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Gold H1 projectionKey Points (Revised): * Asset: Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) * Timeframe: 1-hour chart * Recent Price Action: A sharp upward move has occurred, reaching the red highlighted zone (potential resistance). * Potential Reversal Zone: The red rectangular area between approximately 3009.643 and 3015.015 now appears to be acting as a resistance zone. * Target Zone: The green rectangular area between approximately 2953.785 and 2944.180 is now the potential target for a downward move. * Proposed Pattern: The price action suggests a potential rejection at the resistance zone, leading to a downward move. Trading Idea (Revised): The updated chart suggests a potential short (sell) trade opportunity. The idea is to enter a short position within or near the red highlighted zone (potential resistance), anticipating a downward move towards the green highlighted zone (potential support/target). This is based on the price reaching a potential resistance level and showing signs of rejection.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Muhammad_001
EUR/USD Triangle Breakout (07.04.2025)The EUR/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.0825 2nd Support – 1.0719 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
12
USD/JPY(20250407)Today's AnalysisMarket news: Fed Chairman Powell: Wait for clearer news before considering adjusting policy stance. One year later, as the impact of Trump's policies becomes clearer, uncertainty should be greatly reduced. Intends to complete the entire term. Potential tariffs may have a lasting impact on inflation. The impact of tariffs on the economy may be greater than expected. Downside risks have increased, but the economy is still in good shape. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 146.32 Support and resistance levels 149.17 148.11 147.41 145.22 144.53 143.46 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 146.32, consider buying, the first target price is 147.41 If the price breaks through 145.22, consider selling, the first target price is 144.53
by BraveTigercat
High Risk, High Reward: Shorting ATH in a Bullish Copper Market.Copper just broke above its all-time high, triggering my short entry at 5.3010. While the macro trend is undeniably bullish, past price action has shown that each major high was followed by aggressive selloffs. This might not be the case this time – but that’s exactly why we have a stop-loss in place. This is a tactical counter-trade: not about fighting the trend but playing a potential rejection from a psychological and technical key zone. Let’s see if history rhymes or the red metal keeps melting resistance! Technicals: • Daily timeframe breakout above ATH triggered the short at 5.3010. • Strong vertical rally into major supply – parabolic move often cools down. • Previous ATH levels have consistently attracted heavy selling. • If price invalidates with a continuation above 5.61, the setup is out. • Volatility around this zone is expected – precision and SL management are key. Fundamentals: 1. Trump’s Proposed Copper Tariffs: • Tariffs of up to 25% could disrupt global trade flow and introduce price instability. • Market already priced in a bullish narrative, so any delay or uncertainty could spark a correction. 2. Panama’s Cobre Mine Shutdown: • The mine accounts for 1% of global supply, and uncertainty around reopening may already be priced in. • The government is holding off public visits, which adds operational risk but no clear bullish resolution yet. 3. China Smelter Closures: • While bullish in nature, these are known factors – any shift or reversal from China could cool the demand-side speculation. 4. Overbought Sentiment: • Prices surged rapidly, creating a gap between LME and NY copper prices, reaching record spreads. • Speculative exhaustion could trigger a short-term pullback or deeper correction. Risk-Managed Play. Let’s see if this time is different – or just the same old Copper story in a new macro wrapper. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
VANTAGE:COPPERShort
by AR33_
XAUUSD NEXT MOVE 1. Double Top Resistance Breakdown The chart suggests a strong double top resistance zone around 3,160 USD. Disruption: If price tests this zone and fails again (creating a third top), a sharp reversal could occur. Implication: Bearish pressure may increase, potentially invalidating the long-term bullish target. 2. Failure to Hold the Bullish Zone Price is hovering above the support for bullish zone (~2,980–3,000 USD). Disruption: A break below this level, especially with volume, could signal trend reversal or deeper correction. Implication: Price might head towards the next unmarked support area below 2,960 USD. 3. Weak Rebound from Current Level The chart projects a “V-shaped” or “W-shaped” recovery. Disruption: If market sentiment is weak, the price may consolidate sideways or drift lower instead of rebounding. Implication: Delayed bullish momentum, potential accumulation phase or even distribution. 4. Fundamental Catalyst Risk Several U.S. economic event icons are marked (likely NFP, CPI, FOMC). Disruption: Any unexpectedly hawkish data or Fed speech can strengthen the USD and suppress gold prices. Implication: Technical patterns may get overridden by macro volatility. 5. Over-Reliance on Horizontal Levels The analysis is heavily based on horizontal S/R zones. Disruption: If market dynamics shift (liquidity hunts, news-driven spikes), price could fake out these zones. Implication: Stop hunts and liquidity grabs could trap traders expecting clean technical moves.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Vip_Signal
