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EN bias to short,likewise for GNHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. Both eurnzd and gbpnzd should be seeing more downside, had shorted since last week..this week shall continue unless something else happened :) Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
Short
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
Usd still not given clear direction on higher TimeframeHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. Right at the low of 2023 Jan,want to break but not breaking the last FOMC lows...only to play the whips so far...not clear direction..hopefully NFP give some clear indication of either further downside OR reversal. What you all think? Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
TVC:DXY
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
Light Crude Oil Futures: Mid East Tensions Fuel Price Surge!Light Crude Oil Futures (CL): NYMEX:CL1! As mentioned in our morning briefing, oil is currently extremely interesting, partly due to increasing tensions in the Middle East and the destruction of oil reserves there as well as in Russia. Consequently, oil prices have surged significantly. We are currently at a level of $85, but we still consider it quite likely that the Wave Y and the overarching Wave II have not yet concluded. We expect a three-part movement towards Y, with this Y anticipated to be in the range between 127.2% and 161.8% of a Wave C. This would place it between $63.2 and $57.4, nearly forming a double bottom with Wave ((b)) at $63.64. We would invalidate this scenario and consider a bullish outlook if we surpass the $90 mark in Crude Oil Futures. Should the price fall from here, we would then expect a five-wave structure downwards. However, caution is advised with oil due to the significant political and geopolitical influences on its price. The upcoming elections at the end of the year are particularly noteworthy, as a lower gasoline price in America is hugely important for electoral success, ensuring wins. With rising oil prices and the depletion of reserves, with hardly any reserves left in America, it will likely be necessary to purchase a large amount of oil. Considering the current economic stance of America, this task appears challenging. There is only one option if the goal is to lower oil prices for repurchasing. Even a $20 difference is substantial when buying as much oil as a country the size of America needs. Therefore, we still expect prices to fall further before we see a reversal.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by freeguy_by_wmc
Alibaba (BABA): Stagnation Phase or Momentum Boost?We are currently experiencing a phase of stagnation with Alibaba, as the stock remains in a new accumulation phase after breaking out of the previous one. The price might retest the Point-of-Control along with the trendline that was broken during the breakout, potentially providing a good momentum boost. Despite the sideways movement, our position remains profitable. From a long-term perspective, our entry looks strong, with a 10% stop-loss from our entry point. The upside potential for Alibaba is significant, given how far the stock is from its historical highs. The main concern with Alibaba is the jurisdiction risk, as it is a Chinese stock and subject to influences from China, which adds a layer of risk not present with American stocks. Nevertheless, as long as the price stays above $72.38, the outlook remains positive. Losing this level would be unfavorable and could indicate further downside risk. In summary, we remain optimistic about Alibaba's potential, keeping a close watch on the key support levels to manage risk effectively.
NYSE:BABALong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Weaker Outlook for GBP/AUD Amid Economic DivergenceThe GBP/AUD pair faces a bearish outlook as multiple factors align against GBP. Weak UK growth prospects, the nearing peak of the Bank of England's rate cycle, and cooling inflation are reducing support for GBP. Meanwhile, the Australian economy is expected to gain strength, supported by trade ties with China and stable inflation trends, signaling that AUD may outperform. As a result, the GBP/AUD exchange rate is likely to weaken further in the coming weeks. This outlook highlights the growing disparity between the economic conditions of the UK and Australia
Short
by ClearTradingMind
Textron: Why Textron Remains Bullish and Its Next Potential MoveAverage performance in the 3 months following the first interest rate cut of the Federal Reserve easing cycle: +15.2%. Textron (NYSE:TXT) is a multi-sector company that leverages its global network of aerospace, defense, industrial, and financial companies to provide various solutions and services to its customers. The company operates through six segments: Textron Aviation, Bell, Textron Systems, Industrial, Finance, and Textron eAviation. Its stock trend has been uncertain for several months, ranging between $80 and $95. However, fair value forecasts predict that the stock will exceed $100 and reach $104.38 (about 20% higher than the current price), which would be a historic record !!! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
NYSE:TXTLong
by CobraVanguard
Gold can break support level and continue to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. By observing the chart, we can see that some days ago price rebounded from the support line of the upward channel and rose to the 2550 support level, which soon broke it. After this, the price tried to grow and some time traded higher, after which it made a correction movement to the support line of the channel, which is located inside the support zone. Then price turned around and continued to rise to the current support level, which coincided with one more support zone, and when Gold reached this level, it at once broke it. Next, the price some time traded near this level inside the support area and a not long time ago rose to the resistance line of the upward channel. But soon, Gold rolled down and in a short time declined to support the area, so, I think that Gold can make a move up and then continue to decline next. Also, I expect that XAU will break the support level and fall to the support line of the channel, therefore I set my TP at 2615, which coincides with this line. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by LegionQ8
