Fundamental Market Analysis for April 2, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) fails to capitalise on the previous day's modest gains against its US counterpart and attracts fresh sellers during Wednesday's Asian session. The USD/JPY pair, however, remains in the range it has been in since the beginning of this week as traders await a new catalyst before positioning for the next leg of directional movement. As such, attention will remain focused on US President Donald Trump's announcement of retaliatory tariffs later today.
Meanwhile, speculation that the slowdown in the economy caused by the tariffs may force the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to keep policy steady for now is undermining the yen. However, investors seem convinced that the BoJ will continue to raise interest rates amid signs of rising inflation in Japan. This is a significant divergence from the growing confidence that the Federal Reserve (BoJ) will resume its rate-cutting cycle in June, and should support the lower-yielding Japanese Yen.
Trade recommendation: SELL 150.00, SL 150.90, TP 148.60
Analysis
USD/JPY(20250402)Today's AnalysisToday's buying and selling boundaries:
149.55
Support and resistance levels
150.70
150.27
149.99
149.11
148.83
148.40
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 149.99, consider buying, the first target price is 150.27
If the price breaks through 149.55, consider selling, the first target price is 149.11
CAD/JPY Bearish Setup Near Resistance – Rejection Incoming?📉 Trend Analysis:
The pair is in a downtrend, confirmed by the descending trendline.
Lower highs and lower lows indicate bearish momentum.
📌 Key Levels:
Resistance Zone (104.5 - 106.0): Marked in purple, this area has previously acted as support and is now a key resistance zone.
Support Area: Around 100.0 - 101.0, a psychological level where price may find demand.
📊 Trade Scenario:
Bearish Rejection Expected: Price is approaching the resistance zone and trendline confluence. If rejection occurs, a downward move towards 100.0 is likely.
Break Above? If price breaks above the resistance zone and trendline, bullish momentum could invalidate the bearish setup.
🔍 Conclusion:
Watching for rejection near 105.0-106.0 to confirm a short opportunity.
If rejection happens, next targets are 102.0 → 100.0.
A bullish breakout above 106.0 could shift momentum upwards.
USOIL Daily Analysis: Bullish Reversal from Key Support USOIL (WTI Crude Oil) daily chart showing price action analysis.
Key Observations:
Support Zone:
A strong demand zone is marked around $65-$66, which has acted as a reversal area in the past.
The price has recently bounced off this zone, indicating potential buyer interest.
Current Price Action:
Price is currently trading at $68.25.
A bullish move started from the support region, with a higher low formation suggesting potential upside momentum.
Potential Scenario:
The chart suggests a pullback before continuation to the upside.
If the support holds, $70-$72 could be the next target.
If price fails to hold above $66, further downside towards $64 may be possible.
Outlook:
Bullish Bias 📈 as long as the price remains above the demand zone.
Watch for a higher low confirmation before entering a long trade.
Breakout above $70 could signal a stronger rally.
XAU/USD Gold Bullish Momentum – Targeting $3,153+?📊 XAU/USD Daily Analysis – Bullish Continuation in Ascending Channel
🔹 Market Structure & Trend Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) remains in a well-defined ascending channel, respecting both dynamic support and resistance levels. The trend remains bullish, with higher highs and higher lows forming since late 2024. Currently, price is trading near the upper boundary of the channel, suggesting strong bullish momentum.
🔹 Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: $3,153 – $3,200 (potential breakout target)
Current Price: $3,020 (holding above key mid-range support)
Support Levels:
Channel Midline Support: ~$2,980
38.2% Fibonacci Retracement: ~$2,900 (potential corrective zone)
Channel Bottom Support: ~$2,700 (strong demand area)
🔹 Bullish Scenario 🟢
A break and close above $3,153 would confirm a bullish breakout, opening the door for a rally toward $3,200 and beyond.
Momentum remains strong, with price structure favoring continued upside as long as it stays above the midline of the channel.
🔹 Bearish Scenario 🔴
Failure to break above $3,153 could trigger a short-term pullback toward $2,980 - $2,900, where buyers may re-enter.
