AMD Road to $295 has begun.The Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is on the 2nd straight weekly bounce following the August 05 bottom. This is so far the strongest 2-week bullish reversal since November 06 2023, which was the previous bottom/ Higher Low on the 2-year Support Zone.
It is no coincidence that this rebound took place just before hitting the 1W MA100 (green trend-line). So far we have had two Bullish Legs arising from this Support Zone structure and currently we are expecting the 3rd.
Since the decline following the March 2024 High has been around -47%, similar to the September 2023 one, we expect the Bullish Leg to be equally strong. As a result, our new long-term Target is $295.00.
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AMD
ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES - Ready for a reversal?NASDAQ:AMD is retesting a significant horizontal structure and we might see a bullish reversal soon, considering that AMD already created a correction of -45% over the past couple of months.
Click chart above to see detailed analysis
AMD is clearly one of these "AI" hype stocks which is now coming back to normal levels after also NVIDIA and other tech stocks are correcting a bit. AMD has been trading in a rising channel formation since the "Covid" crash back in 2020. With the recent break and retest, we could definitely see a bullish reversal soon.
Levels to watch: $120
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
Intel Corporation (INTC) Stock: A Investment Opportunity ?Intel Corporation's recent earnings report has raised some concerns, but there are several reasons to remain optimistic about INTC stock.
Despite a challenging Q2, Intel is strategically shifting production to its high-volume plant in Ireland, positioning itself for long-term gains.
The company's focus on cutting-edge chip manufacturing and AI advancements highlights its commitment to innovation.
Moreover, Intel's diverse portfolio, including the promising Gaudi AI products, provides a solid foundation for future growth.
With strategic cost-cutting measures and a strong financial position, Intel is poised to rebound and deliver value to its investors.
SPX 5600 BY FALL 2024 ?SP:SPX
Economic Resilience: Despite various challenges, the U.S. economy has shown remarkable resilience. If this trend continues, it could support higher stock prices.
Normalization of Interest Rates: The Federal Reserve’s normalization of interest rates, rather than aggressive tightening, could create a favorable environment for equities. If inflation continues to fall closer to the Fed’s 2% target, it might only require modest rate cuts.
Consumer Spending Power: Consumers have maintained strong purchasing power, supported by high job security and a robust labor market. This continued consumption can drive corporate earnings higher.
Big Tech Leadership: Big Tech companies have consistently delivered strong earnings and have been a significant driver of the S&P 500’s performance. Their growth prospects, particularly in areas like AI, remain strong.
Earnings Growth: Analysts project solid earnings growth for the S&P 500, with estimates suggesting a significant increase in earnings per share (EPS) for 2024.
Valuation Multiples: The valuation multiples for Big Tech and other sectors are seen as reasonable given their growth prospects. This supports higher price targets for the index.
Historical Trends: Historical performance patterns, especially in presidential election years, suggest that the S&P 500 could see gains.
AMD Wendy's SetupStock has dropped almost 40% from it's ATH into a pennant into earnings. Short sellers would be insane not to cover on any good news or if sentiment just stops getting worse. Tech as a whole looks due for a bounce, AMD was a bottom indicator in 2023, could do it again in 2024.
Upside price targets are 155, if through then 200
Stop loss = breakdown of the pennant
$SPY Sharp Decline?! $503 Target, $493 possible 8/21, then $520Thats right folks. Your's truly with another quick thought on where I think we're headed, and FAST!! Assuming we repeat the First Half of 2022, I want to say that the next 10 days will produce a dump and a bounce. Do be careful if you're long this market. All signs point to a flash crash to $493 and then a mean bounce to retest $520. Don't forget, cash is a position. I like to keep things simple with my charts for the most part. ATM, I am looking at the 10D chart. I like the 10D chart because it has hidden divergences on RSI that prove extremely useful. As the days go on, it will get easier. Those that doubt will always learn the Hard way. Paytience will always prevail. After $520 bounce, I would assume a slow bleed to $480 into the election for a new low, followed by an Election Rally back to $530 before we come back crashing down. All of this will come with time and I'm writing it down so you can see my thought process. Everything takes time.
