$SUI: $2.95 must hold!CRYPTOCAP:SUI is following the broader altcoin market and entering a correction phase. As shown in the chart, CRYPTOCAP:SUI has already broken through two key support levels and is now hovering just above a critical support at $2.95.
If this level fails to hold, the next major support lies within my green box at $2.20 — which could present a strong buying opportunity.
However, proper risk management is essential — make sure to place your stop losses accordingly.
DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
#SUI #Altcoins #CryptoCorrection #SupportLevels #BuyTheDip #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
DYOR
Altseason
Altseason Index Proxy (TOTAL3 / BTC.D) Weekly TF
Symbol & Timeframe:
* **Symbol**: CRYPTOCAP\:TOTAL3 / CRYPTOCAP\:BTC.D
* **Timeframe**: Weekly (1W),
* **Purpose**: A clean, data-driven proxy for detecting altseason momentum
Technical Structure:
✅ Key Support Zones
* **13.47B (61.8% Fib)**: Critical golden zone; current price consolidation area
* **12.45B (50.0% Fib)**: Lower bound of golden zone
* **11.00B**: Historical support zone
* **8.15B (0.0%)**: Absolute bottom of retracement range
🔹 Hidden Bullish Divergence
* **MACD Histogram & Signal Lines** show hidden bullish divergence
* Price action forming **higher lows** while MACD makes **lower lows**
* Indicates trend continuation potential
🔢 Fibonacci Targets
TP1: 16.8B (100.0%)
TP2: 22.2B (161.8%)
TP3: 30.7B (261.8%)
🔄 Expected Path
* Potential short-term correction toward 12.4B followed by a breakout
* Bullish continuation path sketched with progressive Fib targets
📈 Macro & Fundamental Confluence
📉 Liquidity and Monetary Easing
* Global monetary policy is easing (e.g., Fed pivot expected mid-2025)
* Increased liquidity historically precedes strong altcoin rallies
BTC Dominance Decline
* BTC.D rolling down from long-term highs
* Signals beginning of capital rotation into altcoins
🚀 Emerging Narratives
* Rise of L2s (e.g., Base, zkSync), AI tokens, real-world asset protocols
* Fresh narratives tend to amplify altseason rotations
💼 Institutional Tailwinds
* Spot ETH ETF approvals pave way for alt ETF flows
* Regulatory clarity expected to reduce uncertainty in late 2025
Related Reference Charts:
🌐 TOTAL3 (Altcoin Market Cap Excluding BTC & ETH)
📊 BTC Dominance (BTC.D)
These charts offer standalone confirmation of:
Altcoin strength forming on TOTAL3
BTC dominance facing structural resistance
Composite Altseason Thesis:
1. Liquidity injections + halving = BTC rally
2. BTC.D breakdown + TOTAL3 support = altcoin strength
3. Technical confirmations: hidden divergence, fib confluence
4. Narrative and regulatory catalysts = widespread rotation
**Conclusion**:
We are entering a prime zone for altseason acceleration. Price reclaim above 13.47B and continued BTC.D drop will validate bullish thesis. Monitor closely for breakouts past TP1 and momentum into TP2/TP3.
📌 Current status:
- Price rebounding in the 12.45–13.47B Fibonacci zone (50–61.8%)
- Hidden bullish divergence on MACD + ascending price structure
- BTC.D has rolled off 65% resistance — suggesting capital rotation
📊 Altseason Thesis:
1. Post-halving BTC rally → profit dispersion into altcoins
2. Macro conditions (Fed pivot, record liquidity) enabling risk-on environment
3. Technical confirmation via index momentum and fib structure
4. Narrative tailwinds: Layer-2 adoption, AI-crypto, altcoin ETF catalysts
📈 Targets:
- TP1 @ 16.8B (100% Fib)
- TP2 @ 22.2B (161.8% Fib)
- TP3 @ 30.7B (261.8% Fib)
🟢 Key support: 12.45–13.47B zone; breakout + BTC.D collapse = altseason trigger.