A confirmed breakdown below the ascending channel would invalidate the bullish setup and expose $2,700 - $2,600 as potential downside targets.
🔹 Conclusion & Trade Considerations
Bias: Bullish as long as price remains inside the ascending channel.
Entry Considerations: Retest of $3,020 - $2,980 as support could offer a high-probability long setup.
Breakout Confirmation: A daily close above $3,153 strengthens the bullish case for continuation.
BITCOIN | 4H | KEY POINTS Hey traders, what's up
I've marked the key levels for Bitcoin on the chart. Right now, it's holding within the 4-hour supply and demand zone. But if this level breaks, I expect Bitcoin to drop all the way down to around $78K.
For spot buyers, there’s no real risk at the moment. But if you're trading on margin and currently in the red, be extra cautious.
The market will liquidate you first, then move on its way.
Big thanks to everyone supporting my analysis with likes
I will provide continuous updates under this analysis.
#COMP #COMPUSDT #Compound #Update #Analysis #Eddy#COMP #COMPUSDT #Compound #Update #Analysis #Eddy
COMPUSDT.P (( 3 Signals Analyzed on the chart ))
Update on the analysis of this currency for you, dear followers,
Everything is very clear on the chart and Important areas of the upper time frame for scalping are identified and named.
This is based on a combination of different styles, including the volume style with the ict style.
Based on your strategy and style, get the necessary confirmations for this scalping setup to enter the trade.
I have analyzed for you the 3 moves that this currency is going to make in its upcoming trends. For you, follow moves 1, 2 & 3 in order according to the comments left on the chart. First, take a long scalp from the first marked point to the red marked lines and then follow the second move. The best short point is to the low demand area, which is the green area. The red line with the entry of snipers is the text. Finally, follow and for the third move in the green marked demand area, look for confirmation for swing trading and also long-term spot investment.
It is never too late to buy and invest. Do not rush and do not be fooled by the positive movements and reactions of the market. Wait for the price to reach its valuable areas. In the analysis of the Compound currency, as you can see, there is a strong demand area that is intact. Be patient until the price falls from the decision or extreme flips to the green area of the important demand area. Be sure to check this currency in your Daily & Weekly time frame and draw the areas. Then refer to the weekly, daily and four-hour time frames and draw the lower time areas and look for confirmation for volatility.
Do not rush to invest and buy spot and let the price reach the support area.
Be successful and profitable.
"In the previous analysis of the Comp currency, we caught a beautiful pump. I hope you enjoyed and benefited from that analysis."
Review and view previous Comp currency analysis :
#PONKE #PONKEUSDT #PONKECOIN #MEMECOIN #MEME #Analysis #Eddy#PONKE #PONKEUSDT #PONKECOIN #MEMECOIN #MEME #Analysis #Eddy
PONKEUSDT.P Higher Time Frame Analysis
⚠️ (( "WARNING" : This is an Requested Analysis & I do not recommend investing large amounts of money in it because it is a meme coin.)) ⚠️
Important areas of the higher time frame are identified and labled.
Everything is clear and I have clearly drawn the important areas in the chart and the labels and names of the areas are included. Depending on your analytical style, you can get the necessary confirmations and see the reduction from the marked areas to the specified targets.
This Analysis is based on a combination of different styles, including the volume style with the ict style.
Based on your strategy and style, get the necessary confirmations for this analysis to buy entery the trade.
Don't forget risk and capital management.
The responsibility for the transaction is yours and I have no responsibility for not observing your risk and capital management.
💬 Note : The price can go much higher than the first target, and there is a possibility of a 200% pump on this currency. By observing risk and capital management, obtaining the necessary approvals, and saving profits in the target, you can keep it for the pump.
Be successful and profitable.
Is This the Start of ETH’s Next Mega Rally?#Ethereum just bounced off its strongest support since 2020! 🔥
This trend has held firm for 5 years, and ETH is respecting it once again.
This could be the start of the next big rally if history repeats.
Bullish momentum loading?
