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BTCUSD | 1D SMC Short Setup with Refined SL and TargetsDescription: This analysis identifies a high-probability short opportunity for BTCUSD on the 1D timeframe using the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) framework. The chart shows clear bearish confluences, including market structure, supply zones, liquidity levels, and Fibonacci retracement zones. I believe the current bullish momentum is merely a manipulation driven by inflation news and the upcoming Trump inauguration. Following these events, I anticipate a significant market correction. Here’s the detailed breakdown and trade plan: Analysis: Market Structure: Break of Structure (BOS): Price has confirmed a bearish trend with BOS to the downside, signaling a continuation of lower highs and lower lows. Trendline Resistance: A well-defined downward trendline indicates selling pressure, reinforcing the bearish bias. Key Zones and Liquidity: Supply Zone: Highlighted in purple at $102,000-$104,000 . This zone represents an area where strong selling previously occurred, creating an imbalance. Golden Zone (Fibonacci Retracement): Located around $101,000-$103,000 , this area aligns with the 61.8%-78.6% retracement levels and offers a high-probability reversal opportunity. Weak High: The high near $104,000 represents untapped liquidity, which smart money may target for a liquidity grab before reversing lower. Equal Lows (EQL): Around $92,000 , these act as a bearish target where liquidity rests, aligning with the continuation of the bearish trend. Confluences for Short Entry: Price is approaching the supply zone and Fibonacci Golden Zone , indicating a potential reversal point. The weak high may trigger a liquidity grab to entice buyers before sellers regain control. Previous BOS and trendline resistance add further validation to the bearish bias. Trade Plan: Short Entry Setup: Entry Zone: $102,000-$104,000 (inside the supply zone and Golden Zone). Stop Loss (SL): $105,500 (above the supply zone and imbalance to account for liquidity grabs). Take Profit Levels: TP1: $97,000 – Close partial profits at this imbalance mitigation level. TP2: $92,000 – Target the equal lows and resting liquidity. TP3: $88,000 – Final target near the blue demand zone for maximum reward. Risk-Reward Ratio: With the entry at $103,000 (midpoint of supply), SL at $105,500, and TP at $92,000, the trade offers a 1:4 RR or better, depending on execution and scaling. Additional Notes: Monitor the price action closely as BTC approaches the supply zone for confirmation, such as bearish candlestick patterns or lower timeframe CHoCH (Change of Character). Scaling into the trade in smaller portions across the supply zone can improve overall entry precision. Adjust stop loss or take profit levels as market conditions evolve
Short
by AdasX
2
BITCOIN 1HR ANALYSIS 🚨 BITCOIN 1-Hour Analysis 🚨 Here’s what we’re watching: 📈 Upside Targets: • TP1:105800 • TP2: 107700 📉 Downside Targets: • TP1: 102900 • TP2: 104400 So we have to watch out for $104300- $104800level. If BTC stays below then you can target downside targets and if above then you can target above levels mentioned as TP(take profit) Keep an eye on key levels and trade smart! 💹 What’s your take? Drop a comment below and share this with your trading crew! 🚀
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by ProfitMatrix
Is AIDOGEUSDT Ready to Bark Back? Key SignalsAIDOGEUSDT is sitting at a critical juncture with the current price at $0.002035, reflecting a steep decline of 78.08% from its all-time high of $0.009286, set just under a year ago. After bouncing 25.07% off its absolute low, the asset finds itself on a knife’s edge—oversold according to the RSI14 at 19.2. This could indicate a brewing shift in momentum. Recent patterns in sell volumes and VSA buy signals are fighting for dominance, with key resistance levels like $0.002174 looming ahead. Coupled with macroeconomic uncertainty and rising speculative interest, the question remains: is this a trap or the start of a reversal? For traders and investors, the urgency is palpable. With long-term averages slumping below key supports, and a convergence of powerful resistance near $0.0024, today’s setup demands attention. Will AIDOGEUSDT claw its way back, or is the worst yet to come? Stay tuned—this could be your defining moment in this unpredictable crypto saga. Roadmap: Tracing the Momentum of AIDOGEUSDT through Recent Patterns Dive deep into the pulse of AIDOGEUSDT as we dissect the most recent series of patterns using a roadmap that tracks not just their presence but their actual impact on price action. Here's how the action played out: 1. VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st (2025-01-19 09:00 UTC) Direction: Buy Analysis: The "VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st" signaled potential upward momentum after the close at $0.002174. Despite this signal, the next pattern saw a "Sell Volumes" direction take control, showing no upward breakout from the previous trigger. This invalidated the buy setup, making it a "watch-and-wait" moment for traders. 2. Increased Sell Volumes (2025-01-19 11:00 UTC) Direction: Sell Analysis: Here comes the game-changer. With a close at $0.002035, the sell direction hit hard, accurately reflecting the downward momentum predicted by the pattern. The next movement confirmed the strength of the selling wave, solidifying this as a reliable bearish signal. 3. VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st (2025-01-19 08:00 UTC) Direction: Buy Analysis: The earlier "Buy Pattern" appeared again, but the rally was short-lived as subsequent sell volumes dampened enthusiasm. This reiteration failed to confirm a buy breakthrough, showcasing the dominance of bearish pressure. 4. VSA Sell Pattern 3rd (2025-01-18 15:00 UTC) Direction: Sell Analysis: True to its nature, this sell pattern accurately set up a bearish swing, with the next candles reflecting a consistent downward drift. A textbook example of pattern precision that delivered what it promised. 5. Increased Buy Volumes (2025-01-18 00:00 UTC) Direction: Buy Analysis: Bulls finally showed some teeth here, pushing the price from $0.002649 to $0.002776. This pattern proved spot-on, as it marked the beginning of a brief recovery before sellers regained control. 6. VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 3rd (2025-01-17 17:00 UTC) Direction: Sell Analysis: Bears ruled the show again, with the price tracking downward in line with the signal. The movement reinforced the bearish bias and gave traders a clear shorting opportunity. 7. Buy Volumes Max (2025-01-17 02:00 UTC) Direction: Buy Analysis: This buy signal didn’t disappoint, as the price pushed upward momentarily. While it didn’t lead to a long-term trend change, it offered short-term traders a golden scalp opportunity. 8. VSA Buy Pattern 3 (2025-01-14 21:00 UTC) Direction: Buy Analysis: The buy pattern highlighted an early rally, but its short lifespan reflected the broader market weakness. The directional signal worked in the moment, although macro bears soon overwhelmed the momentum. Conclusion Patterns don't just tell a story—they set the stage for actionable insights. For AIDOGEUSDT, the roadmap reveals a fascinating interplay of bullish and bearish pressures, with sell patterns delivering some of the most reliable setups. Keep this roadmap in mind as we watch the next moves, and remember: in the crypto game, patterns are your allies, but confirmation is king. Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Support and Resistance Levels Here's the breakdown of the most critical levels for AIDOGEUSDT that every trader should have on their radar. These zones will act as battlefields between bulls and bears. If they fail to hold, expect these same levels to flip and become stubborn resistance on the way back up. Support Levels: These are the lifelines for the bulls. Watch for bounces here: 0.002174 – The immediate support zone that needs to hold to maintain any bullish vibe. 0.002392 – A deeper dip could see buyers stepping in here to defend. 0.002806 – A solid mid-range level that can act as a springboard for recovery. Resistance Levels: These levels are where the bulls will face heavy resistance if the price moves upward: 0.003052 – A critical line in the sand. A break and hold above this could ignite bullish momentum. 0.003158 – The upper limit where sellers might hit back hard. Powerful Support Levels: Stronger zones that bulls must guard fiercely: 0.004612 – A major inflection point. If price reaches this, it’s a do-or-die level. 0.005384 – Bulls would need to regroup here if the sell-off gets intense. 0.00743 – A key long-term zone that may decide the trend direction. Powerful Resistance Levels: Big money might step in here to cap upward moves: 0.001873 – Immediate resistance that’s been a thorn for bulls. The Takeaway Respect these levels like they’re your trading roadmap. If a support fails, it’s not the end of the story—it’s the beginning of a new resistance. Keep your eyes sharp, manage your stops tight, and let the price action guide your decisions. Trading Strategies with Rays: A Systematic Approach to Market Movements Concept of Rays The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" methodology leverages Fibonacci-based dynamic levels that align with natural proportions. Unlike traditional analysis focused on static extremum points, these rays adapt to new patterns and highlight interaction zones where price either reverses or continues its trend. By incorporating moving averages (MAs) as dynamic factors, this system offers a robust approach to identifying trade setups. How It Works Fibonacci Rays: Define key movement boundaries based on the initial movement pattern. Dynamic Interaction: Price reactions at ray intersections with MAs confirm trade opportunities. Action Zones: Use VSA rays and MAs for confirmation before entering positions. Scenarios: Price moves from one ray to the next, creating clear targets for trades. Two Scenarios: Optimistic and Pessimistic Optimistic Scenario: Price interacts with ascending rays and finds support at dynamic MA levels, signaling a bullish continuation. Entry Zone: $0.002174 (immediate support and ray interaction). Target 1: $0.002392 (first ascending ray). Target 2: $0.002806 (next ray with strong resistance potential). Moving Averages: A price break above MA50 and MA100 strengthens bullish confidence. Pessimistic Scenario: Price fails to hold critical support and interacts with descending rays, leading to bearish continuation. Entry Zone: $0.002035 (near powerful resistance, now acting as support). Target 1: $0.001873 (next descending ray). Target 2: $0.001627 (powerful historical support ray). Moving Averages: A breakdown below MA233 confirms further downside pressure. Suggested Trade Setups Buy Setup (Bullish Scenario): Enter long at $0.002174 if the price interacts positively with ascending rays and MA50. Exit partially at $0.002392 and hold for $0.002806. Sell Setup (Bearish Scenario): Short at $0.002035 if the price breaks below descending rays and MA233. Partial profits at $0.001873, and hold for a possible test of $0.001627. Scalp Strategy: Use ray-to-ray movements for quick trades, focusing on dynamic resistance and support zones, such as $0.002174 to $0.002392. Swing Trade: Aim for extended movements, aligning with ray trajectories and MA trends, such as $0.002035 to $0.001627 in a bearish scenario. Key Notes Every trade begins with interaction at the rays and requires confirmation from volume analysis (VSA) or price patterns. Whether bullish or bearish, the journey from one ray to the next provides traders with clear, actionable targets while minimizing guesswork. Trading is all about precision, understanding, and growth—and I’m here to help you navigate the market with confidence. If you’ve got questions about this analysis or want to share your thoughts, drop them in the comments below. Let’s discuss, learn, and grow as a community. If you found this roadmap useful, don’t forget to hit that Boost button and save the idea to revisit later. Track how the price reacts to the levels and rays I’ve outlined—because mastering those key points is the foundation of successful trading. My custom indicator draws all the rays and levels automatically, making analysis faster and more accurate. It’s currently available privately, so if you’re interested in trying it out, feel free to send me a private message for details. Need analysis on another asset? Let me know in the comments! I can create setups for any instrument, and while some will be free for public access, I’m open to creating personalized setups for private use as well. My rays work on any asset, so whether it’s crypto, forex, stocks, or commodities, I’ve got you covered. If you enjoy this kind of content, make sure to follow me here on TradingView. It’s where I share all my ideas and strategies to help traders like you make informed decisions. Let’s build something amazing together—one trade at a time. 🚀
BYBIT:10000000AIDOGEUSDT.PShort
by brandlabelden
VELO Ready for Its Next Big Move?As the crypto market continues to fluctuate, VELOUSDT is at a crossroads. Currently trading at $0.02188, the asset has retraced -43.85% from its recent peak of $0.038965 set just three days ago​. This places it in a prime zone of interest for both bulls and bears. With a low RSI14 at 21.15, VELO is heavily oversold on the 1-hour chart, suggesting a potential rebound is on the horizon​. Meanwhile, the 60-period MFI at 26.60 hints at waning selling pressure​. The emergence of consecutive VSA Buy Patterns in the past few sessions supports the hypothesis of a possible reversal​. However, a break above the resistance at $0.026136 would provide stronger confirmation for a bullish move​. Could this be your chance to catch a trend early, or will VELO test deeper waters before turning? Keep an eye on these levels, and stay tuned for the next steps in its journey. Are you ready to trade with precision? Roadmap: VELOUSDT Patterns Unveiled Dive into the historical path of VELOUSDT to uncover how patterns have shaped its journey. This roadmap highlights confirmed moves, discarding noise to reveal actionable insights for traders. 1. VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 2nd - January 19, 09:00 UTC Main Direction: Buy Opening Price: $0.023559 | Closing Price: $0.023816 Confirmation: The subsequent pattern at 10:00 UTC continued the bullish movement, closing higher at $0.022719 despite minor fluctuations. The direction aligned perfectly, validating the bullish forecast. This move showcased a strong rebound from a previous sell-off, marking a turning point for VELO. 2. VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st - January 19, 10:00 UTC Main Direction: Buy Opening Price: $0.023816 | Closing Price: $0.022719 Confirmation: At 11:00 UTC, the next candle continued the upward push, closing at $0.02188. While the price dipped initially, it tested lower support levels before rebounding in alignment with the bullish signal. This pattern highlighted a retest scenario before breaking out to higher levels. 3. Increased Sell Volumes - January 19, 08:00 UTC Main Direction: Sell Opening Price: $0.025608 | Closing Price: $0.023559 Skipped: The subsequent patterns contradicted the bearish outlook, signaling that this pattern failed to confirm its trigger. This inconsistency marks it as a noise event in the roadmap. 4. VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 2nd - January 18, 08:00 UTC Main Direction: Sell Opening Price: $0.02829 | Closing Price: $0.02705 Confirmation: The following VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st at 07:00 UTC indicated a minor reversal, but the broader trend remained downward. The sell signal was validated as prices continued to respect resistance levels and declined further. 5. Increased Buy Volumes - January 18, 11:00 UTC Main Direction: Buy Opening Price: $0.026342 | Closing Price: $0.026624 Confirmation: Subsequent price action upheld the bullish move, rising toward $0.027213. This pattern was instrumental in identifying a shift in sentiment, with buyers reclaiming control after a prolonged sell-off. Key Takeaways for Investors Patterns like the VSA Buy Pattern 2nd consistently highlighted key turning points, offering valuable entry points. Noise events such as "Increased Sell Volumes" underline the importance of trigger confirmation in trading decisions. The roadmap demonstrates how aligning with confirmed patterns can improve forecasting accuracy and trading confidence. VELOUSDT's historical patterns showcase the critical role of precise analysis in navigating market volatility. Ready to capture the next move? Follow the roadmap and take control of your trading game! Technical & Price Action Analysis Support Levels: 0.026136 – This level has been tested multiple times and shows solid buyer interest. If it breaks, expect it to flip into resistance, paving the way for lower action. 0.029519 – Another critical support zone. If buyers fail to hold this, sellers will likely push through, making it a tough ceiling on the next retest. Powerful Support Levels: 0.037063 – This is the fortress for bulls. A breakdown here signals a significant shift in sentiment, with the level becoming a prime resistance to watch. Resistance Levels: 0.034017 – This area has capped recent upside moves. If bulls can break and close above, it could signal a trend reversal. Otherwise, it’ll remain a tough nut to crack. 0.036148 – Another ceiling for the price. Watch how price reacts here; failure to break will likely lead to another round of selling pressure. Powerful Resistance Levels: 0.013717 – Key battleground for sellers. A clear rejection here strengthens the bearish case. A break could open the floodgates for further bullish momentum. 0.011988 – Strong historical resistance; a failure to close above this confirms seller dominance, turning it into a high-confidence short zone. 0.010637 – This level acts as a line in the sand. A breakthrough could ignite new buying interest, but until then, it’s a key roadblock. 0.00956 – Bottom-line resistance. If bulls can’t clear this, the bears will likely dominate the near-term price action. Failure to respect these levels can quickly flip them into critical zones for the opposite side of the trade. Stay nimble and keep your risk tight—the market’s watching, and so should you. Concept of Rays: Trading Strategies Based on Dynamic Levels Core Idea My proprietary analysis method revolves around "Rays from the Beginning of Movement," constructed using Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays form a system of dynamic levels to predict asset movements, emphasizing interactions rather than static levels. By analyzing price interaction with these rays, traders can infer scenarios of reversal or continuation—but only after confirming dynamic factors and patterns. Why Specific Levels Are Not Predictable Financial markets are complex, nonlinear systems influenced by numerous variables such as liquidity, market sentiment, and macroeconomic forces. Instead of pinpointing exact levels, we focus on probabilities at pre-determined zones. Rays provide key insights into the direction and intensity of price movements when these zones are engaged. How Rays Work Fibonacci Rays: Each ray aligns with significant angles derived from natural proportions and is anchored at the origin of movement. Primary Advantage: Unlike traditional methods, rays are constructed from the movement’s starting point, enabling precise adjustments for new trends or corrections. Adaptability: Rays dynamically adjust with emerging patterns, offering fresh insights into movement boundaries. Ascending and Descending Rays: These define the movement channel’s limits and highlight interaction zones for potential entries. Optimistic Scenario If the price reacts positively to support levels, we expect movement along ascending rays to achieve successive targets: First Target: $0.026136 (Resistance Level 1)—Price interaction suggests continued bullish momentum after breaking through. Second Target: $0.029519—A key resistance zone where price momentum will likely face its next challenge. Third Target: $0.034017—Major resistance that aligns with the upper boundary of dynamic rays and Moving Averages. Pessimistic Scenario If the price fails at resistance and interacts negatively with descending rays: First Target: $0.02188 (Current Price Level)—A probable retest of support. Second Target: $0.011988—Dynamic interaction with powerful support, marking a critical zone to evaluate bearish persistence. Third Target: $0.00956—Final support level where sellers may dominate before potential consolidation. Dynamic Factors Moving Averages—Levels at MA50 ($0.02873) and MA100 ($0.03257) act as additional dynamic resistance points. Interaction here confirms strength or weakness. VSA Rays—Key zones on the chart interact with Volume Spread Analysis rays to offer enhanced clarity. Price moves between rays, using each as a potential stepping stone. Proposed Trades Trade 1: Long Position from $0.026136 to $0.029519—Enter on interaction with ascending ray and confirmation of bullish momentum. Trade 2: Short Position from $0.034017 to $0.02188—Triggered by rejection from upper resistance and descending ray. Trade 3: Long Position from $0.011988 to $0.026136—A high-probability reversal from powerful support. Trade 4: Short Position from $0.029519 to $0.011988—Dynamic resistance at MA100 confirms bearish continuation. Price movement along these rays allows traders to predict targets confidently. The beauty of this method lies in its flexibility and reliance on real-time interaction, ensuring adaptability in any market scenario. Got questions? Let’s discuss! Drop your thoughts and queries in the comments below—I’ll be happy to clarify or dive deeper into the analysis. Don’t forget to hit Boost and save this idea to revisit it later and see how the price follows the roadmap. Tracking key levels and reactions is the cornerstone of trading success. By the way, my proprietary indicator automatically plots all the rays and levels you see here. It’s available privately, so if you’re interested, feel free to message me directly to learn more. Need analysis for a specific asset? I’ve got you covered! I’m open to creating detailed markups—some I can share publicly, and others can be tailored exclusively for you. Whether it’s a broad market idea or a private strategy, let’s connect and find a solution that works for you. Remember, these rays work across all assets, guiding price movements with uncanny precision. If you have assets you’d like analyzed, give this post a Boost and mention them in the comments—I’ll do my best to include them in future updates. Finally, don’t miss out on more insights and strategies! Hit follow here on TradingView to stay updated with all my latest ideas and detailed analyses. Let’s navigate the markets together!
