Gold Price Forecast: Key Levels to Watch !!Gold Price Analysis: 🔑 Key Zones and 📉 Potential Reversal at MA200
1️⃣ Resistance Zone 🟥:
The red-highlighted area marks a strong resistance zone. A breakout 🚀 above this level could lead to bullish momentum.
2️⃣ Liquidity Zones 💧:
The "In LQ" region shows where liquidity may be resting, suggesting possible retracements or reversals near this point.
3️⃣ 200 EMA Support 📊:
The MA200 (2,734.059) is a critical support level. A breakdown 🔻 here could send prices lower, testing further support levels.
📈 Potential Scenarios:
🔼 Bullish: Break above resistance 🟥 with higher highs.
🔽 Bearish: Rejection from resistance 🟥 leading to a drop toward the MA200 support 📉.
Watch these levels closely! 🔎
Analysis
ON Semi is fundamentally undervalued and ready for a reversalTechnical View
NASDAQ:ON ON bounce off from a bigger support area from 2022 at around $53 building an ascending triangle. We have a gap above our current price (which can function as a magnet for the stock price). A smaller resistance at $60 might be our first target and the bigger resistance at $77 could be our final target resulting in 36% ROI. The trade would be invalidated below $50. Since this is a bigger swing trade, I would not put my SL to close to the current stock price. If you’re interested why this is a mid- to long-term swing trade read the fundamental information below.
Support Zones
$50-53
Target Zones
$60
$77
Fundamental View
ON Semiconductor concluded the third quarter of 2024 with revenue amounting to $1,762 million, reflecting a 2% increase from the second quarter but a -19.2% year-over-year decline. Nevertheless, the revenue for the quarter exceeded the consensus estimate by 0.70%. The most significant revenue losses were observed in the industrial end-market, with figures reaching $439.90 million compared to the average estimate of $464.97 million, marking a -28.6% decrease.
The gross margin experienced a 2% improvement, now constituting 45.4% of total revenue. Looking ahead, the acquisition of GlobalFoundries’ New York plant is anticipated to enhance the company's chip production capabilities. This facility is expected to maintain consistent production costs while simultaneously increasing production efficiency, in anticipation of a future rise in demand.
The stock has decreased by 11.26% on a year-to-date basis, with a reported trailing twelve months (TTM) earnings per share (EPS) of $4.03. Management has reported having over $1 billion in free cash flow and plans, according to Barron’s, to utilize half of each quarter’s cash flow to repurchase shares under onsemi’s Share Repurchase Program. The reduction in investments will contribute to increasing free cash flow margins, thereby reinforcing OnSemi’s objective of returning 50% of free cash flow to investors. This, combined with a projected slight improvement in sales growth and profitability, is expected to elevate EPS to $7.11 by 2027.
Currently, the company's valuation appears reasonable, trading at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 13.49, which is lower than 90% of the time over the past five years and significantly beneath the S&P 500 P/E ratio as well as the industry median P/E of 25.4. Based on analysts' projections for EPS and maintaining a steady P/E ratio, the company is anticipated to reach a price of $95.91 within the next two years. While this scenario may seem overly optimistic, it is evident that the market is currently undervaluing the stock, especially when compared to its main competitors, such as Texas Instruments and Analog Devices.
Since EV is a superior trend I don’t think Trumps political decision will have an impact. In addition, “Vice President” Musk has a, let’s say, not so little interest in selling more EVs.
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 24, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is attracting buyers towards 1.04500 in the early Asian session on Friday, fuelled by a weaker US Dollar (USD). Later on Friday, preliminary Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data for January in the Eurozone and Germany will be released. In the US, the flash S&P PMI for January will take centre stage.
U.S. President Donald Trump's remarks at the World Economic Forum in Davos led to a decline in the U.S. dollar against a basket of major currencies. Late on Thursday, Trump said he wants to see interest rates cut immediately and accordingly they should fall across the board.
‘The markets seem to be more concerned about lower rates and any indication that they're going to be cut’, said David Eng, an investment adviser at Sonora Wealth Group in Vancouver.
Meanwhile, ECB President Christine Lagarde emphasised on Wednesday that the central bank is ‘not too concerned’ about the risk of inflation from abroad and will continue to cut interest rates at a gradual pace. Markets have priced in a nearly 96% probability that the ECB will cut rates at its upcoming meeting.
Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Buy orders from the current price level.
GOLD-XAUUSDXAUUSD Gold Analysis: The market is in the center zone, indicating potential for upward movement. Look for buying opportunities as the price approaches support levels. Once the market reaches a strong resistance, it could signal a sell setup. Stay cautious, plan your entry and exit carefully, and manage your risk effectively!
