NZD\USD ShortThe downtrend that started from the level of 0.62178 continues.
The level 0.60475 could not be broken for the first time, after which the price bounced to the level 0.61476 on the four-hour timeframe. After unsuccessful attempts to overcome it, the price resumed its downward movement and stayed at 0.60985, after which it resumed its hike to 0.60475. This time the level was broken through and it seems that it will be possible to consolidate under it, which will mean the continuation of the downtrend. The first target is 0.59825 on the four-hour chart, the second target is 0.58715 on the daily chart.
Special attention should be paid to the CPI news released at 22:45 GMT.
Since there can be a strong volatility at the news release, I set a stoploss of 30 pips..... The entry was on the 15 minutes chart
Analitics
Analitics BTC#BTC 15m
We went into no-loss on the previous position, but the continuation of the fall remains relevant, the upward impulses act as nothing more than manipulation, since the price fails to gain a foothold behind significant highs.
The screenshot shows a liq line, it is now the main tool on which more experienced market players will manipulate.
Less experienced players in the market, when the price approaches the liq line, will open long positions and place their stop orders behind this line, initially the price may show a reaction from this line, but this will be nothing more than an illusion for growth, on which many positions of retail traders will become unprofitable , since it will be beneficial for the institutionalists, and as a result, the price will show downward momentum.
The more times we see a rebound, the more liquidity will accumulate there, but the result will be the same, this is a downward movement that will translate into a loss the positions of long traders who analyze based on information that is actually a manipulation tool.
Lateral movement in general forces you to be in one position for a long time, or is out of position, but we all understand that this is where you earn for waiting.
Analitics BTC#BTC 2h
At night, the price made an impulse rise, capturing liquidity and closing the imb, from supply zone 2, the downward movement continued.
Currently, the first zones for finding short positions is the bts 3m zone, from which the downward movement may continue.
If we do not see reactions in these zones, we should already look at the reaction in supply zone 3 (upper).
Liquidity at the bottom is simply not left, the price must one day go down, so we wait for reactions in the zones and then make a trade decision.
2 position in long. one private trading idea, the second open Buy 35120
Targets 35800 - 36380 - 37300 - 38150
Stop loss 34000
This position is very risky, but since we had a false breakout, and the price returned to the level that I described, the exit from the falling wedge, I decided to work long
All traders, please, don't forget for this⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️
I ask each of you to consider your own risk and money management. Do not trade with a large "X10-X100" and always place a stop loss.
Let's look globally - what are the targets for bitcoin? BTC/USDTHello dear friends.
At this time, let's take a golo look at the situation with bitcoin, and try to determine what the probability is to see the price of 90,000 for one bitcoin.
On this trading idea, I showed you the figure of price uncertainty - this is a "symmetric triangle"
Only professionals can trade such patterns, and those who determine the price of bitcoin - by selling it at the upper bounds, or by taking bitcoin - from "weak hands"
None of us can estimate 100% where the price will go, but we trade within the day. (and so far we are not bad at it)
I cannot show everything that is on this graph, but I will try to describe it in simple words.
This "symmetric tregolnik" formation can be traded only if the price (true breakout + price creaking, or better, when the price has rolled back to the support zone, or resistance in the event of a fall), you can enter a position defining where the price will go after the breakout of this triangle)
Analyzing the of the situation with bitcoin, we had such formations in 2013-2015. Look how they deceived everyone by making a big squeeze down, and bought all the positions for a further hike up. Then, for many traders, this squeeze meant a continuation of the fall, and everyone entered a short position, where they lost, lost and lost their "pennies".
If we look at it globally, then cryptocurrencies will be accepted into the world, the economy of the whole world should change.
I will not tell you that now you need to buy bitcoin, or sell it, but I want to say that if what I wrote to you in the previous trading idea takes place, as well as when they confirm going beyond the boundaries of this triangle, keep bitcoin up to this mark at 93500-97000
Because we are on one of the bullish formations in the global upward channel.
I will post it here under this trading idea.
