Super X AI Technology Ltd AI Infrastructure Stock 100% upside🔋 1. AI Infrastructure Pivot & Platform Build-out
Strength: 8/10 → 8.5/10
SUPX has made a major pivot in 2025, transitioning from a legacy business into next-gen AI infrastructure. The new focus includes AI servers, liquid cooling systems, HVDC power, and full-stack data center offerings targeting the rapidly growing demand for AI compute in Asia. This shift positions SUPX as a differentiated player in a high-growth market, opening doors to larger contract values and broader verticals.
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🤖 2. Technical Leadership Appointment
Strength: 7/10 → 8/10
A major recent step forward is the hiring of a seasoned CTO with deep data center and AI hardware experience. This upgrade significantly enhances SUPX’s execution ability and credibility in enterprise infrastructure. Institutional investors and potential partners will see this as a sign SUPX can deliver on its technical roadmap and close major deals.
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📈 3. Asia Institutional Partnerships Pipeline
Strength: 6.5/10 → 7/10
SUPX is developing a solid pipeline of institutional AI infrastructure projects across Asia, especially with established banks and tech companies. While many projects are still in proof-of-concept or pilot stages, these early relationships can drive high-margin, recurring business if successfully converted to long-term contracts.
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💰 4. Capital Structure & Financial Health
Strength: 6/10 → 6.5/10
The company’s cash position has improved after new equity raises, giving SUPX a runway for continued R&D and expansion. While the business is still operating at a loss and share dilution remains a factor, debt levels are manageable and financial flexibility should support continued transformation and growth.
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⚠️ Negative Catalysts
🛠️ 5. Transformation Execution Risk
Strength: 6/10 → 6/10
Transitioning from a legacy model to a complex, capital-intensive AI infrastructure business brings substantial execution risk. SUPX must navigate operational scale-up, talent integration, and supply chain challenges, with no guarantee of seamless delivery. Any delays or setbacks could erode investor confidence.
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🌐 6. Revenue Visibility & Monetization Lag
Strength: 5.5/10 → 5.5/10
Most current revenue is still pilot-based, with few long-term or recurring contracts secured. The business model relies on successful conversion of its pipeline and faster ramp-up in recognized sales. Investors will need to see evidence of stable, recurring revenue before the stock is re-rated.
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🔁 7. Macro / Sector Sentiment Sensitivity
Strength: 5/10 → 5/10
As a small-cap AI/infra play, SUPX is highly exposed to swings in broader market sentiment. Any downturn in tech or risk-off moves in global markets could lead to outsized stock volatility, regardless of execution progress.
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🚀 Refreshed Catalyst Rankings
Rank Driver Score
1 AI Infrastructure Pivot 8.5
2 CTO Appointment (Execution) 8
3 Asia Project Pipeline 7
4 Financial Stability & Capital Access 6.5
5 Transformation Execution Risk 6
6 Revenue Model Uncertainty 5.5
7 Macro / Sector Volatility 5
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📊 Analyst Ratings & Price Outlook
• No major Wall Street coverage; visibility remains driven by news flow and early institutional/retail adoption.
• Technicals: The stock has established higher lows since its business model pivot. Resistance sits near $11.50–12, with support at $9.80–10.00.
• Price target: A $20 target remains plausible if SUPX delivers on growth milestones and secures new capital or contracts, representing a potential doubling from current levels.
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🗞️ Recent Developments
• Hired a proven CTO to drive the new AI/data center focus.
• Company rebranded and fully pivoted its business model in 2025, shifting all resources to AI infrastructure.
• Implemented a new equity incentive plan to attract and retain top tech talent.
• Announced a robust pipeline of institutional projects across Asia, although most are not yet recognized as revenue.
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🔍 Summary Outlook
SUPX is an emerging transformation play, now fully aligned with surging demand for AI infrastructure. Its success depends on management’s ability to scale, close institutional contracts, and prove out recurring revenue. While the story is compelling and early traction is positive, the company remains high-risk and execution-dependent at this stage.
Bull Case:
If SUPX converts pilots into revenue, delivers operationally, and continues to attract top talent, the stock could re-rate to the $15–20+ range as its business model is validated.
Bear Case:
Stumbles in execution, monetization, or funding could send the stock back to $7–8 support.
Neutral:
Many investors may choose to wait for confirmation of contract wins, recurring revenue, or sustained technical strength before committing.
Technical Levels to Watch:
• Bullish breakout if it clears and holds $11.50–12.00.
• Bearish risk if it fails to hold $9.80–10.00, with possible drop toward $8.
