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Fundamental Market Analysis for June 25, 2025 USDJPYEvents to pay attention to today: 17:00 EET.USD - Fed Chair Jerome Powell will deliver a speech 17:30 EET.USD - Crude oil inventory data from the Department of Energy USDJPY: The Japanese yen (JPY) remains in the lead against the US dollar during Wednesday's Asian session and remains close to the weekly high reached the day before, amid a combination of favourable factors. The summary of opinions from participants at the Bank of Japan (BoJ) meeting in June showed that some policymakers called for interest rates to be kept unchanged due to uncertainty about the impact of US tariffs on the Japanese economy. In addition, the fragile truce between Israel and Iran and trade uncertainty are supporting the Japanese yen as a safe-haven currency. Meanwhile, investors seem convinced that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates again amid mounting inflationary pressure in Japan. These forecasts are confirmed by Japan's producer price index (PPI), which rose for the third consecutive month in May and remained above 3% year-on-year. In contrast, traders are factoring into their prices the likelihood that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will further lower the cost of borrowing this year. This, in turn, is causing US dollar (USD) bulls to tread cautiously and suggests that the path of least resistance for the lower-yielding Japanese yen remains upward. Trading recommendation: SELL 144.900, SL 145.100, TP 144.000
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
XAUUSD 1H | Harmonic AB=CD | Sentiment Reversal in PlayGold has formed a clean Harmonic AB=CD Pattern, with price currently sitting at the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone). This aligns with technical expectations for a possible bullish shift. 🗓️ The recent sharp sell-off in Gold was heavily influenced by the ongoing Iran-Israel conflict, triggering fear, panic, and speculative selling. Despite Gold's fundamentally bullish bias as a safe-haven asset, market sentiment overpowered fundamentals in the short term. 🔍 On the 30min LTF, we have a crystal-clear Bullish Divergence on RSI, adding further confluence that downside momentum is weakening, and a corrective reversal may unfold from this area. Bias: ✅ Harmonic AB=CD complete — PRZ active ✅ LTF Bullish Divergence (30m) confirmed ✅ Price action showing exhaustion at key support ✅ Expecting potential bullish reaction and relief rally ⚠️ As always, waiting for confirmation with proper risk management. Market remains sensitive to geopolitical headlines. 💡 DYOR — Do Your Own Research before executing trades.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by awaisulabdeen
GBP/JPY Triangle Breakout (25.06.2025)The GBP/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 195.96 2nd Support – 195.37 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
8
APX Rebound in Play?📈 “APX Rebound in Play? Eyeing the AUD 1.55 Resistance” Appen (APX) has shown a significant uptick today, closing at AUD 1.040 (+5.58%) with a sharp volume spike (8.96M shares) that could suggest accumulation. After a long downtrend, price appears to be consolidating above key support near AUD 1.00, forming a potential base for reversal. 🔍 Chart Highlights: Support Zone: AUD 1.000 – strong historical level holding. Resistance Targets: → AUD 1.555 → AUD 1.655 → AUD 1.785 R/R Setup: Defined green zone shows potential upside if momentum continues; red zone clearly marks invalidation below support. 🧠 Thesis: If APX maintains momentum and holds above AUD 1.00, we may be witnessing a structural shift with upside potential toward AUD 1.78 in stages. Breakout traders might watch for confirmation via volume and price action at each resistance. 💬 “Could we be looking at an early-stage reversal or just a dead-cat bounce? Watching the 1.00 level closely.” #ASX #APX #APPEN #MJTRADING #TRADING #SHARE #STOCKMARKET #BUY #CHART #MONEYMANAGEMENT
ASX:APXLong
by MJElahifx
