Altseason isn’t cancelled, it’s just delayed. Here's WHY!CRYPTOCAP:BTC Dominance Update:
Altseason isn’t cancelled, it’s just delayed.
The key zone to watch is 69.5%–73% dominance. That’s where we’re likely to see a strong rejection if it doesn't start soon, which seems unlikely given the current circumstances.
The longer it takes to reach that level, the stronger the altcoin rally will be once it hits.
This isn’t hope, it’s exactly what the charts are showing.
Historically, 70% dominance has acted as a major reversal zone.
If there are signs of reversal before this level, I'll let you know beforehand.
So follow me if you don't and share this chart with your crypto friends.
Do not forget to keep cash/stables!
Let me know what you think in the comments.
Thank you
#PEACE
Altseason2025
Altcoin Season - Just around the corner!!!In this analysis I share my hypothesis on #OTHERS CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS as to why the big awaited alt season is right around the corner !
After analysing how the Trump mania season unfolded, I could see plenty of similarities:
1. Price filled the supply before the last retrace - gray rectangle
2. Then it broke the downtrend line and made a decent move up - red dot
3. Price correction to the 618 retrace on fib AND in the supply -> became demand from #1
4. RSI formed a hidden bullish divergence, marking a potential start of the rally
5. Time passed from #2 trendline breakout to the big impulse -> around 50 days
-> now we are around 60 days, which means more time to accumulate, bigger impulse
In an ideal scenario, the total OTHERS cap (all crypto excluding top 10) should at least reach the last high of 450 billions, and to pour some hopium, to around 600-700 billions...
So if you filled your bags around recent prices on your alts, you should expect at least 10-20x imo!
OP / USDT 4hr PUMP INCOMING? OP/USDT – 4H Chart Summary
Market Structure:
4H Timeframe:
- Price consolidating within a descending triangle/wedge pattern, indicating potential buildup before a breakout.
- Lower Timeframes (1H and below): Bearish trend structure with lower highs and lows.
- OBV (On-Balance Volume): Forming a wedge—suggesting accumulation or distribution phase nearing a breakout.
Key Zones:
Demand Zone (Support):
- 0.5483 – 0.6351
This area has provided strong support historically. A clean break below could signal continuation of the larger downtrend.
Supply Zone (Resistance):
- 0.9068 – 1.0414
-Historically rejected price; high probability of reversal or consolidation if revisited.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
- FVG 1: 0.6659 – 0.6838
- FVG 2: 0.7024 – 0.7308
These inefficiency zones are likely to attract price if bullish momentum builds. Watch for potential short-term rejection or continuation setups here.
Volume Profile:
Strongest volume node (high liquidity zone) sits between 0.7470 – 0.8000
Suggests this area has been heavily traded and may act as magnet/resistance if approached again.
Fibonacci Confluence:
Previous swing high at 0.8232 aligns with the 0.618–0.65 golden pocket
A critical zone for potential take-profit or trend reversal on a breakout.
Scenarios:
Bullish Case:
If price holds above 0.6351 and bounces, look for:
- Retest of FVG 1, followed by FVG 2.
- Breakthrough of 0.7308 could target the golden pocket and swing high at 0.8232.
- Sustained bullish move may reach the supply zone above 0.9068.
Bearish Case:
- Breakdown below 0.6351 and especially below 0.5483 would:
- Invalidate the wedge support.
- Confirm continuation of the macro downtrend.
-Open room for new lows and bearish expansion.
Conclusion:
Price is at a key decision point inside a wedge.
Reaction at 0.6351 is critical—support bounce targets higher inefficiencies; breakdown signals deeper bearish continuation.
OBV and volume structure suggest an imminent volatility spike—prepare for a breakout.
Alt Season: When’s the Big Boom?TOTALE100 refers to small caps or the total market capitalization of the top 100 cryptocurrencies , excluding stablecoins. It is part of the CRYPTOCAP series.
It measures the total combined market cap (price × circulating supply) of the top 100 crypto assets by market cap.
