AMZN
AMAZON Only a break above the 1D MA50 remains. $240 on sight.Amazon Inc. (AMZN) spent the previous 2 weeks on a very strong recovery of the losses sustained in July - August, in fact those have been the strongest 2-week candles since October 23 - 30 2023.
That was the previous bottom of the 2.5 year Channel Up on its Higher Lows trend-line. Even though the stock broke below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in more than 1 year (May 2023), it managed to hold the long term Support of the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
As this 1W chart shows, the Higher Lows of this pattern are periodic and cyclical and you can see that clearly with the use of the Sine Waves (also evident on the 1W RSI, the green circle bottoms below its MA). Every time the price broke above the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) following such a Low (3 times) it approached the top of the Channel Up.
The first Bullish Leg peaked at +79%, the second at +69%. If this is a progressive sequence, then the third (current) Bullish Leg could be -10% less than the last, i.e. +59%. As a result, the 1D MA50 (which applied high selling pressure this week), is the final Resistance and bullish break-out confirmation the price technically needs before it targets $240.00 (+59% rise).
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Stock Market | TSLA NVDA AAPL AMZN META GOOG MSFT AnalysisQQQ Forecast
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AMZN ( Amazon.com, Inc. ) BUY TF H1 TP = 180.18On the H1 chart the trend started on Aug. 06 (linear regression channel).
There is a high probability of profit taking. Possible take profit level is 180.18
Using a trailing stop is also a good idea!
Please leave your feedback, your opinion. I am very interested in it. Thank you!
Good luck!
Regards, WeBelievelnTrading
Stock Market | TSLA NVDA AAPL AMZN META GOOG MSFT AnalysisQQQ Forecast
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Apple Stock AAPL Forecast Technical Analysis
Microsoft Stock MSFT Forecast Technical Analysis
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Amazon Stock AMZN Forecast Technical Analysis
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AMZN / AMAZON 🔍 AMZN Analysis: Strategic Dates for Long-Term Accumulation 📈
The AMZN chart reveals key dates that could shape your investment strategy:
December 29, 2025 & August 16, 2027 - Green Lines: These dates indicate potential local lows, making them ideal for accumulating AMZN shares. Investors should consider these as prime opportunities to position themselves for the next major upward trend in the stock.
By planning around these dates, you can optimize your long-term investment strategy and take advantage of potential market corrections.
#AMZN #StockMarket #InvestmentStrategy #NASDAQ #SNP500 #MarketTiming #Amazon
Jumia JMIA - The next Amazon?Not sure why Jumia has such strong technical while the fundamental are not so good. Is Jumia being given the same grace as Amazon that did not turn a profit for 13 or so years? Jumia is not turning a profit. But Jumia is like the Amazon of Africa. Do investors see the same future for Jumia? Do they see this as a bargain price for longterm investors? Not sure. The technicals have the price up 400% ytd. Price is about 500% away from all-time highs. Not sure what's next for Jumia. This is one to watch.
$AMZN amazon at Neckline Resistance.... Rejection or Breakout!NASDAQ:AMZN Amazon price action is currently at neckline resistance of an inverse head and shoulder pattern around 143
Price has continuously found rejection at this point previously!
Current price: $142.5
Continuous rejection will find supports: 122, 103, 82
If NASDAQ:AMZN breaks out from neckline resistance, expect: 164, 183, 204..
Stock Market | TSLA NVDA AAPL AMZN META GOOG MSFT AnalysisQQQ Forecast
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Continue To Monitor 5390 For Bulls and BearsWe are currently 1.5 trading days away from our original market top call, but this analysis will cover any new developments. Wave A appeared to have a good 5 wave structure with wave 3 having an extension. Wave B retraced 73% of wave A's movement quicker than expected. Wave C has most likely completed at least the first two waves and possibly as much as 4 waves. Wave 2 retraced around 64% of wave 1 and as wave 3 is currently marked, it extended 304% of wave 1. I have marked wave 3 based on my wave 3 indicator at the bottom. The shorter arrow pointing down depicts a wave 3 of 3 and the larger arrow depicts the end of a wave 3. The gap in the blue painted backgrounds at the bottom is the distinguishing feature of two separate wave 3s being signaled instead of just one wave 3. The retracement off of the signaled wave 3 was very quick although it was a 20% retracement and quite possibly the end of wave 4. If these four waves have concluded, wave 5 and the market could top as early as Friday.
I will walkthrough the levels on the far right first to determine a possible top. The furthest right values are retracements from the original market top from mid-July. If the index moves back to the all-time high, it would have retraced 100%. A common retracement could be between 38.2%-61.8%. The next column left of this is the movement extension of C from wave A which topped at 5336.20. Basically, wave C should finish somewhere above 5336.20 which the index has now surpassed and therefore is capable of topping at any time. The next leftmost column are movement extensions from wave 3's movement inside of wave C. Once again, we are already above wave 3's top (5333.70) and capable of ending at any time.
I try to find common levels among these three columns and monitor the index as it approaches. A 50% retracement of the macro wave 1 would occur at 5387.30, while an extension of wave A would of 123.6% is at 5393.31, coincides with a 138.2% extension of wave 3 at 5392.57. This very tight zone is certainly one to monitor for a top and it is not far away at the time of this analysis.
