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XAUUSD analysis for the weekLet’s craft a forward-looking analysis for XAU/USD (gold) based on plausible macroeconomic narratives, historical patterns, and potential catalysts. Keep in mind this is a speculative exercise—actual outcomes depend on unpredictable events. Key Factors Shaping XAU/USD 1. Federal Reserve Policy Bullish for Gold: Lower real interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold. Risk: If the Fed pauses or signals a "higher for longer" stance due to sticky inflation, gold could face headwinds. 2. U.S. Dollar Dynamics A weaker USD (due to rate cuts or fiscal concerns, e.g., U.S. debt sustainability debates) would amplify gold’s appeal. A stronger USD (safe-haven demand during a global recession or Fed policy reversal) could pressure gold. 3. Global Recession Risks If major economies (EU, China) slide into recession, gold may rally as a safe haven, even if the USD strengthens temporarily. 4. Geopolitical Landscape U.S. Election Aftermath: Policy uncertainty post-2024 election (taxes, tariffs, fiscal spending) could drive volatility. New Conflicts: Escalation in Taiwan, Middle East, or Russia-NATO tensions would boost gold demand. 5. Central Bank Demand Continued diversification away from USD reserves (e.g., BRICS+ nations) may sustain structural gold buying. 6. Inflation Trends A resurgence of inflation (e.g., energy shocks, supply chain disruptions) would reignite gold’s role as an inflation hedge. Scenario 1: Bullish Rally (2900–3000) Catalysts: Fed cuts rates aggressively (150+ bps total) amid a U.S. growth slowdown. China’s property crisis spirals, triggering global risk-off sentiment. Middle East conflict disrupts oil flows, spiking inflation. Technical Outlook: A breakout above $3,000 (psychological barrier) could trigger algorithmic buying and FOMO momentum. Scenario 2: Bearish Correction (2800-2600) Catalysts: Fed halts cuts due to stubborn inflation (CPI rebounds to 3.5%+). USD surges as EU/Japan face deeper recessions. Central banks slow gold purchases, ETFs see outflows. Technical Outlook: A drop below $2,800 (hypothetical 2024 support) could trigger stop-loss cascades. Scenario 3: Sideways Churn (2750-2900) Catalysts: Markets digest conflicting data (mixed growth, moderate inflation). Geopolitical “cold wars” (U.S.-China tech/trade) persist without escalation. Technical Outlook: Range-bound action as bulls and bears await clarity. Strategic Takeaways Prepare for Volatility: Gold will react sharply to Fed policy shifts and geopolitical “surprises.” Watch the USD: A sustained DXY breakdown below 106 could turbocharge gold’s rally. Risk Management: Use options or trailing stops—gold’s moves could be exaggerated in thin liquidity. Final Note By February 2025, gold’s path will depend on how 2024’s unresolved macro risks (debt, inflation, elections) unfold. While the long-term bullish case for gold remains intact (debasement hedging, de-dollarization), short-term swings will hinge on Fed credibility. PLEASE BOOST US FOLLOW US AND SHARE OUR ANALYSIS
OANDA:XAUUSD
by realmillionairefx
ETH Building Blocks...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. ETH Building Blocks: 📈 Short-Term Bullish: ETH is currently trading within a short-term bullish block. 📈 Long-Term Bullish: If the $3,500 resistance level is broken to the upside, ETH is expected to enter a long-term bullish block, initiating a new bullish phase toward the $4,000 mark. 📉 Short-Term Bearish: If ETH breaks below the short-term bullish block at $3,250, it will enter a short-term bearish block phase. 📉 Long-Term Bearish: If the $3,000 level is broken to the downside, a long-term bearish movement toward the lower bound of the long-term bearish block, around the $2,500 mark, is expected. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
28
NFP LESS THAN EXPECTED. KEY LEVELS TO WATCHThe U.S. Non-farm Payrolls Changed By 143,000 In January, Compared With Expectations Of 175,000 And A Previous Value Of 256,000 KEY LEVELS. We expect a rise in xauusd value to 2894 . 2869 2874 2883 2889 2894 2910 Alternative scenario if 2860 is broken it may fall to 2855 and 2840 can act as a strong support. the ultimate support for current scenario is 2833. follow us for further updates boost us so that we can reach more people
OANDA:XAUUSD
by realmillionairefx
3
DE30 Strengthens Within Ascending Channel, next at 652.00?DJ:DE30 remains within a well-defined ascending channel, with price recently rebounding from a key support level. This suggests a continuation of the uptrend, with the next target near 652.00, aligning with the upper boundary of the channel. A short-term pullback could present a buying opportunity, particularly if bullish candlestick patterns like an engulfing or hammer formation emerge, confirming buyer strength. A decisive move above recent highs could reinforce momentum toward the expected target. But if we get a break below the channel’s lower boundary, it would invalidate the bullish outlook and signal a potential shift in market direction.