Drop to $503-$494
Hard Bounce to $520
Slow Bleed to $480, Previous ATH Winter 22'
Bounce to $530 for a Retest of Previous Support should we break. Good Luck out there
ARM, Eyeing a bounce short termLooking at the ARM chart on the daily, we have multiple factors that indicate a probable short term bounce. We have bottoming tail on the daily, We've just kissed a long term trendline, we are at the 200 SMA and EMA, The RSI is at 30. We've had two weeks of relentless selling and we are now down 41% from the highs. Eyes we be looking for a short term bounce.
UBER 80 Afrer earnings ? NYSE:UBER
Uber Technologies Inc. Stock Surges to $75-$80 Range Following Strong Earnings Report
Uber Technologies Inc. (NYSE: UBER) has seen a significant boost in its stock price, reaching the $75-$80 range after the release of its latest earnings report. The ride-sharing giant reported impressive financial results for Q2 2024, with total revenue hitting $10.13 billion. This marks a notable year-over-year growth of 15%, showcasing Uber’s ability to expand its market presence and drive revenue despite challenging economic conditions.
The company’s strong performance was driven by increased demand for its ride-sharing and delivery services, as well as strategic investments in new technologies and markets. Uber’s net loss widened to $654 million, but the market responded positively to the revenue growth and future potential1. This optimism among investors has propelled the stock to new heights, reinforcing confidence in Uber’s long-term growth strategy.
As Uber continues to innovate and expand its service offerings, the future looks bright for this industry leader. Investors and market watchers will be closely monitoring how Uber leverages its current momentum to drive further growth and shareholder value.
CAFE CITY STUDIO & NY RUNS GLOBAL INC. NYC
AMD surpasses expectations and raises AI chip sales for 2024Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) reported impressive quarterly results, beating analysts' expectations and raising its revenue forecast for artificial intelligence (AI) chips through 2024. According to the company's projections, demand for AI chips will outstrip supply through 2025, indicating a sustainable growth trajectory for AMD's key business segments.
For Q3 2024, AMD forecasts revenue of 6.7 billion USD, which aligns with LSEG analysts' average estimate of 6.61 billion USD. This projection is supported by the recovery of the PC market, which is experiencing a resurgence after a significant downturn. Integrating new artificial intelligence features is expected to boost consumer demand further.
In the data centre segment, AMD's largest division, revenue in Q2 rose 115% to 2.8 billion USD, exceeding expectations of 2.79 billion USD. Notably, quarterly revenue from artificial intelligence chips in this segment surpassed the 1 billion USD mark for the first time. Overall, AMD's revenue in the second quarter grew by 9% to 5.8 billion USD, exceeding the forecasted 5.72 billion USD.
Technical analysis of Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD)
Exploring potential trading opportunities based on AMD's stock performance:
Timeframe : Daily (D1)
Current trend : the stock is in a downtrend, but recent strong earnings and positive forecasts may catalyse a shift to an uptrend
Resistance level : 153.60 USD
Support level : previously at 138.60 USD, which has now been breached
Potential downtrend target : if the downtrend persists, the downside target could be at 117.50 USD
Short-term target : if the trend reverses and the stock returns above the previous support level, a short-term target could be 174.60 USD
Medium-term target : with sustained positive momentum, the stock price might aim for 188.50 USD
Investors and traders should keep a close eye on AMD, especially as the company capitalises on the growing demand for artificial intelligence chips and benefits from the recovery of the PC market. AMD's strategic focus on artificial intelligence and data centres sets it apart from its competitors, which may further boost the stock.
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AMD Skyrockets Over 9%, Nvidia Rises: What’s Driving the Surge?Overview
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:AMD ) saw its shares soar over 9% in premarket trading on Wednesday, following an impressive second-quarter earnings report that exceeded expectations. The strong performance has also positively impacted rival Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA), which experienced a rise in its stock price. Here’s a detailed look at what’s happening and why AMD is grabbing headlines.
Record-Breaking Q2 Performance
NASDAQ:AMD ’s second-quarter results were stellar, with revenue and earnings surpassing Wall Street's expectations. The highlight was a record surge in data center revenue, which soared to $2.8 billion, marking a 115% year-over-year increase and a 21% sequential growth. This surge was driven by high demand for AMD's Instinct, EPYC, and Ryzen processors.
