Amazon
Amazon - Buying Pullbacks & Cyclical High Expected SoonHere is what I am watching on Amazon.
-We need to be aware that there is bearish divergence setting up on the quarterly, monthly & weekly charts. HOWEVER, this divergence is not yet confirmed, and is therefore not actionable trade intel at the present moment. We need to monitor these divergences, because if they confirm, they imply significant price moves in Amazon share price.
-MAC strategy for the Quarterly, Monthly & Weekly charts remain bullish. Any pullbacks into the bottom of the MAC are BUY opportunities. I do not blindly buy the bottom of the channels, but utilize lower timeframe entry techniques at these levels to trigger into a position. We are still BULLISH Amazon.
-Cycles suggest that Amazon could put in a cyclical high any time between now and October 10th, before putting in a major cyclical low at the end of October. I would like to see this play out to provide us with nice buy opportunities at the bottom of the MAC's.
AMAZON SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅AMAZON is set to retest a
Strong resistance level above at 191.75$
After trading in a local uptrend for some time
Which makes a bearish pullback a likely scenario
With the target being a local support below at 184.00$
SHORT🔥
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Amazon (AMZN): Swing Trade & Chart Analysis UpdateTwo months ago, we anticipated a pullback to wave (2), and after a brief pump, we saw an immediate sell-off. The fascinating part? Amazon dropped 25% and reversed almost perfectly on the long-held trendline, which hasn’t been adjusted. It's incredible how simple technicals can sometimes work so well.
We've now pushed back into the $183-190 range. This could be a relief pump, likely short-lived. While we aren’t ruling out a rise above the current wave (1), we’re leaning toward a flat correction, as wave A was fast. If correct, we should turn soon and continue downward with a 5-wave structure into the 50-78.6% Fibonacci retracement target area.
No limit orders yet, but we're setting alerts to better time our entry. 🔥
AMAZON: Crossed over the 1D MA50, best buy trigger you can getAmazon crossed today over the 1D MA50 for the first time since August 1st and effectively validated the buy signal that was triggered on August 5th at the bottom of the Channel Up. The 1D technical outlook just got over neutral grounds (RSI = 56.780, MACD = 0.060, ADX = 15.410) so being slightly bullish along with the 1D MA50 cross, is the best buy trigger you can get.
The MACD pattern is almost the same as on every Channel Up bottom. The rallies that started on those bottoms printed +62.30% and +64.82% rises. We are targeting at another +62.30% rise (TP = 245.00).
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Amazon Has An Incomplete Five-Wave ImpulseAmazon is trading an in impulsive bullish cycle since the beginning of 2023 and it looks to be unfinished from technical point of view and from Elliott wave perspective, because it needs to be finished by five waves.
Recent decline has occurred due to recession fears, but it was in three legs A-B-C, which belongs to a higher degree wave 4 correction, especially if we consider a nice rebound away from the strong trendline connected from 2023 lows.
So, watch out on a bullish continuation at the end of 2024 that can send the price back to new all-time highs for wave 5.
Amazon chart weaknessesThe biggest stocks in the market, from the technology sector, tops on July 2024. Now they are showing some concerning data. The weak RSI and Fibonacci retracement levels perfectly match previous support and resistance levels. There are also other concerning factors.
Amazon shows lower levels in the RSI in the latest move-up. It is now behind the pivot line from 2022 and having resistance there in the bounce from the 0.382 Fib level.
AMAZON LONG Trade Setup 15m TF - Sep 2, 2024AMAZON LONG Trade Setup
Amazon price crosses over the Risological dotted line at175.4 giving us a clear long trade entry.
Long entry: 175.4
Stoploss: 172.2
Targets for this short trade been marked on the chart for your reference and analysis.
Consider following me for more analysis and trade setups.
AMZN - Weekly Bearish SignsNASDAQ:AMZN ’s recent price action suggests that the stock may be poised for a further decline. After reaching the top of the long-term channel, Amazon’s price has pulled back and is now facing renewed selling pressure. This technical setup aligns with broader market concerns, particularly in light of recent economic data.
The rise in unemployment claims and disappointing PMI data signal growing economic uncertainty, which could weigh on consumer spending and, by extension, Amazon’s revenue. As the market digests this data, the technical weakness in Amazon’s chart could be a precursor to a more significant downturn, especially if economic conditions continue to deteriorate.
AMAZON Only a break above the 1D MA50 remains. $240 on sight.Amazon Inc. (AMZN) spent the previous 2 weeks on a very strong recovery of the losses sustained in July - August, in fact those have been the strongest 2-week candles since October 23 - 30 2023.
