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AAAPL: Updated Outlook and Best Level to BUY/HOLD 70% gains________________________________________ Apple Outlook: July 2025–Q1 2026 After peaking near $200 in late May, Apple (AAPL) remains under correction territory despite pockets of resilience, closing July around $193. The current correction is projected to persist until Q1 2026, as global macro and policy headwinds weigh on the broader tech sector. Technicals suggest AAPL could find its cycle low between Q3 and Q4 2025, potentially setting the stage for a renewed bull run into late 2026. Pullback until 170/175 USD. 📉 Catalysts Shaping Apple’s Stock Price in 2025–26 1. AI Integration and Apple Intelligence Strength: 9/10 The roll-out of on-device Apple Intelligence features—including an upgraded Siri, ChatGPT integrations, and generative AI tools—continues to build anticipation for a major iPhone upgrade supercycle. Initial adoption has been strong, but broader impact will hinge on Q4 developer and enterprise feedback. 🤖 2. Services Segment Growth Strength: 8.5/10 Apple’s Services business (App Store, iCloud, Apple Music, AI-powered subscriptions) is projected to post double-digit growth into Q4 2025, with consensus revenue estimates at $25–27B for the quarter. Analysts see upside from new AI-driven service bundles, which could add $5–8B in annualized revenue by 2026. 💡 3. Gross Margin Expansion & Cost Efficiencies Strength: 8/10 Apple’s gross margin is forecast to improve by up to 60 basis points in Q4 2025 as the product mix tilts toward higher-margin services, and as component costs ease. Operational efficiencies from supply-chain automation may further cushion profit margins amid macro uncertainty. 📊 4. iPhone 17 Product Cycle Strength: 7.5/10 The iPhone 17 lineup—rumored to include advanced polymer batteries and potential foldable form factors—is expected to launch Q4 2025, giving Apple a competitive hardware edge versus Android rivals. Early channel checks point to pent-up demand, though upgrade rates may lag previous cycles due to consumer caution. 📱 5. Vision Pro & Hardware Diversification Strength: 7/10 Next-gen Vision Pro headsets and new AR/VR devices, boosted by Apple Intelligence, are expected to drive incremental growth in Q4 2025. However, high price points and limited mainstream adoption keep near-term impact contained. 🥽 6. Share Buybacks & Dividend Policy Strength: 7/10 Apple’s $110B share buyback authorization and steady dividend growth provide valuation support, but recent market volatility has prompted a more cautious pace of repurchases. Yield-seeking investors are watching closely for any pivot in capital return policy if macro pressures persist. 💵 7. Supply Chain & Trade Policy Risks Strength: 6.5/10 Escalating U.S.–China trade tensions—including the risk of expanded tariffs or tech export bans—remain a top concern. Apple is accelerating its assembly shift toward India and Vietnam to diversify risk, but any new policy shocks in Q4 could hit margins and unit volumes. 🌏 8. Regulatory & Antitrust Pressures Strength: 6/10 The EU’s Digital Markets Act and potential U.S. antitrust probes could force Apple to further open up its iOS ecosystem by year-end, potentially capping Services revenue growth and adding compliance costs. ⚖️ 9. Macro & Interest-Rate Environment Strength: 5/10 With the Fed signaling “higher for longer” rates through mid-2026, tech sector valuations remain under pressure. Analysts see this limiting multiple expansion even if EPS growth resumes in late 2025. 📈 10. Smartphone Market Competition Strength: 5/10 Aggressive pricing and innovation from Samsung and Chinese OEMs are intensifying competitive pressures, especially in emerging markets. Apple’s share gains are likely to slow until the macro environment improves and new hardware cycles fully materialize. 🥊 ________________________________________ Analyst Projections for Q4 2025: • Consensus Revenue: $108–112B (up ~4% YoY) • EPS Estimate: $2.30–$2.42 • Gross Margin: 45–46% • iPhone Unit Growth: 2–3% • Services Revenue: $25–27B Morgan Stanley and JP Morgan maintain “Overweight” ratings, but expect rangebound performance until macro and trade uncertainty clears. Most price targets for Q4 2025 hover between $195–$215, with upside potential post-correction into 2026. 📊 ________________________________________ Analyst / Firm Date Rating Price Target (USD) Barclays 06/24/2025 – 173 () Jefferies (E. Lee) 07/01/2025 Hold (Upgraded) 188.32 UBS (D. Vogt) 07/03/2025 – 210.00 J.P. Morgan (S. Chatterjee) 06/26/2025 Overweight 230.00 Morgan Stanley (E. Woodring) 03/12/2025 Overweight 252.00 Evercore ISI 01/31/2025 – 260.00 Redburn Partners 01/31/2025 – 230.00 D.A. Davidson (G. Luria) 05/02/2025 – 250.00 TradingView Consensus (avg) – Consensus 228.98 TipRanks Consensus (avg over 3mo) – Consensus 226.36
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by ProjectSyndicate