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✅ What This Means for You
• Bullish: Build positions into execution milestones, focusing on contract conversions and leadership updates. Upside potential to $20 if catalysts align.
• Bearish: Cut or hedge exposure on failed contract news or technical breakdown.
• Neutral: Stay on the sidelines until more evidence of recurring revenue, confirmed contract wins, or positive sector momentum.
AMD
AMD: Potential Mid-Term Reversal from Macro SupportPrice has reached ideal macro support zone: 90-70 within proper proportion and structure for at least a first wave correction to be finished.
Weekly
As long as price is holding above this week lows, odds to me are moving towards continuation of the uptrend in coming weeks (and even years).
1h timeframe:
Thank you for attention and best of luck to your trading!
Amd - New all time highs will follow!🪠Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) rallies even much further:
🔎Analysis summary:
After Amd perfectly retested a major confluence of support a couple of months ago, we saw a textbook reversal. This retest was followed by a rally of more than +100% in a short period of time. But considering all the bullish momentum, Amd is far from creating a top formation.
📝Levels to watch:
$200
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
$AMD supercycle ; PT $300-350 by 2027- NASDAQ:AMD has likely entered a supercycle and we have entered Agentic AI world where inferencing is the main area of investment.
- Model Training is still important but we have entered a stage where lot of open source models and many proprietary vendors are close to each other when it comes to performance.
- Companies are trying to monetize their investments and one critical thing is model inference i.e making predictions.
- NASDAQ:AMD is poised for the agentic ai boom and therefore next 2 years are golden years for $AMD.
AMD coiling to $148-160 range by post-earnings- NASDAQ:AMD is one of the beaten down names. It's not too cheap at the current valuation but it's growth for upcoming 2-3 years are promising which deserves a higher multiple.
- 25%+ growth rate when revenue is in billions is a big deal unlike NASDAQ:PLTR which has high 20s % growth rate on a revenue of 250 mil a quarter.
- Technical supports strong rebound to 148-160 range to test 200 SMA. Good setup for Q1 2025.
- Downside risk is to 94-105 if it continues to meltdown.
Elliott Wave Outlook: AMD Expects Pullback Soon Before RallyThe Advanced Micro Devices Inc., (AMD) favors rally in impulse Elliott Wave sequence from 4.09.2025 low & expect upside in to 168.36 – 190.36 to finish it. Impulse sequence unfolds in 5, 9, 13, 17…., swings & ends with momentum divergence. In daily, it ended pullback in 3 swings at 75.22 low in blue box area from March-2024 high. It is trading higher in nest & expect 13 swings to finish the impulse ((1)) before correcting next. Currently, it favors rally in 7th swing in daily & expect end soon in to 165.63 – 179.16 area before correcting in (4) as 8th swing. In 4-hour, it ended (1) of ((1)) at 97.91 high, (2) at 83.75 low in 4.21.2025 & favors rally in (3) as extended wave. Within (3), it placed 1 at 122.52 high, 2 at 107.09 low, 3 at 162.36 high, 4 at 149.34 low of 7.22.2025 & favors rally in 5. It is showing higher high since April-2025 low.
Below 3 high of 162.36, it ended 4 pullback in double three correction at 149.34 low. It ended ((w)) at 155.81 low, ((x)) at 160.34 high & ((y)) at 149.34 low. Above 4 low, it favors rally in ((i)) of 5 in to 165.44 – 170.43 before correcting next. Within ((i)), it ended (i) at 155.53 high, (ii) at 152.66 low, (iii) at 161.20 high, (iv) at 158.36 low & favor higher in (v). It appears three swings in (v) & expect pullback before final push above 161.52 low before correcting in ((ii)). Alternatively, the current cycle from 4 low can be 5 of (3) before it corrects in (4). In either the case, the next pullback should remain supported. In 4-hour, it is trading in 11th swing & expect pullback in 12th swings later before final rally. We like to buy the pullback in 3, 7 or 11 swings at extreme area for the upside in ((1)).
AMD 1W: If Not Now — Then When?The weekly chart of AMD looks like it’s holding its breath: a well-defined falling wedge, double bottom support, and price pressing right against long-term trendline resistance. Everything’s in place — now it just needs to break and run, preferably without tripping over nearby Fibonacci levels.
The stock is trading around $114 and attempting to hold above the 50-week MA. Just ahead is the 200-week MA (~131) — not only a technical hurdle but also a psychological pivot. A move above it could reignite talk of $150+ targets.
The wedge has been narrowing since late 2024. After repeated bounces off support, price has returned to the top of the pattern. A confirmed weekly close above the wedge could trigger a real breakout. Without that — it risks yet another scripted pullback.