CEO's Optimism
Lisa Su, AMD's CEO, expressed confidence in the company’s trajectory, stating, “Our AI business continued accelerating and we are well positioned to deliver strong revenue growth in the second half of the year led by demand for Instinct, EPYC, and Ryzen processors.” This positive outlook has further fueled investor confidence.
Strong AI Business Growth
A significant contributor to AMD's success has been its AI business. On the earnings call, Su mentioned that leading cloud and enterprise providers expanded the availability of Instinct MI300X solutions, and quarterly revenue for MI300 exceeded $1 billion for the first time. This milestone underscores the robust demand for AMD’s AI and data center products.
Impact on Rivals and Sector-Wide Rally
The positive sentiment generated by AMD's strong quarterly results has extended to other semiconductor companies, particularly Nvidia. Nvidia shares rose 5.40% to $109.40 in premarket trading, buoyed by the anticipation of its upcoming earnings report on August 28. Qualcomm also experienced gains, as AMD’s success provided a boost to the overall sector.
Geopolitical and Sector-Wide Factors
The semiconductor sector received additional uplift from reports suggesting potentially less severe U.S. export restrictions on China. According to news sources, new U.S. chip export restrictions might exclude allies like the Netherlands, Japan, and South Korea, which alleviated some concerns in the market. This news, combined with positive earnings, contributed to the rally in semiconductor stocks.
Global Semiconductor Rally
Shares of global semiconductor firms rallied on Wednesday, boosted by the strong earnings in the sector and favorable geopolitical developments. Samsung’s shares rose significantly after a notable jump in operating profit, and ASML also saw gains following the Reuters report on U.S. export restrictions.
AMD Stock Performance
NASDAQ:AMD stock, which had been down over 6% year-to-date, climbed 9.40% to $151.45 in premarket trading. If these gains hold, NASDAQ:AMD could erase its year-to-date losses. This strong market reaction reflects the confidence investors have in AMD’s growth trajectory and its ability to capitalize on the burgeoning demand for AI and data center technologies.
Conclusion
AMD's exceptional second-quarter performance, driven by record data center revenue and robust growth in its AI business, has significantly boosted its stock price and positively impacted the broader semiconductor sector. The appointment of CEO Lisa Su and the company’s strategic focus on high-demand areas like AI and data centers have positioned NASDAQ:AMD for continued success. As the semiconductor industry navigates geopolitical challenges and market fluctuations, AMD's strong fundamentals and growth prospects make it a standout player.
AMD Final Flush completed. Next High above $300.The Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) have most likely bottomed on this week's 1W candle as after breaking last week below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), their earnings report last night came out better than expected and the opening is expected considerably higher.
Technically, the stock has almost touched the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the 2-year Channel Up that started on August 01 2022. This can be a similar Higher Low to the last one on the week of October 23 2023. As you can see, that Low was priced while the 1W CCI was Oversold (below -100.00), similar to today. The Channel's first Low was again on an oversold 1W CCI on the week of October 10 2022.
As the same time, we are as close to the bottom of the Sine Wave as possible, which again, as you see, has marked the last two Higher Lows of the long-term Channel Up.
We don't expect any more divergencies from what a typical Channel Up would suggest, and that is the start of a new Bullish Leg, its 3rd so far. If the next Higher High is exactly at the top of the Sine Wave, then we can expect it in early January 2025. The previous two Higher Highs were priced after +144% rallies from the Lows, so it is possible to see $345.00 if this symmetry continues to hold. A 300 - 320 Target Zone though is in our view more suited for a Higher High.
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Analysis of AMD Share Price Ahead of Today's ReportAnalysis of AMD Share Price Ahead of Today's Report
The earnings season is in full swing: over 200 companies in the S&P 500 index (SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) have reported their current cycle results, with average earnings up 6.5% year-on-year and revenue growth of 4.1%, according to a client note from Oppenheimer Asset Management published on Monday.
This week, investors are awaiting reports from mega-cap companies, including Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Facebook (META), and Amazon.com (AMZN). Among other major brands are Intel (INTC), Boeing (BA), Pfizer (PFE), Exxon Mobil (XOM), as well as chipmaker AMD, whose second-quarter earnings report will be released today after the close of the main trading session.