Euro can drop from wedge, breaking support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. The price previously started a confident upward movement, breaking out from the buyer zone around 1.1075 and forming an upward wedge pattern. As the trend continued, EUR pushed through the support area and traded inside the wedge, showing multiple bounces from the support line. Eventually, the pair reached the resistance line at the top of the wedge and then reversed. After a short correction, it tried to rebound again but failed to create a new high. The market then pulled back into the support area 1.1455 - 1.1410 and is now testing that level once more. Currently, the Euro is trading just above the support area, and we may see a short-term rebound from here. However, given the overall structure, I expect the price to break the support level and exit the wedge pattern to the downside. In my opinion, this breakout will initiate a strong bearish wave, targeting the 1.1250 points, which is where I’ve set my TP 1. Given the pattern structure, recent lower highs, and the weakening bullish momentum, I remain bearish and anticipate further decline once support is broken. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Short
by LegionQ8
10
Bitcoin can correct to support line of channel and start to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The price was moving inside a strong upward channel, where it managed to break through the support level and then the resistance level, eventually reaching the seller zone. After that, BTC started to turn around and declined, once again breaking through the 109000 resistance level, this time from above. That movement also marked an exit from the upward channel. Following that, the price made a correction move down to the support level — the same zone that previously acted as a breakout area. From there, BTC showed strength again with a bullish impulse upward, returning to the Seller Zone. However, that rally was short-lived. The market started to decline again, this time forming a downward channel. Now the price is approaching the support line of this channel, which coincides with the support level around 100500 and the buyer zone between 99500 and 100500. I think BTC can decline a bit further to test this support line, and then rebound from this area, starting a new upward move toward the channel resistance line. That’s why I’ve set my TP at 106000 points, just below the resistance line. Given the structure and past reactions from these zones, I remain bullish and expect further growth after this local pullback. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by LegionQ8
18
EURO - Price can continue to decline inside wedge patternHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some days ago, price tried to grow, but failed and dropped below $1.1220 support level, after which started to grow in channel. In rising channel, price broke $1.1220 level one more time and then rose to resistance line and then corrected. Next, Euro rose to $1.1455 level and some time traded inside this level, until it broke it and continued to move up. Price exited from rising channel and later started to decline inside wedge pattern, where it declined to $1.1455 level. Recently, price bounced from this level and in a short time rose to resistance line of wedge pattern. In my mind, Euro can continue to decline to $1.1400 support line of wedge, breaking support level. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Short
by WalterMoon
13
AUD/USD 2H | MAKE OR BREAK (Key Edge)🟡 AUD/USD 2H Analysis – June 19, 2025 Bias: Neutral → Reactive (Awaiting Breakout Direction) Timeframe: 2H 🔍 Market Overview: AUD/USD is approaching a make-or-break level at the confluence of an ascending trendline and a minor horizontal support around 0.6460–0.6470. This comes after price was rejected from the 2025 high (0.6555) — a significant technical ceiling, labeled as a Possible Reversal Point. ✳️ Technical Structure: 🔵 Upper wedge resistance rejected price twice (0.6555) 🔵 Support trendline has been respected since late May 🟠 Current zone (0.6460) = last line of bullish defense 🔻 Breakdown risk is rising due to lower highs & compression 🔼 Bullish Playbook (Bounce Scenario): Trigger: Bullish reaction from 0.6460 with strong momentum candle or engulfing Entry: 0.6465–0.6475 Stop: Below 0.6440 Target 1: 0.6515 Target 2: 0.6555 (2025 High / Upper Wedge Edge) R/R: ~2.0+ 🔽 Bearish Playbook (Breakdown Scenario): Trigger: 2H close below 0.6455 + retest rejection Entry: 0.6450–0.6445 on retest Stop: Above 0.6480 Target 1: 0.6400 (demand zone) Target 2: 0.6300 R/R: ~2.5+ The next 4–8 candles could define the near-term structure. Respect the edge — react, don’t predict. Zoom in: Please Manage Your Risk... #AUDUSD #MJTRADING #TRADINGVIEW #Chart #Analysis #Forex #Forexsignal #FXSignal
