Altseason
BTC.D BITCOIN DOMINANCE near trendlineBTC.D is near the trendline.
Will we see a bounce right of the trendline? If so we could get the altseason we all are waiting for. However due too the massive growth in the number of altcoins and the many rugpulls in the meme sector and even liquidations as in CRYPTOCAP:OM for example, we could be in for a complete other scenario.
BTC could also keep the higher levels of dominance due to new ETF inflows and reserves by country's and the negative new in the alts. FUD could build up on the alts. So will we see an alt season in that case.... Even CRYPTOCAP:ETH is dropping so low.....
If we will see an altseason it will be different. Other bullruns there were just a few hundred altcoins so it was easy to pump them all. New we have milions of coins and the money supply is limmited. The inflows in BTC are stuck there in ETF's and reserves... So that looks nice but it won't flow back into alts in my opinion.
So what can we expect from the so called altseason.... Well i believe we will see rotation from narrative to narrative. The mass (retail) will first jump on the train with trading the pairs they know. In taht case we will see the first pumps in the bigger MEME's and DINO coins (coins that have survived several bullrun cycles like XRP, LTC, ADA, ETH, BNB, LINK).
Why DINO coins will pump? Because retail knows these coins and all the new coins are just too many to deal with. They just won't understand. Off course we will see projects like SOL, SUI, HBAR, ATH and several others pump with the coins but not every coin has the same visibility.
After these two narratives the rest could follow. A few a quite certain. Like AI, RWA, DeFi and a few others. But also in these narratives it will be cherry picking the good and proven projects.
So choose your darlings with care and don't mary your coins! All alts will drop 90% in the bearmarket!
ALTSEASON | ALTS | BUY Zones SummaryOver the past few weeks I've been gradually analyzing the alts that I believe have great potential for the next cycle.
These include:
✅ ATOM
✅ Litecoin
✅ Fantom
✅ Doge
✅ SUI
✅ SHIB
✅ DOT
✅ PEPE
✅ BNB
✅ Tron
✅ The Graph
✅ Render
✅ Maker
✅ AAVE
Here's your quick video summary on ideal buying zones for the above altcoins. Enjoy!
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Bitcoin dominance is aiming to hit FIb 1.141 - Alt Season when ?Currently bitcoin dominance is around 64% and about to hit Fib 1 which is the previous high 64.34%.
We can expect bitcoin to breach this previous high easily and head towards the next resistance around the fib value 1.414. This is a strong resistance and if dominance breaks this value then next target is 70% is which around the high value achieve during the 2020 bear run.
I'm expecting dominance to reverse around 1.414 and altseason will start once dominance starts dropping.
Cheers!
GreenCrypto
OTHERS Market Cap Monthly Candle close colours tells a Story
OTHERS - Top 125 coins MINUS top 10 by Market dominance.
OR The MID to LOW caps ALT coins.
The closeness of these Candles close colours tells a Story to me
There are only two months since 2017, where the count is not 6 to 5
Febusary has the biggest difference with a majority GREEN at 8 - 3
But that had little effect this cycle with the last 5 Months ( including this april) being RED
There is only ONE occasion that has happened before, and then went on to be 9 consecutive RED months and that was after the height of the ALT Season in 2017
The only positive I can offer here is that, After the RED March, April was Green on 3 occasions.
What we can take away from this is that the MID to LOW cap ALTS are NOT seasonal, it is a Hit an dMiss chance of taking the right coin at the right time and trading
You will also notice how the Actual Market Cap is currently LOWER than the height of the 2021
Infact, this is true for ALL the Market Caps EXCEPT TOTAL
This Very Clearly shows us all that it is BITCOIN that holds the market up and it is that Dominance that has Hurt ther ALTS so much.
Will this change ?
ALTCOINS | ALTSeason | Buy Zones PART 3⚜TRX
TRX has been really strong over the past few days, continuously making higher lows which is early signs of a bullish sentiment. Though, I would want to see the price hold the highlighted support zones before making any decisions. A close UNDER would likely lead to a lower drop.
In that case, I'd be willing to buy at 0,22:
⚜GRT
GRT I'd be looking to buy very low, between the two following prices:
⚜RNDR
Render has bounced from the first buy-zone, but it seems likely we'll retest again soon since the bounce did not equate to a reversal:
⚜MAKER
Optimistic longer term on this coin. Strong decline, lower buy likely here:
⚜AAVE
Strong short-term bearish sentiment, weighted heavier towards the lower zone:
Make sure you don't miss part 1 and part 2 !!
