AMC
AMC: Above its support level again!• AMC looks quite resilient since our last analysis on it;
• Although it did a bottom sign last week, AMC couldn’t trigger the reversal pattern. However, the support level we mentioned at $6.80 is still working, as at any moment AMC closed a candlestick under this line;
• Since it is retesting this support for the second time, this could be a Double Bottom chart pattern;
• Either way, AMC must break the $7.89 in order to truly reverse, as this will frustrate the previous H&S chart pattern, and the target would be the previous top at the second shoulder, around $10.74;
• If AMC loses its support at $6.80 again, then it’ll probably seek the next support levels (red lines);
• Would be good to see the volume increasing to confirm any bullish reversal;
I’ll keep you guys updated on this. Remember to follow me for more analysis like this! Keep in touch.
ABCD Fibonacci Fan PatternI am measuring ABCDE but the B point is where there is a bullish divergence. In each instance, the B point marks the end of a falling trendline and a reversal occurs. C marks the first tap after divergence and is the second tap of the upper trendline from the prior run.
What is interesting is that a wedge forms on the C - D line. I will be watching to see if this breaks into a slow uptrend over the next week.
Further validation of this theory is that volume does not increase until a few weeks after this D-point breakout. Everything leading up to D-point is dried-out volume.
AMC: A bottom sign! What to expect next?• AMC is still in a bear trend, and there is no reversal sign yet. However, there is a bottom sign on it today, just above a support level (black line at $6.80);
• Today’s candlestick pattern is a Bullish Harami, so far, and although it is not the most reliable bottom sign, it appeared in an important support level;
• This could make AMC bounce back up to its 21 ema again, but remember, this is not a reversal sign yet, just a temporary bottom sign;
• If AMC breaks its 21 ema or does a bullish reversal structure in the next few days, then we can talk about a reversal, but for now, let’s just ´pay attention to the Harami pattern;
• In addition, if AMC frustrates this bottom sign, it’ll just seek its next support levels, like the red line at $6.34 - $5.96;
• It all depends on how AMC will react from here.
I’ll keep you guys updated on this. Remember to follow me for more analysis like this! Keep in touch.
AMC Failed To Trend-ReverseI'm using the VWAP & the MA200 on this one. I'm waiting for the price to change its trend. Today was another attempt to break out of the downwards movement, but the current market situation (GBP being on pair with EUR & USD) puts further pressure on the price.
Waiting for a lower entry, as is still see great potential in meme stocks - as soon as the momentum kicks in.
AMC Shorts rising on APE dilution newsYesterday there was a news about $AMC goin to possibly sell more $APE into the market (if necessary, not a guaranteed move) and now short sellers jumping on this news and shorting the hell out of the $AMC causing it to go down almost 15% on yesterday's trading hours.
This is pure psychological. Hang on to your hats and do not fall for it!
GME moment of truth -- will the Algo break the trendline??GME algo is in full control, as you can see from the two upward blue channels that follow with a sharp drop.
The good news is that the upward orange trendline has held on 3 separate occasions now -- Feb '21, May '22, and Sep '22.
This signifies that while the algo remains mostly in control, the lows aren't as low as they could be because DRS diamond hands are holding the line.
The moment of truth will come within the next couple weeks, as the algo goes for the "mega drop", similar to what we saw in January when we went from $40 to $20.
If we're lucky, we will mimic the movement of April '20 before the sneeze, where the price temporarily dropped below the trendline and back into it, igniting the squeeze in just a few months.
So I'd expect a quick drop below the channel to the $15-20 range and back into it shortly thereafter.
If this happens, MOASS is most definitely imminent within the next 3 months.
However, if it doesn't bounce back into the channel, MOASS would be delayed and a new trend would most likely take shape over the next 6 months or so before we can make any real judgement. At that point, we'd be totally dependent on DRS numbers sucking out liquidity before we saw anything really reminiscent of MOASS.
Will AMC's Short Squeeze Continue?Primary Chart 1 : AMC Price on the Daily Chart with Significant Fibonacci Levels Noted
Will AMC's Short Squeeze Continue?
Another short squeeze has successfully launched a few lucky traders into the stratosphere. Maybe more than a few if some take profits timely. AMC has risen about +183% above its low on May 12, 2022. In the past several days since July 27, 2022, it has risen about 99.06%. All signs point to another short squeeze similar to the prior ones. Even volume patterns look the same—albeit much smaller than prior volume patterns.