TOTAL3 – Altcoin Market Cap (Excluding BTC & ETH) Weekly TF 2025Summary
TOTAL3 is currently in a macro bullish cycle and undergoing a mid-cycle correction. The chart presents a Fibonacci-based structural roadmap with 3 Take Profit zones, identifying both correction supports and breakout targets. There is a high probability of short-term downside before a significant altcoin rally.
🌈 Chart Context
Fibonacci Retracement (Primary Leg):
100% = 285.3B
0% = 1.16T
Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension
A = 285.3B
B = 775B
C = 464.11B
Price as of analysis: ~845.62B
Key Technical Observations
Support Levels:
61.8% Fib Retracement = 618.5B
Strong Confluence Zone: Fib Retracement 48% + Fib Extension 50–61.8% (highlighted on chart)
38.2% Fib Retracement = 824.38B
Resistance Levels:
951.73B: 23.6% Retracement + 100% Extension – strong resistance zone before $1T psychological level
Take Profit Zones:
1 TP (1.1T) = 127% Fib Extension (Upper leg of parallel extension)
2 TP (1.28T) = 161.8% Fib Extension
3 TP (1.7T) = -61.8% Fib Retracement and 261.8% Extension confluence zone
Pattern & Projection:
The structure suggests a possible correction phase to lower support before continuation.
Bullish continuation expected after corrective phase, shown by the projected dotted path.
Structure: Bullish structure with healthy correction in mid-phase of the macro uptrend.
Fundamental Context
Altcoin Lag: TOTAL3 remains ~40% below its ATH, while BTC and ETH have already hit new highs.
Liquidity Shift Expected: Altcoin capital rotation tends to follow after BTC dominance stabilizes or drops.
Macro Backdrop:
Fed expected to cut rates later in 2025
Stablecoin legislation and ETF narratives building altcoin trust
Institutional inflows are slowly diversifying from BTC to ETH and large-cap alts
These suggest a possible shakeout or deeper correction before altseason breakout gains strength.
Bias & Strategy Implication:
Bias: Bullish Mid-Term – Correction Before Continuation
Expected Scenario: Pullback to strong support zones (824B–733B–618B), followed by a sustained breakout toward 1.1T–1.7T.
Invalidation: Weekly close below 618B may delay bullish structure and extend correction.
Strategy:
Long entries at support zones with tight invalidation
Scaling out near TP1, TP2, TP3 based on market momentum
Philosophical View
Patience is the virtue of the second leg in a macro trend. The correction serves to eject the impatient, reprice risk, and strengthen conviction. When TOTAL3 rises from deep support, it will be not just price but confidence that rallies.
Related Reference Charts
TOTAL Market Cap Structural Breakout:
TOTAL2 Altcoin Chart with Fibonacci Path:
✅ Tags
#TOTAL3 #AltcoinMarket #Fibonacci #Altseason #CryptoCorrection #CryptoMacro #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishOutlook #MidCycleCorrection #Crypto2025
⚠️ Notes & Disclaimers
This analysis is educational and not financial advice. Markets are inherently risky. Do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
TRUMP to $100? Code 144 and Trump's Birthday I want to share my unique hypothesis, which no one has discussed before. I noticed an interesting pattern: on the 144th day after listing, a pump began for meme tokens like SHIB, PEPE, DOGE, FLOKI, and BABYDOGE.
I call this "Code 144" — and I believe the same scenario could repeat with the TRUMP token, especially considering June 14th is Donald Trump's birthday. This is the perfect media opportunity to trigger a FOMO wave, especially if it coincides with this critical 144th day.
📌 What’s important:
The same pump pattern on these coins' charts (possibly controlled by the same market maker);
TRUMP is currently in an accumulation phase;
The US election hype could amplify the effect;
I expect a pump near June 14th, as part of the "Code 144."
The target for TRUMP, based on this scenario, is $100 as a short-term spike due to the hype.
⛔ This is not financial advice, but my personal idea based on observing past cycles of meme tokens. I’m sharing it to document the hypothesis and check it against time.
BabyDoge to 1800% Growth? Breakout Confirmed — A Strong Pump AheI expect BabyDoge to grow by 1800%. We've broken out of a triangle pattern with volume, and while it might seem like a distribution phase, the volume is still there, indicating continuation. BabyDoge hasn't been pumped as much as Dogecoin, and it's still ranked #184 on CoinMarketCap at the time of writing — so there’s huge potential for growth.
