8/10/22 AMCAMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:AMC )
Sector: Consumer Services (Movies/Entertainment)
Market Capitalization: $12.233B
Current Price: $23.67
Breakout Price: $27.00
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $20.60-$14.20
Price Target: $33.00-$34.20 (1st), $40.60-$42.30 (2nd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 23-25d, 47-50d
Contract of Interest: $AMC 9/2/22 25c, $AMC 9/16/22 25c
Trade price as of publish date: $3.55/contract, $4.25/contract
Amclong
AMC - APE stock splitSo AMC decided to do a clever trick and take advantage of the hype coming back into stocks and even meme stocks. Retail traders have taken a hit, with many retail-heavy companies like Gamestop, Coinbase and Robinhood, etc., taking massive hits. However, GME has been doing well, COIN doubled off its lows, and HOOD looks decent.
As stocks are bouncing and the bull could be back, AMC decided to do an intelligent stock split by issuing new preferred stock they can sell. They named it APE, like the Apecoin, a popular NFT-related token, which could create a lot of hype around it. Essentially, it is a trap for retail to go and buy APE without hurting the price of AMC as much and allowing the company to raise the cash it needs. Last year, AMC dumped all of the company shares onto retail on the way up and raised 2B dollars that it has essentially spent and needs fresh cash as it still has a lot of debt. At the same time, they made this look like an airdrop, and it is like an airdrop, but one in which the company controls the majority of the shares.
The company's price looks pretty good regarding TA, as it bottomed nicely. First, it had an 86% correction, which means the entire bubble popped, and there is no froth in the market. It retested some key levels and then reclaimed some key support levels. Since May, it has essentially been in accumulation mode, and today we had the confirmation of the breakout, as the market initially gapped down and then had a massive rally. In my opinion, this rally could last for a while, with the price increasing to 50-60$ before it goes back down again. It wouldn't be surprising if we saw the market go up for the next two weeks and top close to the date of the airdrop/split (22nd of August).
AMC Potential Breakout ScenarioAMC has been trading within this macro falling wedge for a while now and has also formed a smaller symmetrical wedge on the daily timeframe. Price is attempting to breakout from both patterns and if it does we could see a huge move to the FIB golden pocket as seen in late march. PT 26.78- 30 usd. A rejection would send the price back to the bottom of the pattern for another cycle.
Not financial advice :).
AMC still going higher!AMC
Short Term
We look to Buy at 14.20 (stop at 12.69)
Broken out of the channel formation to the upside. This is positive for sentiment and the uptrend has potential to return. There is scope for mild selling at the open but losses should be limited. Further upside is expected.
Our profit targets will be 18.64 and 21.01
Resistance: 20.00 / 30.00 / 45.00
Support: 14.00 / 12.17 / 10.35
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Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Was AMC a corrective five wave all along? I have decided to reset my elliot chart on AMC and start again. It is mindboggling to think that I could have missed something simple that has been under my eye all that time! AMC looks like it has been in a corrective five wave supercycle. After the end of the fifth wave, we seem to be in a cumulation phase triangle. A STRONG BREAK OUT OF THE TRIANGLE WOULD BE HUUUGEE. AMC may drop in the short-term, but the long-term looks BULLISH.
AMC bulls are back in town AMC
Short Term
We look to Buy a break of 10.48 (stop at 9.53)
The trend of higher lows is located at 10.33. This is positive for sentiment and the uptrend has potential to return. There is scope for mild selling at the open but losses should be limited. Further upside is expected.
Our profit targets will be 13.86 and 15.50
Resistance: 14.00 / 16.00 / 30.00
Support: 10.50 / 7.50 / 2.20
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
AMC Time Horizon & Price Targets Sometimes current events seam like an organic component of the extension of the pattern. Short selling and hedge funds may be playing their games but it looks like their window of opportunity is limited.. Lets hope the pattern plays out. Let me know what you think in the comments below.
This is not investment advice, but only my perspective..
AMC: Top Gun 2 will boost stock!AMC
Intraday - We look to Buy a break of 14.80 (stop at 9.61)
Posted a Double Bottom formation. This is positive for sentiment and the uptrend has potential to return. A break of 14.50 is needed to confirm follow through bullish momentum. Further upside is expected.
Our profit targets will be 29.37 and 34.30
Resistance: 14.50 / 20.00 / 30.00
Support: 10.00 / 7.50 / 2.20
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AMC Bullish...Since the low of May 11th, 2022; AMC made an impulse to the upside and seems to now have completed a 3 wave correction of that small impulse which for now confirms my bullish move for the next coming months. Though I was expecting price to move into the bluebox but it fell short but because of the nature of the current price action I then can now no longer look for downside because price has exhausted downside possibilities for the short term.
AMC Bullish! Alternate view in play from last weeks analysis...
We are still bullish on AMC, but however a slight change occurred when price broke below 12,72 meaning that the price is now completing a 11 swing sequence (WXYXZ) to the bottom of the channel and expecting to bounce from around the bluebox area of 8,30 and (not expected to go below the bluebox(5.23) from which we will invalidate our analysis).
