AMAZON: Oversold on 1D. Massive buy opportunity.Amazon is oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 27.320, MACD = -7.090, ADX = 63.698) and this is best displayed on the 1W timeframe where the price hit this week its 1W MA50 for the first time in 7 months. The decline since the January top is technically the bearish wave of Amazon's 2 year Channel Up. The previous HL was priced on the 0.5 Fibonacci level and the one before on the 0.382. We are now just over the 0.5 Fib again, while the 1W RSI is about to hit its LL trendline. All those form massive support levels for the stock, which translate into the best buy opportunity since the early August 2024 bottom. We are expecting a similar +59.62 bullish wave to begin. The trade is long, TP = 300.
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Amazon
Amazon Stock Trapped in a Bearish ChannelOver the past two weeks, Amazon's stock has declined by more than 13% , forming a new bearish channel. Selling pressure has intensified as concerns about potential tariffs begin to affect investor confidence in Amazon's multinational operations. The possible onset of a new trade war could seriously impact some of Amazon’s business model, which relies on importing products from other countries into the United States. This could eventually reduce demand and continue to reinforce the bearish bias in stock movements.
Bearish Channel
Since late February, shortly after the earnings report, Amazon's stock has entered a clear short-term bearish channel, reaching a low of $197 per share. Currently, a minor bullish correction is emerging, approaching the upper boundary of the bearish channel. However, as long as bullish momentum fails to break this upper level, it is likely that the channel will remain the dominant formation, maintaining downward pressure on the stock.
ADX Indicator
The ADX line continues to rise above the neutral level of 20, reaching levels not seen since December 2024. This reflects the momentum of current price movements and the increase in volatility affecting the stock. If the ADX line remains elevated, volatility could either support or challenge the current trend, depending on market dynamics.
MACD Indicator
Lower lows in price movements and higher lows in the MACD histogram have formed a divergence between the indicator and price movements. This imbalance of forces could signal the continuation of short-term bullish corrections.
Key Levels:
$230: Major resistance. This level corresponds to the highest price zone recorded in December 2024. If the stock returns to this level, it could reactivate a previously forgotten uptrend.
$216: Current key resistance. This level aligns with the upper boundary of the bearish channel and the 100-period simple moving average. Sustained buying pressure above this level could put the bearish channel at risk.
$197: Near-term support. This level corresponds to November 2024 lows. If the stock breaks below this support, it could lead to new lows on the chart, reinforcing the ongoing downtrend.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Abbott and Amazon: Two Bright Spots in a Sea of Red◉ Abbott Laboratories NYSE:ABT
● The stock previously faced strong resistance near the $134 level, leading to an extended consolidation phase.
● During this period, a Rounding Bottom pattern emerged, signalling a potential continuation of the upward trend.
● Following a recent breakout, the stock has surged to its all-time high and is expected to maintain its upward momentum in the coming days.
◉ Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN
● Since August 2020, Amazon's stock has been consolidating, forming a clear Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern.
● After breaking above the neckline, the stock rallied sharply and reached an all-time high near $242.
● Following this, the price pulled back to retest the breakout level and with a successful retest, the stock is now well-positioned to resume its upward trend.
AMAZON ($AMZN) Q4—$187.8B REVENUE UPSWINGAMAZON ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) Q4—$187.8B REVENUE UPSWING
(1/9)
Good afternoon, TradginView! Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) posted Q4 ‘24 net sales of
187.8 B,up 10 637.959 B here’s the breakdown.
(2/9) – REVENUE GROWTH
• Q4 Sales: $ 187.8B, 10% up from $ 170B 📈
• Full ‘24: $ 637.959B, 10.99% rise 📊
• AWS: $ 28.8B, 19% YoY boost 💻
NASDAQ:AMZN ’s steady climb continues.
(3/9) – EARNINGS LIFT
• Q4 Op. Income: $ 21.2B, up from $ 13.2B 💰
• NA Op. Income: $ 9.3B, from $ 6.5B 🌞
• AWS Margin: 38%, decade high 🌟
NASDAQ:AMZN ’s profit engine hums strong.