Key Fibonacci levels:
0.618 — $133.60
0.5 — $151.42
0.382 — $169.25
0.236 — $191.30
0.0 — $226.95 (all-time high)
The roadmap looks clean — but only if volume follows through. There are signs of quiet accumulation at the bottom, but no explosive buying just yet.
Fundamentals:
AMD delivered solid Q1 results: revenue is growing, EPS beat expectations, and margins are holding. More importantly, the company launched a new $6 billion stock buyback program — showing clear internal confidence in its long-term trajectory.
There’s also a strategic AI partnership underway with a Middle Eastern tech group. This move positions AMD to challenge not just for GPU market share, but for future AI infrastructure dominance — long game stuff.
Analyst sentiment has turned bullish again, with new price targets in the $130–150 range. All of this makes the current chart structure more than just technical noise — it’s backed by strong tailwinds.
Why I Went Long on AMD Near the 2025 Lows🔍 Reason for the Trade
This wasn’t just a “buy the dip” setup — this was a calculated trade based on strong confluence:
✅ Multi-Year Demand Zone
Price returned to a massive support level that’s held since 2020. This zone had previously triggered multiple large bullish reversals.
✅ Falling Wedge Breakout
A textbook falling wedge pattern formed during the pullback. Once price broke out, the momentum confirmed a structural reversal.
✅ Risk/Reward Optimization
I positioned my stop just under key support, with targets set at prior structure highs. The setup offered a clean 2.5:1+ R/R ratio, perfect for swing conviction.
✅ Institutional Accumulation Area
The volume and wick rejections in this zone screamed smart money stepping in. It was a classic sign of fear-based selling into patient buyers.
🧠 Lessons Reinforced
- Wait for the Zone, Then Act: Patience paid off — the best trades come from the best levels.
- Structure Over Emotion: I trusted the technical, not the bearish headlines.
- R/R Always Wins: You don’t need to be right every time, but when you’re right — let it run.
#AMD #SwingTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #SupportAndResistance #WedgeBreakout #RiskReward #PriceAction #StockMarket #TradingView #TradeRecap
The AMD Long Heist – Ready to Rob the Bulls?!🚨 AMD Stock Vault Heist: Bullish Breakout Plan with Thief Trading Style! 📈💰
🌟 Greetings, Wealth Raiders & Market Mavericks! 🌟
Hello, Ciao, Salaam, Bonjour, and Hola to all you savvy traders! Ready to crack the AMD Stock Vault (Advanced Micro Devices Inc.) with our 🔥 Thief Trading Style 🔥? This high-energy strategy blends technical precision with fundamental firepower to execute the ultimate market heist. Let’s dive into the plan, lock in profits, and escape the high-risk resistance zone like pros! 🏆💸
📝 The Heist Plan: AMD Bullish Breakout Strategy
Our chart lays out a long-entry blueprint designed to capitalize on AMD’s bullish momentum. The goal? Swipe the profits and exit before the bears take control at the resistance zone. This is a high-reward, high-risk setup, so stay sharp! ⚠️
📈 Entry: Crack the Vault!
Timing: Strike when the vault is open! Place buy limit orders on pullbacks within a 15 or 30-minute timeframe targeting the most recent swing low or high.
Tactic: Use a Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) or layering strategy to stack multiple entries for optimal positioning.
Pro Tip: Look for bullish confirmation (e.g., candlestick patterns or volume spikes) to ensure you’re entering with momentum. 🚀
🛑 Stop Loss: Secure the Getaway!
Place your stop loss below the nearest swing low on the 3-hour timeframe (around $148.00 for day/swing trades).
Adjust based on your risk tolerance, lot size, and number of layered entries.
Why? This protects your capital from sudden reversals while giving the trade room to breathe. 🛡️
🎯 Target: Cash Out Big!
Aim for $179.00, a key resistance zone where bears may counterattack.
Watch for signs of overbought conditions or consolidation near this level—be ready to take profits and treat yourself! 💪🎉
💡 Why AMD? The Fundamental Fuel ⛽
AMD’s bullish surge is powered by:
Tech Sector Momentum: Strong demand for semiconductors and AI-driven chips.
COT Report Insights: Institutional buying pressure (check latest Friday COT data, UTC+1). 📅
Macro Tailwinds: Favorable economic conditions and positive sentiment in tech indices.
Geopolitical Stability: No major disruptions impacting tech supply chains.
