GBP/CAD - Triangle Breakout (19.05.2025)The GBP/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.8651
2nd Resistance – 1.8685
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Analysis
XAU/USD Pivot area with possibe Bullish move.Currently Gold is at a Pivotal area between 3153.46 and 3109.10 , this area holds a pivot turning point fot Gold next move , where we could head towards 3280 and 3407 for upward targets.
However failure to hold this area could send the price towards 2981.86 and 2855 for bearish Targets.
GBP/USD - Triangle Breakout (16.05.2025)The GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.3389
2nd Resistance – 1.3441
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btc . recap . w3 . maymon to eager . wait mon to show its hand - cw!
. early LONG compound because of the bullish outlook
- tp2 108462
tue didn't ride momentum - blind bullish
. tp1 HIT
. missed SHORT at 10pm (UTC+2)
- should have traded the momentum of mon looking to form support during the week later . for more compound LONG
wed mid of range . cw
. no trade zone
thu
. waiting for run of aLow during ny
. compound LONG - 101485
. tp1 HIT
fri didnt catch enough upward momentum
. tp1 HIT
. last limit order for bullish continuation . tpo - 102862.5
wknd
. tp1 for weekly LONG idea finally hit
. duration 5d 22h
. +4.33%
conclusion :
trade what you see, go with momentum, but have a narrative.
outlook :
america downgraded from AAA to AA+ . People will turn hardcore bearish, once the price starts falling. this could be the trigger to find the long awaited drop - while having retail call out a bearmarket . massive potential here, to both sides. wOpen and monday full data (while keeping an close eye on tpo and footprint charts), are key .
XAUUSD GOLD Just Grabbed liquidity Below a key low analysis Full Guide: How to Use COT Data for Trading XAUUSD (Gold)
1. What is COT Data?
The Commitment of Traders (COT) report is a weekly publication by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). It shows the aggregate positioning of different types of traders in the futures markets.
For XAUUSD (Gold), you’ll look at the Gold futures (COMEX) section.
2. Key Trader Categories in COT Report
1. Commercials (Hedgers):
Typically big institutions or producers like mining companies.
They use futures to hedge exposure, not speculate.
Usually short during rallies and long when price is low.
2. Non-Commercials (Large Speculators):
Hedge funds, money managers.
Considered the "smart money." Full Guide: How to Use COT Data for Trading XAUUSD (Gold)
1. What is COT Data?
The Commitment of Traders (COT) report is a weekly publication by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). It shows the aggregate positioning of different types of traders in the futures markets.
For XAUUSD (Gold), you’ll look at the Gold futures (COMEX) section.
---
2. Key Trader Categories in COT Report
1. Commercials (Hedgers):
Typically big institutions or producers like mining companies.
They use futures to hedge exposure, not speculate.
Usually short during rallies and long when price is low.
2. Non-Commercials (Large Speculators):
Hedge funds, money managers.
Considered the "smart money."
Follow trends and often drive major moves.
3. Nonreportables (Retail/Small Traders):
Smaller traders, often contrarian indicators.
Not always consistent with price direction.
---
3. Where to Find COT Data
CFTC Website
Tools like:
Tradingster.com
BarChart.com
COTbase.com
Look for "Legacy" or "Disaggregated" COT reports for Gold - COMEX.
---
4. How to Read the COT Data for Gold
Key Metrics:
Longs/Shorts: Number of contracts held.
Net Positions: Longs minus Shorts.Changes WoW: Increase/decrease in positions compared to the prior week.
Example Insight:
If Non-Commercials are heavily net long, and reaching historical highs, market may be overbought.
If Commercials increase shorts significantly, they may be preparing for a price decline.
A divergence between price action and COT data often signals potential reversal.
---
5. Using COT for Gold Trading (XAUUSD)A. Trend Confirmation
Rising net long positions by non-commercials = bullish confirmation.
Decreasing net long or rising shorts = weakening trend or reversal.
