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GBP/USD Trendline Breakout (Weekly Forecast Mar 3 - 7)The GBP/USD Pair on the H2 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.2425 2nd Support – 1.2316 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
5
USD/JPY Channel Breakout (Weekly Forecast Mar 3-7)The USD/JPY pair on the H2 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 153.90 2nd Resistance – 155.60 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
3
Trump's Bombshell Strategic Reserve Announcement.Let's summarize the situation. We were on the edge of slipping into a bear market, with CRYPTOCAP:BTC under heavy selling pressure and looking bearish on daily, hourly, and weekly timeframes. A lot of people were caught off guard, selling their crypto to prepare for shorts and ending up sidelined—I was one of them, and I’m pissed. Since I live in Asia, I was asleep when it happened, and so was the entire Asian market. Then, conveniently, Trump announced the strategic crypto reserve, which was originally scheduled for Friday to coincide with the White House crypto summit. Meanwhile, the tariffs are set to take effect on Tuesday. On the global stage: - The rejection of Zelensky has pushed Europe to react, with some leaders now considering sending troops to Ukraine. This could seriously complicate things for the Trump administration and potentially escalate into WWIII. No joke, this is a serious situation. - Israel has decided to destroy Gaza completely and is now enforcing a full-scale siege, which will cause massive international backlash. The situation there never been so bad. - Recession fears are mounting, and we can see markets starting to shake and correct. And then Trump drops his crypto reserve announcement… - This was a sloppy reveal—posted only on his own platform, not on X—which caused panic, as people scrambled to verify the source, thinking it was fake news. - Even worse, the initial announcement didn’t mention Bitcoin or Ethereum! Instead, they listed CRYPTOCAP:XRP , Cardano, and Solana as part of the reserve, which made people think their accounts were hacked. Later, they corrected it, clarifying that CRYPTOCAP:BTC and CRYPTOCAP:ETH are at the "heart" of the reserve. So yeah… Sunday night, completely unexpected, and poorly executed. What does this mean for CRYPTOCAP:BTC ? - Weekly timeframe: Nothing has changed—it’s still in a serious correction, and a 10% daily pump isn’t enough to reverse the trend. My previous analysis is still valid. - Daily timeframe: The MACD has reset, and RSI is now in a neutral zone. This suggests a potential short-term pump over the next few days. - Key levels: Supports at $91k and $80k are back, but $99k remains a major resistance and could reject $BTC. - Leverage & liquidity: A massive $4.3 billion in longs has been built up, meaning we’re likely to retest the downside to liquidate them. - CME gap: We just created a 10%+ CME gap, which will most likely be filled. Conclusion: Optimism is back, and we could see a short altseason as capital flows into altcoins, now that some are officially part of the U.S. national reserve. BUT the global situation remains extremely concerning: - War tensions in Europe and the Middle East - Recession risks still on the table - Uncertainty about how this crypto reserve will actually work This is great news, but going all-in on longs at this point seems risky. How long will this momentum last? More than a week? I’m not sure. Technically, the correction isn’t over. Unlike December 2024—when Trump’s election happened at the end of a correction, with a bullish MACD crossover—we are now at the START of a weekly correction, which could last until May 2025. So yeah, fundamentally bullish, but technically, the correction still has room to go.
