Altseason
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) Approaching 2024 Altcoin SeasonLooking at the 1W time frame of the Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) chart, it looks like it's time for the market to transition from being primarily Bitcoin-dominated to altcoin-dominated.
We've seen the writing on the wall with Bitcoin making headline after headline regarding United States Spot ETFs or the halving event. Now that the majority of investors are sucked into Bitcoin, timeline shifts into altcoins. We can see that through the news now with the attention picking up on Ethereum (not discrediting Solana growth by any means, it's still small enough in market cap where it doesn't marginally change the TOTAL2 cap or this chart). Ethereum has the impending United States Spot ETFs approval as well as regulatory clarity coming around Uniswap, and from that I'd assume we'd get some sort or clarity regarding memecoins as well, sending that respective market flying with a green light for institutional investors to invest.
Bitcoin is trying to grab attention or hold it's relativity now with Ordinals and L2s, and that's great! Let's say though you buy PUPS, that's considered part of TOTAL2 or bringing down the capitalization of Bitcoin relative to the rest of the crypto market. I'm expecting this trend to continue where Bitcoin holders are using their coins on-chain for these activities, ultimately dragging the BTC.D cap down with it.
This time around, I don't see the possibility of Bitcoin reaching the previous 72.04% level due to the sheer amount of tokens and liquidity flying around these smid caps. Each Bitcoin Dominance cycle or Bitcoin cycle for that matter, the altcoin seasons get less and less intense due to the amount of relativity they have compared to Bitcoin at all seasons instead of just during altcoin season. Around this 55% range is mid-range of this free-fall seen in 2021, and where orders are resting. We could see Bitcoin Dominance either range in this area or start free-falling, either way I don't see a market where we re-claim that 72.04% or push much higher for that matter.
Also, hearing a lot of talk about this cycle being over, cannot tell if they're joking or not, but we haven't seen that altcoin season euphoria yet. That is yet to come.
An interesting observation here we can see the 2021 altcoin season took 1085 days to build up from the bottom to the top of Bitcoin dominance, and this 2024 season is right on par with that 1085 days before the cycle ultimately starts. This Bitcoin cycle is a little bit different, so we'll see how this chart plays out this time around, but I remember last cycle, 2021, I called the 72.04% Bitcoin Dominance wick to the Tee. Could be longer, who knows, but so far this chart is playing out and figured I'd give an update.
The 2021 altcoins season lasted almost that full year of 2021, but as we can see on the chart, the major move happened between January - May 2021, those 5 months. If history were to repeat itself, we should see this cycle's main move play out in 5 months too.
PEPE - DOWNTREND, another DUMP coming 📢📢 PEPE-USDT📢
PEPE has seen an amazing bull cycle, increasing 800% parabolically over a few week. It's safe to say that just from this fact, a bear market is up next and we can already see the sins of an early bear market starting.
Our highly accurate technical indicator is showing that the bullish phase is long over, flashing a "SELL" signal a few candles back:
When we start to trade UNDER the green trendline, the price turns bearish and the trendline will now become red. For now, at least, it seems as though altseason may be over.
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BINANCE:PEPEUSDT
🚀 Catch the Classic Rise: ETCUSD Long Trade Alert! 🚀Hello, Traders! Looking to spice up your portfolio with a flavor of classic gains? Let's break down why Ethereum Classic (ETCUSD) is gearing up for a notable uptrend and why you might not want to miss out!
Current Summary for ETCUSD
Currently, there's no direct news about Ethereum Classic, but we can contextualize its position in the broader crypto market. Recent significant crypto transactions involve a whale depositing a substantial amount of ETH into Binance. This action signals potential volatility or strategic positioning in the market, which indirectly affects all related cryptocurrencies, including ETC.
For example, a whale deposited 11,550 ETH into Binance, worth about $37 million. This move might suggest a preparation for price movement or a strategic shift in holdings. Such large-scale activities often impact market sentiment and can lead to price fluctuations across the board, including for Ethereum Classic. 🐋
Although these activities primarily involve Ethereum, they reflect general market behaviors that could influence Ethereum Classic, given their shared blockchain heritage and investor base.