Useful for:
* Gauging overall market strength or weakness.
* Spotting macro-level trends or capital inflows/outflows into the crypto sector.
Technical Outlook:
On the weekly chart, the price is facing rejection at 16B, forming a triple-top distribution pattern.
For positioning in small caps, we should wait for a price pullback to the key support zone between 5B and 3B.
BTCUSDT – Strategy and Trend Probabilities for 2025In my opinion, Bitcoin (BTC) has become less interesting — there isn’t much room left for significant movement, and most of the “cream” has already been skimmed off. However, since it's essentially the index of the crypto market, I’m sharing this trading idea for context - to show where we currently are and what scenarios might unfold.
The price is globally moving within an ascending channel.
A secondary triangle pattern is forming.
Within this triangle, we can see the outlines of an inverse head and shoulders pattern - or possibly a cup and handle - both aligning with the channel’s resistance.
Potential scenarios:
a) Price breaks out of the triangle.
b) Price moves toward the triangle’s support, forming another wave inside it.
c) Price moves to retest the main ascending channel’s support.
d) Price fluctuates within the central range of the channel.
There aren't many options, and none of them would break the primary trend. Altcoin movements will largely depend on BTC’s behavior.
Therefore, it’s crucial to build a trading strategy that considers both the likely and less likely (but possible) outcomes.
Looking at the broader picture:
The previous minor altseason (winter 2024) was short and weak, except for a few coins.
There was no real secondary altseason in spring 2025.
Statistically, summer tends to be quiet - due to holidays and so on.
The first two points contradicted the expectations of most traders - so we’ll see how things play out with the third. If there's no altseason in summer either, then logically, winter might turn out to be quite aggressive.
HMSTR Main Trend -80% Descending Channel 08 06 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days.
The main trend is a descending channel.
Secondary is an ascending channel.
Local trend is descending and a rollback from the key resistance.
While the price is in a descending channel, it is rational to work and focus on dynamic trend supports/resistances, using this volatility.
Locally, on a breakthrough of the designated trend line. To the resistance of the channel itself (the main trend) from it (the local line of the descending trend) a significant %. Then on the chart you will see a double bottom, or a "dragon" pattern, depending on what time and in what price zone (collecting long stops or without this manipulative action) they will make a reversal of the local trend.
Once again, I will say what was said earlier in the previous updates of this cryptocurrency and similar altcoins. Reductions from listing by -80%. For assets of such liquidity, this is quite small (reversal of the main trend). As a rule, the decline in the main trend occurs by 94-98%, with very rare exceptions. Therefore, remember this, and observe money management. But, if the altcoin market as a whole is reversed after the bitcoin season and consolidation, then they will pump, like everyone else.
If you are not a trader at all, but want to "own" this cryptocurrency in your portfolio, for reasons that are clear to you, then it is rational to collect from key levels - support zones (shown in the idea itself, move the chart), from a smaller amount to a larger one, and the entire amount allocated for such assets is allocated in advance, and not after the fact. You can take a little now, or rather place an order for a breakthrough of the local trend line (optional).
There are a huge number of subscribers on Twitter — 12.9 million people! When the time comes, and it will be rational from the market position, then this “army” will be sent to buy through positive posts. However, everything is as always... Perhaps that is why it is worthwhile to collect such assets in good zones without fanaticism, at least to take a closer look, before the alt season, which everyone has already “buried” (everything is as always).
NOT / USD. Local trend. Reversal zones 08 06 2025Local work ("market noise") is not a breakout of the inverted head and shoulders resistance zone (yellow reversal level). A rollback back to the horizontal channel formation zone with a 100% step. Everything is as before, nothing new can happen, for clarity, I showed the % to the key local support/resistance levels.