Bitcoin can turn back to the seller zone from the support lineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. By observing the chart, we can see that the price some days ago reached a resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, and then dropped to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, and then started to trades in the range. In range, BTC at once rebounded from the support level and tried to grow, but failed and fell back. After this, the price bounced up and then turned around and declined to the buyer zone, after which started to grow. A short time later, Bitcoin rose to the top part of the range and then dropped to the buyer zone back, making a fake breakout of the support level, and then turning back to the range. Price sometimes traded near the 93200 level and later broke it, exiting from the range also and falling to 90800 points. Then BTC made a strong impulse up from this point and rose to almost resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, after which corrected to the support line. Then BTC rebounded up from this line and rose to the seller zone, reaching a new ATH (109K), and soon fell back to the support line. But recently price bounced from this line and started to grow. So, for this case, I think that BTC can fall to the support line and then rebound up to the seller zone, breaking the resistance level. That's why I set my TP at 109500 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Nvidia. Analysis and Price Forecast: A Strategic OutlookIntroduction:
Nvidia Inc. (NASDAQ: NVDA) continues to be at the forefront of the AI and semiconductor revolution, showcasing robust innovation and a compelling business model. This analysis leverages advanced tools such as TheWaved™ and utilizes VSA Analysis, Technical Indicators, Price Action, and Fundamental Analysis to craft a comprehensive forecast.
Recent Price Movements and Key Patterns:
1. Candle Pattern Analysis:
From the provided patterns sequence data:
January 13, 2025, 14:00:
Pattern: "Increased Buy Volumes"
Movement: +6.69% from open to close, suggesting strong buyer activity and market confidence.
January 10, 2025, 16:00:
Pattern: "Buy Volumes Take Over"
Movement: -5.7%, indicating potential sell-offs after profit-taking.
These patterns highlight the recent tug-of-war between buyers and sellers, creating opportunities for strategic entries and exits.
2. Key Levels and Trend Analysis:
From technicals:
Current Price: $135.19
Resistance Levels:
Short-Term: $139.48 (MA200 on the hourly chart)
Mid-Term: $141.15 (MA100)
Support Levels:
Immediate: $127.30
Key Support Zone: $123.69-$127.30
Nvidia's price is trading below critical moving averages (e.g., MA50 and MA200), suggesting a potential rebound or consolidation phase before further directional movement.
Multi-Dimensional Analysis:
1. Volume Spread Analysis (VSA):
Analysis: Strong buy patterns are evident, with significant volume upticks near critical support zones. This implies institutional interest in accumulation phases.
Prediction: Anticipate continuation of buying pressure if price stabilizes above $135. Resistance at $140 may pose challenges in the short term.
2. Fundamental Insights:
Nvidia’s Q4 earnings report showed record revenue driven by AI GPU demand.
Major customers in cloud computing and automotive industries continue to bolster growth.
However, rising interest rates and potential geopolitical risks (e.g., China’s tech policies) might pressure valuations.
3. Price Action Analysis:
Recent bullish engulfing candles near $127 indicate buyer confidence.
Price may revisit $130 before testing $140. Breaking $140 could pave the way to retest $150 (January’s absolute high).
Projections:
Short-Term (1 Week):
Target: $138.50
Stop-Loss: $132.00
Rationale: A breakout above MA50 ($136.93) will signal short-term bullish momentum.
Mid-Term (1 Month):
Target: $145.00
Stop-Loss: $130.00
Rationale: Stabilization above $140 supported by institutional buying and potential macroeconomic support.
Long-Term (3-6 Months):
Target: $160.00
Stop-Loss: $125.00
Rationale: Continued demand for Nvidia’s GPUs in AI and automotive applications combined with broader tech sector recovery.
Strategic Recommendations:
Support Levels:
-
1. 127.3
2. 123.69
3. 113.9
4. 90.4855
5. 87.88
Resistance Levels:
-
1. 127.3
2. 123.69
3. 113.9
4. 90.4855
5. 87.88
Powerful Support Levels:
-
Powerful Resistance Levels:
-
1. 89.599
2. 89.599
3. 63.974
4. 63.974
5. 48.462
Above $160: Consider reducing positions to hedge against potential market corrections.
3. Stop-Loss & Risk Management:
Strict stop-loss at $130 for short-term trades.
Trail stops to lock profits as price moves favorably.
Tools and Insights:
Analysis powered by TheWaved™, leveraging decades of professional experience and cutting-edge analytics. Key insights have been shared to align with both retail and institutional perspectives.
Call to Action:
For personalized queries or deeper insights into Nvidia’s price action, feel free to reach out via direct message. Explore our tools and indicators through the link in our profile.
Concept of Rays
Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept
Core Idea
My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns.
Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible
Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement.
Disclaimer: This analysis reflects the author’s perspective based on available data and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risks; ensure proper due diligence.
Follow TheWaved for more actionable insights!
Is GMTUSDT Primed for a Breakout?Catch the Wave: GMT on the Verge of a Key Move
As of today, GMTUSDT is trading at $0.1066, standing 97.43% below its historical high of $4.15 from April 2022 and recovering 26.15% from its August 2024 low of $0.0845. The asset’s recent movement shows potential for significant momentum, supported by critical technical markers and volume patterns.
Despite the broader market's indecision, GMTUSDT’s RSI hovers near 53.53, signaling a neutral yet cautiously optimistic stance, while the MFI indicates underwhelming buying pressure at 37.10. This mix of metrics places the asset at a crossroads: consolidation or breakout?
