AMAZON targeting $4300 once the accumulation is over.Since the Subprime mortgage crisis, Amazon has been repeating a very distinct pattern. After every correction, it gets supported by either the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) or the 1W MA150 (red trend-line) and spends almost a year inside an accumulation zone. Once that's over, it targets the 2.0 Fibonacci extension from the bottom of the correction.
The chart is on the log scale of course, in order to capture and better illustrate these patterns throughout AMZN's immense growth. See how the Accumulation Phases have a similar LMACD pattern every time.
Right now the price has only rebounded on the 1W MA50, three times since March 2021. I believe that as it happened in 2015 and 2020, it needs to hit one MA50 period lower than the first that supported and the next in line is the 1W MA100. Once successfully completed, I expect the price to make again a 2.0 Fib leap which right now is just over $4300.
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Amazonsignals
AMAZON Short-term target 3490Pattern: Channel Up on 1D.
Signal: Buy as the price is on the 1D MA50.
Target: 3490 (just below the Resistance 1).
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AMAZON Buy opportunity or collapse?AMZN has been one of the top high cap performers after the pandemic strike. The recent selling got many late buyers worried but on a quarterly basis it appears to be a strong buy opportunity.
The pattern is a Channel Up on the log scale since March with the following indicators being is Support of a new rally:
* The price is near the Higher Low trend-line
* The MA20/MA50 are about to form a Death Cross. Last time that happened was on March 13 and that was done on the market bottom.
* The RSI is printing a sequence similar to the bottoming sequence of early March.
* The LMACD is close to forming a Bullish Cross.
Last time those indicators aligned, Amazon made a new High on the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. Assuming the same pattern is followed, we are looking at a $3900 target.
Are you a buyer?? Feel free to share your work and let me know in the comments section!
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S&P with and without AMAZON. What do you make of this?This chart comparison displays the S&P index with AMAZON (left) and without (right). The sole purpose is to highlight the big impact that AMZ has during the recent weekly rally after indices made a bottom.
As you see with AMAZON, S&P has been rising continuously since the March 23 bottom while without the weight of the pandemic-proof stock (since its on-line nature is favored by the lockdown) it is currently exactly on the March 23.
Food for thought on how bad the situation is on traditional companies. What do you think?
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