NOT Main trend. Channel. 16 03 2025
Altseason Index Proxy (TOTAL3 / BTC.D) Weekly TF
Symbol & Timeframe:
* **Symbol**: CRYPTOCAP\:TOTAL3 / CRYPTOCAP\:BTC.D
* **Timeframe**: Weekly (1W),
* **Purpose**: A clean, data-driven proxy for detecting altseason momentum
Technical Structure:
✅ Key Support Zones
* **13.47B (61.8% Fib)**: Critical golden zone; current price consolidation area
* **12.45B (50.0% Fib)**: Lower bound of golden zone
* **11.00B**: Historical support zone
* **8.15B (0.0%)**: Absolute bottom of retracement range
🔹 Hidden Bullish Divergence
* **MACD Histogram & Signal Lines** show hidden bullish divergence
* Price action forming **higher lows** while MACD makes **lower lows**
* Indicates trend continuation potential
🔢 Fibonacci Targets
TP1: 16.8B (100.0%)
TP2: 22.2B (161.8%)
TP3: 30.7B (261.8%)
🔄 Expected Path
* Potential short-term correction toward 12.4B followed by a breakout
* Bullish continuation path sketched with progressive Fib targets
📈 Macro & Fundamental Confluence
📉 Liquidity and Monetary Easing
* Global monetary policy is easing (e.g., Fed pivot expected mid-2025)
* Increased liquidity historically precedes strong altcoin rallies
BTC Dominance Decline
* BTC.D rolling down from long-term highs
* Signals beginning of capital rotation into altcoins
🚀 Emerging Narratives
* Rise of L2s (e.g., Base, zkSync), AI tokens, real-world asset protocols
* Fresh narratives tend to amplify altseason rotations
💼 Institutional Tailwinds
* Spot ETH ETF approvals pave way for alt ETF flows
* Regulatory clarity expected to reduce uncertainty in late 2025
Related Reference Charts:
🌐 TOTAL3 (Altcoin Market Cap Excluding BTC & ETH)
📊 BTC Dominance (BTC.D)
These charts offer standalone confirmation of:
Altcoin strength forming on TOTAL3
BTC dominance facing structural resistance
Composite Altseason Thesis:
1. Liquidity injections + halving = BTC rally
2. BTC.D breakdown + TOTAL3 support = altcoin strength
3. Technical confirmations: hidden divergence, fib confluence
4. Narrative and regulatory catalysts = widespread rotation
**Conclusion**:
We are entering a prime zone for altseason acceleration. Price reclaim above 13.47B and continued BTC.D drop will validate bullish thesis. Monitor closely for breakouts past TP1 and momentum into TP2/TP3.
📌 Current status:
- Price rebounding in the 12.45–13.47B Fibonacci zone (50–61.8%)
- Hidden bullish divergence on MACD + ascending price structure
- BTC.D has rolled off 65% resistance — suggesting capital rotation
📊 Altseason Thesis:
1. Post-halving BTC rally → profit dispersion into altcoins
2. Macro conditions (Fed pivot, record liquidity) enabling risk-on environment
3. Technical confirmation via index momentum and fib structure
4. Narrative tailwinds: Layer-2 adoption, AI-crypto, altcoin ETF catalysts
📈 Targets:
- TP1 @ 16.8B (100% Fib)
- TP2 @ 22.2B (161.8% Fib)
- TP3 @ 30.7B (261.8% Fib)
🟢 Key support: 12.45–13.47B zone; breakout + BTC.D collapse = altseason trigger.
ALTseason May Show Up In 2025We found an interesting chart, which is showing us the ratio of TOTAL3(ALTcoins) market cap against Bitcoin with ticker TOTAL3ESBTC. Well, even this chart is showing that ALTcoins may start outperforming BTC soon. It can be finishing final subwave C of (Y) of a correction in blue wave B that can cause a new strong rally into wave C, which can bring the ALTseason similar as in the beginning 2021.