Short
by MJElahifx
2
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 24, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair is strengthening to 1.3560 in the early European session on Tuesday, helped by a weaker US Dollar (USD). Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Michelle Bowman said on Monday that she would favor an interest rate cut at the next meeting in July if inflationary pressures remain muted. Bowman's comments echoed those of Fed chief Christopher Waller, who said on Friday that he believes the U.S. central bank may consider a rate cut in July. Traders now put the probability of a rate change at the July meeting at nearly 23%, and the probability that the Fed will cut rates in September at about 78%. On the other hand, uncertainty surrounding the ceasefire between Israel and Iran and renewed tensions in the Middle East could increase safe-haven flows, supporting the Pound Sterling (GBP). The Israel Defense Forces said early Tuesday it had detected rockets launched from Iran towards southern Israel, despite US President Donald Trump saying a “full and final” ceasefire between Israel and Iran would take effect. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3545, SL 1.3645, TP 1.3345
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
XAUUSD: Key Reversal Zone or Deeper Correction Ahead?XAUUSD: Key Reversal Zone or Deeper Correction Ahead? Gold enters the new trading week balancing on a technical and macroeconomic knife’s edge. After a steep decline, prices are testing critical liquidity zones — just as geopolitical tensions and US economic uncertainty intensify. 🌍 Macro & Fundamental Outlook 📰 Middle East Tensions Rising Again: Israel has signaled potential strikes on Tehran after Iran allegedly violated a ceasefire agreement. Such developments usually support gold as a safe-haven asset. 📊 US Economic Signals Are Mixed: Last week’s PMI and housing data point toward an economic slowdown. If this week’s Core PCE data softens, expectations for a Fed rate cut in September will grow — likely weakening the USD and lifting gold. 🏦 Global Demand for Gold Still Strong: Central banks, particularly from China and India, are continuing their gold accumulation, reinforcing long-term bullish fundamentals. 📉 Technical Analysis (H1–H4) Gold is still trading within a downward channel but is now approaching a strong demand zone around 3276, a level that has triggered rebounds in the past. EMA 34 – 89 – 200 indicate bearish momentum, but RSI is showing bullish divergence — hinting at a possible reversal or short-term bounce. Price action around key support and resistance levels will be crucial this week. ✅ XAUUSD Trade Setup BUY ZONE: 3278 - 3276 | SL: 3270 | TP: 3282 - 3286 - 3290 - 3294 - 3298 - 3302 - 3305 - 3310 SELL ZONE: 3367 - 3369 | SL: 3375 | TP: 3364 - 3360 - 3356 - 3352 - 3348 - 3344 - 3340 - 3330 - 3320 📌 The Buy Zone lies within a historical liquidity pocket — ideal for a potential rebound if geopolitical risks rise or USD weakens. 📌 The Sell Zone is near a key Fair Value Gap (FVG) and local resistance — strong confluence for short opportunities on a bounce. 🧭 Final Thoughts XAUUSD is facing a pivotal moment. With both geopolitical events and major US economic data on the horizon, traders should prepare for volatility. Patience, technical discipline, and proper SL/TP management will be key to navigating this environment successfully.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD (Gold) - H1 - Wedge Breakout (21.06.2025)The XAU/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming Days. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 3425 2nd Resistance – 3451 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
74
NZD/JPY - Triangle Breakout (23.06.2025)The NZD/JPY Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 86.35 2nd Support – 86.00 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
