ATOM | SLEEPING GIANT | Altcoin GEMATOM is an alt that I have high expectations for.
From a 4h perspective, we can see the short term price is still very bearish.
This is confirmed by trading under the moving averages, which indicates that the sellers are in control.
The great news about this is that the price doesn't stay long UNDER the moving averages in the 4h. From the chart below, we see a very evident bearish trend - the price STAYS under the moving averages, with occasional, random wicks above and to the upper purple (200d MA).
After the bottom, marked the " BIG TURNAROUND ", we see the price trading mostly just under or just above, as we observe range trading. This is how we know, the bottom is in / close. And from here, it's only a matter of time until we start turning around to another bullish cycle . Where the gains far outweigh the risk.
Following this logic, the next reasonable ( very reasonable ) target, is the purple moving averages, and beyond. Currently at $4.3, a nice +8% from here.
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Altseason
EIGEN/USDT – Falling Wedge Breakout Setup | 4H ChartEIGEN is currently showing a bullish falling wedge pattern near a strong horizontal demand zone, indicating a potential reversal move.
Technical Breakdown:
Entry Zone: $1.17 – $1.18 (current market price)
Stop-Loss: Below $1.14 (last wick low/invalidation of wedge)
Target Price: $1.74, $2.51 (+118%) from CMP
Resistance 1 (Minor): $1.33
Resistance 2 (Major Target): $1.74
Support Levels:
• $1.17 (Immediate support)
• $0.749 (Major demand zone if breakdown)
Target & Risk-Reward
Target Price: $1.74, $2.51 (+118%) from CMP
Stop-Loss: $1.14
Risk per token: ~$0.03
Potential Profit per token: ~$0.56
Risk:Reward Ratio: ~1:6.5
Potential Gain: +118% from entry
Indicators:
Falling wedge breakout looks imminent
RSI (14) at 39.5 — recovering from oversold zone
Demand zone previously triggered rallies — the probability of a bounce is high
Strategy:
Wait for a 4H candle close above the wedge trendline + volume confirmation to validate the breakout. Scaling in near support with a tight stop-loss can offer a strong risk-reward play.
Not Financial Advice – This is a technical view for educational purposes. Always DYOR & manage risk accordingly.
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#EIGEN #Altcoins #Breakout
Cardano UpdateA lot of you have been DMing me asking for altcoin analysis. i hear you, but here's the truth:
- Right now, most altcoins are simply too weak to offer a reliable forecast. I prefer to post when timing makes sense, not just for engagement, but to avoid misleading anyone.
- BTC Dominance is still heavily suppressing the altcoin market, and I’d rather wait than risk rekting my followers with premature calls.
So why do I post about Cardano? :
- Simple, Cardano is one of the most established altcoins. It makes sense to track its evolution alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum. When you're analyzing the broader market cycle, starting with BTC, ETH, and ADA gives meaningful context. Newer cryptocurrencies from 2020+ don’t have the same historical data, which makes reliable analysis much harder.
Back to Trading (Everything is marked on the chart for easier reading) :
- Cardano got rejected around $1.25, which aligns with its 2018 ATH, a key historical resistance.
- Check the bullish megaphone pattern and how it connects with the trendline and that $1.25 level (marked with yellow dotted lines).
- Also observe the minor bounces and retests above the bearish triangle trendline (light blue).
What we can do now?
- Nothing. If BTC dips, altcoins will likely follow and get rekt.
Best strategy for now:
- Consider setting a buy order around $0.41 (don’t go all in).
- Keep some dry powder in case of further downside, potentially to rebuy around $0.21 if pressure continues.
Be wise, be patient, ride the wave, don’t fight it.
Happy Tr4Ding !
$VET USD 1HR INCOMING PUMP?Structure & Zones
Price is trading between a clear supply zone above and a demand zone below, offering defined areas for reaction.
Two unfilled FVGs on the 1D timeframe above current price could act as magnet zones for price continuation.
A 4H FVG just beneath current price is nearly filled — potential area for a bullish bounce.
Three psychological price levels are marked and align with Fibonacci and FVG targets, likely to act as resistance zones if price pushes higher.
Trend & Pattern
High timeframe (HTF) remains bullish, supported by the formation of a rounding bottom — a strong reversal structure suggesting accumulation.