$AMC: Spike Incoming?⚡Possible retest of the 7.86 Fib (11$) Strong VPVR support, this would also test the previous 0.5 Fib which acted as strong resistance, confirming this support is a sign of reversal
⚡Golden pocket reistance 16.9-18.8$ Confirmed by VPVR
⚡23$ resistance confirmed by 0.5 Fib + Ichimoku Cloud resistance
⚡28$ Resistance 0.382 Fib confirmed by volatile candles
⚡34$ 0.236 Fib resistance + doubble bottom resistance, last time the 0.236 Fib controlled the upswing
⚡Strong Bullish Divergence on the MFI, could signify bullish price action
⚡TD-Sequential red 8 on downtrend, signal of reversal
⚡The Options Chain hints for a reclaim of the 14$ level
⚡Lower targets are unlikely according to the Options Chain
*WARNING* This thread is not financial advice. I am not a financial advisor.
AMC May Have Found SupportA trendline can be drawn showing a resistance area, which now could be considered a support area
This is a resistance / support analysis
The shift from bear to bull market is in green
Emergence of the 200MA allows an assumption of a support as it aligns above the down trend line
Move up around earnings?I was messing around with the bar pattern tool and found a strong similarity in the movements from May to June compared to where the stock is now. Not only that but there is upward momentum that starts around earnings "5/9/22" which is a beneficial catalyst. Also with this rate hike causing the cost to borrow to go up, I'm feeling pretty BULLISH about what is to come in these upcoming weeks.
AMC close to a Triple BottomIf we look at the chart, we can see AMC close to complete a triple bottom, which is one of the most bullish chart patterns out there.
It has just touched the oversold area from which it bounced.
My new price target is the $20 resistance.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
$AMC: Squeeze Update!⚡15$ Support confirmed by VPVR node + golden pocket retracement + 200 week sma + 2 trendlines of support (Previous resistance)
⚡MFI breakout could lead to a massive rally
⚡18-20$ resistance confirmed by VPVR node + resistance trendline + 0.5 Fib
⚡23.5$ Ichimoku Cloud resistance
⚡0.236 Fib resistance needs to be broken for bullish price action
⚡Worst case scenario should be 9.45$ (Huge VPVR node) + 7.86 Fib support
⚡Break 34.46$ double bottom (previous support) strong resistance. Once this level is broken a squeeze could occur.
⚡If AMC breaks the 200 week sma i wouldn't expect any significant price action for months
⚡Watch for a spike in volume at these levels
⚡AMC is ready for new ATH once the weekly Ichimoku Cloud resistance is broken (40$)
⚡Options looking bullish, lower price targets are less likely
*WARNING* This thread is not financial advice. I am not a financial advisor.
AMC -Bullish!Analysis...
The impulse from the low of $1.90 to a high of $20.30(27Jan 21) was the beginning of the yellow intermediate degree wave 1. The correction of that degree brought the price of AMC stock to $5.23 which completed wave 2 in the yellow intermediate degree in-turn beginning wave 3 in yellow which should unfold in 5 wave in the red minor degree(one degree lower than yellow). That 5 wave move began from $5.23 to a high of $72.38 completing wave 1 in red, since then we have seen price in a gradual decline for those highs of $72.38 to $12.72, The decline has unfolded in a 7 swing sequence(WXY in the next lower green degree) completing wave 2 in red. We now take the impulse from $12.72 to $34.22, which broke the above channel trendline as an impulse in the next smaller degree purple. If we then stay above $12.72 then we should see new high in AMC and the Bullish cycle will be confirmed.
Alternate view!
If however we break below $12.72 the we should be expecting a 11 swing sequence which should take the price one more low to the lower end of the channel BUT that move should at least terminate above $5.23 as it will change the whole outlook of the structure if it goes below.
Targets!
When looking at the red degree price extensions we should expect price to easily reach: First -100% extension of $178 then second 161.8% extension at $906; these are very plausible targets as long as we stay above $12.72.
AMC - The Next Moonshot? I stalk it.Beginning from the left, we see where price broke out, where many made and lost millions. From there on, price went down with huge up-swings in between.
What's that orange inside pitchfork?
This pitchfork gives us a kind of a Swing-Frequency.
What does this mean?
Well, it's nothing more then a measurement of this stocks swing volatility. Furthermore it combines time, by measure and projecting the slope.
As we see, the slope is slightly pointing upwards.
In short, these lines show where we have highly potential support & resistance..
And there is the yellow Channel, the boundary where price trades within.
The Stochastic shows, where we have a hint for a potential move to the upside. We can combine this with the overall analysis and with price action.
Lastly we have the red pressure-cooker line on the most right part of the chart. This pressure line indicates that price is really squeezed down, waiting for a pop through it.
To me, a potential trade could be a breakout through the pressure-cooker line. The problem here is, that for now, nothing indicates that it will happen soon. Even the indicator is not fully oversold yet, so it could break above it's signal line.
I'm waiting for a clear signal.
Just something, that makes me scratching my head or catches my eyes attention.
Observation Hat ON.
#amcquickie