AMAZON: Neutral on 1D signals a buy opportunity.AMAZON is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.618, MACD = 1.360, ADX = 32.455) and is trading under its 4H MA50. With the long term pattern being a Channel Up and the price already hitting its bottom, this emerges as a medium term buy opportunity. The Channel's pullback has already met the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement condition, which is the level all three prior pullbacks hit before rebounding on a new bullish wave. Those waves hit at least the -0.382 Fibonacci extension on their way up, so that is our target (TP = 247.00).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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AMZN
Amazon Stock Analysis: Navigating the Path Between E-Commerce
Amazon Stock Analysis: Navigating the Path Between E-Commerce Strength and Market Volatility
Introduction
Hello, traders and investors! It’s Denis Mikheev from TheWaved™, here to deliver an in-depth analysis of Amazon’s stock (NASDAQ: AMZN). With the help of our premium tools and techniques, we’re diving deep into technical, VSA, and fundamental analysis to uncover the best strategies for the upcoming market movements. Let’s break down what’s happening with AMZN and set clear targets for trading this powerhouse of e-commerce.
Recent Performance and Market Context
Amazon’s current price sits at $219.27, with a noticeable decline from its 2024 absolute high of $233. This 5.89% drop aligns with recent sell-offs driven by macroeconomic headwinds and profit-taking from the December highs.
The stock is trading in a consolidation phase, sitting between strong support zones at $214.99 and $209.11 and resistance levels at $223 and $228. With the broader NASDAQ index displaying mixed momentum, Amazon remains a critical stock to watch.
Support Levels:
-
1. 214.99
2. 209.11
3. 198.78
4. 182.62
5. 177.95
Resistance Levels:
-
1. 214.99
2. 209.11
3. 198.78
4. 182.62
5. 177.95
Powerful Resistance Levels:
-
1. 180.095
2. 151.49
3. 116.04
4. 87.57
Technical Analysis: Key Levels and Trends
Support Levels: 214.99, 209.11, 198.78
Resistance Levels: 223.00, 228.00, 233.00
Key Moving Averages:
- MA50 (Hourly): 220.01
- MA200 (Hourly): 223.16
RSI Insights: The RSI-14 currently reads 52.91, indicating a neutral market condition but leaning towards bullish potential on strong volume signals.
These technical indicators suggest price consolidation, but with bullish potential as the RSI edges upward and MA200 looms as a key dynamic resistance level.
Volume Spread Analysis (VSA): Detecting Market Intentions
Analyzing VSA patterns from recent trading sessions reveals mixed signals. A notable “Buy Volumes Take Over” pattern on January 10 suggested short-term buying strength, but was quickly followed by a reversal due to increased sell volumes. This signals that smart money may be accumulating positions before a larger move.
Price Action and Patterns
On January 6, a strong “Buy Volumes Max” pattern indicated bullish intentions, but resistance at $228.23 capped further growth.
On January 7, a “VSA Sell Pattern 3rd” hinted at a bearish reversal, driving prices back to support levels.
Key takeaway: The interaction between support at $214.99 and resistance at $223 will be pivotal in determining the next directional breakout.
Fundamental Factors to Watch
Amazon’s fundamentals remain strong, with steady revenue growth driven by AWS (cloud services) and robust e-commerce performance during the holiday season. However, rising interest rates and inflationary pressures continue to dampen consumer spending and could act as a headwind.
Trading Plan: Targets and Stop-Loss Levels
Based on the current setup, here’s a practical trading roadmap:
Short-Term Bullish Scenario:
Entry: Above $223 after confirmation of a breakout.
Targets: $228, $233.
Stop-Loss: $220.
Bearish Alternative:
Entry: Below $214 with strong bearish candles.
Targets: $209, $198.78.
Stop-Loss: $217.
Forecast: Where Are We Headed?
In the short term, Amazon is poised for a potential bullish breakout if it clears resistance at $223. However, caution is warranted if macroeconomic conditions shift. Our long-term view remains cautiously optimistic, with a forecast targeting $240+ by Q2 2025 as the broader market stabilizes.
Conclusion and Call to Action
This analysis is powered by TheWaved™, utilizing advanced tools and methodologies. If you have any questions or want a deeper dive into our methods, feel free to reach out via direct messages. Remember, all the professional indicators and insights are available in the profile header. Follow for more ideas, and let’s trade smarter, not harder!