by CryptoNikkoid
5
USD/CHF Wedge Breakout (Weekly Forecast Mar 3-7)The USD/CHF pair on the H2 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 0.9138 2nd Resistance – 0.9221 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
2
Btcusd weekly chart (btcusd)Alternative (Bullish) Analysis 1. Potential Continuation Above Resistance (95,300) The current analysis assumes rejection at 95,300 and a drop toward 78,118. However, a strong breakout above 95,300 could trigger a rally toward 100,000 or higher. If Bitcoin consolidates above 95,300, it may act as a new support, rather than a rejection zone. 2. Volume Confirmation on the Breakout The price surged significantly (+9.09%), suggesting strong bullish momentum. Instead of expecting an immediate rejection, watch for high volume confirming a potential continuation upward. 3. Higher Low Formation Instead of a Drop The chart expects a fall back to 78,118, but the price may form a higher low around 85,000 – 88,000 before resuming the uptrend. A retracement to this range (not all the way down to 78,118) would still be healthy in a bull market. 4. Market Sentiment Shift The sharp upward movement suggests buying pressure rather than an exhaustion move. If 95,300 is tested again and breaks, it could lead to a parabolic move instead of a reversal
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
Xauusd weekly charts gold big fall soon opportunity (XAUUSD) Alternative (Bullish) Analysis 1. Support Strength at 2820 The chart suggests that price may drop to 2820, but this area has shown strong support historically Instead of further breakdown, a strong bounce from this level could lead to a bullish reversal. 2. Potential False Breakdown The resistance at 2864 is marked as a selling zone, but if price breaks above it, it could trigger stop-losses for short positions, fueling a rally. If price consolidates above 2864, it could invalidate the bearish projection. 3. Trend Line Reversal The chart shows a downtrend, but if price breaks above the descending trend line, it would signal a trend reversal rather than continuation. A bullish breakout above 2864 could target 2900+ levels. 4. Economic Events Impact The economic events marked (likely U.S. data releases) could trigger volatility. If these reports are weaker than expected, gold could rally as investors seek safe-haven assets. Conclusion While the original chart suggests a bearish move, there's a strong case for a bullish reversal if the support at 2820 holds and price breaches the 2864 resistance. Instead of shorting aggressively, traders should watch for confirmation signals before committing to a bearish or bullish bias
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
ETHUSD WEEKLY CHARTS (ETHUSD)Alternative (Bullish) Analysis 1. Potential Breakout Above 2835 Resistance The current analysis assumes Ethereum will reject from the 2835 resistance and drop back to 2146. However, given the strong upward momentum (+13.46%), ETH could break above 2835 instead of reversing. A daily close above 2835 could trigger a rally toward 3000+. 2. Support Holding at Higher Levels Instead of expecting a drop to 2146, ETH may form a higher low around 2400 – 2500, which would confirm bullish continuation. If it retests 2500 and holds, it could bounce back up toward the resistance and push higher. 3. Volume & Momentum Confirmation The sharp breakout suggests strong buying pressure. If volume remains high, ETH could invalidate the resistance level and start a new uptrend. 4. Market Sentiment & Macro Factors If Bitcoin remains bullish, Ethereum will likely follow suit, pushing above resistance levels. The broader crypto market’s strength could support a continuation rather than a rejection. Conclusion Instead of expecting a double-top rejection at 2835, traders should watch for a potential breakout. If ETH stabilizes above 2500, it could lead to a move toward 3000, rather than a drop to 2146
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
How to pick a benchmark for you portfolio and beat the market What is a benchmark? A benchmark is an index or a basket of assets used to evaluate the performance of an investment portfolio In the context of portfolio analysis the benchmark serves as a point of comparison to determine whether a fund a strategy or an investment is performing better worse or in line with the reference market. In the current chart, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is displayed with a solid and larger blue line in relation to other cryptocurrencies for the current period. Benchmarks are essential tools for institutional and private investors as they allow measuring the effectiveness of asset allocation choices and risk management Additionally they help determine the added value of an active manager compared to a passive market replication strategy. Benchmark analysis example: NASDAQ:TSLA - NASDAQ:NDX Benchmark analysis example: NASDAQ:TSLA - NASDAQ:AAPL - NASDAQ:NDX What is the purpose of a benchmark The use of a benchmark in portfolio analysis has several objectives 1) Performance Evaluation: Provides a parameter to compare the portfolio's return against the market or other funds 2) Risk Analysis: Allows comparing the volatility of the portfolio against that of the benchmark offering a measure of risk management 3) Performance Attribution: Helps distinguish between returns derived from asset selection and those linked to market factors 4) Expectation Management: Supports investors and managers in assessing whether a portfolio is meeting expected return objectives 5) Strategy Control: If a portfolio deviates excessively from the benchmark it may signal the need to review the investment strategy How to select an appropriate benchmark? The choice of the correct benchmark depends on several factors: 1) Consistency with Portfolio Objective: The benchmark should reflect the market or sector in which the portfolio operates 2) Representativeness of Portfolio Assets: The benchmark should have a composition similar to that of the portfolio to ensure a fair comparison 3) Transparency and Data Availability: It must be easily accessible and calculated with clear and public methodologies 4) Stability Over Time: A good benchmark should not be subject to frequent modifications to ensure reliable historical comparison 5) Compatible Risk and Return: The benchmark should have a risk and return profile similar to that of the portfolio Most used benchmarks There are different benchmarks based on asset type and reference market Here are some of the most common. Equity FRED:SP500 Representative index of the 500 largest US companies. NYSE:MSCI World Includes companies from various developed countries ideal for global strategies FTSE:FTSEMIB Benchmark for the Italian stock market NASDAQ:NDX Represents the largest technology and growth companies Bonds Barclays Global Aggregate Bond Index Broad benchmark for the global bond market JP Morgan Emerging Market Bond Index EMBI Benchmark for emerging market debt [* ]BofA Merrill Lynch US High Yield Index Representative of the high-yield bond market junk bonds Mixed or Balanced 6040 Portfolio Benchmark 60 equities SP 500 and 40 bonds Bloomberg US Aggregate used to evaluate balanced portfolios Morningstar Moderate Allocation Index Suitable for moderate-risk investment strategies Alternative HFRI Fund Weighted Composite Index Benchmark for hedge funds Goldman Sachs Commodity Index GSCI Used for commodity-related strategies Bitcoin Index CoinDesk BPI Benchmark for cryptocurrencies A reference benchmark is essential in portfolio analysis to measure performance manage risk and evaluate investment strategies The selection of an appropriate benchmark must be consistent with the strategy and market of the portfolio to ensure meaningful comparison. Understanding and correctly selecting the benchmark allows investors to optimize their decisions and improve long-term results.