What’s your ETH target for this cycle? 👇
Gold Eyes Fresh Highs Amid Geopolitical Tensions🟡 Gold Eyes Fresh Highs Amid Geopolitical Tensions & Quarter-End Volatility
Gold started April with a strong bullish gap, reaching another all-time high during the Asian session. Price is now trading near the upper bound of a multi-day structure, supported by ongoing geopolitical risks, macro uncertainty, and flight-to-safety flows.
European and UK traders should remain cautious today, as end-of-month volatility may lead to fake breakouts, stop hunts, and liquidity grabs – especially ahead of key U.S. economic data later this week.
🧠 Market Context:
Risk sentiment remains fragile as global equities faced pressure overnight.
Safe haven demand is elevated following weekend headlines tied to geopolitical conflict and natural disaster risks in Asia.
Traders are also watching the market’s reaction to Trump’s softened tone on tariffs — potentially shifting macro flows in risk assets.
🔍 Technical Outlook:
Price action remains bullish overall, but the pair is extended at current levels.
Expect high volatility today as monthly candles close — with a chance of both upside wicks and liquidation dips.
Scalping or reacting at well-defined zones is preferred over chasing.
🧭 Key Technical Levels:
🔺 Resistance: 3158 – 3166 – 3172 – 3180
🔻 Support: 3133 – 3122 – 3111 – 3100
🎯 Trading Plan:
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3122 – 3120
SL: 3116
TP: 3126 – 3130 – 3134 – 3138 – 3142 – 3146 – 3150
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3170 – 3172
SL: 3176
TP: 3166 – 3162 – 3158 – 3152 – 3148 – 3144 – 3140
⚠️ Final Note:
Today’s session could be chaotic with month-end flows and low liquidity pockets.
Stick to clean setups. Wait for confirmation. Always use SL/TP.
📌 If you found this plan helpful, like & follow for daily setups and institutional-level insights.
📊 Trade with structure, manage your risk, and let the market come to you.
ETH - When will this downtrend finally stop?Ethereum (ETH) has been stuck in a prolonged downtrend, and the bearish scenario is now playing out. On the 4-hour chart, ETH recently broke below its rising trend line after forming a rising wedge that typically signals further downside. This breakdown confirms the potential for further downside.
At the same time, on the weekly timeframe, ETH has perfectly retested its resistance and failed to push higher, reinforcing overall market weakness. With failing to break resistance it is likely that ETH could face continued weakness and move towards the weekly support area at 1500.
Thanks for your support.
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#COMP #COMPUSDT #Compound #Analysis #LONG #Eddy#COMP #COMPUSDT #Compound #Analysis #LONG #Eddy
COMPUSDT.P Ready For Long Entry
Important areas have been identified, the entry point has been touched in advance, and the pullback has been made on a lower timeframe, and it is ready to long entry upon receiving confirmation.
This is based on a combination of different styles, including the volume style with the ict style.
Based on your strategy and style, get the necessary confirmations for this scalping setup to enter the trade.
Don't forget risk and capital management.
The responsibility for the transaction is yours and I have no responsibility for not observing your risk and capital management.
Note: The price can go much higher than the second target, and there is a possibility of a 40% pump on this currency. By observing risk and capital management, obtaining the necessary approvals, and saving profits in the targets, you can keep it for the pump.
Be successful and profitable.
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Price Analysis – Key Zones & Potential Movem🔵 Key Price Levels:
Current price: 🟠 $3,130.99
DEMA (9): 🔵 $3,138.21
Target price: 🎯 $3,174.92
📌 Zones Identified:
🟢 Demand Zone (Support) ⬇️: Strong buying interest, potential bounce area. If price falls here, buyers may step in.
🟡 RBR Zone (Rally-Base-Rally) 🔄: A mid-level area where price could consolidate before moving up.
🔴 Supply Zone (Resistance) ⬆️: Sellers might emerge, causing a reversal or slowdown in price movement.
📈 Potential Price Action:
🔹 Scenario 1 (Bullish 🐂): A retrace to the RBR Zone 🟡 could lead to a bounce 📈 toward the Target 🎯 at $3,174.92.
🔹 Scenario 2 (Bearish 🐻): If price drops below the Demand Zone 🟢, it may signal a trend reversal 📉.
