v e l o d r o m egood evening.
haven’t posted publicly about velodrome in a while.
privately?
plenty.
last private post:
---
tonight marks day one of alt season.
most were waiting for this moment, hoping for it, convinced they were ready,,, until they weren’t. until the rug was pulled right before it began. they watched it slip through their fingers.
and that feeling will haunt them. every green candle, every new high, every alt that explodes without them. they will tell themselves they’ll buy back in, that they’ll catch the next dip, that they’ll get another chance.
but they won’t.
because by the time they realize what’s happening,
we’ll already be too high, too far gone, too deep in the run.
---
confession:
we pulled the rug.
for a reason.
for the future of velodrome.
now that we hold all of the supply,
there are no interruptions.
nobody left to sell.
nobody standing in our way.
the top forms,
when we decide it forms.
until then,
enjoy the ride.
#superchain
🌙
Altseason
TradeCityPro | BTC.D The Best Way to Find Alt Season!👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let's go together to one of my favorite charts, which is actually a topic that has made the crypto market easier, and if it weren't for these dominances, I would probably go to analyze Forex together.
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together.
This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
In the weekly time frame, Bitcoin dominance has had a very good upward trend and after the 39.40 to 47 percent box exit, this upward trend has begun, and I must also say that supply and demand There is no demand for this chart and many lines cannot be interpreted in it
After the resistance level of 54.20 was broken, we were bullish the entire time and this chart was practically telling us that it is better to go and pay attention to Bitcoin itself than to be involved in buying baskets and other things and Bitcoin itself is going to give more profit during this period
And another argument arises that if you pay attention, most altcoins are at their bottoms, while Bitcoin is completely above its ceiling of $69,000 compared to previous bull runs and only altcoins that were in a good position compared to Bitcoin were profitable, such as solbtc, and this shows that the time for strange profits for most altcoins has not yet come
When will this happen? When the market is bullish, Bitcoin dominance starts to fall and money flows from Bitcoin itself into other altcoins, and that is when altcoins are just starting to come alive and make a good move, like in 2021.
See the chart above, there is a chart that shows the fall of Bitcoin dominance in the weekly time frame, while the market has made a short correction and is going to record a new high again, and now the reaction of altcoins in this space is interesting.
Now we have the chart of this event. We see that during the fall of Bitcoin dominance, it was the time when the majority of the charts started to move, and altcoins experienced a Sharpe rise, and money flowed from Bitcoin into altcoins, and the btc altcoin pair became bullish, and this shows that we are witnessing alt season.
Now what happens? On the chart, I would say that we have entered the alt season? Weekly engulfing of Bitcoin dominance or a sharp decline and rest. On the other hand, I think we are at the end of the uptrend because there is really more money on altcoins and other events, and this money is staked, so we probably won't see any other numbers. On the other hand, when we reach 40%, we can say that our alt season is over!
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
This Coin Is A POWERHOUSE MartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and sharing my thoughts on AAVE here.
AAVE is looking beautiful , very strong chart for more upside
Very similar to XRO which mooned from this structure
Do not miss out on AAVE as this is a great opportunity
Watch video for more details
FET | ALTCOINS | Fetch.AI - GREAT Re-Accumulation ZoneFET was one of my top altcoins for 2024, and it did not disappoint after a 500%+ increase early last year.
FET has since been trading in a major corrective cycle, with near-term bounces (also called mid-cycles or mini-cycles).
A great re-accumulation zone is approaching, and it's possible that FET may trade range before making another push for the upside.
Make sure you don't miss yesterday's update on another great alt, ARKM:
______________
BINANCE:FETUSDT
BTC.D Update = What happened to the ALT SEASON?I had this possibility on the back of my mind but didn't think it'd play out since things are much different this time
I obviously missed the last downward movement (even though I had it marked on USDT.D + some alts)
PS. Trust me, BS news you see is just an excuse. It's almost always in the chart (in this case, tariffs) = This is how I was able to predict 5th August bottom (in that case, it was the Japanese Yen news but in reality, it's all in the chart but I missed it this time and I'll accept it, I was too busy so never looked at it.. the reason I stopped posting after November)
It would be wonderful if you guys interact and keep things on your panel too!