45
AMD: Elliott Wave Cycle Shows Impulsive RecoveryAMD has seen a deep retracement from its 2024 highs, but it now looks like the stock is trying to stabilize. However, a straight push to new highs may not be likely just yet, as we’re still tracking an ongoing running triangle—an A-B-C-D-E pattern. Looking at the daily chart, things do look promising for more upside into wave D as we’re seeing a clean five-wave move up on the lower time frame, suggesting we may be in wave A of that D-leg. After a pullback, there could be some very interesting opportunities on the long side. Support levels on dips to watch are around 115 and 123, while upward projections for this three-wave D-leg rally could be toward the 166 gap area and potentially 185. Highlights: Direction: Up after pullback Support: 115–123 Upside projection: 166 (gap), 185 Grega
NASDAQ:AMD
by ew-forecast
$AMD Swing Trade – Put Debit Spread Setup🔻 NASDAQ:AMD Swing Trade – Put Debit Spread Setup (Jul 18 Exp) 📅 Trade Opened: July 3, 2025 🛠 Strategy: Buy to Open (BTO) Put Debit Spread 📉 Strikes: $31 / $30 (Jul 18 Expiration) 💵 Cost (Premium Paid): $0.21 🎯 Trade Thesis This setup aims to capture short-term downside in NASDAQ:AMD via a low-cost, defined-risk spread. The trade fits within my broader portfolio of OTM spreads under $0.25. Key Drivers: 🔻 Semi sector under pressure – NASDAQ:AMD showing relative weakness. 📉 Breakdown below key support near $31 and rejection at VWAP. 🧾 Weak momentum – MACD trending down, RSI near 44. 🔄 Trade enters into earnings season volatility. 📊 Technical Setup (Daily) EMA(4) < EMA(8) < EMA(15): Bearish structure fully intact. VWAP: Price rejected from 30-day VWAP zone. MACD/RSI: Momentum still fading, no signs of bullish divergence. ⏳ Strategy Notes Max loss: $0.21 Max gain: $0.79 Risk/reward structured for a drop into or below $30 Expiration: July 18 🧠 Journal Note Most of my trades are swing-based using OTM debit spreads with tight risk control. No same-day entries — setups must have defined technical compression and short-term catalysts.
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by DarkPoolRay
AMD Stable Channel Up targets $168.Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has been trading within a Channel Up since the April 08 market bottom. With the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) as its Support since April 30, the pattern has shown incredible consistency, with the past two pull-backs almost touching the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. As a result, given also the fact that the 4H RSI is supported by the Higher Lows trend-line, we view the current bounce as a solid buy opportunity for the short-term. We are targeting $168, which is the -0.5 Fibonacci extension, the level that the previous Higher High reached. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by TradingShot
8
SMCI Long Swing Setup – Positioned for AI-Driven Infrastructure Super Micro Computer, Inc. NASDAQ:SMCI is a critical player in the AI infrastructure boom, supplying high-performance servers to NVIDIA, AMD, and major data centers. With accelerating demand for compute power, SMCI is well-positioned for continued upside. 📌 Trade Setup: • Entry Zone: Current market price or $40 – $43 support zone • Take Profit Targets: o 🥇 $70 o 🥈 $100 o 🥉 $120 • Stop Loss: Weekly close below $30
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by Richtv_official
Breakout Alert: AMD Head & Shoulders Points to $160+Overview Name: Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. Ticker Symbol: AMD Exchange: NASDAQ Founded: 1969 Headquarters: Santa Clara, California, USA CEO: Lisa Su (as of 2025)Sector: Technology / Semiconductors About AMD is a leading semiconductor company known for its high-performance computing and graphics solutions. It competes with Intel and NVIDIA in the CPU, GPU, and data center markets. Its product line includes Ryzen (desktop/laptop CPUs), EPYC (server CPUs), and Radeon (GPUs), with strong expansion in AI and custom silicon for next-gen applications. Fundamentals Earnings: AMD reported strong Q1 2025 earnings with a beat on both revenue and EPS, supported by explosive demand in the AI and data center segments.Revenue: $6.52B, up 21% YoY Outlook: The company raised guidance for the second half of 2025 as it expects to benefit from the AI chip boom and new product rollouts. Technicals (4H Chart) Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern confirmed with neckline breakout around ~$117 Breakout from Falling Channel aligning with bullish reversal structure Price surged past resistance with strong volume, currently at $126.39 (+9.71%) RSI at 65.88, approaching overbought but not signaling weakness MACD bullish crossover, confirming momentum Short-term target range: $145–$150, with extended projection up to $162.75 📌 Support Levels: $117, $111.50📈 Target Price (TP): $162.75 (based on pattern breakout height projection) 💡 My Take AMD just pulled off a textbook bullish reversal — inverted head and shoulders breakout combined with a falling channel exit. With strong macro trends in AI hardware and data center expansion, this move feels well-supported fundamentally and technically. The clean neckline breakout and explosive candle suggest continuation. I am expecting a potential consolidation around $130–$135ish before next leg to $150+. If momentum holds, $162+ is possible before August. 