USD/JPY(20250428)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The Fed's subsequent policy path considers two scenarios: First, there is no substantial progress in the negotiations between the United States and its trading partners. After 90 days, the US tariffs are still high. Weakened economic demand may prompt the Fed to cut interest rates starting in July, and the annual rate cut may reach 100 basis points; second, the negotiations are fruitful, tariffs are reduced, and the demand shock is small, but inflationary pressure continues. The Fed may postpone easing and only cut interest rates slightly in December. For the market, although the easing comes early in the first scenario, the "recession-style" rate cut may suppress risky assets.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
143.40
Support and resistance levels:
144.89
144.33
143.97
142.83
142.47
141.91
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 143.97, consider buying, the first target price is 144.33
If the price breaks through 143.40, consider selling, the first target price is 142.83
Analysis
Bitcoin may little correct and then continue to grow in wedgeHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Analysing the current chart, the market behaviour becomes much more understandable. Initially, Bitcoin was moving inside a clean upward channel, showing steady growth with rebounds from the support line and multiple corrective phases. After a strong breakout above the buyer zone, the price maintained bullish momentum and reached the current support level at 88500. Later, BTC consolidated within the support area, confirming its role as a springboard for the next impulse move. The price eventually broke higher, leaving the channel behind and forming a new structure, an upward wedge. This wedge is a natural development after a strong uptrend, often suggesting that the price may continue climbing toward the upper boundary before any potential reversals occur. At the moment, BTC is trading between the wedge's support and resistance lines, precisely respecting both structures. Small corrective pull-backs have already been observed, but buyers quickly defended the support area, keeping the bullish structure intact. Given the clear market structure, the strong breakout momentum from the support area, and the continuation pattern in the form of the upward wedge, I expect Bitcoin to continue moving higher toward the 97000 points, which aligns with the resistance line of the wedge. This level also serves as my TP1 for the current bullish move. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
XRP Breakout Watch — Are You Positioned for the Move?#XRP is still respecting the 150-day falling wedge structure.
Price is pushing toward the upper resistance with rising momentum.
If the breakout confirms, a strong move could be ahead.
Watching closely for confirmation.
Retweet if you're ready.
#Altseason2025
Range Tightens on Gold – Breakout or Breakdown Ahead?📌 Trading Plan for April 28, 2025: Gold (XAU/USD) Strategy 🧠📈
📊 Technical Analysis
Following the sharp drop in previous sessions, gold is now consolidating around the 3260–3270 support zone.
Price is moving within a tight triangle formation on the M15 timeframe, indicating compression ahead of a breakout.
The MA 13 – 34 – 200 still suggests a short-term bearish bias, but selling momentum has noticeably slowed down.
Expectation: gold may retest the 3299–3313 resistance zone before a stronger directional move.
🎯 Key Price Levels for Today
Immediate Resistance: 3299 – 3313
Major Support: 3260 – 3258 – 3239
🧩 Updated Trade Setup
🔵 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3260 – 3258
Stop Loss (SL): 3254
Take Profit (TP): 3264 → 3268 → 3272 → 3276 → 3280
🔴 SELL ZONE: (after price retests resistance)
Entry: 3299 – 3301
Stop Loss (SL): 3306
Take Profit (TP): 3295 → 3290 → 3286 → 3282 → 3275
📢 Important Notes
Expected daily range: 60–80 pips.
No major economic news today, but stay alert for unexpected political headlines (especially from the US, China, India-Pakistan tensions).
Strictly follow TP/SL levels to protect your capital — avoid FOMO chasing after sharp intraday moves.
✅ Conclusion
Gold remains in a sensitive consolidation phase.
The best strategy today is buying at support and selling at resistance, only scaling in after clear confirmations!
