USOIL: Multi-Timeframe Analysis | Strong Setup FormingI've been looking at various markets recently, and USOIL really stood out to me. I want to share how I analyze markets using a mechanical top-down approach across all timeframes to form my trading bias.
Top-Down Analysis:
This method is crucial in my trading strategy. It helps me stay objective by focusing on what the market is indicating regarding trends and key levels, rather than letting my personal opinions cloud my judgment.
By adopting a systematic approach, I've been able to reduce doubts and fears in my trading decisions.
Now, let's dive into the top-down analysis process.
12M:
2W:
6H:
Analysis
GBPUSD: Counter-Trend BreakoutThis is actually a counter-trend trade that I've been eyeing on the GBPUSD pair. Price rallied from August to October before breaching the trendline.
Earlier this month, I plotted two support levels and now price is breaking and accelerating from the second support level.
ADR: 63.5
SL: 60
TP: 140
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 22, 2024 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) appreciated against its US counterpart during Tuesday's Asian session, partially recovering from the previous day's decline to its lowest level since late July. The recent verbal intervention from the Japanese authorities, coupled with a slight deterioration in global risk sentiment, have been instrumental in providing support to the safe-haven yen. However, the potential for gains for the yen is constrained by uncertainty surrounding the timing and pace of further interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan (BoJ).
Meanwhile, concerns over the possibility of a widening budget deficit following the US presidential election on 5 November and bets on a less aggressive easing policy from the Federal Reserve (Fed) have pushed US Treasury yields to their highest levels in almost three months. This could result in significant appreciation of the Japanese Yen being contained. In addition, the underlying bullish tone on the US Dollar (USD) supports the prospects of some dip-buying in the USD/JPY pair.
Trade recommendation: Trading predominantly Buy orders from the current price level.
Sell BTC/USDT Wedge BreakoutThe BTC/USDT pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Wedge Pattern pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 67600, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 64756
2nd Support – 63264
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 69940. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
PayPal (PYPL): Elliott Wave update - final target in sightSince our entry in PayPal, the stock has performed exceptionally well, respecting the Elliott wave structure and currently providing us with a return of over 35%. This price action demonstrates how effectively PayPal follows the Elliott wave count, reinforcing our bullish outlook.
We have now set our stop loss at break even, allowing us to safeguard our gains while continuing to benefit from potential upward movement. During the recent wave (4), we chose not to enter, but it's important to note that the price respected the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level precisely, indicating a strong likelihood that similar levels will be respected in future corrections.
PayPal is currently advancing through wave (5), and we anticipate this wave to conclude soon. Our target for the larger wave (iii) stands at $81, with wave (5) potentially reaching up to $84. However, there is a possibility that wave (5) may conclude before reaching the wave (iii) target. Therefore, we will closely monitor the situation, keeping our alerts ready to react as needed.
Once PayPal moves into the $81 target area, we will look to secure additional profits. Should the price action align with our projections, we will consider re-entering at wave (iv) for further opportunities. Until then, we let our position continue running.
Gold reaches historic high – $2700!Gold prices (XAUUSD) have reached a new all-time high, surpassing $2700 per ounce for the first time in history! The yellow metal, which has been rising for nine consecutive months, received fresh momentum in September from the Fed’s rate cut. Silver (XAGUSD) hasn’t been left behind either, and is currently trading at highs not seen since 2012. Prices are now around $32.30 per ounce, with silver’s growth this year increasing to 35%!
On November 21, 2023, we first alerted traders to the immense potential of precious metals. Less than a year has passed, and the returns since our forecast have reached 36%! After reaching yet another historical high, gold shows no signs of slowing down.
Factors driving precious metal price growth and expert opinions:
Major purchases by central banks: Gold prices are rising due to significant metal purchases by central banks, increasing its value.
Geopolitical instability: Escalating geopolitical instability, particularly in the Middle East, is driving demand for metals as safe-haven assets. Ongoing conflicts in various regions also contribute to rising gold and silver prices.
Expectations of a Fed rate cut: Investors are anticipating a possible interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve, making metals more attractive as investment tools. According to CME data, the probability of a rate cut at the upcoming Fed meeting on November 7 stands at 92.3%, increasing the appeal of precious metals as investments.