Bitcoin Dominance Ascending Channel and Altseason (1W Log)CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D has been in a clean uptrend inside an ascending channel for over 2 years.
• The midline has consistently acted as a magnet, but BTC.D has recently detached from it and might be headed for another retest of the upper boundary.
• Unless major macro catalysts intervene, I expect no notable changes until the 72-73% key area, the same zone that triggered 2021's altseason.
Regarding altseason, this cycle isn't like previous ones. With millions of tokens today, dilution is real, and a full-blown altseason where everything pumps seems unlikely.
Instead, I expect selective rotation into quality projects, and that might actually make it easier to find real outperformance.
Breakdown Looming in Altcoin Market Cap? Weekly Chart AnalysisThe Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding Top 10 is currently flashing a textbook Head and Shoulders (H&S) reversal pattern on the weekly timeframe — and if confirmed, it could signal a substantial decline in the altcoin sector's market value.
Let’s dive into the technical breakdown and market psychology behind this setup.
🧠 The Pattern Breakdown: Head & Shoulders
Left Shoulder (L): Formed in early 2024 after a sharp rally met resistance just below $320B, leading to a correction.
Head (H): Marked a peak in Q1 2025 above $400B — but failed to hold, rejecting at a key liquidity zone and forming a long wick.
Right Shoulder (R): Projected in the current price structure. A potential retracement to the $320B region could form this, completing the right shoulder before the breakdown.
Neckline (N): Currently being tested at the $200B mark — this is the make-or-break level. A confirmed weekly close below this line would activate the bearish pattern.
📉 Target Projection & Technical Implications
If the Head & Shoulders structure plays out:
Breakdown below Neckline (~$200B) would likely initiate a measured move towards $80B–$100B, completing the pattern.
This aligns with a major liquidity void seen from mid-2023, where price previously moved rapidly — meaning there’s little structural support in that zone.
🔍 Confluence Factors Supporting Bearish Outlook:
Liquidity Void: Below the neckline, there’s a high-risk vacuum where price may drop quickly.
Volume Decline on Rallies: Bullish impulses are weakening, suggesting distribution rather than accumulation.
Lower High Structure: Overall macro structure is shifting from bullish to neutral/bearish.
Failed Reclaim of Key Resistance (~$360B): Shows weakness in altcoin market interest.
🧠 Trading Mindset & Strategy Ideas:
For savvy traders and institutions, this is a high-probability short bias setup to monitor. While retests of the neckline often offer premium short entries, managing risk here is essential.
Scenarios to Watch:
✅ Bearish Confirmation: Weekly candle closes below neckline with increasing volume.
🔁 Bull Trap Potential: Price briefly reclaims $240B–$260B then rejects hard — classic fakeout behavior.
🛡️ Invalidation: A breakout above the “Head” (~$420B) level invalidates the bearish setup and resumes bullish structure.
🚨 Final Words: Altseason or Alt-geddon?
The altcoin space is currently sitting on the edge of a cliff. This isn’t just another dip — this is a potential macro reversal pattern forming across months of price action. If you’re holding heavy bags of alts, it might be time to hedge or scale out while monitoring the neckline area closely.
For traders, this is where capital preservation meets calculated aggression.
✍️ Written by a chart analyst who sees opportunity in both sides of the market.
ETH | Either OR Scenario | ALTSEASONThe previous update was on the current low that ETH hit a couple of days ago, and what happened the previous time we hit that price:
POTUS Donald Trump signed a bill that exempts DeFi platforms from reporting on their clients' taxes, unlike traditional brokers. This may explain the bullish sentiment we're observing across the market currently.
💥 ALTS Part 1 and 2 below, stay tuned for Part 3 ! 💥
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BINANCE:ETHUSDT
XLM/USDT Secondary trend. 14 04 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. After a big pump "with a stick" (so that the "waiters" who want "a little cheaper" would not have time to buy) +8.5X from the accumulation zone of 2.4 years, now a descending wedge is forming on the rollback, similar to 2017. Breaking through its resistance (breaking the downward trend) - the second wave of price growth:
1) through consolidation and sideways movement (cutting the zone, dumping "in waves").
2) aggressive pump as in 2017 "with a stick" and entry into the main distribution zone (late autumn 2025)
The previous idea of the secondary trend was published on 14 01 2024 Exactly when the position was being collected in the horizontal channel in the 4 zones shown, as well as the reversal zone and the percentage of this first strong pump (under XRP).
XLM/USDT Secondary trend. 14 01 2024
XLM/USD Main trend. Timeframe 1 week. Channel. Publication in 2022.