The short squeeze could continue as it did in June 2021. Short squeezes don't necessarily stop because everyone things price has gone too high. This article does not take a position on whether AMC is destined to revisit this year's lows or make new all-time lows. And predicting the behavior of numerous market participants—the retail buyers looking for a squeeze and the short sellers looking for a flush—and analyzing how such behavior is affected by other macro issues such as interest rates and liquidity in light of tightening Federal Reserve monetary policy would be a futile endeavor.
As a result, one may look to technical analysis to try to make a prediction about the probabilities.
Note on Primary Chart 1 how the price patterns at the prior short squeeze on March 29, 2022, and today's short squeeze, look nearly identical. Compare the two yellow ellipses on Primary Chart 1 above. Both peak candlesticks have an extremely tall bullish candle preceding them. And both sport a long upper shadow (or wick).
Some technicians call this a Pinocchio candle or bar. This type of price bar shows up when the bar breaks temporarily above a level of resistance and then falls back below it. It also can appear when the bar breaks temporarily below a key support level, and then reclaims that level by the close of the bar. Some basics of Pinocchio bars follow below for those unfamiliar with the term:
Martin Pring, a technical expert, writes that these bars "give a false sense of what is really going on." Pinocchio bars tend to create bull or bear traps depending on the direction the long upper shadow points.
Upside breakouts, such as here with AMC, lock in unwary longs with a loss by the close of the bar. Shorts similarly get stopped when intraday bars pierce well below support and then whipsaw back above that support by the close.
In Martin Pring's books, he further explains that the "false break" that develops is " indicative of exhaustion since the price cannot hold above the strong resistance reflected by the line ."
In short, like the character Pinocchio's nose that grows when he lies, the price move beyond the resistance / support ends up being a false move, and the bigger the false move, the bigger the lie.
In summary, the Pinocchio bar with a long upper shadow, especially when viewed along side other similar bars over the past year, imply that price has likely exhausted to the upside for the time being.
Further support for exhaustion is evident. Note how the Fibonacci projection levels have provided strong support and resistance repeatedly since the all-time high in June 2021. Primary Chart 1 labels those levels and points out their operation as strong resistance on multiple occasions.
The last two rally attempts occurred in December 2021 and March 2022. Both these rally attempts failed at the .50 Fibonacci projection (green line shown on Primary Chart 1). For the current rally, the price bars with the long upper shadow pierces the next Fibonacci level of importance in the sequence: the .618 level which lies just below the .50 level . This also supports at least a temporary pullback or consolidation.
Additional evidence supports exhaustion. Note below how AMC's price has now risen to +5 ATR on the daily and its candle has a long upper shadow. Moves to +3 ATR are rarely sustainable for long much less +5ATR. In the chart below, note the location of price relative to the +3 ATR Keltner Channel. The +3 ATR KC is the outermost band on the upper edge of the KC bands.
Supplementary Chart 2.1: AMC's price well above +3 ATR band on the Daily Chart using Keltner Channels
Supplementary Chart 2.2: AMC's price relative to the +5 ATR band on the daily chart using Keltner Channels
Finally, note the declining volume on each successive short squeeze. This suggests that the buying pressure has waned as short squeezes have continued following each major decline.
Supplementary Chart 3.1: AMC's price well above +3 ATR band on the Daily Chart using Keltner Channels
But the persistence of the buyers squeezing the shorts should be recognized as something that is a new force in markets since what occurred in 2021. Price could indeed push higher if enough collective buying force continues in stock and options markets sufficient to overwhelm all supply. Price can do a lot of things no one expects.
But based on technical analysis alone, however, price likely falls lower from here. This author makes no argument that new lows will be reached. It will be important to watch the pullback to answer that question. A reasonable price target would seem to be 16.50 near the .618 retracement of the rally from the May 12, 2022, low to the August 8, 2022 high.
Falling Wedge Alternate IdeaI've gone and adjusted some of my trendlines and based on trendlines, we may be seeing a bounce off that golden line. It has been a very important level for months. There is the smallest uptrend in both OBV and RSI that may indicate a bounce. If we clear the falling wedge, ideally with some volume, this may indicate a bullish divergence. I would be looking for a consolidation phase between $8.18 and $10.10.