Concept of Rays
Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept
Core Idea
My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns.
Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible
Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement.
Stay sharp, trade safe, and may the markets favor your strategy!
AMAZON SUPPORT CLUSTER|LONG|
✅AMAZON is trading in an
Uptrend and the stock is
Now making a local correction
But will soon hit a support
Cluster of the rising and
Horizontal support lines
Around the 213.83$ area
So we are bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
BABA 150+, looking forward and here is whyGoldman Sachs Is Bullish on China’s Stimulus
I have selected BABA and want to consider buy the deep strategy and here is why.
Alibaba’s stock has occasionally been undervalued compared to its peers, offering opportunities for investors seeking growth at a reasonable price.
P/E = 11.6, which is one of my favorites ratios, when Amazons P/E higher 45 atm.
Investing in Alibaba Group can be attractive for several reasons.
First of all its still E-commerce Leadership in China. Alibaba is a dominant player in China’s massive e-commerce market (and not only in China), which has immense growth potential due to increasing internet penetration and consumer spending. Platforms like Taobao, Tmall, and Lazada position Alibaba as a market leader in both domestic and international markets.
Alibaba not just a e-commerce marketplace and Babas Cloud is the largest cloud service provider in China and one of the global leaders, competing with Amazon AWS, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud. The cloud computing segment has been growing rapidly and has significant potential for profitability and scalability.
And the last and the most significant case from BABA - they invest heavily in AI, logistics automation, fintech, and consumer analytics, keeping it at the forefront of technological advancements in its industry.
Meantime geopolitical tensions, especially, U.S.-China trade tensions and potential delisting threats and slower economic growth in China could impact on stock prices.
AMZN Chart and TAAMZN Chart and TA:
Bull flag/pennant it has formed on the 4hr and daily.
If it breaks out of that to the upside with a strong volume candle, it should fill the gap at $226.67 then test the resistance levels overhead as it tries to push to $231.50 short term. Measured move if it can sustain the upside breakout would put it in that $235-$240 range.
If it breaks to the downside to invalidate the bullish setup, it will test that trend line and $218.16 support confluence. If that breaks, it would short term head to $214.31 to test and potentially head back to $200 if that can't hold.
Amazon: Ready to Explode in 2025! 40% UPSIDECHARTURDAY - NASDAQ:AMZN Ready to Explode in 2025!
A great fundamental and technical setup for 2025!
-Multi-year CupnHandle with successful retest and we haven't realized the measured move yet
-Green H5 indicator
-Volume shelf w/ free space
-Williams CB is thriving
Pulled back to 9ema and previous resistance to flip into support and bounced.
🎯$231🎯$280 🎯$310
Not financial advice
Amazon (AMZN) Price Action Outlook for Monday, December 6, 2025Amazon (AMZN) closed at $224.19 today, following a high of $225.36 and an open at $222.51. While the stock remains above the 21, 50, and 200 EMAs, signaling a generally bullish trend in the medium term, today’s price action suggests hesitation in the short term. Adding to this cautious outlook, the MACD shows a bearish crossover, which could confirm a potential slowdown or pullback if downward momentum continues into Monday.
Key Levels to Watch for Monday:
** Resistance at $225.36 : Today's high has established a near-term resistance level. If AMZN cannot break above this mark early in the session, it may continue to face selling pressure. A strong move and close above this level would be a positive sign for the bulls.
** Support at $222.51 (Open) : The open price from today could act as an immediate support level. A hold above this level would keep the bullish outlook intact. However, a break below could lead to a test of the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, which has recently acted as strong support.
** Fibonacci Levels : AMZN is struggling to close above the 38.2% Fib retracement around $228-$230, indicating resistance in this area. Breaking above this zone is crucial for resuming the bullish trend.
What to Expect:
* Bearish MACD Crossover : The MACD's bearish crossover indicates a potential shift in momentum to the downside. If this signal gains confirmation with continued price weakness on Monday, we may see a deeper retracement or sideways action.
* Bullish Scenario : If AMZN breaks above $225.36 and sustains momentum, it could push toward the next resistance levels and potentially retest $233.00, the previous high.
* Bearish or Consolidation Scenario : If AMZN fails to reclaim $225.36 and breaks below $222.51, the next move could test support near the 61.8% Fib level. A confirmed bearish MACD crossover would add weight to this scenario.
Key Indicators to Watch:
MACD Confirmation : Pay close attention to whether the MACD crossover leads to further downside momentum. This will be a crucial signal for determining the short-term trend.