(4/9) – KEY MOVES
• AI Push: GenAI apps rolled out 📡
• AWS: Cash flow dynamo shines 🌍
• Stock: 207−230 range 🚗
NASDAQ:AMZN ’s tech bets fuel growth.
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS
• Spending: Retail feels price pinch ⚠️
• Regs: Antitrust looms large 🔒
• Comp: Azure, Walmart press hard 📉
NASDAQ:AMZN ’s solid, but hurdles lurk.
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Retail: $ 115.6B Q4 NA sales 💪
• AWS: $ 28.8B, 38% margin 🏋️
• Scale: Ads, subs diversify 🌱
NASDAQ:AMZN ’s a titan, built to last.
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Capex weighs 📚
• Opportunities: AI, emerging markets 🌏
Can NASDAQ:AMZN vault past the risks?
(8/9) – AMZN’s $ 187.8B Q4, your view?
1️⃣ Bullish, $ 300+ by ‘26 😎
2️⃣ Neutral, Steady, risks balance 🤷
3️⃣ Bearish, Growth stalls 😕
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
NASDAQ:AMZN ’s $ 187.8B Q4 and $ 637.959B ‘24 stack up, tech titan 🪙 AWS shines, risks loom, gem or pause?
AMAZON Excellent buy opportunity for a new ATH.Last time we looked at Amazon Inc. (AMZN) was three months ago (November 13 2024, see chart below), giving a pull-back buy signal:
The price action couldn't have followed this more accurately as after a short-term pull-back, the stock hit our $240.00 Target at the end of January.
Since then the price started to pull-back again to a point where this week it broke below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since September 11 2024. With the 1D RSI on the 40.00 mark, this pull-back resembles the April 25 2024 Low, made near the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level.
We expect a similar medium-term rebound to start towards the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. Our Target is marginally below it at $252.50.
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Amazon is about seem summer growth shoots againWhy? Because my crystal TA balls say so.
Seriously though, here is my reasoning, given the indicator momentum
Price Action & Trend Analysis
• The stock is currently at $222.42, down -1.86%.
• The price recently broke down from a local high near $244 and is in a downtrend.
• Break of Structure (BoS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) labels indicate trend shifts.
• A weak resistance zone around $244 suggests prior buying exhaustion.
• A demand/support zone appears near $218, with previous price reactions in this range.
Momentum Indicators (Lower Panel)
• The stochastic-based oscillator in the lower panel shows oversold conditions (~below 20 level).
• Previous rebounds occurred at similar oversold levels, suggesting a potential bounce.
• Multiple purple downward arrows (sell pressure) have recently printed, aligning with declining momentum.
Short-Term Outlook (Next Few Days)
• Bullish Case: If support at $218-$220 holds, a relief bounce could push prices towards $226-$230 (~50% retracement of the drop).
• Bearish Case: A break below $218 could accelerate downside momentum towards $210-$212.
Now - let’s talk Probabilities:
• Bounce towards $226-$230: ~60% if support holds. This is the more prevailing wind in my view.
• Further drop to $210-$212: ~40% if selling is strong.
Summary & Trading Plan
• Short-term traders: Watch $218-$220 support for a bounce trade to $226-$230.
• Swing traders: A breakout above $230 strengthens a bullish case towards $240+.
• Risk Management: A clear break below $218 suggests a potential breakdown towards $210-$212.
AMAZON: Good results and in the 61.8% Fibonacci zone! Pay attentAmazon presented results on February 7th, beating expectations driven by the cloud business.
AWS stands out with a growth of +19%, a pace that it has maintained for 3 consecutive quarters. Revenues on the online platform grow +8%, advertising +18% and third-party services +9%. Efficiency measures and the greater growth of AWS and advertising, with higher margins, boost EBIT +60.5% with a margin improvement of +350 bp to 11.3%.