Education
by thequantscience
Bitcoin Daily Analysis must read caption Bitcoin Daily Analysis: BTC continues to show volatility as it navigates key support and resistance levels. Traders are closely watching price action for potential breakouts or corrections. Technical indicators, such as RSI and moving averages, suggest possible momentum shifts, while on-chain data reveals investor sentiment. With macroeconomic factors influencing market movements, staying updated on volume trends and liquidity zones is crucial. Will Bitcoin maintain its bullish momentum, or is a retracement on the horizon? Keep an eye on critical price levels and market catalysts for the next big move!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by QueenTraderFX
GBPJPY weekly analysis (Gbpjpy)Alternative (Bullish) Analysis 1. Breakout Above Resistance at 190.070 The chart suggests rejection from 190.070, but if price breaks and holds above this level, it could signal further upside momentum. Instead of a bearish move, price could consolidate above 190.165 and push toward 191.003 or higher. 2. Strong Accumulation in the Support Zone (187.800) The support area at 187.800 has already been tested multiple times, and each time, price has rebounded. This could indicate a strong demand zone, meaning buyers are stepping in aggressively. If buyers push price back to resistance and break through, a new bullish trend may emerge. 3. Liquidity Grab Below 188.000 The previous dip below 188.000 may have been a liquidity grab to stop out weak hands before a bullish reversal. If this assumption holds, price may now aim for higher highs rather than another rejection from resistance. 4. Market Structure Shift Instead of forming a lower high at resistance, a higher low formation could suggest an uptrend. If price finds support around 189.000 instead of dropping to 187.800, a bullish continuation pattern would be confirmed
Long
by Fx_Oliviaa
Bitcoin Cash at Critical Trendline – Next Big Move?Bitcoin Cash (BCH/USDT) is currently showing signs of a strong reversal after testing a key support zone and the ascending trendline. This level has acted as critical support in previous price cycles, making it an important area to watch. The price has rebounded from the strong support line, which aligns with the accumulation zone from early 2023. Additionally, BCH remains within a long-term descending channel, with the upper resistance line acting as a ceiling for previous bullish moves.
Long
by unichartz
2
Silver (XAG/USD) Bearish Retest – Drop to $31 Incoming?Silver (XAG/USD) - 8H Chart Analysis 📉 Bearish Setup in Play Breakout & Retest: Price broke down from a wedge pattern and is currently retesting the supply zone (highlighted in red). EMA (200) Support: The 200 EMA (31.26) is acting as dynamic support. If price holds below, further downside is expected. Bearish Target: A move towards the demand zone (30.80 - 31.00) (blue area) is anticipated. Key Resistance: The rejected zone around 32.00 remains crucial for trend direction. 💡 Trade Idea: If rejection is confirmed at the supply zone, short positions targeting 31.00 look promising. A break above 32.00 could invalidate the bearish outlook. 🔥 Watch for confirmation! 🚀
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by MrStellanSight
Fundamental Market Analysis for February 28, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD remains under selling pressure near 1.0390 during Asian trading on Friday. The euro (EUR) is weakening against the US dollar (USD) amid risk-off sentiment. The US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index will take centre stage later on Friday. Late Thursday, US President Donald Trump said that 25 per cent duties on imports from Canada and Mexico will take effect on March 4, rather than April 2 as he had anticipated the day before. Trump also said goods from China would be subject to an additional 10 per cent duties. He also promised this week to impose 25 per cent tariffs on shipments from the European Union. Tariff uncertainty from Trump is likely to weigh on the common currency in the near term. Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said on Thursday she expects the US central bank's interest rate policy to be put on hold for now amid a search for evidence that inflationary pressures are easing and returning to the 2 per cent target. Meanwhile, Atlanta FRB President Raphael Bostic said late Wednesday that the Fed should keep interest rates on hold, which continues to put downward pressure on inflation. The Fed's cautious stance could boost the US Dollar and serve as a headwind for EUR/USD. Trade recommendation: SELL 1.0380, SL 1.0430, TP 1.0300