GOLD WEEKLY OPEN – Sentiment-Driven Marke🟡 GOLD WEEKLY OPEN – Sentiment-Driven Market as Asian Sellers Hit Early Gold kicked off the new week with a sharp drop during the early Asian session, falling over 40 points from last week’s highs into the 297x zone — a move that reflects lingering sell-side pressure from last Friday’s close. However, price quickly rebounded nearly 40 points, showing clear buy-side interest at the 297x zone — which acts as a key structural support on the H4 and D1 timeframes. 📌 If price breaks below this level convincingly, it could trigger a deeper move toward 295x. 🔍 Technical Breakdown: The overall structure on H4 and D1 remains bullish But right now, investor sentiment is leading, not just technicals On H1 and H2, price is reacting to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement zone If gold closes below 3030, we could see another leg down into the 295x area 🧠 Sentiment Is In Control (For Now) So far, only Asia and Australia have shown their hand We’re waiting on London and New York to step in before confirming trend direction With price whipping around inside a broad range — only trade from key zones with clear price reaction 🧭 Key Technical Zones: 🔺 Resistance: 3055 – 3076 – 3107 🔻 Support: 3024 – 3005 – 2970 – 2952 🎯 Trading Plan: 🟢 BUY ZONE: 2980 – 2978 SL: 2974 TP: 2984 – 2988 – 2992 – 2996 – 3000 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3076 – 3078 SL: 3082 TP: 3072 – 3068 – 3064 – 3060 – 3056 – 3050 📅 What To Watch This Week: This week brings major market movers: CPI → PPI → Fed speakers — all lined up midweek. → Be selective with your trades and keep tight risk control. AD will continue updating intraday zones across sessions. ✅ Trade smart. Respect your risk. Let the market come to you. — AD | Money Market Flow
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
6
CAD/JPY Bearish Setup Near Resistance – Rejection Incoming?📉 Trend Analysis: The pair is in a downtrend, confirmed by the descending trendline. Lower highs and lower lows indicate bearish momentum. 📌 Key Levels: Resistance Zone (104.5 - 106.0): Marked in purple, this area has previously acted as support and is now a key resistance zone. Support Area: Around 100.0 - 101.0, a psychological level where price may find demand. 📊 Trade Scenario: Bearish Rejection Expected: Price is approaching the resistance zone and trendline confluence. If rejection occurs, a downward move towards 100.0 is likely. Break Above? If price breaks above the resistance zone and trendline, bullish momentum could invalidate the bearish setup. 🔍 Conclusion: Watching for rejection near 105.0-106.0 to confirm a short opportunity. If rejection happens, next targets are 102.0 → 100.0. A bullish breakout above 106.0 could shift momentum upwards.
Short
by MrStellanSight
HelenP. I Euro will rise a little and then drop to support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. After breaking the structure of the previous downtrend, Euro showed a powerful bullish impulse, which allowed the price to exit the downward channel and move confidently higher. This breakout was supported by the trend line, which began to act as dynamic support throughout the rise. The bullish movement reached a local high near the 1.11 area before losing momentum. Soon after reaching that high, the price began to decline, pulling back to the area of the trend line and testing the support zone between 1.0950 and 1.0970. This zone aligns with Support 1 at the 1.0950 level and was already tested multiple times in recent price action. Although the trend line provided some temporary support, the strength of buyers has clearly faded. Currently, EUR/USD is trading just above the trend line, but price action suggests pressure is shifting back to the downside. Given the rejection from higher levels and the repeated tests of support, I expect the pair to decline further toward the 1.0950 target — my current goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Short
by FirstNameHelen
10
HelenP. I Bitcoin can rebound up from support zone to trend lineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Some time ago, BTC showed a strong downward move that brought the price into the support zone between 82200 and 80900 points. This area acted as a major demand zone, and after several retests, the price formed a solid base. From this support, BTC made a sharp bullish impulse, breaking through local resistance and heading toward the descending trend line. Eventually, the price reached the key resistance zone and tested the trend line, but failed to break through it. After that, BTC started to decline again and returned to the support zone around the 82200 level, where it is currently consolidating. At the moment, the price is trading near the lower boundary of the support zone. The strong reaction from this zone in the past and the overall price structure suggest that bulls are still active. Given the previous impulse move, the bounce from the support, and the clear target structure, I expect BTCUSDT to rise from the current level toward my goal at 87500 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Long