Growth forecasts: Analysts predict that gold prices could reach $2850 per ounce by the end of the year and $3100 in the long term.
Projections by major financial institutions: ING and other financial organizations expect gold prices to peak in the fourth quarter of this year, with potential prices reaching up to $2900 per ounce by mid-2025.
Read quality analytics and profit with us!
Euro will make move down and then rebound up from wedgeHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price declined to mirror line and then started to grow. In a short time, the price broke the 1.1000 level, made a correction to the resistance area, and then continued to move up to the seller zone. When it reached this area, the price soon turned around and dropped to the mirror line. Euro some time traded near this line and then fell to the 1.1000 level, breaking the mirror line. Also then, the price started to trades inside the wedge, where it first rose between the mirror line to the seller zone again. When the Euro reached this area, it turned around and made a downward impulse, thereby breaking 1.1175 and 1.1000 levels, after which made retest and continued to fall to the support line of the wedge. At the moment, the price trades very close to the resistance line of the wedge, so, for this case, I think that the Euro can little decline and then rebound up, thereby exiting from the wedge. For this case, I set my TP at 1.095 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
HelenP. I Gold will correct to trend line and then continue riseHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. In the chart, we can see how the price, some time ago, rebounded from support 2, which coincided with the support zone and tried to grow but failed. After this, the price started to decline, and some time later, it reached support 2 again. Then Gold broke this support level and even fell lower support zone and reached the trend line, after which price started to grow. But firstly, the price broke the trend line and then in a short time rose to the 1-st support level, where Gold broke the trend line with this level again. Next, the price continued to move up between the trend line, and even later made a gap. Some time later Gold reached support 1, and even broke it, after which broke the trend line too and now it continues to grow higher this line. In my mind, XAUUSD will correct to the trend line, some time trades near, and then continue to move up, therefore I set my goal at 2745 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
XAUUSD, 15-MINUTES TIMEFRAME CHARTXAUUSD, 15-minute timeframe chart
Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a buy limit order at 2,726.30.
Set your stop loss at 2,722.30 below the previous low ($4.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 2,736.30 ($10.00 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
Italy 40: Trend Breakout34,820~ was a major level for the Italy 40 index. This level held since June 2024 and I saw price breach above it just near the end of last week.
As I look for the trading session ahead, further upside potential is expected provided that price is able to remain supported above this level.
ADR: 40
SL: 40
TP: 80
GBP/USD idea short Hey everyone i have a possible idea to go short on gbpusd on the daily timeframe.
It goes like this the rising wedge pattern has been broken and is on the right track to a head and shoulders pattern if the pattern is nicely formed then go to a lower timeframe to follow the bearish trend.
Wishing everyone a good trading week!!
#bearish #headandshoulders #short
NAS100USD shows volume up (↑)Trading is all about repeated patterns, and the most unlikely pattern are the one that goes against the trend. Either way it might just be a 50% chance of being right, but then once you're right, the chances of your trade to make a big move is even higher. Now the repeated pattern on this chart is determined by volume, it is recently showing repeated movements up with more volume up on each repeated move. The first line shows a potential pattern and the second white line shows the next point which a repeated move will go unless there's a reversal which are not showing at the moment.
HelenP. I Bitcoin will fall to trend line and then rebound upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Some days ago, the price declined almost to support 2 but soon turned around and started to grow. In a short time, BTC rose to support 1, which coincided with the current support zone, and some time traded near, after which it dropped to support 2. When the price fell, it broke the 62000 support level and some time traded below, after which it quickly rose back and trades higher. Later price broke support 2 again and fell to the trend line, after which it turned around and started to move up. Soon, the price reached support 2, broke it, and then made a correction to the trend line, after which rebounded and continued to move up. Later BTC reached support 1, broke it, and rose one more, but a not long time ago it turned around and started to decline. So, in my mind, BTCUSDT will fall to the trend line, which is located inside the support zone, and then continue to move up. For this case, I set my goal at 69000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Stan Weinstein Theory on NetflixThe 4 Market Phases
Stan Weinstein describes the evolution of stocks in four main phases:
- Phase 1: Accumulation
The market is flat after a prolonged decline. Smart investors start buying.