Analysts expect AMD's earnings per share to rise from $0.62 to $0.68.
What does the AMD chart indicate?
Despite the S&P 500 index (SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) rising approximately 15% in 2024, AMD's share price remains near its January start price.
Technical analysis of AMD's share chart shows that the price was in an uptrend (shown in blue) in the first half of 2024, but the trend turned downwards (shown in red) after the price exceeded the psychological level of $200.
Today, AMD's share price is near a support block formed by:
→ the long-term trend line (shown in orange);
→ the lower boundary of the downward channel;
→ the current yearly low around $135 per share.
It is possible that today's earnings report could provide a fundamental driver (e.g., higher-than-expected earnings per share) for a reversal upwards from this support block.
Meanwhile, forecasts remain optimistic. According to predictions from 34 Wall Street analysts surveyed by TipRanks, 28 recommend buying AMD shares. On average, they forecast AMD's price to reach $194.93 (nearly +40% from current levels) within 12 months.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Types of Entry Models in SMC ConceptsIn Smart Money Concepts (SMC) trading, there are different types of entry models that traders use to enter the market. These include aggressive entry, actual entry, and order flow entry models. Here’s a simple explanation of each:
1. Aggressive Entry Model (15m): @Manipulation
Entry Criteria: During Liquidity (LQ) Sweeps at Killzones + Stack Entries at Lower Time Frame (LTF, 1m)
Description:
Traders enter trades during significant liquidity sweeps, particularly in key market zones known as killzones (high-activity periods).
They stack their entries by analyzing the 1-minute chart to find optimal entry points.
This approach aims to catch early moves by entering immediately after liquidity has been swept, indicating potential reversals or strong market moves.
Order Type: Market Order(post candle confirmation)
Traders execute a market order as soon as their entry criteria are met on the 1-minute chart, entering the trade immediately at the current market price.
Time Frame: 1 minute (LTF)
2. Actual Entry Model (15m): Post Manipulation
Entry Criteria: At Valid Supply or Demand or Flip Zones
Description:
Traders enter trades at well-defined supply and demand zones or flip zones (areas where the market changes from supply to demand or vice versa).
They wait for the price to reach these significant zones on the 15-minute chart, providing a more confirmed entry point that aligns with market structure and potential reversals.
Order Type: Limit Order
Traders place a limit order on the 1-minute chart at a specific price level they believe the market will reach, ensuring a better entry price.
Time Frame: 1 minute (LTF)
3. Order Flow Entry Model (15m): @Distribution
Entry Criteria: At Unmitigated Order Flow
Description:
Traders look for areas of unmitigated order flow on the 15-minute chart.
Unmitigated order flow refers to price levels where significant orders have not yet been fully absorbed by the market, indicating potential areas of strong buying or selling pressure.
Traders place their entries at these levels, often waiting for a candle confirmation to ensure the validity of the order flow analysis.
Order Type: Limit Order (post candle confirmation)
Traders wait for a candle confirmation on the 1-minute chart before placing a limit
order.
They analyze the order flow and wait for a confirming candle that aligns with their analysis before setting a limit order to enter the trade.
Time Frame: 1 minute (LTF)
AMD Advanced Micro Devices Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AMD before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AMD Advanced Micro Devices prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 140usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-10-18,
for a premium of approximately $13.90.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Power of 3 - ICT Concept ExplainedIn this video I cover the topic of Power of 3 or otherwise known was PO3. This concept is also the same as AMD, which is Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution.
PO3 is the basis in which Smart Money approaches the market. As we have covered before, liquidity is the lifeblood of the market. To maximize efficiency for Smart Money, liquidity is engineered for the purpose of trapping uninformed money on the wrong side of the market and assuming the counter-party to their trades.
At the open of a candle, Smart Money is accumulating positions, usually in some sort of range. The next stage is the manipulation, where price makes a fast run towards liquidity, usually in the opposite direction of where price is intended to go, and then reversing rapidly.
The final stage is distribution, where Smart Money is offloading their positions above or below the marketplace depending on whether it is a buy or sell program.
The whole purpose of understanding this concept is to be able to anticipate the future direction of price, and to ideally buy below or above the open of a candle, again depending on what type of candle it is. I show how I anticipate the PO3 in this video.
- R2F