💬 How are you planning to trade gold today? Share your views and setups below! 👇👇👇
btc . wOpen . SHORT weakwOpen with a run down to current range volume profile LOW + minor SFP low (liquidity grab)
- Stop out LONGS
- Catch late retail SHORTS - squeeze them to top range + higher
the friday SHORT was good, but didn't catch momentum
looking to move TP1 to cW 0.5 retrace level @ 93.809
i see this pump higher . though cautios, because these levels are late LONG entries only
looking for LONGS around
93.777 - 92.782
tp1 . 95.843
tp2 . 99.490
if we see a down momentum shift, act accordingly
- i believe this to come towards wednesday
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 28, 2025 USDJPYUSDJPY:
The Japanese yen (JPY) fluctuated in a narrow range in Monday's Asian session and paused its recent pullback from a multi-month high reached last week against its U.S. counterpart. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent did not support President Donald Trump's statement that tariff talks with China are underway. That tempered optimism about a quick resolution to trade tensions between the world's two largest economies and provided some support for the safe-haven yen.
Meanwhile, traders pushed back expectations of an immediate interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) due to rising economic risks from US tariffs. However, signs of rising inflation in Japan leave the door open for further BoJ rate hikes this year, which is a big divergence from bets on more aggressive Federal Reserve (Fed) policy easing. This keeps USD bulls on the defensive and also serves as a tailwind for the low-yielding Yen.
Trading recommendation: SELL 143.20, SL 143.60, TP 142.50
Peace Headlines Are Here — But Markets Have Already Moved OnA Russia-Ukraine peace deal making headlines right now is historic news — politically and emotionally.
But for the forex and commodities markets?
The real money already left this story behind months ago.
🧠 Smart Money Knows: Markets Price in the Future, Not the Past
Two years ago, the war sent shockwaves through oil, gas, wheat, and risk currencies.
By late 2023, price action had already normalized — the "war premium" faded out quietly.
Commodities stabilized. Forex volatility shifted. Safe havens lost their edge.
Traders adapted, recalibrated, and moved on to new battlegrounds.
Bottom Line:
The market already priced in a future where this conflict would eventually fade — peace or no peace.
📊 What Actually Drives Forex Now
While peace headlines grab attention, the real macro drivers today are:
🔥 Tariff escalation and global trade wars
🔥 Sticky inflation battles (core services inflation still high)
🔥 Central bank pivot games (Fed, ECB, BoJ)
🔥 Global growth fears (China slowdown, EU stagnation)
This is where new money is flowing.
Not into a two-year-old headline finally catching up.
🛡️ "Buy the Rumor, Sell the Fact" in Action
For two years, markets have priced in an eventual end (or fade) to the Ukraine conflict.
A peace agreement now?
→ It confirms expectations, not shocks them.
→ It may trigger a short-lived risk-on pop (EUR, AUD, NZD up, gold down) —
→ But unless it unleashes massive new money flows (unlikely), that pop gets sold.
🔥 Final Thought:
If you're still trading the last war, you're already late.
The next major moves won't come from peace headlines — they'll come from tariff escalations, inflation battles, and central bank pivots.
Focus forward.
That's where opportunity lives.
💬 Question for Serious Traders:
Which macro theme are you really watching into summer 2025?
Peace headlines... or the new fires already burning?
Drop your insights below. 👇
The relationship between gold, copper and the US10YFirst, can you tell me what you think the relationship between these two curves is? Clearly, these two curves have a strong negative correlation, meaning they move exactly opposite to each other. You can see in the image that their behavior is like a mirror image (from 2007 to before 2022).
You are familiar with the gold-to-copper ratio, right? Now, when this gold-to-copper ratio curve rises, it means that gold is giving better returns compared to copper. This indicates that the global economy is moving away from growth and heading toward a recession. Investors, instead of investing in production (where copper symbolizes production), choose to invest in a safe haven like gold. The opposite happens when this curve goes down.
The lower curve represents the yield on long-term U.S. bonds. When this curve is rising, it means that the supply of bonds is greater than the demand. People are selling bonds, which causes the bond yield to rise. When the curve is falling, it means people are buying bonds, which causes the bond yield to drop.
Why do these two curves move in opposite directions?
Now, let’s get to the main question. The answer to this question is simple: bonds, like gold, serve as a safe haven for investors. When the economy moves toward a recession (when gold offers better returns than copper, and the gold-to-copper ratio is rising), some investors shift towards bonds, and the yield curve drops. That’s why these two curves move in opposite directions.
