Analyse
XAUUSD is still on bullish rally In our previous commantary we mentioned have 2930 on mark.
As we have closed our buy orders at 2928 and
our entry was 2908.
What possible scenario do we have?
At moment selling is limited, we are expecting a little correction at 2930-28 ,where we have possible buying options till 2950 first 2963 in extension.
On the other hand, if 2930 invalidated then our buying will be invalid and we'll wait for the structural support at 2920.
Below 2920 we have 2880 on mark.
Closing my buy orders at 2928(200 Pips)
XAUUSD Closing my buy orders at 200 pips profit.
As discussed throughout my Today's commentary.
I have engaged buying order at 2908 and my optimal Target was 2945 in extension as I closed my first attempt at 2928 (200 pips profit)which is very impressive
Also, I have closed my re-Buy order ($2918 to 2928) on a fine 100 pips .
Tomorrow we'll agin buy after the correction
Gold📌 🔻 Sell Scenario (If Price Stabilizes Below 2900)
Entry: Below 2885
Stop Loss: Above 2905
Target 1: 2855
Target 2: 2830
Target 3: 2800
Success Probability: 75% (High probability due to overbought conditions and strong resistance)
Summary
✅ Key Resistance Zone: 2942.65 - 2952.88
✅ Key Support Zone: 2850 - 2825
✅ Primary Scenario: Price correction towards 2850 - 2825 before continuing the uptrend
✅ Alternative Scenario: If 2942 breaks, a rise towards 2975 - 3000 is likely.
Gold📉Probability of a Drop from 2912:
🔹 In lower timeframes (15m to 1h): 70% probability of a downward correction at least to 2887.
🔹In higher timeframes (4H to Daily): 50% probability of a deeper decline towards 2860.
🔹 If 2912 is broken and price stabilizes above it:** The probability of an upward move to 2940 increases.
📌 Summary:
If the price breaks and stabilizes above 2912, the upward trend is likely to continue. However, if it gets rejected at this level, a downward correction towards 2887 and even 2860 may occur.
XAUUSDUnder the current conditions, reaching 2840 requires a strong candlestick breakout above the 2830 resistance.
Probability of reaching 2840 today:
Given the resistance at 2830 and the approach of high-volatility sessions (such as New York), the probability of reaching 2840 remains **70%**, provided a valid breakout occurs.
Recommendation:
**Key Levels:**
- A breakout above **2830** with strong bullish candles signals continuation toward **2840**.
- In case of a pullback, watch the **2816-2820** support zone for potential rebounds.
**Trade Management:**
- If in profit, use a **trailing stop** around **2820** to protect gains.
- A breakout of **2830** may provide an opportunity to **add buy positions**.
- If market conditions change or new price action signals emerge, the analysis can be updated accordingly.
Ray review analysis: can we wait for the second wave of rise?hello friends
Due to the good price growth of this currency, it has been placed in a range, and with the breaking of that range, a double bottom pattern has been created on the ceiling of the range, which can be expected to move up to the specified limits.
We can enter into the transaction with capital and risk management.
*Trade safely with us*
ICT BASIC XAUUSD H1 JAN 29 2025 - JAN 30 2025Like in the picture, The Candle Has been made change of :
structure by created MSS(Market Structur Shift)
and after that created Buy Side Liquidity
FVG Has been Set like in that chart, and the price it would go down when price make touch to FVG or OB
and the price will goes to Sell Side Liquidity
Ethereum 1 hr analysis 🚨 Ethereum 1 Hour Analysis 🚨
Here’s what we’re watching:
📈 Upside Targets:
• TP1:3500
• TP2: 3800
📉 Downside Targets:
• TP1: 3050
• TP2: 2850
So we have to watch out for $3350-$3390 level. If ETH stays below then you can target downside targets and if above then you can target above levels mentioned as TP(take profit)
Keep an eye on key levels and trade smart! 💹
What’s your take? Drop a comment below and share this with your trading crew! 🚀
Bollinger Bands — Enhanced Classic Tool for Technical AnalysisBollinger Bands — Enhanced Classic Tool for Technical Analysis
Bollinger Bands are a classic technical analysis tool designed to identify short-term trends and gauge market volatility. We’ve upgraded their functionality to make them even more intuitive and precise for trading decisions.
