AMAZON INC Head And Shoulders! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AMAZON INC has formed a H&S pattern
Which makes me bearish on the stock
And the price is about to retest the neckline
Thus, IF we see a breakout of the neckline
I am expecting bearish continuation
Towards the support line below
Sell!
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Amazon
AMAZON distribution schematics!Hello my beauties.
I see a distribution schematic travelling towards completion on amazon.
If the prediction is right, the price will quickly move towards the bottom of the range, and give us a couple of LPSYs (last points of supply) before marking down.
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Peace.
Luca, TrickleDownFX
Amazon | Fundamental Analysis - Price Action | LONG Ever since Amazon began disclosing Amazon Web Services (AWS) revenues and operating profits in 2015, more and more experts have been waiting for the tech titan to spin off its expanding cloud business.
As longtime Amazon fans, some have regularly resisted the thought for a single reason. AWS generates higher-margin revenue than Amazon's retail business, so it actually provides most of Amazon's revenue growth by boosting the development of its retail ecosystem through extensive discounts, cheap hardware devices, physical stores, and other loss-making strategies.
But over the past year, experts have slowly started to get a grip on the idea of spinning off AWS from Amazon. Let's take a look at a few reasons why Amazon should consider a spin-off - and whether it could actually happen.
First and foremost, Amazon has a hidden growth engine.
According to eMarketer, Amazon is the third-largest online advertising platform in the U.S. after Facebook and Google, and Alphabet, but the company has not yet begun to separately report its advertising revenue or operating profit.
Alternatively, Amazon's advertising business estimates for the lion's share of the "other" segment, whose revenue grew 82% year over year to $14.8 billion in the first half of 2021 and accounted for 7% of Amazon's total revenue. By comparison, AWS revenue grew 35% year over year to $28.3 billion in the first half of 2021 and accounted for 13% of Amazon's total revenue.
Amazon has not yet disclosed the operating profit of its "other" segment, but market-leading ad platforms typically generate higher revenues than cloud infrastructure platforms.
For instance, Facebook, which derives almost all of its revenue from advertising, finished last quarter with an operating margin of 43%. AWS, the only major public cloud infrastructure platform that consistently generates revenue, finished last quarter with an operating margin of 28%.
Thus, Amazon's advertising business is likely operating at higher margins than AWS and generating much higher sales growth. Meantime, AWS faces stiff competition from Microsoft Azure and Google Cloud, and it may be forced to take a recent price cut for third-party cloud platforms (3% for both platforms, compared to 5% for AWS).
So, considering the above-mentioned, it does make sense for Amazon to spin off AWS while it is still developing and count more on its fast-expanding advertising business in the future.
Second, this spin-off might appease antitrust authorities.
AWS gives Amazon a giant advantage over most other retailers because its higher-margin revenue supports the expansion of the Prime ecosystem with lower-margin strategies. That's why many large retailers choose to use Azure or Microsoft's Google Cloud instead of supporting the growth of Amazon's biggest revenue engine.
AMZN also suffers consistent tension from antitrust regulators in the U.S. and abroad over the dominance of its e-commerce marketplaces. AWS, which Canalys estimates control 31% of the global cloud infrastructure market, is also under scrutiny from regulators, and it could face scrutiny if more retailers complain about the synergy between Amazon's retail business and AWS's profit-making business.
An active spin-off of AWS could appease regulators, make AWS more attractive to Amazon's retail competitors, and give Amazon more room to expand its advertising business.
Finally, this way AWS would no longer need to support the retail business.
AWS supports Amazon's revenue growth, but Amazon's retail business also prevents AWS from realizing its true growth potential. An AWS separation would allow the cloud company to invest in its own future growth without the burden of supporting Amazon's less profitable retail sites and stores.
Such a spin-off would be comparable to eBay's separation from PayPal in 2015. In such a spin-off, each eBay shareholder received one new share of PayPal for every share of eBay they owned.
Amazon CEO Andy Jassy, who led AWS before succeeding Jeff Bezos in July, has earlier denied calls for an AWS spin-off. However, a separation makes more sense each quarter as Amazon's advertising business expands and the company increasingly faces antitrust hurdles. Therefore, most would agree that Amazon could spin off AWS soon, and investors should welcome the move.
$AMZN | WEEKLY WATCHLIST 9/27After calling the top and predicting the bottom, I'm feeling fairly good about this count. As long as the low around $3304 holds, I am looking for more upside to ultimately hit my $3782 target by November.
Please note we have not completely filled the daily gap yet.
Will look to go long over $3434.
Is this a head and shoulders on Amazon?This is my first post and I am new to TA so go easy but looking for some feedback. To me this looks like a juicy short on Amazon but who TF shorts Amazon lol. This is the weekly and I see a head and shoulders forming. Also, bearish divergence on the MACD and RSI. Already surrendered the 2.618 level twice. Top of the head to the neck line is approx 16%.
