AMD
EOY review $AMD explosive move up, still inside year NASDAQ:AMD what a move, bright green year, but still inside year
outside quarter, inside year
extended? maybe, who knows, but....
always room for a further move up, especially given the highs of '22 and '21
both, not taken out yet....
let's see how semi conductors will move from here, in the A.I. era
AMD, Worst Case Scenario and it still suggests making a new ATH!It seems madness to talk about making a new ATH these days with such a panic in the market due to FED's decision to raise the rates .Please follow the analysis to see if this is really a madness or just being realistic without caring to much about emotions , feelings and NEWS !.
What I am proposing here on the chart as wave count is what I can see as worst case scenario however, I welcome and embrace any more pessimistic wave count which anyone can suggest. So, If you have such a wave count please let me know and let us share our ideas.
I divided the chart into two sections with a vertical line to keep the chart clean and being focused on details of latest moves. I called the left side of the chart as territory of cycle degree wave 1 and 2 which means we are currently in cycle degree wave 3 started on 27th July 2015 at 1.61 USD.
Why I call this wave count as WORST CASE SCENARIO? Since, I considered a completed cycle with start point at 9.04 USD on 4th Apr 2018 and end point at ATH with extended wave 5s in all subdivisions ! As we know extended wave 5 is usual in commodity not stock market . What is common in stock market is extended wave 3 . I remarked extended wave 5s in different wave degrees on the chart. It is really a pessimistic wave count. Yet it is valid .
Considering this wave count as a true one , We are in primary degree correcting wave 4 (circled) and still there is one leg up to new ATH around 180 USD to make cycle degree wave 3 complete. Possible buy zone for this scenario is shown on the chart by green box. If this scenario happens , We will have a big correction at new ATH, Then another massive bull run and after that a big crash ! but, It is to soon to talk about.
In upper left corner of the right side of the chart , I showed a schematic drawing of an extended wave 5 with it's typical retracement. Typically, retracement of an extended wave 5 ends is top of wave 3 or wave 1 of 5. This guideline makes our suggested buy zone even stronger.
WORST CASE SCENARIO implies that we may have more optimistic scenario . Is there any? Of course there is . Since bodies of candles of current down going wave more than likely will enter to the territory of what labeled as wave 3 of (5) of circled 3 in daily time frame, we can consider wave cycle started at 72.5 USD on 13th May 2021 to be completed at ATH on 30th Nov 2021 with extended wave 5 .( There is alternative wave count which also considers this cycle a completed one but makes no difference in terms of price target in broader view). Also , extended minor degree wave 5 for intermediate degree wave (1) can be acceptable since both retracement and correcting pattern satisfies extended wave 5 pattern (See schematic drawing once more ).
But , What about extended wave 5 of (3) starting at 36.75 on 18th Mar 2021 and ending at 99.23 at on 11th Jan 2021? Neither amount of retracement nor the correcting pattern confirms this to be extended wave 5 !. If so, It can be considered as wave 3 of a different cycle with last up going wave (from 72.5 to ATH) being extended wave 5 of same degree and up going wave from 27.43 to 59.27 being wave 1 of same degree. In even more optimistic wave count this can be wave 1 of a new starting smaller degree up going wave cycle ! Try not to be confused ! All of these means that we may have more optimistic scenario with more up going waves with successive new ATHs one after another.
All in All, I assume that in worst case scenario, cycle degree wave 3 is yet to be completed. There are even more optimistic scenarios. Please let me know if you can make a more pessimistic yet valid wave count. As I previously emphasized , I believe AMD will see unbelievable targets in long term.
Hope this analysis to be helpful.
AMD Reached to a good buying zone as shown on the chart NASDAQ:AMD reached to a fair price to enter right now and I think it is going to reverse up soon ,so i am buying AMD now now at 108.9 and my target in mid term is 125 and the final target at 156 .
What do you think? Please, comment on what's you opinion
AMD laying path to the All Time High.Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) hit our 133.15 target that we called for a month ago (see chart below):
The price is now extending the rise within the multi-month Channel Up, approaching the 0.618 Fibonacci Channel level. This is where the March 23 High was made with the rejection that followed, approaching the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). As long as the short-term Channel Up (as you see it is a very common pattern within the wider structure) holds, we will be bullish, targeting 160.00 (Fibonacci 0.786 and close to the All Time High). If the short-term Channel Up breaks, we will sell and target the 0.236 Fibonacci and 1D MA200 at 110.00 (or if contact is made higher, then close on that price).