The price broke a key level and did a successful retest. If the price continues to rise on volume after this retest, it will confirm my scenario for strong upside movement.
If BabyDoge continues to build volume and rise, it could repeat Dogecoin’s explosive growth — but this time, with BabyDoge as the underdog. Keep an eye on the volume and price action over the next few days. If volume picks up, we could see the big move coming!
TOTAL2 – Altcoin Market Cap (Weekly TF) 2025
**Summary:**
The TOTAL2 chart (crypto market cap excluding BTC) is showing a structurally bullish formation after a deep retracement and a higher low confirmation. This setup suggests a potential multi-phase rally toward 2.98T and beyond, with defined support zones and Fibonacci targets aligned with liquidity cycles. This analysis visualizes the expected roadmap based on trend-based Fibonacci extensions, retracement levels, and psychological market phases. Notably, the outlook includes the possibility of an initial correction to retest strong support zones before the market begins its ascent.
**Chart Context:**
TOTAL2 represents the aggregated market capitalization of all crypto assets excluding Bitcoin. Historically, it reflects capital rotation into altcoins, especially following BTC dominance peaks. The current chart shows strong reaccumulation above the 1T support zone, with Fibonacci confluences hinting at a sustained recovery pattern. Dotted arrows illustrate a wave-like projection of accumulation, rally, retracement, and expansion. The possibility of a near-term correction to lower support zones is also embedded in the path structure.
**Key Technical Observations: and Levels**
TP1 = 1.78T
TP2 = 2.05T
TP3 = 2.4T
TP4 = 2.85T
* **Secondary Fib Retracement :** 0% = 1.23T, 100% = 425.89B
* Key zones: 23.6% = 1.04T, 38.2% = \~840.42B, 61.8% = \~569.41B
Possible Support Levels: 1.04T, 930B, 840B, 766B, 735B,
* **Trend-Based Fib (A-B-C):** A = \~420B, B = \~1.23T, C = \~735B
* This projection aligns with TP1 at 1.78T
* **Support Area:** Around 1T psychological zone (930B)
* **Strong Support Zone:** 735 Bto775B
* **First Target Zone:** Between 1.73T and 1.89T (early resistance + Fib cluster)
**Indicators:**
* Weekly structure forming higher lows
* Long-term Fib retracements respected
* Trend-Based Extension projecting 1.618 move
* No divergence, confirming strength
**Fundamental Context:**
* Liquidity conditions are improving globally with rate cuts expected into late 2025.
* ETH and ecosystem tokens are likely to lead altcoin recovery.
* Regulatory clarity and ETF flows add legitimacy to broader crypto allocations.
* Historical alt-seasons emerge from BTC profit rotation—TOTAL2 leads that shift.
* However, several macro risks may trigger a correction before rallying:
* The Crypto Fear & Greed Index is currently high, suggesting overbought conditions.
* Macroeconomic uncertainties (e.g., inflation, rate hike fears) can suppress short-term risk appetite.
* Regulatory tightening across major jurisdictions introduces hesitation in capital deployment.
* Technical signs of a five-wave drop in BTC hint at a larger ABC correction scenario.
* DAT (Digital Asset Treasury) exposure among public firms may lead to forced liquidations during downturns.
**Philosophical or Narrative View:**
This is not just a market cycle—it's a reflection of decentralized innovation reclaiming narrative dominance. After fear-induced lows, TOTAL2's rise echoes the resilience of builders, protocols, and investor conviction. Each Fibonacci level acts like a checkpoint in the unfolding story of crypto's evolution beyond Bitcoin.
**Related Reference Charts:**
*
**Bias & Strategy Implication:**
* **Bias:** Bullish with short-term corrective risk
* **Accumulation Zone:** 1.0T–1.23T
* **Initial Risk:** Price may revisit the **Support Area (1T)** or even the **Strong Support Zone (775B–725B)** before a sustained move higher.
* **Partial TP:** 1.78T–2.05T
* **Extended TP:** 2.4T–2.98T
* Caution near TP4–Bonus zones as distribution risk increases
* Invalidated if closes below 725B (structure break)
**Notes & Disclaimers:**
This is a structural macro outlook and not financial advice. Markets are dynamic and subject to rapid shifts in sentiment, liquidity, and regulation. Always use risk management.
