Semiconductor Pullback Imminent?The semiconductor index has been one of the best performing areas of the market over the last few quaters, and has continued to be strong since the late October bottom.
The index is coming into overhead fibonacci resistance, and with weakening momentum starting to show up, similar to July last year, a pullback here looks likely.
It seems hard to imagine with all of the AI lead optimism, but this sector could see some retrace back to the 3100s to reset sentiment.
If the indicated resistance region is broken, the next likely targets are substantially higher.
Will be monitoring for a reversal pattern to emerge and confirm the time has come to exit longs and consider a short trade.
AMD
AMD flashed the strongest 1W sell signal you can get.Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has hit the top of the Fibonacci Channel Up last week and immediately got rejected, closing the 1W candle almost flat. This is a significant 1 week turnaround, which may evolve into a bearish reversal as the 1W RSI gave the strongest sell signal possible.
That is reversing on the 82.50 (overbought) level, which since the 2009 bottom of the U.S. Housing Crisis has always delivered a strong medium-term correction. If we focus on the last 4 years alone, we can see on the chart 4 such correction events ranging from - 21.50% to -39.50%.
As a result, we are sellers on AMD, aiming at a $180 minimum (-21.50%). If it drops more, we will wait for a more comfortable buy at $140 (-39.50%), which should potentially make contact with either the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) or the 1W MA100 (green trend-line). The latter has been a former Resistance during the Bear Cycle that turned into Support after May 2023, while the 1W MA50 has two clear bottoms that evolved into aggressive rallies since the week of May 01 2023.
Basically this signal is more useful to long-term investors for when taking profit and how to make two lower buy entries and manage the long-term risk effectively, while having a $300 long-term target.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
AMD About To Go For 300% Blowoff Before Multi Year CorrectionAMD looks like it still has a lot more steam left. More so than NVIDIA. If I was holding NVIDIA I would sell and put it into AMD probably now.
I see a move up into the $600 range, hard telling what a top would be but that rising channel resistance will probably hold. Once rejected off that resistance itll be a slow and steady decline back down to double digits. The stock market and the overvalued stocks will slowly bleed out into Bitcoin and the Crypto market over these next ten years. A lot of these stocks are waaaayyy overvalued. Like stupidly overvalued. Its a bubble about to blow.
None of this is financial advice its just my opinion. Thank you
AMD Corrected Again- Buy the Dip Idea LONGAMD on the 15 minute chart breakout through anchord VWAP bands starting on February 29th
from the mean anchored VWAP support. Two days later finding itself extended to the second
upper VWAP band, price corrected over the next day down to the first upper band and then
after a few hours reversed and headed back toward the second upper band going somewhat
sideways and getting there two and a half days later. Price was rejected from that dynamic
resistance and fell into the first band which provided support to close the week.
The Luxalgo regression line forecast is for yet another more up to test the resistance of that
second upper band. I will take a long trade here recognizing that the forecast is for a 10-12%
move in the immediate term. If the forecast is accurate a stop loss will not be necessary. I will
set it at 204 to prevent anything other than an insignificant loss.
AMD Consolidating Above Prior ATHAMD recently pulled back to the prior 2021 ATH after the recent earnings release. As long as the ~165 support holds, the price action is building a bull flag that should eventually resolve higher after working off some of the recent overbought momentum.
Resistance could come from multiple significant overhead measured targets between 209 and 233, which could eventually lead to a pull back to the 80 support range.
EURUSD KEEP FOLLOWING BULL MOVE LONG TERM The EUR/USD currency pair has been making waves recently, and it’s currently dancing around the 1.1150 mark. Here’s what you need to know:
Recent Highs: The pair has been on a bullish streak, reaching its highest level since March 2022 after convincingly breaking above the 1.1100 mark. Bulls are flexing their muscles, and the euro is strutting its stuff against the US dollar 1.
US Dollar Weakness: The greenback has been feeling a bit under the weather. The latest US inflation data showed signs of easing inflationary pressure, causing the US Dollar Index (DXY) to hit its lowest point since April 2022, hovering just above the 100.50 area. Odds of further rate hikes by year-end have also declined significantly 1.
