BTC Dominance – History Repeating? Altseason 2025 Loading? Hey Traders!
If you’re finding value in this analysis, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for high-accuracy trade setups that actually deliver!
This chart is SCREAMING for attention 👀
We’re at a critical inflection point on the weekly BTC Dominance chart — and if history has taught us anything, it’s that altseasons are born when dominance collapses from resistance.
🧠 Key Observations:
🔺 Macro Resistance Trendline:
Rejected in 2017 → Altseason 🔥
Rejected in 2021 → Altseason 🔥
Now (2025?) — BTC.D is again touching this same red trendline...
🟢 Support Trendline:
BTC.D formed a clean long-term support from which previous dominance drops have bounced — currently lining up around 42–45%.
📉 Previous drops after rejection:
2017: –50.79%
2021: –45.10%
2025 projection? –36.91% (which would bring us to the same support zone again)
🟡 What It Means:
If BTC.D gets rejected from this resistance again, it could mark the start of the long-awaited Altseason 2025. A breakdown from this wedge would likely result in capital rotation from BTC into altcoins — just like in previous cycles.
🔍 What to Watch:
A confirmed rejection from this red resistance line
Drop below the yellow wedge support
BTC sideways / ETHBTC strength = green light for ALTS
💥 This could be the altcoin opportunity of the next couple of years.
Conclusion:
All eyes on BTC Dominance — because when it falls, altcoins usually FLY.
📊 Stay updated, stay ready.
Altseason
PENGU = ETF Catalyst + Whale Accumulation = +30% More Upside?Today, on the weekend, I want to analyze the Pudgy Penguins project with the PENGU ( BINANCE:PENGUUSDT ) token from a fundamental and technical perspective .
Please stay with me.
Why did PENGU surge nearly 40% in just 48 hours? Here’s what’s driving it:
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Fundamental Analysis:
1. ETF Momentum via Cboe:
On June 26, Cboe officially filed a 19b-4 form for a new ETF that includes Pudgy Penguins and PENGU as major components.
Although not yet approved, this single move has fueled strong institutional anticipation, similar to what happened with Bitcoin ETFs in early 2023.
The market often prices in future narratives — and this ETF storyline has been a powerful one.
2.Whale Accumulation Signals
According to Nansen data, large holders have increased their balances by 11.37%, and notable wallets linked to public figures by 7% over the last 30 days.
Such coordinated accumulation often precedes major price moves, and that pattern seems to be repeating here.
3.NFT Ecosystem Boost
The Pudgy Penguins NFT collection saw a 400%+ surge in sales volume.
This sharp increase in NFT activity has reignited attention toward the broader Pudgy ecosystem, which naturally benefits its native token, PENGU.
Risk Note:
The ETF is not yet approved — we're still in the hype phase.
Volatility remains high, and strong pullbacks are common in low-liquidity tokens like PENGU.
If whale activity continues and institutional narratives grow, the upside potential remains — but so does the downside risk.
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PENGU token started to rise from the Support zone($0.01-$0.0076) . One of the signs of a continuation of the uptrend was the break of the upper line of the descending channel .
Educational Note: One of the price targets after a channel break can be as wide as the width of the broken channel.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that the PENGU token has completed the Double Three Correction(WXY) , and we can wait for the next impulsive waves .
I expect the PENGU token to attack the Resistance zone($0.0128-$0.0118) again, and if this zone is broken , it can increase to at least $0.0137(+30%) .
What is your idea about the Pudgy Penguins project?
Note: If the PENGU token drops below $0.01, we can expect a break of the Support zone($0.01-$0.0076).
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Pudgy Penguins Analyze (PENGUUSDT), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
MACRO 3-Drive Pattern on Bitcoin | Major Reversal Ahead?Is Bitcoin completing a massive 3-drive structure on the macro chart?
Three clear pushes higher, each with fading momentum, are flashing a major reversal signal.
This could be the final phase before a long-term shift — are you ready for what’s next?
📚 3-Drive Structure Trading Strategy — Full Breakdown
The 3-Drive Pattern is a powerful reversal-based price structure used to spot major turning points in trending markets. It works by identifying three consecutive drives (or pushes) in one direction, typically ending with exhaustion and a high-probability reversal.
Each drive forms a new high or low, but with weakening momentum — especially visible using RSI, MACD, or volume divergence.
🔍 What is the 3-Drive Pattern?
3 consecutive higher highs (or lower lows)
Each drive followed by a shallow pullback
Momentum weakens on each push (divergence forms)
Fibonacci symmetry often present:
- Drive extensions: 127.2%–161.8%
- Pullbacks: usually 61.8%
📉 Bearish 3-Drive (Reversal from Uptrend):
Drive 1: Price makes a higher high with strong momentum
Drive 2: Another higher high, weaker strength
Drive 3: Final high with clear divergence
Reversal: Entry when price breaks below structure
🎯Entry Criteria:
Wait for all 3 drives to form
Confirm with divergence on Drive 3
Use a confirmation candle or structure break
Stop-loss: just beyond the 3rd drive’s high
🎯 Targets:
Conservative: Return to Drive 2 base
Aggressive: Full trend reversal (50%–100% Fib retracement)
🧠 Pro Tips:
Best on 4H, 1D, 3D or 1w timeframes
Confirm with RSI, MACD, or volume divergence
Combine with key S/R or supply-demand zones
💡 Summary:
The 3-Drive pattern is one of the most reliable reversal structures when combined with divergence and Fibonacci symmetry. It's especially powerful at market exhaustion zones and works best with confirmation-based entries.
