Be careful with AMD !!!In my opinion, the shares of this company are 14.5% overvalued and should reach a price of $137. The reason for the recent decline in AMD shares is due to cautious statements at Morgan Stanley. Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD) shares fell more than 3% on Tuesday following cautious comments from Morgan Stanley, highlighting concerns over the company's AI supply chain strategy.
Analysts noted that AMD appears to have reduced its wafer bookings for MI325 at Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) for 2025 due to uncertainty over MI325 demand. Morgan Stanley stated, 'It appears that AMD has reduced some of its CoWoS wafer bookings at TSMC for 2025 due to uncertainty over MI325 demand. This move indicates AMD's conservative approach to managing potential demand volatility for its AI processors.'
However, Morgan Stanley analysts added that Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) quickly absorbed the vacated capacity at TSMC, emphasizing Nvidia's aggressive positioning in the AI market.
The bank's note also provides insight into broader trends in the semiconductor industry, indicating that other companies are ramping up production. For instance, Marvell (NASDAQ:MRVL) tripled its CoWoS bookings for 2025 compared to 2024. Meanwhile, Intel's Habana division kept its wafer bookings at TSMC unchanged, indicating stability in its AI-related production.
The cautious tone from analysts on AMD follows a period of intense competition in the AI space, with Nvidia strengthening its leadership. The note also mentions that 'WPG's sales in the third quarter grew 25% quarter-over-quarter, compared to previous guidance of only 5.5% quarter-over-quarter growth,' with the bank noting 'increased business from AMD processors and GPUs.
AMD
Direxion Semiconductor 3x Bull | SOXL | Long at $30.00So many semiconductor companies... which one to choose? Enter AMEX:SOXL - not for the faint of heart. Losses and gains triple compared to most semiconductor ETFs, so stay away if high-risk plays aren't your thing. The top three holdings are NASDAQ:AMD , NASDAQ:AVGO , and NASDAQ:NVDA - two of which are at all-time highs...
I wouldn't be shocked if AMEX:SOXL enters the low $20's to test the base of my historical simple moving average area, but I don't think we are done hearing about AI and the semi demand. There are large gaps to fill above and below the current price and we are at the 50/50 stage (i.e. historical simple moving average zone) for a price move up or down.
My bet is up, especially with the new presidential administration. If politicians start dumping semis, I'm out. Thus, at $30.00 AMEX:SOXL is in a personal buy zone.
Target #1 = $35
Target #2 = $40
Target #3 = $50
Target #4 = $60
AAPL: 2025 Strategic Outlook: 75%+ BUY/HOLD🔸Time to update the AAPL outlook, this is 2D price chart, we are
currently entering overpriced zone and limited upside in AAPL
going forward.
🔸AAPL price action is contained within rising bullish price channel
established since 2021. Havin said that we've entered premium / overprice
zone and I'm expecting limited upside going forward over the next few
month. Risk/reward is favoring a pullback/correction before a healthy
uptrend can resume in 2025.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: expecting pullback/correction to start
in Q1 2025, 20/25% pullback is normal and therefore we may hit
170/180 USD in the correction stage of the bull market in AAPL. Bulls
should wait for better prices / reload zone near 170/180. TP BULLS
is 260/280 USD. this is obviously a setup for patient traders, do not
expect overnight gains in this market. good luck!
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NIFTY (PO3) A++ Bearish Setup Power of 3 Strategy (PO3) also know as AMD Strategy
This strategy has three primary phases
1. Accumulation
2. Manipulation
3. Distribution (Range Expansion)
Key elements
1. HTF PD Array
2. Daily Open
3. Fibonacci Price Projection Tool
4. Standard Deviation ( -2 to -2.5 )
Process
1. Accumulation is where big players accumulate large quantity of shares forming a range bound price consolidation.
2. Manipulation is where big players move price against their intended direction towards nearby HTF PD Array with a standard Deviation of -2 to -2.5 to sweep the liquidity to for order pairing.
