ALTCOINS The alt season has officially begun.This is a clear technical representation of the altcoin market (total capitalization excluding top 10 coins) on the 1W timeframe that shows that we are on the 3rd week of the new alt season, which is the strongest rally of the Cycle. You can see all 3 Cycles so far and the common characteristics they share.
It all starts when the previous Bull Cycle peaks and the Bear Cycle starts, which is confirmed after the price crosses under the 1W MA100. Then a prolonged accumulation phase starts and when the 1W RSI bottoms it starts forming HL. A price crossing over the 1W MA100 again, coincides with an overbought 1W RSI, which confirms the start of the new Bull Cycle. After a Bitcoin's Halving, the alts market forms a Bull Flag and when the 1W RSI hits the HL and rebounds, the alt season starts.
The chart shows that we are on this stage at the moment. This is practically one of the very last opportunities you have to buy.
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Altseason
Alts with UPSIDE POTENTIAL | ALTCOINS | RUNE, ATOM, FETIn this time of the cycle, many alts have already rallied... and a few, haven't, patiently awaiting their turn for some liquidity.
In this video, I take a look at my TOP picks - there are many more, but let's start with these.
1) FET
2) RUNE
3) ATOM
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BINANCE:ATOMUSDT BINANCE:RUNEUSDT BINANCE:FETUSDT
This Has Only Happened Once BeforeBitcoin "priced" in US Dollars (ie the number of Dollars you can trade for 1 Bitcoin divided by 1 Bitcoin but leaving the number 1 in the denominator invisible as a stupid stone aged esoteric shenanigan used to make you forget about the role of currencies in the taxation and control of your everyday life) has only simultaneously met these 2 conditions twice in Bitcoin's existence: 1. The current value of Dy/Dx of its SMA50(SMA50(SMA50 Weekly Close)) and 2. Reaching the upper bound of the macro trend of the deviation of the Weekly Close from this smoothed long term MA as measured by the Weekly Close/Thrice Smoothed MA.
This could indicate that Bitcoin USD is pushing on major resistance and is due for a major contraction or consolidation before moving higher and completing the cycle within the next year.
Considering where we are in the economic cycle, with the Bond Market mimicking 2007 and 1953 or 58, stocks overvalued when adjusted for currency manipulation, and the yield curve un-inverting while retail confidence is at all time highs, perhaps we should take a moment to introduce a bit of caution into our analysis.
BTC Targeting 105K Before Potential Retracement
Hello dear BTC maxis! I hope you are having the time of your life.
This is BTC on the daily time frame, heading to the moon. My humble prediction is that the 127.20% Fib extension level could be a key retracement level and the point where altseason might kick off. This is just a prediction and does not account for any specific trading actions. What we can do for now is enjoy this wonderful BTC run, and when the time comes, we will take action.
Remember, patience is key in this game.
Thank you for reading, and feel free to boost or comment!
Altcoins are about to run hard!Good day Traders-investors,
Today im looking at the others chart. This only altcoins lower than top ten and it excludes stable coins. I have provided three different time lines, The one week (Top left) the one month (top right) and the 2 week on the bottom. All of them are looking very bullish and are building to fairly substantial move over the next two months.
This also coincides with the timeline of the cycle (not included here) a big move is coming. According to the cycle (bitcoins cycle) bitcoin will run for approx 4 weeks, top out and then correct. The bounce of the correction will lead to altcoins top weeks after bitcoins.
The others first need to pass the area of 156 158 million as a first major resistance level. After that a run to 256 million is likely in fairly quick succession. If the others does happen to hit this level it will serve as major resistance and should top out there. I would most likely expect it to hit it than not to.
Indicators to look for..
On the weekly, the RSI has broken through the resistance levels and right now is retesting it as support, all good.
On the monthly, The RC1 3 lines has an all important cross with the red line. The ASO is about to have a across with the blue line crossing above the red line.
On the 2 week, the RSI is trying to push in the last resistance area, the rci3 lines have already had major movement are aligned for more growth and the ASO has had a cross and looks to be widening.
These are all very positive for the OTHERS.
please don't hesitate to ask any questions or add comments down below.
Kind regards
WeAreSat0shi
ALT Season incoming $BCH $EOS $LTC $BCH $XRPIn the last month i saw a lot of volume in the very old Altcoins that everybody forgot incoming, like EOS, IOTA, DGB, LTC and a good Alt Season indicator is the BCH Pump. So here we go in the weekly view we wait for a breakout with volumen and with no retest ideal, but in sum good altcoin times are coming soon.
GL & HF
VANRYUSDT - BUY IDEAVANRY is in strong bullish trend.
As the market is consistently printing new HHs and HLs on higher TF.
Currently the market is retracing a bit after last HH on daily , if this trendline will break then we will enter at breakout.