Intermarket Edge: Monitor NASDAQ 100 and semiconductor ETFs for correlated moves. 📊
For a deeper dive, review:
Macroeconomic trends
Sentiment analysis
Index-specific correlations
Future price projections (overall outlook score: Bullish). 🌎
⚠️ Trading Alert: Navigate News & Volatility 📰
News releases can shake up the market like a rogue alarm system! To stay safe:
Avoid new trades during major news events (e.g., earnings or Fed announcements).
Use trailing stop-loss orders to lock in profits and protect open positions.
Stay agile—monitor real-time updates to adjust your strategy. 🚨
📌 Risk Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not personalized investment advice. Always conduct your own research, assess your risk tolerance, and align your trades with your financial goals. Markets move fast—stay informed and adaptable! 📚
💥 Boost the Heist! 💥
Love this Thief Trading Style? Smash the Boost Button to supercharge our robbery squad! 💪 Every like and share fuels our mission to conquer the markets with ease. Join the team, steal the profits, and let’s make money rain! 🌧️💰
Stay tuned for the next heist plan, you legendary traders! 🤑🐱👤🚀
Advanced Micro Devices | AMD | Long at $126.00Advanced Micro Devices NASDAQ:AMD may be the sleeping giant in the semiconductor / AI space. While all eyes on NVidia NASDAQ:NVDA , earnings for NASDAQ:AMD grew by 800% over the past year... and are now forecast to grow 40% per year. Any other company would be soaring right now (like NVidia), but that company is getting all the attention. And, to me, this means opportunity for the future. The cashflow is likely to grow tremendously for
NASDAQ:AMD into 2027 and beyond, which may inevitably reward investors with dividends.
From a technical analysis perspective, NASDAQ:AMD just entered my historical simple moving average zone. This area (currently $108-$126) is where I will be gathering shares. Something tremendous would have to change regarding the fundamentals of this company (like a scandal) for the overall thesis to change. There may be some near-term price pains as NVidia gets all the focus, but to meet demand in the semiconductor and AI space, NASDAQ:AMD is poised to fulfill that roll in the future.
Target #1 = $158.00
Target #2 = $175.00
Target #3 = $188.00
Target #4 = $205.00
Nvidia (NVDA) 2025+ Catalysts & Risks: Analyst Views🚀 Nvidia (NVDA) 2025+ Catalysts & Risks: Analyst Views
🔑 Key Catalysts Driving Nvidia’s Stock Growth (2025+)
1. 🏆 AI Chip Dominance
Nvidia maintains >90% market share in data-center AI chips (Blackwell, Hopper, Rubin). Its CUDA ecosystem and relentless innovation keep it as the “default” supplier for advanced AI, giving NVDA massive pricing power.
2. 🏗️ Surging Data Center Demand
Cloud and enterprise AI spending remains white-hot. Tech giants (Meta, Microsoft, Amazon, Google) are collectively pouring $300B+ into 2025 AI CapEx. Data center revenues are at all-time highs; analysts expect this uptrend to extend through 2026 as “AI infrastructure arms race” persists.
3. 🌐 Mainstream AI Adoption
AI is now integrated in nearly every industry—healthcare, finance, logistics, manufacturing, retail. As companies embed AI at scale, NVDA’s hardware/software sales rise, with “AI everywhere” tailwinds supporting 15–25% annual growth.
4. 🤝 Strategic Partnerships
Big wins: Deals with Snowflake, ServiceNow, and massive sovereign/international AI collaborations (e.g., $B+ Saudi Arabia/“Humain” order for Blackwell superchips; UAE, India, and Southeast Asia ramping up AI infrastructure using Nvidia).
5. 🚗 Automotive/Autonomous Vehicles
NVDA’s automotive AI segment is now its fastest-growing “new” business line, powering next-gen vehicles (Jaguar Land Rover, Mercedes, BYD, NIO, Lucid) and expected to surpass $1B+ annual run rate by late 2025.
6. 🧑💻 Expanding Software Ecosystem
Nvidia’s “full stack” software (CUDA, AI Enterprise, DGX Cloud) is now a sticky, recurring-revenue engine. Over 4M devs are building on Nvidia’s AI SDKs. Enterprise AI subscriptions add high-margin growth on top of hardware.
7. 🌎 Omniverse & Digital Twins
Industrial metaverse and simulation/digital twin momentum is building (major partnerships with Ansys, Siemens, SAP, Schneider Electric). Omniverse becoming the industry standard for 3D AI/simulation, unlocking new GPU/software demand.
8. 🛠️ Relentless Innovation
Blackwell Ultra GPUs debuting in late 2025, “Rubin” architecture in 2026. Fast-paced, aggressive product roadmap sustains Nvidia’s tech lead and triggers constant upgrade cycles for data centers and cloud providers.
