Will The Federal Reserve Or Earnings Slow Down Amazon Next Week?Our quick look tonight is at Amazon.com stock. 17 January brought us a bearish signal at the closing price of 151.71. Of the 242 studied similar occasions, the stock successfully reverses downward 95% of the time over the next 10 and 25 trading days. For this instance to be successful, the stock will need to move below 151.71. So far the stock has basically ignored the signal and powered higher. Another thing I have noticed during my research is what I call a signal delay zone. This is when the signal fails to take hold right away, but the stock eventually abides by the signal. Today is currently 6 days post-signal and only have 4 days left to make the 10 day study a success.
The largest delay from a percentage standpoint has been a 2.097% move upward from the signal, before a success was still achieved within 10 days from the signal. The latest a 10 day signal saw the highest delay price and still was successful was eight days after the signal. We are currently 4% above the signal price which does not bode well for a drop over the next four days. Day 10 is January 31st, Federal Reserve decision day. Also after the close on February 1st is the annual earnings call.
There are three likely outcomes, AMZN continues to move up without looking back, the day 10 study fails and the day 25 is successful, or both day 10 and 25 studies become successes. A success will be logged if we reach and cross below the dashed yellow line. I have placed the 10 day success box on the chart as a yellow square. This box is the target bottom for 50% of all successful signals. The other larger green box is the 50% target box for the 25 day study. This provides most of February for AMZN to come down and remain successful in the study.
Applying my modified wave theory to the AMZN chart. My overall outlook is:
We are likely in the final fifth wave of the fifth wave of wave C in wave B. This basically means the stock and market are about to start more prolonged downward movement. This is bearish through the end of 2024. Not sure if we the debt bubble bursts, rate cuts are taken off the table "for now", shipping disruptions in the Red Sea come up during earnings calls or the Fed press conference, or something else causes the foreseen market disruption.
AMZN
AMZN solid earnings high volume for 10 months Cup and HandleAMZN has risen lately above the lip of the cup of the pattern on this 4H chart. The pattern
suggests $ 50 USD upside or 35% beyond present price. The chart shows the buying coming
in once price reached a rounded bottom an began an uptrend. Earnings beats have been
significant especially compared with the miss a year ago. AMZN is like the massive river with
branches feeding the volume of the river's depth and breadth downstream. Its dominance
and resilience is impeccable like others in the titans of tech. Price is now in the ascending
bullish continuation portion of the handle. I see this as a setup for a long swing stock trade
as AMZN heads into the next earnings. Another long play is call options in five weeks at
$ 156 or six months expiration at $176 strike which is the head and shoulders pattern of 2021.
Zalando, incomprehension for all investors exposed to EuropeZalando SE is a publicly traded German online retailer of shoes, fashion and beauty active across Europe. The company was founded in 2008 by David Schneider and Robert Gentz and has more than 51 million active users in 25 European markets.
- Revenue is meaningful (€10B)
- Earnings are forecast to grow by an average of 34.2% per year for the next 3 years
- Market cap is meaningful (€4B)
- Profit margins improved or ZAL became profitable
- ZAL does not have negative shareholders equity.
- The company is currently profitable
- Debt level is low and not considered a risk
I am taking a significant position in XETR:ZAL today. Across Germany, BENELUX, and Switzerland, consumers use Zalando to have their clothing delivered. I believe the results will be above expectations. Good luck to everyone.
This Could be the VERY TOP for AmazonI'm getting feelings around the things are about to hit the fan and Amazon might have topped longterm. RSI hit a major resistance, bear divergence, largest FED fund sale ever yesterday, things are just lining up for me, this will get NUTTY if true. Hard to fade this trend of course but a lot of things are lining up for me.
AMAZON Swing Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AMAZON was retesting a
Horizontal support level
Of 143.5$ while trading
In an uptrend and now we
Are already seeing a
Bullish rebound so I think
That we will see a
Further move up
Buy!
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Amazon Soaring: Unveiling the AI-Powered Path to Prosperity
The recent surge in Amazon's stock, propelling its founder Jeff Bezos to a staggering $3.8 billion gain in just 24 hours, reflects not only the resilience of the e-commerce giant but also the growing investor confidence in its 2024 outlook.
Market Resilience Amidst Tech Turbulence:
Despite facing headwinds alongside other major tech firms during last week's market downturn, Amazon demonstrated remarkable resilience, boasting a 2.60% increase in its shares in Todays trading session. This resilience is attributed to the optimistic outlook on Amazon's profit prospects, particularly fueled by advancements in artificial intelligence (AI).
The Power of AI Investments:
Amazon's strategic investments made during the pandemic are proving to be a catalyst for its current success. The company's commitment to AI development is paying off, with advancements in technology contributing to robust growth trends and improved profit margins. As the world becomes increasingly digitized, Amazon's proactive stance in harnessing the potential of AI positions it at the forefront of the e-commerce and technology sectors.