Yesterday, a VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern emerged, hinting at a short-term pullback, but this follows a sequence of "Buy Volume Max" patterns earlier in the week, showcasing a potential accumulation phase. With resistance clustering at $0.1228 and $0.1294, traders should watch for a break above these levels, as this could ignite a rally fueled by a mix of technical and fundamental catalysts.
The question remains: Is the market ready for GMT to reclaim the bullish narrative? For traders and investors, the coming days may offer a defining moment. Are you prepared to ride the wave or step aside?
Roadmap: Tracking GMTUSDT's Patterns to Decode Market Moves
2025-01-19 02:00:00 – VSA Sell Pattern 2
This pattern set the stage with a Sell direction, identifying a potential breakdown below the high_3_bars level of 0.1286. However, the next pattern on 2025-01-19 07:00:00, a VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st, flipped the narrative, signaling bullish action. This suggests the Sell Pattern 2 failed to activate its trigger point at the high level, indicating limited influence on the market.
2025-01-19 07:00:00 – VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st
Marked as the turning point, this Buy direction triggered a rally from its low of 0.1195, creating a bullish sequence. Confirmation came with subsequent Buy Volume Max patterns, solidifying the shift in sentiment. Price momentum surged upward, aligning with the main direction of this pattern.
2025-01-20 00:00:00 – Sell Volumes Max
After bullish patterns dominated, this pattern forecasted a Sell direction. The price, previously testing highs near 0.1238, reversed and validated the Sell setup as the market retraced. This indicates a well-executed pivot, setting up traders for potential downside plays.
2025-01-21 16:00:00 – VSA Sell Pattern 4
A critical pattern, forecasting a Sell direction with low_3_bars at 0.099. This confirmed a broader bearish sentiment. As the price failed to reclaim the 0.1051 resistance level, the downward trajectory suggested the market respected the triggers outlined in this pattern.
2025-01-21 17:00:00 – VSA Buy Pattern 5
This pattern followed shortly after, signaling a potential reversal. The Buy direction saw a quick test of prior lows near 0.0979, rallying to challenge 0.1045, providing strong short-term recovery opportunities. This validated the market's responsiveness to consecutive directional shifts.
Conclusion :
The roadmap reveals GMTUSDT's intricate dance between buying and selling pressures, with several patterns confirming their predicted directions and delivering actionable opportunities for traders. Successful patterns like VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st and Sell Volumes Max provided clear guidance, while occasional misfires remind traders of the importance of trigger points and market confirmation.
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
Support Levels:
The first safety net for GMTUSDT sits at 0.0845, marking the absolute low from August 2024. If buyers fail to hold this line, expect increased pressure, and this level will likely flip into resistance.
Resistance Levels:
GMT faces a series of resistance hurdles ahead. The immediate test is at 0.1228, followed by 0.1294 and 0.1344. If bulls break through these zones, the next battleground lies at 0.1384 and 0.1472. Should these levels reject price action, expect them to act as a ceiling for any upside attempts.
Powerful Support Levels:
Long-term bulls will eye 0.2448, 0.4541, 0.7402, and 0.9678 as key zones for accumulating positions during any deeper corrections. These levels are fortress-like and pivotal for significant reversals.
Powerful Resistance Levels:
While immediate focus remains on nearer resistances, traders should keep in mind these untouched levels that loom higher in the structure. For now, however, the chart shows no specific "powerful resistance levels," emphasizing the importance of breaking closer hurdles.
Pro Tip: Always keep an eye on price action around these levels. If a support gives way, it’s game over for bulls, and the same zone will likely serve as resistance for the next rally attempt. Conversely, breaking through resistance opens the door for extended bullish momentum. Adapt your strategy accordingly—don’t marry a bias, and let the market tell you the story!
Trading Strategies: Fibonacci Rays and Dynamic Factors
Concept of Rays
The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" method combines Fibonacci mathematical principles with geometric precision to create dynamic levels that adapt to the market's behavior. Rays, drawn from the inception of a trend or corrective move, define boundaries for movement channels and offer insights into price interactions. These interactions, coupled with dynamic factors such as moving averages, provide robust signals for entry and exit points.
Why Rays Work
Predicting exact price levels is impossible due to the financial market's complexity. Instead, rays identify zones of probable reactions, signaling either reversals or continuations. Traders observe price behavior near these zones and make decisions based on confluence with patterns and dynamic support or resistance levels, such as Moving Averages.
Optimistic Scenario
If GMTUSDT interacts positively with ascending rays and surpasses key resistance zones:
First Target: $0.1228 – A breakout above this level confirms bullish momentum.
Second Target: $0.1294 – Continued strength can push the price toward this resistance.
Third Target: $0.1344 – If momentum persists, the next ray interaction will target this zone.
Bonus Levels: $0.1384 and $0.1472 – These levels represent extended bullish objectives based on ray progression.
Pessimistic Scenario
If GMTUSDT interacts negatively with descending rays or fails to hold support levels:
First Target: $0.1038 (MA50) – A breach here indicates bearish continuation.
Second Target: $0.0845 – Testing the absolute low from August 2024 suggests a significant downward shift.
Third Target: $0.0678 – If momentum is bearish, price may interact with this deep support zone, reflecting a broader sell-off.
