$XRP Macro Tiangle Final Thrust ContinuationCRYPTOCAP:XRP completed a macro triangle pattern last year. Triangles proceed a terminal motif wave which already completed a wave 3.
Wave (3) of (5) is underway with a terminal target around $5.7 after price broke out of the pennant / wedge pattern.
Weekly RSI confirmed bullish divergence.
Safe trading
Altseason
PENGU = ETF Catalyst + Whale Accumulation = +30% More Upside?Today, on the weekend, I want to analyze the Pudgy Penguins project with the PENGU ( BINANCE:PENGUUSDT ) token from a fundamental and technical perspective .
Please stay with me.
Why did PENGU surge nearly 40% in just 48 hours? Here’s what’s driving it:
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Fundamental Analysis:
1. ETF Momentum via Cboe:
On June 26, Cboe officially filed a 19b-4 form for a new ETF that includes Pudgy Penguins and PENGU as major components.
Although not yet approved, this single move has fueled strong institutional anticipation, similar to what happened with Bitcoin ETFs in early 2023.
The market often prices in future narratives — and this ETF storyline has been a powerful one.
2.Whale Accumulation Signals
According to Nansen data, large holders have increased their balances by 11.37%, and notable wallets linked to public figures by 7% over the last 30 days.
Such coordinated accumulation often precedes major price moves, and that pattern seems to be repeating here.
3.NFT Ecosystem Boost
The Pudgy Penguins NFT collection saw a 400%+ surge in sales volume.
This sharp increase in NFT activity has reignited attention toward the broader Pudgy ecosystem, which naturally benefits its native token, PENGU.
Risk Note:
The ETF is not yet approved — we're still in the hype phase.
Volatility remains high, and strong pullbacks are common in low-liquidity tokens like PENGU.
If whale activity continues and institutional narratives grow, the upside potential remains — but so does the downside risk.
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PENGU token started to rise from the Support zone($0.01-$0.0076) . One of the signs of a continuation of the uptrend was the break of the upper line of the descending channel .
Educational Note: One of the price targets after a channel break can be as wide as the width of the broken channel.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that the PENGU token has completed the Double Three Correction(WXY) , and we can wait for the next impulsive waves .
I expect the PENGU token to attack the Resistance zone($0.0128-$0.0118) again, and if this zone is broken , it can increase to at least $0.0137(+30%) .
What is your idea about the Pudgy Penguins project?
Note: If the PENGU token drops below $0.01, we can expect a break of the Support zone($0.01-$0.0076).
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Pudgy Penguins Analyze (PENGUUSDT), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Rising Wedge on Bitcoin Dominance - [BROKEN DOWNWARDS] The MASSIVE Rising Wedge on Bitcoin Dominance was broken downwards during the past week, most likely the 1W candle will also close below the support of the wedge.
What does it mean? The dominance will dump from 64% to at least 59%. This move can already provide us with the huge Altcoin Season! After this there more likely be a small correction towards 60%, and then we can freely dump further towards 54% zone.
I expect not only small cap, but major altcoins to be sent to new highs as well. Mark my words & be prepared for the last opportunity of this bull cycle!
ETH Building Blocks - Keep it Simple🧱 Building Block - ETH Weekly Analysis 🧱
Ethereum has been trading within a well-defined structure, respecting key horizontal zones — each acting as a crucial building block in ETH’s macro journey.
🔹 Zone 1 ($1,700 - $2,100)
A strong demand and accumulation zone. ETH bounced from here multiple times, proving itself as the foundation of the current bullish attempt.
🔹 Zone 2 ($2,400 - $2,600)
We're currently hovering around this key mid-range resistance. A successful break above it would pave the way for the next major leg up.
🔹 Zone 3 ($2,900 - $3,400)
A major historical resistance turned supply area. ETH needs strong momentum and volume to break through this ceiling.
🔹 Zone 4 ($3,800 - $4,200)
The final building block before retesting ATH territory. A retest here could signal full bullish control in the coming months.