USDT.D (how to find local reversals? no alt season this cycle?) sorry I forgot to post it here a week ago after the crash
I had that shit marked (small green box for a powerful reversal), which hit in the first week of December, but I forgot to check it out—lol, was too busy with other things = can anyone at least remind me or everyone's a lazy ass like me, these days?
Anyway, it was a perfect local top indication (USDT.D along with other macro charts are the best possible indicators for local top/bottom. One must capture these beautiful reversals where you have at least 80% of confidence, to accumulate more and more of your favorite tokens)
Trust me, BS news you see is just an excuse. It's almost always in the chart (in this case, tariffs) = This is how I was able to predict 5th August bottom (in that case, it was the Japanese Yen news but in reality, it's all in the chart but I missed it this time and I'll accept it, I was to busy so never looked at it.. the reason I stopped posting after November)
Good thing we still haven't reclaimed the macro trendline.
and look what happens after such long wicks into resistances ... (5th August one, 22nd Jan, and last year's)
and CT getting bearish? I get it that normie retails are fearful but good big CTs ???
This cycle really is different...
LOWER it now !!! (obviously there are many other confluences I've found but I'm too lazy to mention all that here)
PS. Yes, there will be an alt season and it will catch many off guard since most have lost hope and capitulated already.
It would be wonderful if you guys interact and keep things on your panel too, so we don't miss any market movements!!! I don't Trade full time, it's just 1/4 of my gigs
Altcoin Season - 2017 vs 2021 vs 2025OTHERS/BTC is a good barometer for "Altcoin Season"
OTHERS charts the total market cap of every crypto excluding the Top 10 by market cap tokens
BTC is charting BTC by market cap
It's obvious we are in 4 year cycles, and obvious this season starts after BTC breaks all-time high.
The idea is simple - BTC breaking all-time high increases awareness from the public. People then enter into BTC. After they enter into BTC, they look further down the risk curve (altcoins). 2017, then 2021, now 2025. The "Altcoin Season" typically lasts for ~1 year.
Everyone in the crypto world is freaking out right now, calling for the cycle to be over with and that "altcoins are dead" --- this happens at this point every cycle. If you have been here for 8+ years, you will notice the same pattern repeating in people's emotions/psychology.
Steady Lads, "Altcoin Season" is coming soon.
- CURB (@CryptoCurb)
CELO LONGCelo has bounced every time it touched the lower range around $0.40, usually reaching at least $0.25.However, given the current market conditions, I expect either more downside or a sideways movement in the next few days.
The Stoch RSI is gearing up for a bullish cross on the weekly, but historically, the first cross is often followed by a negative one, before a second bullish cross that truly pushes the price higher. So while we might see some short-term upside, we should also be prepared for lower prices before a more significant rally kicks in.
This Breakout Will Trigger Massive Altseason!Hello, Skyrexians!
According to your activity we noticed that you are interested in Bitcoin and CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.D analysis. This is not a top secret because everyone wants to know when altseason will be started. In our recent we warned you about drop for altcoins dominance below the support level and it happened next day. Now we have the potentially reversal signal, be need to wait for it's confirmation.
On the weekly chart we can count the previous massive altseason as the wave 3. Previously we considered corrective wave 4 as the triangle shaped, but now it looks like classical ABC. If this is correct, dump on dominance can continue, but the potential reversal signal has been flashed by the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator . This signal still has not been confirmed, but if candles will break 9% the huge rally in wave 5 is incoming - true altseason.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
___________________________________________________________
Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
ARKM | ALTCOINS | Is another 400% Increase Possible??ARKM is an altcoin that has great upside potential, and it's approaching a key support zone - the opening levels.
The good news, is that the corrective pattern (in the macro timeframe) is nearly over. However, there are large bounces possible between these zones that look "small" in the weekly timeframe:
_____________________
BINANCE:ARKMUSDT
BTCUSDT Analysis BTC broke the downtrend line, and bullish momentum is on. The price bounced after the breakout point (green region) retest of $95,611, reaffirming firm support.