In addition, if the price breaks outside this triangle, its correction will be the same as the price gap between the high and low points of this pattern.
Moreover, the price, no matter how strong the purchase of blocks, will be brought to such marks as - 18000-21500.
On which a quick purchase and return of the price to the initial position is possible.
Confirm "head and shoulders"? Falling further? BTC/USDTHello dear friends.
Let's assess the Bitcoin situation together now.
We will disassemble for 2 hours TF.
We have confirmation of the Head and Shoulders pattern.
Often - in 97% the price returns back to the "neck" line.
These are the marks on the chart:
35900-36750.
It is at this level that you must be extremely careful.
Why?
Because, we are forming a falling wedge, on an uptrend (for now).
If the price goes beyond this level, the price will be pulled to the level of 38500-39000 and the triangle will be broken upwards, to update 42000-45000.
For the next 3 days, f the resistance level is confirmed at the price marks: 35900-36750, bears will pull the price down. Get ready for it
I expect confirmation of this level, and the price down to the bottom.
But I am not a market maker, I am also mistaken, therefore, I described 2 scenarios to you, and indicated a strong level. Which will show you the direction of the price.
Be flexible in your trading, respect your risk and money management, trade with stop loss, and never trade on your convictions.
2017 was similar to this time of these events.
There is also another option - breaking the descending triangle downwards - if the 33800 mark is broken, definitely - a short position to continue the trend.
Bitcoin-100% fulfillment of the previous trading idea. BTC/USDTHello dear friends.
I would like to congratulate those who are again following my trading ideas.
Everything works out exactly 100%.
Level 37300-37700 - which I wrote about (it acted as a mirror level, and the price reached these marks)
According to my trading ideas, we also opened a long position from 36700 to 37600, and from these values, we opened a short position.
LINK TO PRIVATE TRADING IDEA BELOW, UNDER THIS TRADING IDEA.
I expect a decline to levels as high as 31,900-30,000 for one bitcoin.
We'll see
Wall Street Surprised by Dollar Tree NewsOn Tuesday, the news thundered, which surprised everyone, who has at least something to do with Wall Street. Dollar Tree stocks are falling.
At the moment, shares have fallen by 13%, which is an unprecedented loss for the company. Forecasts for the near future are the most disappointing. Nevertheless, the level of the falling is kept at the indicated level, which gives hope for an improvement of the situation, but will this hope be justified?
Today you can buy a share of this company for $1.08, which is a very low price. It was expected that in the same period, the value of the share will be at least $1.13. But the forecast wasn’t destined to come true.
An interesting fact is that both company networks (Dollar Tree and Family Dollar) increased sales by as much as 2%. But despite the joyful indicator, the situation is not so unambiguous, because in Family Dollar the margin fell. The products of these networks have some differences. For example, Family Dollar also sells goods at lower prices, which accounts for a significant share of the presented products. But be that as it may, the total net income decreased by 1.7% year on year, which makes us think.
Despite the fact that Dollar Trey isn’t so lucky this period, the revenue amounted to approximately $5.74 billion. At the same time, the expected revenue at better indicators should have amounted to $5.75 billion, which in fact isn’t such a big difference.
Recently, distribution costs have increased. Following the direct, obvious logic, we can understand that it was the increase in transportation prices that caused an increase in prices for goods. For the same reason, sales of goods that have lower margins have increased in order to patch up financial holes in other areas.
There have also been personnel shifts. The staff has been reduced, which isn’t a good sign. The company is forced to take drastic measures to stay in difficult times. However, in order to minimize financial losses and quickly return to the previous level, the company has everything that is needed.
But if we look at the Dollar Tree and its successes over the past year, then we will see that the company is developing quite rapidly. This year its shares rose 24%. There is a pretty good result. But how did they do it? The secret is very simple.