B. Reversal Spotting
Extremes in positioning (e.g., record longs by speculators) often precede reversals.
Look for non-commercials reducing longs while commercials increase shorts—potential top.
C. Liquidity Grabs and COT
If gold grabs liquidity (stop hunts) and COT shows heavy speculative positioning, that could be a smart money trap.
A strong bullish reversal after liquidity grab with increasing net longs confirms a momentum shift.
---
6. How to Combine COT with Technical Analysis
Use COT to validate or question what you see on the chart.
Example Setup:
Chart: Gold drops below key support (liquidity grab).
COT: Non-commercials increase longs that week.
Conclusion: Smart money bought the dip — potential for bullish reversal.
Combine with:
Market structure
Volume
Sentiment tools
Price action (e.g., bullish engulfing, break of structure)
---
7. Limitations and Tips
Lagging Data: COT is released every Friday for data on Tuesday.
Use it for context and macro positioning, not for intraday trades.
Look at weekly or monthly trends, not daily.
Best used alongside price action and other confirmation signals.
---
Conclusion
COT data is a powerful tool for understanding who is behind the move in gold. By tracking the positioning of major players, you can:
Confirm trends
Spot early signs of reversal
Align your trades with institutional momentum
USD/JPY - H1 - Channel Breakout (17.05.2025) The Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 142.40
2nd Support – 140.17
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Gold Price Surge Will This Be the Catalyst for the Next Breakout💥 Gold Price Surge: Will This Be the Catalyst for the Next Breakout? | Trading Plan for Today 📊
📊 Market Overview:
✔️ Gold (XAU/USD) has shown a strong recovery following significant geopolitical and economic developments over the weekend. Key factors driving this rally include:
✔️ Putin’s Rejection of Peace Talks: If the conflict intensifies, we may see a surge in demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
✔️ US Credit Downgrade: Rising concerns over US debt and bond yields could drive more investors back into gold.
✔️ Trump’s Tariff Threat: Although less aggressive than before, Trump’s volatility still poses risks to market stability, with gold remaining a key hedge.
✔️ These combined factors have driven a gap up of over 20 points during the early Asia session. Should these issues remain unresolved, gold could be set for a strong move back toward its previous All-Time High (ATH).
📉 Technical Analysis:
✔️ The chart is showing an increasingly bullish setup. EMA 13 has crossed above both EMA 34 and EMA 200 on the M30 chart, suggesting that the market is primed for a breakout.
✔️ We’re seeing the potential for a $100–$200 rally per ounce, should the bullish momentum persist.
✔️ Given the current market volatility, geopolitical events could cause sharp price movements. A breakout of the current trendline may indicate that we are witnessing a retest before the next significant surge.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch:
🔻 Support Levels: 3204, 3193, 3186, 3174, 3163
🔺 Resistance Levels: 3254, 3277, 3288
💰 Trading Strategy for Today:
✅ BUY Scalp: 3194 – 3196
🔴 Stop-Loss (SL): 3190
✅ Take-Profit (TP): 3200 → 3210 → 3220 → 3230
✅ BUY Zone: 3186 – 3184
🔴 Stop-Loss (SL): 3180
✅ Take-Profit (TP): 3190 → 3195 → 3200 → 3210 → 3220 → 3230
✔️ SELL Zone: 3287 – 3289
🔴 Stop-Loss (SL): 3293
✅ Take-Profit (TP): 3285 → 3280 → 3285 → 3280 → 3270
💎 Good Luck! Stay tuned for more updates, and trade wisely! 📈
Critical Reversal or Breakdown? | XAU/USD at Make-or-Break Zone📉 Chart Overview:
Instrument: XAU/USD (assumed from chart context)
Timeframe: 4H or Daily (based on candlestick size)
Indicators Used:
📏 EMA 50 (Red): 3,247.86
📏 EMA 200 (Blue): 3,221.42
🔍 RSI (14): Currently at 45.90 (below midline, showing weak momentum)
🔎 Key Zones:
🧱 Support Zone: ~3,180 – 3,220
Price is currently sitting on this key demand zone.