To summarize the entire story: Movement toward recession = investors moving toward gold and bonds = rise in the gold-to-copper ratio and drop in bond yield curve.
Now it’s clear why these two curves move opposite to each other. The big surprise is coming👇
Since the beginning of 2022, the historical trend has changed. These two curves have started to show a positive correlation! Meaning, everything I mentioned above has gone out the window! Now, the question is: What suddenly happened? There are several analyses, but I believe what changed is that U.S. bonds are no longer a safe haven for investors, as they once were (the same fear signal I mentioned earlier). In fact, after the pandemic, the world has never been the same. This is an important development and it affects many things. I’ve addressed this topic from various perspectives before, and here’s a new angle on it.
For the past two to three years, contrary to the historical trend, investors have been buying gold but selling bonds, and these two curves have been rising together.
As you can see, the analytical situation has changed drastically compared to, say, 10 years ago, and many fundamental facts have shifted. For instance, many people expect the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates and gold to go up again, but after an initial short shock, the story will probably reverse.
#Gold #XAUUSD #HG1!
TradeCityPro | Deep Search: In-Depth Of ONDO👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
In this analysis, I want to fully review the ONDO project for you. First, I’ll go over the project’s information, and then we'll move on to its technical analysis.
🔹Introduction to Ondo Finance (ONDO)
Ondo Finance is an open and decentralized investment bank designed to bridge the gap between traditional finance and decentralized finance (DeFi). Founded in 2022 and based in the Cayman Islands, Ondo's mission is to democratize access to institutional-grade financial services. Its ecosystem is built to serve a wide range of stakeholders including DAOs, institutional players, and retail investors. Ondo's key innovation lies in tokenizing real-world assets, thereby making them accessible to a broader audience via blockchain technology.
🔹ONDO Token and Governance
The ONDO token plays a central role in the governance of the Ondo decentralized autonomous organization (DAO). Token holders have specific rights within the DAO, particularly over the governance of Flux Finance, which is one of the main platforms in the Ondo ecosystem. ONDO holders are empowered to propose and vote on changes, allocate funds for projects, and influence the platform’s direction, ensuring community-driven governance. The ONDO token sale occurred in mid-2022 and was purchased by over 18,000 individuals.
🔹Technology and Infrastructure
Ondo leverages blockchain technology to offer decentralized financial services. It operates on a secure and transparent distributed ledger system, which ensures that transactions are immutable and resistant to tampering. The platform uses Proof-of-Stake (PoS) as its consensus mechanism to validate transactions, offering both security and energy efficiency. Ondo is also integrated with various DeFi protocols and utilizes techniques from traditional finance to repackage DeFi exposures into institutional-grade risk-return profiles. Strategic partnerships with firms like BlackRock, Morgan Stanley, and Coinbase enhance its interoperability and credibility.
🔹Real-World Use Cases
Ondo's primary application is in the tokenization of real-world assets such as real estate or treasuries. This allows users to invest in fractionalized assets, lowering the barrier to entry for institutional-quality financial products. The platform is used for intellectual property management through blockchain-based records, enabling secure and transparent tracking. Ondo also engages in community events and educational initiatives to raise awareness about blockchain technology. Furthermore, it offers technical and business development services such as smart contract deployment and treasury management to startups and institutions.
🔹Key Developments and Milestones
In 2022, the Ondo DAO was officially launched, providing a decentralized governance framework. Following that, the foundation introduced Flux Finance, a major protocol under Ondo DAO governance. The Ondo Foundation has formed several partnerships to expand its ecosystem and drive innovation. One of the important initiatives includes Ondo USDY LLC, which issues the USDY stablecoin. Ondo has also focused on education, contract deployment, and treasury management, solidifying its operational backbone and long-term strategic vision.
🔹Team and Founders
Ondo Finance was founded by Nathan Allman and a team of former Goldman Sachs digital asset professionals. Nathan Allman brings a strong background in engineering and financial operations, serving as a key driver of the project’s vision. The founding team’s experience in traditional finance has been instrumental in shaping Ondo’s hybrid model, which integrates DeFi tools with institutional-grade strategies.