ECB’s Hawkish Stance: Across the pond, the European Central Bank (ECB) remains hawkish. Persistent inflationary pressure in the euro area is pushing them to consider raising policy rates by a quarter percentage point later this month 1.
Upcoming Data: Keep an eye out for more US inflation data. The Producer Price Index (PPI) is estimated to drop from 6.6% to 6.1% annually, while the core figure is expected to decline from 5.3% to 4.8%. Additionally, the ECB will release the minutes of its latest meeting 1.
Technical Levels to Watch
Resistance: The immediate resistance lies near 1.1150.
Support: On the downside, watch out for the previous daily low at 1.1005.
Psychological Levels: The psychological levels of 1.1100 and 1.1200 are crucial battlegrounds
AMD: Start selling. Top this or the next week.Advanced Micro Devices is excessively overbought both on the 1W (RSI = 82.711) as well as on the 1D (RSI = 74.269, MACD = 10.910, ADX = 31.889) timeframe. Since the October 23 2023 Low, which was a 1W MA50 HL of the long term Channel Up, the stock price has risen by almost +130%. The previous HL-to-HH Bullish Leg made a +143.89% rise. We are very close to that level, so we expect the stock to price its new top this week or the next. In addition, the 1W CCI has been trading sideways but above the overbought limit since November, similar pattern as the sequence that led to the June 2023 peak. It is worth to start selling now, targeting close to the S1 level (TP = 165.00).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Can INTC breakout from a trinagle ? LONGINTC on a 180 minute chart is in a flat bottom triangle since before earnings. The earnings
report was a beat of 20% on earnings and 1.5 % on revenue but apparently disappointed greedy
traders expecting more. Price has been mostly sideways. I saw the dip on Tuesday to Thursday
as an opportunity to take a call option trade for Friday which had a great return. I see INTC
ready to gain price and break out of the triangle. It has a P/E ratio much lower than some of
the high flyers in its subsector making it attractive to value-seeking investors and traders
who like to buy at the lows. Price is now above the long-term POC line where buying pressure
should predominate. Having seen the rise on Friday, some short sellers may begin to buy to
cover and close their positionons especially those with put options from which the time to
realize profits is now.
NVIDIA 850 ABOVE 815 SL 805 Reason Why Nvidia Will Still Growing
Diverse Market Presence: NVIDIA is not just a semiconductor manufacturer; it’s a tech powerhouse. Beyond GPUs for gaming and professional markets, they also create system-on-a-chip (SoC) units for mobile computing and automotive applications. Their expansion into cloud software and services positions them well for growth1.
Cloud-Based Software Dominance: The pandemic accelerated the adoption of cloud-based software and computing. NVIDIA’s GPUs play a crucial role in data centers—the brains behind cloud services. In Q1 2021, NVIDIA’s data center revenue hit a record high of $2.05 billion, accounting for 36% of total sales. Major players like Microsoft’s Azure Cloud, Google Cloud, and Amazon’s AWS rely on NVIDIA’s GPUs for data operations1.
AI and Deep Learning: Artificial intelligence (AI) systems demand fast and reliable processors. NVIDIA’s GPUs are unmatched for training and running AI systems. Their focus on research and development ensures they stay at the forefront of AI technology1.
Competing with Giants: NVIDIA is developing its own cloud services, including AI Enterprise and the Base Command Platform. They’re also venturing into creative collaboration tools with Omniverse. These initiatives put them in direct competition with tech giants like Amazon, Apple, Alphabet, and Microsoft1.
Analyst Estimates: While NVIDIA’s stock has rallied significantly, its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio remains high. However, analysts estimate that by fiscal 2025, their earnings per share could double, making the stock more attractive2.
$AMD outlookOverall with the chip sector on FIRE, i like NASDAQ:AMD here to continue its hot streak and hold the $200 whole number. I'm looking for higher highs and looking to take this name long over $205. If the $200 number doesn't hold at support then short opportunity will be available with a price target of $190 - $185.