If we can match that bullish trend line we had again, or potentially break it in the next 1-2 months, that would be where I'd expect the next rally. If you believe in the T90 on APE coming to fruition, this would be in the ballpark for a run simultaneously.
GME How Much Upside?NYSE:GME
GME has made a recent move; is there any more left?
On the one hour chart with the volume profile overlaid.
the head and shoulders pattern of late May to late June
may be providing resistance as does the POC of the
volume profile in the same price zone.
I conclude that GME has perhaps 15% upside and is
not setting up a parabolic move or anything of the sort.
$AMC: Breakout to 15$?⚡200 Weekly level mounted (huge resistance now became support)
⚡Support trendline held with a bullish engulfing + volume + bullish divergence on the MFI
⚡Golden pocket fib resistance
⚡Ichimoku Cloud broken
⚡VPVR support mounted at 9-9.7$
⚡10.86$ resistance confirmed by 0.5 fib + VPVR node
⚡12$ resistance confirmed by 0.382 fib + VPVR node + Ichimoku cloud resistance at 11.5$
⚡Moving towards the upper trendline which is located at the 15$ level
*WARNING* This thread is not financial advice. I am not a financial advisor.
$AMC: Price Target 15.5$🔥Bottoming signal on monthly (4-month bottoming pattern consolidation) + Bullish MFI
🔥Monthly Ichimoku low confirmed as bottom followed by TD-Sequential 9
🔥200 Weekly Moving Average Resistance at 9.45 (This should be reclaimed due to the open interest at this level)
🔥Monthly resistance at 11.6$ confirmed by Ichimoku Cloud
🔥7.86 Fib retracement at 8.3$ confirmed by volume
🔥Price target 15.5$ (surpass 2.36 fib to retest resistance at 15.5$)
🔥VWAP broken o daily chart (Bullish signal)
🔥Vix Fix indicator strong bottoming signals on daily chart
🔥Watch for an engulfing amount of buying-volume
🔥VPVR support at 8-8.80$
🔥VPVR resistance at 10$ confirmed by EMA - Ribbons
*WARNING* This thread is not financial advice. I am not a financial advisor.
Thank you for reading.
After we beat the Red line it's BBIG Party TimeWill resolve in less than a week. But this is an established down trending line in a wedge for BBIG. When we break the red line we are going up and we're going to break the red line very soon.
Also there is an insane amount of FTD's next week. Their time is up.
stocksera.pythonanywhere.com
Also shares are coming out in the form of a dividend very soon to form a new company called TYDE where people will have to buy in no later than Dec 12th to be shareholders of record for the 15th.
Full disclosure - I am long on this stock, and really believe there is a real opportunity next week for GAMMA
GME, KOSS, AMC, Silver, Pot Stocks, and now KMPH is a loaded canI'm very bullish on this and long in the position.
The Reddit WSB are starting to get behind it and I'm seeing more buying on the tape in large volume than selling. Shorts are in a bad place.
Could see 20.00, 60.00, 90.00, or 120.00 conservatively due to very small float compared to the floats of GME or AMC.
Full disclosure I'm am long this stock and have been since I found the 71% short on a company with no debt and an FDA approved ADHD drug.
GEO: Shorts are showing weaknessLast weak Tuesday GEO was shorted, 8/22, then bounced back up on Thursday 8/25 the day before the need to cover positions, Friday. What appears to be happening is shorts opening new shorts early into the weak on Tuesday and then covering their old shorts on Thursday which results in the price raise. The issue with that is the fact that we are closing at higher price levels, and especially, where I place an arrow, we are going into Friday with way more momentum (as you can see from the MACD indicator) which tells me shorts are losing control on holding this stock down.
There are more shares shorted than in free float. That indicates a squeeze. Days to cover increased from 9 to 9.5 which also indicates that shorts have only exposed themselves even more than actually covering and eating the small loss, now they will eat a HUGE loss for being greedy and stubborn. Institutional shorts are the dumbest beings I have ever seen.
According to Barrons.com, on 8/15, which would underestimate the short exposure being these shorts have no brain and think shorting more will fix their problem.
Short Interest 18.6M (08/15/22)
Percent of Float 15.82%
Shares Outstanding 124.09Million
Float 116.51M
124.04-116.51 = 7.53 Million shares at a minimum created for the purpose solely created to dilute share prices.
If the short interest is 15.82% of the float, this means 18.431882 Million (Barrons 18.6M) shares are shorted and these positions need to be covered.