by FirstNameHelen
8
Gold may break support level and continue to decline nextHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The price started to grow from the buyer zone between 2885–2905 points, forming a clean bullish impulse and entering a broadening wedge structure. During the uptrend, Gold made several rebounds from the support line and broke above the current support level at 3070, which later became a key point in the price structure. After reaching the resistance line of the wedge, the price turned around and began a downward correction. The decline brought it back into the support area between 3087–3070 points, but this zone has already failed to hold the momentum. Currently, XAU is trading below the upper boundary of the support area and showing clear signs of weakness. The breakout to the downside from the wedge structure has already taken place, and the price is starting to form a local pullback. I expect this pullback to be short-lived, followed by a continuation of the downward movement. My target for this move is the 2990 level, which aligns with the support line of the broadening wedge and serves as the next strong reaction zone. Given the failed rebound from resistance, the breakdown of the support area, and the structure of the broadening wedge, I remain bearish and expect Gold to continue declining toward TP 1 — 2990 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by LegionQ8
9
GOLD BREAKS SHARPLY — BUT THE MOVE WAS WRITTEN IN THE STRUCTURE🟡 GOLD BREAKS SHARPLY — BUT THE MOVE WAS WRITTEN IN THE STRUCTURE A steep drop in gold just rattled the markets — but if you’ve been following the macro and technical setup closely, this was not only expected, but anticipated. From the first week of April, we’ve been tracking signals of potential exhaustion in XAUUSD: 🕯️ Candlestick wicks on higher timeframes 📈 Overextended structure 🧠 Macro divergence Now, all signs have converged — and we’re finally seeing the correction play out. 🔍 Why This Isn’t Just About Gold What we’re seeing is a broader shift in global market sentiment: U.S., European, and Asian equities are all under pressure Crypto has stagnated with little to no fresh capital inflow Gold — after months of aggressive buying — is now facing wave after wave of profit-taking This is classic risk-off behaviour. Investors are choosing cash, sitting tight, and waiting for clarity — not only in the charts but in the headlines too. 📉 DXY Building a Case for Recovery The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has been heavily sold in recent months — but is now holding at a multi-year structural support zone that’s been tested multiple times since 2021. With Trump returning to the spotlight and triggering a fresh round of global tariff negotiations, the USD is regaining narrative strength. Trump’s stance has already prompted discussions among major economies, putting the U.S. in a dominant position — and the market is beginning to price that in. 🤔 What’s Holding the Fed Back? Despite rising trade tensions, the Federal Reserve has remained cautious — choosing not to act until the dust settles from geopolitical and policy developments. This creates a window of opportunity: If the Fed holds rates while global central banks soften And if the USD holds this major support → We could see strong dollar flows return in Q2. 🔮 Gold Outlook – Where Next? In the short term: Expect continued volatility Potential for gold to slide further toward 308x – 305x range Any bounce is likely to be technical rather than fundamental In the medium term: Once political noise fades, gold may find support again Especially if inflation expectations persist or the Fed pivots dovish later in Q2 💡 Takeaways for UK Traders ✅ Don't trade the news — trade the reaction ✅ Macro structure matters more than the daily headlines ✅ Capital preservation beats chasing euphoria We’re not guessing. We’re reading the story and planning with structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD-GOLD can still break upward ? read captionGold (XAU/USD) has just soared to a new all-time high, reflecting heightened investor demand for safe-haven assets amid economic uncertainties. The surge comes as global markets react to inflation concerns, geopolitical tensions, and shifting monetary policies, further strengthening gold’s position as a premier store of value. With central banks increasing their reserves and investors seeking stability, the precious metal continues to shine, marking a historic moment in the financial markets.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SadarExplore
