Market Cap, while Bitcoin would be close to the $200k level! That may seem unrealistic in terms of market cap, but so did the levels during the 2020/21 and 2017 rallies. It all depends on whether Bitcoin can continues to attract outside capital with this pace, which will in turn grow interest on the rest of the crypto market and also on the rate of adoption (companies, consumer use of crypto).
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FIL/USDT Local trend. Wedge. Price squeeze. 30 06 2024Logarithm. Time frame 1 day.
🟣 Local trend . Part of the secondary trend, horizontal channel zone with a step of 372% external channel /180% internal channel, in which a descending wedge is formed. Now there is a local price squeeze, at the support zone of the inner channel.
Also superimposed is a slightly modified Gann fan, to understand the dynamic support/resistance zones during trend development and the time of reaching the price range. Percentages to key support/resistance levels are shown in cases of exit/non-exit from this zone are shown.
Line chart (without market noise).
🔵 Main trend . Formation of a large pump bowl, price in the second phase, that is in a horizontal channel (accumulation zone).
FIL/USD Major trend. From a high of $237 -99% Published on 01/22/2023 (1.5 years ago).
All current. A set range has formed.
Follow the link and click play on the chart.
Any buying expensive / cheap in this range is acceptable from the position of not only the main, but also the secondary trend of price movement development. But, still set adequate targets from the position of the trend and time of development of the cycle. US.
Main trend (without market noise) of this American cryptocurrency for 06 2024
SOL | Waiting on ETH for NEW ATHSolana has barely made a new ATH - basically topping out at nearly the exact same place as the previous ATH made in Nov 2021.
As Ii said in yesterdays update on ETH, there is no way BTC makes such a dramatic new ATH and ETH (and Solana) stay behind.
We can expect SOL and ETH to increase when BTC continues to trade range above 95k. This could be another multi-month playout, although ETH usually peaks rapidly at the end of the cycle, which is noteworthy from yesterday's analysis.
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BINANCE:SOLUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD
SOL - SECRET PATTERN That Nobody Is Talking AboutMartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and sharing my thoughts on SOL here.
SOL is looking beautiful , very strong chart but is into double top.
Very similar to LTC when it crashed in the last cycle
Do not miss this important video on SOL as this is a great opportunity
The bull market is very short and we need to make the most of it
Watch video for more details
XRP/USD Long-TERM Bullish TA 2025-2035It is time to update our long-term technical analysis for XRP. The mathematical principles remain unchanged, but the time intervals have been adjusted. We present you with an updated chart for the next 10 years.
Regarding prices, we anticipate a price range of $28 to $60 during the current cycle, which is expected to conclude within the next 12 months.
Subsequently, we anticipate a correction between $3 and $5, followed by another substantial increase to $25.
After that, we enter a prolonged period of low prices for #Bitcoin, which we expect to bottom out in the range of $1 to $3 between 2027 and 2030.
These prices will serve as potential purchase opportunities prior to the commencement of the next altcoin cycle, which is projected to begin in 2032 and continue until 2035. During this cycle, Ripple is expected to attain the coveted price of $600.
Historically, XRP was launched in 2012 by Ripple Labs as part of a vision to revolutionize global payments. Its innovative consensus ledger and transaction protocol offered faster and more cost-effective cross-border transactions, setting it apart from its peers.
Over the years, XRP has forged strategic alliances with financial institutions worldwide, enhancing its credibility and adoption. Despite facing regulatory challenges, particularly with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission in 2020, XRP has demonstrated resilience, maintaining its relevance within the crypto ecosystem.
It is imperative to recognize that this journey will be protracted and challenging, but it is worthwhile to pursue it at a steady pace.
Best regards, Earliers!
Check my other Charts to be informed!
BTC dominance reveals how to navigate crypto cyclesHello everyone,
this one is for patient (long-term) traders/investors, not for those chasing daily gains or short term swings.
We are looking at BTC dominance chart. BTC dominance is currently at 60%, which is pretty high.
Everyone who follows cryptos for some time should know how crypto cycles work. BTC is king and always leads the way. BTC if the first one to start the bull run, altcoins follow. When BTC is near its peak, money transfers into ALTs --> start of ALTSEASON.
The first peak of altcoin season was January 2018. BTC dominance was at 35%. After Jan 2018 we went into a bear market. BTC dropped in value, ALTCOINS dropped even more. Consequently, BTC dominance went up.
BTC dominance reached top at 74% in Jan 2021. That is when ALTSEASON started.
THIS DOES NOT MEAN THAT BTC REACHED TOP in Jan 2021.
BTC rose from 40k to 70k between Jan 2021 and Nov 2021, but ALTs in this period made bigger gains.
BTC dominance in this period plummeted from 74% to 40%, creating a base for future.
From Jan 2023 BTC has been rising and increasing its dominance, currently sitting at 60%. I am positive it will not break high of Jan 2018. Next strong resistance is in the area of 64-67%, I expect dominance to reverse in this area.
BTC has already made a new ATH, but total crypto market space is not at an ATH yet. So ALTs are lagging in comparison to previous cycle.
I believe we are at the start of ALT season and I will be looking into ALTs for my last gains this cycle. Check my other posts to see which ALTS I am considering. I will also be posting some other ALTs in coming days/weeks, so subscribe to stay notified.
Good luck to everyone.
PARABOLIC STRUCTURE - ETH vs UNI MartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and sharing my thoughts on UNI here.
UNI is looking like its building a parabolic structure, very strong chart for more upside
Very similar to ETH which is up nearly 1000% increase from these levels
Do not miss out on UNI as this is a great opportunity
Watch video for more details
Alt Season: The Calm Before the Storm?Hi fellow traders, Crypto21Official here! 🚀
After a strong impulse in the crypto market, we’ve had a teaser of what could be an alt season. The crypto market cap chart (excluding the top 10) showed a beautiful surge to $450 billion, a key level that marked the recent high.
Since then, we’ve retraced around 27%, and the downtrend appears to be losing momentum. Right now, we’re dipping into a key buy zone, where I’ve marked a potential double-bottom pattern. If confirmed, this could signal a bullish reversal and set the stage for further growth.
On the Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) chart, we still see room for dominance to rise slightly before a healthy decline could pave the way for a full-blown alt season. Historically, such patterns have preceded explosive altcoin growth.
Why Could January Be a Game-Changer?
Tax-Loss Harvesting Rebound: As the year ends, investors often sell assets to optimize for tax benefits. By January, these funds tend to flow back into the market, sparking renewed interest.
U.S. Election Cycle Momentum: Political developments surrounding the U.S. election cycle could act as a macro catalyst, influencing risk-on markets like crypto.
Historical Patterns: As we’ve seen before:
Bitcoin typically leads the market with a strong rally.
Altcoins dip or consolidate.
Then, altcoins blast off, following Bitcoin’s momentum. 🚀
My Take
I remain bullish, expecting January to be a pivotal month for Bitcoin, which could open the floodgates for altcoins to follow. History doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes. Let’s see if the market plays along. 🌕
What are your thoughts? Are we on the brink of something big? Let me know below! 👇