I try to make similar identifications in other symbols to get a better read of the S&P500 index. Japan is moving the same, although it is unclear if they have completed wave 3 of C yet.
They will most likely see more movement as their trading day gets in full swing during the overnight hours for North America. They may continue the momentum observed from America's Thursday session. Without marking their completed wave 3 with certainty, their area of commonality is between 37705-37782.
JP Morgan Chase makes things more interesting because it is not clear if we are still in macro wave 1 or macro wave 2. The case for macro wave 1 has it in a micro wave 3 of C albeit in wave 4 of macro wave 1 here:
If this holds true, the S&P 500 may not be in the correct place. If JPM is actually inline with the current wave structure as the index, waves 4 and 5 were very abbreviated based on the location of the wave 3 of 3 signals from early August. This alignment would slightly alter the retracement lines to the far right as seen here:
The area of commonality is around 211.30 which is almost too much of a movement over the next 1-2 days for this stock.
Amazon appears to fall inline with the theory of ending macro wave 2 soon.
It has a target area around 170.5-171.32 and another much higher at 175.52-176.35.
Based on the lack of obvious agreement, it is difficult to determine where the market is. I will continue to monitor the initial theory that the market topped in mid-July and has completed a five wave structure down and is about to finish a three wave structure up in the coming days. If the levels pointed out here are significantly surpassed, the market could continue upward to new all-time highs once again. Another downward reversal on or before Monday likely points to a new index low between 4100-4700 within the next month.
Analysis of Amazon (AMZN) Share Price After Disappointing ReportAnalysis of Amazon (AMZN) Share Price After Disappointing Report
On Thursday, Amazon released its second-quarter report:
→ Earnings per share: actual = $1.26, forecast = $1.03;
→ Gross sales: actual = $147.98 billion, forecast = $148.66 billion.
Amazon’s CFO, Brian Olsavsky, attributed the decline in sales to distractions caused by Trump’s news coverage and the Olympics, suggesting people spent more time reading news and less time shopping on Amazon.
As a result, the sales forecast for the third quarter fell short of expectations, with management estimating between $154 billion and $158.5 billion, while analysts’ average estimate was $158.24 billion.
Investors were disappointed by this news, causing Amazon’s share price to drop approximately 9% on Friday, creating a wide bearish gap. On Monday, the price also opened with a bearish gap and continued to fall, creating a precarious situation.
However, by Monday’s close, the bulls had recovered the early trading losses, and on Tuesday, AMZN showed some stability, staying close to Monday’s closing price.
Does this mean the downward trend (with AMZN’s price now more than 20% below its July all-time high) has run its course?
Today's technical analysis of Amazon’s stock chart provides valuable insights:
→ In late 2023 and early 2024, the price gradually increased within a narrow range along the median of an ascending blue channel, indicating a consensus between buyers and sellers on the stock’s fair value.
→ Good news in early February pushed the price up, accelerating growth towards the upper boundary of the channel, which acted as resistance.
→ Last week’s report had the opposite effect. On the bad news, AMZN’s price fell to the lower boundary of the channel, where it found support. This price action shows the impact of news on deviations from the median, which may still be relevant.
It’s worth noting the importance of breaking psychological levels (indicated by arrows showing false bullish breakouts at $200 and $190). It’s possible that:
→ AMZN’s price will continue to consolidate around the lower boundary of the channel, with former support at $166.66 acting as resistance;
→ We may see a false bearish breakout at the $150 level.
Price forecasts for AMZN have slightly worsened since the report, as we warned on July 26. According to current forecasts by 41 Wall Street analysts surveyed by TipRanks, 40 analysts recommend buying AMZN. On average, they predict AMZN’s price will reach $223.60 (about 38% above current levels) over the next 12 months.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Stock Market | TSLA NVDA AAPL AMZN META GOOG MSFT AnalysisQQQ Forecast
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Amazon Shares Tumble After Disappointing Third-Quarter OutlookAmazon shares ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) took a significant hit on Friday, dropping over 9% following a mixed second-quarter earnings report and a disappointing forecast for the upcoming quarter. The e-commerce giant reported a revenue miss, causing concerns among investors and leading to a substantial sell-off in its stock.
Second-Quarter Performance
In the second quarter, Amazon's revenue rose 10% year-over-year to $147.98 billion, falling slightly short of the $148.56 billion projected by analysts. Despite this, the company's net income nearly doubled from the previous year, reaching $1.26 per share, surpassing the expected $1.03 per share. This increase in net income highlights Amazon's successful cost-cutting measures, which have strengthened its bottom line.
Third-Quarter Outlook
Amazon's forecast for the third quarter has added to investor concerns. The company expects revenue between $154 billion and $158.5 billion, with the midpoint of $156.25 billion falling short of the consensus estimate of $158.24 billion. This cautious guidance has been attributed to slower sales in Amazon's core retail business and an unpredictable news cycle that has distracted consumers, causing them to delay purchases or abandon their shopping carts.