Short
by brandlabelden
3
BTC, higher highs incomingBTC has shown huge confidence in with a trendline breakout on price, volume and MACD is looking near vertical too. These are what I call signals that 'jive' together. I would never place a trade on one signal alone, I try and gain as many signals to jive as possible before risking any assets. It's great to see and that means we're within the long awaited wave 5 of larger degree of trend 1. Which, would see at least 135k. Exciting, high confidence here. Follow and share for more.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by cryptechcapital
1
TRUMP - High volatility, no highs to be seen - yetIt looks as though the TRUMP coin is trading within a range. Lots of chop, but no clear sign of a breakout to the up or downside. The recent red candle shows an 85% correction in one day. That's hugely impressive and will low liquididy this 'meme' coin could also fall off a cliff to the same degree. Sorry but there's too much at risk here, especially being connected to geo-political events and instability. Either way, it looks to be bouncing off the bumbers for now in a succinct WXYXZ fashion. Either trend line breach will signal a higher high or lower low. Follow and share for more.
by cryptechcapital
1
OKBComprehensive OKB/USDT Analysis 🟢 Introduction: The OKB token, native to the OKX exchange, is currently moving within a well-defined ascending channel. This analysis examines the price behavior within the channel and highlights Fibonacci targets. Precision in decision-making is crucial at this key juncture. 🔍 Technical Analysis: 1️⃣ Ascending Channel Status: Current Movement: The price, after hitting the midline of the ascending channel, has entered a correction phase and reached the daily support zone at $42.85 - $44.53. Channel Significance: The ascending channel is a critical structure for OKB. A breakout to the upside will face resistance but could trigger a strong bullish move if successful. 2️⃣ Possible Scenarios: A. Bullish Scenario (Resistance Breakout): Key Resistance Zone: $59.52 - $68.95 Fibonacci Targets in the Ascending Channel: 1.618 Level: $95.15 - $113.84 2.272 Level: $145.12 - $173.63 2.618 Level: $192.96 - $230.87 Sharp Movement: A breakout above the channel could lead to a rapid and powerful move toward higher targets. B. Bearish Scenario (Resistance Rejection): If the price fails to break the red resistance zone, a decline toward the channel bottom and the gray support zone ($32.07 - $35.57) becomes likely. 3️⃣ Relative Strength Index (RSI): Current Position: RSI is within a descending channel, sitting near its midline. Bullish Potential: Support at this level could strengthen the move toward the channel’s top and higher targets. 📌 Recommended Entry Points: Safest Entry: After a breakout above the red resistance zone ($59.52 - $68.95) and price consolidation above it. Stop Loss: Below the gray support zone ($32.07 - $35.57). Volume Confirmation: A valid breakout must be accompanied by an increase in buying volume. Breakouts without volume confirmation are likely to be false. ⚠️ Key Risk Management Tips: Stop Loss: Ensure stop-loss orders are placed within the suggested zones. Confirmation: Wait for a valid breakout and price stabilization before entering a trade. Capital Management: Adjust trade size based on the sensitivity of the analysis to effectively manage risk. ✨ Final Conclusion: Bullish Scenario: If RSI support holds and buying volume increases during the resistance breakout, the price may move toward higher Fibonacci targets. Bearish Scenario: Failure to break the resistance could lead to a price drop toward the channel’s bottom and the gray support zone. 📊 Recommendation: To minimize risk, only enter trades after observing a valid breakout and price stabilization in key zones. Decisions based on volume confirmation and breakout validations are crucial in this analysis. 🌟 Note: This analysis is based on current market data and requires continuous monitoring for updates.
by alizeynali69
Can a breakthrough to the upside be maintained of S&P500?From the technical side, we are seeing a small push higher, breaking above a short-term downside line. Despite this being a somewhat positive occurrence, we would rather wait to see where we close at the end of Friday. For more information, please see the video. MARKETSCOM:US500 RISK DISCLAIMER 74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:US500
by Marketscom
SOL/USDT: Are We Gearing Up for a Big Move?Take a step back and look at the big picture for SOL/USDT. There's a long-term head and shoulders pattern forming that could redefine where Solana is headed. Pair that with the Hurst cycles, and we have a cocktail of signals that just… works. If this plays out, we might see a week-long breach of the upper trend line in the next 18 months—a move that would confirm higher highs are on the horizon. This is the kind of setup that rewards patience. Do you see it breaking out, or is this just wishful thinking? Follow and share your thoughts below—let’s see how this one plays out. 🚀
Long
by cryptechcapital
Silver (XAGUSD): Position Update and New TargetsBack in October 2024, we successfully closed our second position at the exact top of wave 3, capturing the peak before XAGUSD dropped by 17%. We’re still holding our first setup, which remains open with the stop loss set at break-even. We believe the bottom of wave 4 was established around $29, and the chart now points towards a move higher into wave 5. Our focus is on a continuation above the Point of Control (POC) into the $31.35–$32.90 range. At that point, we’ll look for an entry during the pullback (wave (iv)). Alerts are set, and we’re ready to capitalise when the opportunity arises.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
GOLD approaching key short-term resistance. What's next?Gold is moving in the upwards direction, despite the higher US CPI reading, which benefits the US dollar. However, there is a possibility that the higher inflation reading was already priced in and maybe this could lead to slower upside pace for the US dollar. Let's dig in... TVC:GOLD TVC:DXY MARKETSCOM:GOLD MARKETSCOM:DOLLARINDEX RISK DISCLAIMER 74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:GOLD
by Marketscom
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish ChannelThe XAU/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent Formation of a well-defined Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around close to the Channel. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 2709 2nd Support – 2729 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
59
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 16, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is holding near 1.0295 in the early Asian session on Thursday. Lower than expected US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for December raises the possibility that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) may cut interest rates twice this year, putting pressure on the US Dollar. However, growing concerns over Eurozone economic growth could limit the major pair's gains. The US Dollar (USD) declined after weaker than expected US core CPI data, fuelling expectations that the Fed's easing cycle is not yet over. Markets now expect the US central bank to cut rates by 40 basis points (bps) before the end of the year, compared to around 31 bps before the inflation data was released. Across the ocean, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut rates four times last year and traders expect three or four changes this year due to concerns about the Eurozone's weak economic outlook. Rising bets on further ECB interest rate cuts could undermine the euro (EUR) against the U.S. dollar in the near term. Later on Thursday, investors will be watching Germany's Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) for December and the ECB monetary policy meeting report. In the US, the main events will be retail sales data for December and weekly initial jobless claims. Trade recommendation: Watch the level of 1.0260, when fixing below consider Sell positions, when rebounding consider Buy positions.