The Last Chance for a Rebound? AVAAI at a Critical Turning PointMarket Watch: A Vital Moment for AVAAI
Today’s price action for AVAAI hovers around $0.11503, marking a 66% retracement from its January 15 absolute high of $0.33852. The asset sits just above its historic low of $0.11075, hit earlier today—a signal of potential exhaustion after a prolonged downtrend.
The RSI (14) on the 1-hour chart has plummeted to 25.94, screaming oversold conditions, while the MFI at 35.43 hints at a lack of aggressive buying power to counter selling pressure. Despite this bearish sentiment, the emergence of a “VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st” on the 1-hour chart signals possible accumulation. Coupled with decreasing bearish momentum, this could indicate that the market is primed for a short-term rally.
The burning question: Can AVAAI rise from the ashes, or will it sink below support, confirming a deeper capitulation?
AVAAI's mid-term trajectory depends on a test of the powerful resistance at $0.15486. A break above this level could trigger a momentum surge toward the 50-day MA of $0.15548, offering hope to bulls. However, failure to stabilize may lead to a retest of today’s low and a possible further collapse.
This is a pivotal moment for both cautious investors eyeing long-term accumulation and short-term traders aiming for quick profits. Stay tuned, the clock is ticking on AAVAAI’s next big move!
Roadmap of AVAAI: Historical Patterns in Action
Dive into the sequential analysis of key patterns observed on AVAAI, uncovering how past signals played out and what lessons they offer for traders and investors. Let’s walk through the timeline, separating the winners from the noise.
January 23, 00:00 UTC – VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st
Direction: Buy
Opening at $0.18614, the pattern closed slightly lower at $0.17788. This was a cautious buy signal as the main direction was upward, but the price slid further in the next bars. A return above the low of $0.17746 would have been a key confirmation, but the lack of upward momentum resulted in a muted follow-through. This pattern didn’t hold water.
January 24, 08:00 UTC – VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 3rd
Direction: Sell
This was a classic bearish setup, with the opening at $0.15864 and a subsequent close at $0.15382. The following bars confirmed the downward pressure as the price dropped further to $0.13872. This sell signal worked perfectly, offering an actionable trade for short-sellers.
January 24, 16:00 UTC – Increased Sell Volumes
Direction: Sell
The bearish trend continued with volumes surging as the price opened at $0.1498 and closed at $0.13872. The subsequent bars saw an aggressive decline, validating the pattern. For traders eyeing confirmation, this signal was textbook accurate.
January 24, 18:00 UTC – VSA Buy Pattern Extra 2nd
Direction: Buy
At this point, the bulls attempted a comeback. Opening at $0.14034, the price closed at $0.13479. However, despite some short-lived bullish movement, the pattern lacked strength as the price failed to hold above $0.1418. This was a fakeout rather than a breakthrough.
January 24, 19:00 UTC – VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st
Direction: Buy
Opening at $0.13479 and closing at $0.13316, this pattern once again showed bulls struggling to reclaim dominance. The key levels failed to trigger, and the main direction wasn’t validated. Skipping this pattern would save traders from unnecessary risk.
January 25, 00:00 UTC – VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st
Direction: Buy
With the opening price at $0.118 and closing at $0.11206, this marked another failed attempt by the bulls to regain control. The pattern lacked follow-through, signaling the market's overall bearish sentiment.
Key Takeaways
The recent history of AVAAI showcases a dominating bearish narrative validated by successive sell signals. Buyers, though making attempts, have failed to sustain momentum. For traders, this roadmap highlights the importance of validating signals with follow-through price action and staying flexible in shifting markets.
Are we seeing the final test of bearish resolve, or is a reversal brewing? Watch for stronger confirmations and keep your risk tight—opportunities await the sharp-eyed trader.
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
When it comes to trading, knowing your levels is half the battle. Below are the critical support and resistance zones for AVAAI based on current market dynamics. Remember, if these levels fail to hold, they’ll flip to act as resistance, creating new challenges for price action.
Support Levels
There are no confirmed support levels currently holding the price steady. The market remains in a precarious position, and traders should keep a close eye on any emerging floors for potential reversals.
Resistance Levels
$0.15486 – A minor resistance that the bulls need to smash to build any meaningful upward momentum.
$0.30293 – A higher resistance zone that will require significant buying volume to conquer.
Powerful Support Levels
Absent from the current technical landscape, underscoring the fragility of the asset's price structure.
Powerful Resistance Levels
None have been explicitly defined, indicating a market with room for the bears to dominate until new strength appears.
Game Plan for Traders
These levels are your map. If the bulls can’t reclaim $0.15486, expect it to flip and act as a ceiling, creating more downside pressure. Similarly, any failure to establish solid support at new lows will extend bearish control. Keep it tight with stop-losses, and don’t chase – wait for confirmation before jumping in.