Dynamic Interaction with Moving Averages
Moving averages play a vital role in confirming ray signals:
MA50 ($0.1038): A close above or below validates the ray's directional bias.
MA100 ($0.1102): Acts as dynamic resistance during upward attempts.
MA200 ($0.1217): A critical barrier to long-term trends and corrections.
MA233 ($0.1227): A key decision point, aligning closely with significant ray levels.
Suggested Trades Based on Rays
Long from $0.1066 to $0.1228: After confirming interaction with ascending rays, target the first resistance zone.
Short from $0.1228 to $0.1038: If price rejects at the resistance ray, aim for MA50 as the initial support target.
Breakout Trade above $0.1228 to $0.1344: A clean breakout signals strong bullish momentum, allowing traders to target subsequent rays.
Reversal Play at $0.0845 to $0.1038: If the price rebounds near the absolute low, capitalize on the recovery toward MA50.
Aggressive Long from $0.1294 to $0.1384: For experienced traders, momentum above the ray at $0.1294 suggests a run to the next dynamic zone.
Call to Action: Let’s Trade Smarter Together!
Hey traders, I hope this analysis gives you a fresh perspective and valuable insights! If you have any questions or want to discuss specific levels, drop your thoughts in the comments—let’s keep the conversation flowing. I’m always happy to engage and share ideas.
If this post resonated with you, hit that Boost button and save it to your favorites. Come back later and see how price respects the rays and levels I’ve highlighted—it’s a great way to sharpen your trading edge. Remember, understanding the key points for entries and exits is the heart of successful trading!
For those curious about my strategy: the rays and levels you see here are generated automatically using my proprietary indicator. It’s a private tool, but if you’re interested, feel free to message me directly to discuss how you can access it.
Got an asset you’d like analyzed? Let me know in the comments or via message. Some requests I’ll happily do for free and share with the community, while private setups can be tailored just for you—discreet and exclusive.
These rays aren’t just for GMT—they work across all assets. If you’re looking for personalized charting and analysis, I’m here to help. Just share the asset you’re tracking, hit Boost, and I’ll add it to my list.
Finally, don’t forget to follow me here on TradingView—this is where I post all my updates and ideas. Let’s build a strong community of traders who learn and grow together. Thanks for your support, and may the charts be ever in your favor!
JUP/USDT: A Critical Crossroad - Is the Market Poised for a TurnThe Tides Are Shifting
As we step into 2025, JUP/USDT finds itself teetering on a fine edge. Trading at $0.8152, the pair has retraced by over 55.9% from its all-time high of $1.8496 reached in April 2024. Yet, the spotlight now turns to emerging bullish signals and a question looms: Are we witnessing a bottom or merely a pause before further declines?
The RSI (14) on the daily chart suggests oversold conditions at 32.68, signaling the potential for a rebound. Meanwhile, the MFI (60) at a low 29.68 reinforces this notion, reflecting dwindling sell-side pressure. However, the story becomes more intriguing when you factor in the interplay of patterns like the "Buy Volumes Takeover," hinting at a potential shift in momentum.
Yet, this is no time for complacency. With support levels lurking at $0.777 and $0.738, and resistance firmly set at $0.9017, the market faces a critical juncture. The breach of these barriers will likely define the trajectory for days to come.
What lies ahead? Will bulls seize control and drive a recovery, or does the market have further to fall? The answer could hold opportunities for both traders seeking short-term volatility and investors eyeing long-term gains.
Roadmap of JUP/USDT Patterns: Tracing the Moves
The Journey Begins: "Sell Volumes Max" (2025-01-20 17:00 UTC)
The pattern “Sell Volumes Max” kicked things off with a strong bearish vibe, closing at $0.912 after opening at $0.9657. True to its direction, subsequent patterns confirmed the continuation of selling pressure, with the next session plunging further into bearish territory. This was the moment where the bears took the reins.
A Glimpse of Hope: "VSA Buy Pattern Extra 2nd" (2025-01-20 17:00 UTC)
Enter the bullish contender. The “VSA Buy Pattern Extra 2nd” hinted at a recovery, but the subsequent “Sell Volumes Max” overpowered the buy signal, showing that bulls failed to secure dominance. This invalidated the potential reversal from the extra buy setup.
Reconfirmation of Bears: "Sell Volumes Max" (2025-01-21 04:00 UTC)
Another bearish signal appeared, and this time it delivered. Prices continued their southward journey, reinforcing the bearish momentum as the market respected the trigger points. The consistency here set the stage for further declines, proving this sell pattern’s reliability.
The Turnaround Begins: "VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st" (2025-01-21 04:00 UTC)
Finally, the bulls struck back. This time, the pattern held its ground, with the market beginning to pivot upward in the following sessions. The trigger was validated, and the price began building upward momentum, signaling a potential long-term shift.
Bullish Revival: "VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 4th" (2025-01-22 15:00 UTC)
The fourth iteration of the “VSA Manipulation Buy” emerged as the hero pattern. After a slow build-up, the market began respecting its bullish bias, breaking past the three-bar low triggers. Prices closed higher, confirming a significant turn in market sentiment.