Local wedge breakout zone.
ETH ANALYSIS🔮 #ETH Analysis
🌟🚀 #ETH is trading in an Ascending Triangle Pattern in 1hr timefram and there is a breakdown of the pattern. Ascending trendline works as a resistance line and #ETH is moving towards the ascending trendline. There are 2 scenario in #ETH; either it will again come in the pattern and move upward and it will retest the major support zone first.
🔖 Current Price: $1589
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀
#ETH #Cryptocurrency #Breakout #DYOR
STRK Main Trend 12 04 2025Time frame 1 week for clarity.
Descending channel is the main trend.
Descending wedge is a secondary trend.
Showed the mid-term percentage for targeting potential profit within the channel after breaking through the wedge.
The price reached the lower zone of the descending channel of the main trend -96%.
This is conditionally the bottom for similar assets of such liquidity -95-98% . You can even say the minimums of minimums, beyond which there is only a complete scam, which is probably not distributed as an asset. Throughout the history of the formation of the descending channel, the trading volume was supported, many buybacks. The same volume is also pressuring to buy with “discounts”, what was previously poured "investments for billions of dollars" on Twitter during the listing.
Secondary trend, descending wedge and bearish trend break zone.
Time frame 3 days.
''Altseason 2025''Welcome back dearest reader,
I will probably get alot of backlash from bitcoin maxi's for writing this post, i have read and heard it all by now. I'm not disregarding their opinion on bitcoin and i think it will do well, but not as well as some altcoins which i have monitored.
First the technical part:
~Bitcoin has seemingly formed a double top pattern with now on the weekly a gravestone doji (confirming this sunday). Looking at previous action from 2019 and 2020, these have been topping indicators and indicate a bearish reversal which in turn will be bullish for altcoins.
~ MFI --> massively overbought.
~ Stoch RSI --> nearly at 100! Screaming for a reversal.
Over the past months everyone seemed to think ''this is the top, only to see dominance rise further and alts bleeding''. It is possible that BTC.D doesn't correct immediately, but i do suspect an altseason to be really close.
Sentiment: When everyone... i mean EVERYONE is bearish. ''Alts to zero'', ''bitcoin is the only good coin'', ''Ethereum is dead''. This has historically been the perfect time to buy. And that time is now.
''But, there are over 13 million altcoins now!''
Yes this is true, i don't think all of them are going to do well, stick to the ones available on big exchanges. Those have 400 different ones on average. From those i have covered some allready which i think are going to do well, it's worth your time to look at those ideas.
Any questions?
Ask.
~Rustle
Ethereum Failing against BITCION ? Here is a valid reason why.
In a world being thrown upside down and sideways and Markets Rising and falling and Rising again on a few words and actions, there is one Shining Light in the world of Crypto
Ethereum - And its constant DROP when compared to BITCOIN
It is possibly the Only coin in the top 10 that has failed to rally at least once, to any significant degree since 2023, when nearly everything else took off.
It currently sits at the same price it was in May 2020 !
It reached its ATH in Nov 2021 and ever since then, has fallen in what is becoming a parabolic reverse curve;
All this despite coins like BASE, Coinbases Crypto, being based on that ETH Layer.
This is pretty well ALL down to the adoption of BITCOIN by corporate ventures, keeping the Bitcoin Dominance high.
I mentioned in a post back in 2023 ( maybe here but certainly on X) how BTC could be used in the "Financial Wars" to come, as a means to weaken and scupper ALT coins.
They tried to Destroy crypto, they failed and so, by allowing Bitcoin ETF's etc, BTC dominance remains High and ALTS Fail
And that is EXACTLY what we have seen so far. As Corporations continue to Buy Bitcoin, Dominance remains high..... It isd as simple as that.
And this ETH BTC chart shows that very clearly.
The REAL question is why the ETH ETF's failed so much.
Maybe that is because MANY people realised the "energy behind Ethereum" - The American crypto , Protected by Gensler and predecessors. The Not really Descentralised structure and power if you hoold a LOT, something not many independants can do
BTCUSDT Daily : Range AreaHi Guys,
As you can see in the chart, with the temporary suspension of trade tariffs, the market was able to recover by about 10%. I expect this kind of pain to continue.
SecondChanceCrypto
⏰ 10/april/26
⛔️DYOR
Always do your research.
If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below and I will answer them.
And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comments.