Trading Strategies Based on Fibonacci Rays
Understanding the dynamics of price interaction with Fibonacci Rays allows traders to identify key zones for potential reversals or continuations. Below are two scenarios—optimistic and pessimistic—designed to provide a flexible framework for your trades, all based on precise levels from the technical data. The interaction with rays, combined with Moving Averages, defines the boundaries of potential moves, ensuring dynamic support and resistance levels are considered.
Concept of Rays: How They Work
Fibonacci Rays are mathematically significant and reflect natural proportions in market movements. Constructed from the beginning of a movement pattern, they provide:
Dynamic levels that adapt as the market evolves.
Channels for identifying movement boundaries.
Clear signals for taking positions after interaction and the emergence of momentum.
Each movement from one ray to the next serves as a trade target, providing structured, actionable insights.
Optimistic Scenario: Bullish Playbook
If AVAAI bounces off lower Fibonacci Rays and bullish momentum builds, watch for a push toward higher levels:
First Target : $0.15486 – Price interaction here, combined with a break above the MA50 at $0.15548, will confirm upward movement. Entry should be considered after a confirmed interaction with these levels.
Second Target : $0.30293 – A sustained move beyond the first target could lead to this level. Strong volume and continued interaction with ascending rays are necessary for confirmation.
Third Target : $0.33852 – This represents a full recovery toward previous highs and will require confluence with higher ray zones and potential dynamic factors like MA100 at $0.17884.
Pessimistic Scenario: Bearish Playbook
If AVAAI fails to hold at key supports and interacts with descending Fibonacci Rays, prepare for downward movement:
First Target : $0.11075 – A test of the absolute low. Positions can be taken after interaction with rays confirms further bearish movement.
Second Target : Below $0.11075 – If the market breaks through this critical support, expect acceleration toward uncharted bearish territory. This may align with descending ray boundaries.
Dynamic Resistance : Look for the price to reject MA50 or MA100 on the way down, reinforcing bearish momentum.
Proposed Trades Based on Ray Interaction
Bullish Breakout Trade : Enter long after interaction with ascending rays, targeting $0.15486 and then $0.30293 if confirmed by moving averages.
Bearish Breakdown Trade : Short below $0.11075 with first targets at lower ray intersections. Maintain a tight stop-loss to manage risk.
Momentum Continuation : Ride trends between Fibonacci Rays, with each new level serving as the next target.
Final Note
The key to trading Fibonacci Rays lies in patience and discipline. Wait for price interaction with the rays and moving averages before committing to a position. From there, let the natural flow of the market guide your targets from ray to ray. Always manage risk and keep your stops in place to navigate volatile movements effectively.
Let’s Connect and Build Success Together!
Trading is all about growth, learning, and sharing ideas, and I’d love to hear your thoughts! If you have questions about this analysis or want to dive deeper into specific assets, drop your comments below—I’ll make sure to respond and help out. Your engagement is what makes this journey exciting!
If you found value in this idea, don’t forget to Boost and save it to revisit later. Watching price action evolve along these rays will sharpen your trading instincts and help you understand how critical zones guide market movement. Trust me, that’s a game-changer for any trader.
My indicator, which automatically maps all these rays and levels, is available in Private. If you’re interested in using it, feel free to reach out to me via private messages—I’d be happy to share more details.
Have a specific asset you’d like analyzed? Let me know in the comments! I can prepare free posts for the community or work with you privately if discretion is your priority. Remember, these rays work across all markets, and I can create custom layouts for any asset you’re interested in.
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Analysis
Gold Analysis Update: Resistance Levels and Market OutlookHello Everyone!
How are you all? I hope everything is going great! I'm excited to announce my return with a new TradingView account. I hope you’ll show the same love and support as you did with my previous account.
Gold Analysis
I'm observing that gold is facing resistance at 2762 on the H1 chart. It has been retesting this level repeatedly and pulling back to 2756.
If gold fails to break 2763 on the H4 candle, we can anticipate a bearish market movement in the next few hours.
All targets are clearly explained in the chart above for your easy understanding.
Please like, comment, follow, and support! Thank you for your love and encouragement! 🙏
ETH/USDT Setup: Trendline retest before next moveAfter a strong bullish move, ETH/USDT 🔥 broke below its downward trendline 📉 and started moving lower. A potential pullback to retest the broken trendline ⚠️ could be on the horizon before the price resumes its downward path, targeting the key support level 🛑. Traders should watch this zone closely for opportunities! 📊💡
Gold Price Forecast: Key Levels to Watch !!Gold Price Analysis: 🔑 Key Zones and 📉 Potential Reversal at MA200
1️⃣ Resistance Zone 🟥:
The red-highlighted area marks a strong resistance zone. A breakout 🚀 above this level could lead to bullish momentum.
2️⃣ Liquidity Zones 💧:
The "In LQ" region shows where liquidity may be resting, suggesting possible retracements or reversals near this point.
3️⃣ 200 EMA Support 📊:
The MA200 (2,734.059) is a critical support level. A breakdown 🔻 here could send prices lower, testing further support levels.
📈 Potential Scenarios:
🔼 Bullish: Break above resistance 🟥 with higher highs.