2
Buy NZD/JPY Bullish ChannelThe NZD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bullish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 90.80, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 91.49 2nd Support – 91.92 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 90.35. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
33
EUR/GBP Technical Analysis – Monthly, Daily, and 4-Hour Monthly Time Frame: On the monthly chart, the price has reached a key demand zone that has historically shown strong buyer interest. This is a crucial area where we are now witnessing a significant reaction, indicating that buyers are stepping in. The bullish pressure from this zone suggests the potential for upward momentum in the coming weeks or months. Daily Time Frame: On the daily chart, we see strong buying pressure that has led to an overextension in the current price action. This overextension is a signal that the market may soon undergo a correction. However, before assuming a reversal, it is important to focus on confirming signals that will validate a potential correction. These signals could include bearish candlestick formations or a breakdown in key support levels. 4-Hour Time Frame: In the 4-hour chart, a clear trend reversal pattern has emerged, indicating a shift in market sentiment. We can observe lower lows being formed, with the most recent low liquidating the previous one, followed by a strong bullish movement. This sweep of liquidity followed by a rally signals that the market has completed its bearish phase and is ready to push higher. Take Profit and Stop Loss Ideas: Take Profit: A reasonable take profit level can be placed just below the next significant resistance area on the 4-hour chart or around key highs visible on the daily chart. Stop Loss: Conservative Stop Loss: Below the key demand zone on the 4-hour chart, allowing room for price fluctuations while still protecting the position. Aggressive Stop Loss: Tighter, just below the most recent low, providing a higher risk-reward ratio but with less room for market noise.
Long
by Wiiso
2
Buy XAUUSD (Gold) Bullish FlagThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bullish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 2660, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 2681 2nd Support – 2696 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 2648. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
20
Fundamental Market Analysis for September 26, 2024 USDJPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) remains depreciated against the US Dollar (USD) following the release of the minutes from the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) July policy meeting on Thursday. The yen faces challenges as traders expect the BoJ to ponder before further rate hikes. The minutes of the BoJ's monetary policy meeting expressed a general view among members on the importance of remaining vigilant on the risks of inflation exceeding targets. Several members indicated that raising rates to 0.25 percent would be an appropriate way to adjust the level of monetary support. Some others suggested that a moderate adjustment in monetary support would also be appropriate. Pressure on the U.S. dollar is being exerted by the increased likelihood of further interest rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) at upcoming meetings. According to CME FedWatch Tool, markets estimate the probability that the Fed will cut rates by 75 basis points to a range of 4.0-4.25% by the end of this year at around 50%. Traders' attention is now focused on the release of final annualized U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) data for the second quarter (Q2), due later in the day. On Friday, inflation data will be released in Tokyo, which could provide further insight into the economic outlook and possible monetary policy moves by the Bank of Japan. Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Nasdaq Long Memory updated Technical Analysis: The market is currently trading within an ascending channel, characterized by two distinct touches on both the upper resistance and lower support levels. We recently observed a bullish rebound from the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level, where sell pressure was rejected, allowing buyers to take control. Given this setup, there is a strong likelihood that the market will test the resistance level for a third time, with potential new highs projected between 20,500 and 20,800. Fundamental Analysis: As we enter the fourth quarter, seasonal consumer behavior, particularly driven by the upcoming festive period, is expected to influence the markets. With an uptick in consumer spending, many companies are likely to see a boost in sales, providing a positive backdrop for continued bullish momentum. Another catalyst for this period is yet to emerge but may further support the bullish outlook as we progress through Q4. Current Position: I am currently holding a long position, having identified 19,915 as a key resistance level that has recently been breached. The daily candlestick closed firmly above this level, indicating potential support for the continuation of the bullish trend. This breakout reinforces the case for upward momentum in the near term.