🔹 Breakout Confirmation: If price breaks above the Supply Zone 🔴, it may continue rallying 🚀 toward the target point.
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 1, 2025 GBPUSDOn Monday, the GBP/USD pair was traversing the charts in familiar territory, passing a familiar accumulation zone as investors awaited the latest iteration of US President Donald Trump's tariff threats. The Trump administration intends to enact a broad catalog of tariffs against virtually all US trading partners starting April 2.
Specific details of the Trump administration's tariff plans this week remain vague and elusive, but the main tariff threats remain “retaliatory” tariffs on all countries that have their own tariffs on imports of U.S. goods, regardless of the economic context. Retaliatory tariffs on Canada and the European Union are also expected, as well as additional flat tariffs on copper and automobiles.
The UK economic data release schedule remains loose this week, however, fresh US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) employment data is due out later this week. The release of NFP could be an important factor for the markets as the US economy transitions into a post-tariff economic environment, and the March labor data will serve as an “indicator” of the impact of the Trump team's tariff plans.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.29250, SL 1.30000, TP 1.28650
AUD/USD 1-hour downtrend - Will 0.6200 Trigger a Reversal?The AUD/USD pair has been trending downward on the 1-hour chart, maintaining strong bearish momentum. In its latest move lower, it formed a significant 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG), aligning closely with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level.
Given this confluence, there is a possibility that AUD/USD could revisit this level to reject and continuing its decline. However, if bearish pressure persists, the pair may extend its drop toward the key 4-hour support at 0.6200.
A potential bullish engulfing candle at this 0.6200 support level could signal a shift in market structure, indicating a possible change of character to the upside. However, it is still uncertain if we will revisit this 4-hour support.
HelenP. I Gold is still rising and can reach 3115 pointsHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Some time ago, the price tested Support 2 at the 2985 level, which coincided with the support zone between 2985 and 2976 points. This area provided strong support, resulting in a bullish reaction that pushed Gold significantly higher. After bouncing from this key support zone, the price began a steady upward movement, eventually breaking above Support 1 at the 3055 level. This breakout was an important signal, as buyers continued to dominate, driving Gold further up. Following this breakout, the price continued its bullish momentum, clearly holding above the trend line, which has repeatedly acted as reliable support during this rise. Recently, Gold reached the support zone at 3055-3065 points again, retested it, and confirmed the strength of the buyers with a quick upward reaction. Currently, the price is trading comfortably above this support zone and remains firmly bullish in structure. Given the recent bullish impulse, the successful retest of the support zone, and the continuing hold above the trend line, I expect the price to move upward toward my current goal at 3115 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Bitcoin can correct to support level and then continue to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Looking at this chart, we can observe how the price began to decline around the mirror line and soon reached the 88500 resistance level. After that, BTC attempted to move upward but resumed its decline, eventually breaking below the 88500 level and falling toward the support area, which aligned with the buyer zone. Following this drop, Bitcoin bounced back into the buyer zone and even pushed slightly higher, beginning a steady rise within an ascending channel. Inside this channel, BTC reached the 82200 level and broke through it, made a minor correction, and then continued climbing to the upper boundary of the channel. The price then pulled back to the buyer zone, rebounded again, and returned to the channel’s resistance line before continuing its upward move. Eventually, BTC touched a key resistance level, hovered around it for a while, and then began to decline. Shortly after, the price broke out of the channel and dropped back to the support zone. However, more recently, it has started to rise again. In my view, BTC might first revisit the support area once more before continuing its upward movement. For this scenario, I’ve placed my first target near the resistance level at 87000 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
CADJPY analysis for a Sell!!!!Here’s a sell-side analysis for CAD/JPY on the 2H chart based on your updated screenshot:
⸻
Pair: CAD/JPY
Timeframe: 2H
Current Price: ~104.656
Market Bias: Short-term bearish shift from previous bullish trend
⸻
Sell Analysis Overview:
1. Bearish Structure Forming Below 105.300–105.600
• Price recently broke below a major support zone (~105.300–105.600), which is now turning into a resistance zone.
