$AMD When, not IF! 105% UPSIDENASDAQ:AMD - It's not a matter of if, but when...🚀
Once this downtrend on the weekly is broken out of with a big fat engulfing candle we will launch off this volume shelf like a SpaceX rocket to mars!
All indictors are curling up and I think the time is coming for AMD to make their ascent higher and back to ATHs!
Amdlong
AMD LONG IDEA: AMD IS READY FOR A GOOD BULLISH RUNAMD is bouncing off the monthly time frame key level that is acting as support for price.
On weekly time frame and daily we had a shift in market structure from bearish trend to bullish.
I will be buying AMD on this retracement to the recent weekly gap created by price.
Once I see a good bullish price confirming that the retracement is over, i will enter for a buy trade.
My overall target is the 187 price level.
AMD LONG IDEAAMD stock has been in a downtrend for a while. This is also confirmed with the awesome oscillator being in oversold region. However, there's a breakout of the downtrend. This is also supported with price breaking and closing above a support level. An aggressive trader or investor can buy at the current market price. While a conservative trader or investor can wait for price to pull back to the support level before buying.
The entry will be 101.70 while the stop will be 76.05 and the final target will be 226.77.
Confluence for this signal are as follows:
1. Awesome oscillator in oversold region
2. Awesome oscillator divergence
3. Downtrend breakout
4. Weekly bullish candle closing above down trend line and support level.
5. Price respecting uptrend
Disclaimer: This is not a financial advice. The outcome maybe different from the projection. If you can't accept the risk, don't take the signal.
AMD analysis What I’m seeing here is that the price made a false breakout below the 200 EMA, just like it did in the previous move back in early 2023. It dipped below, tricked a lot of people, then snapped back up strong.
Now it’s kind of repeating that same behavior another fake break below the 200 EMA and a bounce If history repeats we might see a similar upside move from here.
Just my personal view — not financial advice. Markets are unpredictable, so always be cautious.
AMD Earnings About To PrintTechnical Analysis NASDAQ:AMD
RSI: 🟡 Near overbought but showing strength
MACD: 🟢 Bullish crossover in progress
Support: $96.84 → $93.64 → $90.00
Resistance: $100.75 → $101.72 → $103.96
Key Level to Watch: $100.75 (immediate resistance)
💰 Earnings Play
🎯 Trade Signal: BUY
✅ Justification
Recent uptrend confirmed by bullish MACD crossover with price action above key short-term MAs. Strong momentum heading into earnings with positive sentiment from analysts.
⚠️ Risk Management
Stop Loss: $93.64 (-5.2%)
Expected Range: $93.64 to $103.96
Best AI Generated Signals.
Stay Alpha
AMD Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-06AMD Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-06)
Summary of Each Model’s Key Points
Grok/xAI Report
Technicals (5-min & daily): Bullish momentum (price above EMAs, positive MACD, RSI not yet overbought) Sentiment: VIX moderate, upcoming earnings adds uncertainty, max pain at $98 Directional Bias: Moderately bullish Trade: Buy $100 call expiring 2025-05-09 at $3.80 Profit Target: +25%; Stop-Loss: −50% Confidence: 65%
Claude/Anthropic Report
Technicals: Intraday slightly bearish, daily bullish Sentiment: Earnings risk, mixed signals, max pain at $98 Directional Bias: Neutral/unclear Trade: No trade (90% confidence)
DeepSeek Report
Technicals: Short-term bullish but near resistance, daily MACD bullish Sentiment: Elevated IV, earnings event risk, max pain at $98 Directional Bias: Neutral/unclear (55% confidence) Trade: No trade
Llama/Meta Report
Technicals: Moderately bullish across timeframes (price above key EMAs, positive MACD) Sentiment: Earnings caution, max pain at $98 may cap downside, premium high Directional Bias: Moderately bullish Trade: Buy $109 call expiring 2025-05-09 at $1.00 Confidence: 70%
Gemini/Google Report
Technicals: Strong daily bullish, 5-min approaching resistance Sentiment: Muted post-earnings move, max pain at $98, high IV Directional Bias: Neutral/unclear Trade: No trade (confidence <60%) Areas of Agreement and Disagreement
Agreement
Mixed signals between intraday and daily timeframes Elevated implied volatility around earnings Max pain at $98 may exert gravitational pull High open interest in both deep OTM puts ($90) and calls ($105–$110) Majority of models favor waiting until after earnings or see no clear edge
Disagreement
Grok and Llama see a moderately bullish setup and recommend buying calls ($100 and $109 strikes) Claude, DeepSeek, and Gemini advise no trade because of earnings event risk, mixed technicals, and expensive premiums Conclusion
Overall Market Direction Consensus: Neutral/Unclear Recommended Trade: None – conflicting signals, earnings overhang, and rich weekly premiums make a high-confidence single-leg trade unlikely before post-earnings clarity.
