AMAZON going for a DIP on the 4HCrystal ball has spoken, AMZN is due for a small DIP.
Trend Analysis:
• The price is trading in an overall uptrend, respecting the 50 EMA (yellow) and 20 EMA (gold), indicating strong bullish momentum.
• Recent price action has formed higher highs and higher lows, maintaining bullish structure.
JP StochDemark Indicator Insights:
• The indicator is approaching overbought levels, currently crossing above the 80 threshold, which signals potential exhaustion in the short term.
• Bearish divergence is forming as price makes new highs while the indicator fails to confirm.
• Previous occurrences of such setups led to short-term pullbacks before continuation.
Support & Resistance Levels:
• Immediate resistance at $236-$238, aligning with recent highs.
• Short-term support at $ 225 , where moving averages align.
• Strong demand zone around $210-$215, coinciding with prior consolidation.
Trade Signal & Probability:
Bullish Bias : Continuation likely if price sustains above $ 230 with momentum confirmation.
Bearish Pullback : A corrective dip to the $225 zone is probable if momentum weakens.
Target Levels : Upside targets at $240 (psychological resistance) and $250 if momentum persists.
Risk Levels : Watch for breakdown below $225, which could trigger further downside to $215.
Conclusion :
Momentum remains bullish but overbought signals suggest caution.
Monitor for a healthy retracement before continuation. A break above $238 could confirm further bullish momentum.
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AMZN
Amazon (AMZN) Continuation Breakout in FocusChart Analysis:
Amazon's price action showcases a breakout from a consolidation channel (green shaded area), confirming the resumption of its broader uptrend.
1️⃣ Rising Trendline Support (Blue):
The price continues to respect the ascending trendline originating from September 2024 lows.
This trendline acts as a dynamic support zone, reinforcing the bullish structure.
2️⃣ Consolidation Channel Breakout:
After a brief consolidation in a descending channel, the price has broken out to the upside, signaling bullish continuation.
A decisive daily close above the channel confirms renewed buying interest.
3️⃣ Moving Averages:
50-day SMA (blue): Positioned at $217.48, rising and providing strong dynamic support.
200-day SMA (red): Positioned at $192.35, further underpinning the long-term bullish trend.
4️⃣ Momentum Indicators:
RSI: At 60.32, signaling strong upward momentum but still below overbought levels.
MACD: Positive crossover continues to support the bullish momentum.
What to Watch:
Sustained trading above the breakout level to confirm the continuation of the rally.
Potential resistance near $240-$250, the next significant zone to watch.
Pullbacks to the 50-day SMA or the ascending trendline could provide buying opportunities for trend followers.
Amazon's breakout from consolidation and its adherence to the ascending trendline suggest the stock is poised for further gains, supported by strong momentum and rising moving averages.
-MW
Nancy Pelosi bought Amazon Calls! 📈 Bullish Opportunity: Amazon (AMZN)
1️⃣ Bullish Flag Pattern with Premarket Breakout:
Amazon has formed a classic bullish flag pattern, which is a reliable continuation signal in an uptrend. The price has already broken out of the flag channel in the premarket session, signaling strong bullish momentum and potential for significant upside.
2️⃣ Amazon’s Cloud Leadership is Poised to Strengthen:
AWS (Amazon Web Services) continues to lead the cloud infrastructure market, controlling 33% of the market—more than Azure and Google Cloud combined, according to Canalys.
CEO Andy Jassy noted four consecutive quarters of reaccelerating AWS growth, with an annualized revenue run rate of $110 billion.
3️⃣ AI Advancements Reasserting Dominance:
While Microsoft is seen as the leader in the AI revolution, Amazon is catching up fast. Over the past 18 months, AWS released nearly twice as many machine learning and generative AI features as competitors combined.
These advancements are expected to make Amazon a leader in AI throughout 2025, further enhancing its cloud and technology business.
4️⃣ E-commerce Profitability Soaring:
CEO Andy Jassy’s focus on cost-cutting and logistics efficiency is delivering results:
Operating income in Amazon’s North American e-commerce segment grew by 87% in the first nine months of 2024.
Automation advancements, like robotics in fulfillment centers, have reduced processing times and improved cost efficiency by 25% during peak times.
