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TECHNICAL TUESDAY 3/26/24Today may or may not pan out as far as triggering an entry. As of right now we are hitting 2 out 5 on the checklist which means, NO ENTRY. Will revisit at 0845. what will I be looking for? US Core Durable Goods Orders US Durable Goods Orders Why? Because 'actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for precious metals. If this happens at 0830, Ill feel better about entering the buy stop. Why will I not be selling even if given a signal? Welp Jimothy, because its above water and thats a no-no. And for the love of sweet baby Jesus, please dont over leverage. ********Disclaimer******** The trade ideas and insights provided on this channel are for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for everyone. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The content shared here is based on personal opinions, analysis, and interpretation of market trends, and it may not always be accurate or up to date. By participating in these trade ideas and insights, you acknowledge that you are solely responsible for your own investment decisions and any outcomes that may result. The moderators and administrators of this channel shall not be held liable for any losses incurred from trading activities. Always conduct your own research and due diligence before engaging in any trading activities.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by iMosiah
UPDATE: Nasdaq target 1 reached next one even higher116,956 target reached easily. This was based off the W Formation and the price breaking above the neckline. Then we had the run up which surpassed the first target of 16,956 - Text book. Now the price is heading to the next target at 18,800. This is purely based off a momentum trending strategy. The bull run is not over until it's over... So trade cautiously and trade within the trend. If you're predicting tops, EGO is taking over. If you're predicting tops, Gambling mentality is lurking. If you're trading tops - You feel you have something to prove. Simple.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by Timonrosso
UPDATE: US 30 trend trading haven to 40,000This is a bit out of my expertise. THe price broke above the pattern and reached the first target. Since then it's bneen a trenders market. Simply buying, holding and raising stop losses above in case the trend changes. They have their systems and strategies, and I'm just waiting for a Breakout pattern to form. However, the price is above both 20MA and 200MA which makes the bias continued to be bullish. The next target I can imagine is none other than a psychological level at 40,000. Then we could see consolidation and range boundedness for a while.
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by Timonrosso
SP500 ready to breakout of the Wedge - Which direction though?There are conflicting signals with the SP500. Yes it is definitely in a BULL market no doubt about that. This is defined as a rising trend and with 7>21>200. And the price is above 200MA (main decider). However, the indicators are showing a potential Sell Divergence as the RSI is making lower highs. This does seem to be a Rising Wedge but the concern is the low direction of the prior trend. This is a classic example to play the trade depending on the breakout. If it breaks up the next target could head to 5,531 If it breaks down, we could see it heading back to the 200MA with a target of 4,415 Which direction are you vouching for?
SP:SPX
by Timonrosso
LL Flooring Revision: Back From The GraveBuilding your new home is exciting, especially when you understand how the process works. It’s understandable that buyers are excited to see their new home built from start to finish says Chip Perschino, senior vice president of construction at Edward Andrew Homes. “Our homeowners enjoy watching the home come together, from pouring the foundation to framing and watching the home take shape,” he says. “Once the home has drywall, they start to visualize themselves living in the space and how they’ll use it — imagining what furniture goes where and how they’ll entertain friends and family there.
LLong
by noam_chom
Is this the big bad turn for LVMH?LVMH has had one heck of a run from $39 in 2009 up to $996 in 2023. But since April 2023, it just has NOT been able to break that $1,000 psychological mark. And since the beginning of last year, we've seen it form a bearish Head and Shoulders pattern. Now I am not a total bear yet. We do need the price to break below the neckline before we get all excited about the short. But until then it's a patience game. We also have other indicators showing potential downside to come including: Price<200 20>7 RSI<50 Target $412 Let's see how it plays out, cause this could make a change any week now.
OTC:LVMHFShort
by Timonrosso
1
$DXY -Ballads of the Dollar *W (11 Consecutive Green Weeks) Its time for a Dollar Story ! (previous lin echart idea 100-105 Range; before & after to the current spot) The Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) has managed to print 11 Consecutive Green Weekly Candlesticks, rallying up as much as 8 % from its July/2023 99.580 Low. A low violating all Technical aspects, which got us into a Short Idea but not for long before changing bias (idea's live chart) TVC:DXY tried to close in Green its 12 Consecutive Candlestick Print, but failed to do so. However, during this up-rally time of Dirty Mighty TVC:DXY for the past 11 Weeks, heavy negatively correlated assets like $EUR/USD and other major FX pair got slapped on the face mercilessly, as well so did the US Major Financial Markets and other Indexes and Equities, but when comparing them with the Fiat Currencies market, their blood shed was less. Is about time for The Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) to cool down for a while and correct ? Fundamentally no, as fear and troubles looms for a US Recession being just around the corner. Technically (TA) speaking yes, it is time for a brief correction, would be totally fine for someone looking in to longing the Financial Markets or exchanging their Fiat Dollars for other Major Fiat Currencies. We can see TVC:DXY on line chart having broken the Range's Ceiling of 100-105, as well retesting it (so far). Holding it as Support or finding itself below again facing it as Resistance shall be proven on upcoming week(s)
TVC:DXY
by Mr_J__fx
Dow Jones Leading the indices? Next target sky highExtended W Formation has formed on Dow Jones. WHile other indices and stock exchanges are falling or moving sideways, this one is racing up without any shackles. There's always been a price breakout above the downtrend since Aug 2023. All in all, it's looking very bullish and is showing upside to come. Target R35,689 What's interesting is the DOw Jones, SP500 and Nasdaq are normally the leading indices. So could this be a prediction that other indices (including ours) are ready to rally to new HIGHS of the year? If so, we need to prepare for this possibillity with hedging carefully.
