Fundamental Market Analysis for February 25, 2025 EURUSDThe rise in US inflation data last week triggered a new wave of risk aversion among investors. Now their attention is focused on the upcoming Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) inflation data, which is expected later this week. Traders are hoping that the rise in US core inflation will quickly fade early in the year and not lead to a new protracted battle with ‘transitory’ inflation that will be too high for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to go for a rate cut. Market participants expecting a faster pace of Fed rate cuts in 2025 are already feeling the pressure as US President Donald Trump tries to ignite a global trade war. In addition, another spike in inflation could extinguish any remaining hopes of a rate cut. On Monday, President Trump repeated his threats of imposing high tariffs on Canada and Mexico, warning that the tariffs were still due to take effect ‘next month’ after he recently caved in to tariff pressure and granted deferrals to nearly all countries he has targeted for import taxes on their citizens.
German consumer price index (CPI) data as well as retail sales activity figures are also due out on Friday. The German data, which is an indicator of EU-wide data, is likely to attract the attention of some traders on Friday, but the key factor influencing the market will be PCE inflation in the US.
Trade recommendation: SELL 1.0500, SL 1.0550, TP 1.0400
Analysis
COQUSDT: The Market Squeeze—Reversal or Breakdown?COQUSDT at a Turning Point: Is the Bottom in?
COQUSDT is sitting at a critical juncture, hovering near $0.007427, a level that’s still 56% above its all-time low but nearly 89% off its peak. After weeks of sideways action, buy volumes have surged at key points, hinting at possible accumulation. But with RSI (14) at 35.6, are we witnessing the final stages of oversold conditions, or is there more downside ahead?
The 200-day MA looms at $0.010096, far above the current price, showing just how deeply this asset has been discounted. Momentum indicators suggest that COQUSDT is battling heavy resistance at $0.008245, a level that could determine the next leg of movement. The question is: Are bulls strong enough to flip this level into support, or will bears force a retest of the lower range?
With a mix of increased buy-side activity and lingering bearish pressure, the market is at a crucial decision point. Will we see a breakout to test the 100-day MA at $0.009132, or is another sell-off lurking around the corner? Buckle up—this could be the moment traders have been waiting for.
Roadmap: COQUSDT’s Recent Patterns – Are We Seeing a Reversal?
The market never lies—price action is the ultimate storyteller. Over the past few sessions, COQUSDT has been flashing some intriguing signals. Let's break down the key patterns that played out, separating the noise from the real moves.
February 21, 20:00 UTC – Buy Volumes Surge
A major Buy Volumes pattern kicked in as COQUSDT opened at $0.008589 and closed higher at $0.008975, testing resistance near $0.009193. The setup suggested an upward continuation, but was it enough?
February 21, 21:00 UTC – Confirmation of Strength
Bulls doubled down with another Increased Buy Volumes pattern, pushing the close up to $0.009475, hitting a session high of $0.009639. This confirmed the previous signal—buyers were stepping in aggressively.
February 22, 08:00 UTC – VSA Buy Pattern 4 Appears
The formation of a VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 4th hinted at accumulation. The price action showed a minor retrace before stabilizing at $0.009158. However, the real test was ahead: Would buyers maintain control?
February 23, 13:00 UTC – A Battle at Resistance
A powerful VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 3rd formed, keeping the buy-side momentum alive. The asset climbed further, closing at $0.009186—almost a direct follow-through from the prior pattern.
February 23, 16:00 UTC – Bears Strike Back
A major shift came as a Sell Volumes Max pattern emerged. The price reversed hard, closing down at $0.008515, marking the first sign of bearish dominance since the rally began.
February 24, 15:00 UTC – Sell Pressure Increases
Following the sell-off, the next candle confirmed more downside pressure with an Increased Sell Volumes pattern. The close at $0.007824 meant the bulls had officially lost their grip—momentum had shifted.
February 24, 16:00 UTC – Buyers Attempt a Comeback
Just when things looked bleak, a Buy Volumes Max pattern emerged. The asset rebounded slightly, closing at $0.007895, attempting to reclaim lost ground.
The takeaway? The buy-side momentum played out correctly up until February 23, proving that the earlier bullish patterns were accurate indicators of the rally. However, the sell signals on February 23-24 completely flipped the script, showing how fast sentiment can shift.
What’s Next? If buy volumes continue to build, we could see another attempt at breaking resistance around $0.008245. But if the sellers maintain control, expect further downside pressure. Stay sharp—this market is moving fast.