🔽 Bearish: Rejection from resistance 🟥 leading to a drop toward the MA200 support 📉.
Watch these levels closely! 🔎
ON Semi is fundamentally undervalued and ready for a reversalTechnical View
NASDAQ:ON ON bounce off from a bigger support area from 2022 at around $53 building an ascending triangle. We have a gap above our current price (which can function as a magnet for the stock price). A smaller resistance at $60 might be our first target and the bigger resistance at $77 could be our final target resulting in 36% ROI. The trade would be invalidated below $50. Since this is a bigger swing trade, I would not put my SL to close to the current stock price. If you’re interested why this is a mid- to long-term swing trade read the fundamental information below.
Support Zones
$50-53
Target Zones
$60
$77
Fundamental View
ON Semiconductor concluded the third quarter of 2024 with revenue amounting to $1,762 million, reflecting a 2% increase from the second quarter but a -19.2% year-over-year decline. Nevertheless, the revenue for the quarter exceeded the consensus estimate by 0.70%. The most significant revenue losses were observed in the industrial end-market, with figures reaching $439.90 million compared to the average estimate of $464.97 million, marking a -28.6% decrease.
The gross margin experienced a 2% improvement, now constituting 45.4% of total revenue. Looking ahead, the acquisition of GlobalFoundries’ New York plant is anticipated to enhance the company's chip production capabilities. This facility is expected to maintain consistent production costs while simultaneously increasing production efficiency, in anticipation of a future rise in demand.
The stock has decreased by 11.26% on a year-to-date basis, with a reported trailing twelve months (TTM) earnings per share (EPS) of $4.03. Management has reported having over $1 billion in free cash flow and plans, according to Barron’s, to utilize half of each quarter’s cash flow to repurchase shares under onsemi’s Share Repurchase Program. The reduction in investments will contribute to increasing free cash flow margins, thereby reinforcing OnSemi’s objective of returning 50% of free cash flow to investors. This, combined with a projected slight improvement in sales growth and profitability, is expected to elevate EPS to $7.11 by 2027.
Currently, the company's valuation appears reasonable, trading at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 13.49, which is lower than 90% of the time over the past five years and significantly beneath the S&P 500 P/E ratio as well as the industry median P/E of 25.4. Based on analysts' projections for EPS and maintaining a steady P/E ratio, the company is anticipated to reach a price of $95.91 within the next two years. While this scenario may seem overly optimistic, it is evident that the market is currently undervaluing the stock, especially when compared to its main competitors, such as Texas Instruments and Analog Devices.
Since EV is a superior trend I don’t think Trumps political decision will have an impact. In addition, “Vice President” Musk has a, let’s say, not so little interest in selling more EVs.
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 24, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is attracting buyers towards 1.04500 in the early Asian session on Friday, fuelled by a weaker US Dollar (USD). Later on Friday, preliminary Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data for January in the Eurozone and Germany will be released. In the US, the flash S&P PMI for January will take centre stage.
U.S. President Donald Trump's remarks at the World Economic Forum in Davos led to a decline in the U.S. dollar against a basket of major currencies. Late on Thursday, Trump said he wants to see interest rates cut immediately and accordingly they should fall across the board.
‘The markets seem to be more concerned about lower rates and any indication that they're going to be cut’, said David Eng, an investment adviser at Sonora Wealth Group in Vancouver.
Meanwhile, ECB President Christine Lagarde emphasised on Wednesday that the central bank is ‘not too concerned’ about the risk of inflation from abroad and will continue to cut interest rates at a gradual pace. Markets have priced in a nearly 96% probability that the ECB will cut rates at its upcoming meeting.
Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Buy orders from the current price level.
XAUUSDAs of January 23, 2025, gold (XAUUSD) is trading around $2,751.87 per ounce, slightly down from the previous day's near three-month peak of $2,763.43.
Technical analysis suggests that gold prices may continue to rise, with potential targets at $2,765 and $2,795.
However, analysts note that gold might face resistance around $2,759, which could trigger a correction.
Given these factors, if gold reaches the $2,760 level, it may encounter resistance, potentially leading to a price correction. This could present an opportunity to consider selling positions. However, it's crucial to monitor market conditions closely, as various factors, including U.S. trade policies and Federal Reserve decisions, can influence gold prices.
*Disclaimer: This information is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.*
GOLD-XAUUSDXAUUSD Gold Analysis: The market is in the center zone, indicating potential for upward movement. Look for buying opportunities as the price approaches support levels. Once the market reaches a strong resistance, it could signal a sell setup. Stay cautious, plan your entry and exit carefully, and manage your risk effectively!