These measures are driving higher profitability in its flagship e-commerce business, helping Amazon increase margins and drive long-term growth.
5️⃣ Undervalued and Strong Growth Potential:
Simply Wall Street estimates Amazon is trading at 40.5% below fair value, offering an attractive entry point for investors.
6️⃣ Smart Money Confidence:
Nancy Pelosi recently purchased Amazon calls 3 days ago!
7️⃣ Analyst Ratings:
Consensus: Strong Buy from top analysts.
Average Price Target: $245 (near-term expectations).
High Price Target: $280 (bullish scenario).
🎯 Strategy:
Enter now : $225.94 - $228.50
First Target : $240 (First resistance after breakout).
Second Target : $260 (Measured move from the flagpole).
Third Target : $280 (High-end analyst expectations).
Stop Loss: Based on the risk management.
Mo money Mo money AMZN to the moon ? AMZN: Bull Flag on Daily Chart
Amazon (AMZN) is forming a bullish flag pattern on the daily chart, indicating potential for further upward movement. This pattern typically suggests a continuation of the prior uptrend after a period of consolidation.
Key observations:
Bull Flag Structure: After a strong upward surge, AMZN has entered a consolidation phase, creating a flag-like formation with parallel downward-sloping lines.
Volume Dynamics: The initial breakout was accompanied by high volume, while the consolidation phase has seen diminishing volume, a classic characteristic of a bull flag.
Support and Resistance Levels: The resistance level is observed around , with support at , defining the flag boundaries.
Moving Averages: AMZN is holding above the , which may provide additional support and align with the bullish outlook.
Potential Breakout: A breakout above the upper boundary of the flag could propel AMZN toward , based on the flagpole's length projection.
Watch for a breakout with increasing volume to confirm the bullish continuation. Keep an eye on broader market trends and any news that may influence AMZN's price action.
Amazon’s Stock Stuck in a Downhill Slope or Ready to Escape ?Amazon's stock price movement on a 4-hour timeframe, presenting a descending channel pattern. This pattern is often associated with bearish sentiment, as it reflects a market structure characterized by lower highs and lower lows, signaling a consistent effort by sellers to dominate price action.
Currently, the price is trading near the upper boundary of the channel, which acts as a dynamic resistance level. Historically, such resistance zones within descending channels tend to attract selling pressure, reinforcing the bearish outlook. If the price fails to break above this resistance and shows rejection signs (e.g., long wicks or bearish candlesticks), it could confirm a continuation of the downtrend, targeting the lower boundary of the channel as the next support level.
It is crucial to monitor this resistance area closely, as a breakout above the channel could shift the sentiment from bearish to bullish. For such a breakout to be credible, it must be accompanied by strong volume and decisive candlestick patterns, such as a bullish engulfing or a breakout gap. In that scenario, the price could invalidate the descending channel and initiate a reversal, targeting higher resistance levels.
Additionally, the broader market context and fundamental factors should be considered. If the stock is supported by positive catalysts or market sentiment, it could strengthen the likelihood of a breakout. Conversely, weak sentiment or negative news could intensify the bearish momentum, leading to further downside.
The chart currently reflects a bearish bias due to the descending channel structure. However, the key to determining the next move lies in the price action and volume near the upper resistance line, which will decide whether the pattern continues or reverses.
AMAZON WILL KEEP GROWING|LONG|
✅AMAZON is trading in an
Uptrend along the rising
Support line and we are
Already seeing a bullish rebound
And a move up from the support
Just as I predicted so we are
Bullish biased and we will be
Expecting a further
Bullish continuation
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
AMAZON: Neutral on 1D signals a buy opportunity.AMAZON is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.618, MACD = 1.360, ADX = 32.455) and is trading under its 4H MA50. With the long term pattern being a Channel Up and the price already hitting its bottom, this emerges as a medium term buy opportunity. The Channel's pullback has already met the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement condition, which is the level all three prior pullbacks hit before rebounding on a new bullish wave. Those waves hit at least the -0.382 Fibonacci extension on their way up, so that is our target (TP = 247.00).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Amazon Stock Analysis: Navigating the Path Between E-Commerce
Amazon Stock Analysis: Navigating the Path Between E-Commerce Strength and Market Volatility
Introduction
Hello, traders and investors! It’s Denis Mikheev from TheWaved™, here to deliver an in-depth analysis of Amazon’s stock (NASDAQ: AMZN). With the help of our premium tools and techniques, we’re diving deep into technical, VSA, and fundamental analysis to uncover the best strategies for the upcoming market movements. Let’s break down what’s happening with AMZN and set clear targets for trading this powerhouse of e-commerce.
