ETH/BTC I didn’t anticipate the green box to hit when we began reversing on November 18th, but here we are—it’s a strong reversal zone. If this level doesn’t hold, 28/29 is likely next.
I haven’t seen the strength I expected, even with WLFI (Trump's World Liberty Financial) aggressively buying ETH.
but it's now or never so I except a quick reversal from next week.
Altseason
The Cursed Token - $ETHBullish outlook...
On a critical level (Elliott Wave is used as a timeline reference; targets will be evaluated level by level)
Green Box looks good to offload before we hit a major correction later this year. (but once we move beyond this CHOPsolidation, the situation will become much clearer for assessment.
This is the first cycle of the bull run that ended without an AlYou may have been expecting Altseason, but I have some bad news to share with you - Altseason is not happening, and at best, some altcoins might recover slightly in the next 2 months. However, due to the liquidity flow of ETFs, Bitcoin's upward trend will continue. I kindly request that new entrants refrain from buying altcoins."
Note: "Altseason" is a term used to describe a period of time when alternative cryptocurrencies (altcoins) experience significant growth and attention.
ETH - POTENTIAL SETUPThe ETH/USDT daily chart is showing a potential bullish setup with a Falling Wedge pattern, which often indicates a trend reversal to the upside. Additionally, a Bullish ABCD Harmonic Pattern aligns with key Fibonacci levels, suggesting that the 2817-2700 support zone could act as a strong reversal point.
The RSI is in oversold territory on 4H, hinting at a possible bounce soon. If the price breaks out of the wedge, the first target would be 4,112 (46.10% gain), with a second target at $5,002 (77.18% gain). For traders, entering near 2817-2700 offers a good opportunity, with a stop loss placed just below $2,496 to minimize risk.
TOTAL2 / BTC ALTS Should be Close to BottomingWho remembers this chart I posted a month ago on TOTAL2 / BTC ?
This was the one that TradingView shared of mine on 12/31/24
Called the double bottom here. My squiggles are undefeated.
Alts should be close to the end of bleeding.
One last flush I presume (hope) 😂
Updated Wave 5 Count XRPHello There,
From the price action today, I have updated the count with an ED or Ending Diagonal. Also I updated Wave 4 and I don't think it was a triangle, but a sideways combo. It is still possible for it to be a triangle, but would have to do a deep dive to confirm that count. Today on how low we went in the 4th of the Larger degree 5th, we broke wave 1 on varies exchanges and therefore, must go with the higher probable count of a ED.
The Final targets can vary, but I laid out two ranges for $3.8 - $4.4 ish. we will have to see how this ABC or structure forms.
After hitting this targets, I do expect an correction in the $1.5 - $2 ish range, before possibly going for the $8 - $12 range.. this correction will probably takes months, so I would recommend to take as much profit as possible this final move to the $4ish range.
Thank you,
God Bless and Trade on
Crypto Market Dynamics Amidst Tariffs & Trade War FearsLast Friday afternoon, President Trump announced new tariffs on Canada (25%), Mexico (25%), and China (10%). This news set off a selloff in the crypto market. Since traditional financial markets were closed for the weekend, they couldn’t react immediately, but we might see panic selling when trading opens on Monday. In response, both Canada and Mexico have threatened retaliatory tariffs on the U.S. Whether Trump is using this as a negotiation tactic or signaling a long-term policy remains uncertain, but one thing is clear—the market dislikes the idea of a trade war.
On the bright side, Bitcoin was already due for a significant correction. Even a 30% drop from its current all-time high wouldn’t derail the Macro Trend. However, the concerning part is that Trump’s actions could lead to further economic pain for both the U.S. and global economies before any recovery happens.
Because so many factors are in play, I’ve combined four key metrics into one chart to help us see where money is moving. Here’s what the chart shows:
BTC.D (Candles): This indicates Bitcoin’s dominance in the market.
BTC Price (Orange): The current price of Bitcoin.
TOTAL3 (Purple): The total crypto market cap excluding BTC and ETH.
USDT.D (Green): This measures the share of funds in USDT.
What Does the Chart Tell Us?
Flow of Money: Funds are moving between Bitcoin, altcoins, stablecoins (USDT), or leaving the market altogether.
Key Indicator – USDT.D:
Below the Breakout Line: If USDT.D stays below a critical level, it suggests that buyers are stepping in to support both Bitcoin and altcoins.
Above the Local Top: If USDT.D breaks above its recent high, it signals increased market fear. In this case, we should watch the other metrics:
A spike in TOTAL3 indicates that altcoins are gaining traction, hinting at a potential altcoin season.
A spike in BTC.D suggests that Bitcoin is maintaining or even strengthening its dominance.
A spike in USDT.D implies that investors are seeking safety in stablecoins, showing overall market nervousness.