Bitcoin can turn back to the seller zone from the support lineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. By observing the chart, we can see that the price some days ago reached a resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, and then dropped to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, and then started to trades in the range. In range, BTC at once rebounded from the support level and tried to grow, but failed and fell back. After this, the price bounced up and then turned around and declined to the buyer zone, after which started to grow. A short time later, Bitcoin rose to the top part of the range and then dropped to the buyer zone back, making a fake breakout of the support level, and then turning back to the range. Price sometimes traded near the 93200 level and later broke it, exiting from the range also and falling to 90800 points. Then BTC made a strong impulse up from this point and rose to almost resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, after which corrected to the support line. Then BTC rebounded up from this line and rose to the seller zone, reaching a new ATH (109K), and soon fell back to the support line. But recently price bounced from this line and started to grow. So, for this case, I think that BTC can fall to the support line and then rebound up to the seller zone, breaking the resistance level. That's why I set my TP at 109500 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Nvidia. Analysis and Price Forecast: A Strategic OutlookIntroduction:
Nvidia Inc. (NASDAQ: NVDA) continues to be at the forefront of the AI and semiconductor revolution, showcasing robust innovation and a compelling business model. This analysis leverages advanced tools such as TheWaved™ and utilizes VSA Analysis, Technical Indicators, Price Action, and Fundamental Analysis to craft a comprehensive forecast.
Recent Price Movements and Key Patterns:
1. Candle Pattern Analysis:
From the provided patterns sequence data:
January 13, 2025, 14:00:
Pattern: "Increased Buy Volumes"
Movement: +6.69% from open to close, suggesting strong buyer activity and market confidence.
January 10, 2025, 16:00:
Pattern: "Buy Volumes Take Over"
Movement: -5.7%, indicating potential sell-offs after profit-taking.
These patterns highlight the recent tug-of-war between buyers and sellers, creating opportunities for strategic entries and exits.
2. Key Levels and Trend Analysis:
From technicals:
Current Price: $135.19
Resistance Levels:
Short-Term: $139.48 (MA200 on the hourly chart)
Mid-Term: $141.15 (MA100)
Support Levels:
Immediate: $127.30
Key Support Zone: $123.69-$127.30
Nvidia's price is trading below critical moving averages (e.g., MA50 and MA200), suggesting a potential rebound or consolidation phase before further directional movement.
Multi-Dimensional Analysis:
1. Volume Spread Analysis (VSA):
Analysis: Strong buy patterns are evident, with significant volume upticks near critical support zones. This implies institutional interest in accumulation phases.
Prediction: Anticipate continuation of buying pressure if price stabilizes above $135. Resistance at $140 may pose challenges in the short term.
2. Fundamental Insights:
Nvidia’s Q4 earnings report showed record revenue driven by AI GPU demand.
Major customers in cloud computing and automotive industries continue to bolster growth.
However, rising interest rates and potential geopolitical risks (e.g., China’s tech policies) might pressure valuations.
3. Price Action Analysis:
Recent bullish engulfing candles near $127 indicate buyer confidence.
Price may revisit $130 before testing $140. Breaking $140 could pave the way to retest $150 (January’s absolute high).
Projections:
Short-Term (1 Week):
Target: $138.50
Stop-Loss: $132.00
Rationale: A breakout above MA50 ($136.93) will signal short-term bullish momentum.
Mid-Term (1 Month):
Target: $145.00
Stop-Loss: $130.00
Rationale: Stabilization above $140 supported by institutional buying and potential macroeconomic support.
Long-Term (3-6 Months):
Target: $160.00
Stop-Loss: $125.00
Rationale: Continued demand for Nvidia’s GPUs in AI and automotive applications combined with broader tech sector recovery.
Strategic Recommendations:
Support Levels:
-
1. 127.3
2. 123.69
3. 113.9
4. 90.4855
5. 87.88
Resistance Levels:
-
1. 127.3
2. 123.69
3. 113.9
4. 90.4855
5. 87.88
Powerful Support Levels:
-
Powerful Resistance Levels:
-
1. 89.599
2. 89.599
3. 63.974
4. 63.974
5. 48.462
Above $160: Consider reducing positions to hedge against potential market corrections.
3. Stop-Loss & Risk Management:
Strict stop-loss at $130 for short-term trades.
Trail stops to lock profits as price moves favorably.
Tools and Insights:
Analysis powered by TheWaved™, leveraging decades of professional experience and cutting-edge analytics. Key insights have been shared to align with both retail and institutional perspectives.
Call to Action:
For personalized queries or deeper insights into Nvidia’s price action, feel free to reach out via direct message. Explore our tools and indicators through the link in our profile.
Concept of Rays
Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept
Core Idea
My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns.
Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible
Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement.
Disclaimer: This analysis reflects the author’s perspective based on available data and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risks; ensure proper due diligence.
Follow TheWaved for more actionable insights!
Is GMTUSDT Primed for a Breakout?Catch the Wave: GMT on the Verge of a Key Move
As of today, GMTUSDT is trading at $0.1066, standing 97.43% below its historical high of $4.15 from April 2022 and recovering 26.15% from its August 2024 low of $0.0845. The asset’s recent movement shows potential for significant momentum, supported by critical technical markers and volume patterns.