22
XAUU-USD chart it will go back upwardXAUUSD Buy Setup Active 🟢💰 Gold is holding strong above key support – currently trading at 3355. We’ve entered a Buy position expecting continued bullish momentum in the market. 📍 Entry: 3355 🎯 Targets: 3420 – 3450 – Final Target 3400 🛑 Stop Loss: 3325 (below recent structure low) With global uncertainty and technical strength aligning, this move could push gold higher in the coming sessions. Stay alert, manage risk, and follow the trend until reversal confirmation. 🧭📈 #XAUUSD #GoldTrade #ForexTrading #BuySetup #TradingViewAnalysis #MarketUpdate
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SadarExplore
Euphoria in the air! But, will it get us there? -liquidity pools at white lines -triangle formation atop fast move up -gan fan from recent move and one dating back to Nov '22 coincide -lost support of 50ma on 12h tf conclusion: before any significant move upward, i think that bitcoin will first reclaim liquidity around the 97,700-99,988k zone. if support lost there, next zone below would be ~90,225k. this could either be a deswelling of momentum into a further drop, or a compression event, indicative of a rapid, significant move, possibly beyond current ATH ranging up to 181,678 thousand dollars or there abouts. Im building a position broken up into many parts to wait out this long grind we have ahead of us.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by NightmanDaymansAntagonist
1
XAUUSD – Are the Bulls Back? Key Reversal Zone in PlayXAUUSD – Are the Bulls Back? Key Reversal Zone in Play Gold has been consolidating in a tight range for several sessions, but both macro and technical indicators are pointing to a potential breakout. With volatility expected to rise, traders should keep a close eye on these high-probability zones. 🌍 Macro Overview – Is the Tide Turning for Gold? 📉 The Fed remains hawkish, but market sentiment has shifted, with over 65% probability priced in for a rate cut in September. This adds pressure on the dollar and offers upside potential for gold. 💸 10-year US Treasury yields are stabilizing, reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold and reigniting interest from risk-averse investors. ⚠️ Ongoing geopolitical risks in the Middle East and Eastern Europe continue to fuel demand for safe-haven assets. 🏦 Central banks, especially in China and India, are steadily increasing their gold reserves — a bullish long-term signal for the market. 📊 Technical Outlook – Watch the Fair Value Gap (FVG) The 3325–3327 support zone aligns with an unfilled FVG on H1-H4 charts, providing a key area for bullish momentum to resume. Sustained price action above this level may open a path toward 3360 and beyond. Conversely, if price reaches the 3398–3400 resistance area and shows signs of exhaustion, it could trigger a short-term pullback. ✅ Trade Setup 🟢 BUY ZONE: 3327 – 3325 SL: 3320 TP Targets: 3330 → 3335 → 3340 → 3345 → 3350 → 3355 → 3360 → 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3398 – 3400 SL: 3405 TP Targets: 3395 → 3390 → 3386 → 3380 → 3375 → 3370 → 3360 ⚠️ Final Thoughts The gold market is approaching a decision point... With the PCE and US GDP data due this week, traders should expect a potential volatility spike. Risk management remains key — wait for confirmation at key levels, stick to your plan, and don’t let emotions override discipline. This week could offer strong directional moves for gold, but only for those prepared.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 23, 2025 EURUSDThe EUR/USD exchange rate fell to around 1.14900 at the start of the Asian session on Monday. The US dollar is strengthening against the euro (EUR) amid US President Donald Trump's decision to join Israel's war against Iran, which has sharply escalated the conflict. Traders will closely monitor developments surrounding the conflict in the Middle East. Over the weekend, the US entered the conflict between Israel and Iran when American military aircraft and submarines struck three Iranian targets in Iran, Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan. Trump said Iran's key uranium enrichment facilities had been “totally destroyed” and warned of “much more severe” strikes if Iran did not agree to peace. The