Get started

Altseason

TradeCityPro | BTC.D: Predicting Alt Seasons with Bitcoin Domina👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! In this analysis, I want to discuss an important crypto index that can significantly impact our trading, known as BTC.D. First, I'll provide some explanations for those unfamiliar with this index, and then we'll dive into the analysis. 🤔 What is Bitcoin Dominance? Bitcoin Dominance is a major indicator in the crypto market. It does not directly represent supply and demand and is not tradable; the chart you see is calculated by TradingView and does not exist physically. ⚡️ This index represents the strength of Bitcoin in the crypto market. It shows the amount of money in Bitcoin divided by the total money in the crypto market. 100x(Bitcoin MarketCap / Total MarketCap) = Bitcoin Dominance ✔️ For example, if the total money in crypto is 1 trillion dollars and 500 billion dollars of that is in Bitcoin, then Bitcoin's dominance would be 50%. ✔️ Or, if the total money in crypto is 1 trillion dollars and 300 billion dollars of that is in Bitcoin, then Bitcoin's dominance would be 30%. Now that we know what Bitcoin dominance is and how it is calculated, let's see how it can help us in trading and where it can be useful. 🤔 How is Bitcoin Dominance useful? When we trade, we often encounter situations where both Bitcoin and an altcoin (for example, Ethereum) are triggered simultaneously according to our strategy. There are several ways we can open positions in these situations. Some open positions simultaneously on both, increasing the risk of the trade and doubling the potential loss if the market moves against us. Others may randomly choose between the two positions, which could result in taking a position on Bitcoin and hitting a stop-loss while Ethereum moves towards your target. But how can we determine which one is likely to be more profitable? 🔹 As mentioned, Bitcoin dominance indicates the strength of Bitcoin relative to the rest of the market, and there are three scenarios to consider for its analysis. 📈 In the first scenario, if the market is bullish, Bitcoin dominance can be bullish, bearish, or range-bound. If Bitcoin dominance is bullish, it means more money is entering Bitcoin, so if both Bitcoin and Ethereum are triggered simultaneously, Bitcoin is likely to rise more than Ethereum. If Bitcoin dominance is bearish, less money is entering Bitcoin relative to altcoins, so altcoins like Ethereum are likely to rise more. If Bitcoin dominance is range-bound, we analyze the market candle by candle and pay more attention to short-term momentum, deciding based on the current trend of Bitcoin dominance. 📉 In the second scenario, if the market is bearish, Bitcoin dominance can again be bullish, bearish, or range-bound. ✔️ Before explaining this scenario, let me tell you how it's possible for the market to be bearish while Bitcoin dominance increases even though Bitcoin's price is also falling. As I mentioned, Bitcoin dominance is a ratio and is shown in percentage terms, so if the market is crashing, it might be that Bitcoin is selling less than altcoins. For example, Bitcoin might sell for 10 million dollars and altcoins for 20 million dollars. Even though Bitcoin is being sold and its price is falling, it is being sold less than altcoins, so its dominance increases. 🔹 Now, let's examine the second scenario. If Bitcoin dominance is bullish, less Bitcoin is being sold compared to altcoins, so altcoins like Ethereum will have a greater drop and are better for short positions. If Bitcoin dominance is bearish, Bitcoin is being sold more than altcoins, so a short position on Bitcoin would be more suitable. Lastly, if Bitcoin dominance is range-bound, like in the first scenario, we analyze candle by candle and focus on short-term momentum. 📊 In the third scenario, if the market is range-bound, I first suggest not opening any positions because many strategies do not work well in range-bound markets, and it's better to wait for a breakout of the range's floor or ceiling before opening a position. However, if you do decide to open a position in this phase, short positions fall under the second scenario, and long positions fall under the first. ⭐ So, with Bitcoin dominance, we can optimize the positions we open and choose the best option between Bitcoin and the selected altcoin. If we look at Bitcoin dominance in higher time frames and not just as a confirmation for futures positions in lower time frames, we can identify alt seasons. 