AI will continue to be a growth factor in 2025 after the alliance with Anthropic and new AI applications. But the guidance for 1Q25 is disappointing, indicating that Amazon remains cautious in an environment of uncertainty due to the impact of tariffs on China (25% of its online sales are of Chinese products) and adverse effects due to exchange rates. Despite a weaker than expected 1Q25, we remain positive on the stock.
The advertising business is growing at a good pace and Amazon is already the third largest operator after Google and Meta, with a global share of 9%. On the online sales front, the group is reducing delivery times to face growing competition from Walmart and Temu. With a 47% market share in the cloud business in 2023 (55% excluding China), Amazon remains one of the companies that will benefit the most from the adoption of generative AI, ranking among the preferred providers of AI-based services/apps for users, although investment efforts and a moderation in consumption are slowing short-term growth prospects.
--> What does it look like technically?
So far this year, it has a cumulative revaluation of +4% and its trend is clearly bullish, so we will ONLY look for LONGs. It is currently in a RECOVERY PHASE and has already reached the 50%-61.8% Fibonacci zone, which means it is in a key zone from which it could end the retracement and start a new bullish impulse on the way to new highs.
Last Friday the IVO oscillator warned us of overselling, and if we add to that the fact that its trend is clearly bullish and that it has a retracement of almost 61.8% Fibonacci, it is very likely that the MOMENTUM will soon turn bullish (Bull) and we can make a long entry.
---------------------------------------
Strategy to follow:
ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions if it exceeds the 236 zone
POSITION 1 (TP1): We close the first position in the 245 zone (+4%)
--> Stop Loss at 226 (-4%).
--> Ratio ( 1:1 )
POSITION 2 ( TP2 ): We open a Trailing Stop type position.
--> Initial dynamic Stop Loss at (-4%) (coinciding with the 226 of position 1 ).
--> We modify the dynamic Stop Loss to (-1%) when the price reaches TP1 ( 245 ).
-------------------------------------------
SET UP EXPLANATIONS
*** How do you know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest 2,000 euros in the stock, what we do is divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening 1 position of 2,000, we will open 2 positions of 1,000 each.
*** What is Trailing Stop ? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue gaining value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by a certain distance. That certain distance is the dynamic Stop Loss.
-->Example: If the dynamic Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price drops by -1%, the position will be closed. If the price rises, the Stop Loss also rises to maintain that -1% on rises, therefore, the risk is increasingly lower until the position becomes profitable. In this way, very solid and stable price trends can be taken advantage of, maximizing profits.
Amazon’s Short-Term Outlook: Navigating Key Support LevelsAmazon remains a market powerhouse, yet its stock is no stranger to short-term fluctuations.
Support levels are indicated on chart. A move below these levels could trigger deeper short-term weakness, whereas a bounce off these supports would underscore Amazon’s robust fundamentals. As always, such volatility is typical in dynamic, high-growth stocks, and traders should watch these key levels closely when planning their next move.
STOCKS | AI | Amazon, Meta & MSFTPeople who are saying that AI is just a bubble are missing the big picture. Huge tech companies are pouring serious money into it, which shows they believe AI is here to stay.
We're talking massive investments – like over $320 billion in AI infrastructure by 2025, according to the Financial Times. Amazon is planning over $100 billion in capital expenditures in 2025, mainly focused on AI infrastructure. This could be huge not only for NASDAQ:AMZN as a whole but also for the AI industry.
Alphabet is also throwing in around $75 billion this year to boost its AI capabilities. These kinds of investments from the top players make it clear: they know you have to spend big to win in the AI game and clearly there is a race going on, especially after the release of DeepSeekAI. American companies don't want to be left behind, and it's likely that they will pour money into integrating AI to improve their business operation - with the ultimate aim to improve profit - which is great for stock prices. How they make money from AI might change over time, but the overall direction is obvious – AI is changing everything and driving innovation.
According to Statista, the global AI market is predicted to reach around $826 billion by 2030. That kind of growth tells you AI is going to be a major force in just about every industry. And therefore I believe that all the companies making major investment in AI will also see exponential growth over the next 5 years - meaning it may be a longer term game play.