Recent Performance and Market Context
Amazon’s current price sits at $219.27, with a noticeable decline from its 2024 absolute high of $233. This 5.89% drop aligns with recent sell-offs driven by macroeconomic headwinds and profit-taking from the December highs.
The stock is trading in a consolidation phase, sitting between strong support zones at $214.99 and $209.11 and resistance levels at $223 and $228. With the broader NASDAQ index displaying mixed momentum, Amazon remains a critical stock to watch.
Support Levels:
-
1. 214.99
2. 209.11
3. 198.78
4. 182.62
5. 177.95
Resistance Levels:
-
1. 214.99
2. 209.11
3. 198.78
4. 182.62
5. 177.95
Powerful Resistance Levels:
-
1. 180.095
2. 151.49
3. 116.04
4. 87.57
Technical Analysis: Key Levels and Trends
Support Levels: 214.99, 209.11, 198.78
Resistance Levels: 223.00, 228.00, 233.00
Key Moving Averages:
- MA50 (Hourly): 220.01
- MA200 (Hourly): 223.16
RSI Insights: The RSI-14 currently reads 52.91, indicating a neutral market condition but leaning towards bullish potential on strong volume signals.
These technical indicators suggest price consolidation, but with bullish potential as the RSI edges upward and MA200 looms as a key dynamic resistance level.
Volume Spread Analysis (VSA): Detecting Market Intentions
Analyzing VSA patterns from recent trading sessions reveals mixed signals. A notable “Buy Volumes Take Over” pattern on January 10 suggested short-term buying strength, but was quickly followed by a reversal due to increased sell volumes. This signals that smart money may be accumulating positions before a larger move.
Price Action and Patterns
On January 6, a strong “Buy Volumes Max” pattern indicated bullish intentions, but resistance at $228.23 capped further growth.
On January 7, a “VSA Sell Pattern 3rd” hinted at a bearish reversal, driving prices back to support levels.
Key takeaway: The interaction between support at $214.99 and resistance at $223 will be pivotal in determining the next directional breakout.
Fundamental Factors to Watch
Amazon’s fundamentals remain strong, with steady revenue growth driven by AWS (cloud services) and robust e-commerce performance during the holiday season. However, rising interest rates and inflationary pressures continue to dampen consumer spending and could act as a headwind.
Trading Plan: Targets and Stop-Loss Levels
Based on the current setup, here’s a practical trading roadmap:
Short-Term Bullish Scenario:
Entry: Above $223 after confirmation of a breakout.
Targets: $228, $233.
Stop-Loss: $220.
Bearish Alternative:
Entry: Below $214 with strong bearish candles.
Targets: $209, $198.78.
Stop-Loss: $217.
Forecast: Where Are We Headed?
In the short term, Amazon is poised for a potential bullish breakout if it clears resistance at $223. However, caution is warranted if macroeconomic conditions shift. Our long-term view remains cautiously optimistic, with a forecast targeting $240+ by Q2 2025 as the broader market stabilizes.
Conclusion and Call to Action
This analysis is powered by TheWaved™, utilizing advanced tools and methodologies. If you have any questions or want a deeper dive into our methods, feel free to reach out via direct messages. Remember, all the professional indicators and insights are available in the profile header. Follow for more ideas, and let’s trade smarter, not harder!
Concept of Rays
Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept
Core Idea
My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns.
Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible
Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement.
Stay sharp, trade safe, and may the markets favor your strategy!