9. 📦 Full-Stack Platform Expansion
Grace CPUs, BlueField DPUs, and Spectrum-X networking mean Nvidia is now a “one-stop shop” for AI infrastructure—capturing more value per system and displacing legacy CPU/network vendors.
10. 🌏 Global AI Infrastructure Buildout
Recent US export rule rollbacks are a huge tailwind, opening up new high-volume markets (Middle East, India, LatAm). Nvidia remains the “go-to” AI chip supplier for sovereign and enterprise supercomputers outside the US, supporting continued global growth.
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📈 Latest Analyst Recommendations (July 2025)
•Street Consensus: Overwhelmingly bullish—~85% of analysts rate NVDA as “Buy/Overweight” (rest “Hold”), with target prices often in the $140–$165 range (post-split, as applicable).
•Target Price Range: Median 12-month PT: $150–$160 (representing ~20% upside from July 2025 levels).
•Key Bullish Arguments: Unmatched AI chip lead, accelerating enterprise AI adoption, deep software moat, and a robust international/sovereign AI order pipeline.
•Cautious/Bearish Notes: Valuation premium (45–50x P/E), high expectations priced in, geopolitical and supply chain risks.
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⚠️ Key Negative Drivers & Risks
1. 🇨🇳 US–China Tech War / Chip Export Restrictions
• US restrictions: While the Biden administration eased some export bans in May 2025 (allowing more AI chip exports to Gulf/Asia partners), China remains subject to severe curbs on advanced NVDA AI chips.
• Workarounds: Nvidia is selling modified “China-compliant” chips (H20, L20, A800/H800), but at lower margins and lower performance.
• Risk: If US tightens controls again (post-election), China sales could fall further. Chinese firms (Huawei, SMIC, Biren) are also racing to build their own AI chips—posing long-term competitive risk.
2. 🏛️ Political/Regulatory Risk
• Election year: A US policy shift (e.g., harder tech stance after Nov 2025 election) could re-restrict exports, limit new markets, or disrupt supply chains (especially TSMC foundry reliance).
3. 🏷️ Valuation Risk
• NVDA trades at a substantial premium to tech/semiconductor peers (45–50x fwd earnings). Any AI “spending pause” or earnings miss could trigger sharp volatility.
4. 🏭 Supply Chain & Capacity Constraints
• As AI chip demand soars, there’s ongoing risk of supply/delivery bottlenecks (memory, HBM, advanced packaging), which could cap near-term revenue upside.
5. 🏁 Competitive Threats
• AMD, Intel, and custom in-house AI chips (by Google, Amazon, Microsoft, Tesla, etc.) are scaling up fast. Loss of a hyperscaler account or a successful open-source software alternative (vs CUDA) could erode Nvidia’s dominance.
6. 💵 Customer Concentration
• A small handful of cloud giants account for >35% of revenue. Delays or pullbacks in their AI spending would materially impact results.
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📝 Summary Outlook (July 2025):
Nvidia’s AI chip monopoly, software moat, and global AI arms race create a powerful multi-year growth setup, but the stock’s high valuation and US-China chip tension are real risks. Analyst consensus remains strongly positive, with most seeing more upside as data-center and enterprise AI demand persists—but with increased focus on geopolitical headlines and potential supply chain hiccups.
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AMD: Elliott Wave Cycle Shows Impulsive RecoveryAMD has seen a deep retracement from its 2024 highs, but it now looks like the stock is trying to stabilize. However, a straight push to new highs may not be likely just yet, as we’re still tracking an ongoing running triangle—an A-B-C-D-E pattern.
Looking at the daily chart, things do look promising for more upside into wave D as we’re seeing a clean five-wave move up on the lower time frame, suggesting we may be in wave A of that D-leg. After a pullback, there could be some very interesting opportunities on the long side.
Support levels on dips to watch are around 115 and 123, while upward projections for this three-wave D-leg rally could be toward the 166 gap area and potentially 185.
Highlights:
Direction: Up after pullback
Support: 115–123
Upside projection: 166 (gap), 185
Grega
$AMD Swing Trade – Put Debit Spread Setup🔻 NASDAQ:AMD Swing Trade – Put Debit Spread Setup (Jul 18 Exp)
📅 Trade Opened: July 3, 2025
🛠 Strategy: Buy to Open (BTO) Put Debit Spread
📉 Strikes: $31 / $30 (Jul 18 Expiration)
💵 Cost (Premium Paid): $0.21
🎯 Trade Thesis
This setup aims to capture short-term downside in NASDAQ:AMD via a low-cost, defined-risk spread. The trade fits within my broader portfolio of OTM spreads under $0.25.