If the market successfully sustain this bullish confluence the next leg high could go for new HH.
we will enter at 0.10175
$TOTAL totally streched to upside; up or down?TOTAL is totally streched to upside; it is not only derivating but is also on a dangerous wedge, signaling a very possible drop (purple arrow down), at least to touch:
1- an important Fibonacci Circle (marked on red)
2- the support of TOTAL all-times-high (horizontal blue dotted line)
3- old May 2021 support of TOTAL all-times-high (horizontal pink dotted line)
4- ceiling of ghost channel from the last few months of downtrend (yellow channel)
5- volume weighted support line (black line)
6- possible touch on 200 EMA (green strong line)
You can see also that first pannel is about to show a crossing of RSI lines
Second pannel shows a red dot sell signal on Detonator B
Third pannel shows also a crossing down on Detonator C
MACD is losing strengh
We don´t know yet if the market still has bullets to go to the upside, showed by the thin purple arrow, but it is a possibility, as target coincides with very important (years back) trend line of resistence
very lil TA skills Altcoin 3 optimistic guess from here As of now I still have very little TA skills, and on this optimistic version of my guess/prediction from here, I just used the same few revelations I came across when I did my first ever btc chart (finding a parallel channel that fits previous price action, and then just duplicating the the parallel channel and stacking it, to get a basic blueprint of an overlay of potential resistance and support lines), combined with TA techniques from free Crypto Crew University youtube videos and an aggregate of other youtubers here and there, and I'm probably using some wrong but yea, this is my 'bullish' and optimistic guess/prediction as a first full cycle 'retail' hodler.
If i'm not going on what I want to happen, my bearish feeling and guess/prediction would be, a 25%-35% sell off before or after thanksgiving, and either going back up shortly after and keep running through 2025 or worst and what it feels like, toping out around the 10th-14th of December.
Feel free to tell me what will likely happen if you are an experienced TA chartist.
Bitcoin $157kBitcoin is currently turning $92.7k into it's new support. Altcoins are gearing up to rip including Ethereum and especially Sui. Bitcoin is going to spark altcoin season with a run to $157k. If we get there it's very likely to be overheated and experience a move back down to where we are now at $92.7k. We'll know more looking at the futures market once we get there. Good luck and happy holidays!
Litecoin's historical pattern & Fib logA few weeks back I made a chart on Litecoin named "Litecoin and it's historical patterns" linked in this chart down bellow. This is literally the same exact chart but I've added the "LTC Log Curves based on Fibonacci math sequence. Look at how good it's fit on the original analysis!
On the bottom I have the "Litecoin Wizard" I'm not entirely sure what this is based on but I do believe it's on chain information. I have added to this indicator a support level (buy area) and a Litecoin hyper level that is above the yellow line and heavy profit taking area. As we can see it's not there very long, so when it is take advantage of it.
Back the log curves, assuming LTC stays within a this growth channel and doesn't break below the green area, we can reasonably say that eventually LTC will hit the top of this curve (red area) again one day in the future. That area if hit sits at a possible 2500 LTC in 2025 to 2026. You have to keep in mind that it might never hit the top of the channel ever again, there is no guarantee of it.
By combining both of these indicators one could find a very good sell area and take profits in the future and then re apply it to rebuy again after that.
This is not a prediction or a buy recommendation by no means. It's a simple observation using specifically designed indicators.
Thanks for looking & leave a comment on what you see down below
WeAreSat0shi
Stay Blessed!
ARB Swing Long Idea - Arbitrum Analysis ARB is the leading Ethereum Layer 2 chain. We haven’t seen an ETH rally yet, so ETH-based coins (ETH betas) are currently underperforming. However, I would recommend considering a small position to potentially catch an ETH pump, as these ETH-based coins have significant technical potential.
Technical Analysis: The price took out the 2023 low and created new lows in 2024. It now appears to be building weekly bullish momentum by forming a weekly demand zone.
The daily structure also looks bullish. We recently broke and closed above the bearish trendline. I expect the price to retrace into the weekly demand zone, potentially retest the trendline, and then take off toward the first and second targets.
SL: 0.41
TP1: 0.83
TP2: 1.27
ALT Season? Not Even CloseWhen we exclude Bitcoin from the total crypto market cap, it becomes clear that we’re far from the conditions needed for an ALT season. Here’s a breakdown:
First Resistance: $1.28T (Excluding BTC)
The last high was in March 2024, with the market cap reaching $1.28T.
At that time, BTC dominance was around 52%.
Second Resistance: $1.71T (Excluding BTC)
This was the peak during the ALT season in November 2021, with the market cap hitting $1.71T. Back then, BTC dominance had dropped to just 42%.
Current Situation
BTC dominance is now sitting at 60%, which is far too high for a typical ALT season to start.
Historically, ALT seasons tend to begin when BTC dominance falls below 50% or even lower.
Conclusion
The altcoin market has a long way to go before reaching the conditions for a true ALT season. We need BTC dominance to decline significantly and the altcoin market cap to break through key resistance levels at $1.28T and $1.71T.
What’s your outlook? Are altcoins still in Bitcoin’s shadow, or is a shift coming? Let’s discuss!