Buy Dominance Confirmed: "Buy Volumes Take Over" (2025-01-22 16:00 UTC)
To seal the deal, the “Buy Volumes Take Over” reinforced the bullish sentiment, with prices moving decisively upward from this point. The sequence of bullish patterns successfully outperformed previous sell signals, marking this as a pivotal point in the trend’s evolution.
What’s Next?
Looking at the roadmap, we’ve seen a fascinating interplay between buyers and sellers. Patterns like “Sell Volumes Max” set the tone for a bearish leg, but it’s the precise recovery of buy patterns that brought balance back to the game.
Stay tuned, traders. The next chapter could redefine the market’s direction—are you ready to catch the wave?
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels on the Radar
Here’s the breakdown of the key zones that every trader should have pinned to their charts. These levels are where the action happens—either as bounce points or barriers. If the price fails to respect these zones, don’t sweat it; they’ll likely flip into resistance or support depending on the move.
Support Levels
0.777 – The first line of defense. If buyers can’t hold it, expect it to flip and act as a ceiling. 0.738 – A critical level for bulls to step in. If breached, it’s game over for a deeper dip.
Resistance Levels
0.9017 – The big hurdle. Bulls need to clear this to reclaim control. If not, it turns into a tough ceiling that could cap any rallies.
Powerful Support Levels
1.371 – The heavyweight champion of supports. If tested, it’s where we’d expect some serious buying pressure. But if it breaks, buckle up for some turbulence.
Powerful Resistance Levels
0.5783 – A fortress in the bears’ favor. Bulls breaking through here would signal a major shift in momentum.
The Golden Rule
Respect the levels, but stay nimble. If a support level cracks or a resistance gets shattered, flip your bias—these same levels will play for the other team as the market evolves. As always, let price action be your guide and keep it sharp!
Trading Strategies Using Rays: The Power of Fibonacci Dynamics
Concept of Rays
The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" concept redefines precision trading. By leveraging Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles, we construct rays that act as dynamic guides, predicting where the price might pivot or accelerate. These rays are drawn from the inception of a trend, not traditional extremum points, allowing traders to stay ahead of new trend phases or corrections.
Why It Works
Markets are complex, and predicting exact levels is often a fool’s errand. However, rays provide zones of high probability for price interaction. When paired with moving averages (MA50, MA100, etc.), these zones highlight key areas of potential reversals or continuations. Each ray and corresponding MA serve as stepping stones in the market, marking paths for price action.
Price interaction with rays, supported by Volume Spread Analysis (VSA), signals the ideal moment to enter trades—whether it's bouncing off a ray or breaking through it toward the next.
Optimistic Scenario
Price respects the Fibonacci ray levels and moving averages, triggering bullish momentum.
Entry: After price interacts with Support 0.777, supported by MA233 at 0.8756, and confirms upward movement. First Target: Resistance 0.9017 – Watch for a breakout or a pause. Second Target: Powerful Resistance 1.371 – Anticipate heightened activity at this zone.
Pessimistic Scenario
Bearish pressure dominates, breaking supports and interacting with descending rays.
Entry: After price breaks below Support 0.738, retests it, and interacts with descending rays, signaling continuation. First Target: Dynamic MA support near 0.675 – Aligns with descending ray zone. Second Target: Powerful Support 0.5783 – A likely point for consolidation or bounce.
Proposed Trades Based on Ray Interactions
Bullish Bounce from 0.777
This level, supported by ascending rays, presents a strong buying opportunity. Wait for confirmation through volume spikes or bullish candle patterns.
Breakout Trade Above 0.9017
If price interacts with ascending rays and MA50 before breaking this resistance, initiate a long trade targeting 1.371.
Bearish Breakdown Below 0.738
A clean break of this support, coupled with descending ray interaction, opens a short setup targeting 0.5783.
Dynamic MA Trade at 0.8756 (MA233)
If the price reverses near this level, supported by rays, it signals a strong continuation setup for trend followers.
Key Takeaways
Patience is Key: Always wait for price interaction with rays and MAs before entering.
Target the Rays: Movement from one ray to the next is often enough to secure solid profits.
Adaptability: Rays automatically adjust to new patterns, keeping you ahead in dynamic markets.
Trade smart, let the rays guide you, and ride the trends from zone to zone!
Let’s Stay Connected!
Hey there, fellow traders! If you’ve made it this far, it means you’re serious about improving your trading game, and I’m here to help. Have questions or thoughts about the analysis? Drop them in the comments below—I read and respond to everything, and your feedback is always appreciated. Let’s keep the conversation going!
Liked the roadmap? Don’t forget to hit Boost and save this idea to revisit later. Watching how price respects these rays and levels is crucial for sharpening your trading instincts. Remember: it’s not just about predictions—it’s about understanding key reaction points.
By the way, the rays and levels you see here? They’re automatically plotted by my private indicator-strategy. If you’re curious to use it, feel free to send me a private message to discuss access.
Need a custom analysis for your favorite asset? Let me know in the comments. I can create a detailed breakdown—either publicly for the community or privately if you prefer to keep your strategy under wraps. Whether it’s crypto, forex, or stocks, these rays work on all markets, and I’d be happy to personalize them for you.