Price previously bounced here sharply ➡️ indicating buyer interest.
📦 Resistance Block: ~3,260 – 3,280
Short-term resistance, price has been repeatedly rejected from here.
🎯 Target Zone: ~3,420 – 3,460
If price breaks out from the support-resistance squeeze, this is the potential bullish target 🎯.
🧭 EMA Analysis:
EMA 50 is still above EMA 200 ➡️ Golden Cross formation (medium-term bullish bias) ✅
However, price is currently below both EMAs, signaling short-term weakness ❌
📉 Bearish Scenario (📍Blue Arrow Down):
If price breaks below the support zone at ~3,180, we could see a sharp drop toward the next support at ~3,032 🔻.
RSI is trending down near 40, close to oversold territory ⚠️
🚀 Bullish Scenario (📈 Blue Arrow Up):
A successful retest and bounce from this support area (currently forming a rounded bottom 🥄) could lead to a bullish move toward the target zone.
This is further supported by the potential RSI bounce from the 40 area, signaling renewed momentum 🔋.
✅ Bias & Conclusion:
Neutral-to-Bullish Bias 🤝: As long as the price holds above the major support zone (~3,180), buyers have a chance to reclaim higher levels.
Look for confirmation breakout above the local resistance (~3,260) for a move toward 3,400+ 🚀.
A breakdown below support would invalidate the bullish thesis and target 3,030 instead 📉.
🛠️ Trading Plan (not financial advice!):
Long Entry: On bullish breakout & retest of ~3,260 ✅
Stop-Loss: Below ~3,180 ⚠️
Target: ~3,420 – 3,460 🎯
#XRP #XRPUSD #XRPUSDT #Ripple #Analysis #Eddy#XRP #XRPUSD #XRPUSDT #Ripple #Analysis #Eddy
I have identified the important supply and demand zones of the higher timeframe for you.
This analysis is based on a combination of different styles, including the volume style with the ict style.
Based on your strategy and style, get the necessary confirmations for this analysis to enter the trade.
Don't forget about risk and capital management.
The responsibility for the transaction is yours and I have no responsibility for your failure to comply with your risk and capital management.
💬 Note: Important liquidity is marked on the chart. Be careful of liquidity hunting. In my opinion, the important entry point for buying spot and long futures is at 1.0987$, and it will most likely be a sniper entry. The first target from the specified point will be $4 and the second target will be $10.
Be successful and profitable.
AUDJPY Long: Buy the Dip into Trendline + Seasonal AUD Surge🔹 Pair: AUD/JPY
🔹 Timeframe: 4H
🔹 Direction: Long
🔹 Status: Retesting Trendline Support
🔹 Entry Zone: 93.20–93.40 (Live Entry Area)
⸻
📊 Macro & Fundamental Confluence
🇦🇺 AUD – Bullish
• Strong Seasonality: Historically bullish May 19 – June 10.
• Conditional Score Rise: From 21 → 24 = Positive momentum shift.
• Dovish CB, But Risk-On: Supports carry trade flows into AUD.
• Macro View: Rebalancing inflation & trend recovery, AUD outperforming.
🇯🇵 JPY – Bearish
• BoJ Hawkish Talk, Dovish Action: Delayed inflation targets (to 2027).
• Score Flat: Minor rise (11 → 12), showing underperformance.
• Risk-On Mood: With VIX under 20, safe-haven demand fading.
• Macro Lag: JPY weakest G7 performer year-to-date.
🧠 Confluences Supporting the Trade
✅ Seasonal AUD strength
✅ Fundamental divergence: AUD strong, JPY weak
✅ Risk-on regime (favoring carry trades like AUDJPY)
✅ Trendline respected since April (bullish market structure)
✅ Support zone at 93.00–93.30 area
⸻
📈 Technical Setup
• Entry Zone: 93.20–93.40
• Stop Loss: 92.08 (below structure and ascending trendline)
• Take Profit:
• TP1: 95.40 (resistance zone)
• TP2: 96.00 (supply zone retest)
• Risk:Reward: ~1.8 – 2.2 depending on final entry
📌 Execution Notes
Watching for candle closure confirmation above 93.50.