HMSTR Main Trend -80% Descending Channel 08 06 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days.
The main trend is a descending channel.
Secondary is an ascending channel.
Local trend is descending and a rollback from the key resistance.
While the price is in a descending channel, it is rational to work and focus on dynamic trend supports/resistances, using this volatility.
Locally, on a breakthrough of the designated trend line. To the resistance of the channel itself (the main trend) from it (the local line of the descending trend) a significant %. Then on the chart you will see a double bottom, or a "dragon" pattern, depending on what time and in what price zone (collecting long stops or without this manipulative action) they will make a reversal of the local trend.
Once again, I will say what was said earlier in the previous updates of this cryptocurrency and similar altcoins. Reductions from listing by -80%. For assets of such liquidity, this is quite small (reversal of the main trend). As a rule, the decline in the main trend occurs by 94-98%, with very rare exceptions. Therefore, remember this, and observe money management. But, if the altcoin market as a whole is reversed after the bitcoin season and consolidation, then they will pump, like everyone else.
If you are not a trader at all, but want to "own" this cryptocurrency in your portfolio, for reasons that are clear to you, then it is rational to collect from key levels - support zones (shown in the idea itself, move the chart), from a smaller amount to a larger one, and the entire amount allocated for such assets is allocated in advance, and not after the fact. You can take a little now, or rather place an order for a breakthrough of the local trend line (optional).
There are a huge number of subscribers on Twitter — 12.9 million people! When the time comes, and it will be rational from the market position, then this “army” will be sent to buy through positive posts. However, everything is as always... Perhaps that is why it is worthwhile to collect such assets in good zones without fanaticism, at least to take a closer look, before the alt season, which everyone has already “buried” (everything is as always).
NOT / USD. Local trend. Reversal zones 08 06 2025Local work ("market noise") is not a breakout of the inverted head and shoulders resistance zone (yellow reversal level). A rollback back to the horizontal channel formation zone with a 100% step. Everything is as before, nothing new can happen, for clarity, I showed the % to the key local support/resistance levels.
NOT Main trend. Channel. 16 03 2025
BTC.D (Dominance at Critical Fibonacci Confluence) 2025 Weekly
**Summary:**
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is testing a major Fibonacci confluence near the 66% level. This zone historically acts as a major pivot and may signal either a continued dominance rally or a potential reversal setting the stage for altseason. We use three layered Fibonacci retracements to outline dominant trend zones, key resistances, and projected targets.
**Chart Context:**
This chart uses **three distinct Fibonacci retracements** to map the historical and projected behavior of BTC dominance:
1. **Primary Fib** (100% to 0%): Captures the macro move from BTC.D \~100% down to its 0% level at \~0%, which aligns with the first altseason (2018–2019).
2. **Secondary Fib** (100% to 38.88%): Maps the first bearish wave to identify potential recovery levels. BTC.D retraced up to the 61.8% (\~73.68%) but failed to break further.
3. **Third or the Current Fib** (73.68% to 38.88%): Maps the latest bearish fall in BTC.D. As of now, BTC.D is hovering at the 78.6% retracement level of this move, indicating heavy resistance.
**Key Technical Observations:**
* **1st TP (Resistance):** 66% — Strong Fibonacci confluence zone:
* Fib2 48.6% ≈ Fib3 78.6%
* Major reversal zone historically
* **2nd TP (Support):** 52.25% — Multi-Fib confluence:
* Fib1 48.6%, Fib2 61.8%, Fib3 38.2%
* **3rd TP (Ultimate Support):** 38.88% — Historical BTC.D bottom, aligned with the first altseason.
* Intermediate Fibonacci confluences between 48%–60% serve as layered support during decline phases.
**Indicators:**
* No external indicators used; pure multi-frame Fibonacci confluence.
* Price action structure and historical patterns highlight potential market rotation zones.
**Fundamental Context:**
The current phase of the market reflects increasing speculative activity in altcoins while Bitcoin consolidates. Historically, high BTC.D correlates with Bitcoin-led rallies, while a sharp drop often triggers altseason.