Why Go Long on ETCUSD?
Ethereum Classic's transaction value in USD recently dipped to a noteworthy low of $523.06. Why care? Historically, such lows have been the catapults for upward price trends. This isn't just a hunch — data dives deep!
Big Data Insights 📊:
On-chain metrics have shown a pattern — when certain metrics fall, ETC tends to bounce back stronger, much like a phoenix rising from its ashes. Here’s the scoop:
Transaction Value USD : Below $1150.6
Puell Multiple : Below 1.3 (52-day change below -0.1)
Total Fees in USD : Below $70
Each time these conditions were met historically, ETCUSD saw a median price increase of 24.19% over the following three months. We've crunched numbers from 11 similar past events, showing an impressive 85% of those periods ended in price surges. 💹
Price Projections:
1 Week : $27.4473 📈
2 Weeks : $27.9672 📈
1 Month : $30.4003 📈
3 Months : $33.7996 📈
6 Months : $36.3007 📈
Trade Strategy:
Take Profit: $34.7601
Stop Loss: $24.605
🌟 Why Follow This Trade?
It's backed by consistent historical data, promising a high accuracy and attractive risk-reward ratio. This isn’t just trading—it’s trading with the wisdom of the crowd, refined through big data!
Let's ride the wave of historical momentum with Ethereum Classic. Are you in? Drop a comment, share your views, or toss a like if you're ready to catch the classic rise! 🌊🏄
LINKUSDTLINKUSDT have done a perfect impulse to the upside in 1 2 3 4 5 Wave. After that it is correcting the entire impulse. For now it looks like it is going the collection in WXY. The 1:1 Extension and the .618 Golden pocket lines are perfectly. This chart looks extremely bullish. Let's see if we get a good reaction around the golden pocket. NFA.
SOLANA - $600 on the Cards?👀📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈
Solana has made some great increases, and it's retraced back to support levels. I've been bullish on Solana since the beginning of 2024, when SOL was still sub $100. Take a look here at other altcoins that we've been watching:
By looking at the Drop-and-Pop fractal we've been watching, we can conclude that for the short term, the support zones should hold at $140, with wicks as low as $120. When incorporating this into Elliot Wave Theory, our next impulse up (wave 4-5) should take us to roughly $290.
But it doesn't end there. When we zoom out, and view the chart from a macro perspective, we see a different structure of Elliot waves... We're possibly still in wave 0-1! And if we use the same Elliot wave ratios to calculate wave 5, (% of wave 1 OR 161.8 x wave 1 length) then wave 4-5 takes us even beyond $600.
It's important to note though, that this is a multi-month and potentially multi-year target. Although SOL has previously increased 500% in a few weeks, the markets are more mature than they were in early days with many more adopters and institutional investors joining the game.
If you found this content helpful, please remember to hit like and subscribe and never miss a moment in the markets.
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COINBASE:SOLUSDT BINANCE:SOLUSDT
Alt-coin market preparing for a 10x moveAmazingly everyone is still bearish. The ideas on Tradingview talk for a 30-40% correction as does much of social media. Popular cypto Youtube channels share a similar narrative. Terrific stuff.
As a contrarian my opinion is very different from the crowd. Whether that be stocks or crypto. Am certainly walking in the opposite direction from everyone else.
The above 4-day is chart is the Crypto market total without Bitcoin. Some highlights:
1) Price action has broken out of a 2-year resistance trend line.
2) The resistance has now confirmed as support.
3) The green line. This is the GRM. The Golden Ratio Multiplier. When price action closes candle bodies above here, big moves will follow. Just as candle bodies first closed under the GRM back in April 2022. Look left. Big moves come next.
5) The 10x comes from the the wedge breakout. The flag pole is used to measure the market top following a break of past resistance when the 2021 bull market began.
A word of warning. The uptrend will not be equal across all alt-tokens, I'm quite certain of that. Throwing a wide net out across the market will not work as in 2017, you've got to be selective. Chose wisely!