What’s New in Our Bollinger Bands:
Color-Coded Trend Identification
The band color automatically shifts with short-term trend reversals. This allows traders to quickly spot trend direction and decide when to enter trades.
Band Width
Reflects current volatility levels and price momentum. Narrow bands signal consolidation (accumulation/distribution), while wide bands indicate high volatility and potential trend initiation.
Dynamic Support & Resistance Levels
The outer bands, calculated as standard deviations from the moving average, act as dynamic reference points for entry and exit levels.
Gradient Zones
The bands are divided into four gradient zones, highlighting optimal areas for position sizing. Buy near the lower zones, sell near the upper zones—simple yet effective.
How to Use Bollinger Bands in Trading:
1. Identify Short-Term Trends
Bullish Trend: Green bands signal a bullish market.
Bearish Trend: Red bands indicate bearish sentiment.
2. Assess Volatility & Choose Strategies
Wide Bands: High volatility, strong trend initiation. Consider breakout strategies.
Medium Bands: Range-bound markets. Trade bounces from band boundaries.
Narrow Bands: Consolidation (accumulation/distribution), often preceding strong price impulses.
Pro Tip: A sharp band contraction often precedes explosive price movements.
Volatility Assessment Examples
High Volatility + Trend:
Wide band expansion signals a strong bullish trend (green bands).
Medium Volatility + Range:
Moderate band width and frequent color shifts suggest choppy markets—ideal for boundary bounce trades.
Low Volatility + Breakouts:
A narrow band breakout (green bands) confirms a strong bullish impulse.
Trading Bounces from Band Boundaries
Prices tend to revert to the moving average (midline). This makes Bollinger Bands a powerful tool for swing traders:
Lower Band (Support): Oversold zone—consider long positions.
Upper Band (Resistance): Overbought zone—consider short positions.
Bounce trades work best in sideways markets or unclear trends. Avoid bounce strategies during band expansion (new trend formation).
Example Trades
Short on Upper Band Rejection:
Price stalls at the upper band in a bearish macro trend, offering a high-probability short entry.
Long on Lower Band Rebound:
Price bounces from the lower band in a bullish macro trend, confirming a long opportunity.
Additional Confirmation Tips
Combine Bollinger Bounce signals with:
Midas Multi-Indicator: Whale activity detection, trend ribbon reversals.
Oscillator Overextension: RSI, Stochastic, or MACD divergence.
Price Momentum: Volume spikes or candlestick patterns.
Refine entries by aligning band signals with broader market context and multi-timeframe analysis.
XAUUSD 1hr chart showing selling opportunity must read caption XAUUSD is showing clear signs of a potential selling opportunity, with market conditions and technical indicators pointing towards a possible bearish movement in gold prices. Traders are advised to closely monitor key levels and patterns that reinforce this trend, as the current setup suggests a favorable environment for initiating sell positions. With global economic factors and technical analysis aligning to support this outlook, now might be an ideal time to prepare for a well-timed sell trade in gold, maximizing the potential for profit as the market unfolds.
XAUUSD - Push it to the Limit?!Happy (Asia session) Wednesday Y'all!
I am back with my first video of the new year & I'm really excited to start publishing videos again for y'all...
Let's dive in!
On the daily we are in a HUGE correction/ascending channel. So what am I looking for?
Bullish: I explained it in the video lol but a quick recap - push down to the 15m LQZ then push up to the 3rd touch of my trendline OR the 4H LQZ - we'll see how price shapes up
Bearish:
I want to see price come down to that same LQZ - push through AGGRESIVELY - followed by some consolidation in the form of a flag. It is on the flag that I am interested in looking for an entry
EZ-PZ y'all textbook trade! Just gotta be patient and actually WAIT FOR YOUR SETUP!! I will most likely post an update/recap so be on the lookout for that!
I hope this was informative and helped even just 1 of you traders out!! Thanks for watching!!
Happy Trading - Peace!
XAUUSD TODAY'S CHART IN 4H TFHello Guy's Welcome To Another Day Of TRADING
Here we are mapping chart of XAUUSD ( GOLD ) in 4-Hour TF
Opinion : The setup looks promising for bullish traders, but:
Confirmation Needed: Wait for a breakout and close above the resistance zone for confirmation.