rise in tensions following the US bombing of Iranian nuclear facilities is contributing to the rise in safe-haven currencies such as the US dollar and is having a negative impact on the major currency pair. Earlier this month, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut interest rates for the eighth time this year to support the eurozone's sluggish recovery, but made it clear that there would be a pause in July. ECB President Christine Lagarde said that rate cuts are coming to an end, as the central bank is now “well positioned” to deal with the current uncertainty. The ECB's hawkish tone may help limit the euro's losses in the near term. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.15000, SL 1.14600, TP 1.15800
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Can 6 Holes in a mountain move gold this week? 23-27 June 2025Hello fellow traders of OANDA:XAUUSD All about last week here Since Israel's attack on Iran on Friday, June 13th, aimed at destroying all facilities for potential nuclear weapons production, the gold price initially rose to $3450. This surge lasted until Monday, June 16th, during the European session, but then began to fall from there. 📉🔻 Signs of potential peace talks and a swift end to the conflict largely made investors hesitant to invest. Throughout the week, the gold price mostly reacted negatively to higher prices due to investor uncertainty. This was further exacerbated by the fact that the US had not yet entered this war, which Israel initiated. 🕊️😟 However, since the US attack with bunker-busting bombs on the nuclear facilities on June 21st, they are now part of the conflict. Not least for this reason, they might become the target of retaliatory strikes, as already announced by the Iranian regime. 💣💥 If one looks at the timeline of news and announcements regarding potential US involvement in this war, and the two-week waiting period announced by President Trump, it will certainly become clear that this was nothing more than tactics. It was foreseeable that the US would become involved in the conflict, not least because the Israelis lack the appropriate weapons. The possibility of the US providing these weapons to the Israelis was also in the news; however, it then became clear that this specific bomb could only be used by the Stealth Bomber B2. This made it evident that it was only a matter of timing when it would happen, and they naturally wanted to keep that secret – anything else would be nonsensical anyway. 🤫✈️ What's to be expected next? Regarding this conflict, I hope for a swift end. 🕊️🙏 As for the gold price, well, I still believe in a new All-Time High (ATH). 🚀🌟 Will it come this week? Possibly. But the much more important question is whether the Iranian regime will truly dare to attack the US and exact revenge. 🤔⚔️ Market Structure: The chart shows a clear shift from bullish 🐂 to bearish 🐻 structure. We see a significant high around June 13th at approximately $3,451, followed by a break of structure with lower highs and lower lows forming. 📉 Key Levels: 🔑 Premium levels: The area around $3,440-$3,451 represents premium pricing where institutional selling likely occurred. 💎 Fair Value Gaps: There appear to be several imbalances/gaps that price may seek to fill, particularly around the $3,380-$3,400 zone. 🎯 Order Blocks: The consolidation areas around $3,320-$3,340 and $3,380-$3,400 represent potential institutional order blocks. 🧱 Institutional Levels: 🏦 Psychological resistance: $3,450 level acted as significant resistance. 🚧 Current support cluster: $3,320-$3,340 area showing multiple touches. 🛡️ Liquidity zones: The recent lows around $3,293 represent buy-side liquidity that institutions may target. 💧 Fibonacci Analysis: 📏 Based on the major swing from the low around June 9th ($3,300) to the high on June 13th ($3,451): 50% retracement: ~$3,375 (already tested and failed) 📉 61.8% retracement: ~$3,357 (near current price action) ✨ 78.6% retracement: ~$3,337 (aligns with support cluster) ✅ Gann Concepts: 🔢 The timing shows potential significance around the June 13th high, with subsequent price action following geometric price relationships. The current price action around $3,328 suggests we're testing important Gann square relationships from the cycle highs. 