💼 Position Type: AMD 145 Call Expiry: July 03, 2025 Quantity: 15 Average Cost Basis: $.038 Date Purchased: June 12, 2025 Last Price: $0.47 Total % Gain/Loss: +23.4% I entered after the neckline break and riding the wave. AMD’s setup is too clean to ignore — high conviction play.
NASDAQ:AMD
by ProfitProf
Amd - This is just the beginning!Amd - NASDAQ:AMD - perfectly plays out: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) Despite the harsh drop of about -65% which we have been witnessing starting back in 2024, Amd remains bullish. Just three months ago, Amd retested a textbook confluence of support. We saw bullish confirmation, the bottom is in and Amd will rally significantly from here. Levels to watch: $200, $300 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by basictradingtv
7
Is AMD Poised to Redefine the Future of AI and Computing?Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is rapidly transforming its market position, recently converting a Wall Street skeptic, Melius Research, into a bullish advocate. Analyst Ben Reitzes upgraded AMD stock to "buy" from "hold," significantly raising the price target to \$175 from \$110, citing the company's substantial progress in artificial intelligence (AI) chips and computing systems. This optimistic outlook is fueled by a confluence of factors, including surging demand from hyperscale cloud providers and sovereign entities, alongside colossal revenue opportunities in AI inferencing workloads. Another upgrade from CFRA to "strong buy" further underscores this shifting perception, highlighting AMD's new product launches and an expanding customer base, including key players like Oracle and OpenAI, for its accelerator technology and the maturing ROCm software stack. AMD's advancements in the AI accelerator market are particularly noteworthy. The company's MI300 series, including the MI300X with its industry-leading 192GB HBM3 memory, and the newly unveiled MI350 series, are designed to deliver significant price and performance advantages over rivals like Nvidia's H100. At its "Advancing AI 2025" event on June 12, AMD not only showcased the MI350's potential for up to 38x improvement in energy efficiency for AI training but also previewed "Helios" full-rack AI systems. These comprehensive, plug-and-play solutions, leveraging future MI400 series GPUs and Zen 6-based EPYC "Venice" CPUs, position AMD to directly compete for the lucrative business of hyperscale operators. As AI inference workloads are projected to consume 58% of AI budgets, AMD's focus on efficient, scalable AI platforms puts it in a prime position to capture a growing share of the rapidly expanding AI data center market. Beyond AI, AMD is pushing the boundaries of traditional computing with its upcoming Zen 6 Ryzen CPUs, reportedly targeting "insane" clock speeds, well above 6 GHz, with some leaks suggesting peaks of 6.4-6.5 GHz. Built on TSMC's advanced 2nm lithography node, the Zen 6 architecture, developed by the same team behind the successful Zen 4, promises significant architectural improvements and a substantial increase in performance per clock. While these are leaked targets, the combination of AMD's proven design capabilities and TSMC's cutting-edge process technology makes these ambitious clock speeds appear highly achievable. This aggressive strategy aims to deliver compelling performance gains for PC enthusiasts and enterprise users, further solidifying AMD's competitive stance against Intel's forthcoming Nova Lake CPUs, which are also expected around 2026 and feature a modular design and up to 52 cores.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by UDIS_View
Nvidia & Nasdaq History - What you need to know!Record-high share price: NVDA hit a new all-time high as U.S. stock markets rallied and Wall Street analysts forecast continued upside Nvidia is pushing towards the first ever $4 Trillion market cap. Today it surpassed MSFT as the largest company in the world closing up over 4% on the session. Micron earnings are adding extra fuel to the fire for semi conductors. Short term picture for semis - they're very extended and need some consolidation. Micron earnings: Revenue: $8.05 billion, up ~38% YoY, beating the ~$7.89 billion consensus Data‑center revenue: Tripled YoY, powered by surging demand for high‑bandwidth memory (HBM) HBM sales: Exceeded $1 billion, growing over 50% sequentially Strong margin and revenue beat; robust cash flow (~$857 million free cash flow) with a solid balance sheet ($9.6 billion in liquidity)