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Can Nvidia Be Knocked Off The AI Top Spot?AMD's recent launch of the Instinct MI300X AI chip marks a significant entry into the AI chip market, challenging Nvidia's dominance. Supported by Microsoft and Meta, this innovative chip positions AMD as a strong competitor in the sector. Analysts predict AMD could capture about 10% of the AI chip market, a notable achievement considering Nvidia's current market stronghold.
Following the announcement, AMD's stock witnessed a nearly 10% surge, indicating strong investor confidence in the new product's market potential. In contrast, Nvidia saw a modest 2.4% increase in its shares. Despite this, Nvidia has experienced a substantial 2.15% increase in its stock value over the past year, showcasing its robust market presence.
AMD's ambitious goal to achieve $2 billion in AI GPU sales by 2024 underlines their commitment to the Instinct MI300X's success. Meanwhile, Nvidia, currently in a consolidation phase, fluctuates between support and resistance levels of $400 and $500, respectively.
The introduction of the Instinct MI300X by AMD heralds a new era in the AI chip market, setting the stage for an intense competition between these tech giants.
AMD Surges After Launching AI chip that Could Challenge NvidiaAMD unveiled its MI300X chip, an AI-centered semiconductor designed to challenge Nvidia's global market dominance.
Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) shares jumped in early Thursday trading after the semiconductor group unveiled an AI-focused chip for the data-center market, which it says could be valued at as much as $45 billion over the coming years.
AMD, which in June pegged the total addressable market for data-center chips at around $30 billion, launched the MI300X chip, designed to support generative-artificial-intelligence technologies. And it unveiled a next-generation semiconductor focused on supercomputing, the Instinct M1300A.
The MI300X, analysts say, could challenge Nvidia's NVDA dominant H100 graphics-processing-unit chip in the large-language-model AI market. Last month, AMD said the new chip could generate $400 million in fourth-quarter sales while the broader family of MI300 semis are expected to see sales of more than $2 billion over the whole of 2024.
Large language models "continue to increase in size and complexity, requiring massive amounts of memory and compute,” CEO Lisa Su said during last night's launch event at the company's Santa Clara, Calif., headquarters. “And we know the availability of GPUs is the single most important driver of AI adoption.”
Advanced Micro Devices shares were marked 2% higher in premarket trading to indicate an opening bell price of $119.12 each. Such a move would nudge the stock into positive territory for the past six months.
AMD last forecast fourth-quarter sales in the region of $6.1 billion, plus or minus $300 million, with gross margins of around 51.5%. That outlook following a mixed third-quarter-earnings report that showed big gains in PC revenue had partly offset the ongoing decline in gaming.
"While AMD acknowledged that its software can be further improved, it has reached the point of being 'good enough' for volume deployment," said KeyBanc Capital Markets analyst John Vinh. He reiterated his overweight rating on the stock following last night's launch event.
"We're encouraged that AMD has released a competitive AI GPU within a massively fast-growing (total addressable market), with endorsements by many high-profile customers," he added.
Technical Analysis
The RSI (14) is at 56.52, indicating a bullish momentum. The MACD (12,26) is at 0.68, suggesting a positive trend. AMD is trading near the top of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average.
Investors have been pushing the share price higher, and the stock still appears to have upward momentum. This is a positive sign for the stock's future value.
GOLD retracing to 2034Price is currently in a daily distribution phase towards 1990, and we got to 2010 yesterday where Price was pushed back by an OB.
The current movement of Price is not an impulsive move but a correction which is a reaction from the OB at 2010. I believe Price would take the NY liquidity created yesterday at 2030 and resume its downtrend.
Its safe to buy but bear in mind we are in a downtrend, so scalp only if you can.
Risk management is advised
I would love to hear your thoughts 🤔 on this, so feel free to leave a comment ✍.
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🔄 BCH: Fractals of Accumulation, Manipulation and DistributionIn the intricate dance of market dynamics, Bitcoin Cash (BCH) appears to be orchestrating a familiar tune, following the classic pattern of accumulation, manipulation, and distribution. Understanding this cyclical behavior may provide valuable insights for traders navigating the BCH landscape.
Chart Analysis: Unraveling the Pattern
Accumulation Phase:
BCH has entered a phase of accumulation, characterized by sideways movement and the formation of a trading range between $177 and $270.
Accumulation suggests the gathering of positions by savvy investors, preparing for a potential upward move.
Manipulation Dynamics:
Historical patterns indicate that BCH often experiences manipulation after accumulating within a range.
Traders should be alert to sudden and unexpected price swings as manipulation unfolds.
Distribution Anticipation:
Following the manipulation phase, BCH typically enters a distribution phase, where accumulated positions are released.
This distribution could lead to a swift decline, potentially revisiting lower support levels.