TradeCityPro | BTC.D: Predicting Alt Seasons with Bitcoin Domina👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
In this analysis, I want to discuss an important crypto index that can significantly impact our trading, known as BTC.D. First, I'll provide some explanations for those unfamiliar with this index, and then we'll dive into the analysis.
🤔 What is Bitcoin Dominance?
Bitcoin Dominance is a major indicator in the crypto market. It does not directly represent supply and demand and is not tradable; the chart you see is calculated by TradingView and does not exist physically.
⚡️ This index represents the strength of Bitcoin in the crypto market. It shows the amount of money in Bitcoin divided by the total money in the crypto market.
100x(Bitcoin MarketCap / Total MarketCap) = Bitcoin Dominance
✔️ For example, if the total money in crypto is 1 trillion dollars and 500 billion dollars of that is in Bitcoin, then Bitcoin's dominance would be 50%.
✔️ Or, if the total money in crypto is 1 trillion dollars and 300 billion dollars of that is in Bitcoin, then Bitcoin's dominance would be 30%.
Now that we know what Bitcoin dominance is and how it is calculated, let's see how it can help us in trading and where it can be useful.
🤔 How is Bitcoin Dominance useful?
When we trade, we often encounter situations where both Bitcoin and an altcoin (for example, Ethereum) are triggered simultaneously according to our strategy. There are several ways we can open positions in these situations. Some open positions simultaneously on both, increasing the risk of the trade and doubling the potential loss if the market moves against us. Others may randomly choose between the two positions, which could result in taking a position on Bitcoin and hitting a stop-loss while Ethereum moves towards your target. But how can we determine which one is likely to be more profitable?
🔹 As mentioned, Bitcoin dominance indicates the strength of Bitcoin relative to the rest of the market, and there are three scenarios to consider for its analysis.
📈 In the first scenario, if the market is bullish, Bitcoin dominance can be bullish, bearish, or range-bound. If Bitcoin dominance is bullish, it means more money is entering Bitcoin, so if both Bitcoin and Ethereum are triggered simultaneously, Bitcoin is likely to rise more than Ethereum. If Bitcoin dominance is bearish, less money is entering Bitcoin relative to altcoins, so altcoins like Ethereum are likely to rise more. If Bitcoin dominance is range-bound, we analyze the market candle by candle and pay more attention to short-term momentum, deciding based on the current trend of Bitcoin dominance.
📉 In the second scenario, if the market is bearish, Bitcoin dominance can again be bullish, bearish, or range-bound.
✔️ Before explaining this scenario, let me tell you how it's possible for the market to be bearish while Bitcoin dominance increases even though Bitcoin's price is also falling. As I mentioned, Bitcoin dominance is a ratio and is shown in percentage terms, so if the market is crashing, it might be that Bitcoin is selling less than altcoins. For example, Bitcoin might sell for 10 million dollars and altcoins for 20 million dollars. Even though Bitcoin is being sold and its price is falling, it is being sold less than altcoins, so its dominance increases.
🔹 Now, let's examine the second scenario. If Bitcoin dominance is bullish, less Bitcoin is being sold compared to altcoins, so altcoins like Ethereum will have a greater drop and are better for short positions. If Bitcoin dominance is bearish, Bitcoin is being sold more than altcoins, so a short position on Bitcoin would be more suitable. Lastly, if Bitcoin dominance is range-bound, like in the first scenario, we analyze candle by candle and focus on short-term momentum.
📊 In the third scenario, if the market is range-bound, I first suggest not opening any positions because many strategies do not work well in range-bound markets, and it's better to wait for a breakout of the range's floor or ceiling before opening a position. However, if you do decide to open a position in this phase, short positions fall under the second scenario, and long positions fall under the first.
⭐ So, with Bitcoin dominance, we can optimize the positions we open and choose the best option between Bitcoin and the selected altcoin. If we look at Bitcoin dominance in higher time frames and not just as a confirmation for futures positions in lower time frames, we can identify alt seasons.
🤔 How to identify alt seasons and alt parties with Bitcoin Dominance?
So far, we've seen how dominance in different states and positions can help us in trading. Now, if we analyze Bitcoin dominance over a longer term, we can determine whether the money in the market will move more towards altcoins or Bitcoin in the coming weeks or months.
✔️ For example, if Bitcoin dominance is bullish in the weekly time frame and has a strong upward trend, naturally, more money will enter Bitcoin over time, making Bitcoin a better investment than altcoins. However, if Bitcoin dominance undergoes a correction for a few days or weeks during this bullish trend, altcoins can experience significant growth during that short time frame, which we call an alt party.