📐 Cycle Timing: ⏰ The approximately 10-day cycle from low to high to current retracement suggests we may be in a corrective phase that could extend into late June, with potential for cycle lows around the June 25-27 timeframe based on typical precious metals cycles. 🗓️ Current Assessment: Price appears to be in a corrective phase testing the $3,320-$3,340 institutional support zone. A break below could target the cycle lows, while a hold here with reclaim of $3,380 could indicate accumulation for the next leg higher. ⚖️🔍 Please take the time to let me know what you think about this. 💬 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Wick-Sniper
LTC/USDT chart technical analysis (1D)🔷 1. Trend and market structure 🔺 Main channels: The chart is moving in an ascending channel (orange lines), the lower and upper limits of which have been respected since mid-2022. The current price (around 78.3 USDT) is in the middle range of the channel, with a downward trend in recent weeks. 🔁 Market phase: The price is in consolidation in a broader uptrend. The last upward swing did not break through the previous peak (~135 USDT), which may indicate weakening momentum. 🔷 2. Key horizontal levels (support/resistance) ✅ Resistance levels (green lines): 83.46 USDT – the nearest resistance, currently being tested from below. 95.48 USDT – strong resistance from March-April 2024. 105.19 USDT – a level tested many times in the past. 110.00 USDT – a psychological level. 115.83 USDT – a local high from December 2023. 🛑 Support levels (red lines): 78.30 USDT – currently tested support level. 70.98 USDT – a key defensive level for bulls. 52.03 USDT – strong historical support. 39.78 USDT – the last line of defense, consistent with the lows from 2022. 📐 Dynamic support (orange line): The lower boundary of the ascending channel – currently falls around 65 USDT and increases over time. 🔷 3. Technical indicators 📊 CHOP (Choppiness Index) Oscillates near the lower values ​​→ the market is starting to leave the consolidation phase. Potential directional movement soon, most likely downward (due to momentum). 📉 RSI (Relative Strength Index) RSI below 50, currently around 40–45 → supply advantage. Not oversold yet, but momentum is downward. 🔄 Stochastic Well below 20, i.e. in the oversold zone. Potential for a short-term bounce, but it can also go lower with a stronger sell-off wave. 🔷 4. Technical scenarios 🟢 Growth scenario (long): Condition: Defending the level of 78.3 USDT and a quick return above 83.46. Targets: TP1: 95.48 TP2: 105.19 TP3: 115.83 (upper border of the channel) SL: below 70.98 USDT 🔴 Bearish scenario (short): Condition: Break 78.3 and retest as resistance. Targets: TP1: 70.98 TP2: 65 (lower channel line) TP3: 52.03 (large accumulation zone) SL: return above 83.46 🔷 5. Swing strategy proposal Long Entry 78.30–79.00 SL < 70.50 TP1 95.50 TP2 105.00 TP3 115.00 Short Entry < 77.50 (ret.) SL > 83.50 TP1 71.00 TP2 65.00 TP3 52.00 🔷 6. Additional comments It is worth observing the price reaction at 70.98 USDT - this could be a capitulation level or a strong rebound. The formation on the daily chart resembles a head and shoulders (H&S) - a warning signal for bulls.
by cryptodailyuk
1
Bitcoin Daily Update June 22nd 2025Bitcoin daily chart: 🔻 Bearish Signals 1. Break of Rising Trendline: The price has broken below the upward (orange) trendline, indicating a shift in momentum. This trendline had previously acted as support, so the break suggests growing selling pressure. 2. Support Levels: BTC is now hovering just above $99,634, which appears to be a key short-term support. The next major support is around $93,363 — a break below that could open the door to mid $80K or even $71K (0.786 Fibonacci level). 3. Market Cipher Indicator (middle panel): The momentum wave is clearly descending, and VWAP (green) is curving down. The money flow (red) is negative. Bearish dots and crosses are appearing. 4. Stochastic RSI (bottom panel): Both %K and %D lines are dropping sharply below the 20 line, suggesting downside momentum is strong. No sign of bottoming out yet. 🟡 Neutral/Bullish Watch Points If BTC holds $99.6K and reclaims $100,115 or $104,616, it could neutralize or reverse this bearish setup. RSI is not oversold yet, so room remains for further downside before any strong bounce. 