Lower timeframe (LTF) is showing short-term bearishness as price pulls back and retests key support/trendline.
Price is holding above a bullish trendline, maintaining structure unless a breakdown occurs.
Volume & Momentum
The OBV indicator shows a broken rising wedge, signaling a possible momentum slowdown or short-term correction.
Anchored volume profile reveals high volume beneath price — indicating that previous trading activity supports current levels and adds bullish confluence.
Outlook & Trade Consideration
Bias remains bullish overall, supported by HTF structure and unfilled FVG targets above.
A potential pullback into the 0.5–0.618 fib retracement zone or into the 4H FVG could present long entry opportunities.
On continuation, price may target the daily FVGs and psychological levels as resistance or take-profit zones.
Watch for a rejection at fib/psych levels or breakdown below the bullish trendline to reassess bias.
Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle Structure – Technical BreakdownBitcoin 4-Year Cycle Structure – Technical Breakdown
This chart examines Bitcoin’s historical 4-year cycle behaviour, focusing on the repeating market structure observed across the last three cycles: Bull Market → Bear Market → Accumulation/Recovery → Halving → Expansion.
Key Observations:
🔹 Cycle Timing Consistency
Each of the past three cycles has shown a consistent duration between the halving and the final bull market peak—typically between 500–550 days. Based on that timing, the current cycle suggests we are still ~100 days away from a potential macro top.
🔹 Post-Halving Correction is Expected
Corrections shortly after the halving have historically marked mid-cycle retracements, not macro tops. The current pullback is structurally aligned with the 2017 and 2021 expansions, where Bitcoin consolidated before pushing to final highs.
🔹 Altcoin Market Segments Lagging
TOTAL2 (Total Market Cap excluding BTC)
TOTAL3 (Excluding BTC & ETH)
OTHERS (Altcoins excluding top 10 by market cap)
All remain below their prior cycle all-time highs, which historically occurs before the full market cycle concludes. These segments often accelerate after BTC has established dominance, typically in the later stages of the bull market.
🔹 USDT Dominance Suggests More Upside
USDT.D is still trending down, which historically reflects increasing risk appetite and capital rotation into crypto assets. Prior cycle tops have aligned with much lower dominance levels, indicating further downside risk for USDT.D, and potential upside for crypto markets.
Conclusion:
Despite short-term volatility, the technical structure across Bitcoin and broader market indicators suggests the cycle remains in its expansion phase. Timing models, altcoin lag, and dominance signals all point to further upside potential before a full cycle peak is in.
1W:
1M:
HolderStat┆ADAUSD BULLISH BOUNCEBYBIT:ADAUSDT is squeezing out of its falling-channel floor, carving a clean higher-low right above 0.66. That move flips a month-long consolidation into a fresh trend-restart signal. A steady bid on top of the diagonal keeps the bias pointing north-east; reclaiming 0.71 unlocks the 0.77 target where the upper megaphone meets prior supply. Break that and the “new-highs” narrative returns to center stage.
Alt Season: When’s the Big Boom?TOTALE100 refers to small caps or the total market capitalization of the top 100 cryptocurrencies , excluding stablecoins. It is part of the CRYPTOCAP series.
It measures the total combined market cap (price × circulating supply) of the top 100 crypto assets by market cap.
Useful for:
* Gauging overall market strength or weakness.
* Spotting macro-level trends or capital inflows/outflows into the crypto sector.
Technical Outlook:
On the weekly chart, the price is facing rejection at 16B, forming a triple-top distribution pattern.
For positioning in small caps, we should wait for a price pullback to the key support zone between 5B and 3B.
SPX6900: From base building to history making.Price is fractal, right? RIGHT?!
Before the recent run, SPX6900 printed almost the same setup.
See it yourself....
Now it’s playing that over-under dance near ATH (#2). Classic. Build the base, shake the tourists.
Then comes the move... THE move.
First stop: $10.
After that, a quick push into the $50-70 zone.
Once the weak hands get flushed, $100 becomes the next base.
Long term? Way higher.
If the community keeps growing.
If people stay tired of the same rigged game.
This could and probably will make history....
Like Murad says: stop trading. Believe in something.
We’re still SO early.
This is just a "Classical charting style fractal analysis..." but the reality is that... there is no Chart. ...