Bozo Benk – Road to Top 300
Bozo is a low-float, high-conviction breakout that’s showing all the early signs of a full-blown cycle runner. Right now, it’s flying under the radar — but that won’t last long.
coingecko: BozoBenk
Key Metrics:
Current Market Cap: $4.72M
Target Market Cap (Top 300 Range): ~$200M
Total Supply: 800M
Circulating Supply: ~400M (50% of tokens are locked)
If we hit a $200M market cap on just 400M circulating tokens, that gives a projected price of:
$200,000,000 / 400,000,000 = $0.50 per token
That's a 100x from here — and yes, that’s within striking distance in meme coin terms when a proper run begins.
Why This Isn’t Just “What If” Talk:
Low Float = High Velocity
With only 400M tokens in circulation, price impact per dollar is massive. When buyers show up, price moves fast — and that speed becomes the magnet.
Breakout Is Confirmed
After months of accumulation, Bozo just cleared its resistance zone. Volume spike. Momentum flip. Classic early-stage markup.
Reflexivity Effect
As price rises, more eyes come in. CT starts posting. Telegrams start firing signals. The crowd sees the move, and FOMO becomes self-fueling. This is how 10x becomes 50x.
Realistic Target Based on Ecosystem
$200M is not a moonshot. There are dozens of meme coins with less utility and worse structure sitting at or above that level. If capital rotates back into memes — and it always does — Bozo is positioned to ride that wave hard.
The Alpha:
This isn’t about “maybe” — it’s a perfect mix of low cap, reduced float, clean chart, and momentum fuel.
A $200M market cap on 400M circulating tokens = $0.50.
You're here at ~$0.005.
That’s the kind of asymmetry you don’t get often — and when it runs, there won't be time to chase.
Know what you hold. Trade it like you mean it.
$FET is about to re-enter my buy green zone. Quick update on this coin:
The consolidation appears to have found its bottom, and the bullish divergence has played out as expected.
We’re currently seeing a slight cooldown on the daily timeframe, which is healthy after the recent move.
If NYSE:FET enters my green buy zone, it could offer a strong long entry opportunity.
As always, make sure to DYOR, especially during these uncertain times for altcoins.
#FET #CryptoUpdate #Altcoins #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishDivergence #CryptoTrading #BuyZone #CryptoMarket
DOG Main Trend. Reversal Zones 05/29/2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. The chart shows key reversal zones in the horizontal channel, and when exiting it. For clarity, percentages are shown from the skin reversal zone. This is convenient for understanding the risk and potential profit in long and short work. You can also work in spot from long, from key zones (more relevant, as margin trading on assets of such liquidity, is extremely destructive, due to price slippage under the market, but already on such assets by a huge percentage, for your liquidation (accumulation of liquidity-benefit of gambling addicts in general).
Now the price has hit the resistance of the internal channel, that is, the zone of the “main liquid” price movement. From the reversal, local profit is significant, therefore, when working, observe risk management and wait for a breakthrough of this resistance level (you can place a trigger order), or wait for a rollback (if there is one), for example, to the median of the channel.
The horizontal channel itself is reformatted into a potential “microphone” (what was half a year ago on bitcoin, with resistance to the 72 thousand zone, and liquidity collection 53-58).
Bull Flag Forming on ETH/BTC – Altcoins About to Explode?$ETH/BTC just broke a key resistance line and is now forming a bullish flag — this is big for altcoins.
Why? Because when ETH starts gaining strength against BTC, it often signals the beginning of an altcoin rotation. Ethereum usually leads the pack — and when its BTC pair is bullish, altcoins tend to follow with strong momentum.
The breakout followed by a bull flag consolidation suggests continuation is likely. If ETH/BTC pushes higher from here, we could see capital flow from Bitcoin into altcoins, igniting the next leg of altseason.
Altcoins may be gearing up — stay sharp.
$ETH - Ethereum enters buy zoneHey traders!
How is your portfolio doing? Trump is shaking us!
After all these months in 2025 I've tried to project a new scenario (bullish/bearish) that clarifies our next outlook.
Not an easy job. As you see day by day, markets are in high volatility due to trade war and (not trying to be pesimistic) could be worse.