DJ:DE30Long
by TrendDiva
NFP Feb 25 - US30 NFP Trading Plan Feb 2025. Weaker NFP data with higher UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS (Bullish) Higher NFP data with Lower UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS (Bearish) Weaker NFP data with Neutral UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS (Choppy) NFP - Forecast 169K vs Previous 256K Unemployment Claims - Forecast 4.1% vs Previous 4.1% Here's the tricky Part. If data comes out as expected (NFP 169K - UEC 4.1%) thats Bullish, but a choppy market up & down until market finds a valid support/trend. Plan Of Action. Wait 5 - 15 min after data release. Identify the S&R zones. Wait for Break or Retest. Wait for confirmation (Candle close/Volume Break/Retest). Execute with Proper Risk Management. STICK TO PLAN OF ACTION!!! Support & Resistence Resistence - 44725 - 44750 Support - 44525 -44500 Technicals Monitor DXY for a weaker Dollar. Currently on the 4hr DXY chart we got a H&S Pattern with MA20 downside cross MA50 and RSI in sell area below 50. US30 we inverted H&S Pattern with MA20 trading close to MA50 for upside cross and RSI in Buy area above 50.
ICMARKETS:US30Long
by THE_US30FX
Are You a Technical or Fundamental Trader? (And Why It Matters)Financial markets are a battleground of opposing forces: buyers vs. sellers, bulls vs. bears, diamond hands vs. paper hands. But one of the oldest rivalries in trading doesn’t involve price movements at all — it’s the ongoing feud between technical and fundamental traders. One side believes the charts hold all the secrets (you, maybe?), while the other insists that cold, hard data dictates market direction (you, maybe?). In this Idea, we break down the two and ask: which side are you on? 📈 The Chartists: The Lost Art of Tape Reading Technical traders are the wizards of the candlestick, seeing patterns where others see chaos. To them, a moving average isn’t just a squiggly line — it’s guidance. Fibonacci levels ? More sacred than grandma’s secret pie recipe. They don’t care if a company just launched the greatest product of the century — if the RSI says it’s overbought, they’re out. Technical analysis thrives on one simple principle: price action reflects all available information and hints at the next possible move. Instead of diving into earnings reports or economic data — the fundamental traders’ bread and butter — technical traders study past price movements, volume, and momentum indicators to predict the next leg up or down. They’re the ones glued to their TradingView charts, eyes darting between support and resistance levels, waiting for the perfect breakout. 💸 The Fundamentalists: Betting on Real-World Events Fundamental traders scoff at the idea that lines on a chart can predict the future. Instead, they dig into earnings reports , economic calendars , and all sorts of reports and data. They believe markets, like everything else in life, move based on value, supply and demand, and macroeconomic forces—not just on price action. To them, a stock isn’t just a ticker symbol; it’s a business with revenues, expenses, and growth prospects. If they’re trading forex , they’re looking at interest rates USINTR and inflation reports USCPI , not head-and-shoulders patterns. The goal? To determine an asset’s intrinsic value and bet on it going up or down, ideally running ahead of the pack. If a company’s earnings are strong, like Spotify’s SPOT latest earnings figures , they buy—regardless of what a stochastic oscillator says. And vice versa, if a company’s earnings are weak, like Google parent Alphabet’s GOOGL latest showing , they sell. 👉👈 Who’s Right? Both, depending on who you ask. Technical traders argue that prices move in patterns, and those patterns repeat. Fundamental traders counter that real-world events drive prices, and charts are just a delayed reflection of reality. The truth may actually be somewhere in the middle — markets are a mix of both. Even the most die-hard fundamentalist will glance at a chart before making a trade, and many technical traders keep an eye on economic calendars to avoid being blindsided by major news. 💡 Why It Matters Your trading style affects everything: the markets you trade, the tools you use, and even your level of stress. If you’re a fundamentals-first trader trying to scalp five-minute charts, you’re in a world of pain. Conversely, if you’re a technical trader attempting to hold trades for years without considering financial data, you might miss obvious warning signs. Understanding your own tendencies can help refine your strategy and improve your results. Are you more comfortable crunching numbers and reading financial statements? You might be in the same boat with other cash-flow guys like Warren Buffett and Ray Dalio. Do you prefer spotting patterns and reacting to price action? Say hello to your billionaire buddies Paul Tudor Jones and Stanley Druckenmiller. 💚 Final Thoughts Bottom line, trading isn’t about proving one method superior — it’s about making the right decisions, and, let’s be frank, turning a profit. Whether you’re a chart junkie or an earnings aficionado, what matters most is having a strategy that works for you. So now the big question… which side are you on? Fundamental analysis or technical analysis? Comment below and let’s see who’s who!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by TradingView