Market Sentiment and Analyst Reactions
Amazon CFO Brian Olsavsky pointed to several factors contributing to the weak forecast, including the upcoming Olympics, the presidential election, and high-profile events such as the attempted assassination of former President Donald Trump. These distractions have made it challenging to predict consumer behavior accurately.
Despite these challenges, analysts remain optimistic about Amazon's long-term prospects, particularly its cloud computing segment, Amazon Web Services (AWS). AWS reported revenue of $26.3 billion in the second quarter, exceeding expectations and demonstrating continued growth. Analysts at JPMorgan and BMO Capital Markets have expressed confidence in AWS's potential, noting that it is well-positioned to benefit from increased cloud adoption and modernization efforts.
Key Technical Indicators and Market Reactions
From a technical perspective, Amazon's stock has exhibited several bearish signals. A bearish engulfing pattern formed on the chart leading into the earnings report, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment towards lower prices. Investors are now closely monitoring key support levels, including $170, $161, $145, and $123, to gauge the stock's next moves.
The broader market has also reacted negatively to Amazon's earnings and guidance, with major indices such as the Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 experiencing significant declines. Concerns over weaker economic data, including a disappointing jobs report, have added to market volatility, further impacting investor sentiment.
Conclusion
Amazon's recent performance has highlighted the challenges it faces in its core retail business amidst an unpredictable economic environment. While the company's cloud computing segment continues to show strength, the mixed results and cautious outlook have led to a substantial decline in its stock price. Investors and analysts will be watching closely to see how Amazon navigates these challenges and whether it can maintain its growth trajectory in the coming quarters.
Overall, the current market conditions and Amazon's performance underscore the importance of monitoring both fundamental and technical indicators to make informed investment decisions. As the company continues to adapt to changing consumer behaviors and economic conditions, its ability to leverage its strengths and address its weaknesses will be crucial in determining its future success.
Valuation Trade Setups: NVDA, AVGO, GOOGL, AMZN, PINS & SilverI have been filled long on some trades based on my valuation trading strategy.
In this video I explain the strategy (conditional criteria, entries & money management) implemented with this weeks entries in NVDA, AVGO & Silver (as well as resting orders for GOOGL, AMZN & PINS). I also briefly explain the idea of "relative strength", which I applied this week when I decided to long Silver instead of Copper.
Enjoy.
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AMZN Amazon Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AMZN before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AMZN Amazon prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 185usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-12-20,
for a premium of approximately $16.90.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
AMAZON Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AMAZON was trading along
The rising support line but
The we saw a breakout so
We are bearish biased and
After the pullback and
Retest of the broken support
We will be expecting a
Local move down
Sell!
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Analysis of AMZN Stock: Price at 1.5-Month LowAnalysis of AMZN Stock: Price at 1.5-Month Low
As shown in the AMZN chart, the stock price dropped below:
→ the psychological level of $180;
→ the mid-June interim low.
The last time AMZN traded below $180 was in early June.
Thus, AMZN has faced sell-offs, similar to other tech stocks whose charts we've published this week. A widely mentioned reason for the sell-offs is investor rotation, moving capital from overbought tech stocks to shares in other sectors.
Will AMZN's price drop further?
Fundamentally, bulls might find hope in speculation that:
→ the company might start paying dividends. Rumours suggest the company has accumulated $100 billion in cash;
→ Amazon in Austin, Texas, is developing its own AI chip to compete with Nvidia.
Technical analysis of the AMZN stock chart also provides reasons to expect a recovery (at least in the short term):
→ The price is near the lower boundary of an ascending channel that has been in place in 2024, which may act as support.
→ The false breach of the $180 psychological level could also support the price by altering the supply-demand balance.
→ Below yesterday's low is the $175 level, which has repeatedly shown support in 2024, as indicated by arrows.
A bounce from these supports could provide valuable insights into the bulls' aggressiveness.
Meanwhile, forecasts are optimistic. According to TipRanks, all 44 Wall Street analysts recommend buying AMZN stock, with an average price target of $224.60 (nearly +25% from current levels) within 12 months, surpassing the current high around the psychological level of $200.
Note that analysts' opinions may change after the Q2 earnings report, scheduled for August 1.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AMZN weekly chart looks intact for continuation.NASDAQ:AMZN weekly chart shows that it is holding the previous all-time high breakout at $191.70. It is also holding the weekly 5 SMA, which would provide a good entry to average up on the swing after taking profit last week. Jeff Bezos selling at $200+ needs to be cleared out before the stock can continue higher, and it appears that he has sold about 33% of the total 25 million shares planned based on SEC filings.
AMZN is at weekly and daily demand zones.NASDAQ:AMZN is at key weekly and daily demand zones which have held up for the past several months. The daily 100 EMA and weekly 20 EMA have served as strong demand zones on this entire move higher after last earnings season, and we have been swinging the stock long from these levels in the $170s, before scaling out at $190 and $200 targets. This dip into $182 is a great level to reload equity that was sold into targets for a potential move back to highs. The trade will be invalidated if it builds below these levels; however, entry here provides favorable reward-to-risk ratio.