RSI : The RSI remains below overbought conditions (70). A rising RSI would support bullish momentum, while a drop back toward neutral levels would indicate weakness.
Monday’s price action hinges on AMZN’s ability to reclaim $225.36 resistance and sustain momentum. The bearish MACD crossover introduces a cautionary note, suggesting a potential pullback or sideways action unless bulls regain control. A move above the 38.2% Fib retracement could confirm bullish continuation, while a failure to hold $222.51 may result in a deeper retracement.
Stay tuned for further updates as we monitor these key levels and indicators going into next week!
Nvidia or Broadcom? Who will be the winner ? How big is the custom chip market?
By 2027, the custom chip market is expected to reach $90 billion. What does this mean for Nvidia?
Nvidia vs. Custom Chips
In the custom chip (ASIC) sector, two major players, Broadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) and Marvell ( NASDAQ:MRVL ), have overshadowed Nvidia. Since the end of Q2, they have outperformed the tech giant by approximately 30% and 50%, respectively.
With tech giants like Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ), Google ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ), and Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) developing and accelerating the production of their own chips, the market has finally recognized the huge opportunities in custom chips.
How big is the custom chip market?
Based on comments from the two leading custom chip players, we estimate that by 2027, the custom chip market will grow to $90 billion, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 60%. Earlier this year, Marvell offered a more conservative forecast, predicting that the market will reach $75 billion by 2028, but with early customer growth suggesting further upside potential. Broadcom’s forecast is even more impressive, estimating the market could reach anywhere from $60 billion to $90 billion by 2027.
Both companies have strong platforms. Marvell’s biggest customers are Amazon and Microsoft, and after gaining deeper insight into their growth, they suggest Marvell’s market prediction might be conservative. Broadcom’s top clients include Google, Meta, and ByteDance, all of whom plan to shift to clusters of one million XPU units by FY2027. Reports also suggest that Broadcom has secured two additional customers (potentially Apple and OpenAI).
What does this mean for Nvidia?
Nvidia’s stock price is currently consolidating, and even when using enterprise value (EV)/EBITDA as a metric, its valuation is now below that of Marvell and Broadcom.
Source: Bloomberg,Spear Invest
Investors now expect Nvidia’s market share to significantly decline by 2027, leading to slower revenue growth. However, the market has underestimated two key factors:
The strength of CUDA.
The yearly product improvement cycle.
I believe CUDA holds a powerful advantage that will reduce the pressure on cloud service providers (CSPs) to promote custom chips at scale. Given that the cloud market accounts for about 50% of the total market, I believe that capturing half of this market between 2027 and 2030 would be a major win for custom chip providers.
Currently, the market assumes, based on comments from Broadcom’s CEO, that most CSP revenue will flow to custom chip vendors, but Broadcom’s assumption may be overly optimistic. Furthermore, whether custom chips can keep up with Nvidia’s yearly product launch cycle remains to be seen—Nvidia’s new products consistently show significant performance improvements with each generation. Our best estimate is that Nvidia’s competitors are still on an innovation cycle of about 1 to 2 years behind Nvidia.
Source: Bloomberg,Spear Invest
Nonetheless, the AI industry chain, especially in the medium to long term, will continue to benefit. For example, AI + Generative Content (AIGC) companies like Adobe ( NASDAQ:ADBE ) and Unity Software ( NYSE:U ), AI + Software companies like Palantir ( NASDAQ:PLTR ), AI + Insurance companies like AIX Inc. ( NASDAQ:AIFU ), and AI + Financial companies like Block ( NYSE:SQ ) will all benefit.
Amazon - The +150% All Time High Breakout!Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) is hugging the previous all time high:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Amazon has been moving sideways for almost four years, consolidating between support and the previous all time high. After retesting the resistance over and over again, it is just a matter of time until Amazon will break the previous all time high and start its next major bullish cycle.
Levels to watch: $190, $500
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
AMD Best Level to BUY/HOLD 300% gains SWING TRADE🔸Hello traders, today let's review recent price chart for AMD.
Well defined swings in progress, expecting further downside before
the tide finally turns for AMD bulls. Currently it's recommended to stay out.
🔸AMD is trailing behind NVDA massively, so eventually AMD will to the
mean reversion trade and start to catch up with NVDA, however currently
pullback/correction mode in progress.