That was the previous bottom of the 2.5 year Channel Up on its Higher Lows trend-line. Even though the stock broke below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in more than 1 year (May 2023), it managed to hold the long term Support of the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
As this 1W chart shows, the Higher Lows of this pattern are periodic and cyclical and you can see that clearly with the use of the Sine Waves (also evident on the 1W RSI, the green circle bottoms below its MA). Every time the price broke above the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) following such a Low (3 times) it approached the top of the Channel Up.
The first Bullish Leg peaked at +79%, the second at +69%. If this is a progressive sequence, then the third (current) Bullish Leg could be -10% less than the last, i.e. +59%. As a result, the 1D MA50 (which applied high selling pressure this week), is the final Resistance and bullish break-out confirmation the price technically needs before it targets $240.00 (+59% rise).
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AMZN ( Amazon.com, Inc. ) BUY TF H1 TP = 180.18On the H1 chart the trend started on Aug. 06 (linear regression channel).
There is a high probability of profit taking. Possible take profit level is 180.18
Using a trailing stop is also a good idea!
Please leave your feedback, your opinion. I am very interested in it. Thank you!
Good luck!
Regards, WeBelievelnTrading
AMZN / AMAZON 🔍 AMZN Analysis: Strategic Dates for Long-Term Accumulation 📈
The AMZN chart reveals key dates that could shape your investment strategy:
December 29, 2025 & August 16, 2027 - Green Lines: These dates indicate potential local lows, making them ideal for accumulating AMZN shares. Investors should consider these as prime opportunities to position themselves for the next major upward trend in the stock.
By planning around these dates, you can optimize your long-term investment strategy and take advantage of potential market corrections.
#AMZN #StockMarket #InvestmentStrategy #NASDAQ #SNP500 #MarketTiming #Amazon
Jumia JMIA - The next Amazon?Not sure why Jumia has such strong technical while the fundamental are not so good. Is Jumia being given the same grace as Amazon that did not turn a profit for 13 or so years? Jumia is not turning a profit. But Jumia is like the Amazon of Africa. Do investors see the same future for Jumia? Do they see this as a bargain price for longterm investors? Not sure. The technicals have the price up 400% ytd. Price is about 500% away from all-time highs. Not sure what's next for Jumia. This is one to watch.
$AMZN amazon at Neckline Resistance.... Rejection or Breakout!NASDAQ:AMZN Amazon price action is currently at neckline resistance of an inverse head and shoulder pattern around 143
Price has continuously found rejection at this point previously!
Current price: $142.5
Continuous rejection will find supports: 122, 103, 82
If NASDAQ:AMZN breaks out from neckline resistance, expect: 164, 183, 204..
SPX 5600 BY FALL 2024 ?SP:SPX
Economic Resilience: Despite various challenges, the U.S. economy has shown remarkable resilience. If this trend continues, it could support higher stock prices.
Normalization of Interest Rates: The Federal Reserve’s normalization of interest rates, rather than aggressive tightening, could create a favorable environment for equities. If inflation continues to fall closer to the Fed’s 2% target, it might only require modest rate cuts.
Consumer Spending Power: Consumers have maintained strong purchasing power, supported by high job security and a robust labor market. This continued consumption can drive corporate earnings higher.
Big Tech Leadership: Big Tech companies have consistently delivered strong earnings and have been a significant driver of the S&P 500’s performance. Their growth prospects, particularly in areas like AI, remain strong.
Earnings Growth: Analysts project solid earnings growth for the S&P 500, with estimates suggesting a significant increase in earnings per share (EPS) for 2024.
Valuation Multiples: The valuation multiples for Big Tech and other sectors are seen as reasonable given their growth prospects. This supports higher price targets for the index.
Historical Trends: Historical performance patterns, especially in presidential election years, suggest that the S&P 500 could see gains.
UBER 80 Afrer earnings ? NYSE:UBER
Uber Technologies Inc. Stock Surges to $75-$80 Range Following Strong Earnings Report
Uber Technologies Inc. (NYSE: UBER) has seen a significant boost in its stock price, reaching the $75-$80 range after the release of its latest earnings report. The ride-sharing giant reported impressive financial results for Q2 2024, with total revenue hitting $10.13 billion. This marks a notable year-over-year growth of 15%, showcasing Uber’s ability to expand its market presence and drive revenue despite challenging economic conditions.
The company’s strong performance was driven by increased demand for its ride-sharing and delivery services, as well as strategic investments in new technologies and markets. Uber’s net loss widened to $654 million, but the market responded positively to the revenue growth and future potential1. This optimism among investors has propelled the stock to new heights, reinforcing confidence in Uber’s long-term growth strategy.