Hoping for a potential 6.76% return at $102,431!
The bulls will remain dominant if BTC stays above $95,611. A dip below this level will disrupt the setup.
Bitcoin Dominance and DXY pattern correlation!Is the bitcoin dominance correlated to the DXY?
So far... I think so. Chart pattern wise anyway.
So, according to the DXY, if the Dominance follows this pattern we should be in the biggest altseason to date. But it could be the last one for a while as there could be a 90% to 95% flush out of alts coming.
This would crush all altcoin belief and get rid of all the shit coins. Lets be honest at this point it's needed to flush out all this garbage, it's too much.
Then knew cycle would start over and follow with a massive altseason bigger than anything ever. Don't get excited just yet, it not happen until 2033 or later.
Also according to this chart, dominace can go a bit higher to 72% before it starts to fall. lets see
That's all I have here, I just wanted to put it out here. If you want more analysis on this I have put out a comprehensive video on my tictik and youtube page.
Remember, this is not financial advice.
Kind regards,
Demetrios
TOTAL 3Everything is clear; just look at the past chart. There are two scenarios. In any case, we should see a sharp move in altcoins soon.
My personal opinion is that the blue box scenario will play out within the next 2 to 6 months. If Ethereum rises above $3,000, altcoins will begin their growth.
Bitcoin Dominance | Leading Alt Season? Or Continuation Decline?| CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D | 🔎 Weekly Analysis
As you may know. alt seasons depend on a decline in BTC.D.
BTC.D is calculated as the ratio of Bitcoin’s market capitalization to the total market capitalization of the digital asset space. When BTC.D falls, it indicates that capital is flowing out of Bitcoin into altcoins or stablecoins such as USDT, USDC, RLUSD and others.
••• BTC Dominance (BTC.D) during past alt season.
⏪ Now that we understand what BTC.D is, let's examine its behavior during previous alt season. As marked in the chart, BTC.D has experienced an uptrend. After a breakout, it pushed to new high within the upward channel, and as expected, a reversal occurred! (Price Action Rules)
••• Current state of BTC.D.
▶️ After a significant spike, it is currently following an upward channel.
A spike followed by a channel pattern is a common price action occurrence.
As Marked in the chart, similar to previous alt seasons, BTC.D has experienced a breakout from the upward channel and has pushed to new high. Therefore, we can expect a potential reversal!
🔳 Final words
Is it time to buy some altcoins? If you ask me, it's not yet time to invest. We cannot predict whether a reversal is happening or not. Since we avoid taking unnecessary risks, we should wait for clear sign of reversal in the BTC.D
❤️🔥 Thanks for reading my idea!
The elusive alt season... Is QE coming soon?The magical Alt season never seems to come. Most have thrown in the towel or lost all their money, which is a good sign the bottom is in.
The secret here is paying close attention to the FED's (FRED:WALCL) Quantitative tightening and easing.
Since the start in 2008, we have always either had QE or some sort of pause like you see in the 2016/17 bull run, but as soon as the FED flips to tightening, what happens? BTC pauses.
It is true that Bitcoin has performed very well during tightening cycles, as massive corporations like BlackRock and MicroStrategy are eating through the supply.
As for the altcoin market, it has been a bloodbath. One thing that’s clear to me is that altcoins need the FED to flip to QE in order to get things really going.
Going over the latest FED's Monetary Policy Report that came out yesterday, it hints that they are close to ending their tightening cycle and easing off a bit.
**WHICH IS HUGE NEWS!**
We can now see that this is true indeed because the red line is now starting to flatten out, just like in 2020 before the FED flipped to QE.
As far as the technicals go, the altcoin chart has now formed an ascending triangle and, for now, is still printing higher lows. 20 days left for this monthly candle to close.
If, let's say, this monthly candle breaks ATH and closes above it, it could signal the start of the alt season, and if history repeats, we’re looking at a run-up from March 2025 to September/October 2025.