📉 Summary: BTC is currently bearish on the daily chart with: Breakdown from an uptrend. Weak momentum. Declining oscillators. Support tests underway. If $99.6K fails, eyes shift to $93.3K, and below that, $86.5K–$71.9K as potential zones. .... 🔻 Primary Trade Setup (Bearish) ⚙️ Type: Short Position ⏰ Timeframe: Daily 📉 Strategy: Trendline break and momentum continuation Entry: Below $99,500 (confirmation of trendline breakdown & continuation) Targets: 1. Target 1: $93,363 — Previous support level 2. Target 2: $86,500 — Next horizontal support 3. Target 3: $71,949 — Major 0.786 Fibonacci level (high confluence) Stop-Loss: Above $100,600 (to avoid fakeout wicks) Or tighter: $100,150 (for smaller R:R) Risk-to-Reward (R:R): Entry: ~$99,500 SL: ~$100,600 → ~1.1% risk TP1: ~$93,300 → ~6.2% reward R:R ≈ 5.6:1 (to TP1) — solid risk profile 🔄 Alternate Plan (Bullish Reversal Setup) ⚙️ Type: Long Position (Only IF price reclaims broken levels) If BTC reclaims $100,600 and closes above $104,616, trend could resume up. Entry: Break and daily close above $104,616 Targets: 1. $110,616 — recent resistance 2. $112,000 — psychological + historical zone Stop-Loss: Below $100,600 Invalidates upward breakout 📊 Indicators to Watch: VWAP: Still pointing down (bearish bias) Money Flow Index: Still in red (risk-off) Stochastic RSI: Resetting near bottom — could support bounce later Much love and appreciation, – chevs710
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by chevs710
HelenP. I Euro will break resistance level and continue to fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. On this chart, we can see how price initially moved inside a triangle formation, forming higher lows from the trend line and testing the resistance zone multiple times. Eventually, price broke out to the downside, falling sharply and breaking through the lower boundary of the triangle and also the trend line, signaling a shift in market sentiment. After touching the support zone and forming a temporary bottom, the pair started climbing back up, but this movement was more of a correction than a trend reversal. Price respected the trend line from below and followed it upward, but failed to break significantly higher. It managed to push above both support 2 and support 1 levels, which now act as resistance. Currently, EURUSD is trading inside the resistance zone, where previous reactions have led to strong bearish impulses. Given this behavior and the recent false breakout, I expect the price to rebound from this area and break back below support. My goal is set at 1.1350, anticipating further downside movement as the bearish structure remains valid. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Short
by FirstNameHelen
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Beyond the Headlines - Gold Outlook June 16-20, 2025Beyond the Headlines: Gold's Ascent Amidst Global Shifts & Key Technicals 🌐🚀 Everything about the last week can be found here: OANDA:XAUUSD 💰📈 We all know what's going on, I believe. Israel struck Iran 💥, and this conflict will likely take a bit before things cool down. 🥶 --- ## Geopolitical News Landscape 🌍📰 ### Israel / Iran Since June 12, Israel launched "Operation Rising Lion," targeting Iranian nuclear sites like Natanz and Esfahan – over 128 killed, Iran claims. 🇮🇷 retaliated with missile and drone strikes on Haifa and Tel Aviv, killing at least 10. 🚀 **Outlook:** 🔥 Tensions are spiraling. Without urgent mediation, full-scale regional war remains a real risk. 💣 ### India / Pakistan Since the May ceasefire, few clashes have occurred. However, both navies increased readiness, signaling potential escalation at sea. 🚢 **Outlook:** ⚖️ Peace is fragile. A strategic dialogue is key to avoiding a renewed border or maritime conflict. 🙏 ### Gaza Conflict Between June 7–15, Israeli strikes killed at least 41 Palestinians, including 8 near an aid center in Rafah. Over 55,000 total deaths, and famine is looming. 💔 **Outlook:** 🆘 Gaza remains a humanitarian catastrophe. Global pressure for access and a ceasefire must intensify. 🕊️ ### Russia / Ukraine June 13–15: Russia returned the bodies of 1,200 Ukrainian soldiers in a rare POW swap gesture. 