🔹Fundraising and Token Sale
Ondo Finance has conducted multiple fundraising rounds. An initial coin offering (ICO) took place on CoinList on May 12, 2022, raising $22 million. The token was priced at $0.055, with a minimum purchase of $100 and a maximum of $20,000. Another funding round was the IEO on Gate.io Startup, conducted from January 17 to January 18, 2024, which raised $40,000.
In total, Ondo has raised $46.04 million, including $22.04 million from public sales and $24 million from private and institutional funding rounds.
🔹Tokenomics
The ONDO token has a maximum supply of 10 billion tokens. Distribution is divided as follows: 52.1 percent for ecosystem growth, 33 percent for protocol development, 12.9 percent for private sales, and 2 percent for community access sales. As of now, 33.9 percent of the total supply is unlocked, with another 19.4 percent scheduled for future unlocks. Approximately 46.7 percent remains locked.
🔹Vesting Schedule
The vesting of ONDO tokens is structured into distinct categories. Ecosystem growth tokens are released linearly over five years, with 24 percent unlocked as of January 2024 and 39.2 percent expected to unlock gradually. Protocol development tokens have a one-year cliff, followed by a three-year linear unlock, with 25 percent becoming available in April 2025. Private sales follow the same schedule as protocol development, while community access sales were 90 percent unlocked from the beginning with full linear unlock over one year.
—
Certik: 87.50✅
🔹Top Ondo Wallets
Trust Wallet
imToken
MetaMask
Torus
Coinbase
TokenPocket
iToken Wallet
Binance web3 wallet
🔹Liquidity Pools
Uniswap
Balancer
🔹Top Holders
0x677fd4ed8ae623f2f625deb2d64f2070e46ca1a1
0x460ae5a6666fcb9635ba99b541b31279e59665370x
524083970c7a1e62fbaa61d38781f87a4f191fd0
0xa63eace47618b9677261b09b32e3ca2b5c0a0182
0xd2e6e930e25456ffcd4df0124563cc334f3284f4
🔹Significant TVL Growth in Ondo Despite Sharp Liquidity Decline
Since mid-January 2025, the total value locked (TVL) in Ondo has increased from 157,000 ETH to 631,000 ETH, reflecting significant growth in its TVL. However, in terms of liquidity, Ondo has experienced a sharp decline since late March, with a drop of nearly 50% compared to the previous month.
🔹On-Chain Analysis of ONDO
Looking at ONDO’s on-chain data, the $0.833 level stands out as a key support zone based on the concentration of tokens currently in profit. On the flip side, the $0.856 area acts as a resistance level, with approximately 124 million ONDO tokens currently held at a loss. However, the volume of tokens in profit remains higher overall, which can be interpreted positively — these zones represent value and may attract increased demand.
From a network activity perspective, there has been a noticeable decline, particularly in the number of new addresses being created.
Analyzing supply and demand, approximately 75% of ONDO tokens are held by whales, indicating strong whale dominance. Address-level data shows that wallets holding between 10 and 100 million tokens have shown minor demand, while older holders are contributing meaningful inflows. Additionally, wallets identified as "investor" addresses have also demonstrated renewed buying interest.
👀 Now that we’ve reviewed the project's details, let’s dive into ONDO’s technical analysis.
📅 Weekly Timeframe
In the weekly timeframe, as you can see, there aren't many candles yet, so we can’t perform a complete analysis on this timeframe.
✔️ However, you can observe that after the project launched in January 2024, there was an upward movement up to the 1.3927 area, followed by a correction down to 0.5871.
💥 After this correction, the next bullish leg continued up to the 2.0565 area.
📈 During this bullish cycle, there’s also an ascending trendline that the price has reacted to multiple times, and now it has touched it again.
⚡️ The main support on this timeframe is at 0.5871, and the main resistance is at 2.0565. So, if you already hold ONDO and are considering setting a stop-loss, breaking 0.5871 could be a good point to activate it.
🔽 This level can also be used as a trigger for a short position. Breaking 0.5871 could create a downtrend in ONDO.
🛒 For spot buying, the main trigger is breaking 2.0565, and if this level is broken, the price could register a new ATH.