📍 As long as Zone 1 holds, ETH remains structurally bullish. Watch for breaks and rejections at each building block to gauge the next move.
Which block will ETH break next? 🔮
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Very similar to January 2016You are looking at the Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding the Top 10 cryptocurrencies (OTHERS.D) on a weekly timeframe. This chart is often used as an "Altcoin Index" to gauge the strength of the broader cryptocurrency market beyond the major players like Bitcoin and Ethereum.
Here's my observation about being in a period similar to January 2016.
The technical analysis on this chart is built around a few key concepts:
1. Long-Term Ascending Channel: The dominant feature is a large parallel ascending channel that has contained the altcoin market cap's movements since 2015. The upper line has acted as a resistance level during bull market peaks, and the lower line has served as a major support level during bear market bottoms.
2. Historical Fractal (The "January 2016" Idea): My idea centers on a historical comparison, or a "fractal."
- The first white arrow points to a period in late 2016. At this time, the altcoin market cap found a bottom right on the support line of the ascending channel. This bottoming phase preceded the explosive 2017 bull run.
- The second white arrow points to a projected time in late 2025 / early 2026. The chart suggests that the market is currently in a similar bottoming pattern near the same long-term support line.
3. Falling Wedge: I've drawn a large falling wedge pattern starting from the peak in late 2021. This is typically a bullish reversal pattern, suggesting that the long downtrend could be nearing its end. The price is currently interacting with the apex of this wedge, a critical decision point.
4. Price Projection: The orange and blue bar patterns are copies of the price action that followed the 2016-2017 bottom. By pasting this fractal to the current time, the chart visualizes a potential future where history rhymes, leading to a massive new bull market for altcoins extending into 2027 until the end of the roaring 20s.
The Bullish Case (According to the Chart)
The argument presented by this analysis is clear:
• The altcoin market is at a historically strong support level (the bottom of the ~10-year channel).
• This is the same support level that kicked off the massive 2017 bull market.
• The market is consolidating within a falling wedge, which has a higher probability of breaking to the upside.
If this analysis holds true, the current period could be seen as a significant accumulation zone before the next major market expansion, much like the period around January 2016 was.
Important Considerations and Risks
While this is a compelling technical setup, it's crucial to maintain a balanced perspective. Here are some factors to consider:
• Past Performance is Not a Guarantee: This is the most important principle in financial markets. While historical patterns can provide valuable insight, they do not guarantee future results.
• Market Dynamics Have Changed: The cryptocurrency market of 2025 is fundamentally different from that of 2016.
• Maturity and Size: The market is significantly larger and includes substantial institutional investment, which can alter market behavior and volatility.
• Macroeconomic Factors: Global economic conditions, such as interest rates and inflation, now have a much stronger influence on the crypto market than they did in its earlier days.
• Regulatory Environment: Increased global regulatory scrutiny can introduce uncertainty and risks that were not present in the 2016-2017 cycle.
• Subjectivity of Technical Analysis: The trendlines and patterns are drawn based on an analyst's interpretation. Another analyst might draw them slightly differently, leading to a different conclusion.
Conclusion
The idea that "we're in January 2016 all over again" is a valid interpretation based on the technical patterns in this chart. The analysis points to the altcoin market being at a critical long-term support level, similar to the setup that preceded a major historical bull run.
This chart lays out a clear bullish roadmap. However, everyone should treat it as a potential scenario, not a certainty. I'll continue to monitor if the price respects these historical levels so that you guys are mindful of the broader market and macroeconomic factors that could influence the outcome.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and is based on the technical analysis presented in the user-provided image. It should not be construed as financial advice. All investment decisions carry risk, and you should conduct your own research.
$HBAR Shooting Up in Wave 3CRYPTOCAP:HBAR is flying off the High Volume Node and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement with Elliot wave 3 characteristics keeping the count alive.