Play this safe!
AMD: When will it End?For AMD, we've continued to see this rise since our last analysis, partly due to very positive news in the market about chips, indicating that chips look very promising in the near future, as expected. AMD rose by 9% yesterday, and pre-market, it's already opening up by 3% higher. We believe that the 161% mark will be reached quite quickly. This Wave (3) could potentially be much larger than the 227.2% mark, yet we think that this range will be a good point for the next correction to occur. However, we should quickly reach this level of $216.
It's important to remember that, on a larger scale, we are also in Wave III, which should be positioned significantly higher compared to the subordinate Wave (3), which lies between $216 and can reach up to $368 maximum. That would be quite impressive, but realistically, it's likely to be between $216 and $266.
AMD's Meteoric Rise: Pioneering AI RevolutionAdvanced Micro Devices Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMD ) continues its meteoric ascent, with shares surging to new record highs, propelled by the chipmaker's pivotal role in the artificial intelligence (AI) revolution. As NASDAQ:AMD 's market capitalization surpasses the $300 billion mark for the first time, investors are bullish on the company's prospects in the burgeoning AI market and its ability to outperform competitors.
The chipmaker's stellar performance in recent months reflects its status as a primary beneficiary of the AI boom, with demand for AI processors driving significant revenue growth and market expansion. Optimism surrounding NASDAQ:AMD 's new AI processors has fueled investor confidence, leading to a remarkable recovery from earlier setbacks and a surge in stock valuation.
Analysts at Citigroup Inc. underscore the bullish sentiment surrounding semiconductor stocks, particularly in light of the expanding AI market. NASDAQ:AMD stands out as a favored pick alongside industry giants like Nvidia Corp. and Broadcom Inc., highlighting its pivotal role in driving innovation and delivering cutting-edge solutions to meet evolving market demands.
However, despite NASDAQ:AMD 's impressive growth trajectory, concerns linger about its valuation, with shares trading at a premium compared to industry leader Nvidia. While the stock commands a higher multiple of nearly 50 times estimated earnings, analysts remain broadly positive, with the majority recommending buying NASDAQ:AMD shares.
With the semiconductor industry poised for continued growth and innovation, AMD's leadership in AI-driven technologies positions it for sustained success and market dominance. As businesses and organizations across various sectors increasingly adopt AI solutions, the demand for high-performance chips is expected to soar, further fueling NASDAQ:AMD 's growth trajectory.
While NASDAQ:AMD 's stock may appear richly valued relative to its peers, the company's strong fundamentals, technological innovation, and strategic positioning justify investor optimism. With shares trading just below the average price target, there remains potential for additional upside, signaling continued momentum and growth prospects in the foreseeable future.
In conclusion, NASDAQ:AMD 's remarkable journey to new record highs underscores its leadership in the semiconductor industry and its pivotal role in driving the AI revolution. As the company continues to innovate and capitalize on emerging market trends, investors can expect NASDAQ:AMD to remain at the forefront of technological advancement and deliver long-term value creation in the dynamic semiconductor landscape.
AMD Short Trade Opportunity - Very Overbought in a Greedy MarketNASDAQ:AMD is currently above a resistance level, and I think the price is very overbought here. There is still some bullishness short-term, but shorts have been getting wrecked and I wouldn't FOMO here. Maybe there could be a short trade setup once AMD stops trending up. I like the current price levels for shorting.
I believe semiconductor chip stocks have been extremely bullish, and I haven't wanted to be against them. However, they seem very overvalued at current prices, and I think the market could get a pullback soon. I think the AMD stock price and RSI will need a correction within the next few weeks. The correction could put AMD around $140 price levels.
AMD Double Top formed. Time to pull-back?Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has been rising non-stop before February, and gave our last solid buy on our December 12 2023 analysis (see chart below):
Since then, it formed a High (Higher High for the 1.5 year Channel Up) on January 25 2024 and Resistance 1. On Friday it touched this level again, which is so far a technical Double Top formation. As long as it holds, we expect the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) to break for the first time in 4 months (since November 01 2023) and approach the 1D MA100 (green trend-line).