USD/JPY - Bearish breakdown signals further downside potential!The USD/JPY pair has been experiencing a clear daily downtrend, characterized by a bearish market structure and strong downward momentum. Sellers have remained in control, pushing prices lower as the pair continues to respect the prevailing bearish trend. With each failed attempt at recovery, the market structure reinforces the dominance of sellers, signaling that the path of least resistance remains to the downside. Despite this overall downtrend, the 4-hour timeframe recently exhibited a rising channel, where price action formed higher highs and higher lows, suggesting a temporary bullish retracement within the larger bearish structure. However, this channel has now been broken, signaling a potential shift back toward the primary trend. A break of this nature often suggests that the bullish correction has exhausted its strength, and sellers are regaining control to push the price lower once again. Following the breakdown of this rising channel, the price has failed to reclaim previous highs, instead forming a lower high—a strong indication that bearish pressure is resuming. Given this development, there is a significant possibility that USD/JPY could retrace toward key technical levels, such as the Golden Pocket (between the 0.618 and 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels) or even the 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) around 145.00. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Short
by Youriverse
33
Bitcoin may continue grow inside upward channel to seller zoneHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Looking at the chart, we can observe how Bitcoin corrected down to the support level, which also aligned with the buyer zone. From there, the price started to rise. It didn’t take long for BTC to reach the resistance level, which matched up with the seller zone. After breaking through that level, the price began consolidating within a range. Throughout this range, Bitcoin tested the upper boundary several times, but on the last attempt, it reversed and began to decline. The drop continued until it broke through the 86500 level, effectively exiting the range and pushing lower toward the next support. Once the price reached that area, it broke below the level and even dipped under the buyer zone, but quickly reversed and started climbing within an ascending channel. Inside this channel, BTC pushed up to the 83500 level, broke through it again, and maintained bullish momentum. At the moment, Bitcoin is trading within the channel, and I anticipate a potential correction back to the lower boundary of the channel, followed by continued growth toward the seller zone and a break of the resistance. For this scenario, my target is set at 87000 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
13
Euro will rise a little more and then make correction to 1.0950Hello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Earlier, the price started to grow from the lower region near 1.0730, where it bounced off the buyer zone between 1.0690–1.0730 points and entered a strong upward movement. This impulse helped Euro break through previous resistances and approach the upper boundary of the support area, which lies between 1.0950–1.0990 points. After reaching a local high, the price formed a pennant pattern, consolidating within narrowing trend lines while respecting both the support and resistance structure. During this phase, the pair remained stable, building pressure before making the next move. Recently, EUR made a strong breakout to the upside, exiting the pennant and continuing its bullish rally. The price surged rapidly and now trades above the current support level at 1.0950, reaching fresh highs in this local trend. I expect the price to reverse soon from the current overbought region and begin a decline toward the support area, which now acts as a potential pullback zone. My target for this corrective movement is the 1.0950 level, which aligns perfectly with the current support level and the upper boundary of the support zone. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
6
IS THE GLOBAL “BIG SHORT” ON ITS WAY?TRADE WAR WARNING – IS THE GLOBAL “BIG SHORT” ON ITS WAY? In the last 24 hours, global financial markets were rattled after Donald Trump unveiled a sweeping set of new global tariffs. This wasn’t just a political move — it may well mark the beginning of a new wave of global economic instability. Markets across the board took a hit: 📉 US, European, and Asian equities 📉 Gold (XAU/USD), the US Dollar Index (DXY), and even crypto — all plunged into the red. 🔍 So, What Actually Happened? Gold dropped by over 100 points in a single session — and strangely, the US dollar also fell. Normally, a weaker USD would support gold. So why did gold sell off this time? ➡️ One likely explanation is that institutional investors sold gold positions to cover losses in equity markets, or to free up margin amidst the chaos. 📉 This wasn’t just a correction — it might be the early signal of a global BIG SHORT forming across multiple asset classes. 🧨 The Start of Something Bigger? Markets aren’t just reacting to tariffs. They’re pricing in the risk of a full-scale trade war, which could disrupt global supply chains and hammer corporate earnings. Industries like construction, healthcare, logistics, and manufacturing are already showing signs of strain. If this escalates, we could be looking at something far more serious than a short-term sell-off. 📉 The Data Doesn’t Look Great Either While inflation in the US continues to cool, other key data points are deteriorating: ISM Services PMI (March): 50.8 (vs 53.0 expected) Employment sub-index: 46.2 (down sharply from 53.9) New orders, export orders and backlogs also fell 👉 These are real signs of economic slowdown, especially considering that services make up over 70% of the US economy. 🧠 Market Sentiment: FOMO, Fear, and Panic At the moment, it’s hard to ignore how unsettled sentiment has become. Retail and institutional traders alike are acting on fear. And that’s dangerous. 