Lastly, don’t forget to follow me here on TradingView to stay updated on all my latest ideas. Let’s build a community of smarter, more confident traders—starting with you. 🚀
15M GOLD CHART ANALYSISHi Traders,
Check out our 15M Analysis
As per our chart layout analysis, our analysis has played out perfectly last 2 days. The EMA5 crossed and held above various levels, crossing 2715 target and breaking through the resistance level as well. We highlighted that the next directional move would be confirmed once the EMA5 crossed and locked above weighted levels—and that’s exactly what happened.
To make it easier for you, we’ve added entry levels, and take profit targets (TP1, TP2, TP3). These levels align seamlessly with the EMA5 crossing and holding above each level, which will determine the next target. The golden circle indicates specifically where EMA5 has crossed and locked above the weighted levels and worked out perfectly.
Currently, the price is moving between two weighed levels, with a gap above at 2755 and a gap below at 2748. We need to see the EMA5 cross and lock on either of these levels to confirm the next range.
Remember to focus on buying dips. Our updated levels and weighed zones will help track downward movements and capitalize on upward bounces.
Continue to buy dips at our support levels, targeting 10-20 pips per trade. Each level structure typically provides bounces within this range, making it ideal for precise entry and exit opportunities.
BULLISH TARGET
2762
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2715 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2731 DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2731 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2741 DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2741 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2748 DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2748 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2755
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2755 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2762
BEARISH TARGETS
2696
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2741 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2720
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2720 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2701
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2701 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2688
As always, we’ll keep you updated throughout the week with regular insights on how we’re managing active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your continued support, including your likes, comments, and follows – we truly appreciate it!
TheQuantumTrader
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 22, 2025 GBPUSDThe Pound saw mixed results from UK labour data, but the UK's own Labour Department is taking the figures as a grain of salt. On the US side, US President Donald Trump brushed aside his campaign promises of sweeping tariffs against all US trading partners, focusing on new, more subtle tariff threats against US North American trading partners Canada and Mexico.
Markets shuddered as investors tried to keep up with the new headline generator - President Trump. Investors were betting big that the newly minted US president would not impose tariffs on day one, as he has long threatened to do, but a new round of renewed trade rhetoric has market sentiment fluctuating in the mid-range.
With only little significant data scheduled for Wednesday, pairs traders will focus on the headlines likely to be released during US trading hours. Pound traders will be keeping an eye on Friday's Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data from S&P Global, which is due out on both sides of the Atlantic.
Trading recommendation: Watch the level of 1.2280, when fixing below consider Sell positions, when rebounding consider Buy positions.
Trend change, momentum phase - AUDUSDAt 17th of January, price attempted to continue in a downtrend, but it quickly reversed with a ripping force, completely evaporating the attemptation summit. Price then created a pullback after change of character, and respected the broken high as such. So right now, the market is starting to push price higher, and I think it attracts toward the broken structure of December 17th.
EUR/AUD Bullish Channel (22.1.2025)The EUR/AUD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bullish Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.6703
2nd Resistance – 1.6732
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BITCOIN CAN MOVE TO GIVEN TARGET AREABitcoin's price action continues to capture attention as it edges closer to a significant target on the charts. Traders and investors are closely monitoring its movement, analyzing key support and resistance levels to predict the next possible breakout or retracement. With market sentiment and trading volumes playing crucial roles, the question remains: will Bitcoin achieve its target, or will it face a correction? Stay updated and ready for potential opportunities as the momentum unfolds!
XAUUSD 1hr chart showing selling opportunity must read caption XAUUSD is showing clear signs of a potential selling opportunity, with market conditions and technical indicators pointing towards a possible bearish movement in gold prices. Traders are advised to closely monitor key levels and patterns that reinforce this trend, as the current setup suggests a favorable environment for initiating sell positions. With global economic factors and technical analysis aligning to support this outlook, now might be an ideal time to prepare for a well-timed sell trade in gold, maximizing the potential for profit as the market unfolds.
NZD/CAD Channel Breakout (22.01.2025)The NZD/CAD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.8068
2nd Support – 0.8034
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Fundamental Market Analysis for January 21, 2025 EURUSDThe Euro-Dollar pair remains in negative territory after cutting its recent losses, trading around 1.03800 during Asian hours on Tuesday. The Euro (EUR) remains under pressure amid prevailing expectations for the European Central Bank (ECB). Markets expect a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut at each of the ECB's next four meetings, driven by concerns over the eurozone's economic outlook and the belief that inflationary pressures will remain subdued.
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the U.S. dollar against six major currencies, rose to 108.30 at the time of writing. The US Dollar recovered from recent losses in the previous session, helped by news that President Donald Trump intends to direct federal agencies to review tariff policy and assess the United States' trade relations with Canada, Mexico and China.
However, the dollar faced headwinds after Bloomberg reported that President Donald Trump will not immediately announce new tariffs after his inauguration on Monday. The U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to keep the benchmark overnight rate in a range of 4.25 percent to 4.50 percent at its January meeting. However, investors believe that Trump's policies could lead to rising inflationary pressures, which could limit the Fed to another rate cut.
Trading recommendation: Watch the level of 1.04000, if consolidated above consider Buy positions, if rebounded consider Sell positions.