SUPPORT AREA. 2704
TARGET IS 2721
2ND TARGET IS 2743
Risk Management: Be cautious of a potential rejection at the resistance, leading to a pullback toward the channel's lower boundary.
XAUUSD TODAY MAPPING IN 1H TF CHECK IT GUYS Hello Guy's Welcome To Another Day Of TRADING
Here we are mapping chart of XAUUSD ( GOLD ) in 1-Hour TF
Trend Structure:
The chart displays a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicating an uptrend. Price swings and suggest a bullish pattern.
Conclusion:
The setup looks bullish, with a breakout and retest pattern signaling a possible upward move. However, confirming momentum and watching for reactions near resistance levels is crucial for a clearer trade signal. Let me know in the comments section for more highlights!
Market Analisys: S&P 500SP:SPX
In recent months, the S&P 500 has experienced notable fluctuations:
1. All-Time High : The index reached a record high of 6,099.97 points on December 6, 2024.
2. Correction : It then faced a correction, dropping to a low of 5,805.65 points by January 8, 2025.
3. Current Performance : As of January 14, 2025, the index closed at 5,842.91 points, reflecting a slight 0.11% increase compared to the previous day.
4. Technical Outlook : Analysts highlight potential weakness, with the next support level identified at 5,771.5 points.
In summary, the SP:SPX has exhibited volatility, peaking in December 2024 and entering a correction phase in early 2025.
Let's analyze in detail the various phases that have led us to this point – starting from October 27, 2023, the last moment with a significant downturn.
Since then, we’ve seen an increase of about 50%, with a maximum drawdown of 10%. This represents a more than positive performance. Prior to this, we experienced a brief decline lasting around 90 days, with a drop of approximately 11%.
Subsequent rallies have generally been strong, although they have been shorter and more contained. In total, we’ve experienced 5 rallies and 5 pullbacks. Currently, we are in a downtrend.
As mentioned earlier, except for the first rally, the most significant one, recent bull runs have been consistently interrupted by unwelcome news, data that does not meet investor expectations, and announcements from the FED and ECB indicating that interest rate cuts will be smaller than anticipated. All of this has brought us to the current situation.
We are now facing a maximum decline of about 5-6%, with a bounce on the trendline that has been guiding us since October 2023. This is all happening as inflation data is released today. The market seems to have entered a phase where it seeks further confirmations from the economy, and the technical chart is showing exactly that. Additionally, we have several other key economic data releases scheduled for this week.
What do you think the market’s next move will be?
Market Analysis: NVDAMarket Analysis: NVIDIA
Over the past three to four months, NVIDIA Corporation ( NASDAQ:NVDA NVDA) has demonstrated solid performance, with its stock price increasing by approximately 4.96%. This steady growth reflects the company’s strong position in the technology sector, driven by its dominance in GPU production, AI advancements, and cloud computing.
The release of its latest financial results and continued demand for AI-related technologies have kept investor confidence high. However, market volatility and broader concerns in the tech sector may have tempered the pace of its gains. Overall, NVDA remains a key player to watch, especially as AI adoption accelerates globally.
Why has the title been stuck in the same range for over 90 days?
Let's always keep in mind that NVDA, from the low it reached in 2022, has now experienced an increase of about 1200%, so a sideways phase is completely normal, if not expected!
Let’s take a look at the chart since May 25, 2023 (599 days // 317%)
We can observe how the uptrend has always been accompanied by a very important trendline, which has now been retested and invalidated, all marked by a particularly unfavorable signal: a candle that opens higher, setting a new all-time high, and closes in the negative.
Nonetheless, NVDA has consistently exhibited a similar pattern – large uptrends, leaving gaps open almost everywhere, and long sideways phases, which usually lead to a breakout driven by earnings announcements.
Let’s look at the examples the market provides us:
We have the first upward move (1st), driven by earnings results that cause a gap up of about 20%, followed by a wide trading range in which the price remains trapped. Later (2nd), a strong bullish phase, and finally another sideways phase (3rd), all with very wide ranges!
Now, the current zone is a difficult one to analyze because initially it seemed to be a bullish zone, but now appears to be more of a consolidation…
So, the situation we find ourselves in now is another moment for a buy or a trend change? Let us know your thoughts in the comments!