* Growing inflows into ETH, SOL, and possible now XRP, and mid-cap alts suggest capital rotation.
* If BTC.D faces rejection from 66%, the market could enter a new altseason phase.
* Macro tailwinds (e.g., easing monetary policy, risk-on sentiment) support altcoin performance in the medium term.
**Philosophical or Narrative View:**
BTC.D acts as a barometer of market risk preference. As confidence expands beyond Bitcoin, money flows into altcoins—like tributaries branching off the main river. The rejection from major confluences signals this psychological shift, marking phases of creative decentralization.
**Related Reference Charts:**
* TOTAL3 Fibonacci Setup (Altcoin market excluding BTC & ETH):
* TOTAL2 Correction Probabilities:
**Bias & Strategy Implication:**
* **Primary Bias:** Bearish rejection from 66% followed by correction to 52% and potentially 38.88%.
* **Alternative Scenario:** Brief breach above 66% before reversal.
* Traders may consider rotating into altcoin exposure if BTC.D confirms reversal at the confluence zone.
**Time Horizon:**
* Mid to Long Term (1–6 months outlook)
* Weekly timeframe tracking
**Notes & Disclaimers:**
* This analysis is for educational purposes. Market conditions may evolve rapidly.
* Use proper risk management when acting on dominance signals.
ATOM | Sleeping GIANT Altcoin Gem 1️⃣ATOM is probably one of my favorite altcoins at the moment.
If you look at ATOM from a macro timeframe such as the weekly, it seems like there is barely any hope and that it's just been one big liquidity run.
And although ATOM has retraced nearly 92% since it's ATH, we see a much brighter picture when we look at the daily, or 3D timeframe.
______________________
BINANCE:ATOMUSDT
ETH Technical Structure: Bullish Bias Unless This Level BreaksEthereum is at an interesting spot.
After forming a clear bullish structure with Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL), ETH entered an accumulation zone right below the key resistance zone.
Currently, price is retesting the 50 EMA + 100 EMA confluence zone — a critical area of demand. This level has previously acted as a strong support, and the Stoch RSI is bouncing from oversold territory, signalling possible bullish momentum ahead.
If ETH holds this accumulation zone and the EMA support, we could see another push toward the key resistance zone or even a breakout. However, if this zone fails, a deeper pullback toward lower support levels is likely.
For now, watch how price reacts here — this is a decision point.
If you liked it, do comment and follow us for regular market updates.
THANK YOU
3️⃣ Altseason and the US "Crypto-Reserve"3️⃣ Altseason and the US "Crypto-Reserve"
❗️ Disclaimer: This idea is only a part of an article with a forecast for Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market for 2025-2028. To fully and completely understand what is being discussed here, please refer to the root idea via the link:
1️⃣ Main Idea: Analysis of US Treasury Documents
TradingView recently added an interesting new ticker: $CRYPTOCAP:OTHERSBTC. It represents the ratio of the total market capitalization of the top-125 cryptocurrencies, excluding the top-10 by capitalization (OTHERS), to the market capitalization of Bitcoin (BTC).
What does it measure?
OTHERS (Total capitalization of other altcoins): This is the aggregated market capitalization of cryptocurrencies that are not in the top-10 by capitalization. In other words, it's a metric that allows tracking the dynamics of "small" and "medium" altcoins, excluding the influence of the largest players (such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other large altcoins in the top-10).
BTC (Bitcoin Market Capitalization): This is a standard metric showing the total value of all circulating Bitcoins.
Thus, OTHERSBTC shows how "small" and "medium" altcoins generally relate to Bitcoin in terms of market capitalization. Why is this needed? This ticker is an important indicator for assessing the "altcoin season" and the overall sentiment in the cryptocurrency market:
⬆️ Growth in OTHERSBTC: Means that the market capitalization of "other" altcoins is growing faster than Bitcoin's market capitalization (or falling slower). This often indicates the beginning or continuation of an "altcoin season," when investors start shifting funds from Bitcoin to riskier but potentially more profitable altcoins. This can be a sign that the market is becoming more risk-on.