Cloud Business Boom:
A noteworthy factor contributing to Amazon's positive momentum is the anticipated increase in demand for its cloud business, driven by AI advancements. As businesses across the globe recognize the transformative power of AI, Amazon is well-positioned to capitalize on this trend. The company's cloud services, bolstered by AI capabilities, are expected to play a pivotal role in meeting the evolving needs of industries ranging from healthcare to finance.
Jeff Bezos: The Top Gainer:
The $3.8 billion boost in Jeff Bezos' net worth not only solidifies his status as one of the world's wealthiest individuals but also highlights his unwavering commitment to Amazon's success. Bezos, as the visionary founder, continues to steer the company toward new heights, leveraging AI and other cutting-edge technologies to secure its dominant position in the market.
Technical Analysis: A Bullish Outlook:
A closer look at Amazon's technical analysis reveals a strong development within a rising trend channel in the medium long term. This signals increasing optimism among investors and indicates a continued rise in the stock's value. The breakthrough of resistance at $145 reinforces the bullish sentiment, predicting a further ascent in the near future.
Conclusion:
Amazon's recent stock surge, coupled with Jeff Bezos' substantial gains, underscores the company's ability to weather market uncertainties and emerge stronger. As AI continues to shape the future of technology and business, Amazon's strategic investments and forward-thinking approach position it as a beacon of success in the e-commerce and cloud computing arenas. Investors and industry enthusiasts alike are eagerly watching as Amazon navigates the evolving landscape, driven by the promise of AI-powered prosperity.
Unveiling the Forces Behind $AMZN's 81% Gain in 2023
Amazon (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:AMZN ) quietly emerged as one of the standout performers, recording an impressive 81% gain in its stock value. While the spotlight was often on other tech giants like Nvidia and the AI sector's newfound fascination, Amazon's remarkable turnaround marked one of its best years on record, adding approximately $700 billion in market value.
I. Riding the Tech Stock Wave:
Amazon's surge in 2023 was not isolated but part of a broader trend in the tech industry. The Nasdaq Composite soared 43%, and the Nasdaq 100 experienced a 54% jump, reflecting the overall bullish sentiment in the sector. The "Magnificent Seven," the seven most valuable tech stocks, witnessed substantial gains, positioning Amazon right in the middle of this impressive cohort.
II. Strategic Moves and Profitability Surge:
A pivotal factor contributing to Amazon's success in 2023 was CEO Andy Jassy's strategic approach to enhance profitability. The company underwent its most extensive layoff ever, shedding around 27,000 corporate employees, and divesting experimental ventures like the Scout home delivery robot and the Amazon Care healthcare service. Additionally, several Amazon Go stores employing the "Just Walk Out" technology were closed.
These decisive actions, coupled with sustained growth in high-margin businesses like the third-party marketplace, advertising, and Amazon Web Services (AWS), led to a remarkable surge in operating margin. In the third quarter alone, operating income catapulted from $2.5 billion in the previous year to an impressive $11.2 billion. The cumulative operating income for the first three quarters of 2023 reached $23.7 billion, compared to $11.2 billion in 2022.
III. Continued Focus on Profitability:
Looking ahead to 2024, Amazon's focus on profitability remains a core strategy. Jassy's commitment to leveraging earlier investments, such as incorporating advertisements into Prime Video, signals a continued drive to boost the company's profit margins. While Amazon's current price-to-earnings ratio of 75 might seem steep by conventional metrics, the sustained potential for margin expansion justifies the valuation.
IV. AI and Future Growth:
Artificial Intelligence (AI) emerges as a pivotal growth opportunity for Amazon in 2024. The launch of the Bedrock AI hosting service and a strategic partnership with Anthropic AI, backed by a $4 billion investment, showcase Amazon's commitment to advancing in the AI landscape. Although a breakthrough in AI is not essential for continued success, it could undoubtedly amplify Amazon's growth trajectory. With competitive advantages in e-commerce and AWS, Amazon is well-positioned to thrive in the evolving tech landscape.
Conclusion:
While replicating an 81% jump in 2024 may be unlikely, Amazon's trajectory points to sustained growth. With a wide economic moat, the company has ample room to drive profits higher, supported by strategic moves, expanding margins, and an increasing focus on AI. Investors should keep a keen eye on Amazon in 2024, as the tech giant continues to navigate the ever-evolving landscape with resilience and innovation.