Projected Scenario: A Cautious Path Forward
Range Trading: $177 to $270:
Traders may anticipate range-bound movements within the $177 to $270 zone as accumulation continues.
Establishing strategic positions within this range might be a prudent approach.
Manipulation Swings:
Be prepared for sudden and sharp price swings, indicating manipulation in progress.
Active risk management is crucial during these volatile periods.
Downside Potential: $160 Target:
In the event of manipulation leading to distribution, a potential downside target is around $160.
This level represents a historical support zone that could attract buying interest.
Upside Momentum: $370 Objective:
Upon completion of the distribution phase, a swift reversal and surge towards $370 may unfold.
This upward momentum could signal the start of a new bullish cycle.
Strategic Approach: Navigating the BCH Landscape
Range Trading Tactics:
Traders can capitalize on the range-bound nature of BCH by strategically entering and exiting positions within the $177 to $270 range.
Risk Mitigation During Manipulation:
In anticipation of manipulation, active risk management, including the use of stop-loss orders, is crucial to safeguarding capital.
Long-Term Perspective:
Long-term investors may view the accumulation phase as an opportunity to accumulate BCH at favorable prices, anticipating the potential for a significant upward move.
Conclusion: BCH's Symphonic Movement
As Bitcoin Cash (BCH) dances through its accumulation, manipulation, and distribution phases, traders and investors alike have the opportunity to decipher the symphony of market dynamics. By understanding and strategically responding to these phases, participants can navigate the BCH landscape with greater confidence.
🔄 Accumulation in Progress | 📉 Anticipating Manipulation | 🔄 Distribution Patterns
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Share your perspectives on Bitcoin Cash's market movements, contributing to a collaborative analysis that enhances the collective understanding of this digital asset. 💚🚀💚
YFI Huge Fakeout ! Yearn Finance (YFI) has orchestrated a strategic move, executing a feigned breakout from a descending triangle—a bullish pattern that saw a swift sweep of the $14,000 level. In this analysis, we unravel the narrative behind YFI's tactical retreat, its implications, and the anticipated journey back into accumulation.
Chart Analysis: The Intricate Dance of YFI
YFI's recent price action presents a nuanced storyline on the charts, characterized by a false breakout and a subsequent retreat into a potential accumulation zone.
Key Observations:
Feigned Breakout from Descending Triangle:
YFI exhibited a false breakout from the descending triangle, creating an illusion of bearish momentum.
The rapid sweep of the $14,000 level marked a calculated move to trigger liquidity.
Retreat into Accumulation:
Following the feigned breakout, YFI is retracing back into what appears to be an accumulation zone.
Accumulation zones are often strategic areas where institutions and savvy traders gather positions.
Critical Levels: YFI's Recharge at $14,000
Strategic Retreat and Accumulation:
The retreat from the false breakout aims to accumulate positions at a key level.
$14,000 emerges as a critical zone for replenishing liquidity and preparing for the next move.
Potential Scenarios: YFI's Journey Back to Prominence
Accumulation and Strategic Reentry:
The retreat into the accumulation zone sets the stage for strategic reentry.
Savvy traders may position themselves within this zone, anticipating a renewed bullish surge.
False Breakout as a Tactical Move:
YFI's false breakout could be interpreted as a tactical move to shake out weak hands.
The subsequent accumulation phase may serve as preparation for a more sustained bullish advance.
Trading Strategy: Navigating YFI's Tactical Landscape
For traders considering YFI in their strategy:
Accumulation Zone Entry: Assess entry opportunities within the identified accumulation zone.
Monitoring $14,000 Level: Keep a close eye on the $14,000 level for potential confirmation of strategic moves.
Risk Management: Implement risk management strategies to navigate the inherent volatility.
Conclusion: YFI's Strategic Maneuver and the Road Ahead
As YFI retraces from its feigned breakout, the narrative suggests a strategic accumulation phase underway. Traders are poised for potential bullish movements as YFI recharges at the $14,000 level, highlighting the intricate dance between feints and strategic positioning in the crypto arena.
🚀 YFI Analysis | 🛡️ False Breakout Tactics | 🔄 Retreat into Accumulation
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Share your insights and analyses on YFI's tactical retreat in the comments, contributing to the collective intelligence of the crypto community. The journey through false breakouts and strategic retreats adds layers of complexity to the YFI saga. 🌐📈🚀
Has Nvidia finally topped?NVDA just put in a weekly bearish engulfing candle!
This is the first sing of a leading Mega Cap potentially seeing some distribution.
If this bell weather names keeps falling its going to turn the sentiment in the semiconductors slightly more bearish and will weigh in on the QQQ.