Key Drivers:
🔻 Semi sector under pressure – NASDAQ:AMD showing relative weakness.
📉 Breakdown below key support near $31 and rejection at VWAP.
🧾 Weak momentum – MACD trending down, RSI near 44.
🔄 Trade enters into earnings season volatility.
📊 Technical Setup (Daily)
EMA(4) < EMA(8) < EMA(15): Bearish structure fully intact.
VWAP: Price rejected from 30-day VWAP zone.
MACD/RSI: Momentum still fading, no signs of bullish divergence.
⏳ Strategy Notes
Max loss: $0.21
Max gain: $0.79
Risk/reward structured for a drop into or below $30
Expiration: July 18
🧠 Journal Note
Most of my trades are swing-based using OTM debit spreads with tight risk control. No same-day entries — setups must have defined technical compression and short-term catalysts.
AAAPL: Updated Outlook and Best Level to BUY/HOLD 70% gains________________________________________
Apple Outlook: July 2025–Q1 2026
After peaking near $200 in late May, Apple (AAPL) remains under correction territory despite pockets of resilience, closing July around $193. The current correction is projected to persist until Q1 2026, as global macro and policy headwinds weigh on the broader tech sector. Technicals suggest AAPL could find its cycle low between Q3 and Q4 2025, potentially setting the stage for a renewed bull run into late 2026. Pullback until 170/175 USD. 📉
Catalysts Shaping Apple’s Stock Price in 2025–26
1. AI Integration and Apple Intelligence
Strength: 9/10
The roll-out of on-device Apple Intelligence features—including an upgraded Siri, ChatGPT integrations, and generative AI tools—continues to build anticipation for a major iPhone upgrade supercycle. Initial adoption has been strong, but broader impact will hinge on Q4 developer and enterprise feedback. 🤖
2. Services Segment Growth
Strength: 8.5/10
Apple’s Services business (App Store, iCloud, Apple Music, AI-powered subscriptions) is projected to post double-digit growth into Q4 2025, with consensus revenue estimates at $25–27B for the quarter. Analysts see upside from new AI-driven service bundles, which could add $5–8B in annualized revenue by 2026. 💡
3. Gross Margin Expansion & Cost Efficiencies
Strength: 8/10
Apple’s gross margin is forecast to improve by up to 60 basis points in Q4 2025 as the product mix tilts toward higher-margin services, and as component costs ease. Operational efficiencies from supply-chain automation may further cushion profit margins amid macro uncertainty. 📊
4. iPhone 17 Product Cycle
Strength: 7.5/10
The iPhone 17 lineup—rumored to include advanced polymer batteries and potential foldable form factors—is expected to launch Q4 2025, giving Apple a competitive hardware edge versus Android rivals. Early channel checks point to pent-up demand, though upgrade rates may lag previous cycles due to consumer caution. 📱
5. Vision Pro & Hardware Diversification
Strength: 7/10
Next-gen Vision Pro headsets and new AR/VR devices, boosted by Apple Intelligence, are expected to drive incremental growth in Q4 2025. However, high price points and limited mainstream adoption keep near-term impact contained. 🥽
6. Share Buybacks & Dividend Policy
Strength: 7/10
Apple’s $110B share buyback authorization and steady dividend growth provide valuation support, but recent market volatility has prompted a more cautious pace of repurchases. Yield-seeking investors are watching closely for any pivot in capital return policy if macro pressures persist. 💵
7. Supply Chain & Trade Policy Risks
Strength: 6.5/10
Escalating U.S.–China trade tensions—including the risk of expanded tariffs or tech export bans—remain a top concern. Apple is accelerating its assembly shift toward India and Vietnam to diversify risk, but any new policy shocks in Q4 could hit margins and unit volumes. 🌏
8. Regulatory & Antitrust Pressures
Strength: 6/10
The EU’s Digital Markets Act and potential U.S. antitrust probes could force Apple to further open up its iOS ecosystem by year-end, potentially capping Services revenue growth and adding compliance costs. ⚖️
9. Macro & Interest-Rate Environment
Strength: 5/10
With the Fed signaling “higher for longer” rates through mid-2026, tech sector valuations remain under pressure. Analysts see this limiting multiple expansion even if EPS growth resumes in late 2025. 📈
10. Smartphone Market Competition
Strength: 5/10
Aggressive pricing and innovation from Samsung and Chinese OEMs are intensifying competitive pressures, especially in emerging markets. Apple’s share gains are likely to slow until the macro environment improves and new hardware cycles fully materialize. 🥊