Solana coin Long setupIn this video I go through the current price action and talk about how the 126$ target level was recently reached for a clean long entry and on the daily timeframe we printed a higher low .
I expand on my thoughts for a continuation to the upside and to retest some higher levels of resistance 180$s and time will tell if we print a higher high at the 180$s before retesting the $200 zone .
Bitcoin Dominance Is at the Edge and Fundamentals Are PushingCRYPTOCAP:BTC.D Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) is pressing right into a massive multi-year trendline that has capped it since 2018. We have seen higher lows building since 2022, tightening this squeeze even more. Now it is decision time.
The fundamentals might just tip the scales.
David Sacks says July could be a huge month for crypto. Bakkt is lining up a 1 billion dollar shelf offering that could directly buy BTC. Meanwhile US regulators are pushing hard to finalize crypto market structure rules by September. On top of that, ETFs and big institutional players keep funneling money primarily into Bitcoin, not altcoins.
All this is fueling the case for a breakout in BTC dominance. If it happens, Bitcoin will likely outperform the rest of the market for a while, pulling more of the crypto share back into its hands.
If the chart rejects, we might see altcoins catch some wind and take the spotlight for a bit. But right now with this macro pressure building, the odds seem to favor Bitcoin leading the next leg.
Keep an eye on this chart. A clean breakout above the trendline could set the stage for a very Bitcoin-heavy next few months.
Altseason, just a thought ! Basically, right now we’re chilling in a major confluence zone — a whole bunch of important levels are stacked right here.
We’ve got:
The 0.78 Fib retracement holding it down
Volume profile support giving us a comfy cushion
That good old accumulation support from 2019–2021 saying “welcome back”
…just to name a few.
IMO, we’re in that sneaky “deviation/manipulation” phase before the real markup begins — a.k.a. altseason is warming up in the locker room.
If we actually hit the bull flag target… well, let’s just say the numbers start looking spicy. But hey, let’s not get ahead of ourselves — things can (and probably will) move faster than you think.
Alright, that’s the vibe. Let’s see how it plays out. Good night! 😴🚀
HolderStat┆ETHUSD trying to break through the resistanceBINANCE:ETHUSDT has confirmed a triangle breakout above the 2,312.67 level and is forming a bullish staircase structure. The chart shows a history of breakout rallies from similar formations, and this current setup targets 2,700+. Maintaining higher lows is essential for follow-through.
HolderStat┆XRPUSD consolidation of the assetBINANCE:XRPUSDT has bounced from the 2.02 level and is approaching the upper edge of a large consolidation structure. Multiple prior consolidation zones have led to breakouts, and the current bounce hints at continuation toward 2.30. A clean close above resistance would confirm bullish intent.
BSW Bull Trap:Binance Delisting + Weak Fundamentals = -50% AheadToday, I want to analyze the Biswap project ( BINANCE:BSWUSDT ) with the BSW token for you and examine the opportunity for a short position on the BSW token from a Fundamental and Technical perspective.
First, let's examine the conditions of the Biswap project from a Fundamental perspective.
Biswap is a decentralized exchange (DEX) built on the BNB Chain, offering features like token swaps, farming, staking, and an NFT marketplace. It became popular due to its very low trading fees (0.1%) and an aggressive referral & reward system.
However, the project is facing key fundamental issues:
Decline in trading volume and user activity
Drop in TVL rankings among DEX platforms
Inflationary tokenomics with constant reward emissions, increasing sell pressure
Most critically, Binance announced the delisting of BSW (effective July 4, 2025), shaking investor confidence severely .
In summary, while Biswap started strong, its fundamentals have weakened significantly, especially after the Binance delisting, which casts doubt over its future viability.
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In terms of Technical Analysis , the BSW token managed to reach the Heavy Resistance zone($0.060-$0.0315) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) with the previous hours' pump( more than +100% ), but then started to decline again.
In terms of Elliott wave theory , I consider the recent hours pump as a wave C of the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
I expect that given the delisting(soon) of the BSW token and the technical analysis of the BSW token, it will fall by at least -50% . In fact, this pump could act as a Bull Trap .
Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $0.0422 = We can expect more pumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Biswap Analyze (BSWUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
I'm having illusionsBTC.D is back at 65% (White Line) — same level we saw 5 years ago (5 years is a natural market cycle). In Dec 2020, it spiked to 73% (Green Line) before dipping hard... and that drop kicked off the last real Altseason.