🤝 Fighting remains intense in Sumy and Toretsk; Russia hit a major oil refinery. 🏭 **Outlook:** 🕊️ While symbolic moves continue, no peace is in sight – battlefield outcomes will shape diplomacy. ⚔️ ### U.S. - China Trade War The U.S. hiked tariffs to 55% on key Chinese goods. 🇺🇸🇨🇳 responded with 10% on U.S. imports. Talks yielded a partial truce, but military-use rare earths remain unresolved. 💻 **Outlook:** 🔧 Tech remains the battleground. Without progress on critical materials, the trade war may deepen. 📉 ### Global Trade War The OECD revised global growth downward due to rising tariffs from the U.S. targeting 🇨🇳, 🇲🇽, 🇨🇦. Global trade volume is expected to shrink by 0.2–1.5%. 📉 **Outlook:** ⛓️ Supply chain disruption is spreading. Global trade will stay under pressure without coordinated policy. 🌍➡️🌍 ### Trump vs. Powell Trump labeled Powell a "numbskull" for not cutting rates, suggesting he might "force something" if re-elected. 🗳️ The Fed maintains policy independence ahead of a critical June decision. 🏛️ **Outlook:** ⚔️ Political pressure on the Fed is mounting. Expect more friction as the election cycle heats up. 🔥 ### U.S. Inflation CPI rose 2.4% YoY in May (from 2.3%); Core CPI held steady at 2.8%. Monthly growth was modest at 0.1%. Key rises were seen in healthcare and vehicle prices. 🚗🏥 **Outlook:** Inflation is stable but sticky. 🚦 The Fed will likely hold rates steady until clearer disinflation signals appear. 📊 --- ## Technical View 📐📈 ### Market Structure: Gold shows a clear **bullish market structure** with higher highs and higher lows. ⬆️ Recent price action suggests we're in a strong uptrend with institutional buying pressure. 🏦 ### Key Levels: * The chart shows a significant low around the **$3,245 area** (marked as "Low") which could act as a key institutional support level. 💪 * The current high near **$3,446** represents a potential institutional resistance zone. 🛑 * Look for potential **order blocks** around the **$3,380-$3,400 range** where price consolidated before the recent breakout. 🧱 ### Fair Value Gaps (FVG): There appear to be several gaps in the price action during volatile moves, particularly during strong rally phases. These could act as future support/resistance areas. 📉📈 ### Gann Analysis: The price movement shows strong adherence to Gann principles: * The rally from the low follows a steep angle, suggesting strong momentum. 🚀 * Key Gann angles would place support around the **$3,300-$3,320 zone**. 📐 * The current price near **$3,436** is testing natural resistance levels based on Gann square calculations. 📏 ### Fibonacci Levels: From the significant swing low to the current high: * 23.6% retracement: ~$3,395 📉 * 38.2% retracement: ~$3,370 📉 * 50% retracement: ~$3,345 📉 * 61.8% retracement: ~$3,320 📉 The golden ratio levels suggest key support on any pullback would be around the **$3,370-$3,345 zone**. ✨ ### Institutional Levels: * **Weekly/Monthly Levels:** The **$3,400** and **$3,450** areas appear to be significant institutional levels based on round numbers and previous price action. 🏦💰 * **Smart Money:** The accumulation pattern before the breakout suggests institutional participation. 🧠💡 ### Cycle Timing: Based on the timeframe (appears to be 30-minute bars from May 26-June 15): * We're seeing approximately **3-week cycles** in the major moves. 🗓️ * The current rally phase appears to be in its mature stage. 🌳 * The next potential cycle turn could be approaching, suggesting caution for new longs at current levels. ⚠️ --- ### Trading Considerations: * Watch for rejection at current levels near **$3,446**. 📉 * Key support confluence around **$3,370-$3,345** for potential re-entry. 🎯 * Volume and momentum divergences would be critical for timing any reversal. 📊🔄 Other indicators tend to show bullish scenario enhancements. 🚀 Gold has formed a ** Standard Bullish Flag pattern ** over a time from early April till today. 🚩🐂 Also, the structure of a ** reverse Head & Shoulders ** is existing and has broken the neckline! 🔄🗣️ Another indicator is an existing "** Ascending Bull Flag **." ⬆️🚩 Please take the time to let me know what you think about this. 💬 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Wick-Sniper
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