🔔 Tonight’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report could either calm things down — or add more fuel to the fire. 🏦 Will the Fed Cut Rates Sooner? Markets are rapidly shifting their expectations: A rate cut could come as early as May or June 2025 Traders are now pricing in 2 to 4 cuts this year (previously just 2) There’s now a strong chance the Fed pivots earlier than expected If jobs data continues to soften, the Fed may have no choice but to act faster — despite core inflation not yet fully under control. ⚠️ Trading Strategy: Observation Over Action Right now, your best position might be… no position. "Sometimes, the most profitable trade is the one you don’t take." This isn’t the time to chase wild price action. It’s the time to prepare and plan with logic — not emotion. 📊 Key Technical Levels on XAU/USD 🔺 Resistance: 3110 – 3119 – 3136 – 3148 – 3167 🔻 Support: 3086 – 3075 – 3055 – 3040 – 3024 🟢 BUY ZONE: 3056 – 3054 SL: 3050 TP: 3060 – 3064 – 3068 – 3072 – 3076 – 3080 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3148 – 3150 SL: 3154 TP: 3144 – 3140 – 3136 – 3132 – 3128 – 3124 – 3120 💬 Final Thoughts The combination of tariffs, recession fears, and rate cut speculation is building into what could become a perfect storm. Gold is in the eye of that storm. Now is not the time to panic — but to trade with clarity and control. 📌 Don’t let emotion drive your trades. Stick to the chart. Stick to your plan. Protect your capital. 🧠 Patience is what separates the lucky from the consistently profitable.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 4, 2025 GBPUSDGBP/USD briefly broke above 1.32000 for the first time in six months on Thursday and climbed to fresh highs amid widespread weakness in the US Dollar. The Trump administration's reciprocal tariffs and flat tariffs knocked the legs out from under market sentiment, despite a delayed reaction to the tariff announcements that followed after US markets closed on Wednesday. A fairly quiet calendar of economic publications is expected in the UK this week. However, investor attention will be focused on Friday's release of the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. This data could have a major impact on market sentiment as the US economy enters a post-tariff phase. The March employment report is predicted to be a marker of sorts for the impact of the Trump administration's trade policies. In addition, the ISM's US services business activity index (PMI) for March, released on Thursday, added to the negativity by falling to 50.8, its lowest level in nine months. The drop in the index was one of the fastest since the pandemic began. Weakening business activity and declining consumer optimism began before the tariffs went into effect, and are unlikely to normalize quickly anytime soon. President Donald Trump approved the imposition of a 10 percent duty on all imports starting April 5, and the counter tariffs took effect on April 9. Analysts at Fitch Ratings believe U.S. GDP growth will be lower than the March forecast, which had previously been adjusted downward. The agency also warned that the effect of the tariff policy may affect the decisions of the Federal Reserve: the Fed may suspend the easing of monetary policy while it assesses the impact of duties on inflation and labor indicators. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.30900, SL 1.30200, TP 1.32000
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Non-Farm Payrolls – April 4: The key market driver!On Friday, April 4, 2025 at 3:30 PM EET, the U.S. Department of Labor will release one of the most anticipated macroeconomic reports — the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP). This figure reflects the change in the number of jobs in the non-farm sector and is a crucial indicator of economic health. Strong numbers suggest economic expansion and may prompt the Fed to tighten monetary policy, while weak data could strengthen expectations of rate cuts — impacting stocks, the U.S. dollar, bonds, and commodities. Historically, NFP reports have triggered significant market reactions, with sharp movements depending on the actual data versus expectations. Analysts forecast a moderate job gain, indicating a slowdown compared to recent months. The release comes amid uncertainty linked to new tariffs introduced by President Trump, which may affect business confidence and consumer spending. Investors are closely watching for signals on the economy’s direction and potential Federal Reserve actions. How could NFP impact the markets? • Stock market: Weak data could stoke recession fears, pressuring equities, especially in cyclical sectors. However, if seen as a reason for Fed easing, markets may rebound. • U.S. Dollar: A disappointing report might weigh on the dollar as investors adjust their rate expectations. Strong figures, on the other hand, would support USD. • Bonds: Slower job growth could drive demand for U.S. Treasuries, pushing yields lower. • Gold: In case of weak data, gold may rally as a safe haven amid rising expectations of looser monetary policy. Economists expect a job gain of around 140,000, lower than previous figures — a scenario that could increase market volatility. Get ready for big moves!
SAXO:XAUUSD
by Fresh-Forexcast2004