3. Distribution is the real momentum where retail traders enter along with big players and ride the trend with range expansion.
NIFTY (PO3) A++ Bearish Setup Power of 3 Strategy (PO3) also know as AMD Strategy
This strategy has three primary phases
1. Accumulation
2. Manipulation
3. Distribution (Range Expansion)
Key elements
1. HTF PD Array
2. Daily Open
3. Fibonacci Price Projection Tool
4. Standard Deviation ( -2 to -2.5 )
Process
1. Accumulation is where big players accumulate large quantity of shares forming a range bound price consolidation.
2. Manipulation is where big players move price against their intended direction towards nearby HTF PD Array with a standard Deviation of -2 to -2.5 to sweep the liquidity to for order pairing.
3. Distribution is the real momentum where retail traders enter along with big players and ride the trend with range expansion.
$INTC In Uptrend?NASDAQ:INTC It is looking like this old dog might be ready to move higher. Since the August 24th ER Gap Down, Intel has been putting in a nice base. In doing so it has established an uptrend and is well into the gap. I have an alert set just above the 21 DMA (teal blue).
If it triggers, I will take a long position with a stop under the most recent low which will give me a great risk reward entry. Let’s see what happens.
$SOXL Inverted Cup and Handlel (SELL NOW!)Grasping chart patterns is essential for market participants. This article explores the inverted cup and handle formation, a bearish signal that suggests potential downward movement.
The inverted cup and handle, also known as an upside-down cup and handle pattern, is a bearish chart pattern that can appear in both uptrends and downtrends. It is the reverse of the traditional bullish cup and handle pattern. The inverted formation consists of two main components: the "cup," an inverted U-shape, and the "handle," a small upward retracement following the cup.
SELL NASDAQ:NVDA AMEX:SOXL NASDAQ:AMD NASDAQ:AVGO NASDAQ:QCOM NASDAQ:MRVL NASDAQ:MU $TXN.
Lets BUY it again WHEN IT'S LOW guys.
Mark my word
Better alternative for Nvidia NASDAQ:AMD might be a better alternative to NASDAQ:NVDA right now. Here are a few reasons why:
1. AMD has recently demonstrated stronger data center growth compared to Nvidia.
2. Nvidia appears to have reached a peak, with its revenue growth unlikely to remain as significant as before.
3. Nvidia's growth margins are slowing and even showing slight declines.
4. Nvidia's high stock price lacks a clear outlook for substantial gains.
Considering these points, I believe AMD has the potential to outperform Nvidia in the coming months. However, AMD first needs to break out of its current downtrend. If that happens, I plan to reduce my Nvidia position and allocate it to AMD.
AMD CALLSCould it be the best moment in almost 3 months to buy AMD?
Seems that way as the price decline stopped at a significant demand zone and has been accumulating for quite some time.
Im expecting the price the reverse from this area and test $152. And if successful, we will see a continuation to $169.
OH NO! $SOXS is primed for a significant rise.The concept of a multiple bottom suggests that the stock has already experienced a significant decline, creating a buying opportunity at a lower price over time.
Plus, Trump is coming= BYE semidocutor stocks!
Stricter trade policies and tariffs on imported semiconductors could disrupt global supply chains, leading to higher costs and potential shortages.
During his previous presidency, Trump focused on "America First" policies, which included promoting domestic manufacturing and reducing reliance on foreign supply chains
Additionally, there were concerns about the potential mismanagement of federal initiatives like the CHIPS and Science Act, which aimed to boost domestic semiconductor manufacturing.
AMEX:SOXL , NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:AMD , NASDAQ:AVGO , NASDAQ:QCOM : Sell now to take the profit.
IT'S COMING
AMD: Final shot to rise in this Channel. $290 if successful.Advanced Micro Devices are bearish on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 38.717, MACD = -4.560, ADX = 33.691) but just under neutrality on the 1W technical outlook (RSI = 43.494, MACD = -3.840, ADX = 18.724). This indicates that this is the final support long term to reverse the medium term bearish sentiment and this is quite evident on this chart where the price is at the bottom of the 2 year Channel Up.