🤔 How to identify alt seasons and alt parties with Bitcoin Dominance? So far, we've seen how dominance in different states and positions can help us in trading. Now, if we analyze Bitcoin dominance over a longer term, we can determine whether the money in the market will move more towards altcoins or Bitcoin in the coming weeks or months. ✔️ For example, if Bitcoin dominance is bullish in the weekly time frame and has a strong upward trend, naturally, more money will enter Bitcoin over time, making Bitcoin a better investment than altcoins. However, if Bitcoin dominance undergoes a correction for a few days or weeks during this bullish trend, altcoins can experience significant growth during that short time frame, which we call an alt party. 💥 On the other hand, if Bitcoin dominance completely changes trend and is bearish for several weeks or months, altcoins will naturally grow much more and will be a better investment option until Bitcoin dominance turns bullish again, which we call an alt season. 🔹 An important note about alt seasons is that Bitcoin's trend during this time must be bullish or range-bound; if Bitcoin is bearish, neither an alt season nor an alt party will occur. So, be sure to first understand the overall market trend using indicators like Total and Total2, and then look for an alt party. Now that we've examined how this index works, let's move on to a technical analysis of the chart. 📅 Monthly Time Frame As you can see in the monthly time frame, Bitcoin dominance had a very long range above the 95% area between 2015-2017, which was because the crypto market was still very small at that time, and many investors thought it was a scam. Thus, if anyone wanted to invest in crypto, they only bought Bitcoin. ✨ But in 2017, during Bitcoin's bull run when it reached the 20k ceiling, altcoins also entered the game, and Bitcoin dominance began to fall, spreading the crypto money among other coins. This downward movement continued down to the 40% area, and after it consolidated around this area, Bitcoin dominance started rising again, correcting the severe downturn it had experienced. 🔍 At the start of the next bull run in late 2020, Bitcoin dominance reached its peak and formed a range between 57.13 and 71.04 until the end of the bull run. After Bitcoin's bull run, in the second leg when the price moved towards the 69k area, Bitcoin dominance broke the 57.13 support and moved down to the 40% support, leading to a major alt season. 🎲 In early 2023, coinciding with the start of Bitcoin's bullish trend from the 16k bottom, Bitcoin dominance broke the 47.80 area, which was the ceiling of its box, and its upward movement restarted. Currently, Bitcoin dominance has also broken the 57.13 area and is near 64%. As long as Bitcoin dominance remains bullish, Bitcoin will still be a better buy, and altcoins will not be able to grow significantly. 💥 If Bitcoin dominance finally confirms a trend change and turns bearish, if Bitcoin's trend remains bullish, we will witness another major alt season like in 2021. For now, we confirm the change in trend in Bitcoin dominance on the monthly chart by breaking 57.13, and for a better and more accurate analysis, it's better to move on to the weekly time frame. 📅 Weekly Time Frame In the weekly time frame, after breaking the 47.46 area, an ascending trend has formed within an ascending channel, and the price has been in this channel for about two years. 🧩 The next resistance for Bitcoin dominance is 65.59, which it is moving towards, and the main ceiling for Bitcoin dominance is 71.04. If the upward trend continues, more money will enter Bitcoin, and altcoins will not be good investment options. 🔽 For a trend change and a bearish turn in Bitcoin dominance, breaking the 60.50 area is suitable, and if Bitcoin dominance records lower highs and lows below this area, we will confirm the trend change. Breaking the channel will also be one of the most important confirmations. 📅 Daily Time Frame In the daily time frame, we can analyze the price movement with more detail. 💫 Currently, the 62.23 area has been broken, and Bitcoin dominance is performing another bullish leg, having reached the channel ceiling. If the channel ceiling breaks, we can expect a move to the 65.59 area. 📉 For a trend change in this time frame, it's better to wait for the channel to break, but besides the channel, the 62.23 and 60.50 areas are also significant, and breaking them will confirm it. 📝 Final Thoughts This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by tradecitypro
3