Entry Timing: N/A (no trade) Confidence Level: 90% in the decision to sit out this week’s expiration Key Risks and Considerations:
Earnings announcement can cause large gap moves Weekly options premiums remain elevated, requiring outsized moves to break even Max pain at $98 may pressure price if post-earnings reaction is muted or negative
TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format)
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Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
AMD - Advanced Money Destroyer...Not For Long!NASDAQ:AMD
Has been decimated but the DIP BUY BOX holds strong! $85-$100 could lead to an easy 2x!
- Key S/R Zone
- Massive Volume Shelf
- Bearish WCB Breakout will give Bullish Cue
- Lowest RSI since 2022 BOTTOM
A turnaround here could lead to outsized performance in portfolios.
Not financial advice
$AMD trying to breakout on the daily!NASDAQ:AMD being bought heavily by institutions for past 3 days straight. It’s looking like it wants to breakout on the daily. There could be added excitement for NASDAQ:NVDA earnings coming up in the semi-conductor space. I have been accumulating NASDAQ:AMD April 17 115Calls @ 7.00
*Not financial advice
$AMD Analysis: Profitable Structure! 2/13/2025
Another profitable structure is currently in progress, after completing the last leg of the correction at $106.50 (MY STOPLOSS!)
The targets of the uptrend swing (wave C) are displayed on the chart, and it has the potential to exceed the projected levels.
Start point of wave c= $106.50 (Stoploss)
Targets:
T1=$206
T2=$268
T3=$367
NASDAQ:AMD #AMD
Good Luck
AMD'S Technical rating indicator monthly !Still pretty high comparing with historical data all way back to IPO. Still high
even with last low ( 2 Green circles) Even though we might have a bounce big time
20%-40% up on a monthly we are still on the high side or readings comparing an
Apple for Apple all else absolute.!
AMD'S Short sell volume is screaming for a trough BUT downgradedMost analyst following AMD are downgrading its fundamentally because of the
AI new software coming from small company in China. Well, technically we are completely
going into the other direction which is we are having a major trough in coming weeks/months
in 2025 with + 50% move.
- The big question is when and where ?
WARNING: Some Elliottions are calling for a 1929 bear mkts !!!!!!!!!!
AMD (Advanced Micro Devices) 52 Week Low Buy Opportunity AMD has recently dropped to a 52-week low, presenting a high-value entry opportunity for investors looking to capitalize on oversold conditions and strong long-term fundamentals. With analyst confidence, financial growth, and upcoming earnings catalysts, this setup offers a potential rebound opportunity.
🔹 Entry: $115.00 (current price)
🔹 TP1: $125.00
🔹 TP2: $140.00
🔹 TP3: $174.00
Why Buy AMD?
✅ Analyst Confidence & Upgrades
80% of analysts recommend a Buy or Strong Buy, with no sell ratings.
DBS: Maintains a $200 price target, reflecting long-term potential.
Average Price Target: $172.86, indicating significant upside.
KeyBanc: Despite a lower AI growth forecast, they maintained an overweight rating on AMD.