Is the Tide Turning for OMNIUSDT? Key Levels and Signals to WatcThe cryptocurrency market is alive with intrigue as OMNIUSDT hovers at $9.493, a far cry from its all-time high of $33.523, marking a dramatic 71% deviation from its peak. But the story doesn’t end there. With the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stabilizing near neutral at 45, the asset teeters between oversold and recovery zones. Could this be the calm before a storm?
Recent price patterns, including a "Sell Volumes Take Over," suggest a market grappling with direction but rich with opportunity. Resistance looms at $11.135 and $11.646, key battlegrounds that traders are closely eyeing for breakouts. Meanwhile, the 233-day Moving Average hints at a robust floor, offering potential support for buyers looking to capitalize on discounted prices.
So, is this your moment to seize the next big move? The market seems ripe with possibilities, but only decisive action can turn speculation into strategy. As the technical indicators align, the question lingers: are you ready to ride the wave?
Roadmap: Tracing OMNIUSDT Through the Lens of Price Patterns
1. Sell Volumes Take Over (2025-01-20 19:00 UTC)
The pattern "Sell Volumes Take Over" signaled a buy direction, closing at $10.405. The price movement showed resilience, creating a momentum of +0.89%. However, the next pattern “Increased Sell Volumes” didn’t confirm this direction, as the closing price dropped to $10.025. This suggests the trigger point wasn’t activated, and this pattern might be skipped.
2. Increased Sell Volumes (2025-01-20 17:00 UTC)
Main Direction: Sell
This pattern played out effectively as the subsequent price dropped from $10.025 to $9.785 in the following “VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 2nd.” With a -0.84% move, the pattern's bearish signal validated the sell momentum.
3. VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 2nd (2025-01-20 10:00 UTC)
Main Direction: Sell
This pattern confirmed its bearish stance with a closing price of $9.785 and a further dip into the range of $9.516 as identified by the subsequent “Increased Buy Volumes” pattern. Despite the downtrend, the market signaled a possible reversal, indicating that sellers were losing grip.
4. Increased Buy Volumes (2025-01-20 09:00 UTC)
Main Direction: Buy
As predicted, the price shifted upward, closing at $9.864. This marked a successful trigger, supported by a movement above the $9.516 low. This confirmation established a bullish foothold, preparing for the "VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st."
5. VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st (2025-01-20 02:00 UTC)
Main Direction: Buy
The market responded to this signal, showcasing a confident rise to $8.717 (following a minor dip). The sequence indicated that buyers were slowly accumulating strength, aligning with the directional trigger from the previous setup.
6. Increased Sell Volumes (2025-01-19 15:00 UTC)
Main Direction: Sell
Closing at $9.846, this pattern accurately forecasted the subsequent dip below $9.62. Sellers successfully pushed the market lower, aligning with bearish projections.
7. Buy Volumes Max (2025-01-19 14:00 UTC)
Main Direction: Buy
A notable spike followed, closing at $10.084 and validating this pattern. This was the point where buyers reclaimed control, driving momentum upward.
Key Observations for Traders and Investors :
Patterns with accurate main directions provided clear entry and exit signals, reducing market noise.
The mix of "VSA Buy" and "Sell Volumes" emphasized the dynamic shifts between accumulation and distribution.
Investors should watch for sequences where confirmed directions align to spot high-probability trades.
This roadmap serves as a historical guide to the effectiveness of pattern analysis for OMNIUSDT, emphasizing actionable insights and validation techniques. For traders, recognizing these sequences can unlock significant profit potential while avoiding misleading setups. Stay tuned for more updates!
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Support and Resistance Levels
When it comes to OMNIUSDT, the chart is speaking volumes. Here’s a breakdown of critical levels that traders need to keep on their radar. Remember, if these levels fail to hold, they’ll flip into resistance zones, creating headwinds for any bullish momentum.
Support Levels:
9.305 – A crucial short-term support. If it folds, expect sellers to drive the price further south.
7.900 – A deeper retrace zone that could be the last line of defense for buyers.
Resistance Levels:
11.135 – The first wall bulls need to crack to regain control.
11.646 – A tougher ceiling that could see significant sell pressure.
12.039 – Breaking this would put the market back into bull territory.
Powerful Support Levels:
12.212 – This level has historically held strong, but if breached, it’s lights out for buyers in the short term.
17.693 – A key area from a macro perspective. Losing this would signal a broader bearish shift.
24.832 – The line in the sand for long-term bulls.
Powerful Resistance Levels:
6.984 – A level that’s been tested and rejected before. If the price drops below, it’ll likely struggle to reclaim this zone.
Pro Tip for Traders:
Failing supports are not just signs of weakness—they’re prime spots for bears to set up camp. Watch for price action around these zones. If a level flips, it’s an early warning to adjust your strategy.
Stay tuned for updates, and keep these levels on lock—trading is a game of precision, and these are the keys to the next big move.
Trading Strategies Based on Rays: Optimistic and Pessimistic Scenarios
The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" concept introduces a structured approach to trading based on Fibonacci principles and dynamic market factors. Each ray represents a potential boundary where price action signals a reversal or continuation. Here’s how to use this proprietary method for trading OMNIUSDT.