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by Timonrosso
Travelers: On an excursion 🗺️ 🚎The Travelers stock could once again honor its name and undertake a volatile journey. We now locate the stock in the magenta wave (y), which should undercut the support at $157.33 and then bring the superior wave (4) in green to its end. It should be noted that it is also 39% likely that the stock has already established the low of the larger correction with wave alt.(4) and will next break out directly above resistance at $173.47. Following the deposited wave (4) low - whether by primary or alternative means - we expect significant price gains
NYSE:TRV
by MarketIntel
$GOLD Index - Q3/2023 *3M (Quarterly) Looking at TVC:GOLD on the 3M(Monthly) Tf(Time-frame) from an investor perspective view of positioning; (long-term investing on the yellow stone) we can see it sitting at no men's land at the current price, as well Changing Character and Breaking Market Structer (Lower Low) in price action ; (Lows of Q2) Despite its Bearish Price Action on *3M , States and Central Banks around the World have continued accumulating, spreading wide their balance sheets in-to TVC:GOLD Reserves . And so have done many another States, including 2 out of three Global Superpowers of China ECONOMICS:CNGRES and Russia ECONOMICS:RUGRES
TVC:GOLD
by Mr_J__fx
2
Dollar General (DG) | Short-term OpportunityHi, A leading American discount retailer, Dollar General operates over 19,000 stores in 47 states, selling branded and private-label products across a wide variety of categories. In fiscal 2022, 80% of net sales came from consumables (including paper and cleaning products, packaged and perishable food, tobacco, and health and beauty items), 11% from seasonal merchandise (such as toys, greeting cards, decorations, and gardening supplies), 6% from home products (for example, kitchen supplies, small appliances, and cookware), and 3% from apparel. Stores average roughly 7,500 square feet, and about 75% of Dollar General locations are in towns of 20,000 or fewer people. The firm emphasizes value, with most of its items sold at everyday low prices of $5 or less. Technically speaking it has reached inside an interesting area. A few criteria matching with each other and probably it is worth to take a shot, from the shown box - $90 to $119, should be technically okay. Criteria are simple: 1. The long trendline 2. All-time Fibo level 62% 3. The round number, psychological number, $100 Target around $140 - $150 Good luck, Vaido
NYSE:DGLong
by VaidoVeek
5
BAC is a good buy due to termoil in the markets. At the price of <$30 per share, this is a good opportunity to buy some Bank of America stock. There are major issues with the banking system, mortgage market and bond market. Due to the system we live in, this will lead to destruction of small banks, and the capital will flow into the large established banks. GS is too expensive so BAC offers some more potential. I also prefer BAC because they are a little bit more open to Bitcoin.
NYSE:BACLong
by josip
$DXY - The Ballads of Dollar (100-105)-The Dollar Index TVC:DXY has experienced lots of tremendous vertical upside during these past two-three weeks. From negative economic news of Chinese CCP report ; to US economy on Sticky Inflation and persistent outlook of Interest Rates being Hiked again, seems as investors, smart money and quite of many retail traders are fleeing in to TVC:DXY given safety. Meanwhile TA speaking, TVC:DXY has been broken Resistance Trendline from 114 High after occuring a FAKE-OUT at the Bottom Support of Range (100.8) level. Price went to close to the Weekly 200EMA, which seems to have provided lots of Support for TVC:DXY by pushing the price higher . (check the next candelstick version idea) Upcoming Resistances to watch for TVC:DXY : -104.707 (Last Lower High + confluencing S/R area) -105.883 (Lower High from 114) (aswell being drawn a Range's Ceiling TRADE SAFE
TVC:DXY
by Mr_J__fx
$DXY - Middle Range Warzone (100-105) - TVC:DXY has had a vertical rally from its fake-out breakdown of Range, finding Support at 200EMA and got back to the Middle Zone Range S/R of 103 level. The last idea published when TVC:DXY broke the range to the downside ( TVC:DXY -Headed South 97) played out in the opposite way of forecast expectation. Eerie similar bars pattern move but on North direction, not South. (press play for bars) With TVC:DXY currently closing the week at 103.4 level, looking for short-term weakness next week to correct a bit from the Rally starting from 99.6 to 103. Next Resistances to look out for ; - previous Macro LH @104.7 - Range's Ceiling 105.9 - Strong Resistance level at Macro Fibbonacci taken from 114 High to 100.8 Range Low (0.618 Golden Zone @ 106.1) Clearing these upcoming Resistances, would put TVC:DXY clear bullish territory for the rest of 2023 and 2024. Trouble times ahead for Financial Markets in this case scenario, especially when combined with the Chinese Real-Estate Panic that just started on Friday with Evergrande declaring bankruptcy TRADE SAFE ! *** Note that this is not Financial Advice . Please do your own research and consult your own Financial Advisor before partaking on any Trading Activity based solely on this Idea !