🍣 Sushi's Culinary Chart: Ready to PUMP! 🔥SushiSwap (SUSHI) is simmering in a trading cauldron, mirroring the patterns seen in LINK's historical moves. The chart reveals a massive consolidation, setting the stage for potential fireworks. Let's dissect the current SUSHI landscape, characterized by a significant range and manipulation, hinting at an imminent bullish surge.
Chart Analysis: SUSHI, the LINK Doppelganger
SUSHI's chart echoes the historical movements of LINK, showcasing a pronounced consolidation phase. This strategic pause often precedes a powerful move, making it a keen point of interest for traders. The recent price action suggests the potential for a manipulation play under this range, a prelude to what might be an impressive upward thrust.
Next Stage: Sizzling Rally to $15
If historical patterns persist, SUSHI could be gearing up for a dynamic move. A robust pump, propelled by the energy accumulated in the consolidation, could be on the horizon. The target? A tantalizing $15, marking a significant leap from the current range-bound levels.
Trading Strategy: Preparing for SUSHI's Culinary Delight
For traders eyeing SUSHI, the current consolidation provides a unique opportunity. As the price hovers within the range, anticipation builds for the imminent breakout. A vigilant eye on the charts and strategic entry points could position traders favorably for the expected rally to $15.
Conclusion: SUSHI's Flavorful Future
SUSHI's chart is evolving into a compelling narrative, reminiscent of LINK's historical moves. The ingredients of consolidation and manipulation suggest a savory surge may be in the making. As SUSHI simmers in the range, traders prepare for a culinary delight, with $15 as the tantalizing destination.
🍣 SushiSwap Analysis | 📉 Consolidation Recipe | 🚀 Target: $15
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Are you ready to dine on the SushiSwap surge? Share your thoughts, strategies, and SUSHI predictions in the comments! Let's savor the unfolding story of SushiSwap together. 💚🔥💚
High-Stakes Trading Alert: Gold, AMD, and NVDA! Risky Trades 🚨 Brace yourself for an adrenaline-pumping trading session! In this video, we're diving into the risky world of trading with three bold ideas: Gold, AMD, and NVDA. 📉📈 Our analysis unveils the potential risks and rewards associated with these trades, providing you with valuable insights to navigate the market. Whether you're a seasoned trader or a risk-taking enthusiast, join us on this thrilling journey as we dissect the charts and strategies for these high-profile assets. Remember, with great risk comes the potential for great reward – let's embark on this trading adventure together! 💼💡 #TradingAlert #RiskyTrades #Gold #AMD #NVDA #StockMarket"
Semis for the comebackThe semiconductors ETF NASDAQ:SMH is already making new highs, NASDAQ:NVDA is looking great again and NASDAQ:AMD is near a pivot buy
But I'm looking at these two stocks, NYSE:ONTO and NASDAQ:MTSI , both are making a double bottom pattern and haven't breakout yet
The thing is that NYSE:ONTO has been outperforming NASDAQ:MTSI since 2021, so depending on what happens this week I'd be more or less aggressive with $ONTO.
PYR: Breakout Target 50$ by 2024🚀 Exciting developments are underway as Vulcan Forged PYR (PYR) makes a notable exit from a significant accumulation phase. The charts suggest a potential retest of the upper boundary of this range, setting the stage for a breakout with a target of $50 by the end of 2024. Let's dive into the details of this emerging opportunity. 📈🔍
PYR's Accumulation Breakout:
Accumulation Dynamics: PYR has shown signs of accumulating within a range, indicating a period of gathering momentum before a potential price move.
Exit from Accumulation: The recent breakout from this accumulation phase is a noteworthy development, suggesting that PYR is gearing up for a new trend.
The Retest and Breakout Scenario:
Retesting Upper Boundary: It's common for assets to retest the upper boundary of a range after a breakout. PYR might revisit this level, providing an opportunity for traders to confirm the strength of the breakout.
Targeting $50: The bullish sentiment surrounding PYR leads us to set a target of $50 by the close of 2024. This ambitious goal aligns with the potential of the current breakout.
Trading Strategy:
Retest Confirmation: Wait for confirmation through price action, ensuring that the retest of the upper boundary is met with bullish momentum.
Volume Analysis: Monitor trading volume during the retest and subsequent breakout. Increased volume can validate the strength of the upward move.
Long-Term Outlook: Considering the target of $50 by the end of 2024, investors may evaluate PYR as a potential long-term opportunity.
Conclusion:
PYR's emergence from accumulation signals a significant shift in market dynamics. As the cryptocurrency landscape evolves, strategic traders and investors can position themselves to capitalize on the potential breakout, with the ambitious target of $50 on the horizon.
May your trades align with the momentum of PYR's breakout, and the crypto journey be filled with success.
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