Daily analyzes of EURUSD - Dollar regains lost positionsAmong the important fundamentals from Monday is Factory Orders for the month of August in Germany from 8am GMT. It is very likely that we will see another contraction that will negatively affect the Euro. In general, the industry in Germany has started to shrink and there are no chances for growth.
The other important news is related to retail sales in the Eurozone at 11am GMT. Although we expect levels around zero or very little growth in retail sales.
Among the world events that affect the currency markets are the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East, where mainly the Euro may suffer due to disrupted supplies of both goods and fuels.
Overall, the Dollar will be in a stronger position this week and we at World-Signals.com expect the Dollar to strengthen against the Euro.
In the last week, the Dollar has taken about 200 pips on the Euro. In retrospect, the Dollar had 3 losing weeks, and only in the last one did it regain some of the lost positions.
Use the 1.1010 levels to open short positions with a 6-8 business day closing target.
Analysis
Caterpillar (CAT): Construction Strength Amid Industrial SlumpCharting Caterpillar can be challenging, given the complexity of its price structure, but it’s fascinating to see how well it respects Elliott wave theory and trend channels. Despite the difficulties, the adherence to these principles makes the analysis quite promising.
The construction sector for Caterpillar remains robust, while the true growth catalyst is expected from a recovery in the mining industry, driven by demand from China and other regions. However, it’s not all positive: industrial activity in the U.S. has been sluggish, with the Institute for Supply Management Purchasing Managers' Index falling below 50 in 21 of the last 22 months—marking one of the worst streaks on record. This industrial downturn certainly adds pressure.
On a higher time frame, there’s not much new to add. However, we are looking for Caterpillar to move higher to complete wave (3). As shown in the zoomed-in chart (the chart in the left frame), we can observe how accurately the price is moving within the trendline. The "best-case" scenario for us would involve a push above the channel, followed by a sell-off. If this happens, it will provide a clearer indication that a larger correction—wave (4)—is imminent.
GOLD - Price can fall to support line of wedge and start to growHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price traded between $2400 level, which coincided with support area, and later started to grow in broadening wedge.
In this pattern, price in a short time rose to resistance line, thereby breaking the last time $2400 level.
Next, Gold made a correction to support line of wedge and at once turned around and made upward impulse.
Then price reached and at once broke $2635 level and then rose to resistance line of wedge, but recently started to decline.
In my mind, Gold can decline almost to support line of broadening wedge, breaking support level.
After this, price will start to move up to $2720 points, breaking $2635 level one more time.
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EURO - Price can reach resistance area and then bounce downHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price rose to $1.1135 level, which coincided with the resistance level, and at once bounced down.
Price fell to $1.1005 level and then started to grow inside wedge, where it in a short time reached $1.1135 level.
After this, price some time traded between this level, until it finally broke it and then rose higher than resistance zone.
But then, EUR turned around and made strong downward impulse, thereby exiting from wedge and breaking $1.1135 and $1.1005 level.
Also, price little fell more, but recently it turned around and started to grow, so, I think it can reach resistance area.
Then Euro can bounce from resistance zone and start to decline to $1.0900
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XAUUSD → a quich positionhello guys.
I think we can enjoy the long position of XAUUSD yet!
entry: 2640.641
stoploss: 2625.181
target1: 2653.234
target2: 2671.954
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How to analyse a chart? (Educational Post).In this post we will try to analyze what happened to Nifty and what can be the future course. We will also try to understand how to analyze Nifty using a parallel channel, EMA, Support and resistance and RSI. Through this exercise we will try to deduce possible turnaround supports, probable resistances it may face in future. On the onset let me tell you that the exercise is to increase the understanding of Technical analysis. The data should not be used for taking positions in the unpredictable market. Now have a look at the chart.
With the help of basic knowledge, you will be able to understand that every time the Nifty or for that matter any stock hits the top of the channel it reverts. Every time a stock or an index hits the channel bottom it tries to bounce back. When RSI shows the stock is over sold it corrects positively through short covering and when the stock is overbought zone it will try to cool down the RSI by price correcting on the negative side. The mid of the channel acts as support when the price is above it and acts as a resistance when price is below it.