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Citigroup ($C): Fourth Test of Key Levels Since 2018The shares of Citigroup gained an impressive 7% today following its earnings report, which delivered a beat ✅. The company is projecting revenue between $83.5 billion and $84.5 billion for 2025, up from $81.1 billion last year and $77.1 billion in the year prior (excluding divestitures). Positive news for both the company and its investors! We’ve been monitoring NYSE:C but haven’t found a trigger yet—this might change soon. The stock is approaching its most significant resistance zone since 2018, a level tested three times in the past. Could the fourth test finally break through? We remain cautious, expecting that another pullback, even a minor one, might be necessary to push past $83. If this pullback materializes, we’ll evaluate opportunities to position ourselves. Currently, there’s a bearish RSI divergence, and unless the stock can make a higher high compared to 2021, another major pullback remains possible. However, a short position doesn’t align with our strategy at the moment. We’d need to see a lower time frame structure change to consider that route. This stock doesn’t lend itself well to Elliott Wave analysis as it has been trending sideways for years, and we’re not forcing patterns onto it. Stay alert for future opportunities on NYSE:C
NYSE:C
by freeguy_by_wmc
USD/CHF Wedge BreakoutThe USD/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 0.9094 2nd Support – 0.9063 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
27
Solana Pulse: Is the Breakout Just Around the Corner?The Solana Market Stirs: A Turning Point Ahead? The Solana (SOL) market, trading at $186.41, is teetering at a critical juncture. Despite standing 29.6% below its all-time high of $264.88 reached in November 2024, recent patterns indicate brewing momentum. The 50-day Moving Average (MA50) now sits below the 200-day Moving Average (MA200), signaling cautious sentiment, yet its proximity hints at a potential reversal. Simultaneously, the RSI at 46.38 suggests a market leaning toward oversold conditions, adding fuel to speculative buy signals. Yesterday’s candlestick unveiled a notable VSA Buy Pattern—an archetypal signal for an upward move after price manipulation. Will the market surge past resistance levels at $192.57 and beyond? Or does this rally face exhaustion against bearish currents? The next move might determine the trajectory for weeks to come. Are traders ready to seize this opportunity, or will hesitation cost them the climb? The market waits for no one—today could be the moment to act. Historical Roadmap of Solana Market: Pattern Analysis That Worked January 13th, 2025, 15:00 UTC – The Surge: VSA Buy Pattern Meets Momentum A classic VSA Buy Pattern 3 emerged, forecasting a bullish breakout. The trigger point at $185.53 was perfectly tested as the price soared, closing higher at $186.58 in the following session. This pattern held its ground, with the market respecting the bullish direction and moving upwards, confirming the anticipated trajectory. Investors caught in the buy zone saw a 4.52% movement unfold, reinforcing this as a textbook upward setup. January 14th, 2025, 07:00 UTC – Market Turns: Sell Volume Dominance In contrast, the VSA Sell Pattern 2 hinted at a downward move with its main direction pointing south. The price began its decline from an open of $186.24, confirming the sell-off by closing at $185.51. This bearish sentiment played out accurately as subsequent prices respected the lower lows. Smart money taking shorts at this level maximized gains on this predictable pivot. January 14th, 2025, 17:00 UTC – Reversal Play: Bulls Take Charge Again The VSA Buy Pattern 3rd reappeared with bullish energy. Starting from $186.42, the market crept up to $186.58. This movement, though smaller in scale, validated the pattern’s bullish main direction. Buyers holding positions here witnessed steady upward momentum, setting the stage for further resistance tests. Connecting the Dots: Patterns That Shaped the Chart Directional Accuracy: Each confirmed pattern respected its forecasted direction, with subsequent candlesticks affirming the anticipated moves. Momentum Drivers: Bullish setups like the VSA Buy Pattern thrived, especially when trigger points aligned with market sentiment. Misses to Note: Any unconfirmed patterns have been excluded, ensuring focus remains on actionable insights. Key Takeaway: Both traders and investors gained confidence as historical patterns not only worked but provided strategic entry and exit opportunities. What’s Next for Solana? The roadmap shows a pattern of precise movements, confirming the strength of technical setups. With resistance at $192.57 just ahead, will the bulls manage to keep their momentum alive, or is the next turn a bearish storm waiting to brew? Stay tuned as these patterns continue to shape the market’s destiny. Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch Here’s a rundown of the most critical support and resistance levels in play for Solana. These levels are magnets for price action, and if they fail to hold, expect a swift role reversal, with former support becoming resistance and vice versa. Support Levels $223.20 – A powerful support zone. If bulls lose their grip here, this level could quickly flip to resistance, capping future rallies. $192.57 – The immediate line in the sand for the bulls. Failure to defend this level may invite aggressive selling pressure. $185.68 (MA100) – A dynamic support area aligning with moving averages. Watch for bounces or breakdowns around this point. $184.48 (MA50) – The frontline for near-term support. A break here could spell trouble for bullish momentum. Resistance Levels $192.57 – The first major barrier for bulls to conquer. This double-duty level is both a resistance and potential support pivot. $201.17 – A key psychological and technical zone. Watch for volume surges to confirm a breakout. $203.61 – A higher target within range. Failure here could indicate exhaustion. $214.76 – A line of strong resistance. Bulls need conviction to claim this territory. $224.20 – Top-tier resistance aligned with the powerful support zone at $223.20. If bulls reclaim this, it’s game on. Powerful Resistance Levels $157.83 – Previously a stronghold, now a ceiling. This level must be broken for a sustainable recovery. $99.98 – A key historical pivot. Any moves here signal high stakes. $73.07 – A distant checkpoint, currently irrelevant but critical in extended downtrends. The Golden Rule If these levels don’t hold their ground, their status flips, and they’ll act as tough hurdles for any future price moves. In this market, every level tells a story—watch for the clues! Trading Strategies Using Rays: A Dynamic Approach Concept of Rays: The Art of Dynamic Price Prediction Rays, based on Fibonacci principles and geometric alignments, offer a predictive framework for price interaction zones. Unlike classical methods focusing on static highs and lows, rays begin from the start of a movement, adapting dynamically to new patterns. They are designed to define the movement’s boundaries and allow traders to identify optimal entry points post-interaction. When price touches a ray, it often signals either a reversal or a continuation, with dynamic factors—like moving averages—playing a decisive role. Each movement is likely to progress from one ray to the next, offering clear targets for your trades. Two Scenarios for Trading Rays Optimistic Scenario Price interacts positively with a key ray and finds support at MA50 ($184.48) or MA100 ($185.68), confirming a bullish continuation. The first target becomes $192.57, aligning with a critical resistance zone. Subsequent movements aim for $201.17 and $203.61, following a breakout above resistance. Pessimistic Scenario Price fails to hold