✅ Strong Financial Growth & AI Expansion
2024 Revenue: AMD reported a record $24.295B in revenue, a 9.88% YoY increase.
2025 Revenue Projection: Expected to grow 25.15% YoY, fueled by AI & data center demand.
Earnings Growth Estimate:
2024 EPS: $3.33
2025 EPS: Forecasted 54.65% increase to $5.13, driven by AI expansion.
✅ Upcoming Earnings (Feb 4, 2025)
AI & Data Center Growth: Strong performance expected in MI300 series & GPU revenue.
Market Reaction: A positive earnings beat could propel AMD beyond $140.
✅ Technical Setup Supports a Bounce
52-Week Low Provides Strong Support – Historically, AMD has rebounded from similar deep pullbacks.
RSI Momentum Increasing – Room for further upside, indicating renewed buying pressure.
💰 Potential Profit: $59,000 for 1,000 shares if TP3 is reached.
🎯 Let’s capitalize on this opportunity while riding the AI wave! 🚀
AMD - Medium Long Term Potential for circa 25% upside in 2025This one is nice and quiet, and well corrected
Short-Term Analysis (Days to Few Weeks)
Chart Patterns & Indicators:
• Price Action & Support/Resistance:
AMD appears to be trading in a consolidation phase. Recent price action has shown AMD testing a key support level which may be associated with a recently established trend line or the 20/50-day moving averages. A breakout above this consolidation zone could catalyse a short-term upward move.
• Momentum & Volume:
The RSI has hovered near the neutral-to-oversold territory, suggesting that any bounce may be brief if buying pressure fails to accelerate. Conversely, modest increases in volume during upward moves hint at a cautious optimism in the market. Traders might also observe MACD crossovers as indicators for a near-term reversal.
Price Target & Probabilities:
• Target:
Should AMD break out to the upside, a conservative target in the short term could be approximately 3–5% above current levels. Conversely, if support fails, a move 3–4% lower is plausible.
• Probability:
There is an estimated 55–60% chance of a modest recovery if support holds, balanced against roughly a 40–45% risk of further decline should the asset lose key support.
Medium-Term Analysis (Several Weeks to a Few Months)
Chart Patterns & Indicators:
• Trend Confirmation & Moving Averages:
On the daily chart, AMD has demonstrated some convergence between the 50-day and, in some cases, the 200-day moving averages. This could hint at an evolving medium-term trend, especially if a bullish crossover (often termed a “golden cross”) is confirmed. A consistent cluster of higher lows in the price action further reinforces medium-term recovery potential.
• Technical Indicator Convergence:
Both MACD and RSI are transitioning away from oversold levels, and support from recent trendlines suggests the build-up of medium-term momentum. Any significant divergence between these indicators and price action should, however, be monitored closely.
Price Target & Probabilities:
• Target:
If bullish momentum continues, AMD could target a rise of roughly 10–15% above current levels over the medium term. This projection assumes that key resistance zones act as temporary hurdles rather than insurmountable barriers.
• Probability:
There’s approximately a 50–55% likelihood of this upward move being realised, contingent on sustained trading volume and broad market sentiment supporting AMD’s recovery.
and finally..... the Long Game
Long-Term Analysis (Several Months to a Year and Beyond)
Chart Patterns & Indicators:
• Long-Term Trend & Accumulation:
On weekly and monthly charts, AMD has shown signs of a longer-term accumulation phase. This phase is typified by intermittent pullbacks that have set the stage for a gradual build-up in buying interest. Higher-timeframe moving averages and trend lines indicate that the market may be slowly re-calibrating to a more bullish perspective.
• Integration with Broader Market Trends:
Beyond the technicals, AMD’s performance is also intertwined with sector-specific and broader economic trends. An improvement in macroeconomic conditions, along with sustained institutional interest, could validate the longer-term bullish technical picture.
Price Target & Probabilities:
• Target:
In a scenario where the long-term uptrend gathers momentum, AMD might feasibly reach 20–30% above current levels over the coming year. This target assumes a clear breakout from consolidation and the eventual confirmation of a sustained bullish trend on monthly charts.
• Probability:
Given the current accumulation patterns and long-term trend indicators, there is an estimated 45–50% probability for this scenario. However, this likelihood is subject to change based on external market influences and AMD-specific corporate developments.