Despite the broader market's indecision, GMTUSDT’s RSI hovers near 53.53, signaling a neutral yet cautiously optimistic stance, while the MFI indicates underwhelming buying pressure at 37.10. This mix of metrics places the asset at a crossroads: consolidation or breakout?
Yesterday, a VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern emerged, hinting at a short-term pullback, but this follows a sequence of "Buy Volume Max" patterns earlier in the week, showcasing a potential accumulation phase. With resistance clustering at $0.1228 and $0.1294, traders should watch for a break above these levels, as this could ignite a rally fueled by a mix of technical and fundamental catalysts.
The question remains: Is the market ready for GMT to reclaim the bullish narrative? For traders and investors, the coming days may offer a defining moment. Are you prepared to ride the wave or step aside?
Roadmap: Tracking GMTUSDT's Patterns to Decode Market Moves
2025-01-19 02:00:00 – VSA Sell Pattern 2
This pattern set the stage with a Sell direction, identifying a potential breakdown below the high_3_bars level of 0.1286. However, the next pattern on 2025-01-19 07:00:00, a VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st, flipped the narrative, signaling bullish action. This suggests the Sell Pattern 2 failed to activate its trigger point at the high level, indicating limited influence on the market.
2025-01-19 07:00:00 – VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st
Marked as the turning point, this Buy direction triggered a rally from its low of 0.1195, creating a bullish sequence. Confirmation came with subsequent Buy Volume Max patterns, solidifying the shift in sentiment. Price momentum surged upward, aligning with the main direction of this pattern.
2025-01-20 00:00:00 – Sell Volumes Max
After bullish patterns dominated, this pattern forecasted a Sell direction. The price, previously testing highs near 0.1238, reversed and validated the Sell setup as the market retraced. This indicates a well-executed pivot, setting up traders for potential downside plays.
2025-01-21 16:00:00 – VSA Sell Pattern 4
A critical pattern, forecasting a Sell direction with low_3_bars at 0.099. This confirmed a broader bearish sentiment. As the price failed to reclaim the 0.1051 resistance level, the downward trajectory suggested the market respected the triggers outlined in this pattern.
2025-01-21 17:00:00 – VSA Buy Pattern 5
This pattern followed shortly after, signaling a potential reversal. The Buy direction saw a quick test of prior lows near 0.0979, rallying to challenge 0.1045, providing strong short-term recovery opportunities. This validated the market's responsiveness to consecutive directional shifts.
Conclusion :
The roadmap reveals GMTUSDT's intricate dance between buying and selling pressures, with several patterns confirming their predicted directions and delivering actionable opportunities for traders. Successful patterns like VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st and Sell Volumes Max provided clear guidance, while occasional misfires remind traders of the importance of trigger points and market confirmation.
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
Support Levels:
The first safety net for GMTUSDT sits at 0.0845, marking the absolute low from August 2024. If buyers fail to hold this line, expect increased pressure, and this level will likely flip into resistance.
Resistance Levels:
GMT faces a series of resistance hurdles ahead. The immediate test is at 0.1228, followed by 0.1294 and 0.1344. If bulls break through these zones, the next battleground lies at 0.1384 and 0.1472. Should these levels reject price action, expect them to act as a ceiling for any upside attempts.
Powerful Support Levels:
Long-term bulls will eye 0.2448, 0.4541, 0.7402, and 0.9678 as key zones for accumulating positions during any deeper corrections. These levels are fortress-like and pivotal for significant reversals.
Powerful Resistance Levels:
While immediate focus remains on nearer resistances, traders should keep in mind these untouched levels that loom higher in the structure. For now, however, the chart shows no specific "powerful resistance levels," emphasizing the importance of breaking closer hurdles.
Pro Tip: Always keep an eye on price action around these levels. If a support gives way, it’s game over for bulls, and the same zone will likely serve as resistance for the next rally attempt. Conversely, breaking through resistance opens the door for extended bullish momentum. Adapt your strategy accordingly—don’t marry a bias, and let the market tell you the story!
Trading Strategies: Fibonacci Rays and Dynamic Factors
Concept of Rays
The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" method combines Fibonacci mathematical principles with geometric precision to create dynamic levels that adapt to the market's behavior. Rays, drawn from the inception of a trend or corrective move, define boundaries for movement channels and offer insights into price interactions. These interactions, coupled with dynamic factors such as moving averages, provide robust signals for entry and exit points.
Why Rays Work
Predicting exact price levels is impossible due to the financial market's complexity. Instead, rays identify zones of probable reactions, signaling either reversals or continuations. Traders observe price behavior near these zones and make decisions based on confluence with patterns and dynamic support or resistance levels, such as Moving Averages.
Optimistic Scenario
If GMTUSDT interacts positively with ascending rays and surpasses key resistance zones:
First Target: $0.1228 – A breakout above this level confirms bullish momentum.
Second Target: $0.1294 – Continued strength can push the price toward this resistance.
Third Target: $0.1344 – If momentum persists, the next ray interaction will target this zone.
Bonus Levels: $0.1384 and $0.1472 – These levels represent extended bullish objectives based on ray progression.