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NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:META
Amazon I Detailed analysis and trading plan Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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Amazon (AMZN) Shares Retreat from All-Time HighAmazon (AMZN) Shares Retreat from All-Time High After Earnings Report
As shown in the Amazon (AMZN) stock chart, the price reached an all-time high of around $242 per share on 4 February. However, following the earnings report on 6 December, AMZN shares declined despite the company exceeding analysts' expectations:
→ Earnings per share: Actual = $1.86, Forecast = $1.48
→ Revenue: Actual = $187.8bn, Forecast = $187.3bn
Investor disappointment may have stemmed from:
→ Signs of slowing cloud business growth. Amazon, a pioneer in public cloud services with Amazon Web Services (AWS), now reports annual cloud revenue growth of around 20%, down from over 50% five years ago.
→ Soaring capital expenditure on AI data centres with uncertain profitability prospects. Amazon has projected approximately $105bn in capital spending for 2025, up 27% from 2024 and 57% from 2023.
Technical Analysis of Amazon (AMZN) Stock
AMZN remains within an upward trend, indicated by the blue channel on the chart. However, bullish momentum appears vulnerable as:
→ The price struggles to reach the upper boundary of the channel.
→ A bearish "head and shoulders" (SHS) pattern is visible on the chart.
→ A bearish gap (marked with an arrow) has formed post-earnings, suggesting a potential resistance area ahead.
This points to a possible pullback. If it occurs, AMZN stock could correct, potentially towards the parallel orange line, drawn based on the blue channel’s width. A test of the $217 support level is also possible.
Should You Buy AMZN Shares Now?
Following the earnings report, AMZN has underperformed the S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen). However, analysts remain optimistic. According to TipRanks:
→ 45 out of 46 analysts recommend buying AMZN stock.
→ The average 12-month price target for AMZN is $267.
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Amazon Stock Plummets After Earnings ReportDuring the last trading session, Amazon's stock dropped by more than 3.5% , bringing its price below $230 per share. This sharp decline followed the company's quarterly earnings release yesterday, where it reported earnings of $1.86 per share , surpassing the expected $1.49 , and revenue of $187.79 billion , slightly above the $187.30 billion projected.
However, investors were disappointed by the company’s sales growth forecast of only 5% for the first quarter of this year, along with a warning about a negative foreign exchange impact exceeding $2 billion. This has led to a decline in confidence, reinforcing a persistent bearish bias in Amazon’s stock price.
Bearish Trend Strengthens
Currently, a significant downward trendline has been in place since the last months of 2024. But the recent sell-off has raised doubts about the buying strength seen in previous sessions. If bearish pressure continues to increase, it could pose a considerable risk to the current market structure in the short term.
Neutrality Begins to Take Over
Both the RSI and CCI indicators have quickly dropped to their respective neutral levels— 50 for RSI and 0 for CCI. This suggests that recent price movements have turned neutral, making it unclear which force is currently dominating the market. If these indicators continue to hold within neutral territory, a potential sideways consolidation could emerge on the daily chart.
Key Levels to Watch:
$240 – The most important resistance level, representing the latest highs recorded by the stock. A breakout above this zone could reignite the long-term uptrend from last year and trigger sustained buying pressure.
$228 – A critical support zone that aligns with previous lows, as well as the uptrend line. If sellers push the price below this level, the bearish bias could strengthen, leading to a deeper downside correction in the short term.
$216 – Final support level, corresponding to the January lows and the Ichimoku cloud barrier in the short term. If selling pressure drags the price to this level, it could invalidate the current bullish structure on the chart.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
AMAZON -- Results of Buying before the SplitSharing some insights of when I bought Amazon before the split, It was a great decision as it has given my portfolio a great boost. It has been very bullish trending higher, and February started off on a good note so far. Ideally I would love to see it take the Previous months highs and keep pumping.
I would not be surprised if it reached MIL:1K per stock again. BUT NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, and I also have no real data to support this theory yet. It is just my biased beliefs.