AMAZON SUPPORT CLUSTER|LONG|
✅AMAZON is trading in an
Uptrend and the stock is
Now making a local correction
But will soon hit a support
Cluster of the rising and
Horizontal support lines
Around the 213.83$ area
So we are bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
AMZN butterfly & $192.The stock trend of Amazon (AMZN) in 2024 showed significant upward movement, with the price reaching a peak of $230 and a low of $145 during the year, driven by strong market performance and investor confidence.
However, In 2025 based on technical analysis, the formation of a Butterfly harmonic pattern suggests a highly probable correction toward the $190 level .
This pattern, often appearing after an extended bullish trend, indicates a potential reversal. Given the current market dynamics, the likelihood of such a drop is considerable.
Investors should closely monitor key support levels and prepare for possible downside risks while making informed decisions.
SEYED.
BABA 150+, looking forward and here is whyGoldman Sachs Is Bullish on China’s Stimulus
I have selected BABA and want to consider buy the deep strategy and here is why.
Alibaba’s stock has occasionally been undervalued compared to its peers, offering opportunities for investors seeking growth at a reasonable price.
P/E = 11.6, which is one of my favorites ratios, when Amazons P/E higher 45 atm.
Investing in Alibaba Group can be attractive for several reasons.
First of all its still E-commerce Leadership in China. Alibaba is a dominant player in China’s massive e-commerce market (and not only in China), which has immense growth potential due to increasing internet penetration and consumer spending. Platforms like Taobao, Tmall, and Lazada position Alibaba as a market leader in both domestic and international markets.
Alibaba not just a e-commerce marketplace and Babas Cloud is the largest cloud service provider in China and one of the global leaders, competing with Amazon AWS, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud. The cloud computing segment has been growing rapidly and has significant potential for profitability and scalability.
And the last and the most significant case from BABA - they invest heavily in AI, logistics automation, fintech, and consumer analytics, keeping it at the forefront of technological advancements in its industry.
Meantime geopolitical tensions, especially, U.S.-China trade tensions and potential delisting threats and slower economic growth in China could impact on stock prices.
AMZN Chart and TAAMZN Chart and TA:
Bull flag/pennant it has formed on the 4hr and daily.
If it breaks out of that to the upside with a strong volume candle, it should fill the gap at $226.67 then test the resistance levels overhead as it tries to push to $231.50 short term. Measured move if it can sustain the upside breakout would put it in that $235-$240 range.
If it breaks to the downside to invalidate the bullish setup, it will test that trend line and $218.16 support confluence. If that breaks, it would short term head to $214.31 to test and potentially head back to $200 if that can't hold.
Amazon: Ready to Explode in 2025! 40% UPSIDECHARTURDAY - NASDAQ:AMZN Ready to Explode in 2025!
A great fundamental and technical setup for 2025!
-Multi-year CupnHandle with successful retest and we haven't realized the measured move yet
-Green H5 indicator
-Volume shelf w/ free space
-Williams CB is thriving
Pulled back to 9ema and previous resistance to flip into support and bounced.
🎯$231🎯$280 🎯$310
Not financial advice
Amazon (AMZN) Price Action Outlook for Monday, December 6, 2025Amazon (AMZN) closed at $224.19 today, following a high of $225.36 and an open at $222.51. While the stock remains above the 21, 50, and 200 EMAs, signaling a generally bullish trend in the medium term, today’s price action suggests hesitation in the short term. Adding to this cautious outlook, the MACD shows a bearish crossover, which could confirm a potential slowdown or pullback if downward momentum continues into Monday.
Key Levels to Watch for Monday:
** Resistance at $225.36 : Today's high has established a near-term resistance level. If AMZN cannot break above this mark early in the session, it may continue to face selling pressure. A strong move and close above this level would be a positive sign for the bulls.
** Support at $222.51 (Open) : The open price from today could act as an immediate support level. A hold above this level would keep the bullish outlook intact. However, a break below could lead to a test of the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, which has recently acted as strong support.
** Fibonacci Levels : AMZN is struggling to close above the 38.2% Fib retracement around $228-$230, indicating resistance in this area. Breaking above this zone is crucial for resuming the bullish trend.
What to Expect:
* Bearish MACD Crossover : The MACD's bearish crossover indicates a potential shift in momentum to the downside. If this signal gains confirmation with continued price weakness on Monday, we may see a deeper retracement or sideways action.