Price is testing the weekly pivot point which should act as resistance for the time being but a break straight through will demonstrate a very bullish trend. Traders should be cautious about entering here.
RSI confirmed a weekly bullish divergence
Safe Trading
BTC.D Slipping ! ALTSEASON Loading ? This is BTC.D on the daily chart.
It has shown a strong relationship with the 50MA (blue/cyan line), often using it as support. While there were a couple of daily closes below it in the past, they lasted only 1 or 2 candles.
Now we’ve seen 4 consecutive daily closes below the 50MA (including today), which increases the likelihood of a deeper move to search for support.
The next key support zone (green rectangle) is defined by the 200MA (red line) and the 62.25% level (black line) — both of which acted as support before.
If BTC.D drops into that zone, ETH and altcoins could experience a strong bounce.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
BTC.D – Distribution Confirmed. Is the Final Altseason Next?Over the past couple of months, I’ve been tracking the development of a potential high time frame (HTF) Wyckoff distribution range forming on BTC Dominance (BTC.D), and it’s now looking like that structure is starting to break down.
Back on June 14th, I noted that while we hadn’t confirmed a trend shift yet, BTC.D was showing strength and likely to push into the 65% region, with altcoin weakness to follow. The very next day, I shared my idea of a potential Wyckoff distribution forming — and since then, it’s followed that path almost perfectly.
🧠 What’s Happened Since?
✅ Sweep of the HTF range high at ~65%
✅ Second deviation of the highs
✅ Volume divergence into supply — declining volume + strong rejection candles
✅ Formation of a UTAD (Upthrust After Distribution)
✅ 1D bearish market structure break after the sweep
✅ Price now back inside the range
This is textbook distribution behaviour — even if it doesn’t follow the Wyckoff schematic to the letter, the key elements are present: deviation, volume drop-off, and structural breakdown.
🔮 What Comes Next?
BTC.D is currently holding inside a prior unmitigated daily demand, but given the structural shift, I’m expecting:
A pullback to 65–65.5% (daily supply + range high retest)
Then a continuation bearish, targeting:
🔸 49% (prior accumulation range high)
🔻 46% (FVG fill + range breakout retest)
These lower targets align with where I expect altcoins to top out — so as BTC.D breaks down, I expect capital to rotate hard into ETH and alts, triggering the final phase of altseason before the macro cycle top.
⚠️ Why This Matters
This distribution range has been developing since late 2024, and with BTC.D now showing bearish market structure, combined with:
- ETH.D flipping bullish
- OTHERS.D pushing higher
- Stablecoin dominance pairs breaking down
…we’re seeing confluence across the board for a risk-on altcoin environment.
I believe this is the setup that leads to the final euphoric altcoin rotation before the 4-year cycle top prints later this year.
📌 Watch for the retest. Watch for the rejection. The breakdown will be fast.
This is the window — time to stay sharp.
Let me know in the comments if you’ve been tracking this too, or drop your altcoin rotation picks.
— Marshy 🔥
1D:
3D:
1W:
1M:
$SUI Wave 3 to Continue with a Strong Weekly CloseCRYPTOCAP:SUI printed a great weekly candle that will be closing today above the weekly pivot point with RSI trying to flip bullishly.
Price found support at 0.5 Fibonacci retracement and High Volume Node.
Wave 4 penetrated wave 1 which we potentially have a ending or leading diagonal Elliot Wave count limiting the potential upside with my current terminal target being around $10-13. Wave 4 could also actually be another wave 2 which would give us ridiculous targets but this is my preferred count for now.
Safe trading
HolderStat┆ADAUSD seeks to $0.774KUCOIN:ADAUSDT recently broke out of a multi-week triangle formation on the 4H chart. The clean break above 0.66 has invalidated the previous downtrend and triggered a new leg higher. With ADA currently riding within an ascending channel, the path toward 0.73–0.75 remains open as momentum continues building.
DOGE/USDT – Is Dogecoin About to Ignite Altseason Again?Hey Traders!