📅 Daily Timeframe
In the daily timeframe, as you can see, the price has been supported by the trendline and has shown a very quick reaction, with bullish momentum pushing it above the 0.9253 resistance.
📊 Currently, the price has reached the SMA99 and reacted to it. The volume of the candles reacting to the SMA99 has increased, and if the price stabilizes above the SMA99, the main bullish leg could begin.
💫 The next resistance the price faces is at 1.1933, and if the SMA99 is broken, I believe the price can easily rise to this level.
☘️ Moreover, if this level is also broken, the price could climb up to 2.0565.
📉 For ONDO to turn bearish on this timeframe, the first trigger would be a fake breakout above 0.9253.The main bearish trigger would be breaking both the trendline and the 0.7122 level.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #Wyckoff #Analysis #Eddy#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #Wyckoff #Analysis #Eddy
This analysis is based on the analytical style of the Wyckoff Distribution Structure of Schematics 1 and 2.
I have outlined for you the important parts of the Wyckoff style on the one-hour timeframe.
Currently, we are in Phase C of the Wyckoff Distribution Structure.
We have to wait for the completion of this phase and the start of Phase D of the Wyckoff Distribution Structure.
When will this structure be fully confirmed? When the Bitcoin price falls to the 91800 support and gathers the final spring when this support is broken for the fall, we will enter a short position by getting the necessary confirmations based on our style and strategy.
💬 Note: It is not exactly clear whether the market maker will act based on Schematic 1 or 2, so the best entry point for short positions will be the 91800 support break. If, based on the schematic 1, the Bitcoin price UTAD and test formed, high-risk traders who are willing to trade in the opposite direction can enter a short position by getting confirmation in the time frames below 15 minutes.
Where will the targets be? The first target is 62000 and the second target can be 46000 dollars.
When can you safely close the position and enter a reverse trade, that is, long or buy? When a Wyckoff accumulation structure is formed at one of the targets.
The responsibility for the trade is yours and I have no responsibility for your failure to comply with the risk and capital management.
Good luck and be profitable.
I also invite you to review and view my latest analysis on Bitcoin via the link below:
For altcoins, follow my analysis on the Total 3 chart.
My analysis of the Total 3 chart:
#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #Update #Analysis #Eddy#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #Update #Analysis #Eddy
I have identified the important support and resistance areas of the weekly timeframe for you.
I have identified the important resistance prices for the start of the decline with the red line and the important support prices for the start of the growth with the green line.
This analysis is based on a combination of different styles, including the volume style with the ict style.
Based on your strategy and style, get the necessary confirmations for this analysis to enter the trade.
Don't forget about risk and capital management.
The responsibility for the transaction is yours and I have no responsibility for your failure to comply with your risk and capital management.
💬 Note: An important analysis will be presented on the lower timeframe on Bitcoin soon, which, based on the chart and explanations sent in that analysis, you can hunt for Bitcoin's decline by getting confirmation, pay attention to the current chart and consider important liquidity, including the Decision and Extreme areas.
Be successful and profitable.
For altcoins, proceed according to my analysis on the Total 3 chart.
My analysis of the Total 3 chart:
You can also view and review my previous analyses on my TradingView page.
Please don't forget to like and follow, your support encourages me to continue on my path and provide more analysis and updates.
BITCOIN - Price can exit from wedge and rise to $100K levelHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price reached resistance line of triangle and then, in a short time, declined to $80300 level.
Price broke $92000 level and then some time traded inside triangle, where it reached this level again and then corrected.
Later BTC exited from triangle and entered to wedge, where it first declined below $80300 level, but later turned back.
Then it continued to move up inside wegde, where it later made correction to support line and then rose to $92000 level.
Soon, price broke this level and even reached resistance line of wegde, after which it corrected and continues to rise.
Possibly, price can bounce up from support area to $100K, thereby exiting from wedge pattern.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
TA for FX,Indices and many More!(Week 17,28Apr25)Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Which pairs or instruments should we keep a look out for?
For me I am looking at :
potentially more pullback (down) on EURUSD and the majors.(stronger USD)
SNP might have a day or 2 of upside and pullback (chance for long on the change in daily trend)
Potential H&S on EurGbp and Gold.