33
GBP/NZD Channel Breakout (5.2.2025)The GBP/NZD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 2.1862 2nd Support – 2.1765 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
17
Fundamental Market Analysis for February 6, 2025 EURUSDThe euro is trying to consolidate after breaking a six-day losing streak, with EUR/USD still holding at 1.0400. US employment change data from ADP showed stronger-than-expected results for January, with a net increase in the number of people employed coming in at 183k, beating the expected decline to 150k from December's revised 176k. While the ADP jobs data unreliably predicts the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data expected later in the week, the increase bolsters investor confidence that the US economy remains on solid ground. Early Thursday will see the release of pan-European retail sales data for December. Median forecasts expect the figure to rise to 1.9% y/y, up from 1.2% in the previous period. However, the month-on-month figure is expected to fall to -0.1% from 0.1%. The most important release this week will be the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday. Investors expect the January NFP to fall to 170k from December's 256k. Traders will also be watching for revisions to previous months' data. Those expecting a rate cut are becoming increasingly frustrated with the sustained strength of the US economy as labour statistics are often revised upwards. Trade recommendation: Watch the level of 1.0370, when fixing below consider Sell positions, when rebounding consider Buy positions.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
BTC/USDT -H1- Bearish Channel (06.02.2025)The BTC/USDT Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 90412 2nd Support – 87124 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
13
Bullish Trading Setup on XAU/USDGold looks to poised for more gains, might run into some resistance around $2784-$2790 but overall since bullish trend line support seems to be intact for now. We will look for a breakout and targets around $2812 & $2868. Risk to reward on this is 1:2. Entry: $2756.00 Stops: $2700.00 Targets: $2812 & $2868 Follow me for more trading setups & opportunities. Note: Financial Markets carry a great risk. Manage your positions wisely. This isn't trading advice. The setups I post are my own perspectives and how I view the markets after personal analysis of market structures and price action.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trader_97
Gold Breaks Records Above $2,850Gold surged past $2,850 per ounce, hitting a record high as investors turned to reliable long-term assets with fears that the US-China trade war could slow global growth. While President Trump delayed tariffs on Mexico and Canada, he imposed a 10% duty on Chinese imports, prompting Beijing to announce retaliatory tariffs on US energy products effective next week. Adding to the uncertainty, Trump suggested US control over the Gaza Strip for reconstruction. Meanwhile, interest rate futures signaled rising expectations for two Fed rate cuts this year, a sharp shift from last month’s outlook. Weaker-than-expected job openings in the JOLTS report and a six-month low in factory orders reinforced this sentiment. Technically, resistance levels stand at 2879, 2917, and 2950. Support is at 2830, followed by 2790 and 2760.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by ChartMage
EUR/NZD Triangle Breakout (5.2.2025)The EUR/NZD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.8220 2nd Support – 1.8140 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
6
Fundamental Market Analysis for February 5, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) is attracting fresh buyers after data released during Wednesday's Asian session showed a rise in real wages in Japan, confirming bets that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will raise interest rates again. This is significantly at odds with expectations that the Federal Reserve (BoJ) will cut borrowing costs twice before the end of this year. As a result, the narrowing rate differential between Japan and the U.S. will support yen yields. In addition, the weakening U.S. dollar (USD) led the USD/JPY pair to fall to mid 153.0, or the lowest level since December 18, in the last hour. Meanwhile, investors remain concerned that Japan could also be targeted by US President Donald Trump's trade tariffs. This, along with a risk-on sentiment, could deter traders from making new bullish bets on the safe-haven yen. Nevertheless, the fundamental backdrop supports the outlook for further yen strength. The Japanese yen hit a one-month high against the US dollar amid expectations of a Bank of Japan rate hike. Expectations of further narrowing of the rate differential between Japan and the US also support the yen. Trading recommendation: Trade mainly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Dogecoin (DOGE)📌 Dogecoin (DOGE) Technical Analysis 🔷 Introduction: Dogecoin (DOGE) is one of the oldest meme coins in the crypto market, consistently remaining in the spotlight thanks to strong community support and endorsements from influential figures like Elon Musk. Given the recent surge in trading volume and price fluctuations, a technical analysis of DOGE can provide valuable insights for investors. 