Is it possible the market corrects further? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Don’t you just love recessions?
Ww
4 Market Cap charts and SMA & VRVP- A Warning for Lower Cap ALTSThe Main Chart is the TOTAL Crypto Market Cap and it shows us how the Market is sitting on the Daily POC ( Red Dotted line ) off the VRVP and is gettign sandwiched between the 50 SMA ( RED) Above and the 100 ( BLUE ) Below. - All in all, After the weeks of Ranging, The PA is in Good shape but that VRVP doe sshow resistance over head and possible Lack of support below.
TOTAL2 Daily chart below
Again, PA is loosely sandwiched between the 50 and 100 SMA but the point to note here is how far below the POC ( point of control ) PA is. Signifies a weakness in ETH compared to BTC
TOTAL3 Dail;y chart below - TOTAL3 shows the total market capitalization of the top-125 cryptocurrencies, excluding BTC and ETH.
Again, PA finds itself in a position to get squeezed by the 50 and 100 SMA but one VERY noticeable difference is that PA is ABOVE the POC.
This shows us that the Bigger ALT coins could drop further but there is support below.
I would also interpret this to show that ETH and its ALTS are the weaker compared to other Chains.
OTHERS Daily chart below - #THE ONE TO SEE HERE - OTHERS shows the total market capitalization of the top-125 cryptocurrencies, excluding BTC and some other top cryptocurrencies.
The Thing to see here above all else is how the PA has already dropped BELOW the 100 SMA ( blue) - It has not done that on any other the other charts.
This shows us the bigger Loss is on the ALTS compared to BTC.
Again, you'll notice how the PA is below the POC.
The conclusion I draw from this is simply that BITCOIN is holding the market in higher Value than anything else. The ETH charts are weaker and below the POC ( point of control ) on the VRVP.
Definition. Visible Range Volume Profile (VRVP) indicator calculates the volume profile within the visible range of prices, making it an ideal tool for traders who want to analyze the most recent market trends
This simplified Point of Control (POC) indicator for TradingView is designed to identify and plot the price level where the highest volume of trading occurred over a specified period.
The Idea of ALT Season that so many have called is FLAWED>
We are no where near that yet.
BITCOIN dominancehello dear trader and investors
there are two senario for biton dominancee
1/ if dominance hit the top of uptrend channel (58 -59.8 ) sell zone 2 willbe activated and altseason actice from here
2/ if dominance breakdown uptrend channel on 54
To invest, make sure you have a portfolio and make buy your altcoin step by stepThe post 85% of Altcoins Are in Historic Buy Zone: Santiment Report appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News
If we take a general look at the sentiments of the crypto community, we realize that altcoins are often seen shadowing the dramatic volatility of their big brother, Bitcoin. However, an on-chain analytics firm, Santiment, has given us a fresh look at altcoins.
Santiment’s report suggests that a pivotal shift may be on the horizon for these alternative digital assets. According to their data, most altcoins are positioned in a historic “opportunity zone.”
Santiment’s Report on the MVRV Ratio
According to our model, the mid-term gains and losses by average wallets indicate heavy realized losses across most #altcoins. Over 85% of assets we track are in a historic opportunity zone when calculating the market value to realized value (MVRV) of wallets' collective… pic.twitter.com/NogkCSH5PG
— Santiment (@santimentfeed) April 25, 2024
The Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio is a renowned metric utilized by cryptocurrency analysts to gauge the market condition of digital assets. This indicator compares the market cap, which reflects the current market valuation of an asset’s circulating supply, with the realized cap which represents the aggregate cost basis of the asset investors hold.
“Santiment’s MVRV ratio model shows that over 85% of altcoins are currently in an opportunity zone based on their collective returns over 1-month, 3-month, and 6-month cycles,” notes the firm.
This unique zone, delineated by the MVRV metric, highlights periods where the potential for price increases is enhanced, ostensibly due to the prevailing market undervaluation relative to historical data.