Dollar Tree investors supported all sorts of aggressive steps by the company, in order to maintain and increase the profit of the Family Dollar. Surprisingly, the aggressive strategy worked more than successfully, thanks to which we can observe tremendous growth in the company's shares. Some shops had to be closed, and some were rebranded, which benefited them. How did it happen? It attracted new customers and formed a new circle of interests that led to an increase in profits.
At the end of this quartile, the company has more than 7.800 locations. This number does not allow full rebranding, but the process is already running. The first steps definitely brought excellent results, so the company further plans to adhere to this strategy, hoping for improvements in its own position. And the company has every chance to achieve its goal, despite the recent fall in stocks, which was also caused by the aggressive policy of the company.
Surprisingly, the same strategy, under different circumstances, can lead to different results. It’s important to remember this when working on your own strategy. Nevertheless, it’s very difficult to predict the exact outcome in the modern market with its wars, because sometimes the income depends on factors that can hardly be predicted, so every businessman needs to be extremely vigilant. But all of us know that sometimes it’s impossible.
A quarterly forecast from the company has recently been released. This forecast can be called very optimistic because an increase in the value of the share is expected from $1.70 to $1.80. And yet, Wall Street had expected stock prices to be significantly higher. According to their forecasts, the share price should be $2.02. As it turns out, it will become known very soon, and therefore you just need to be patient and wait for the opportunity, because the current situation was very ambiguous, which means it is too early to draw conclusions.
And yet, in the fourth quarter of this year, an increase in the value of goods sold by $19 million is expected, which equals $0.06 per share.
And yet the main event happened today at 8:46 a.m. at the premarket. It was at this moment that the shares of the company fell by 13%.
Will the company continue to pursue the aggression strategy and will it help overcome difficulties? Will it continue to fall, and can one find profit in this fall? It’ll become obvious for most businessmen very soon. But while all this is only in the process, the most astute take risks and win, while others read about how others have achieved success.
Is the market controlled by bears?Last week, Ethereum held much better than many other top cryptocurrencies, and previously traded in the side corridor ($ 178 - $ 192), but buyers still could not go above it or even stay in it.
The price moved down and broke through the formed support level of this side corridor ($ 178 - $ 192). Now the price is trading under the support level of $ 178, which is now a resistance level.
During the breakdown of the level of $ 178, we do not observe any active purchases, volumes were minimal, which does not play into the hands of the bullish scenario. In this regard, it is now a priority to consider sales, look for signals to sell in the area of $ 178 / $ 179.
The bullish scenario can be considered after a good upwards impulse back to the area of $ 180 - $ 182 and fixing the price there, so far the situation is on the side of the bears.
BTCUSD analyticsmy things
At the moment the pair is on the flat
Now there's increased liquidity in the area of long stops
Sales should be sought after breaking the resistance line
In general, my opinion on the pair is still bearish
The bullish mood is still weakly
I'll look for a long in the price region 9400- 9600, after the breakdown of the resistance line in this zone
Long's targets: expecting going to the price zone 11200 -12200(next zone of resistance)
#BTC just thinking out loud is in a bullish trend, respectively, the longer the price consolidates and does not decrease, the more likely it is that this correction will be completed as high and faster as possible.
For example, with a bullish trend at 1W Time Frame, according to statistics, the price never fixed below the moving average MA-21 (false breakdowns are possible), and tomorrow this MA-21 will be oriented at the level of 9270. Associated factors for growth: bullish divergence also at 1w Time frame and declining volumes during the entire corrective movement
Most likely there will be a false breakdown of this moving one, an additional large number of traders will confirm their assumptions in the movement of BTC to $ 7000-8000 and begin to enter Short, and after that their positions will be knocked out by a serious upward movement ...
NZDUSD main targets, lvls and zones A month ago, the NZD did the same thing, 2 waves of 100p down and a huge wave up.
I will look for longs from the zone 0.654 - 0.656 with a target to 0.677
Also we have huge buy zone D1 0.648 - 0.656
If someone does not think that NZDUSD is walking on the waves take a look at the right side of the chart.
Target 1 - 0.67
Target 2 - 0.677
Main target - 0.69