Break below 92.08 invalidates the bullish bias.
This setup combines macro divergence, seasonal strength, and clean 4H market structure.
⸻
💬 Are you trading AUDJPY this week?
Drop your thoughts below ⬇️
US10Y Technical Breakdown – Post-Moody’s DowngradeMoody’s has downgraded the US credit rating for the first time since 2011, citing rising debt levels and long-term fiscal challenges.
This move sends a clear warning signal about America’s fiscal path and adds fresh uncertainty to markets already navigating interest rates, inflation, and geopolitical risks.
Focus on the US 10-Year Treasury Yield as the market’s pulse on sovereign risk, inflation expectations, and future borrowing costs. Tracking its medium-term trend will provide crucial clues on market sentiment and risk appetite.
Medium-Term Market Analysis
(6-12 Months)
1. Structural Fiscal Risks
This downgrade highlights growing concerns over the US debt trajectory and political gridlock around spending and debt ceilings.
It’s less about an immediate crisis, more about long-term sustainability.
2. Rising Yields and Market Volatility
The 10-year Treasury yield could move higher, beyond 4.60% we could see rates possibly testing previous resistance of 4.80% (Jan 2025) or 5.00% (Oct 2023).
Higher yields mean increased borrowing costs, which can pressure interest-sensitive sectors like tech and real estate and add volatility to equities.
3. Federal Reserve’s Tough Balancing Act
With bond yields edging up, the Fed faces a dilemma: delaying cuts further could risk inflation climbing higher.
However, this downgrade raises the likelihood that the Fed could keep rates higher for longer than many investors expect.
4. Dollar and Capital Flow Shifts
While a credit downgrade may initially pressure the US dollar, its safe-haven status remains strong.
Global capital could increasingly look to alternatives like emerging markets or gold, leading to shifts in international financial flows.
Perspective
While Moody’s downgrade is a serious signal, it’s important to consider:
1) Political Leverage: Sometimes, rating agencies’ decisions can influence political negotiations. This downgrade may add pressure on US lawmakers to reach fiscal compromises. It’s a tool, not necessarily a verdict.
2) US Dollar & Debt Demand Resilience: Despite concerns, US Treasury securities remain the world’s primary safe asset, with global demand still robust. This could temper yield spikes and limit fallout.
Some could view the downgrade as “priced in” to a degree, given ongoing debt ceiling battles and past political brinkmanship.
If true, markets may react less dramatically than feared.
Watch
US 10-Year Yield: Key indicator to watch for shifts in risk sentiment and inflation expectations.
Equities: Prepare for increased volatility; consider defensive sectors and value plays.
Credit Markets: Monitor for widening spreads as risk aversion grows.
Policy Signals: Fed communications and US political developments will be critical catalysts.
This Moody’s downgrade isn’t just a headline, it’s a medium-term signal to recalibrate risk and position for a more uncertain fiscal backdrop.
$REZ Reversal in Motion – Eyes on the Next Wave UpAMEX:REZ reversed major resistance into support upon coming out of a downtrend.
We are currently looking for a pullback towards the 0.618 Fib level at 0.015 before the next wave up.
The market structure is still bullish, and the chart is priming for an explosive breakout into $0.023+.
Keep alert and observe that level.👀
DYOR, NFA
USD/CHF Bullish Bounce Alert (4H) — Demand Zone Rejection in PlaBuyers Stepping In — Clean Swing Setup Ahead!
USD/CHF is giving us a classic demand zone retest entry on the 4H chart! After a strong Break of Structure (BOS) and multiple Change of Character (CHoCH) confirmations, price dipped into the refined demand zone and is now showing early signs of bullish momentum. With confluence stacking up, this setup is a solid candidate for swing traders aiming for premium RR!