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Trading-Capital
1
AMD Major Lower Highs/ 1W MA50 break-out.It was only 9 days ago (June 16, see chart below) when we called for a potential bullish break-out on Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line): The break-out did happen, this 1W candle is already considerably above its 1W MA50 and based also on the level the 1W RSI is at right now, it may resemble more the March 13 2023 1W candle instead of the January 30 2023 as previously thought. The reason is the major break-out of the All Time High (ATH) Lower Highs trend-line that came along with the 1W MA50. As you can see, it was on the March 13 2023 1W candle that AMD broke above that trend-line with the 1W RSI being on the same level (66.00) as today. This candle formed a short-term Top, with the price initiating a 1.5 month pull-back that re-tested the 1W MA50 as Support and then moved on to complete the +143.12% Bullish Leg from the Channel Up bottom. As a result, we can't rule out the first wave of short-term profit taking by next week. But a potential 1W MA50 test, will be another long-term buy entry in our view. Our $185.00 Target remains intact. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by TradingShot
Bullish Thesis: Why AMD Stock Could Soar by Year-End 2025If you haven`t bought AMD before the previous rally: What to consider now: 1. AI Tailwinds Are Accelerating AMD is finally gaining serious traction in the AI GPU race. Its MI300X accelerator chips are being adopted by big names like Microsoft, Meta, and Oracle for data center AI workloads. While NVIDIA is still dominant, AMD is expected to grab 10–20% of the AI GPU market share by 2025, according to industry estimates. That’s a multibillion-dollar opportunity. The MI300X already passed $1B in revenue within its first quarters. AI server TAM (total addressable market) is expected to grow to $400B by 2027 — AMD is positioning itself aggressively to carve out its slice. 2. Valuation Looks Reasonable vs Peers AMD trades at a forward P/E around 40, significantly below Nvidia (which trades over 60x) despite similar growth projections for the next 2 years. Revenue expected to grow over 15–20% YoY in 2025. Gross margins expanding as high-performance chips dominate the mix. 3. Diversified Growth: Beyond AI Gaming segment (PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X chips) remains strong. Embedded segment from Xilinx acquisition continues to generate solid cash flow. Client CPU business is rebounding as the PC market stabilizes. 4. Strong Management and Execution CEO Lisa Su is widely respected for turning AMD around and guiding the company through major innovations and acquisitions (Xilinx, Pensando). Execution has remained consistent, especially in delivering cutting-edge performance-per-watt chips. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:AMDLong
by TopgOptions
AMD 1W: If Not Now — Then When?The weekly chart of AMD looks like it’s holding its breath: a well-defined falling wedge, double bottom support, and price pressing right against long-term trendline resistance. Everything’s in place — now it just needs to break and run, preferably without tripping over nearby Fibonacci levels. The stock is trading around $114 and attempting to hold above the 50-week MA. Just ahead is the 200-week MA (~131) — not only a technical hurdle but also a psychological pivot. A move above it could reignite talk of $150+ targets. The wedge has been narrowing since late 2024. After repeated bounces off support, price has returned to the top of the pattern. A confirmed weekly close above the wedge could trigger a real breakout. Without that — it risks yet another scripted pullback. Key Fibonacci levels: 0.618 — $133.60 0.5 — $151.42 0.382 — $169.25 0.236 — $191.30 0.0 — $226.95 (all-time high) The roadmap looks clean — but only if volume follows through. There are signs of quiet accumulation at the bottom, but no explosive buying just yet. Fundamentals: AMD delivered solid Q1 results: revenue is growing, EPS beat expectations, and margins are holding. More importantly, the company launched a new $6 billion stock buyback program — showing clear internal confidence in its long-term trajectory. There’s also a strategic AI partnership underway with a Middle Eastern tech group. This move positions AMD to challenge not just for GPU market share, but for future AI infrastructure dominance — long game stuff. Analyst sentiment has turned bullish again, with new price targets in the $130–150 range. All of this makes the current chart structure more than just technical noise — it’s backed by strong tailwinds.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by TotoshkaTrades