________________________________________
Analyst Projections for Q4 2025:
• Consensus Revenue: $108–112B (up ~4% YoY)
• EPS Estimate: $2.30–$2.42
• Gross Margin: 45–46%
• iPhone Unit Growth: 2–3%
• Services Revenue: $25–27B
Morgan Stanley and JP Morgan maintain “Overweight” ratings, but expect rangebound performance until macro and trade uncertainty clears. Most price targets for Q4 2025 hover between $195–$215, with upside potential post-correction into 2026. 📊
________________________________________
Analyst / Firm Date Rating Price Target (USD)
Barclays 06/24/2025 – 173 ()
Jefferies (E. Lee) 07/01/2025 Hold (Upgraded) 188.32
UBS (D. Vogt) 07/03/2025 – 210.00
J.P. Morgan (S. Chatterjee) 06/26/2025 Overweight 230.00
Morgan Stanley (E. Woodring) 03/12/2025 Overweight 252.00
Evercore ISI 01/31/2025 – 260.00
Redburn Partners 01/31/2025 – 230.00
D.A. Davidson (G. Luria) 05/02/2025 – 250.00
TradingView Consensus (avg) – Consensus 228.98
TipRanks Consensus (avg over 3mo) – Consensus 226.36
AMD Stable Channel Up targets $168.Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has been trading within a Channel Up since the April 08 market bottom. With the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) as its Support since April 30, the pattern has shown incredible consistency, with the past two pull-backs almost touching the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level.
As a result, given also the fact that the 4H RSI is supported by the Higher Lows trend-line, we view the current bounce as a solid buy opportunity for the short-term. We are targeting $168, which is the -0.5 Fibonacci extension, the level that the previous Higher High reached.
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SMCI Long Swing Setup – Positioned for AI-Driven Infrastructure Super Micro Computer, Inc. NASDAQ:SMCI is a critical player in the AI infrastructure boom, supplying high-performance servers to NVIDIA, AMD, and major data centers. With accelerating demand for compute power, SMCI is well-positioned for continued upside.
📌 Trade Setup:
• Entry Zone: Current market price or $40 – $43 support zone
• Take Profit Targets:
o 🥇 $70
o 🥈 $100
o 🥉 $120
• Stop Loss: Weekly close below $30
Breakout Alert: AMD Head & Shoulders Points to $160+Overview
Name: Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
Ticker Symbol: AMD
Exchange: NASDAQ
Founded: 1969
Headquarters: Santa Clara, California, USA
CEO: Lisa Su (as of 2025)Sector: Technology / Semiconductors
About
AMD is a leading semiconductor company known for its high-performance computing and graphics solutions. It competes with Intel and NVIDIA in the CPU, GPU, and data center markets. Its product line includes Ryzen (desktop/laptop CPUs), EPYC (server CPUs), and Radeon (GPUs), with strong expansion in AI and custom silicon for next-gen applications.
Fundamentals
Earnings: AMD reported strong Q1 2025 earnings with a beat on both revenue and EPS, supported by explosive demand in the AI and data center segments.Revenue: $6.52B, up 21% YoY
Outlook: The company raised guidance for the second half of 2025 as it expects to benefit from the AI chip boom and new product rollouts.
Technicals (4H Chart)
Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern confirmed with neckline breakout around ~$117
Breakout from Falling Channel aligning with bullish reversal structure
Price surged past resistance with strong volume, currently at $126.39 (+9.71%)
RSI at 65.88, approaching overbought but not signaling weakness
MACD bullish crossover, confirming momentum
Short-term target range: $145–$150, with extended projection up to $162.75
📌 Support Levels: $117, $111.50📈 Target Price (TP): $162.75 (based on pattern breakout height projection)
💡 My Take
AMD just pulled off a textbook bullish reversal — inverted head and shoulders breakout combined with a falling channel exit. With strong macro trends in AI hardware and data center expansion, this move feels well-supported fundamentally and technically.
The clean neckline breakout and explosive candle suggest continuation. I am expecting a potential consolidation around $130–$135ish before next leg to $150+. If momentum holds, $162+ is possible before August.
💼 Position
Type: AMD 145 Call
Expiry: July 03, 2025
Quantity: 15
Average Cost Basis: $.038
Date Purchased: June 12, 2025
Last Price: $0.47
Total % Gain/Loss: +23.4%
I entered after the neckline break and riding the wave. AMD’s setup is too clean to ignore — high conviction play.