Pessimistic Scenario
If GMTUSDT interacts negatively with descending rays or fails to hold support levels:
First Target: $0.1038 (MA50) – A breach here indicates bearish continuation.
Second Target: $0.0845 – Testing the absolute low from August 2024 suggests a significant downward shift.
Third Target: $0.0678 – If momentum is bearish, price may interact with this deep support zone, reflecting a broader sell-off.
Dynamic Interaction with Moving Averages
Moving averages play a vital role in confirming ray signals:
MA50 ($0.1038): A close above or below validates the ray's directional bias.
MA100 ($0.1102): Acts as dynamic resistance during upward attempts.
MA200 ($0.1217): A critical barrier to long-term trends and corrections.
MA233 ($0.1227): A key decision point, aligning closely with significant ray levels.
Suggested Trades Based on Rays
Long from $0.1066 to $0.1228: After confirming interaction with ascending rays, target the first resistance zone.
Short from $0.1228 to $0.1038: If price rejects at the resistance ray, aim for MA50 as the initial support target.
Breakout Trade above $0.1228 to $0.1344: A clean breakout signals strong bullish momentum, allowing traders to target subsequent rays.
Reversal Play at $0.0845 to $0.1038: If the price rebounds near the absolute low, capitalize on the recovery toward MA50.
Aggressive Long from $0.1294 to $0.1384: For experienced traders, momentum above the ray at $0.1294 suggests a run to the next dynamic zone.
Call to Action: Let’s Trade Smarter Together!
Hey traders, I hope this analysis gives you a fresh perspective and valuable insights! If you have any questions or want to discuss specific levels, drop your thoughts in the comments—let’s keep the conversation flowing. I’m always happy to engage and share ideas.
If this post resonated with you, hit that Boost button and save it to your favorites. Come back later and see how price respects the rays and levels I’ve highlighted—it’s a great way to sharpen your trading edge. Remember, understanding the key points for entries and exits is the heart of successful trading!
For those curious about my strategy: the rays and levels you see here are generated automatically using my proprietary indicator. It’s a private tool, but if you’re interested, feel free to message me directly to discuss how you can access it.
Got an asset you’d like analyzed? Let me know in the comments or via message. Some requests I’ll happily do for free and share with the community, while private setups can be tailored just for you—discreet and exclusive.
These rays aren’t just for GMT—they work across all assets. If you’re looking for personalized charting and analysis, I’m here to help. Just share the asset you’re tracking, hit Boost, and I’ll add it to my list.
Finally, don’t forget to follow me here on TradingView—this is where I post all my updates and ideas. Let’s build a strong community of traders who learn and grow together. Thanks for your support, and may the charts be ever in your favor!
JUP/USDT: A Critical Crossroad - Is the Market Poised for a TurnThe Tides Are Shifting
As we step into 2025, JUP/USDT finds itself teetering on a fine edge. Trading at $0.8152, the pair has retraced by over 55.9% from its all-time high of $1.8496 reached in April 2024. Yet, the spotlight now turns to emerging bullish signals and a question looms: Are we witnessing a bottom or merely a pause before further declines?
The RSI (14) on the daily chart suggests oversold conditions at 32.68, signaling the potential for a rebound. Meanwhile, the MFI (60) at a low 29.68 reinforces this notion, reflecting dwindling sell-side pressure. However, the story becomes more intriguing when you factor in the interplay of patterns like the "Buy Volumes Takeover," hinting at a potential shift in momentum.
Yet, this is no time for complacency. With support levels lurking at $0.777 and $0.738, and resistance firmly set at $0.9017, the market faces a critical juncture. The breach of these barriers will likely define the trajectory for days to come.
What lies ahead? Will bulls seize control and drive a recovery, or does the market have further to fall? The answer could hold opportunities for both traders seeking short-term volatility and investors eyeing long-term gains.
Roadmap of JUP/USDT Patterns: Tracing the Moves
The Journey Begins: "Sell Volumes Max" (2025-01-20 17:00 UTC)
The pattern “Sell Volumes Max” kicked things off with a strong bearish vibe, closing at $0.912 after opening at $0.9657. True to its direction, subsequent patterns confirmed the continuation of selling pressure, with the next session plunging further into bearish territory. This was the moment where the bears took the reins.
A Glimpse of Hope: "VSA Buy Pattern Extra 2nd" (2025-01-20 17:00 UTC)
Enter the bullish contender. The “VSA Buy Pattern Extra 2nd” hinted at a recovery, but the subsequent “Sell Volumes Max” overpowered the buy signal, showing that bulls failed to secure dominance. This invalidated the potential reversal from the extra buy setup.
Reconfirmation of Bears: "Sell Volumes Max" (2025-01-21 04:00 UTC)
Another bearish signal appeared, and this time it delivered. Prices continued their southward journey, reinforcing the bearish momentum as the market respected the trigger points. The consistency here set the stage for further declines, proving this sell pattern’s reliability.