If shorts were to cover their entire position, they couldn't without a MAJOR spike in price levels, as even if they chose to cover, not only would price levels increase due to demand, but also SUPPLY of shares would be reduced, those 7.53 million extra shares would be gone, individually making every share that much more "rare" and additionally due to current price levels, a huge influx of forced buying will occur at these high prices. Minimum price target 16-18
THIS IS A FUNDAMENTAL PLAY. INTEREST RATES HAVE GONE UP. GEO GROUP HAS RESTRUCTURED ITS DEBT, CHEAP DEBT FROM PREVIOUS LOW-INTEREST RATE YEARS, AND SPREAD IT OUT OVER THE LONG RUN TO BETTER MATCH ITS NET INCOME CASH FLOW. IT IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY MORE EXPENSIVE TO SHORT (borrow naked) DUE TO THE INTEREST RATE SPIKE AND WE ARE IN FOR A SQUEEEEEEEZE. THIS COMPANY HOLDS PUBLIC CONTRACTS FROM THE GOV FOR HANDLING HIGH-LEVEL SECURITY FACILITIES, UNLIKE AMC WHICH HAS ACTUAL FUNDAMENTAL LONG-TERM VALUE, I WAS IN AMC AT 3$ AND SOLD AT 22 BECAUSE COME ON ITS A MOVIE THEATER COMPANY WITH ZERO FUNDAMENTALS, I JUST IMAGINE WHAT THIS COULD DO HONESTLY.
AMC & APE - What are You, a Monkey?That old adage about "buy the rumor, sell the news" is usually pretty decent wisdom.
It's worth noting that the APE airdrop opened at $10 and fell to $5 over the course of one day, while at the same time AMC's stock fell by $8 to compensate for the value inhered in APE.
You might think to yourself that this doesn't really matter, but it does, because all AMC options yesterday traded under "adjusted" to include 100 APE in the contract. It wasn't until today that a Sept. 16 AMC-only option appeared.
But in the course of the next day, while APE went up $2/20% to a plain ~$7, AMC itself has dropped below its May lows and the psychological $10 level, and is well on its way to revisiting 2021 prices.
This is yet another case illustrating the perils of following the Fabians that run the Marxist Reddit communities.
They're not "bros" trying to help you get rich. They're paid public relations shills who are there to generate volume for the institutions paying their parent corporation to bring in dead money to sell their bags to.
Whenever a new stock hits the market, the original price discovery tends to be pretty bad. If you're lucky, it'll act like something like Palantir PLTR did, where it didn't really make any new lows:
Before actually going "APE."
But keep in mind the differences:
APE is a WallStreetBets frontran dumpster fire coin for a collapsing theatre chain in an economy that should really be classified as on the cusp of entering the 21st Century's "Great Depression."
Palantir is a major AI-based Pentagon-backed surveillance company with Peter Thiel rooted in it.
Or you might, instead, wind up like Coupang CPNG, which lost half its IPO debut price in two months:
Before continuing to die in a muddy ditch during the stock market's biggest bull run of all time.
Regardless, AMC is not going to moon. It's going to drop, and drop, and drop, and so is APE.
After you've capitulated your bags for pennies on the dollar ahead of the new memestock pump cycle 6+ months from now, you might see a significant high.
But if you do, you'll only hear about it on Reddit after it's pumped, because you're supposed to buy high and sell low while Citadel sells high and buys low.
That's what they pay Reddit to do, because it's not a social media site filled with sexy college girls taking off their shirts because they like your attention, but because it's a social marketing and social influencing site where you're the product that is to:
Lose money
Intake a lot of porn
Carry water for the establishment leftist narrative
Be indoctrinated with Marxist-Leninist atheist junk
Additionally, you should really give some thought to being called an "APE." What are the implications of this term? That you're a low IQ animal who mashes the buy button with reckless abandon to "punish" hedge fund short sellers in some kind of rebellion against your father?
Don't you have any self respect? Don't you have any pride as a human being?
Why would you position yourselves alongside garbage like this?
This is the crux of the test, and Heaven is observing All.
The fall and rise of APESeems like bottomed out around the fib level of $4.80, 1 hour macd looks like its about to golden cross for a leg up. Resistance should be at $7.50 area with a retest of the lower purple line, if it can gather momentum then the true test lies at around the $10 level, i will update when this scenario happens, best of luck Apes....