* Bullish Scenario : If AMZN breaks above $225.36 and sustains momentum, it could push toward the next resistance levels and potentially retest $233.00, the previous high.
* Bearish or Consolidation Scenario : If AMZN fails to reclaim $225.36 and breaks below $222.51, the next move could test support near the 61.8% Fib level. A confirmed bearish MACD crossover would add weight to this scenario.
Key Indicators to Watch:
MACD Confirmation : Pay close attention to whether the MACD crossover leads to further downside momentum. This will be a crucial signal for determining the short-term trend.
RSI : The RSI remains below overbought conditions (70). A rising RSI would support bullish momentum, while a drop back toward neutral levels would indicate weakness.
Monday’s price action hinges on AMZN’s ability to reclaim $225.36 resistance and sustain momentum. The bearish MACD crossover introduces a cautionary note, suggesting a potential pullback or sideways action unless bulls regain control. A move above the 38.2% Fib retracement could confirm bullish continuation, while a failure to hold $222.51 may result in a deeper retracement.
Stay tuned for further updates as we monitor these key levels and indicators going into next week!
Nvidia or Broadcom? Who will be the winner ? How big is the custom chip market?
By 2027, the custom chip market is expected to reach $90 billion. What does this mean for Nvidia?
Nvidia vs. Custom Chips
In the custom chip (ASIC) sector, two major players, Broadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) and Marvell ( NASDAQ:MRVL ), have overshadowed Nvidia. Since the end of Q2, they have outperformed the tech giant by approximately 30% and 50%, respectively.
With tech giants like Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ), Google ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ), and Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) developing and accelerating the production of their own chips, the market has finally recognized the huge opportunities in custom chips.
How big is the custom chip market?
Based on comments from the two leading custom chip players, we estimate that by 2027, the custom chip market will grow to $90 billion, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 60%. Earlier this year, Marvell offered a more conservative forecast, predicting that the market will reach $75 billion by 2028, but with early customer growth suggesting further upside potential. Broadcom’s forecast is even more impressive, estimating the market could reach anywhere from $60 billion to $90 billion by 2027.
Both companies have strong platforms. Marvell’s biggest customers are Amazon and Microsoft, and after gaining deeper insight into their growth, they suggest Marvell’s market prediction might be conservative. Broadcom’s top clients include Google, Meta, and ByteDance, all of whom plan to shift to clusters of one million XPU units by FY2027. Reports also suggest that Broadcom has secured two additional customers (potentially Apple and OpenAI).
What does this mean for Nvidia?
Nvidia’s stock price is currently consolidating, and even when using enterprise value (EV)/EBITDA as a metric, its valuation is now below that of Marvell and Broadcom.
Source: Bloomberg,Spear Invest
Investors now expect Nvidia’s market share to significantly decline by 2027, leading to slower revenue growth. However, the market has underestimated two key factors:
The strength of CUDA.
The yearly product improvement cycle.
I believe CUDA holds a powerful advantage that will reduce the pressure on cloud service providers (CSPs) to promote custom chips at scale. Given that the cloud market accounts for about 50% of the total market, I believe that capturing half of this market between 2027 and 2030 would be a major win for custom chip providers.
Currently, the market assumes, based on comments from Broadcom’s CEO, that most CSP revenue will flow to custom chip vendors, but Broadcom’s assumption may be overly optimistic. Furthermore, whether custom chips can keep up with Nvidia’s yearly product launch cycle remains to be seen—Nvidia’s new products consistently show significant performance improvements with each generation. Our best estimate is that Nvidia’s competitors are still on an innovation cycle of about 1 to 2 years behind Nvidia.
Source: Bloomberg,Spear Invest
Nonetheless, the AI industry chain, especially in the medium to long term, will continue to benefit. For example, AI + Generative Content (AIGC) companies like Adobe ( NASDAQ:ADBE ) and Unity Software ( NYSE:U ), AI + Software companies like Palantir ( NASDAQ:PLTR ), AI + Insurance companies like AIX Inc. ( NASDAQ:AIFU ), and AI + Financial companies like Block ( NYSE:SQ ) will all benefit.