The Turnaround Begins: "VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st" (2025-01-21 04:00 UTC)
Finally, the bulls struck back. This time, the pattern held its ground, with the market beginning to pivot upward in the following sessions. The trigger was validated, and the price began building upward momentum, signaling a potential long-term shift.
Bullish Revival: "VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 4th" (2025-01-22 15:00 UTC)
The fourth iteration of the “VSA Manipulation Buy” emerged as the hero pattern. After a slow build-up, the market began respecting its bullish bias, breaking past the three-bar low triggers. Prices closed higher, confirming a significant turn in market sentiment.
Buy Dominance Confirmed: "Buy Volumes Take Over" (2025-01-22 16:00 UTC)
To seal the deal, the “Buy Volumes Take Over” reinforced the bullish sentiment, with prices moving decisively upward from this point. The sequence of bullish patterns successfully outperformed previous sell signals, marking this as a pivotal point in the trend’s evolution.
What’s Next?
Looking at the roadmap, we’ve seen a fascinating interplay between buyers and sellers. Patterns like “Sell Volumes Max” set the tone for a bearish leg, but it’s the precise recovery of buy patterns that brought balance back to the game.
Stay tuned, traders. The next chapter could redefine the market’s direction—are you ready to catch the wave?
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels on the Radar
Here’s the breakdown of the key zones that every trader should have pinned to their charts. These levels are where the action happens—either as bounce points or barriers. If the price fails to respect these zones, don’t sweat it; they’ll likely flip into resistance or support depending on the move.
Support Levels
0.777 – The first line of defense. If buyers can’t hold it, expect it to flip and act as a ceiling. 0.738 – A critical level for bulls to step in. If breached, it’s game over for a deeper dip.
Resistance Levels
0.9017 – The big hurdle. Bulls need to clear this to reclaim control. If not, it turns into a tough ceiling that could cap any rallies.
Powerful Support Levels
1.371 – The heavyweight champion of supports. If tested, it’s where we’d expect some serious buying pressure. But if it breaks, buckle up for some turbulence.
Powerful Resistance Levels
0.5783 – A fortress in the bears’ favor. Bulls breaking through here would signal a major shift in momentum.
The Golden Rule
Respect the levels, but stay nimble. If a support level cracks or a resistance gets shattered, flip your bias—these same levels will play for the other team as the market evolves. As always, let price action be your guide and keep it sharp!
Trading Strategies Using Rays: The Power of Fibonacci Dynamics
Concept of Rays
The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" concept redefines precision trading. By leveraging Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles, we construct rays that act as dynamic guides, predicting where the price might pivot or accelerate. These rays are drawn from the inception of a trend, not traditional extremum points, allowing traders to stay ahead of new trend phases or corrections.
Why It Works
Markets are complex, and predicting exact levels is often a fool’s errand. However, rays provide zones of high probability for price interaction. When paired with moving averages (MA50, MA100, etc.), these zones highlight key areas of potential reversals or continuations. Each ray and corresponding MA serve as stepping stones in the market, marking paths for price action.
Price interaction with rays, supported by Volume Spread Analysis (VSA), signals the ideal moment to enter trades—whether it's bouncing off a ray or breaking through it toward the next.
Optimistic Scenario
Price respects the Fibonacci ray levels and moving averages, triggering bullish momentum.
Entry: After price interacts with Support 0.777, supported by MA233 at 0.8756, and confirms upward movement. First Target: Resistance 0.9017 – Watch for a breakout or a pause. Second Target: Powerful Resistance 1.371 – Anticipate heightened activity at this zone.
Pessimistic Scenario
Bearish pressure dominates, breaking supports and interacting with descending rays.
Entry: After price breaks below Support 0.738, retests it, and interacts with descending rays, signaling continuation. First Target: Dynamic MA support near 0.675 – Aligns with descending ray zone. Second Target: Powerful Support 0.5783 – A likely point for consolidation or bounce.
Proposed Trades Based on Ray Interactions
Bullish Bounce from 0.777
This level, supported by ascending rays, presents a strong buying opportunity. Wait for confirmation through volume spikes or bullish candle patterns.
Breakout Trade Above 0.9017
If price interacts with ascending rays and MA50 before breaking this resistance, initiate a long trade targeting 1.371.
Bearish Breakdown Below 0.738
A clean break of this support, coupled with descending ray interaction, opens a short setup targeting 0.5783.
Dynamic MA Trade at 0.8756 (MA233)
If the price reverses near this level, supported by rays, it signals a strong continuation setup for trend followers.
Key Takeaways
Patience is Key: Always wait for price interaction with rays and MAs before entering.
Target the Rays: Movement from one ray to the next is often enough to secure solid profits.
Adaptability: Rays automatically adjust to new patterns, keeping you ahead in dynamic markets.
Trade smart, let the rays guide you, and ride the trends from zone to zone!
Let’s Stay Connected!