Is there any chance for an ALTSEASON now??Just some chart fun. Do you think the pattern will be completed and the current altcoin Bull Cycle will follow the previous two? Do you think there will be a new Altseason amidst the tariff chaos? Whatever happens, the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) has to hold (close 1W candles above it) if that would be the case and it just got breached. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2
by TradingShot
4
ALTCOINS | Alt Season | BUY ZONES1️⃣ATOM / BINANCE:ATOMUSDT Ideal buy zone is the lower area, unless it CLOSES daily candles above the upper area - then the bottom is likely in and chance for lower entry is slim 2️⃣ Litecoin LTC / BYBIT:LTCUSDT This likely means a longer wait until ideal entry points, weighted heavier towards the lower zones: 3️⃣ Fantom FTM / BITSTAMP:FTMUSD Seeing a trendline here that should be noted for a likely buy: 4️⃣ DOGE / BINANCE:DOGEUSDT DOGE price has not yet begun to trade UNDER moving averages in the weekly either, meaning the bearish cycle is still in early days: DOGE ideal entry for me would be for accumulation, long-term:
Long
by CryptoCheck-
$ETH why is it cancelled? Things you porobably need to know.There are several reasons why CRYPTOCAP:ETH is being sidelined—some obvious, others you may not have considered. Here's my analysis. Let’s be clear: something is wrong in this cycle, and the ETF providers are at the heart of the problem. The famous line, *"there is no second best"*, rings true—because they ensure no one overshadows their main asset: $BTC. They’ve already tried to destroy crypto outright—really hard—and failed. The elites are 100% devoted to the USD; it’s their lifeblood. Crypto, especially stablecoins like USDT or USDC, became a competitor, and they did everything possible to wreck the market. When direct attacks didn’t work, they turned to a new strategy: controlling it from the inside. They embraced crypto, and now they’re making billions off crypto enthusiasts who mistakenly believe these players are here for their benefit. This won’t last forever, but that’s a topic for another day. Now, let’s address why Ethereum is underperforming—and why it’s likely to continue. ### 1. **Corruption in the Proof-of-Stake System** All PoS systems rely on staking: the more you stake, the more rewards you earn. Typical staking rewards in crypto average about 10% APR, significantly higher than traditional bank interest rates. But here’s the catch: these rewards are minted, creating inflation because more coins are constantly being dumped into the market. This results in a class of "retired" investors who stake massive amounts, live off their staking rewards, and sell them without ever touching their capital. This creates constant sell pressure on PoS coins. The Ethereum Foundation controls how much staking is rewarded. Because it’s run by the same people staking, their vested interest is to keep APRs high, even though this fuels inflation. Ironically, Ethereum’s inflation rivals the USD—a troubling reality for a crypto meant to outperform traditional finance. ### 2. **Ethereum’s Ripple Effect on the Market** Most altcoins rely on Solidity smart contracts, meaning Ethereum’s performance directly impacts the broader altcoin market. When Ethereum underperforms, it drags down Layer 2 solutions, DeFi projects, and the entire altcoin ecosystem. Knowing this, why did ETF providers rush to approve ETH ETFs? Simple: *“There is no second best.”* By taming Ethereum, ETF providers manipulate the market to keep Bitcoin afloat, cancel bear markets, and kill any chance of an altseason. On-chain data shows their strategy: when they buy Bitcoin, they sell Ethereum. This frustrates altcoin holders, pushing them to dump their bags and pivot toward—guess what—Bitcoin. ### 3. **The ETF Trojan Horse** Ethereum, with its corrupt foundation, is the perfect tool for entities like BlackRock to maintain Bitcoin dominance. By doing so, they effectively prevent bear markets and suppress altseasons. But this strategy has an endpoint. ETFs will milk the crypto space for as much profit as possible. Once they’ve extracted enough, they’ll dump their holdings, funneling all that capital back into USD. This has been their plan all along. When that happens, the crypto market—including Bitcoin—will crash. Ethereum’s role has essentially been to funnel cash into Bitcoin, making it easier for institutions to accumulate wealth before transferring it all back into USD. --- In short, Ethereum is being used as a tool in the ETF providers' larger scheme. It’s not about creating a thriving ecosystem but about maintaining dominance, controlling markets, and ultimately cashing out into the USD.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