⬇️ Decline in OTHERSBTC: Indicates that Bitcoin is growing faster (or falling slower) than "other" altcoins. This may suggest that investors prefer safer assets, or that Bitcoin's dominance is strengthening. This often happens during market corrections or when investors seek refuge in Bitcoin.
📈 Analysis of the main chart: OTHERSBTC
The fact that the OTHERSBTC index has been in a downtrend since the beginning of 2022, I think, is not difficult to understand:
A decline in OTHERSBTC directly means that the "altcoin season" has not fully arrived or has been absent since the beginning of 2022.
For a full-fledged "altseason," OTHERSBTC should show sustained growth, meaning that "small" and "medium" altcoins are outperforming Bitcoin in terms of capitalization growth. This is not happening yet.
Current market state: The decline in OTHERSBTC since 2022 confirms that the market has been in a bear phase, and after that – in a recovery phase where Bitcoin leads, and altcoins (especially those not in the top-10) are recovering slower or not at all.
Thus, the decline in OTHERSBTC since the beginning of 2022 is a direct reflection of the bear market, decreased risk appetite, and increased Bitcoin dominance during a sideways period for the rest of the crypto market. For a potential "altseason," we will need to observe a change in this trend, when CRYPTOCAP:OTHERSBTC begins to show sustained growth.
✴️ The Concept of a US "Crypto-Reserve": Not Exclusion, but Absorption
In the face of an impending economic storm and the inevitable "cleansing" of the crypto market, it becomes clear that the US government does not intend to completely destroy digital assets. Instead, a multi-step strategy is being developed for their integration and subordination under its control. This involves not just a set of rules, but the formation of a full-fledged "National Crypto-Reserve."
This concept is not new. The history of finance shows that "private currencies" that do not meet reliability requirements always lead to instability and ultimately are either absorbed or replaced by regulated government equivalents. (As TBAC notes, "history shows that 'private money' that does not meet the requirements of NQA leads to financial instability and, as such, is highly undesirable" – DA&TM, p. 3). When Bitcoin collapses under the pressure of a global economic crisis and massive liquidations in 2025, and "high-beta" altcoins bleed out, the US government and its affiliated institutions will begin to buy them up at a discount. The goal is not to destroy digital assets, but to accumulate them in this "National Crypto-Reserve" .
And here lies another, deeper meaning: this process is not just about buying assets; it's about testing and mastering new technologies on "live hamsters," meaning the current participants of the crypto market. This entire "Wild West" of decentralized finance, DeFi, NFTs, and rapidly changing altcoins serves as a giant laboratory. It is here, under real market conditions and the pressure of huge capital, that the system studies how blockchains, smart contracts, consensus mechanisms work, how quickly "digital" infections spread, and how effectively to manage liquidity in decentralized environments. All these experiments are, in essence, paid for by the crypto- hamsters -enthusiasts themselves, while the state and the global establishment receive invaluable data for building their future digital economy.
This "soup-kit" of digital assets for the US Crypto-Reserve will include, first and foremost, Bitcoin as the primary "digital gold" – an asset that TBAC itself already calls a "store of value." This will allow the government not only to control a significant portion of Bitcoin but also to use it in future "tokenized" financial products. In addition to BTC, the reserve will include carefully selected altcoins under US jurisdiction or of strategic importance for the new, controlled digital landscape. Theoretically, these could be assets that have clear issuers or are centralized enough for easy "absorption" and regulation. This list may include: ETH, XRP, SOL, HBAR, XCH, LINK, UNI, DOGE, OP, AVAX, MATIC, AAVE, LDO, BAT, NEAR, SUI, ALGO, ADA, and others that may be deemed "best of the best" in their understanding.
Thus, the "crypto-reserve" will become the foundation for a new digital financial system , where control and stability will first be ensured by the "nationalization" of key digital assets. This will allow the state not only to manage significant volumes of digital funds but also to use them for future "tokenized" financial products that will be issued on "private, permissioned blockchains managed by central banks" (see DA&TM pp. 7 and 14). This is how "wild" crypto will be tamed and integrated into the traditional system, losing its decentralized essence but gaining "legitimacy" under state supervision.