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
XAUUSD strong down again 1. Potential for Reversal The analysis assumes a clear bearish move toward the support area. However, price action may react differently to the resistance zone. If buyers step in, we could see a reversal rather than a continuation downward. A false breakdown could trap sellers and push the price back up to retest resistance instead. 2. Market Structure Weakness The chart suggests a Break of Structure (BOS) confirming a downtrend, but the momentum could weaken if volume decreases. The weak low labeled on the chart could act as a temporary liquidity grab rather than a strong bearish continuation. 3. Economic and Fundamental Factors Gold is sensitive to economic news, interest rate decisions, and geopolitical events. If a news event favors gold, this technical setup could be invalidated. USD strength or weakness could shift demand for gold, affecting this price projection. 4. Liquidity Considerations Support and resistance zones are often areas where liquidity is hunted. Market makers may manipulate price to take out stops before the actual move occurs
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
3
Buy EUR/CAD High Impact NewsThe EUR/CAD pair on the M15 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 1.5086 2nd Resistance – 1.5124 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
3
XAG/USD Bearish Flag (27.2.25)The XAG/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 31.06 2nd Support – 30.66 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
FX:XAGUSDShort
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
12
NZD/CAD -H1 Chart - Wedge Breakout (27.02.2025)The NZD/CAD Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 0.8101 2nd Support – 0.8068 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
11
#SHELLUSDT – Bullish Scenario, Expecting a Breakout📈 LONG BYBIT:SHELLUSDT.P from $0.7000 🛡 Stop Loss: $0.6671 ⏱ 1H Timeframe ⚡ Trade Plan: ✅ The BYBIT:SHELLUSDT.P price is showing strong momentum after breaking out of a consolidation zone. ✅ The asset has broken above $0.6957 and is holding above this level, signaling a potential continuation of the uptrend. ✅ Increasing volume confirms buyer activity. 🎯 TP Targets: 💎 TP 1: $0.7350 🔥 TP 2: $0.7700 📢 Holding above $0.7000 would confirm further bullish movement. 📢 POC at $0.4671 is far below the current price, indicating a trend shift. 📢 Increasing volume supports the bullish case. 📢 Securing partial profits at TP1 ($0.7350) is a smart risk-management strategy. 🚀 BYBIT:SHELLUSDT.P remains in an uptrend – monitoring for continuation and securing profits at TP levels!
Long
by MoriartyTrading
US PCE could be the catalyst for USDJPY to make a stronger moveMARKETSCOM:USDJPY is currently flirting with the area around the 149.00 hurdle. In order to shift our attention to some lower areas, a drop below the lowest point of December 2024 is needed. But what about the US PCEs? Let's dig in... FX_IDC:USDJPY What are your thoughts on this? 74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
by Marketscom
Key Liquidity Zone in Play – Sniper Bounce to ATH? (XAU/USD)Alright GTK Family! 🏆 Here are our key zones for today: 🔹 4H Bullish OB Holding… For Now – Price is currently respecting our 4H Bullish OB, but the chances of breaking through aren’t slim considering the extreme bearish momentum from market open. 📉 🔹 Liquidity Grab & Bounce? – If price breaks below the OB, I expect a sweep of liquidity at the Feb 10 Weekly Low, followed by a strong push back up towards ATH. 💧🚀 🔹 Bearish Scenario? – If price rejects upwards, the next key resistance is the 4H Bearish FVG, which could be a selling opportunity, but it would be a riskier trade. ⚠️ 📍 Key Levels to Watch: ✅ 4H Bullish OB – Holding as support (for now) 🟢 ✅ Feb 10 Weekly Low – Major liquidity zone 💧 ❌ 4H Bearish FVG – Potential sell area, but risky 🔴 🎯 ATH Target – If bulls regain control 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by GoldTraderKaan
EUR/USD - H1- Chart - Ascending Triangle (27.02.2025) The EUR/USD Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.0433 2nd Support – 1.0405 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
34