above MA50 ($184.48) and tests lower dynamic supports near $157.83, a powerful resistance turned support. If bearish momentum intensifies, the price targets $99.98 for the next support interaction. Lower ray interactions at $73.07 may attract opportunistic buyers seeking a long-term reversal. Potential Trades Based on Dynamic Levels Trade 1: Long at $184.48 (MA50) Price interaction with the ray and MA50 confirms support. Enter long, targeting $192.57 as the first goal. Breakout leads to $201.17 and potentially $203.61. Trade 2: Short at $192.57 (First Resistance) After a failed breakout attempt, initiate a short position targeting $185.68 (MA100). Monitor for support recovery or continuation lower. Trade 3: Long at $157.83 (Powerful Support) If price dips to $157.83, strong buying momentum is likely. Enter long, aiming for $184.48, and watch for further upside toward $192.57. Trade 4: Short at $99.98 Breaking below $157.83 shifts sentiment bearish. Enter short as the price approaches $99.98, with $73.07 as a secondary target. Key Notes for Execution Always wait for confirmation at a ray level and ensure price respects the ray before entering a position. Dynamic interactions with moving averages (MA50, MA100) strengthen trade setups. Price tends to move from one ray to the next, offering clear staging points for partial profit-taking or re-evaluation. Traders utilizing this structured approach can achieve clarity, discipline, and an edge by integrating ray dynamics with technical insights. Stay patient, and let the market confirm your strategy before diving in! What’s Your Next Move? Let’s Talk! Got questions? Drop them in the comments below! I’d love to hear your thoughts, ideas, or even challenges you're facing with your favorite assets. Don’t forget to hit Boost if you found this post insightful—save it to revisit later and see how the price action unfolds according to my analysis. After all, understanding those key levels is the secret sauce to successful trades! The rays and levels you see here are mapped automatically using my private indicator-strategy, tailored to predict price movement with precision. Interested in accessing it? Shoot me a private message—I’ll walk you through the process. It’s available exclusively, and trust me, it takes the guesswork out of trading. Need analysis for a specific asset? Let me know in the comments or DM me. I’m happy to create detailed setups—some I’ll share for free with the community, and others can be customized just for you if privacy is what you prefer. Whether it’s crypto, stocks, or forex, the rays work on every market, capturing the true flow of price action. Make sure to follow me here on TradingView! That’s where I’ll be sharing more of these insights and strategies. Let’s build a smarter, more profitable trading journey together. 🚀
by brandlabelden
ETHUSDT: Balancing at the Edge of Momentum - A Key Moment?Ethereum is holding the line at $3223.29, a remarkable 21.6% dip from its historic high of $4111.26 just a month ago​. While the RSI hovers at a balanced 54.14, hinting at neither extreme overbought nor oversold conditions, the market stands at a crossroads. The 50-day Moving Average ($3162.63) supports the current price, but the 200-day Moving Average looms above at $3281.81, underscoring potential upward resistance​. A recent sequence of VSA manipulation patterns has pointed toward intense selling pressure, adding complexity to Ethereum’s near-term trajectory​​. Yet, amidst this technical tug-of-war, the fundamental backdrop remains pivotal—global economic concerns and investor sentiment around interest rate hikes could be the catalysts for Ethereum’s next major move. Will ETH surge to reclaim the $3339.24 resistance level, or could this be the start of a deeper retracement? Traders, are you ready for the challenge? The clock ticks on Ethereum’s decisive moment. Let’s dive deeper and navigate this potential breakout—or breakdown—together! Roadmap of Ethereum Patterns: Turning Points in Price History Let’s break down the sequence of Ethereum patterns, highlighting only those that successfully hit their triggers and followed their forecasted main directions. This roadmap dives into the real action, showing traders and investors how these patterns shaped Ethereum’s recent market moves. 1. January 13, 12:00 UTC: VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st - The Spark Ignites This pattern marked the start of a strong upward move. The price opened at $3055.18 and closed slightly lower at $3045.18 but held within the bullish trigger zone. The main direction was clear: Buy. Following this, the price made a confirmed move above the trigger point and climbed further over the next three bars. The bulls were in control, as forecasted. 2. January 13, 14:00 UTC: Sell Volumes Max - Bearish Pressure Builds The sell volumes surged, signaling potential downward pressure. Price action confirmed this bearish sentiment as Ethereum fell from $3058.53 to $3033.22. The main direction, Sell, played out perfectly, setting the stage for the next critical level. Bears were roaring, and the market listened. 3. January 13, 18:00 UTC: VSA Buy Pattern Extra 2nd - A Bullish Comeback Ethereum rebounded with this pattern, opening at $3018.99 and closing at $3006.29. Although the price dipped initially, the bullish main direction held firm, leading to a bounce. The pattern accurately predicted the upward momentum that followed as Ethereum retested higher levels over the next six bars. 4. January 14, 00:00 UTC: VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 1st - A Pivot Moment This pattern predicted a significant sell-off, and Ethereum didn’t disappoint. Starting at $3136.39 and closing at $3133.03, the price broke below the critical low of $2985.01, confirming the bearish trigger. The next few bars saw Ethereum sliding further, validating this as a pivotal moment for sellers. 5. January 15, 00:00 UTC: VSA Sell Pattern 1 - Final Bearish Push The latest pattern in the sequence delivered another bearish confirmation. Ethereum opened at $3224.18 and closed at $3220.41, staying within the bearish direction. The move aligned perfectly with its trigger, proving its predictive accuracy as Ethereum continued lower into subsequent sessions. Takeaway for Traders and Investors This roadmap highlights how these VSA patterns played a critical role in identifying Ethereum’s turning points. Each successful pattern not only confirmed its direction but also gave traders clear levels to act on. By understanding and leveraging these patterns, you can stay ahead of the market’s twists and turns. Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch Here’s the ultimate cheat sheet for Ethereum’s current technical setup. These levels are where the action happens—support zones where buyers might step in and resistance levels that could cap any rally. If these levels don’t hold, flip the script: they’ll likely act as the next hurdles on the price’s journey. Let’s get tactical. Support Levels 2985.01: This level has been tested multiple times and remains a strong foothold. A break below, and we’re looking at trouble. 3124.14: A critical mid-level to watch during pullbacks. If lost, sellers could gain full control. 3193.21: Buyers are eyeing this area for a potential bounce. Weak hands could turn this into resistance fast. Resistance Levels 3339.24: Key overhead resistance; bulls need to break and hold above this for continuation. 3440.51: The next line of defense for bears. 3656.32: A major barrier to new highs. Watch for a breakout test. Powerful Support Levels 3891.38: This is the safety net—the final level that could catch any deep dive. Losing this, and we’re swimming in uncharted waters. Powerful Resistance Levels 2397.87: A fortress above the current price. Any test here could be met with serious sell pressure. 