📈 Analysis of the chart: OTHERS
In this capitalization index, the value of the top-10 coins was removed from the top-125. It is also quite informative and convincing, showing that the capitalization is -50% below its 2021 highs.
I will also add a few altcoin charts here, namely: DOT, NEAR, ETH. For all charts, a further decline of another -70% from current levels is expected, approximately by early 2026.
📈 ETH Chart. Forecast 2025-2028
📈 NEAR Chart. Forecast 2025-2028
📈 DOT Chart. Forecast 2025-2028
📊 General chart description
Ethereum and NEAR behave very similarly, only CRYPTO:NEARUSD is more volatile and does not hold up as well as ETH. INDEX:ETHUSD today is -47% below its ATH, while NEAR is -88%. Nevertheless, they are at least roughly in the middle of the trading range since 2021, whereas CRYPTO:DOTUSD look much weaker than the top coins, and have been languishing at the bottom for about two years.
Moreover, after a thorough analysis of current prices and historical highs of 2021-2022 for coins from the top-100 that existed during that period, very few of them are trading today above or near their 2021-2022 peaks. List of coins from the top-100 that existed in 2021-2022 and whose current price has updated the ATH of that period:
XRP (Ripple): Its current price of $2.2 exceeds its 2021 ATH (~$1.96).
UNUS SED LEO (LEO): Price $8.65 exceeds its 2022 ATH (~$8.14 in Feb. 2022).
TRON (TRX): Price $0.266 exceeds its 2021 ATH (~$0.18).
BNB (Binance Coin): Price $660 is very close to its 2021 ATH (~$690).
SOL (Solana): Because the list is so small, I had to partially count Solana, as it indeed updated its 2021 high at $260, but today trades at -45% lower, around $160.
Thus, if we strictly adhere to the criterion of "trading above 2021-2022 highs," then out of the top-100 that existed during that period, it's only five, again, FIVE alts! The bottom line is that Bitcoin, two native exchange tokens (BNB, LEO), the "Ethereum killer" TRON, the Trojan horse XRP, and let's include SOL, have updated their 2021-2022 ATHs and are trading above or near their historical highs out of ALL TOP-100 coins. Only some alts from the top-100 are somewhere in the middle of the three-year trading range, and the rest have been looking for the bottom for two years.
While influencers have been talking about some altcoin season for the third year, ATOM today is -90% below its 2022 ATH! And NEAR is -88%, DOT is -92%, and CHIA is -99% from its ATH, and this list can go on and on. That's all you need to know about the so-called "alt season" and "bull market" in crypto over the last three years.
❗️ Disclaimer: This idea is only a part of an article with a forecast for Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market for 2025-2028. To learn more, refer to the root idea via the link:
1️⃣ Main Idea: Analysis of US Treasury Documents
$INJ to re-enter my buy zone? $11.12 must hold!Altcoins are experiencing another pullback.
CRYPTOCAP:INJ had a solid pump recently, but it’s now facing a significant drop.
This could be a good buying opportunity — assuming we’re not entering a bear market.
Key level: $11.12 must hold.
If it breaks, the next major support is around $9.10.
While the macro trend remains bullish, this retracement is concerning.
Set your stop losses accordingly.
DYOR.
#INJ #Altcoins #CryptoTrading #MarketUpdate #CryptoAlert #BuyTheDip #DYOR
HolderStat┆SOLUSD rebound from supportCRYPTOCAP:SOL revisits the 150 pivot inside a corrective wedge, yet April’s growing channel stays intact. Confluence of horizontal demand, wedge resistance and prior consolidation tips a comeback toward 175, then the 185 ceiling, as long as trendline cradle support endures.
HolderStat┆ETHUSD channel climbCRYPTOCAP:ETH cruises within a steep four-hour rising channel; the latest triangle breakout paused near 2.6 k. Converging trendlines, former consolidation support and higher-low structure all aim for the 2.9 k liquidity zone. Bulls steer while the channel median holds.
HolderStat┆BNBUSD coil at 655CRYPTOCAP:BNB compresses in a tight two-hour symmetrical triangle atop the 655 floor. Multiple consolidation shelves plus an intact rising trendline load energy for a burst toward the 700 – 730 supply band. Horizontal support dominance keeps the new-high narrative alive.