Amd - This is just the beginning!Amd - NASDAQ:AMD - perfectly plays out:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Despite the harsh drop of about -65% which we have been witnessing starting back in 2024, Amd remains bullish. Just three months ago, Amd retested a textbook confluence of support. We saw bullish confirmation, the bottom is in and Amd will rally significantly from here.
Levels to watch: $200, $300
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Is AMD Poised to Redefine the Future of AI and Computing?Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is rapidly transforming its market position, recently converting a Wall Street skeptic, Melius Research, into a bullish advocate. Analyst Ben Reitzes upgraded AMD stock to "buy" from "hold," significantly raising the price target to \$175 from \$110, citing the company's substantial progress in artificial intelligence (AI) chips and computing systems. This optimistic outlook is fueled by a confluence of factors, including surging demand from hyperscale cloud providers and sovereign entities, alongside colossal revenue opportunities in AI inferencing workloads. Another upgrade from CFRA to "strong buy" further underscores this shifting perception, highlighting AMD's new product launches and an expanding customer base, including key players like Oracle and OpenAI, for its accelerator technology and the maturing ROCm software stack.
AMD's advancements in the AI accelerator market are particularly noteworthy. The company's MI300 series, including the MI300X with its industry-leading 192GB HBM3 memory, and the newly unveiled MI350 series, are designed to deliver significant price and performance advantages over rivals like Nvidia's H100. At its "Advancing AI 2025" event on June 12, AMD not only showcased the MI350's potential for up to 38x improvement in energy efficiency for AI training but also previewed "Helios" full-rack AI systems. These comprehensive, plug-and-play solutions, leveraging future MI400 series GPUs and Zen 6-based EPYC "Venice" CPUs, position AMD to directly compete for the lucrative business of hyperscale operators. As AI inference workloads are projected to consume 58% of AI budgets, AMD's focus on efficient, scalable AI platforms puts it in a prime position to capture a growing share of the rapidly expanding AI data center market.
Beyond AI, AMD is pushing the boundaries of traditional computing with its upcoming Zen 6 Ryzen CPUs, reportedly targeting "insane" clock speeds, well above 6 GHz, with some leaks suggesting peaks of 6.4-6.5 GHz. Built on TSMC's advanced 2nm lithography node, the Zen 6 architecture, developed by the same team behind the successful Zen 4, promises significant architectural improvements and a substantial increase in performance per clock. While these are leaked targets, the combination of AMD's proven design capabilities and TSMC's cutting-edge process technology makes these ambitious clock speeds appear highly achievable. This aggressive strategy aims to deliver compelling performance gains for PC enthusiasts and enterprise users, further solidifying AMD's competitive stance against Intel's forthcoming Nova Lake CPUs, which are also expected around 2026 and feature a modular design and up to 52 cores.
Nvidia & Nasdaq History - What you need to know!Record-high share price: NVDA hit a new all-time high as U.S. stock markets rallied and Wall Street analysts forecast continued upside
Nvidia is pushing towards the first ever $4 Trillion market cap.
Today it surpassed MSFT as the largest company in the world closing up over 4% on the session.
Micron earnings are adding extra fuel to the fire for semi conductors.
Short term picture for semis - they're very extended and need some consolidation.
Micron earnings: Revenue: $8.05 billion, up ~38% YoY, beating the ~$7.89 billion consensus
Data‑center revenue: Tripled YoY, powered by surging demand for high‑bandwidth memory (HBM)
HBM sales: Exceeded $1 billion, growing over 50% sequentially
Strong margin and revenue beat; robust cash flow (~$857 million free cash flow) with a solid balance sheet ($9.6 billion in liquidity)
AMD Major Lower Highs/ 1W MA50 break-out.It was only 9 days ago (June 16, see chart below) when we called for a potential bullish break-out on Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line):
The break-out did happen, this 1W candle is already considerably above its 1W MA50 and based also on the level the 1W RSI is at right now, it may resemble more the March 13 2023 1W candle instead of the January 30 2023 as previously thought.
The reason is the major break-out of the All Time High (ATH) Lower Highs trend-line that came along with the 1W MA50. As you can see, it was on the March 13 2023 1W candle that AMD broke above that trend-line with the 1W RSI being on the same level (66.00) as today.
This candle formed a short-term Top, with the price initiating a 1.5 month pull-back that re-tested the 1W MA50 as Support and then moved on to complete the +143.12% Bullish Leg from the Channel Up bottom.
As a result, we can't rule out the first wave of short-term profit taking by next week. But a potential 1W MA50 test, will be another long-term buy entry in our view. Our $185.00 Target remains intact.
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