However, In my opinion Ethereum (and altcoin markets) are entering into a golden opportunity. that has to be taken 100%. Don't know where is the bottom for CRYPTOCAP:ETH on a short scenario. But, what I can certainly say is that won't fall as a stone for too long.
Ranges between 1400 - 2000 USD are gold prices to make progressives buys. Although it could fall even more ( 900 - 1200 USD) I think this is a high Risk reward buy.
But, timing is not on time. Shouldn't I sell, expecting a bear market( you know Halving and Posthalving ideas). Times have changed as the macro scenario has not been the same as the previous bullruns.
So, it's time to accumulate and expect a possible expansion cycle in 2026.. That could lead Ethereum to prices never seen before. Yes, the range between 8.000 - 15.000 USD.
As I always say. Just my opinion. Stay safe!
CATI Memcoin. Main (essentially secondary) trend. Channel. 25 05Logarithm. Time frame 3 days (less is not necessary). Decline from the maximum -94%. As a rule, altcoins (ticker name, legend, imitation of usefulness does not matter) of such liquidity decline in their secondary trend until its reversal by -95-98%.
But, at the moment, there is a significant increase in volume, this is a good sign, if the price goes beyond the resistance of the descending channel, then a trend expanding triangle will form, or as it is also called the Livermore cylinder (dynamic zones of support / resistance of the "participation" phase).
In order not to miss the reversal, if you are afraid to gain a position now, then work with orders for a breakthrough, that is, a trend break.
🟣For 2 months now, a sideways trend with a 100% step, the price is being pulled to the resistance of the descending channel.
Breakthrough of it — trend reversal.
Not a breakthrough , decline to the next "shelf".
Everything is quite simple and logical. All levels and zones of potential minimums and maximums are shown. Remember, the average price of the set and reset is important. The key resistance zone after the reversal, where you will need to dump most of the position, or everything, is highlighted in gray.
SOLANA - Light it up
SOLANA can flip the $185 resistance into support, it opens the door for a potential rally toward the next key levels:
T1: $241
T2: $301
T3: $371
T4: $468
The structure is clean, and the market sentiment is shifting. As long as SOL holds above the reclaimed range and macro conditions remain supportive, this setup could deliver serious upside.
XRP vs XVG 8 Year Triangle Fractal Comparison 05 2025Logarithm. Time frame 1 month. Linear chart for clarity. Two cryptocurrencies of the super hype of altcoins in 2017 (the final alt season of the cycle before last). XRP is ahead of XVG. The structures are similar, but if XVG breaks through the triangle upwards like on XRP, then work with the first target, observing risk management. You can leave 5-10% of the position for the second target, but this is not necessary. As for XRP, everything is as before... local update in the XRP idea.
XVG Secondary trend (part) Resolution of the triangle 8 years 05 2025
XRP/USD Main trend 28 07 2022
ZRO (LayerZero) Fresh coin. 19 05 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. The creators of the cryptocurrency "threw" a huge number of their flock, and distributed an airdrop of "pennies", thereby reducing the price burden on themselves in the bearish trend of altcoins. Therefore, this cryptocurrency, unlike others, has a stronger chart, and the decline was only -80%. This is quite small, considering that the capitalization is in 170th place at the moment.
I specifically superimposed 2 channels on top of each other, ascending and descending. There were a lot of lines, but these dynamic support / resistance will be felt by the price in the future.
🟣 Now a triangle is being formed locally , it rested against the downward local trend, from its breakthrough / non-breakthrough, and depends on which global channel the market will be pulled on an average urgent basis. Sorry, the price of this cryptocurrency.
🟢 Local targets of the triangle , which can become an ascending pennant are shown on the chart.
🔴 Also, a descending target is shown, if the trend is not broken and the triangle works down.
Fundamental (not a legend). LayerZero supports any blockchain that can run smart contracts, such as Ethereum, BNB Chain, Avalanche, Polygon, Arbitrum, Optimism, Fantom and other chains. LayerZero also supports non-EVM chains, such as Aptos. These so-called omnichain applications should become a key layer of the multi-chain future, where different blockchains interact simultaneously.