If you’re finding value in this analysis, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for high-accuracy trade setups that actually deliver!
Dogecoin just broke out of a multi-month descending wedge — and history tells us to pay close attention when this meme king wakes up. Let’s dive into why this setup could be the start of something massive.
📈 Chart Pattern
DOGE has been consolidating for months inside a falling wedge — a classic bullish reversal structure. It’s now finally broken out with strong volume confirmation, holding above the 50 EMA and showing signs of momentum building up.
🔍 Historical Clue
Remember what happened in the previous bull markets?
✅ 2021: DOGE exploded 2000%+ and triggered the craziest altseason ever.
✅ 2017: DOGE moved first, followed by hundreds of altcoins rallying massively.
Now, in 2025 — it looks eerily similar. Every time DOGE wakes up, it signals that retail and meme sentiment is heating up, a classic altseason ignition.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: $0.198 (Already triggered)
Targets:
TP1: $0.28
TP2: $0.42
TP3: $0.64
Stoploss: $0.162
Risk-Reward: Massive upside potential, with clearly defined invalidation.
💡 Final Thoughts
Altcoins are starting to follow. ETH has broken out. XRP is running. BTC dominance has rejected trendline resistance. Everything is aligning. If history repeats, this breakout in DOGE could mark the official start of Altseason 2025.
👉 Don’t sleep on DOGE. This might just be the trigger we’ve been waiting for.
📌 Follow for more setups & insights. Stay tuned!
#AltSeason #Coming #Crypto #Pump #Soon#AltSeason #Coming #Crypto #Pump #Soon
According to the Bitcoin chart and Bitcoin dominance, as well as the Tether index and the position of altcoins, a new altcoin season is expected to begin.
Depending on your style and strategy, you can purchase altcoins in steps for your spot basket. The best time to buy a new step is now.
We will soon see 100% growth in altcoins ranked 1 to 10 in coin market cap, and altcoins in the following ranks can also pump 300%, 500%, and 800% and experience attractive growth.
Based on your strategy and style, get the necessary confirmations for this analysis to enter the trade.
Don't forget about risk and capital management.
The responsibility for the transaction is yours and I have no responsibility for your failure to comply with your risk and capital management.
💬 Note: Note that this analysis will only be fully confirmed if Bitcoin continues to grow and Bitcoin dominance continues to decline, in which case altcoins will start their main growth and get pumped. Otherwise, the previous scenario could repeat itself, with a correction to remove liquidity, liquidate long positions, and throw out traders, and the main rise will begin. Anyway, the new altcoin season is coming and will begin soon. Hunt down the crypto market pump by obtaining the necessary approvals.
If you are not an analyst and are not familiar with step buying, ignore this analysis.
DeGRAM | SUIUSD got out of the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Price pierced the four-week falling-channel roof and the apex of a contracting triangle, turning 2.88 support into a launchpad and carving a sequence of higher lows.
● Breakout measured move and channel mid-band converge at 3.15; a close above there exposes the next horizontal barrier and channel top at 3.46. Risk is framed by the former triangle base at 2.88 and major swing floor 2.69.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Sui’s on-chain TVL has climbed >15 % since 25 Jun after zkLogin main-net rollout and Mysten Labs’ new developer grants, underpinning demand despite broad market lethargy.
✨ Summary
Long 2.90-3.05; hold above 3.15 targets 3.46. Invalidate on a 4 h close below 2.88.
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Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Wings of Opportunity: LINK’s Harmonic Setup Unfolding🦋 Title: A Butterfly on the Edge – But Only with Confirmation
On the 2H timeframe, a Bullish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern is unfolding. The wave structure (X → A → B → C → D) aligns closely with harmonic principles, and point D lies above X, within the 1.27 to 1.618 Fibonacci extension of XA — reinforcing the pattern’s validity.
📌 No entry has been triggered yet.
We are currently waiting for price to break and hold above the key resistance at 13.60 to confirm the bullish scenario.