BTC.D dipped to 40% by May 2021 (Orange Line)
ETH pumped +470% 🚀 in that window. A few months later in Nov '21, ETH hit its ATH of $4,878 (Pink Line)
Fast forward to now:
BTC.D is climbing into a historic 70% (Yellow Line) resistance zone (pre-alt era levels). I’ve set an alert for 69%, which is just below that pre-altseason rejection zone (69 is also a natural number, if you know what I mean)… so it’s a critical level to watch.
Despite Ethereum being criticized by some as a “relic,” its market capitalization is still vastly higher than the next-largest alt, XRP, by over $166.9 billion. That’s a huge footprint in the crypto space; it's still very much a market heavyweight IMO. ETH/USD likely to decline near term. Watch for a potential rebound by end of Q3.. #NFA
Not saying history will repeat... But if it rhymes again — I might turn off the charts for a night and go dancing!
Cardano Correction or Opportunity? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Cardano chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that after reaching 73 cents and amid rising war tensions, the price started a correction along with the broader crypto market. This correction has now brought ADA to attractive zones for potential laddered buying and long-term investment. Cardano is currently trading around 54 cents, and if the conflict continues, it may drop further, possibly below 45 cents.
Key demand zones are at $0.36, $0.45, and $0.52.
Short-term targets are $0.61 and $0.76, while long-term bullish targets are $0.93, $1.05, and $1.33.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
HolderStat┆SOLUSD above the supportBINANCE:SOLUSDT reclaimed the $140 level after a wedge breakout and is now forming a stair-step recovery structure. The price is targeting the mid $150s with higher lows supporting the bullish thesis. Previous consolidations and wedge formations suggest buyers are regaining control. Continued strength above $140 reinforces the move.
HolderStat┆BNBUSD retest of the channelBINANCE:BNBUSDT has completed a bullish reversal from the 633.4 level and is now testing upper trend resistance. A breakout from this wedge structure may lead to a rapid move toward the 680–700 region. Past triangle patterns have preceded strong rallies, and momentum indicators favor bulls. Traders will look for a breakout above 650 to confirm.
HolderStat┆ADAUSD retest of the supportBINANCE:ADAUSDT has bounced from the 0.55 support level, completing a falling wedge structure. The price now attempts to recover, with a visible bullish wave formation targeting the 0.62 resistance trendline. Multiple past consolidations have preceded breakouts, and if this pattern holds, a strong upside push is possible. Watch for confirmation of continued higher lows.
AEVO Main Trend DEX L2 Listing 212 X !) Decrease -98% 06 25Logarithm. Term 3 days.
Asset super hype in the past, listing with overly positive and aggressive marketing at 212X!
1️⃣Q1 2023 Private Seed $0.0185 / $1.85 million
2️⃣10 05 2023 Private Series A $0.13 / $6.01 million
3️⃣Q4 2023 Private Series A+ $0.25 / $8.75 million
4️⃣13 03 2024 Listing on the Binance exchange on the day of the secondary market trend reversal (I missed it, and it happens).
26 06 2025 now -98% decline after listing, which is 4.2X from the last prices of scammers, who gradually distributed, maintaining liquidity and the news background all this time their huge profit. Most of the coins are redistributed. You can think about collecting in this sideways, on a breakout of a local wedge (local trend), or on a breakout of a descending channel (reversal of the main trend).
Those who are far from trading can buy in equal parts (3 parts). From the position of the main trend and potential, the prices are now acceptable (you can buy the first part), so to speak (former "hype investors" are in wild horror).
Exit zones will be zones of previous consolidation, that is, those who previously bought on the hype will not be able to make a profit. In fact, it is always like this ... There are no “passengers”, then they will pump up well. As a rule, +800-1000% such assets of the previous excitement and such liquidity.
Local reversal zone.
BTC Dominance Nearing Major Reversal Zone?Dominance has been grinding higher for months, but it's now walking into heavy resistance, and the structure looks like a rising wedge (not a great sign for bulls).
This setup often ends with a breakdown, which could be the spark altcoins are waiting for.
It’s not confirmed yet, but the chart’s starting to hint at a shift.
Watch closely, big moves usually follow tight squeezes.
TOTAL2, TOTAL MARKET CUP without BTCTOTAL2, TOTAL MARKET CUP without BTC
Reasonable targets are within the yellow zone — these are high-probability levels based on current price action, volume, and market structure. They offer the best risk/reward and are ideal for primary take-profit planning.
Targets outside the yellow zone are still possible but come with higher risk. They typically require extended time, increased volatility, or external catalysts. These should be treated as secondary or speculative targets, best approached with reduced size or active trade management.
Summary:
Yellow zone = high probability, balanced risk/reward.
Beyond yellow = lower probability, higher risk, use with caution.
USDT - Hope AheadMorning my friends,
Figured I'd share a little bit of this USDT chart.
Deff showing a downtrend, even though our beloved coins are still suffering. Thats mainly because of BTC.D.
Once USDT moves lower, signaling a breakdown we should get a big relief, that if maybe paired with BTC.D moving lower as it is also near very strong resistance a bull market for alts will begin.
Keep an eye on this descending triangle breakdown.
Trade thirsty, my friends!