So the next FOMC meeting from the FED is the most important of the year. Now that this report hints at the end of the tightening cycle, is it possible that at the next FOMC meeting on March 18th, 2025, they will announce the end of tightening and trigger the start of the alt season?
Pretty heavy upper wick for now on the BTC.D. It’s currently on the .702 retracement. Is this the top?
A chart I use a lot. Really want to see this monthly candle close back into this triangle.
**Alts/USDT.D**
This chart is one of the most important ones I’m looking at right now. Currently forming a bump-and-run reversal, and again, very bullish if we hold the neckline.
The USDT.D chart will always lead the way. It’s always one step ahead, never fails me. Until we see a break of this green support line, we won’t see ALT season. The bear flag pattern target is the same target as April 2021, which is interesting.
As I published on my ETH TA, if we close the weekly in this channel, it will be very bullish.
### Conclusion
I'm extremely bullish right now. Leverage has been reset, greed has been reset, and everyone is throwing in the towel. On social media, "it's over" talk is everywhere. This is the kind of depression I'm looking for to tell me it’s the start of ALT season and not the end.
**Invalidation of this thesis would be the following:**
- ETH closes weekly under the channel
- Bump-and-run reversal fails to hold the neckline
- FED does not flip to QE in the FOMC meeting on March 18th
If all these things happen, I will flip bearish. Until then, I'm extremely confident that this is the bottom, and you should go all out, lay all the cards down, take out loans, put all your chips on the table—it’s time to go hard or go home!
Bitcoin Dominance Pumping , Is the Altcoin Market in Trouble ?Bitcoin dominance has broken a significant resistance level, signaling a shift in market dynamics. The previous double top formation has completely failed, and dominance is now sustaining above the prior highs. This development has bearish implications for altcoins, as Bitcoin's growing market share typically leads to capital outflows from the altcoin sector.
Key Points on the Chart
Double Top Failure & Breakout Confirmation
The market was previously forming a double top pattern, a classic reversal setup that often signals a potential decline.
However, BTC dominance not only broke the double top resistance but has held above it for multiple days, confirming bullish continuation.
A failed double top often results in a strong move upward, as short-sellers covering their positions add to the momentum.
Ascending Channel Structure
The chart shows BTC dominance moving within a rising wedge/ascending channel formation.
The breakout above the mid-channel resistance suggests an acceleration in trend strength, increasing the likelihood of BTC dominance rising further. As long as dominance stays within this structure, Bitcoin will likely outperform the altcoin market.
Key Support & Resistance Levels
56.44% level was a major resistance in the past and is now a confirmed support zone.
61.91% (current level) marks the breakout region, now acting as new support.
If dominance continues its uptrend, the next potential resistance area could be 66%–68%, marking the upper boundary of the trend.
Impact on Altcoins
Altcoin Weakness Likely to Continue
Historically, when BTC dominance increases, altcoins tend to bleed as capital rotates toward Bitcoin. Many altcoins may struggle to gain momentum unless BTC dominance reverses from this region.
Conditions for Altcoin Recovery
For altcoins to regain strength, BTC dominance must decline from this breakout zone.
A rejection from the upper trendline (~64%–66%) could create a temporary relief rally in altcoins.
Altcoin Seasonal Trends
Typically, altcoins start recovering once BTC dominance peaks and shows weakness.
Until then, Bitcoin remains the safer bet, while altcoins carry higher risk.
Trading Considerations & Strategy
For BTC holders: The breakout suggests strong dominance continuation, meaning Bitcoin may remain the best-performing asset in the short term.
For altcoin traders: Monitor Bitcoin dominance closely a drop back below 60% would be the first sign of relief for altcoins.
For market timing: If BTC dominance approaches 64%–66%, a potential rejection could provide entry points for altcoins.
Bitcoin dominance has broken a crucial structure, signaling altcoin weakness and Bitcoin strength. Until BTC dominance reverses or consolidates, altcoins may struggle to gain momentum. Watch the 64%–66% zone for signs of exhaustion if BTC dominance starts rejecting from there, it could mark the beginning of an altcoin resurgence.