💥 On the other hand, if Bitcoin dominance completely changes trend and is bearish for several weeks or months, altcoins will naturally grow much more and will be a better investment option until Bitcoin dominance turns bullish again, which we call an alt season.
🔹 An important note about alt seasons is that Bitcoin's trend during this time must be bullish or range-bound; if Bitcoin is bearish, neither an alt season nor an alt party will occur. So, be sure to first understand the overall market trend using indicators like Total and Total2, and then look for an alt party.
Now that we've examined how this index works, let's move on to a technical analysis of the chart.
📅 Monthly Time Frame
As you can see in the monthly time frame, Bitcoin dominance had a very long range above the 95% area between 2015-2017, which was because the crypto market was still very small at that time, and many investors thought it was a scam. Thus, if anyone wanted to invest in crypto, they only bought Bitcoin.
✨ But in 2017, during Bitcoin's bull run when it reached the 20k ceiling, altcoins also entered the game, and Bitcoin dominance began to fall, spreading the crypto money among other coins. This downward movement continued down to the 40% area, and after it consolidated around this area, Bitcoin dominance started rising again, correcting the severe downturn it had experienced.
🔍 At the start of the next bull run in late 2020, Bitcoin dominance reached its peak and formed a range between 57.13 and 71.04 until the end of the bull run. After Bitcoin's bull run, in the second leg when the price moved towards the 69k area, Bitcoin dominance broke the 57.13 support and moved down to the 40% support, leading to a major alt season.
🎲 In early 2023, coinciding with the start of Bitcoin's bullish trend from the 16k bottom, Bitcoin dominance broke the 47.80 area, which was the ceiling of its box, and its upward movement restarted. Currently, Bitcoin dominance has also broken the 57.13 area and is near 64%. As long as Bitcoin dominance remains bullish, Bitcoin will still be a better buy, and altcoins will not be able to grow significantly.
💥 If Bitcoin dominance finally confirms a trend change and turns bearish, if Bitcoin's trend remains bullish, we will witness another major alt season like in 2021. For now, we confirm the change in trend in Bitcoin dominance on the monthly chart by breaking 57.13, and for a better and more accurate analysis, it's better to move on to the weekly time frame.
📅 Weekly Time Frame
In the weekly time frame, after breaking the 47.46 area, an ascending trend has formed within an ascending channel, and the price has been in this channel for about two years.
🧩 The next resistance for Bitcoin dominance is 65.59, which it is moving towards, and the main ceiling for Bitcoin dominance is 71.04. If the upward trend continues, more money will enter Bitcoin, and altcoins will not be good investment options.
🔽 For a trend change and a bearish turn in Bitcoin dominance, breaking the 60.50 area is suitable, and if Bitcoin dominance records lower highs and lows below this area, we will confirm the trend change. Breaking the channel will also be one of the most important confirmations.
📅 Daily Time Frame
In the daily time frame, we can analyze the price movement with more detail.
💫 Currently, the 62.23 area has been broken, and Bitcoin dominance is performing another bullish leg, having reached the channel ceiling. If the channel ceiling breaks, we can expect a move to the 65.59 area.
📉 For a trend change in this time frame, it's better to wait for the channel to break, but besides the channel, the 62.23 and 60.50 areas are also significant, and breaking them will confirm it.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
ALTCOINS | ALT Season | Buy Zones PART 2💥 SUI / BINANCE:SUIUSDT
SUI ideal buying points, weighing heavier towards the lower zone:
💥 SHIBA / BINANCE:SHIBUSDT
SHIB ideal buying zone is approaching, but ideally the lower zone is the better buy:
💥 DOT / BINANCE:DOTUSDT
Dot worries me for the reason that it has retraced nearly all the way to 2021 prices. Therefore I'll keep trades small, with modest TP zones.
BUY zone for a swing, not accumulation:
💥 PEPE / BINANCE:PEPEUSDT
PEPE buy zone seems far away, but considering how hard alts can drop in only a few days, I'd be ready with the orders, hanging heavier towards the lower zone:
💥 BINANCE / BINANCE:BNBUSDT
BINANCE shows promising swings. Ideal BUY zones include:
For the next cycle, in other words long term target, I'd watch the 1.618 at least:
This would make it an accumulation buy.
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Is there any chance for an ALTSEASON now??Just some chart fun. Do you think the pattern will be completed and the current altcoin Bull Cycle will follow the previous two? Do you think there will be a new Altseason amidst the tariff chaos?
Whatever happens, the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) has to hold (close 1W candles above it) if that would be the case and it just got breached.
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