2029.05: Another heavy ceiling. Bulls must stay strong to clear this. 1833.19: Where reversals might stall—either break through or get knocked back. 1628.42: Sellers have fortified this zone. 1539.07: The ultimate boss level—expect big reactions if tested. Bottom Line If these levels fail to perform, the market could flip them into resistance, turning the tables on traders. Stay sharp, watch the reactions, and let price action do the talking! Concept of Rays: Strategies for Trading Fibonacci Rays The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" concept is a proprietary analysis method based on dynamic levels constructed from Fibonacci principles. These rays predict precise asset movements, identifying key zones for interaction, where price shows the highest probability of a reversal or continuation. Let’s explore how traders can leverage these insights with both optimistic and pessimistic scenarios. How Rays Work Fibonacci Rays: Built from the start of movement patterns, reflecting natural proportions. Dynamic Adaptability: Rays adjust as new trends or corrections emerge, creating updated movement boundaries. Interaction Zones: Rays act as channels—price moves from one ray to the next, signaling trade setups. Integration with Moving Averages: MA50, MA100, MA200, and MA233 offer dynamic confirmation of ray intersections, enhancing predictive accuracy. VSA Confirmation: Rays align with VSA patterns to validate entry and exit strategies, ensuring precise execution. Trading Scenarios Optimistic Scenario: Aiming Higher The optimistic scenario involves price interacting with key rays and moving upward to higher dynamic levels. Entry: Near $3193.21 (support ray) after bullish confirmation, such as a bounce or strong VSA buy pattern. Target 1: $3339.24 (next Fibonacci ray and MA233 intersection). Target 2: $3440.51 (continuation with dynamic momentum). Target 3: $3656.32 (final major resistance in this range). Comment: Bulls dominate when price clears each ray, moving toward the next with consistent volume support and strong RSI divergence. Watch for consolidation near key Moving Averages before continuation. Pessimistic Scenario: Testing Lower Levels The pessimistic scenario focuses on downward movement, testing lower rays and supports. Entry: Near $3339.24 (resistance ray) after bearish confirmation, such as a rejection or VSA sell pattern. Target 1: $3193.21 (next Fibonacci ray and MA50 support). Target 2: $3124.14 (continuation to the lower dynamic boundary). Target 3: $2985.01 (final key support before a significant breakdown). Comment: Bears strengthen as price rejects resistance rays and moves to test lower levels. A break of MA50 signals further downside potential. Monitor volume spikes for a reversal signal. Potential Trade Opportunities Long at $3193.21 with targets at $3339.24 and $3440.51: Ideal for optimistic traders betting on a bullish breakout. Short at $3339.24 with targets at $3193.21 and $3124.14: Leverage bearish rejection for downside momentum. Scalp between rays: Use intraday movements, such as bounces at $3124.14 or rejections at $3440.51, for short-term gains. Trend-following entries: Align trades with MA direction, e.g., buy when price crosses above MA100 or sell when crossing below MA50. Key Insight These strategies ensure movement flows predictably from one ray to the next. Each interaction marks an actionable trade setup. Remember, the secret lies in waiting for confirmation before entering, allowing rays and Moving Averages to guide the way. Let’s Keep the Conversation Going! Got questions? Drop them in the comments! I love hearing your thoughts, ideas, and even your challenges with the market. Let’s make this a space to learn, grow, and trade smarter together. If you found value in this analysis, give it a Boost and save it to your favorites—then check back to see how price respects these levels and rays. Understanding those critical points is what trading is all about, and following the journey is a key part of mastering it. By the way, my proprietary indicator draws these Fibonacci rays and levels automatically, making analysis smoother and faster. It’s available privately, so if you’re interested in using it, feel free to message me directly for details. Need an analysis of a specific asset? I’m open to requests! Whether it’s a public breakdown or a private, custom layout just for you, we can figure out the best approach. Remember, these rays work across all assets—yes, all. Whatever your focus, I can map out the key levels for you. For those who want to stay in the loop with my latest ideas and updates, don’t forget to follow me here on TradingView. That’s where all the action happens, and I’d love for you to be part of it. So, hit that Boost, share your thoughts in the comments, and let’s trade smarter—together!
by brandlabelden
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 15, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) is struggling to gain significant strength and is languishing near multi-month lows against its US counterpart amid doubts over the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) rate hike plans. Signs of intensifying inflationary pressures in Japan leave the door open for a BoJ rate hike in January or March. In addition, BoJ Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino signaled on Tuesday that a rate hike remains a real possibility at the upcoming meeting. However, there was no direct indication in Himino's comments about the possibility of a rate hike in January. Moreover, some investors believe that the BOJ may wait until the spring talks before pulling the trigger. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkishness in December was a key factor behind the recent rise in U.S. Treasury yields. This has widened the yield differential between the US and Japan, which in turn is seen as another factor undermining the low-yielding Japanese yen. In addition, risk-on sentiment is deterring traders from placing bullish bets on the safe-haven yen. At the same time, weak US Dollar (USD) price action acts as a headwind for the USD/JPY pair ahead of the release of the latest US consumer inflation data. The crucial Consumer Price Index (CPI) report may influence the Fed's policy course and stimulate demand for the USD. Trading recommendation: Trade mainly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
XRP: Poised at the Edge of Momentum – What's Next?The cryptocurrency market never sleeps, and XRP is the perfect reflection of this restless spirit. Currently trading at $2.8295, XRP finds itself teetering on the brink of a crucial breakout, with just a 2.9% gap from its all-time high of $2.9138, achieved 43 days ago​. The question on every trader's mind: is this the moment of ignition, or will the asset take a breather? Recent patterns highlight a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) patterns reveal the persistence of increased buy volumes, though intermittent sell-offs indicate a battle for control​. From a technical perspective, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 74.95, signaling that XRP is flirting with overbought territory​. Yet, this could either confirm a surge or warn of an impending pullback. Fundamentally, Ripple’s ongoing legal clarity and the adoption of RLUSD stablecoin are boosting market confidence​. Combined with the upward trend supported by key moving averages—MA50 at $2.5597 and MA100 at $2.5201—XRP could be primed for its next big leap​. Your Move: XRP's future is a coin flip between testing its psychological barriers at $3.00 and retracing to stronger support at $2.66. Are you ready to seize the opportunity as XRP prepares to define its next chapter? Stay tuned, as the market reveals its hand. XRP Tradingmap: Patterns in Motion Step 1: The Build-Up Begins - Buy Volumes Max (01:00 UTC) The sequence kicks off with the "Buy Volumes Max" pattern. At this point, the price opened at $2.6765 and closed higher at $2.7918, signaling strong buying momentum. The main_direction was bullish, validated by the immediate follow-up pattern. This set the stage for the next price action. Step 2: Rally Confirmed - Increased Buy Volumes (02:00 UTC) True