EOY Review $AMZN still some pivots to take out upsideNASDAQ:AMZN another bright green candle on the year
it did take out the low of previous year in Q1 by a bit
so, strat wise it's a 2 down on the year, obviously bright green
is it extended? maybe.....
but, the good thing for those with a bullish bias, still 2 previous yearly highs to take out
how strong will AMZN be in 2024? Let's see
AMZN: Stock Price Ends Year Stronger Than S&P 500Amazon shares are up approximately 79% year to date in 2023, outperforming the S&P 500. This reflects the company's strong fundamentals:
→ Amazon's third-quarter results beat Wall Street estimates, helped by growth in its cloud and advertising businesses. According to Barchart, analysts are forecasting AMZN's earnings growth of 35% in fiscal 2024, as well as revenue growth of 11%.
→ Positive forecasts are associated with the activation of retail trade. In the past three months alone, the SPDR S&P Retail ETF has gained 16.4%, significantly outpacing the S&P 500's 6.8% gain over the same period, according to FactSet data. Therefore, AMZN could benefit significantly from the holiday shopping season.
→ Analysts are praising the prospects of the Prime platform, which will soon broadcast games involving 40 major league teams in baseball, basketball and hockey.
The chart shows that the AMZN stock price is moving steadily within the ascending channel (shown in blue). Wherein:
→ the price quickly rebounded from its lower border at the end of October - a sign of strong demand;
→ the price is able to stay in the upper half of the channel, using its median line as support and forming rising lows in December;
→ at the beginning of the new week, the price exceeded the psychological level of USD 150, setting a high of the year.
Now the bulls need to consolidate the progress made and keep the price above the psychological level — it is possible that we will see a test of the USD 150 level, which previously acted as resistance, therefore, there is reason to expect that it will serve as support. It is possible that the bulls will try to update the fresh high of the year.
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Let AMZN Be … [ Short-term] Uhm... ohm...
I think we should leave NASDAQ:AMZN and @JeffBezos alone.
The #Amazon price has fiercely struggled in the range of 140-150 for over a month. Bulls and bears have been battling for every inch of territory, causing traffic jams, and there's not much we can do.
However, with a strong full-bodied candle last week and Bulls gradually winning small battles, my prediction is that as soon as the market opens, we will have a Gap up.
HOWEVER , this is not the time to Buy. Chasing the peak is always wrong. Just stay put, please.
The time for a beautiful Buy position might be shaking its leg, enjoying itself, has passed since the end of October.
Be patient and wait for the next opportunity.
WHAT A WISE TRADER DOES?
If you're holding a Buy position : Move the stop loss to a safe point to preserve profits.
If you're holding a Sell position : Uhm... set the stop loss carefully.
If you haven't done anything yet? Well, just continue not doing anything!
AMZN Analysis for XmasLooking for more upside potential on AMZN and even more with Xmas comming.
Still in a long investment position but we are now on a critical level to watch.
The $150.0 level is a very high intensity level of rejection and reversing so warning.
BUT, I have a strong conviction on this bull signals we had previously to go to the Historical High, and some can also see a reversal H&S pattern on the chart with a neck level at $150.0 precisely.
For next week, I will be looking at the little bull flag we can see near the $150.0 to see if we can confirme the curl long scenario.
Great Trades !
Amazon TA -Swing Idea - Going up?hey guys its amir whats up?
so NASDAQ:AMZN first of all its not a secret that amazon its an absolute monster company, one of the strongest of them all. So lets analyze:
- Amazon just touched a support trendline since 2018 acts as support and got bounced (also daily time frame closed hammer candlestick, ill see later how I upload to this idea more updates in different time frames)
- price touched fib 0.328 which perfectly sits on the trendline and bounced from there.
- 50 MA getting a bullish shape (not strong yet but still attempting to go bullish) and 200 ma shows a fight between bulls and bears but still the bulls are dominating.
- we see that we are getting buying pressure (bottom indicator marked by arrows and circles)
- I see that the volume in the about 6 months is actually very controlled and stable which is pretty good I mean you dont want huge spikes and flip flops keep it stable all the way the better. Since April 22 you can see in the volume that the bears were in control, watch at all the red bars and watch the drop of the stock in that area. and for the last few months they just fade away in a stable way.
// so to summerize, I do think that AMZN have great stracture, and they have more room to push forward in the coming weeks/months.
maybe to get inside the trade right now its a bit early because needed some more confirmations, but I probably will enter now because I can set my stop loss very close and if its will reach than not a big deal just cut it, and if I'll have more confirmations soon i will add more to the position.
The main TP points are : 147.73, 163.50, 177.76
for me great risk reward trade.
let me know what you think guys <3
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Why we are selling AMZN at 148The market's bull run is set to end based on the indications for seeing on the S&P.
AMZN is one of those stocks that have been quite bullish and a correction is on the card at the 150 mark. The technical indicators are:
1) Daily chart is overbought
2) H4 is overbought and lot of divergence present
3) The upward trend line has been violated which has been intact since October 23, 2023
4) There is a shark pattern in play
This will need to be held for 3-4 weeks until it hits close to 132 or there is a buy pattern. Good luck to you and may the pips be with us.