Similarly 50 days and 200 days EMA which we call Mother and father line act as resistance when the price is below it and act as support when the price is above the lines. (This movement of stock price or index, when above and below 50 or 200 EMA whether it is hourly, daily, weekly or monthly and my Mother, Father and Small child theory I have explained it in depth in by book The Happy Candles Way to Wealth Creation). The other green and red lines are supports and resistances respectively. These lines drawn based on peaks and valleys, tops and bottoms of important candles in case of a candle chart. In case of a line chart they are tops and bottoms of peaks and valleys again and important curves.
Like we have supports and resistances on line chart of a stock and index, RSI also has support and resistnace zones which can also indicate us the turnaround zones. There in one more Purple line which indicates the current trend. Looking at these various factors you can analyses and draw your own charts.
To know more about these indicators and how to use them and to understand Techno-Funda investment, read my book: The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation available on Amazon in Paperback or Kindle version.
My deduction from the above chart is the following. 24966 will be an important support for Nifty. Below which it can fall to 24698 or 24384 levels. Channel bottom support is around 23874. Father line and 200 days EMA is at 23241. Any of these can be potential turnaround zones. RSI of Nifty tends to bounce from 39.82 or 26.45 zone. Current RSI is 40.63. When there is a turnaround the resistances for Nifty will be 25065 which currently is Mother line resistance which is coinciding with mid channel resistance. Above this zone resistances will be 25439, 25665 and 25836 before Nifty regains 26K+ levels.
The information regarding Nifty in this article is for the purpose of education and to show how various indicators often give same or similar result.
To know more about various Techno-Funda indicators and how to use them, when to use them, when to buy, when to book profit, Where to place a stop loss or what is trailing stop loss etc. you are recommended to read my book: The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation which is available on Amazon in paperback or kindle version. You can also read my Smart School column in Smart investment financial Weekly for gaining techno-Funda knowledge.
Disclaimer: There is a chance of biases including confirmation bias, information bias, halo effect and anchoring bias in this write-up. Investment in stocks, derivatives and mutual funds is subject to market risk please consult your investment advisor before taking financial decisions. The data, chart or any other information provided above is for the purpose of analysis and is purely educational in nature. They are not recommendations of any kind. We will not be responsible for Profit or loss due to descision taken based on this article. The names of the stocks or index levels mentioned if any in the article are for the purpose of education and analysis only. Purpose of this article is educational. Please do not consider this as a recommendation of any sorts.
HelenP. I Euro will break support level and continue to decline Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price some days ago declined to the trend line and then at once rebounded up. Then the price reached the support level, which coincided with the support zone, and even made a fake breakout, after which declined below. Next, the price broke this level, made a retest, and then continued to move up to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone. Euro entered to resistance zone, but soon turned around and dropped to the trend line, making a fake breakout of the 1.1150 level. Some time later price rebounded from the trend line and quickly backed up to the resistance zone, breaking the 1.1150 level one more time. Euro some time traded near this level and a few moments ago dropped to almost the support level, thereby breaking the resistance level with trend line. For this case, I expect that the Euro will fall to the support level, then make a small move up, after which break this level and continue to move down. Or, it can break the support level at once and continue to decline, without movement up. That's why I set my goal at 1.0800 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 4, 2024 EURUSDAn event to look out for today:
15:30 GMT+3. USD - Unemployment Rate
EURUSD:
EUR/USD remains on the defensive near 1.1030 on the back of a stronger US dollar during the early Asian session on Friday. Cautious market sentiment ahead of key US economic data is putting pressure on the major pair. All eyes will be on the release of US employment data due for release today.
The US Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) released on Thursday provided some support to the US Dollar (USD). The services PMI rose to 54.9 in September from 51.5 in August, beating the market forecast of 51.7, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) showed.
Meanwhile, initial jobless claims in the US rose by 6,000 to 225,000 for the week ended 28 September. The figure followed the previous week's data of 219,000 (revised from 218,000) and was worse than market expectations of 220,000.