- Phase 2: Uptrend
The price breaks a key level and rises above the 30-week moving average, which is rising. This is the ideal phase to buy.
- Phase 3: Distribution
The market stabilizes after a rise. Big investors sell, and the moving average stabilizes. This is the beginning of the end of the uptrend.
- Phase 4: Downtrend
The price breaks a key support, the moving average goes down. Avoid buying or selling to limit losses.
Key Indicators
30-week moving average: In an uptrend, the price is above. In a downtrend, it is below.
Volume: Increasing volume during breakouts confirms the strength of the trend.
Weinstein advises buying early in Phase 2 and selling early in Phase 4 to follow major market trends.
Analysis made in collaboration with @Yannick1961
HelenP. I Euro can break trend line and then continue to fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. In this chart, we can see how the price some days ago rebounded from the resistance zone, which coincided with resistance 1 and started to grow. In a short time, EUR rose to resistance 2, which coincided with one more resistance zone (1.1170 - 1.1140), and even rose a little higher, but soon turned around and declined below. Next, the price some time traded below resistance 2, after which it later turned around and rose back to the resistance zone (1.1170 - 1.1140). Price some time traded in this area, until it reached the trend line, after which price started to decline. In a short time, the EUR broke the resistance level (1.1140) and continued to decline near the trend line. Later price reached the resistance zone (1.0925 - 1.0900) and soon broke resistance 1, after which made a retest and then continued to move down. At the moment price trying to break the trend line, and I expect that EURUSD will break this line, reach the resistance level, and then continue to fall to the trend line. That's why I set my goal at 1.075 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
EURO - Price can continue to decline inside falling channelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price started to grow inside rising channel, where it soon broke 2-nd ($1.1090) resistance level.
After this movement, price some time traded between resistance line of channel and with resistance area.
And last time it bounced from resistance line and broke $1.1090 level, thereby exiting from rising channel too.
Next, price continued to move down inside falling channel, where it broke 1-st ($1.0950) resistance level recently.
Now price continues to fall near resistance line of channel, and I think Euro can rise a little higher resistance line.
Then price will turn around and continue to fall to $1.0760 support line of falling channel.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
BITCOIN - Price can make correction and then continue to riseHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price entered to wedge, where it at once declined from resistance line to support line.
Also, it broke $58900 level, but later BTC backed up and broke this level one more time, after which made a correction.
Then price in a short time rose to $65800 level, and even entered to support area, but then bounced down.
Price exited from wedge and then started to trades inside triangle, where it fell to support line first.
After this movement, BTC started to grow and soon reached $65800 level, broke it, and now trades close support line.
Possible, price can exit from triangle, fall to support area, and then bounce up to $71500
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
EURUSD Bullish trade idea from 1.08071 - 1.07841.EURUSD Bullish trade idea from 1.08071 to 1.07841.
The Price already tested the zone at 1.08137 and pushed back with price rejections and a strong confirmations candle.
As per the DXY (Dollar Index) last fall will also positively affect the price; the proper setup will also have a proper stop loss behind the 1.07816 level because last time market moved a fake breakout of structure in August 24 which also mentioned.
The target level will be 1.10013 to 1.10654.
When taking an entry on the Euro, please place a stop-loss and take 1-2 % risk on your account balance.
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 18, 2024 EURUSDEUR/USD broke its four-day losing streak, trading near 1.0840 during the Asian session on Friday. However, the US dollar (USD) received support and hit a two-month high of 103.87 on Thursday, helped by a good US retail sales report, which fueled expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may go for a nominal rate cut.
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is a 90.8% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut in November and a 74.0% chance of another cut in December.
U.S. retail sales rose 0.4% month-over-month in September, exceeding both August's 0.1% increase and market expectations for a 0.3% increase.
Initial jobless claims in the U.S. fell by 19,000 in the week ended October 11, the largest decline in three months. Total claims fell to 241,000, well below the 260,000 expected.
However, the euro faced downward pressure following Thursday's decision by the European Central Bank (ECB).
The ECB cut its main refinancing operations rate and deposit rate by 25 basis points to 3.40% and 3.25%, respectively.
Trade recommendation: Watch the level of 1.0860, when fixing above consider Buy positions, when rebounding consider Sell positions.