Indications for Investors
The analysis indicates that the bulk of altcoins are not just surviving but potentially thriving, setting the stage for what many in the crypto community would call an ‘altseason’. This period is characterized by a surge in altcoin prices, often outpacing Bitcoin and disrupting traditional market correlations.
“It may be justified to buy while there is growing fear seeping in from the crowd after all of these market cap dips,” suggests Santiment.
This sentiment is backed by their MVRV data, which hints at a robust comeback as investors begin recognizing the undervalued state of many assets.
Strategic Investment Approaches
For investors looking to capitalize on these insights, Santiment provides detailed analytics through their Sanbase PRO platform, which is accessible via a special trial offer.
Moreover, enthusiasts and analysts can dive deeper into this data through tools and models provided by Santiment, such as their Sansheets plugin and API services.
As the digital asset landscape matures, tools like the MVRV ratio offer valuable insights that help navigate its volatility. With over 85% of altcoins currently in the opportunity zone, the market seems ripe for a potential uptrend, beckoning both seasoned traders and curious investors.
In summary, leveraging advanced analytical tools to understand market sentiments and asset valuations could not only demystify the complexities of crypto investments but also highlight timely opportunities for market entry.
good luck
Skate To Where The Puck is Going To Be. Not Where It Has BeenThere’s a Wayne Gretzky quote that’s been repeated in thousands, and thousand meetings, PowerPoint presentations, and I’ll repeat it here, on TradingView:
"Skate to where the puck is going, not where it has been".
It’s a wonderful thought: Instead of chasing what’s already happened, try to get a step ahead! And hey: Wayne Gretzky once scored 92 goals in an 80-game season, so he must know something about success.
Gretzky explains his style of play further:
People think that to be a good player you have just to pick the puck up, deke around ninety-three guys, and take this ungodly slap shot. No!
Let the puck do all the moving and you get yourself in the right place. I don't care if you're Carl Lewis, you can't out skate that little black thing. Just move the puck: give it up, get it back, give it up. It's like Larry Bird. The hardest work he does is getting open.
The jump shot is cake!
That's all hockey is open ice. That's my whole strategy: Find Open Ice.
Chicago coach Mike Keenan said it best: "There's a spot on the ice that's no-man's land, and all the good goal scorers find it." It's a piece of frozen real estate that's just in between the defense and the forward.
Here is just a small sample of some of the quote’s more prominent appearances in business:
👉 Steve Jobs: “There’s an old Wayne Gretzky quote that I love. I skate to where the puck is going to be, not to where it has been. And we’ve always tried to do that at Apple.” (You can listen to him say it here, in the first 10 seconds of a tribute video Apple put together upon Jobs’s death, which is no doubt behind the spike in the Apple shares chart since 2011).
👉 Warren Buffett said on stock market pessimists in 2008: "In waiting for the comfort of good news, they are ignoring Wayne Gretzky’s advice: ‘I skate to where the puck is going to be, not to where it has been."
👉 John Roth, former CEO of Nortel in 2001: "So we’re looking at this and saying, "When the customers have money again, when will that be and which products do we have to have?" - making sure we go to where the puck is going to be."
That last one is a particularly useful reminder of the hollowness of so much corporate speak. Nortel didn’t just miss where the puck was or was going to be, it found itself stuck at home, waiting for someone to give it a lift to the rink.
Inspiration is something between us. It something is in the Open Air.
As a dozen (or so) BTC funds have been launched already, and 4th BTC Halving is in the History already, lets see the main graph to find out where we can inspire further.
A few days ago I found on TradingView this publication published by @CME_Group Bitcoin Halving 2024 – This Time It’s Different.
Thanks to @KevinSvenson_ and his Bitcoin Halving Cycle Profit script, I have to say:
"Who knows, some things may be different this time, but some things may be not".
The main graph is for BTC Market Cap Dominance (log scale). In technical terms we are near upper side of its long term bearish channel, where (based on 40-weeks cycle following each BTC halving) Q4'2024 or even early 2025 indeed is expected for Bearish continuation and further huge draw in BTC Dominance.