On top of that, the 1D RSI is on Lower Highs that broke below the Higher Lows which has been the Sell Signal during the previous three occurrences. Our target is a minimum of -19.38% decline such as on the June 26 2023 Low. If the 1D MA100 breaks, we will open another one to target the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and 0.382 Fibonacci Channel level at 130.00, which will represent a -29.77% drop, being the total decline on the October 26 2023 Low.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
The AI Crypto Boom: Is This the Beginning of a New Era?2023 has witnessed a significant surge in AI-related cryptocurrencies . This boom can be partly attributed to the explosive growth of NVIDIA (NVDA) stock, a leader in the graphics processing unit (GPU) industry, which are used to train AI models.
Factors Driving the Growth
NVDA's Rise: NVDA's price has been on a tear, forming a bullish manipulative pattern. This bullish trend has inspired investors to have similar expectations for AI-related coins.
AMD's Accumulation-Manipulation-Distribution Pattern: AMD is not a competitor of NVDA in this context, but rather an example of a successful "accumulation - manipulation - breakout" pattern.
This pattern is characterized by a period of accumulation, where investors slowly buy up a coin, followed by a period of manipulation, where the price is artificially inflated, and finally a breakout, where the price rises sharply due to increased demand.
Effect on Other Coins:
The bullish trend in NVDA and the successful breakout of AMD's accumulation-manipulation-breakout pattern have led to a surge in AI-related coins such as RNDR, THETA, NEAR, and FET.
A Look at Promising Coins:
RNDR: Render Network utilizes a decentralized network for 3D graphics and video rendering. The rise of the metaverse could potentially drive demand for RNDR's services.
THETA: Theta Labs aims to revolutionize video streaming by providing a decentralized content delivery network. The growth of streaming content could make THETA an attractive investment.
NEAR: NEAR Protocol is a smart contract platform focused on scalability and speed. The growth of decentralized applications (dApps) could make NEAR a valuable choice.
FET: Fetch.ai is developing a decentralized network for exchanging data and machine learning models. The growth of AI could increase demand for FET's services.
Important Considerations:
The cryptocurrency market is volatile and unpredictable. It is crucial to conduct your own research before investing in any coin.
This article is not financial advice. Only invest what you can afford to lose.
Conclusion
AI-related cryptocurrencies are experiencing impressive growth. While it is impossible to say for certain whether this is the beginning of a new era, the possibilities of AI in the crypto space are worth considering. However, it is important to conduct thorough research and understand the associated risks before investing.
SMCI - builds the data centers for AI and is hotter than hotSuper Microcomputer is on hard run up trend- at its all-time high, this stock is demonstrating
a high tight bull flag pattern. In a massive move SCMI is up 180% YTD five months so on pace for
400% annualized. Most experts expect more of the same. It is currently resting in consolidation
( the tight channel of the pattern) The zero-lag MACD shows the lines about to cross over the
histogram. I will watch this stock for either a bullish continuation or a pullback. Its
fundamentals are outstanding and its collaboration with NVDA will carry it far. I will wait
for a great entry and take a big bite. This stock's P/E makes it an incredible bargain.
SALESFORCE 310 AFTER EARNINGS Strong Revenue Growth: Salesforce’s total revenue for Q2 2024 was $8.603 billion, up from $8.247 billion in Q1 20241. This consistent growth in revenue is a positive sign.
Impressive Earnings Per Share (EPS): The basic earnings per share (EPS) for Q2 2024 was $1.4118, up from $0.7562 in Q1 20241. This significant increase in EPS indicates a strong financial performance.
Positive Analyst Expectations: Analysts expect the company to report earnings of $2.27 per share on revenue of $9.2 billion2. If Salesforce meets or exceeds these expectations in their upcoming earnings report, it could provide a further boost to the stock.
Historical Stock Performance: The stock soared 12% after its last earnings report3, which could indicate investor confidence in the company’s financial health and future prospects.