Key Technical Highlights :
◾ Zone: Demand Zone @ 0.8350–0.8360 holding strong support.
◾ Market Structure: Bullish — BOS confirmed + CHoCH + Equal Lows (EDL) swept.
◾ Entry Pattern: W-formation building at the zone — bullish continuation expected.
◾ Volume Profile: High interest near current price zone adds confidence.
◾ Risk Management: Tight SL with wide upside targets — excellent RR ratio.
Trade Setup:
Entry: 0.8360 (on retest of demand zone)
Stop Loss: 0.8233 (below demand and liquidity grab area)
Take Profit 1: 0.8574 (first key resistance zone)
Take Profit 2: 0.8842 (major supply zone — swing target)
Risk-Reward: Up to 1:3 if hold to TP2
Pro Tip:
Watch for a bullish engulfing or 15m/30m confirmation at the demand zone before entry. Patience pays when the market respects structure — don’t chase, let it come to your price.
Like, comment your thoughts, and follow me for more high-probability setups!
Let’s grow together and stay sharp in the markets!
GBP/JPY Bearish Breakdown Alert (1H) — Double Setup Opportunity!🔻 Sellers Ready to Strike — Two Trades to Watch! 🔻
🧠 Technical Breakdown : GBP/JPY is primed for a bearish move on the 1H chart after a Flag and Pole pattern breakdown within an uptrend channel! The price at 191.406 has rejected higher levels, and we’re now eyeing a pullback to the resistance zone for our short entries. Sellers are ready to drive this pair down to our target area!
📍 Key Insights:
◾ Pattern: Flag and Pole Breakdown — strong bearish reversal signal.
◾ Resistance Zone: 193.00-194.00 — key area for retest before the drop.
◾ Support Target: 187.60-187.65 — our take-profit zone.
◾ Breakdown Momentum: Price failure at 191.406 sets the stage for a bearish wave.
🎯 Trade Setups:
🔴 1st Trade Setup :
- Entry: 193.00 (on retest of resistance zone)
- Stop Loss: 195.00 (above the resistance for safety)
- Take Profit: 187.60 (key support zone)
🔴 2nd Trade Setup:
- Entry: 194.30 (higher end of resistance zone retest)
- Stop Loss: 196.40 (above the next swing high for protection)
- Take Profit: 187.65 (targeted support level)
⚠ Pro Tip: Wait for the price to pull back and retest the 193.00-194.00 resistance zone on the 1H chart — this is your prime entry window! Look for bearish confirmation like a rejection candle and volume increase to validate the move toward 187.60-187.65.
🔥 Final Thoughts: GBP/JPY is set for a bearish surge with this Flag and Pole breakdown! With two setups targeting 187.60 and 187.65, we’re ready to capitalize on this drop. Let’s nail this trade and secure those pips — trade smart and manage your risk! 💥
📣 Like, comment, follow me — I give you more ideas! 🚀
AUDCAD Long: Riding Aussie Strength vs Weak Loonie 🔹 Pair: AUD/CAD
🔹 Timeframe: 4H
🔹 Direction: Long
🔹 Strategy: Trend Continuation + Macro Confluence
🔹 Trade Active: 📍 0.8945 (CMP)
📊 Fundamental Bias
🇦🇺 AUD – Bullish
• Seasonal Surge: Historically strong from May 19 to June 10.
• Conditional Score Gain: AUD rose from 21 → 24 (momentum improving).
• Macro View: Inflation stabilizing, dovish stance offset by improving sentiment.
• VIX < 20: Risk-on conditions favor AUD.
🇨🇦 CAD – Bearish
• Flat Conditional Score: No improvement (2 → 2).
• Hawkish CB but Weak Data: CPI softening, trade risks persist.
• Global Sentiment: Oil stagnation + cautious BoC tone = headwinds for CAD.