by CryptoNikkoid
13
ALTCOINS | ALT Season | Buy Zones PART 2💥 SUI / BINANCE:SUIUSDT SUI ideal buying points, weighing heavier towards the lower zone: 💥 SHIBA / BINANCE:SHIBUSDT SHIB ideal buying zone is approaching, but ideally the lower zone is the better buy: 💥 DOT / BINANCE:DOTUSDT Dot worries me for the reason that it has retraced nearly all the way to 2021 prices. Therefore I'll keep trades small, with modest TP zones. BUY zone for a swing, not accumulation: 💥 PEPE / BINANCE:PEPEUSDT PEPE buy zone seems far away, but considering how hard alts can drop in only a few days, I'd be ready with the orders, hanging heavier towards the lower zone: 💥 BINANCE / BINANCE:BNBUSDT BINANCE shows promising swings. Ideal BUY zones include: For the next cycle, in other words long term target, I'd watch the 1.618 at least: This would make it an accumulation buy. ________________
Long
by CryptoCheck-
Chart Breakdown: Gold, Bitcoin, SPX ComparisonThis chart compares the price action of Gold (candles), Bitcoin (purple line), and the S&P 500 Index (red line) over a multi-year period. Several key phases and correlations are highlighted: 🟢 Key Observations: 1. Gold Bull Run (2019–2020): Gold experienced a strong upward trend starting in mid-2019. This bull run led to a peak in August 2020, right before the final phase of the Bitcoin bull market. 2. Bitcoin Bull Run (Highlighted in Blue): After Gold peaked, Bitcoin entered its final bull run phase, accelerating dramatically. The vertical yellow line (August 3, 2020) seems to mark the transition point where capital started rotating from Gold into Bitcoin. 3. Gold Correction + SPX Correction (Post 2020): As Bitcoin surged, Gold corrected downward, reflecting a rotation of capital or risk preference. At the same time, the S&P 500 also experienced a temporary correction, possibly reflecting macroeconomic uncertainty or shifting investor sentiment. 🟡 Current Market Structure (2024–2025): 4. Gold Potential Peak Again? A similar structure appears to be forming now: Gold is peaking again, just as Bitcoin and equities are at critical levels. The chart raises the question: "Is Gold topping again, just like it did in 2020?" 5. Possible Repeat Cycle: If history repeats, we could be seeing the early stages of a new Bitcoin bull phase, following Gold’s strength and peaking pattern. SPX appears to be climbing steadily, indicating a risk-on environment—similar to what happened during the last crypto surge. 🔁 Macro Interpretation: Gold → Bitcoin Rotation: Historically, a peak in gold has preceded a sharp upside move in Bitcoin. Risk Shift Timing: Both gold corrections and SPX slowdowns tend to coincide with the start of aggressive crypto bull phases. This could suggest that a new Bitcoin leg up is near, especially if gold starts to decline again from current highs. 📌 Conclusion: Your chart reflects a macro rotational pattern: Gold strength → Peak → Bitcoin acceleration → Gold/SPX correction. If this cycle plays out again, the current peak in gold could signal a new phase of momentum for Bitcoin, just as it did post-2020.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Yassine_Houd
FIFA WORLD CUP HISTORIC ROARING 20s QE Restart ScenarioBenjamin Cowen has been truly amazing with his analysis. As per monetary policy it's definitely too early to call the start of QE but we're on the right track. it almost feels like the true Altseason will start when the FIFA World Cup starts. Every single scenario matches that theory. If you also pay attention to Algorand for instance, it's mimicking the early days of XRP. XRP is also mimicking the early years of Apple. Can you imagine a scenario where XRP hits 120 dollars and Algorand 1200 dollars? I know I know the market caps etc. But so far it does feel like the markets are brewing for a truly historic roaring 20s scenario that could last for years. Big question is, who has the first mover's advantage now and needs to catch up in the mean time? I'm looking at tiny caps like Metastrike, and institutional coins like VeChain. China has already started QE so you may want to play around with VET while the entire market is boring. JasmyCoin I can't tell yet, it could be but it has that annoying monitoring tag and in my case I've already survived 7 delistings already (dock, ooki, troy, gifto, gemie, kingdomverse, dreamsquest), so not touching it for now. Looks very promising to be honest. Gotta have a long term vision here.