USDCAD - Long triggered We have entered into the discount area of the most recent swing point on USDCAD. With doing this we have taken out all the areas of liquidity within the trading range so it was time to look for potential long moves. Now at current price we have had a great example of AMD where by we Accumulate Manipulate and then the hope is that we begin to distribute higher. There was also a nice fair value gap that was left behind on the 5min So all that was left to do was execute. Let us see how it plays out. Win or lose great entry super happy with the trade. Lets see how it goes
Long
by BenFxLDN
DXY Market Outlook: Eyes on 99.392Hello Traders, DXY found buyers at the 97.921 level we tracked last week and managed to close daily candles above this level. We can now refer to this area as a rejection block (D + RB). This week, the block was retested and encountered rejection from buyers. With this buyer reaction, our target is the peak level of the consolidation that brought the price here (99.392). There's a minor level to watch along the way: 98.586. However, considering the key level where the price reacted and the weekly chart showing no major obstacles ahead, we believe that targeting the peak of the consolidation that initiated the last decline (99.392) is the more suitable approach. Taking news data into account—and more importantly, geopolitical factors and unexpected developments—we still acknowledge the possibility of the price sweeping the low again. However, we don’t expect this to invalidate the overall scenario. With news catalysts, we anticipate the price reaching the target within the week. Until the next update, wish you many pips!
TVC:DXYLong
by FundedTraderMarkets
4
$AMD supercycle ; PT $300-350 by 2027- NASDAQ:AMD has likely entered a supercycle and we have entered Agentic AI world where inferencing is the main area of investment. - Model Training is still important but we have entered a stage where lot of open source models and many proprietary vendors are close to each other when it comes to performance. - Companies are trying to monetize their investments and one critical thing is model inference i.e making predictions. - NASDAQ:AMD is poised for the agentic ai boom and therefore next 2 years are golden years for $AMD.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by bigbull037
EURUSD - 2nd potential entryEvening all Here is a still screenshot of what I am looking for the market open on EURUSD come Sunday night after the spreads have died down on the pair. My pending order will go directly on the FVG with my stops below the manipulation of the range. If I get tagged in great. If I don't also great if we continue to move high I mill just manage the one position. If I am tagged in I will give you and update with a new idea and then depending on how that idea plays out win or lose I will come back and re-visit it and break it down some more. However I have high hopes for this trade to make it up to 1.16300 Have a great weekend and I will speak to you all soon
by BenFxLDN
3
AMD – Breakout Watch (Daily Chart)NASDAQ:AMD surged +9.12% on June 16 with volume 1.8× above average, reclaiming the 200-day SMA for the first time in 7 months. This marks a clear character change, but not yet a setup. Price stalled into multi-quarter trendline resistance around 128–130. No pivot, no contraction — just strength into supply. Still needs to consolidate below trendline resistance for a valid trade. Key Levels: • Resistance: 130 / 145 • Support: 124.35 (breakout zone), 116.55 (MA stack) • Watch for: Tight coil, volume dry-up, pivot pattern formation Not chasing — watching for structure. Patience is a position. 📉 Weekly chart also reclaimed 30-week MA for the first time since Nov ’24. #AMD #technicalanalysis #breakoutwatch #tradingview
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by KT_Charts
AMD First touch of 1W MA50 after 8 months!Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) hit today its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in almost 8 months (since October 28 2024). This is a crucial test as the las time this level broke as a Resistance following a Channel Up bottom rebound was on the week of January 30 2023. When that happened, the Bullish Leg extended the upside to complete a +143.12% rise, before the next 1W MA50 pull-back. As a result, if we close the week above the 1W MA50, we expect to see $185 before the end of the year. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by TradingShot
1
Amd - This starts the next +200% rally!Amd - NASDAQ:AMD - is preparing a major rally: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) It has - once again - not been unexpected at all that we now see a major reversal rally on Amd. After the harsh drop of about -65%, Amd retested a significant confluence of support and already created bullish confirmation. It is quite likely that this now starts the next bullrun. Levels to watch: $100, $300 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by basictradingtv
23