⸻
🧠 Confluence Summary
✅ AUD macro + seasonal strength
✅ CAD remains fundamentally weak
✅ Risk-on supports commodity currencies
✅ 4H trendline support holding
⸻
🖼️ Technical Setup
• Entry: 0.8945
• Stop Loss: 0.8890 (below ascending trendline + support zone)
• Take Profit: 0.9036 (prior resistance + TP1)
• Risk:Reward: ~1.67
🟠 Optional Target: 0.9045 for extended move.
📌 Outlook
I’m bullish on AUDCAD for the week of May 19–23, supported by:
• Seasonal patterns
• Risk tone
• CAD stagnation
• Clear trend structure
Will look to trail SL as price closes above 0.8975. Clean invalidation below 0.8890.
⸻
💬 What’s your bias on AUD this week?
Drop a comment & let’s discuss 📉📈
Hims is OVERBOUGHT Market Context ✨
NYSE:HIMS | Current Price: $42.00
1-Month Move: +17.5% (from $35.75)
1-Year Move: +68.2% (from $25.00)
Year High/Low: $43.50/$24.80
Technicals
RSI: ~75.8 (overbought )
Moving Averages: Above 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day MAs (strong uptrend, but overextended )
MACD: Bearish divergence forming (momentum fading, potential reversal )
Trade Setup
Direction: PUT
Entry Price: $42.00
Take Profit 1 (TP1): $36.00 (~14.3% gain )
Take Profit 2 (TP2): $30.00 (~28.6% gain )
Expected Move: ~12–15% downward
Best AI Signals on the market
#SUI #SUIUSD #SUIUSDT #Analysis #Eddy#SUI #SUIUSD #SUIUSDT #Analysis #Eddy
As the chart shows, the coin has a choch & an intact, high-potential daily order block inside weekly order block that needs to be mitigation.
I have identified the important supply and demand zones of the higher timeframe for you.
This analysis is based on a combination of different styles, including the volume style with the ict style.
Based on your strategy and style, get the necessary confirmations for this analysis to enter the trade.
Don't forget about risk and capital management.
The responsibility for the transaction is yours and I have no responsibility for your failure to comply with your risk and capital management.
💬 Note: Important liquidity is marked on the chart. Be careful of liquidity hunting. In my opinion, the important entry point for buying spot and long futures is at 2.1693$, and it will most likely be a sniper entry. The first target from the specified point will be $5.5 and the second target will be $8.
Be successful and profitable.
Monitoring USDT- Absolutely not a prediction.
- Just doing this chart to observe 1D (smaller timeframe) on USDT Dominance & Sharing.
- I usually like to use larger TF to reduce the noise on charts ( 1W, 2W, 1M, 3M ).
- USDT.D have to break out 8.4% before 13th December.
- if it does, could mean BTC more downward pressure.
- if it fails, BTC could rally up.
- Patience is the key.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Euro can continue to decline in channel to buyer zoneHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Earlier, the Euro formed a symmetrical triangle, where the price squeezed between resistance and support lines before breaking out with a strong impulse move. After this breakout, the pair quickly climbed toward the 1.1420 - 1.1455 resistance area, a major seller zone, but failed to hold above it. Since then, the price structure shifted into a well-defined downward channel. Within this channel, we’ve seen repeated rejections from the upper boundary and controlled declines toward the support line. Recently, EUR rebounded again from the resistance line, confirming that sellers remain in control. Now the price is heading lower once more. Given this repeated rejection and the prevailing bearish structure, I expect the decline to continue toward the next key area, the 1.1070 - 1.1035 buyer zone. This level aligns with the channel’s support and has acted as a reaction zone in the past. That’s why I set my TP at 1.1035, the bottom of the buyer zone and a logical target within this bearish setup. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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EUR/USD DAILY PLAN – BREAKOUT CONFIRMATION OR FAKEOUT TRAP?EUR/USD DAILY PLAN – BREAKOUT CONFIRMATION OR FAKEOUT TRAP?