📊 Technical Analysis 📌 Overall Market Condition: 🔹 After a sharp rally, DOGE has entered a correction phase and is currently fluctuating within a descending channel. 🔹 The price has reached the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level and the key support zone of $0.19 - $0.20. 🔹 Historically, this area has acted as a significant support level. 📈 Bullish Scenario: ✅ Reaction to the bottom of the descending channel → potential for an upward trend. ✅ Entry confirmation upon signs of reversal and a breakout above the channel. ✅ Possible targets if the descending channel is broken: 🔸 TP1: $0.52 - $0.57 🔸 TP2: $0.85 - $0.94 ✅ Key Consideration: After reaching TP1, market behavior and trend strength should be reassessed. 📉 Bearish Scenario: ❌ If the $0.19 support level is broken and the price stabilizes below it, further decline is likely. ❌ Key support levels in case of a breakdown: 🔻 $0.128 🔻 $0.093 ❌ A decline in trading volume and increased selling pressure would indicate weak buyer momentum. 📌 Conclusion: 🔹 The bottom of the descending channel could present a buying opportunity, but it comes with high risk. 🔹 A breakout above the channel may trigger a price surge toward $0.52 and beyond. 🔹 Risk management is crucial—breaking below $0.19 could be a strong bearish signal. ⚠️ Disclaimer: The crypto market is highly volatile. Always define your exit strategy before entering a trade and strictly adhere to your stop-loss plan.
by alizeynali69
Gold (XAU/USD) 4H: Bullish with Possible Pullback?Gold (XAU/USD) 4H Chart Analysis: Bullish Trend with Possible Pullback Key Observations: 1. Price Action & Trend: The price is currently trading around $2,817.685. The trend appears bullish, with a strong upward move. There is a marked internal liquidity (Int. LQ) taken, indicating that liquidity has been absorbed, which could lead to further upside. A market structure break (MB filled) suggests past resistance turned into support. 2. Technical Indicators: Exponential Moving Average (EMA 200, red line) is at $2,709.123, which is significantly below the current price. This suggests that gold is in a strong uptrend. Relative Strength Index (RSI, 14 close) is at 68.56, nearing the overbought zone (70) but still has room for potential upside. 3. Projected Movement: The chart suggests a potential pullback (small consolidation) before further upward movement. Fair volume ranges (marked in red) indicate levels where price may slow down or consolidate before continuation. Price is above key liquidity levels, which may act as support. Conclusion: The trend remains bullish, and the price could continue rising after a minor consolidation. Key levels to watch: Support: Around $2,800 (former liquidity level). Resistance: Next potential target is $2,840 - $2,860. Risk Consideration: RSI is approaching overbought levels, so a short-term correction could occur before another push higher.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrStellanSight
Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) Stock AnalysisPalantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) has recently demonstrated strong financial performance, leading to a significant surge in its stock price. The stock currently trades at $103.32, reflecting a 22% increase, reaching an all-time high of $106.91. Recent Financial Performance In Q4 2024, Palantir reported revenue of $828 million, marking a 36% year-over-year increase and surpassing analyst expectations of $776 million. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) increased by 75% to $0.14, beating the estimated $0.11 EPS. The company’s 2025 revenue outlook is highly optimistic, forecasting between $3.741 billion and $3.757 billion, well above the market’s expectations of $3.503 billion. For Q1 2025, Palantir expects revenue between $858 million and $862 million, again exceeding analysts' estimates of $799 million. Analyst Ratings & Market Sentiment Investment firms have taken note of Palantir's impressive performance: Morgan Stanley upgraded its rating from "underweight" to "equal weight", raising its price target from $60 to $95, acknowledging the company’s strong AI-driven growth and optimistic outlook. Wedbush Securities' Dan Ives increased the price target to $120, citing Palantir’s dominant position in the AI market and its continued expansion in both government and commercial sectors. Stock Performance & Outlook Palantir’s stock price has seen a sharp rise, fueled by strong AI-related growth, increased government contracts, and expanding enterprise adoption. The stock’s 22% surge reflects investor confidence, but some analysts remain cautious due to valuation concerns. Conclusion Palantir's strong earnings, aggressive revenue growth, and increasing adoption of its AI-driven platforms make it a promising investment opportunity. However, potential risks include high valuation and market volatility. Investors should conduct further research to assess whether Palantir fits their portfolio strategy.