🔹 Bullish Scenario (our primary and preferred outlook):
Given the strong reaction around the 12.74 demand zone and the harmonic structure completion, we are primarily focused on a long opportunity, if and only if confirmation is achieved above 13.60.
📥 Entry Zone: 13.05 – 13.65
🎯 Target 1: 17.94
🎯 Target 2: 18.76
🛑 Stop-Loss: Below 12.74 (structural invalidation)
🔻 Alternative Bearish Scenario:
If price fails to break 13.60 and instead loses the 12.74 support, the bullish setup becomes invalid, and the market could enter a deeper correction phase.
Potential downside targets in that case:
📉 11.80
📉 10.90 – 10.30 (if bearish momentum continues)
📊 Risk Management Notes:
Position sizing should not exceed 1% of total capital
Avoid early entries before confirmation
Prefer partial entries after breakout and retest
Stick to the invalidation level strictly
📈 While both scenarios are on the table, we are currently favoring the bullish setup, as long as price action supports it. Discipline and patience are key — confirmation first, trade second.
SOL/USDT Technical Outlook – Breakout Holding, Eyes on 175+Solana has successfully broken above the key resistance zone at $155–157 and is currently testing it as new support. If the level holds, this breakout could extend toward the next major target around $175–178.
📌 Key Insights:
Clean breakout followed by a potential SR flip
Watch for confirmation of support before continuation
Target aligns with previous swing high
Invalidated on breakdown below reclaimed level
🟢 Bias remains bullish as long as price holds above the breakout zone. A confirmed retest could provide a high-probability long setup.
SUI - Channel Structure
SUI just printed a powerful +12.95% daily move, bouncing cleanly from the mid-range of its long-term ascending channel. This structure has been respected since mid-2023, guiding both impulse legs and corrective phases with precision.
Now trading around $3.47, the next logical magnet is the channel top near $5, especially if momentum persists and market sentiment remains risk-on.
Technical Structure:
Bullish trend within a well-defined ascending channel
Clean reaction from dynamic support (midline)
Clear higher low + breakout structure in play
Upside Target:
$5 (channel resistance)
As long as SUI holds above the rising midline (~$2.80 area), this setup remains valid for trend continuation toward the upper range.
📌 Risk Management:
Break below the midline flips the bias short-term. Until then, trend = friend.
SAND – Rotation in PlaySAND is showing early signs of strength off the long-term demand zone near $0.23–0.24, where it's been accumulating for several months. Price just printed a strong weekly bounce, up +16%, reclaiming the bottom of the range.
This area has acted as a key base since mid-2023 — with each touch producing a notable reaction. Now trading at $0.286, SAND is attempting to rotate toward the top of the established range.
Key Levels
Support (Range Low): $0.23–0.24 (strong demand zone)
Resistance (Mid-Range): $0.43
Range High: $0.85
A clean flip of the mid-range ($0.43) could open the door to test $0.70+.
📌 Risk management: A break and weekly close below $0.23 invalidates this setup. As long as it holds, the upside potential is attractive from a risk/reward standpoint.
This is a classic accumulation > reclaim > expansion structure. Let the chart speak if the range holds, the rotation is in play.
Altcoins Rise Again – Off to 1.07T and 1.51T?🌊🚀 Total Market Cap (excluding BTC & ETH) is showing strength again, pushing off support and heading back into the heart of the channel.
💥 The bullish structure has been respected beautifully:
✅ Double bottom near channel base
✅ Clean bounce and new higher low
✅ Momentum building on macro trend
📈 As long as this channel holds, we're eyeing the next targets:
🔹 Mid-channel target: $1.07 Trillion
🔹 Channel top extension: $1.51 Trillion
From the "Escape" back in late 2023 to the clean retest — it’s now about confirmation and continuation.
This could be the altseason move everyone forgot about...
🛑 Long bias stays intact as long as the bottom channel support is respected.
Time to respect structure over noise.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