🔸Well defined swings - 160 to 58 65% correction, then 58 to 210 280% gains,
210 to 75 represents 65% correction, 75 to 290 is a 280% pump.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: Bulls wait for correction to complete at/near 75 usd in January 2025 and get ready to BUY/HOLD low, this is a swing trade setup, so will take longer to hit target, patience required. final TP is 290 USD, 280% upside off the expected lows. good luck traders!
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Amazon (AMZN) Stock Price Surpassed $230 for the First TimeAmazon (AMZN) Stock Price Surpassed $230 for the First Time
On 12th November, while analysing Amazon (AMZN) stock chart, we:
→ drew two ascending channels (a long-term one marked in blue and a steeper one represented by black lines);
→ anticipated a test of the $200 level as part of a correction.
According to the AMZN chart, since then:
→ the price corrected with a test of the $200 level (indicated by an arrow), aided by the median line of the blue channel;
→ it continued to climb within the mentioned channels, reaching a new all-time high — this week, the price hit $233.
Positive market sentiment is driven, among other factors, by:
→ Amazon's strong earnings report for the previous quarter;
→ expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut, which helped the Nasdaq 100 index reach a new record, as we reported yesterday.
Can the price continue rising?
Technical analysis of Amazon’s stock chart today suggests this might be challenging because:
→ the price is near the resistance lines of both channels;
→ the RSI indicator is in the overbought zone, and you can spot a bearish divergence forming (a sign of weakening buyer momentum).
Given these arguments, the price could undergo a correction. If so, it might drop to the lower boundary of the short-term black channel.
According to TipRanks:
→ 45 out of 46 surveyed Wall Street analysts recommend buying AMZN stock;
→ on average, they predict AMZN’s price will reach $244 within 12 months.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AMZN: Are We Heading to $247 or Taking a Quick Dip First? Hey Mindbloome Family, here’s my take on Amazon (AMZN) right now:
1️⃣ If we break above $233, I think we’ll see a strong move up to $246–$247.
2️⃣ If we don’t break just yet, we could see a pullback to one of these levels first:
$225
$221
$215
From there, I’m still looking for a bounce back up to $246.
3️⃣ If we break below $215, that’s when we’ll need to pause and reassess the plan.
Wellness Tip: Don’t underestimate a good night’s sleep. Trading with a clear, rested mind makes all the difference—you’ll see the charts more clearly and make better decisions.
What’s your take—do we break through to $247, or are we dipping first? Let me know! If you want to chat more or dive deeper into this setup, check out my profile or send me a DM.
KRIS/MINDBLOOME EXCHANGE
TRADE WHAT YOU SEE
Amazon - This Could Be The Breakout Rally!Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) is creating a major breakout:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
With this monthly candle, Amazon is finally breaking above the previous all time highs and could therefore start the next major bullish cycle. After a 5 year consolidation, a confirmed breakout will lead to an unbelievable short squeeze, which could bring us all the way up to the top of the channel.
Levels to watch: $200, $500
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
The key is whether it can be supported around 224.93-228.97
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-------------------------------------
(AMZN 1M chart)
It is already showing an upward trend.
The point to watch is whether it can maintain the price by rising above the Fibonacci ratio 1 (238.57).
If it fails to rise, it is expected to fall to around 172.55-186.98.
-
(1W chart)
Since the BW indicator is maintained at the 100 point, even if the price rises, it will eventually show a downward trend.
Accordingly, the key is whether the price can be maintained above the Fibonacci ratio 1 (238.57).
If not, it is expected to touch the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1W chart) indicator.
If it falls further, it is necessary to check whether there is support near 176.77-188.07.
-
(1D chart)
The HA-High indicator is showing signs of being created at the 224.93 point.
Accordingly, if the HA-High indicator is created at the 224.93 point, the key is whether it can be supported near this point and rise above 228.97.
If it falls after the HA-High indicator is created, it is important whether it can touch the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator and rise.
If not, it is likely to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
-
When the StochRSI indicator falls and maintains in the overbought zone, if it shows resistance near 224.93, it is likely to lead to further decline.
If it leads to a decline,
1st: M-Signal on the 1D chart
2nd: M-Signal on the 1W chart
You need to check whether it can be supported and rise near the 1st and 2nd above.
Therefore, when it is confirmed to be supported in the 224.93-228.97 range, it is the time to buy.
The first sell period is near the Fibonacci ratio 1 (238.57).
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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