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said this week that policymakers are likely to stick to their policy of cutting rates by 25 basis points (bps) going forward. Markets have priced the probability of a 25 bps Fed rate cut at nearly 68.9%, while the probability of a 50 bps rate cut is 31.1%, according to CME FedWatch Tool data.
US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data on Friday may provide some hints on how the US interest rate will move. The US economy is estimated to have added 140,000 jobs in September and the unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 4.2%. If the employment report is weaker than expected, it could prompt the central bank to consider deeper rate cuts, which would put pressure on the US dollar.
European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers continue to hint that another rate cut could be in the near future. This, in turn, could weaken the Euro (EUR) against the US Dollar. Kyle Chapman, currency analyst at Ballinger Group, said, ‘Policy is too tight given the challenging macroeconomic environment and a move to successive rate cuts seems self-evident now that disinflation is in its late stages.’
Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly Sell orders from the current price level
Sell CAD/JPY Resistance ZoneThe CAD/JPY pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity @ Resistance Zone
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 108.25.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 106.65
2nd Support – 105.48
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 109.02. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
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Rebound of EURUSD to the lower boundary H4. 03.10.2024Rebound of EURUSD to the lower boundary
Euro is forming a correction downwards and judging by the options, will be taken out to the area of 1.1000. This analysis was shown in advance in a private channel for subscribers when a deep correction downwards was confirmed, and later clarified by options. From the lower boundary near 1.10 we will catch buys when confirmed. Cumulative delta rising on a decline is a sign of a pullback and continuation of the decline, so I am not in a hurry and waiting for a rebound with confirmation of a reversal.
OANDA:EURUSD
Gold Market Update📈 I’m still pretty optimistic about gold breaking its ATH as I don’t see any de-escalation happening soon. With oil prices pumping nearly 10%, this setup looks very promising💰.
⚠️ But again, as I tell you every day, minimizing your risk is crucial in these scenarios. Any fundamental news can change the market narrative in seconds, so be-careful and happy trading.
HelenP. I Gold will rebound from support zone and start move upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. A few moments ago price declined to support 2, which coincided with the support zone, and some time traded near until it broke this level which trend line. Then the price turned around and started to grow inside the upward channel, where it soon broke support 2 and later reached the trend line. After this, Gold broke this line and tried to grow more, but failed and dropped to the support line of the channel. Then it rebounded up, breaking the trend line, and reached support 1, which coincided with one more support zone. XAU broke this level and some time traded inside the support area, after which rebounded up to the resistance line of the channel and some time traded close, after which turned around and dropped below the trend line. Then price fell to the support zone, but a not long time ago bounced up to the trend line and then started to decline. For this case, I expect that Gold will fall to the support zone and then rebound up, higher than the trend line, breaking it and continuing to grow. For this case, I set my goal at 2700 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 2, 2024 GBPUSDGBPUSD:
The GBP/USD pair remains weak after losses recorded in the previous session, trading near 1.32800 during Asian hours on Wednesday. The decline could be attributed to risk aversion due to rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which is undermining the risk-sensitive Pound Sterling (GBP) and the GBP/USD pair.
Iran launched more than 200 ballistic missiles at Israel on Tuesday, shortly after the US warned a strike was imminent. The Israel Defense Forces said several missiles were intercepted and one person was killed in the West Bank, according to Bloomberg.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu vowed to retaliate against Iran after Tuesday's missile attack. In response, Tehran warned that any retaliatory strike would cause “immense destruction”, raising fears of the possibility of a wider conflict.
The US Dollar (USD) is receiving support from the latest speech from Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell. Powell stated that the central bank will cut interest rates gradually over time. Fed Chairman Powell added that the recent half-point interest rate cut should not be seen as a sign of similarly aggressive action in the future, noting that upcoming rate changes are likely to be more modest.
On Tuesday, Bank of England (BoE) Governor Megan Green warned that a recovery in United Kingdom (UK) consumption could trigger a new wave of inflation. However, Green noted that further interest rate cuts are likely as prices are “moving in the right direction,” Bloomberg reported.