to the bullish call of the previous pattern, the price climbed further, opening at $2.7918 and closing higher at $2.8474. This confirms the integrity of the earlier pattern and keeps the bullish sentiment alive. Trigger points were respected as prices didn’t dip below the lows of the previous three bars ($2.6383). Confidence grows as buyers continue to dominate. Step 3: Profit-Taking Warning - VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern (03:00 UTC) Here comes a shift. The market signals caution with a "VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern." Despite opening high at $2.8474, the price closed lower at $2.8304. The main_direction flipped bearish, and this was confirmed as the subsequent pattern saw a slight price drop. Traders who spotted this sell signal had a chance to lock in gains before the retracement deepened. Step 4: Brief Reprieve - Increased Buy Volumes (17:00 UTC) Bulls briefly regained control, as prices opened at $2.6146 and closed higher at $2.6553. However, the movement lacked the strength seen in earlier buy patterns. While the main_direction of this pattern was bullish, subsequent price action indicates that this bounce was fleeting—a classic bull trap for unprepared traders. Step 5: The Market Takes a Turn - VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern (19:00 UTC) The sell-off resumes with another VSA sell pattern. The price slid lower, respecting the bearish direction outlined earlier. Opening at $2.682 and closing at $2.6626, this pattern further solidified bearish control. Trigger points were cleanly activated as prices failed to regain previous highs, providing traders with an opportunity to ride the downtrend. Step 6: Strategy Reset - The Bigger Picture Emerges The sequence highlighted above demonstrates the power of reading patterns within a cohesive framework. Early buy signals paved the way for strong upward momentum, but the subsequent sell patterns hinted at deeper corrections. By following the roadmap, investors could have avoided traps and maximized profits during the transition from bullish to bearish phases. What’s Next? XRP’s roadmap reveals its inherent volatility. Each pattern offers insight into market behavior, but success comes from aligning these signals with a broader strategy. Stay tuned for the next move—will bulls or bears take the crown? Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch Support Levels: $2.6666 – First line of defense. If this level doesn’t hold, it’s likely to flip into resistance, attracting sellers like bees to honey. $2.5783 – A deeper support level where buyers might regroup. If broken, expect it to act as a ceiling for any bounces. $2.2748 – Critical zone for bulls to keep control. If this level is lost, momentum shifts decisively in favor of the bears. $2.1349 – The market’s last-ditch effort to keep things afloat. Failure here could open the floodgates. $1.9667 – A psychological barrier where value hunters might step in. But remember, if it cracks, it’s a wall on the way up. Resistance Levels: While the chart doesn’t scream significant resistance levels, any failed support will naturally transform into tough barriers for a comeback rally. Powerful Resistance Levels: $1.1047 – A long-term level where sellers are likely to dig in their heels. Watch for strong rejections here. $0.5538 – Key zone for the long game. If this level is reached and rejected, the bears could strengthen their grip. $0.5032 – An area that will attract big players if prices retrace this far. Keep an eye on the price action here. $0.3646 – The fortress of resistance. If bulls manage to breach this, it’s a signal of a major shift in market sentiment. Trading Strategies Using Rays: A Path Through the Fibonacci Framework Concept of Rays The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" approach is a unique method that applies Fibonacci-based geometric principles to map the dynamics of price movement. These rays act as predictive tools, marking zones where significant price interactions occur—either signaling a continuation or a reversal. By focusing on interactions with these rays, traders can better gauge probabilities without attempting to pinpoint exact levels in a nonlinear financial system. How Rays Work Fibonacci Rays: Constructed at mathematically significant angles starting from the initial movement, not extremum points. This increases accuracy in trending or corrective phases. Dynamic Levels: These rays adapt to new patterns, automatically updating ranges for potential price movements. Moving Averages as Dynamic Factors: Key levels align with Moving Averages (MA50, MA100, MA200), providing strong zones of interaction. Ascending and Descending Rays: These define movement boundaries, marking pathways for price to travel from one ray to another. Optimistic Scenario Entry Point: Interaction with a descending ray around $2.6666 (support). If the price bounces above this ray and confirms with a close above MA50 at $2.5597, the movement could head upward. Target 1: $2.8295 – Interaction with the next ray above creates an opportunity to scale out partial profits. Target 2: $2.9138 – Absolute high from recent history; a breakout here could extend gains toward higher Fibonacci levels. Dynamic Factors: If RSI remains above 70 while interacting with ascending rays, the bullish scenario strengthens. Pessimistic Scenario Entry Point: Price interaction with an ascending ray near $2.6666, but fails to close above MA50, confirming bearish sentiment. Target 1: $2.5783 – Initial support zone becomes the first profit target in the downtrend. Target 2: $2.2748 – Second ray below and the next potential reaction level for a partial exit. Target 3: $2.1349 – A critical area where price may consolidate or reverse. Dynamic Factors: Watch for Moving Averages flipping into resistance zones, confirming further downward pressure. Trade Ideas Using Rays Long Trade from $2.6666 to $2.8295: Enter long when price interacts with the ray at $2.6666, confirming with a bullish close above MA50. Scale out at $2.8295, targeting the upper ray. Short Trade from $2.6666 to $2.5783: Enter short if price interacts with $2.6666 but fails to break above MA50. Target $2.5783 for a clean exit at the next ray. Breakout Trade above $2.9138: Go long if price cleanly breaks $2.9138, with a tight stop below the breakout candle. Use dynamic Fibonacci rays to set extended targets. Reversal Trade at $2.1349: A bounce off the $2.1349 ray could signal a countertrend move. Enter with confirmation from price closing above MA200, targeting $2.2748. Trading is all about finding those key levels where the magic happens, and now it's your chance to engage. Have questions about the analysis? Drop them right in the comments—I’m here to discuss, clarify, and brainstorm with you! Found this idea helpful? Don’t forget to hit Boost and save it for later so you can track how price moves along the rays. Observing these levels in real-time will not only sharpen your skills but also deepen your understanding of how market dynamics work. Curious about my indicator? The strategy you see here, drawing all the rays and levels automatically, is part of a private setup. If you’re interested in using it, feel free to reach out to me via direct message—I’ll explain how we can make that happen. Need a custom analysis for your favorite asset? Whether you want it shared publicly or kept private for your eyes only, I’m open to discussing options. Just let me know in the comments or via DM, and I’ll do my best to help. Remember, these rays work across all assets, and the price often respects them like clockwork. If you want me to mark up specific assets for you, write in the comments and don’t forget to hit Boost. I’ll tackle requests as time permits. Finally, make sure to follow me here on TradingView for more in-depth ideas and strategies. This is where I share all my updates, and I’d love to have you as part of my trading community. Let’s trade smarter together! 🚀
Long
by brandlabelden
1