BTC to see potential long if there's decent pullback.
NFP this week, BOJ interest rate release as well! Take note!
Do check out my recorded video for more insights!
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
btc . w4 - wknd . SHORT but cautious - yet paytientfriday plan, was to SHORT (see prvs post)
sell zone
starts . friday open
ends . monday open
entry . 95.542
sl . -2.62%
10 sell orders . 1.52% spread
tp1 . 91.642 . +3.99%
funding . +0.01%
we are according to plan + collecting funding
tp1 adjusted to moderate, since bullish outlook coming from april.
tp2 . +10.11%
HBAR Approaching Green Support Level 🚨 HBAR Approaching Green Support Level 🚨
HBAR is nearing a significant green support level. This area could provide a potential bounce and a good entry point for a long position. Wait for confirmation of support before entering the trade.
📈 Technical Overview:
Support Level: Green zone.
Potential Entry: Long position upon confirmation of support at the green zone.
HelenP. I Bitcoin can rebound up from support zone to $96KHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. After breaking out of a prolonged sideways movement, the price entered a confident bullish phase that changed the market rhythm. This breakout came after the price consolidated for several days within the 83700 - 83000 support zone. During that period, the price formed a reliable foundation, and the trend line confirmed its strength, consistently holding the lower boundary of the structure. Once the price escaped this consolidation box, bulls quickly seized control, pushing BTC upward with strong momentum. The move took Bitcoin above the 94000 area, where it started to slow down and form a local peak. Now the price is pulling back, heading toward the nearest support zone between 92200 and 91600 points. This area matches Support 1 and historically acted as a zone of high buyer interest. Given the proximity of the trend line and the strength of this support zone, I expect that BTCUSDT will rebound after this correction. That's why I set my goal at 96000 points, a realistic target if the support holds and BTC resumes upward movement. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
GOLD - Price can continue to move up inside rising channelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Long time price rising near the support line, but later it made a correction movement, breaking this line.
Then price had a sharp impulse that confirmed bullish structure and started to grow inside a rising channel.
After reaching the top boundary, the price reversed and started a pullback to the support area near $3265.
This zone also aligns with the channel base and acted as a bounce point before, making it a strong technical level.
Now the price is consolidating above this support, forming a higher low, which may confirm continuation.
As long as price holds, and I expect it to bounce from support line and push toward $3480 channel resistance.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
BTC/USDT Analysis: Approaching Resistance
Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics' trader-analyst with your daily market analysis.
Yesterday, Bitcoin tested our support zone at $92,000–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance) and immediately received a buyer reaction.
At the moment, we are very close to long-term resistance levels. The buying activity appears relatively weak, and cumulative delta continues to decline, indicating that sellers might be accumulating positions. In the near term, a correction from one of the identified sell zones is expected.
The buyer zone at $92,000–$90,000 remains active but has slightly shifted lower to $91,500–$90,000.
Sell Zones:
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes)
$97,500–$98,400 (aggressive pushing volumes)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zones:
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance)
$88,100–$87,000 (market sell absorption)
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volumes)
$82,700–$81,400 (high volume area)
Level at $74,800
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)
Do you think we’ll see a correction, or will Bitcoin reach $100,000 first?
Share your thoughts in the comments — it’s always interesting to compare perspectives!
This publication does not constitute financial advice.
Gold Retreats After Trump Confirms China Talks 📌 Gold Retreats After Trump Confirms China Talks – Political Noise Drives Volatility 🧨📉
Gold (XAU/USD) saw a sharp intraday drop following comments from President Trump, who confirmed that trade talks with China are “ongoing” — despite China denying any official negotiations had taken place. The market interpreted this as a signal of de-escalation, prompting a short-term price correction.
Gold had previously rallied past $3,500/oz, supported by a weaker USD and strong demand from bargain hunters after last week’s sharp decline. However, the current political contradictions and tariff headlines are creating erratic moves across all asset classes.
🌍 Fundamental Context
The USD weakened, stocks lost momentum, and risk sentiment shifted after a confusing round of statements from the US and China.
Meanwhile, US jobless claims rose slightly, reflecting a resilient labour market amid tariff-related headwinds.