By monitoring these indicators, we can get a clearer picture of whether or not an alt season is developing, and whether the correction developing is a temporary setback or the start of a deeper decline.
Skyrexio | If This Happens Altseason Is In DangerHello, Skyrexians!
Today we have the sad analysis for you because altseason really has the high likelihood to be cancelled. The main chart for that CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.D is about to break the great formation for trend continuation. If this will happen altcoins will lose -80% of its price. It's not a big secret that this cycle majority of people have a lot of altcoins, that's why only Bitcoin pumps from month to month.
Let's take a look at the weekly time frame. After the previous altseason price is printing triangle shaped wave 4. This wave is about to be finished, but I feel something bad. ABCDE pattern will be broken if this triangle is going to be broken down. It can be fatal for altcoins, taking into account the fact that Bitcoin has also great probability of correction.
What can save altcoin's holders? The green dot on the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator will give us confidence that the wave 5(green scenario) will happen. Otherwise, the next station is hell for alts.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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TOTAL3; What Lies Ahead for Altcoins.It is a well-known pattern that needs no explanation, and what can happen is also clear. Some people are doing crazy analyses only because they think the ALT season MUST happen soon.
So, for total3, A fall to the previous resistance is possible if the market continues its bearish trend. We can see 780-800B, and if it's broken, then 700B.
They don't say it, but a head and shoulders pattern can be formed here, sending total3 lower to ~400B and completing the pattern, and after that, total can reach new highs, +2T.
The bear market might not be over yet. If the 400B scenario plays out, then most altcoins can have new lows.
But this whole thing is not bearish.
Another bullish move can still happen from here and total3 can rise to 1.5T, but I'd consider it as a fake breakout, the chances we see an altseason soon are lower imo until the pattern is completed , either after touching 780B, 700B or lower as I said.
ETH/BTC , it's time for altseson?
"In the case of ETH/BTC, the price is currently below the liquidity trend line on higher time frames. The current level is crucial; a failure to hold this level could signal a correction phase for altcoins. Conversely, if the price on the daily timeframe closes above 0.03470 with strong momentum and forms (FVG) pattern, it may indicate the start of altseason. To mitigate risk, it may be advisable to exercise patience and wait for further confirmation."
If you have any specific questions or need further assistance with your text, feel free to ask!
Wormhole (W) – A Strong Buy Opportunity Amidst Reversal SignalsWormhole (W) is showing a strong bullish setup, making it a prime opportunity for investors looking to capitalize on a potential reversal.
📉 Technical Analysis: Strong Support and Bullish Reversal Signals
Discount Zone Support 📊
W has recently taken strong support from the discount zone, a key area where institutions and smart money often accumulate positions before an upward move. This suggests that selling pressure is weakening, and a reversal is imminent.
RSI Bullish Crossover 🔄
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has given a bullish crossover, signaling that the asset is transitioning from an oversold state to a potential uptrend. Historically, such crossovers have led to strong price recoveries.
Break of Structure (BOS) & Change of Character (ChoCH) 🏗
The chart also indicates a break of structure (BOS) in key levels, which suggests that previous downward trends are losing momentum. The Change of Character (ChoCH) is another confirmation that buyers are stepping in aggressively.
🔼 Upside Potential and Target Levels
Immediate Resistance: $0.28 – A break above this level could trigger rapid price movement.
Short-Term Target: $0.50 – A key psychological and technical resistance level.
Mid-Term Target: $1.00 – A major milestone for price recovery.
Long-Term Potential: All-Time High (ATH) – If momentum sustains, W could aim for a full retracement to its ATH.
🔥 Fundamental Catalysts & Recent Developments
Strategic Airdrop Announcement 🎁
Wormhole has recently announced a community airdrop to reward early adopters and active users.
This move boosts engagement and attracts new investors, increasing demand for the token.
Growing Institutional Interest 💰
Recent on-chain data suggests accumulation by large wallets, indicating confidence in the project’s long-term potential.
Expanding Ecosystem & Partnerships 🌎
Wormhole continues to expand its cross-chain interoperability solutions, making it a key player in blockchain infrastructure.
Partnerships with major DeFi projects are enhancing adoption and utility, driving organic growth.
💡 Why This is a Strong Buying Opportunity?
✅ Technical Reversal in Play – RSI crossover, BOS, and ChoCH indicate a shift in momentum.
✅ Fundamental Strength – Airdrops, partnerships, and institutional interest bolster confidence.
✅ Massive Upside Potential – Aiming for $0.50, $1.00, and possibly its ATH.
⚡ Final Thoughts
Wormhole (W) is presenting a rare opportunity at current levels. With strong support, a confirmed bullish structure, and key fundamental catalysts, the token is well-positioned for significant price appreciation.
🚀 Now is the time to accumulate before the next breakout!