NASDAQ:PLTR
by MindOverMarket
Alphabet (GOOGL) Analysis – Potential Downside RisksAlphabet is currently trading at $205. While it could still move higher, several factors might drive the price lower soon: Extended Distance from 55 EMA: The stock hasn’t touched the 55-day EMA for 147 days. While this doesn’t mean a pullback will happen immediately, a sharper downside move is possible. Bearish Divergence: The RSI has formed a lower high, while the price has made a higher high, signaling a potential bearish divergence. Fundamental Risks – AI & Earnings: Earnings Report on Tuesday: Alphabet will report its earnings, and investors will focus on its high AI-related expenditures. Revenue Growth Concerns: The company may have experienced slower revenue growth in Q4 due to weakness in advertising and cloud services. Competitive Pressure in AI: Chinese startup DeepSeek recently launched low-cost AI models, raising concerns over a potential AI price war, which could impact Alphabet’s profitability. While Alphabet remains strong, combining technical weakness and fundamental risks (earnings pressure, AI spending, and increased competition) could lead to a correction. If a pullback occurs, the 55 EMA could act as a key support level. 92% of positions are long. We all know the old saying—most people lose in trading. So if 92% of the market is long, we should at least be short for the moment. This extreme bullish positioning suggests a potential contrarian opportunity, as overly crowded trades often lead to sharp reversals.
NASDAQ:GOOGLShort
by BOT721
Gold Price Analysis: Potential Pullback After Hitting Resistance 1. Uptrend Channel Formation: The price has been moving upwards within a parallel ascending channel (blue zone). The midline (red dashed line) acts as a dynamic support/resistance level. 2. Current Price Action: The price recently touched the upper boundary of the channel and faced resistance at around $2,798. A rejection occurred, as indicated by the red arrow suggesting a potential pullback. Key Support & Resistance Levels: Resistance: Near $2,800 - $2,805 (upper boundary of the channel). Support: $2,780 - $2,770 (midline red dashed area). $2,740 - $2,720 (lower channel boundary). Potential Scenarios: 1. Bearish Correction (Likely Scenario) If the price fails to hold above $2,780, it could test the $2,760-$2,740 support area. A break below the channel may lead to a deeper correction. 2. Bullish Continuation If buyers defend the $2,780-$2,760 support, the uptrend could resume, aiming for new highs above $2,800. Trading Considerations: Short-term traders: Watch for price action near $2,780-$2,760 for potential buy signals. Breakout traders: A confirmed break below $2,740 could indicate a shift in trend.
TVC:GOLDShort
by FOREX_QUEEN_10
EUR/USD Poised for Reversal from Key Demand Zone – Smart Money A📊 Market Outlook: Bullish Reversal from Demand Zone EUR/USD is approaching a critical daily demand zone (highlighted in yellow), where we anticipate a potential trend reversal. The technical and fundamental data suggest that a buying opportunity is emerging. 🔹 Why Am I Bullish on EUR? ✅ Retail Traders Overloaded on Shorts – The retail crowd is excessively short, which often leads to short squeezes when smart money steps in. ✅ Non-Commercial Traders are Overly Short – CFTC data reveals that large speculative traders hold extreme short positions, signaling a potential contrarian move. ✅ Commercial Traders Accumulating Longs – The smart money (hedgers & institutions) are heavily long on EUR, suggesting value buying at these levels. ✅ Key Demand Zone in Play – Price is approaching a major liquidity pocket, historically acting as strong support and a reversal zone. 🔹 Technical Levels to Watch 📍 Support Zone: Yellow Area On Chart 📈 My Trade Bias: Waiting for confirmation signs in the demand zone. Looking for bullish structure shifts & momentum buyers stepping in. 🚀 What do you think? Will EUR/USD bounce from here or break lower? Comment below! 👇📩 #EURUSD #Forex #SmartMoney #OrderFlow #Liquidity #PriceAction #CFTCData #ForexTrading #FXAnalysis
CME:6E1!Long
by Inevitable_Trader
Silver Analysis by zForex Research TeamSilver Gains as U.S. Factory Growth and Market Deficit Support Prices Silver rose above $31.5 per ounce, staying near its highest level since early December, as easing trade war fears and strong manufacturing data increased demand. While Trump imposed 10% tariffs on China and 25% on Canada and Mexico, a delay in Mexico’s tariffs reduced concerns over protectionist policies. The ISM reported improving U.S. factory activity, strengthening silver’s outlook as a key industrial metal. Meanwhile, the Silver Institute projected a fifth consecutive market deficit in 2025, driven by strong industrial demand and retail investment, outweighing weaker jewelry and silverware demand. Technically, the first resistance level will be 31.80 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 32.50 and 32.90. On the downside, 30.90 will be the first support level. 30.20 and 29.30 are the next levels to observe if the first support level is breached.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by ChartMage