AMZN looking perfect from a technical perspectiveToday we will talk about the AMZN setup we have currently pending. Most of the time, we never have more than three setups executed at the same time. One of those is Amazon; after the breakout of the massive range, we observed a Flag Pattern on the edge of it, which is a sequence that has been repeated with different variations across the history of the asset.
Why is this relevant? Because our primary approach when executing any setup is: "Can I demonstrate that what I'm trying to trade right now have been proven to have a statistical advantage on the past? If the answer Is yes, we proceed. Based on our research, this setup represents a pattern with an excellent statistical edge overall.
Does it mean that the following setup will be a profitable one? Nobody knows; it's impossible to determine which "game" or "sequence" of the system will be a take profit or a stop loss. However, we know that after 15 or 30 setups with this quality, we can create a statistical advantage, or in other words, "Profits."
Returning to the chart, the strategy we are using here is pretty simple. We will execute our setup above "B," or the inner local resistance of the flag pattern. Stop loss will be below the structure. Take Profit will be on the fibo extension of the previous impulse ( MAR 2020 - SEP 2020)
Risk: We will be taking a maximum loss of 1.5% of our trading capital.
A movement like this can take between 100 to 150 days. (Be patient)
Thanks for reading!
AMAZON , 140% gain ahead.it's a monthly chart of AMAZON, as you see , the third wave of elliott hasn't ended yet .
our target is 8300 $ , exactly on 161.80% Fibonacci.
after reaching the target , we will witness a correction as the 4th elliott wave , and then the 5th wave.
so in my opinion , keep your AMAZON stocks , till the target reach.
it's a long-term target , will take a at least 10 months to one year to get there.
aye man , if you liked the idea , hit the like.
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any question or opinion ? comment bellow.
AMZN DAILY TIMEFRAMESNIPER STRATEGY
This magical strategy works like a clock on almost any charts
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The best timeframe for this strategy is Daily, Weekly and Monthly however it can work any timeframe above three minutes.
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There is a lot more about this strategy.
It can predict and also it can give you almost exact buy or sell time on the spot.
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AMAZON targeting $4300 once the accumulation is over.Since the Subprime mortgage crisis, Amazon has been repeating a very distinct pattern. After every correction, it gets supported by either the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) or the 1W MA150 (red trend-line) and spends almost a year inside an accumulation zone. Once that's over, it targets the 2.0 Fibonacci extension from the bottom of the correction.
The chart is on the log scale of course, in order to capture and better illustrate these patterns throughout AMZN's immense growth. See how the Accumulation Phases have a similar LMACD pattern every time.
Right now the price has only rebounded on the 1W MA50, three times since March 2021. I believe that as it happened in 2015 and 2020, it needs to hit one MA50 period lower than the first that supported and the next in line is the 1W MA100. Once successfully completed, I expect the price to make again a 2.0 Fib leap which right now is just over $4300.
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Amazon is on his way back upHello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :)
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The Amazon stock has dropped since the start of August where we see the price in July was trading near 3604.80 then it dropped to 3329.99 almost an 8% drop and the market created a gap, and since then its been struggling a bit to get back up.
At the end of the months, the price started to gain more momentum at August 20 the market started going up and jumped from 3199.00 to 3466.11 in 10 days.
It doesn't look like the market is slowing down as more buyers go in and this Bullish trend keeps on going up.
Scenario for the market movement :
The price already reached the first resistance line at 3459.30 today and its movement doesn't seem to be slowing down. We might see some strong resistance at the second line at 3497.04, But if the Bulls were able to keep control over the market then we will certainly see the price go back to the 3549.08 level no problem and from there a new battle will begin over control and the outcome will determine the movement of the market.
Technical indicators show :
1) The market is above the 5 10 20 50 100 200 MA and EMA (Strong Bullish sign)
2) The RSI is at 61.66 showing great strength in the market with no divergences between the market and the indicator.
3) The ADX is at 32.82 showing that the market is trending, with a positive crossover between DI+ (31.25) and DI- (21.06).
Daily Support & Resistance points :
Support/Resistance
1) 3369.52 1) 3459.30
2) 3317.48 2) 3497.04
3) 3279.74 3) 3549.08
Fundamental point of view :
Investors might be concerned with Amazon (AMZN) facing several headwinds in 2H21. Tough comps, re-openings, and supply chain/transportation constraints are all issues to consider as noted by Baird analyst Colin Sebastian.
However, following last week’s AWS Summit Online conference, the analyst believes investors should be paying more attention to Amazon’s cloud business.
“AWS trends remain positive with accelerating growth, healthy margin contributions, and increasing urgency among enterprises to adopt ‘digital transformation,’” the 5-star analyst said.
Amazon is reportedly investing in a live audio feature similar to Clubhouse that will include podcast networks, musicians and celebrities holding live conversations, shows and events.
Axios sources say the effort is being led by the Amazon Music team, which will make the features available to its subscribers, and the live programming will eventually be added to Amazon's live video service Twitch.
This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from fundamental analysts and news for The Fundamental point of view, not financial advice.
If you have any questions please ask and have a great day !!
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Vaido