Today’s Core Retail Sales data in the US could add more volatility heading into the weekly candle close.
It’s Friday — expect possible liquidity sweeps and aggressive price spikes as the market prepares for weekend risk-off moves.
📊 Trading Outlook – 26 April
We're seeing signs of a tactical pullback, but long setups should be delayed until political headlines stabilise. Focus on intraday reaction zones — not aggressive positioning.
🔻 SELL ZONES
3384 – 3386
• SL: 3390
• TP: 3380 → 3376 → 3372 → 3368 → 3364 → 3360 → ???
3406 – 3408
• SL: 3412
• TP: 3400 → 3396 → 3392 → 3388 → 3384 → 3380 → 3370 → 3360
🟢 BUY ZONES
3288 – 3286
• SL: 3282
• TP: 3292 → 3296 → 3300 → 3304 → 3310
3270 – 3268
• SL: 3264
• TP: 3274 → 3278 → 3282 → 3286 → 3290
🛡️ Final Notes & Strategy
Avoid rushing BUY entries — allow Price to complete its corrective phase and wait for structure and confirmation.
Today’s Core Retail Sales (US) could trigger a fresh wave of volatility.
It’s also weekly close Friday, so prepare for potential false breaks and stop hunts.
✅ Stick to your TP/SL. Protect your capital first — clarity will come when the dust settles.
💬 Are you watching for a short-term bounce or planning to fade strength near resistance? Let us know in the comments below! 👇👇👇
HelenP. I Euro may decline to support zone and then start growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. After a prolonged sideways movement and an extended period of uncertainty, price has finally shifted gears. The pair, which had been trading inside a broad consolidation range, has recently demonstrated a clear bullish structure with strong upward momentum. The initial push started from the 1.0350 - 1.0400 support zone, where the price reacted several times, forming a solid base. From that point, bulls gradually gained control, leading to a breakout above both the upper consolidation boundary and the trend line. Following the breakout, the price surged through the next major support area around 1.0850 points, confirming the continuation of the bullish cycle. After this impulse, the Euro paused briefly around 1.1250 - 1.1300, establishing a new support zone before making another push higher. This new structure has now become a key area of interest, as price is currently testing it again from above. Now EUR is trading near 1.1330 points, within a tight consolidation that formed after touching the 1.1500 resistance. I expect that URUSD will undergo a temporary correction toward the support zone, followed by a continuation of the upward movement. My target remains at 1.1500, where the price may meet resistance once again. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Euro may rebound from support line of wegde and continue growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. For a while, price was consolidating in a flat range, bouncing between support near 1.0735 and resistance close to 1.0950 points. The price showed multiple rejections from the buyer zone, indicating strong interest from bulls around that area. Eventually, this led to a breakout to the upside, accompanied by a sharp impulse movement. After the breakout, the pair formed a steady upward wedge pattern, where both support and resistance lines were respected. This pattern helped channel the bullish pressure, allowing the price to gradually push higher while also offering clear correction zones. One of those zones, the support area, is particularly important. Price bounced off this area again recently, signaling that buyers are still in control. The market is currently recovering from a local correction and showing early signs of continued growth, as visible from the bounce off the wedge's support line and the area around the current support level. Given this structure, the breakout from range, the formation of the wedge, and the consistent support reaction, I expect the Euro may to continue its movement upward. So, that's why I set my TP at 1.1550 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Gold can break support level and continue to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. For a while, Gold was confidently moving within an upward channel, with each impulse supported by rebounds from the lower boundary. After breaking out of the buyer zone, the price made a strong bullish move, supported by momentum and healthy corrections. This movement continued up to the current support level at 3285, where the price began to stall. Then, a classic Head and Shoulders pattern has now fully formed. The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are all visible and aligned with the support area, which now acts as the neckline of the pattern. This isn't random, it's a well-defined reversal signal forming after an extended bullish leg. The rejection from the right shoulder shows evident seller control, and the price is now testing the neckline from below. The support area has already been broken once, and any bounce from here appears corrective rather than impulsive. Given this setup, I expect that price can fully breakdown toward the 3060 level, which acts as both a strong historical support and my TP1. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