TVC:DXY
by Mr_J__fx
$DXY - Headed South (97) - The Dollar Index TVC:DXY is trading below many resistances (broken big range of 100.8-105 ; trendline resistance from 114 High; 20-50EMA) In the short term TVC:DXY seems to be gravitating towards downside, with a completion of macro correction ABC Waves, with C wave probably ending at 97 macro S/R resistance area. This critical macro S/R is quite likely the next stop for TVC:DXY to find some floor of Support to bounce greatly. With TVC:DXY headed South at 97, other Financial Markets Sectors will perform great in gains, so would Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies TRADE SAFE ! *** Note that this is not Financial Advice. Please do your own research and consult your own Financial Advisor before partaking on any trading activity based solely on this Idea.
TVC:DXYShort
by Mr_J__fx
4
$DXY -Middle Range Warzone (105vs100)- TVC:DXY seems to be wanting a break-out from Resistance Trendline coming from 114 Highs, despite failing to do so. A Resistance Trendline that has pushed the price lower each time price has approached it. Wether that break-out and resumption is bound to happen or not in the short term, it is yet to be seen. Currently, TVC:DXY is in the midst of a Middle Range War-Zone, struggling for direction. For now, Price-Action suggest a Lower High being printed at 104.5 , a Lower High from 114 Downtrend. By Breaking Structure(BoS) of the most recent Lower High (LH) 104.5 would validate the Trendline break-out and suggest furthermore uptrend continuation for TVC:DXY , headed for the the Range's Ceiling at 105.8 and testing the broken macro structure Support Trendline Move towards 105.8 range's ceiling would be quite bearish for overall Financial Market's condition. While a move to the range's bottom at 100 level would be quite promising for other Market Sectors to continue performing well. Very interesting week ahead for The Markets, especially TVC:DXY , which dictates Financial Markets Swings *** TRADE SAFE NOTE that this is not Financial Advice . Please do your own Research before partaking on any Trading Activities based solely on this Idea.
TVC:DXY
by Mr_J__fx
$DJIA -Awaiting Apex's End (break-out) - AMEX:DJIA has managed to raise up in price for three consecutive days. Resulting a break-out from Neutral Triangle Pattern, aswell Shifting Character from it's most nearest high 1:17 Risk -to- Reward Ratio call given inside on break-out day. 17% gains to be met overtime as long uptrend resumes on Market Structure. This is very well co-dependent on whatt TVC:DXY will perform through the next interest rate hikes decision to be made. Back to AMEX:DJIA , worth mentioning aswell is that DJ:DJT (Dow Jones Transportation Index) has exploded +50%. Usually these types of impulsive moves of DJ:DJT smell trouble for AMEX:DJIA in the short term, but strong in fundementally speaking, as long price rises with DJ:DJT . (some sort of correction can be anticipated from the recent price action) Safest Buy-in from here ; re-test of broken CHoCH and Triangle's ceiling) TRADE SAFE *** Note that this is not Financial Advice ! Please do your own research before partaking on any trading activity based solely on this Idea
TVC:DJILong
by Mr_J__fx
$USD/CHF - Bottom of Range Bound *M- $USD/CHF has been trading inside a range bound from basically since 2012. Past two months, price action came very close to testing the Lows of printed on January 2021 at 0.87576$ At the current Monthly Candlestick, Price its breaking out from a Falling Wedge (bullish pattern). Its measured move would put $USD/CHF at 0.97$ There sits a great opportunity to Buy $USD/CHF from here, while stoploss can be adjusted in different ways depending on your trading style and your risk appetite . (we'll zoom in more for market structure on smaller tf) Bounce to at least 20 & 50 EMA is highly a probable outcome, conflicting as well with a test of the nearest S/R area. TRADE SAFE ***NOTE that this is not Financial Advice . Please do your own research and consult your own Financial Advisor before partaking on any trading activity based solely on this Idea
by Mr_J__fx