• This rejection aligns with the concept of structure flipping — previous support now acting as resistance.
• The marked “Sell Structure Forming Below” zone highlights this key area for short positions on pullbacks.
2. Multiple Rejections at 105.866
• There are clear lower highs forming, with repeated rejections around 105.866 (circled).
• Each attempt to push higher has failed, showing strong bearish pressure and exhaustion from buyers.
3. Breakdown of Key Moving Averages
• Price has closed below both the 50 EMA and 100 EMA, which are beginning to curl downward — a common signal of a trend reversal.
• Momentum has shifted, and sellers are currently in control.
4. Liquidity Grab + Breakdown
• After a false breakout to the upside, price grabbed liquidity around 105.866 and quickly reversed.
• This aligns with smart money behavior: sweeping highs before dropping — a classic bearish trap.
5. Short-Term Target Zone
• The current bearish move has a clear downside target in the 103.600–103.800 zone, which is marked as an “Area of Liquidity”.
• If this zone breaks cleanly, extended targets sit around 101.800–101.400, where fresh demand and buy structure are likely to form.
⸻
Sell Plan & Risk Management:
• Entry Idea: Wait for a pullback into the 105.300–105.600 zone to look for bearish confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing, rejection wick).
• Stop Loss: Above 105.866 (invalidates structure)
• Take Profit Levels:
• TP1: 103.600 (liquidity zone)
• TP2: 101.800 (demand zone)
• TP3: 101.400 (long-term structure support)
⸻
Final Thoughts:
CAD/JPY is now showing early signs of a bearish trend reversal after a clean breakdown of structure and liquidity sweep at highs. As long as the price remains below 105.600, the bias remains bearish. A bounce from 104.500 could temporarily delay the drop, but deeper downside is likely if that level gives way.
EUR/USD Weekly Forecast: Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish TargetChart Overview:
The provided EUR/USD daily chart displays a well-structured Rising Wedge pattern, which eventually led to a significant bearish breakdown. The analysis highlights key levels, including resistance, support, stop loss, and a downside target, all of which contribute to a well-planned trade setup. The market structure suggests a strong bearish continuation, targeting lower price levels based on technical projections.
1. Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge Formation & Breakdown
A Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that forms when price creates higher highs and higher lows, but the slope of the trendlines indicates weakening bullish momentum. This pattern is often a signal of upcoming bearish price action once a breakout occurs.
Pattern Breakdown Analysis:
The price moved inside the wedge, showing a gradual upward trend with declining momentum.
Upon reaching a key resistance level, price faced strong rejection (marked with a red circle).
The bearish breakdown below the wedge confirmed the pattern, leading to a sharp decline.
A retest of the broken wedge followed before continuing downward.
This confirms a classic bearish trend reversal, making it a strong technical setup.
2. Key Levels and Trade Setup:
🔹 Resistance Level (Major Supply Zone)
The resistance zone (highlighted in beige) acted as a strong supply area, where buyers lost control.
Price reached this resistance multiple times but failed to sustain above it.
A bearish reversal initiated from this level, marking the beginning of a downward trend.
🔹 Support Level (Key Demand Zone)
The support zone (also highlighted) represents a major demand area where price previously reversed.
This level aligns with historical price action, making it a critical area to monitor for potential reactions.
🔹 Stop Loss Placement
A stop loss is placed above the previous high within the resistance zone to protect against false breakouts.
If price invalidates the breakdown and moves above this level, the bearish setup would no longer be valid.
🔹 Price Target Projection
The breakdown suggests a potential drop towards 1.00874, as indicated by the 100% measured move.
This aligns with previous historical support, making it a realistic downside target.
3. Trade Execution Plan: How to Trade This Setup?
📌 Entry Strategy:
Traders can enter short after confirmation of the breakdown and a potential retest.
A sell position can be initiated around the resistance turned support after a pullback rejection.
📌 Stop Loss Strategy:
A stop loss should be set above the resistance zone (around 1.12208) to minimize risk.
This ensures protection against a bullish breakout invalidation.
📌 Take Profit Strategy:
The first take profit target is set at the support level near 1.04498.