As Uber continues to innovate and expand its service offerings, the future looks bright for this industry leader. Investors and market watchers will be closely monitoring how Uber leverages its current momentum to drive further growth and shareholder value.
CAFE CITY STUDIO & NY RUNS GLOBAL INC. NYC
Caterpillar 344 After earnings ? Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE: CAT) has once again demonstrated its robust market presence, with its stock price soaring past $344 following the release of its latest earnings report. The industrial giant reported impressive financial results for Q1 2024, with total revenue reaching $15.8 billion and a basic earnings per share (EPS) of $5.601. This performance not only exceeded analysts’ expectations but also highlighted Caterpillar’s resilience and strategic growth in a challenging economic environment.
The company’s strong earnings were driven by increased demand across its construction, resource, and energy & transportation segments. Caterpillar’s ability to navigate supply chain disruptions and leverage its global footprint has been pivotal in achieving these results. The market responded positively, pushing the stock to new heights and reinforcing investor confidence in the company’s long-term prospects.
As Caterpillar continues to innovate and expand its product offerings, the future looks promising for this industry leader. Investors and market watchers will be keenly observing how Caterpillar capitalizes on its current momentum to drive further growth and shareholder value.
Amazon Shares Tumble After Disappointing Third-Quarter OutlookAmazon shares ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) took a significant hit on Friday, dropping over 9% following a mixed second-quarter earnings report and a disappointing forecast for the upcoming quarter. The e-commerce giant reported a revenue miss, causing concerns among investors and leading to a substantial sell-off in its stock.
Second-Quarter Performance
In the second quarter, Amazon's revenue rose 10% year-over-year to $147.98 billion, falling slightly short of the $148.56 billion projected by analysts. Despite this, the company's net income nearly doubled from the previous year, reaching $1.26 per share, surpassing the expected $1.03 per share. This increase in net income highlights Amazon's successful cost-cutting measures, which have strengthened its bottom line.
Third-Quarter Outlook
Amazon's forecast for the third quarter has added to investor concerns. The company expects revenue between $154 billion and $158.5 billion, with the midpoint of $156.25 billion falling short of the consensus estimate of $158.24 billion. This cautious guidance has been attributed to slower sales in Amazon's core retail business and an unpredictable news cycle that has distracted consumers, causing them to delay purchases or abandon their shopping carts.
Market Sentiment and Analyst Reactions
Amazon CFO Brian Olsavsky pointed to several factors contributing to the weak forecast, including the upcoming Olympics, the presidential election, and high-profile events such as the attempted assassination of former President Donald Trump. These distractions have made it challenging to predict consumer behavior accurately.
Despite these challenges, analysts remain optimistic about Amazon's long-term prospects, particularly its cloud computing segment, Amazon Web Services (AWS). AWS reported revenue of $26.3 billion in the second quarter, exceeding expectations and demonstrating continued growth. Analysts at JPMorgan and BMO Capital Markets have expressed confidence in AWS's potential, noting that it is well-positioned to benefit from increased cloud adoption and modernization efforts.
Key Technical Indicators and Market Reactions
From a technical perspective, Amazon's stock has exhibited several bearish signals. A bearish engulfing pattern formed on the chart leading into the earnings report, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment towards lower prices. Investors are now closely monitoring key support levels, including $170, $161, $145, and $123, to gauge the stock's next moves.
The broader market has also reacted negatively to Amazon's earnings and guidance, with major indices such as the Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 experiencing significant declines. Concerns over weaker economic data, including a disappointing jobs report, have added to market volatility, further impacting investor sentiment.
Conclusion
Amazon's recent performance has highlighted the challenges it faces in its core retail business amidst an unpredictable economic environment. While the company's cloud computing segment continues to show strength, the mixed results and cautious outlook have led to a substantial decline in its stock price. Investors and analysts will be watching closely to see how Amazon navigates these challenges and whether it can maintain its growth trajectory in the coming quarters.
Overall, the current market conditions and Amazon's performance underscore the importance of monitoring both fundamental and technical indicators to make informed investment decisions. As the company continues to adapt to changing consumer behaviors and economic conditions, its ability to leverage its strengths and address its weaknesses will be crucial in determining its future success.
AMZN Amazon Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AMZN before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AMZN Amazon prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 185usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-12-20,
for a premium of approximately $16.90.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
AMAZON Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AMAZON was trading along
The rising support line but
The we saw a breakout so
We are bearish biased and
After the pullback and
Retest of the broken support
We will be expecting a
Local move down
Sell!
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