Hey there, fellow traders! If you’ve made it this far, it means you’re serious about improving your trading game, and I’m here to help. Have questions or thoughts about the analysis? Drop them in the comments below—I read and respond to everything, and your feedback is always appreciated. Let’s keep the conversation going!
Liked the roadmap? Don’t forget to hit Boost and save this idea to revisit later. Watching how price respects these rays and levels is crucial for sharpening your trading instincts. Remember: it’s not just about predictions—it’s about understanding key reaction points.
By the way, the rays and levels you see here? They’re automatically plotted by my private indicator-strategy. If you’re curious to use it, feel free to send me a private message to discuss access.
Need a custom analysis for your favorite asset? Let me know in the comments. I can create a detailed breakdown—either publicly for the community or privately if you prefer to keep your strategy under wraps. Whether it’s crypto, forex, or stocks, these rays work on all markets, and I’d be happy to personalize them for you.
Lastly, don’t forget to follow me here on TradingView to stay updated on all my latest ideas. Let’s build a community of smarter, more confident traders—starting with you. 🚀
15M GOLD CHART ANALYSISHi Traders,
Check out our 15M Analysis
As per our chart layout analysis, our analysis has played out perfectly last 2 days. The EMA5 crossed and held above various levels, crossing 2715 target and breaking through the resistance level as well. We highlighted that the next directional move would be confirmed once the EMA5 crossed and locked above weighted levels—and that’s exactly what happened.
To make it easier for you, we’ve added entry levels, and take profit targets (TP1, TP2, TP3). These levels align seamlessly with the EMA5 crossing and holding above each level, which will determine the next target. The golden circle indicates specifically where EMA5 has crossed and locked above the weighted levels and worked out perfectly.
Currently, the price is moving between two weighed levels, with a gap above at 2755 and a gap below at 2748. We need to see the EMA5 cross and lock on either of these levels to confirm the next range.
Remember to focus on buying dips. Our updated levels and weighed zones will help track downward movements and capitalize on upward bounces.
Continue to buy dips at our support levels, targeting 10-20 pips per trade. Each level structure typically provides bounces within this range, making it ideal for precise entry and exit opportunities.
BULLISH TARGET
2762
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2715 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2731 DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2731 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2741 DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2741 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2748 DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2748 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2755
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2755 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2762
BEARISH TARGETS
2696
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2741 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2720
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2720 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2701
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2701 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2688
As always, we’ll keep you updated throughout the week with regular insights on how we’re managing active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your continued support, including your likes, comments, and follows – we truly appreciate it!
TheQuantumTrader
USD/JPY -H1- Bearish FlagThe USD/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 154.30
2nd Support – 153.52
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Fundamental Market Analysis for January 22, 2025 GBPUSDThe Pound saw mixed results from UK labour data, but the UK's own Labour Department is taking the figures as a grain of salt. On the US side, US President Donald Trump brushed aside his campaign promises of sweeping tariffs against all US trading partners, focusing on new, more subtle tariff threats against US North American trading partners Canada and Mexico.
Markets shuddered as investors tried to keep up with the new headline generator - President Trump. Investors were betting big that the newly minted US president would not impose tariffs on day one, as he has long threatened to do, but a new round of renewed trade rhetoric has market sentiment fluctuating in the mid-range.
With only little significant data scheduled for Wednesday, pairs traders will focus on the headlines likely to be released during US trading hours. Pound traders will be keeping an eye on Friday's Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data from S&P Global, which is due out on both sides of the Atlantic.
Trading recommendation: Watch the level of 1.2280, when fixing below consider Sell positions, when rebounding consider Buy positions.
Trend change, momentum phase - AUDUSDAt 17th of January, price attempted to continue in a downtrend, but it quickly reversed with a ripping force, completely evaporating the attemptation summit. Price then created a pullback after change of character, and respected the broken high as such. So right now, the market is starting to push price higher, and I think it attracts toward the broken structure of December 17th.
EUR/AUD Bullish Channel (22.1.2025)The EUR/AUD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bullish Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.6703
2nd Resistance – 1.6732
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BITCOIN CAN MOVE TO GIVEN TARGET AREABitcoin's price action continues to capture attention as it edges closer to a significant target on the charts. Traders and investors are closely monitoring its movement, analyzing key support and resistance levels to predict the next possible breakout or retracement. With market sentiment and trading volumes playing crucial roles, the question remains: will Bitcoin achieve its target, or will it face a correction? Stay updated and ready for potential opportunities as the momentum unfolds!
XAUUSD 1hr chart showing selling opportunity must read caption XAUUSD is showing clear signs of a potential selling opportunity, with market conditions and technical indicators pointing towards a possible bearish movement in gold prices. Traders are advised to closely monitor key levels and patterns that reinforce this trend, as the current setup suggests a favorable environment for initiating sell positions. With global economic factors and technical analysis aligning to support this outlook, now might be an ideal time to prepare for a well-timed sell trade in gold, maximizing the potential for profit as the market unfolds.
NZD/CAD Channel Breakout (22.01.2025)The NZD/CAD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.8068
2nd Support – 0.8034
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