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Amazon (NASDAQ:$AMZN) Slides 4% Amidst Cloud Growth SlowdownAmazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) shares slid nearly 4% in pre-market trading on Friday, as investors reacted to a slowdown in the company's cloud growth and a subdued sales forecast for the current quarter. The dip comes despite strong performance in Amazon's retail segment and a broader technical breakout that suggests the stock may be poised for a significant upward move in the coming months. Let’s dive into the technical and fundamental factors driving Amazon’s current market dynamics and why this dip could be a buying opportunity for long-term investors.
Cloud Growth Slowdown Weighs on Sentiment
Amazon Web Services (AWS), the company’s cloud computing division and a key profit driver, reported a 19% year-over-year revenue increase to $28.79 billion for the quarter. While this growth is impressive, it fell slightly short of analyst expectations of $28.87 billion, according to LSEG data. This miss has raised concerns about the competitive pressures AWS faces from rivals like Microsoft Azure and Google Cloud, as well as emerging low-cost competitors such as China’s DeepSeek.
Technical Outlook
From a technical perspective, Amazon’s stock chart tells an intriguing story. As of Friday’s pre-market trading, AMZN was down 2.78%, but the stock recently broke out of a falling trend channel, signaling a potential reversal of its previous downtrend. While the stock has yet to capitalize on this breakout, the current dip could be interpreted as a "shakeout" before a significant upward move.
Key technical indicators support this bullish thesis:
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI remains strong at 60, indicating that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold and has room to climb.
- Moving Averages: AMZN is trading well above its 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages, a sign of strong underlying momentum and bullish sentiment.
This technical setup suggests that the pre-market dip may be a temporary pullback rather than the start of a sustained downtrend. For traders and investors, this could present an attractive entry point.
Strong Revenue and Earnings Growth
Amazon’s financial performance in 2024 has been impressive, with revenue reaching $637.96 billion, a 10.99% increase compared to the previous year’s $574.79 billion. Earnings surged by 94.73% to $59.25 billion, reflecting the company’s ability to scale profitability even as it invests heavily in growth areas like AI and cloud infrastructure.
The company’s 12-month forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 37.3 is higher than peers like Alphabet (22.7) and Microsoft (30.1), but this premium is justified given Amazon’s diversified business model, dominant market position, and long-term growth potential.
Analyst Sentiment: Strong Buy Rating
Wall Street remains overwhelmingly bullish on Amazon. According to 43 analysts, the average rating for AMZN stock is a "Strong Buy," with a 12-month price target of $254.3, representing a 6.48% upside from the latest price. At least seven brokerages raised their price targets following the earnings report, bringing the median target to $260.
Analysts are optimistic about Amazon’s ability to navigate near-term challenges and capitalize on long-term growth opportunities in AI, cloud computing, and e-commerce. The company’s heavy investments in AI infrastructure, while weighing on margins in the short term, are expected to pay off handsomely in the coming years.
AMZN Amazon Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AMZN before the previos earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AMZN Amazon prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 240usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-2-7,
for a premium of approximately $6.40.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
$AMZN is at risky area going into the earningsAmazon's last six earnings moves:
🟢 +7.5%
🔴 -12.7%
🟢 +3.4%
🟢 +8.2%
🟢 +8.7%
🟢 +11.4%
Options market expecting a 6.6% swing for NASDAQ:AMZN
Cloud drives 70% of profits
Retail? Barely profitable.
Amazon's market cap: $2.5T
For that price, you could own:
The entire Bitcoin market 5 times over
Every billionaire in the world’s top 500 list
UPDATE Amazon Sling shot to $276.41 thanks to being different!Amazon’s stock is booming while others face AI turbulence. AWS growth (19% expected) and smart AI use boost their lead.
Instead of fearing DeepSeek, Amazon partnered through AWS. Plus, their diverse streams—e-commerce, cloud, ads, and entertainment—keep them stable when rivals like Nvidia stumble.
So it's one of the bullish tech stocks but once again it is also highly diversified in other sectors which is actually helping maintain the share price.
Price>20 and 200MA
Broken above Rounding Bottom
Target $276.41