Trading recommendation: Watch the level of 1.33000, if it is fixed above consider Buy positions, if it rebounds consider Sell positions.
Bitcoin can decline a little and then start grow to 64500 levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Observing the chart, we can see that the price entered to range, where it at once dropped to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone and then rebounded up. In a short time later, BTC reached a resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, and then turned around, after which it started to decline. BTC declined to the 57000 support level, and broke it, thereby exiting from range, but soon turned around and started to grow inside the upward channel. Inside the channel, the price reached the 57000 level again, broke it, and continued to move up next. Some time later BTC reached a resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, broke it, but quickly turned around and dropped, breaking the 64500 level and exiting from the channel also. Now, BTC continues to decline, so, I think that price can fall a little more and then start to grow to a resistance level. For this case, I set my TP at a 64500 resistance level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Sell GBP/USD Triangle BreakoutThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.3382
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3312
2nd Support – 1.3265
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.3440. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
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According to the BTC/USDT 1-day chart !According to the BTC/USDT 1-day chart, the strong resistance level around $67,800 is an important area to watch for the following reasons:
The $67,800 level historically serves as a significant resistance point, closely aligning with the upper boundary of the recent supply zone. Many traders and investors have likely placed sell orders or profit-taking levels around this price, increasing the chances of BTC hitting resistance when it approaches this area.
The price currently respects the descending trendline and the $67,800 level is aligned with this trendline resistance. This convergence of factors strengthens the resistance, making it an important area to monitor for potential selling pressure.
Based on recent price action, trading volumes usually decrease when BTC reaches higher resistance levels, but strong volume rejection around $67,800 could trigger bearish momentum. On the other hand, a breakout above this level with strong volumes could signal a significant bullish momentum.
As BTC approaches the $70,000 mark, levels like $67,800 become psychologically important, where traders may turn cautious, and large sell orders may accumulate, acting as a barrier.
If BTC breaks above $67,800 decisively with strong volumes and momentum, it could signal a trend reversal and a potential move toward the $72,000 – $75,000 range.
Rejection at this level and other bearish signals (such as overbought conditions or trendline resistance) could lead to a retreat to lower support levels around $60,000 or $55,000.
Do you want me to adjust the analysis or add more details on a specific aspect?
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes and is not financial advice. Always stay updated with market movements and adjust your trading strategies as needed.
You can DM us for information on any other altcoin.
@Peter_CSAdmin
Euro can reach seller zone and then rebound downHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. By observing the chart, we can see that the price some days ago started to decline from the resistance level inside the downward channel. In channel, the price rebounded from the resistance line of the channel and dropped to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone and support line of the channel. Then the price made a fake breakout of 1.1050 level and then rebounded up, thereby exiting from the downward channel and then turned around and started to decline inside the wedge. EUR dropped to the support line of the wedge, breaking the support level, but soon it started to grow and rose back and broke this level again. Then price continued to grow in a wedge, and later reached the resistance line, after which made a correction below. EUR fell to the support line of the wedge and then in a short time rose to the resistance line of the wedge, but soon turned around and declined back. A not long time ago price repeated movement up from the support line and at the moment it trades very close to the resistance level. So, I think that the price can rise to the seller zone and then it turn around and fall to support line of the wedge. That's why I set my TP at 1.1155 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURNZD - A Top-Down Tutorial (ICT)In this video I go through how I perform a top-down analysis and zone in on exactly where I am in price action in order to source for the next high-probability trade. IF there is none, then we stay out until more clues are provided. We DO NOT want to chase price and get in on consolidative and manipulative price action. We want to be hunters, not sheep.
- R2F
Gold Market UpdateI’m watching gold closely as it approaches a key resistance cluster at $2649-$2652 📊. We're seeing a slight pullback now, but with rising tensions in the Middle East 🌍 and the fear of escalation, there's potential for an upward push to a new ATH 📈.
👉Key Takeaway: The overall gold trend is still bullish. Patience is the key!