🧠 Macro Overview
This week’s trading landscape is influenced by both European and U.S. developments:
EU Side: There are no major macroeconomic releases ahead, but expectations are growing that the ECB may adopt a more dovish tone in upcoming meetings. If inflation continues to cool, the euro may face downside pressure.
U.S. Side: Last week’s CPI and PPI data showed signs of cooling inflation, yet not enough for the Fed to shift gears. The U.S. dollar remains supported by the prospect of “higher for longer” interest rates.
Global Sentiment: Ongoing U.S.–China tensions and trade policy updates in Europe are keeping risk appetite cautious. The EUR/USD pair is testing a key zone and may break out of the descending channel soon — or reject hard if buyers fail to hold.
📊 Technical Analysis (H1 Chart)
EUR/USD bounced strongly from the 1.1160 – 1.1180 demand zone and is now testing the key resistance at 1.1237 — a confluence of descending trendline and the 200 EMA on the 1H chart.
A clean breakout above and sustained hold of 1.1237 could pave the way toward higher resistance levels at 1.1270 and 1.1325.
However, if the pair gets rejected at 1.1237, it may fall back to test the lower support at 1.1160 – 1.1180, possibly forming a range before a larger move.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
🔺 Resistance Levels:
1.1237 → Key confluence zone (EMA200 + trendline)
1.1270 → Previous swing high
1.1302 – 1.1325 → Upper resistance zone with Fibo confluence
🔻 Support Levels:
1.1180 → Immediate demand area
1.1160 → Critical trendline support
A break below 1.1160 could trigger stronger bearish momentum
🎯 Trading Scenarios
1. Bullish Breakout Above 1.1237
🔹 Entry: 1.1240 – 1.1250
🔹 SL: 1.1210
🔹 TP: 1.1270 → 1.1302 → 1.1325
2. Bearish Rejection at 1.1237
🔻 Entry: 1.1230 – 1.1225
🔻 SL: 1.1255
🔻 TP: 1.1180 → 1.1160
3. Buy-the-Dip at Key Support
🔹 Entry: 1.1165 – 1.1170
🔹 SL: 1.1135
🔹 TP: 1.1200 → 1.1230
⚠️ Key Notes:
Avoid entering trades during chop between 1.1215 – 1.1237 unless breakout confirmation appears.
Be cautious of liquidity grabs during London and NY session opens.
Stick to tight risk management as market remains uncertain and range-bound.
📌 Conclusion:
EUR/USD is at a decision point. Whether bulls take control or sellers defend key resistance will determine short-term trend direction. Trade the breakout or the reaction — not the prediction.
BTC/USD Bearish Breakdown Setup!Top Trap Confirmed — Major Drop Ahead? 📉🔥
🧠 Technical Breakdown:
Bitcoin just printed a classic bull trap at the top near $104,600 and broke below key support. Multiple CHoCH + BOS indicate shifting momentum. Price is now approaching a critical retest zone around $101,300 — if it rejects, we could see a sharp move down!
📍 Key Insights:
◾ Pattern: Distribution zone + fakeout at resistance
◾ Structure Shift: BOS + CHoCH showing bearish intent
◾ Entry Zone: Retest of broken support near $101,300
◾ Target Zones: Demand & imbalance zones below
🎯 Trade Setup Idea:
🔴 Entry: $101,300 (on bearish retest)
🛑 Stop Loss: Above $104,600 (bull trap high)
🎯 Target 1: $97,800 (first key demand zone)
🎯 Target 2: $93,150 (major swing target)
⚠ Pro Tip:
Wait for a rejection candle or bearish engulfing on the 1H/4H near $101,300. Let price confirm before entering short — patience is power!
💥 Final Thoughts:
BTC looks vulnerable after trapping buyers at the top. Structure has shifted, and a retest of the broken support offers a high-probability short setup. Manage risk, follow price action, and let the breakdown unfold.
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