Bottom Line
Business has a long history of sports metaphors. Of course, there can be nothing on the charts 100% similar with Gretzky’s uncanny abilities.
Anyway, lets watch ahead of the BTC Dominance, to figure out what the market will look further from now.
$BTC bearish continuation#bitcoin price is declined hard from the top of the falling channel and 66600 #usd (getting more interesting) resistance zone. Now, #btc has weakened structure in short term.
Chart formed bearish head and shoulder pattern. I expect bearish continuation with choppy moves , dead cat bounces etc. The target may the bottom of the channel 57 - 58K zone. Also there' s nice liquidations there.
If #btcusd price follows this path, #altcoins will surely suffer more. When most of #altcoin prices retraces to their retest zone of 2023 October - 2024 march bull run, then i expect very favorable bounces from #alts there. We may see a minor #altseason when this happens. But i say "minor".
Not financial advice. DYOR.
SPELL Token --- Potential for a Inverse head & shoulders to formDCA buying in the right shoulder area
could be prove to be fruitful
when we get out general Altcoin rally
The investment thesis is quite simple
people will see that Fantom might be trading at a $1.50 soon enough
And think damn , I missed a 10X
what can I buy in the fantom the ecosystem to catch up that 10X
So they venture further down the risk spectrum
And find spell, spookyswap, tomb etc
You get the idea don't you
It's the same with people seeing BTC trade at 80K and thinking damn I missed that train what else can I buy???
Solana - SOL Fractal NO ONE talks about📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈
SOLANA is on the list of my top 20 altcoins to watch in 2024.
From a macro chart perspective, I'd like to point out a large-scale fractal that I'm labelling as the "drop-and-pop".
What we observe here is 1)accumulation phase followed by 2)first impulse up after which we se a 3)correction and then finally the 4)second impulse wave .
From a technical indicator view we know that the price is bullish because we see a "Overbought" flash on the weekly, which usually indicates strong bullish momentum :
Note that this, again, confirms the need for a pullback/drop before considering the start of impulse wave 2 /pop.
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BINANCE:SOLUSDT
SOL - Solana follows THIS FRACTAL📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈
Solana has made some great increases, and it's retraced back to support levels.
By looking at the Drop-and-Pop fractal we've been watching, we can conclude tat for the short term, the support zones should hold at $140, with wicks as low as $120.
We can also take a look at moving averages to get an idea of possible wick zones.
We should continue to trade above the 50d moving averages (green) for the price to remain bullish. Losing the 50d will be a bearish indicator:
"Overbought" flash in the weekly usually takes us into a short term correction phase, with prices trading closer to the green trendline:
If you found this content helpful, please remember to hit like and subscribe and never miss a moment in the markets.
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BINANCE:SOLUSDT
ENA/USDT TRADE SETUP! READY FOR A 100% PUMP!!Hello everyone, the Bitcoin halving is done, and it looks like the pre-halving bottom is also in place. Bitcoin dominance is rejecting its crucial resistance, so it's a good time to invest in alts. I'll try to share some good setups here in the next few days.
Here is the first setup of ENA/USDT. The chart looks good, forming a descending triangle. The breakout has occurred, and currently, it is retesting. Buy some here and add more on the dip.
Entry range: $1-$1.1 Target 1: $1.2 Target 2: $1.36 Target 3: $1.52 Target: $2.0
Stop Loss: $0.92
Use low leverage (2x-4x).
If you like this idea, please support it with a like and comment. Also, don't forget to press the follow button for more trade setups.
Thank you!
SOL - Similar Re-Accumulation Last CycleLast cycle we had a re-accumulation that looked just like this, and it was from the exact same levels. Scroll left and go take a look. I pulled the fractal and overlaid it for comparison. This is how I'm expecting it to happen. It's also worth noting that BTC and ETH also have a re-accumulation that matches up with last cycle's fractal. This big dump was the spring and now we have hidden bullish divergences on the daily across all of the altcoins