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.DLong
by axelrodd
BTC - Slight Distribution After Nearly 10xMorning my fellow traders, and happy new year! I hope you do not have a hangover right now. But if you do, get a tea going, it usually does the trick for me! I can't deny the possibilities for another rally to take out the highs, but I'm thinking what the market makers are planning is a simple inverted Adam & Eve pattern that will lead us to new opportunities within the next month or so. Keep in mind that for sometime now Alts have not been giving, and I believe that after this next Alt season (which I believe we will still get), they will keep giving less and less. I sold near $100k for probably a couple weeks now. Did not get a perfect $108k sale, which is fine. Now I'll focus on a reentry if this plays out. Trade thirsty, my friends!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by mr_willmedina
BTC Dominance – Are We Near the true Altseason?BTC Dominance – Are We Near the Altseason? BTC dominance has been rising recently, and many believe the real altseason will begin once BTC.D reaches 71%, just like in the previous cycle. However, it might happen sooner than expected. On the 1W timeframe, several signs are flashing: RSI is showing a bearish divergence that’s about to play out. Since January 2023, the MACD has been in overbought territory. Each time RSI peaked above 70%, we saw a rejection of 8–10%. It's currently at 68% and nearing that level again. On December 2nd, 2024, the structure was broken, but it has since re-entered its rising channel. 🔗 On the Daily chart: BTC.D is approaching its cycle peak around 65%, which should act as a resistance and potential reversal point. Since the structure was already broken once, another downside break is highly probable. 🔗 On the Monthly chart, it’s pretty clear we’re nearing the end of the BTC dominance cycle, and a rotation of capital is likely to follow soon. Now, there are 2 possible scenarios: Altseason starts at 65% in this cycle. Altseason starts again at 71%, mirroring the previous cycle. When you look at the Monthly chart, it’s easy to see that this cycle is different. With an overbought RSI, and a potential break of structure, a long-awaited MACD correction could be the trigger for the real altseason. 🚨 DYOR (Do Your Own Research) 🚨
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by CryptoNikkoid
12
BTCUSDT WEEKLY : BEARMarket Will be start Hi Guys , Good day, Be carefully, I think bull market is finish , I think the bull market may be over. Be very careful with your trades. Check the charts and see where we are at a sensitive point. SecondChanceCrypto ⏰ 6/april/26 ⛔️DYOR Always do your research. If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below and I will answer them. And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comments.
Short
by Secondchancecrypto
7
Breaking: $BERA coin Dips 14% Today The price of BIST:BERA coin saw a 14% nosedived today amidst general crypto and stock market bloodbath that saw over $2.85 trillion wiped out from the US stock market today. All this irregularities came as result of Donald Trump's Tax Tariff rates on Crypto currencies and stock shares. For BIST:BERA , the RSI already hints at a weaker trend channel but BIST:BERA is bouncing off of the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level that is acting as a support point for $BERA. However, should extreme selling pressure emerge, the 1-month low s will be force to act as support point for $BERA. About Berachain Berachain is an EVM-identical Layer 1 blockchain that introduces Proof of Liquidity (PoL), a novel consensus mechanism aligning network security with liquidity provision. The protocol operates on a unique two-token model: BERA (gas and staking token) and BGT (non-transferable governance and rewards token). Berachain Price Live Data The live Berachain price today is $5.93 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $175,431,304 USD. Berachain is down 16.38% in the last 24 hours, with a live market cap of $637,052,141 USD. It has a circulating supply of 107,480,000 BERA coins and the max. supply is not available.
Long
by DEXWireNews
6
HolderStat | BTC daily digestBitcoin price today ~ FWB:83K (-5% 24h). BTC futures open interest down ~7%, funding +0.006% 📉 Wider market 🌐: Altcoins fell too (ETH -6%, SOL -12%). Sentiment is split – some shout #BuyTheDip, others urge caution. 📰 CoinDesk: Tariff news spooked crypto markets, fueling BTC’s drop. Meanwhile, whales (big holders) bought this dip 🐳 – a bullish sign. 🔍 Analysis: Traders remain cautious, but whale dip-buying shows big players bullish. Expect crypto bulls 🐂 and bears 🐻 to battle it out for now. _____________________ 📊 Want more useful analytics? Like and subscribe to stay up to date with the most relevant trading ideas! Always DYOR! 🔬
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by HolderStat
1
Is BTC Dominance about to reverse and start an Altseason?Well its undoubtedly what the crypto investor wants and what the market would have technically given in February if it wasn't for the tariffs trade war. Bitcoin's Dominance (BTC.D) is trading within a Triangle and February's test of the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level was the technical level that should have given a rejection. That rejection technically starts the Altseason which was dominant via a Bearish Leg both in 2017 and 2021. So far though both February's and March's 1M candles closed below the 0.786 Fib and April has an opportunity to even test the monthly body candles Lower Highs, which is the top of the Triangle. This is the last level that a rejection can be technically given. Can this start an Altseason? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by TradingShot
6