Roughly every November inside this Channel (2022, 2023 and 2024), it is on a corrective wave (or has been the month before), so the symmetric structure on this pattern is very strong. Another reason to see a massive bullish wave next. The previous two peaked approximately 160 days after that low, completing a +141.24% rally from the HL. Consequently, we are aiming for a similar rally (TP = 290.00) by late April 2025.
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AMD going for a FLUSH to 94 levelsThe chart for AMD is displaying a large symmetrical triangle formation , with the price breaking below the lower trendline. Symmetrical triangles often signify indecision in the market, but this breakdown suggests that sellers are gaining control. The broader trend leading into the triangle and the breakdown signal a bearish continuation pattern. Oscillators and momentum indicators are skewed bearish, with no signs of reversal at this stage. Strong selling pressure confirms the potential for further downside. Declining volume during the triangle’s formation and a likely volume spike on breakdown signal a bearish continuation. Weakness in the tech sector or macroeconomic pressures could exacerbate the downward trend for AMD, watch closely for NVDA earnings to push this even lower.
Entry Strategy:
Short Position: Enter a short trade if the price stays below $134.90 with sustained volume confirming the breakdown.
Aggressive Entry: Traders could scale into shorts immediately, as the price has already breached the triangle support line.
Profit Target Calculation:
Triangle Height: $140.90 (top of the pattern) - $128.37 (bottom of the pattern) = $12.53.
Breakdown Target: Subtract the height ($12.53) from the breakdown point ($134.90):
Primary Target: $122.37
If bearish momentum continues, the price could retest the major support level at $106.48.
Further bearish extension may lead to $94.59 as a long-term target.
Place a stop-loss above the breakdown level, at $138.50, to account for potential false breakdowns or whipsaws.
A confirmed breakdown is expected to gain momentum within the next 1–2 weeks.
Watch for increasing volume to validate the breakdown.
I am going to take a position on Wednesday before NVDA ER.
Will AMD ever break out? Let's see!Will AMD ever break out? Let's see!
We have a massive one year bull flag on the charts.
We are still sitting on the bottom of a volume shelf in which we need to hold if we want to keep this name on the watchlist.
To enter, all we need is a flip to green on our H5 Indicator and a breakout of the bull flag pattern.
Measure Move is: $300 (2x)
Measured Time: FEB2026
NFA
Can AMD hit 240 USD in Q1 2025? 100% BUY/HOLD for the bulls.🔸Time to update the AMD trade setup, this is a speculative bull flag
with pole setup in progress, with 100% upside potential.
🔸AMD massively trailing behind NVDA entire year in 2024, expecting
AMD to catch up next few months. Currently price action compressing
withing bull flag, based on measured move projection expecting price
target is 240 USD, so this 100% upside from the entry price for the bulls.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: expecting pullback to complete near 120 USD in December going into holiday seasons, limited downside beyond 120 USD. BUY/HOLD near 120 TP bulls is 240 USD, which is 100% upside. Expecting target to get hit in Q1 2025. good luck traders.
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Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
75% gains TSLA Best Level to BUY/HOLD🔸Hello traders, today let's review 12hour price chart for TSLA.
Recently we gapped up on higher volume, we got two liquidity
gaps below market overall this indicates strength, having said
that there is heavy fresh overhead supply zone so expecting pullback.
🔸Fresh supply zones at 400/375/305 usd will provide liquidit for
a potential pullback in TSLA. fresh demand zones located below market
at 230/235 usd and 190 usd. most likely limited downside below fresh
liqudity at 230/235 usd.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: expecting measured move pullback
once we trigger fresh supply zone near 300/305 usd, bulls should
wait for the pullback to trigger fredh demand/liquidity zone at/near
230/235 USD. BUY/HOLD after pullback TP1 375 USD TP2 400 USD.
75% gains potential for patient traders. good luck!
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.