Concept of Rays
Fibonacci Rays are drawn from the start of movement patterns, adjusting dynamically with new trends or corrections. These rays act as guideposts for price movement, creating ascending and descending channels that define potential trade zones. Their interaction with price, combined with key Moving Averages and VSA patterns, signals the beginning of actionable trades.
Optimistic Scenario
Price reacts positively to Fibonacci rays, respecting support levels and initiating bullish momentum.
Initial Support Interaction: $9.305 – If price bounces from this level, the first target aligns with the next ray at $11.135.
Continuation Above Resistance: $11.135 – Break and close above this level sets the next target at $12.039.
Breakout into Powerful Resistance: $12.212 – Strong bullish momentum could aim for $17.693 as the long-term objective.
Pessimistic Scenario
Price fails to respect support levels and interacts negatively with descending rays, confirming bearish sentiment.
Initial Resistance Interaction: $11.135 – If price rejects here, the first downside target aligns with $9.305.
Break Below Key Support: $9.305 – Breach of this level points to $7.900 as the next target.
Interaction with Powerful Support: $6.984 – A deeper correction may lead to testing this key level, signaling potential capitulation.
Key Trades and Comments
Bullish Trade: From $9.305 to $11.135
Entry: Post-bounce from $9.305 and confirmation of upward movement.
Comment: Use this zone for scaling in as the first ray interaction aligns with bullish continuation.
Bearish Trade: From $11.135 to $9.305
Entry: On clear rejection from $11.135, signaling a reversal.
Comment: Ideal for short trades with tight risk management.
Breakout Trade: From $11.135 to $12.039
Entry: After a confirmed close above $11.135.
Comment: Look for a strong move to $12.039 with possible pullbacks for additional entry points.
Deep Correction Trade: From $9.305 to $7.900
Entry: If price breaks below $9.305, targeting the next ray at $7.900.
Comment: A defensive trade for bearish conditions, with strict stop-losses in place.
Long-Term Bullish Trade: From $12.212 to $17.693
Entry: After a confirmed breakout above $12.212 and sustained momentum.
Comment: This level marks a shift in market dynamics, targeting the upper ray with high confidence.
How to Use This Framework
Wait for price interaction with the rays and Moving Averages.
Enter trades only after confirmation of movement from the ray to the next predefined target.
Adjust positions dynamically as new patterns emerge, ensuring flexibility in changing market conditions.
Let’s Connect and Trade Smarter Together!
Hey traders! If you’ve made it this far, you’re already ahead of the game. Got questions or insights? Drop them right in the comments—I’d love to hear your thoughts and help fine-tune your trading strategy.
If this idea resonated with you, don’t forget to hit Boost and save it for later. This way, you can revisit and see how price action plays out according to my analysis. Watching price respect key levels and rays in real time is one of the best ways to master your trading skills!
By the way, the indicator-strategy I use, which auto-plots all these rays and levels, is a private tool. If you’d like access to it, send me a message—I’m happy to chat about how you can use it to elevate your trading game.
Need analysis for a specific asset? No problem! Whether you’re looking for a general post or a private breakdown tailored to your needs, we can make it happen. Some things I’ll gladly share publicly, while other ideas can stay exclusive—just let me know what works for you.
And here’s the best part: these rays work on all assets. If there’s a particular one you’re trading, comment below with the ticker and your thoughts. I’ll prioritize requests with Boosts, so don’t forget to show some love!
Finally, make sure you follow me here on TradingView. This is where all my best ideas and strategies land first. Together, we can navigate the markets with clarity and confidence. Let’s trade smart—looking forward to connecting with you all! 🚀
CHFHUF At Key Support Zone, can it bounce to 437.900?FOREXCOM:CHFHUF is currently testing a major support area that has previously served as a strong base for bullish reversals. It could become a great potential buying opportunity if buyers confirm control.
I think an upward move toward 437.900 is very plausible. If the support fails to hold, however, further downside might happen.
Be sure to wait for clear confirmation of buyer strength before taking long positions.
GBP/JPY Bearish Channel (20.01.2025)The GBP/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. FX:GBPJPY
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 188.64
2nd Support – 188.00
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Is ASX 200 waiting for a catalyst?Looking at the technical picture of the MARKETSCOM:AUS200 Cash index, we can see that the price remains on an uptrend, while balancing above a medium-term tentative upside support line taken from the lowest point of August 2024. Despite seeing a relatively strong correction lower throughout the whole of December, the index remains resilient to downside pressure. That said, in the short-run, at the time of writing, MARKETSCOM:AUS200 is struggling to break above a key resistance area, around the 8370 barrier.
In order to shift our attention to some higher areas, a break above that key resistance area would be needed. That’s when we may see some more bulls entering the field. If such a move occurs, we might start aiming for the current highest zone, near the 8522 hurdle.
For the downside scenario, we will take a more conservative approach and wait for a break below the previously mentioned upside line. Additionally, a drop below the current lowest point of January, at around 8131 area may invite more bears into the market, potentially opening the door for a move towards the 200-day EMA and the psychological 8000 mark. If that hurdle is unable to withstand the pressure from the sellers, further declines might be possible.
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