The final take profit target is at 1.00874, which aligns with the full measured move projection.
4. Conclusion & Market Sentiment
🔸 Bearish Market Bias – The breakdown of the rising wedge confirms strong bearish momentum.
🔸 Key Resistance Held Strong – The price was unable to break above, confirming seller dominance.
🔸 Downside Target Aligns with Previous Support Levels – A confluence of technical signals supports further decline.
Final Thought:
This chart presents a high-probability bearish trade setup in EUR/USD. The combination of a rising wedge breakdown, clear resistance rejection, and a defined downside target makes it an ideal short-selling opportunity. Traders should watch for price action confirmations and risk management strategies before executing trades.
🚨 Risk Disclaimer: Always apply proper risk management and confirm signals before trading. Market conditions may change, so monitoring price behavior is crucial for trade adjustments.
PI – Potential Head & Shoulders Pattern Forming📉 PI – Potential Head & Shoulders Pattern Forming
We may be seeing a possible Head & Shoulders structure on the chart — a classic bearish pattern.
If the neckline breaks, this could trigger a downside move, so watch closely for confirmation!
⚠️ Not confirmed yet — stay alert and manage your risk.
📍 Key zone: Neckline support area.
🔔 Follow for more updates and live trade setups
Weak US Economic Data Could Drive Prices Higher - 28.03.2025Gold prices have been on a strong upward trend, reaching a high of $3,059. The upcoming US economic data release on March 28, 2025, could provide new momentum for gold, particularly with the following key indicators in focus:
- Core PCE Price Index (MoM)
- Personal Spending (MoM)
- Personal Income (MoM)
Current forecasts suggest a slowdown in inflation and weaker economic activity, which could create a bullish environment for gold.
Economic Data Expectations and Market Implications
The Core PCE Price Index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, is expected to rise by 0.2%, down from the previous 0.3%. This signals a slowdown in price pressures, increasing the likelihood of the Fed adopting a more dovish stance in the coming months. If inflation continues to decline, expectations for rate cuts could strengthen, which would be supportive of gold prices.
Personal spending is forecasted to increase by 0.3% - 0.5%, a modest recovery from the previous decline of -0.2%. However, this remains a weak rebound, suggesting that consumers are still cautious. Slower spending means less inflationary pressure, which could further encourage the Fed to ease monetary policy.
Personal income is expected to rise by 0.3% - 0.4%, significantly lower than the previous 0.9% increase. A slowdown in income growth could weigh on consumer spending and overall economic activity, reinforcing the case for lower interest rates.
Impact on Gold Prices
The combination of declining inflation, weak spending, and slower income growth increases the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates sooner rather than later. Gold, which tends to perform well in a lower interest rate environment, could see further gains as a result.
Key bullish factors for gold include:
Lower inflation expectations: A weaker Core PCE Price Index supports a more accommodative Fed stance.
Sluggish consumer spending: Less inflationary pressure gives the Fed room to cut rates.
Slower income growth: Weaker earnings could further dampen economic momentum, increasing demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
The main risk to gold prices would be a surprise shift in market sentiment. If the Fed remains cautious and delays rate cuts, gold could face short-term resistance. However, given the current data outlook, the overall trend remains positive.
Trading Idea: Long Position on Gold (XAU/USD)
Given the softer economic data, gold prices could continue their bullish momentum. If inflation shows signs of easing and economic activity slows, traders may start pricing in Fed rate cuts more aggressively, pushing gold higher.
A potential long trade setup could be to enter a buy position around $3,050 - $3,065, targeting $3,080, with an extended upside potential.
To manage risk, a stop-loss below could be placed to account for potential short-term pullbacks.
Conclusion
The upcoming US economic data release suggests a cooling economy, which could lead to increased expectations of Fed rate cuts. This would be a bullish catalyst for gold, reinforcing its role as a hedge against monetary easing.
A long position on gold around $3,065, with targets at $3,080, could be an attractive setup in the short term. Risk management remains key, with a stop-loss set close below.
If economic data confirms a weakening trend, gold could soon test new highs. Stay alert to market reactions and Fed commentary! 🚀
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