It is worth noting that the fundamental does not really matter, and cryptocurrencies move (rationality of creators and market maker + real supply/demand) in accordance with the market as a whole, with very rare exceptions, which, as a rule, have a manipulative nature and a very short time.
Also, it is worth noting that when the altseason begins, this cryptocurrency can be greatly pumped up, given the emission of cryptocurrencies in one hand, and the real demand in the future for this protocol for different blockchains.
IRON Main trend. Channel. 18 05 2025Logarithm. Time frame 1 week. Down from the listing price -98%. Dying asset. Suitable for pump/dump strategy work, without reference to the ticker name in the spot, with down-to-earth goals, but understanding the high volatility of these assets due to low liquidity (“dying assets”). Work without stops (they are destructive for such assets with such volatility), from the average price of the set/dump. It is advisable to work on a breakthrough of key zones (understanding the liquidity of the asset, and the amount of the entry amount).
Asset as an example, crypto wrappers of such liquidity and work on them now. There are thousands of similar ones on the crypto market. Therefore, there is no point in considering them separately. One similar one, projection - if not thousands of dying scams (created under the hype of the distribution of the last cycle), then hundreds.
🟢A “Dragon” pattern may form if the downward secondary trend is broken. More precisely, it will be broken if a short alt season starts now for alts. The target is in the previous consolidation zone, and to cross the dynamic resistance of the inner zone of the descending channel (zone of decreasing highs). It is rational to work for a breakthrough, understanding the liquidity of the dying asset.
🔴If the market is negative, then the rollback from this descending line will continue to the dynamic support of the channel in the designated zone. If below, then it is a scam and delists from other exchanges where it is traded.
LUMIA Main trend -91% Low/high zones 01/18/2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. Fresh cryptocurrency. This main trend of this cryptocurrency itself (the entire history of trades) acts as a secondary trend in meaning.
The legend of the utility-imitation of this cryptocurrency is the tokenization of assets. A very good idea for the future hype of this kind, especially if they will continue to hype the "American" HBAR.
The chart shows the zones (support/resistance horizontal and dynamic) of maximums and minimums for work.
Now, after breaking the logic of the descending wedge (all the price drop), the price went into sideways consolidation. The channel step and local levels are shown. If they draw an inverted head and shoulders with the price in the channel canvas (part is already there), then there will be an exit to % of its base up, just to one of the following designated resistance zones. If the market as a whole is negative, then from this consolidation there may be another wave of decline. The zones are shown in the idea.
The asset itself was dumped after a local listing pump by -91%, these are not the minimum values for assets of such liquidity. But, sometimes if the market as a whole looks bullish, then the trend of the wrapper is reversed, this is an acceptable decline, but not minimal. Consider this in your money management and work tactics.
Bitcoin Ready to Explode – Just Like Last TimeCRYPTOCAP:BTC is currently showing a powerful accumulation and breakout pattern, repeating the same bullish structure that led to explosive rallies in the recent past.
The chart highlights three key zones where Bitcoin consolidated before breaking out:
🔹 First breakout from the $81K–$86K zone
🔹 Second breakout above $93K after holding above the 50 EMA
🔹Now, Bitcoin is accumulating again just below a key resistance zone (~$105K–$106K)
This resistance zone has acted as a ceiling before, but the current price action suggests strength. The tight consolidation just below resistance often precedes a breakout — and if it happens here, Bitcoin could explode toward $115K+ in the coming weeks.
Key Technical Points:
🔹50 EMA is acting as dynamic support
🔹Higher low structure remains intact
🔹Each consolidation is followed by a strong upward breakout
Repeating accumulation breakout pattern is visible
Next targets: $111K → $115K → $120K
Invalidation: Breakdown below GETTEX:98K with strong volume
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Thank you!
#BTC #BTCUSDT #Unichartz