FOREXCOM:NAS100Long
by MrMosako
1
GOLD - Price can bounce from resistance line of channel to $2580Hi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Recently price traded inside flat, where it reached $2530 level and then bounced down to bottom part of flat. Then price rose back, some time traded near $2530 level, and then started to decline to $2472 points. Gold exited from flat and started to grow inside a rising channel, where it soon reached the $2530 level again. Price broke this level and continued to grow until it reached resistance line of channel, after which made a correction. After correction, Gold turned around and rose to resistance line again, but recently it started to decline. I think that XAU can rise resistance line and then start to decline to $2580 support line of a rising channel. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WalterMoon
11
HelenP. I Gold can fall below trend line and then rebound upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price some time ago dropped below support 2, which coincided with the support zone, breaking it. Then price some time traded near this level and later even rebounded higher, but soon dropped back to the trend line. Then Gold started to grow near this line and soon broke support 2 one more time. Lare price reached support 1, which coincided with one more support zone, and some time traded near this level until it broke the trend line and fell a little below. After this movement, Gold turned around and made a strong impulse up to the trend line, breaking support 1, and then it made little correction movement. Then the price continued to move up and a not long time ago reached the trend line again and broke it. Just now, the price trades near this line and I expect that XAUUSD will decline below the trend line, making a correction movement, and then it rebound up. That's why I set my goal at 2710 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FirstNameHelen
3
Euro can make movement up and then continue to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some time ago entered to wedge, where it rebounded from the support line and rose to the resistance line, which is located in the support zone. After this, the price turned around from the resistance line made a correction to the support line, and then made an impulse up. Euro broke the 1.1010 level, after which it exited from the wedge and started to trades inside range. Inside range, EUR at once rose to the seller zone, but soon turned around and started to decline, making a fake breakout of the resistance level. In a short time later, the price tried to grow, but turned around and made a correction to the support level, after which made an upward impulse to the 1.1175 resistance level. Euro some time traded near this level and not a long time ago started to decline. Therefore I think that the price can make movement up and then continue to decline to the support level, which coincides with the bottom part of the range. For this case, I set my TP at 1.1010 support level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
10
USDCHF is stuck in flat. H4 25.09.2024USDCHF is stuck in flat On the franc since last week sat in buys, but the growth did not get. The movement in flat with testing of borders continues. Ideally, we would like to see the lower boundary down to the area 0.8300-0.8340 and then the beginning of growth. However, there is a local support of the lower boundary and 1/2 margin at 0.8400 on the way. Let's see how we will pass it and if it will pass. On options we are trading in the oversold zone. I closed the previous buys in a small plus and I will look for a new re-entry if clear volume conditions are given.
Long
by KovachTrader
Fundamental Market Analysis for September 25, 2024 GBPUSDGBPUSD: GBP/USD continued to rally the Pound for the second day in a row, breaking above 1.3400 and hitting new 30-month highs after the US Dollar weakened significantly on Tuesday. Wednesday will be quiet for the Pound in terms of data, although traders will be keeping an eye on statements from Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) member Megan Green. MPC member Green will be speaking at the North East England Chamber of Commerce. The U.S. portion of Wednesday's economic data list is also underweight for the midweek market session. August's monthly new home sales figure is unlikely to have much momentum one way or the other, followed by a speech from Federal Reserve Board of Governors (Fed) member Adrian Kugler, who will speak at Harvard's Kennedy School in Cambridge. Consumer confidence deteriorated across the board on Tuesday, with consumer expectations for 12-month inflation accelerating to 5.2 per cent. Consumers also reported a general weakening in their six-month outlook for household financial conditions, and consumer assessments of overall business conditions turned negative. The pullback in consumer confidence results triggered renewed trading in the rates markets in favour of a subsequent sharp rate cut in November. According to the CME's FedWatch tool, rates markets are pricing in nearly 60% probability of a second 50 bps rate cut. 7 November and only a 40% probability of a more reasonable subsequent 25bp rate cut. Earlier in the week, traders were estimating roughly equal odds of a 50bp or 25bp rate cut. Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Buy orders from the current price level
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004