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
Levels don’t lie—price respects structure, and smart money knows where liquidity is stacked. Here’s the real deal on support and resistance for COQUSDT. If a level doesn’t hold, expect it to flip into a new battlefield for bulls and bears.
Support Levels:
$0.005691 – First line of defense. If buyers don’t step in, we could see a deeper dive.
$0.00551 – The last standard support before things get ugly. A break below could open up a liquidity grab.
Resistance Levels:
$0.008245 – Immediate ceiling. Needs a strong push to flip bullish.
$0.009099 – A key decision point. Rejection here and sellers will pile in.
$0.010465 – A major pivot area. Break and hold above? We’re talking trend shift.
$0.011432 – Bulls need to own this level for sustained momentum.
$0.012347 – The breakout zone. If we see clean closes above, the game changes.
Powerful Support Levels:
$0.01302 – The fortress. If COQUSDT ever gets back above this, it’s game on for bulls.
Remember: If these supports fail, they become resistance. That’s how price action works—liquidity zones shift, and traders reposition. Watch the reactions, manage risk, and don’t get caught on the wrong side of the play.
Trading Strategies Using Fibonacci Rays
Understanding price action means reacting to movement, not predicting levels. My proprietary Fibonacci Rays method helps identify dynamic zones where price interacts before making its next big move. Each ray serves as a pivot, defining whether price rejects or continues.
These rays are already drawn on your chart, intersecting with VSA patterns and Moving Averages, giving you a structured roadmap for trades. Let’s break down the possible scenarios:
Optimistic Scenario: Breakout & Trend Continuation
If COQUSDT interacts with a key ray and confirms bullish movement, we ride the trend from one ray to the next, securing targets along the way.
Long Entry: Above $0.008245 (First Resistance)
Target 1: $0.009099
Target 2: $0.010465
Target 3: $0.011432 (Major trend shift)
Invalidation: Below $0.008000 (Rejection from ray)
Aggressive Long: If price reclaims MA50 ($0.008452)
Target 1: $0.009132 (MA100)
Target 2: $0.010096 (MA200)
Invalidation: Close below MA50 with volume spike
Pessimistic Scenario: Rejection & Trend Weakness
If price interacts with a ray but fails to confirm strength, we look for short opportunities targeting the next dynamic level.
Short Entry: Below $0.008245 (Failed breakout)
Target 1: $0.007427 (Current support)
Target 2: $0.005691 (Deeper correction zone)
Invalidation: Close above $0.008500 with strong momentum
Breakdown Short: If price loses MA50 and MA100 together
Target 1: $0.00551 (Final major support)
Invalidation: Price reclaims MA100 & MA50 with buy volume
💡 Key Takeaway: Positions should be taken only after price interacts with a ray and confirms movement. No blind entries—wait for market structure to guide you. Every ray crossover is a checkpoint, where price moves from one level to the next, giving traders a clear trade flow.
What’s Next? Let’s Talk Strategy!
Trading is all about understanding key reaction zones—that’s why I lay everything out before price makes its move. If you found this breakdown useful, make sure to Boost this idea and save it—check back later and see how price respects the levels. That’s how you sharpen your edge in the market.
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Title: PEIPEI’s 91% Crash – Rebound or Freefall?Is the Market Preparing for a Turnaround?
PEIPEI (BYBIT-1000000PEIPEIUSDT.P) is at a critical juncture, trading at $0.03381, down a staggering 91% from its all-time high of $0.3987. With RSI at 27.91, the asset is deep in oversold territory, signaling a potential setup for a bounce. However, a surge in sell volumes raises the question—will buyers step in, or is there another leg down?
The resistance at $0.03697 is the first test for bulls, while the $0.02977 support level could determine whether this is a buy-the-dip moment or a breakdown waiting to happen. The battle between VSA buy patterns and sell volume dominance is heating up, setting the stage for a decisive move.
Are traders ready for a sharp reversal, or is this just another stop on the way down? Time is running out—PEIPEI is on the edge.
Roadmap: PEIPEI’s Recent Pattern Evolution – What’s Next?
Tracking PEIPEI’s price action over the last few days, we’ve seen a series of buy and sell dominance patterns battling for control. Some have hit their marks perfectly, confirming expected movements, while others failed to trigger, leading to unexpected reversals. Here’s the key roadmap of what unfolded and what traders should watch for next:
February 22, 07:00 UTC – Increased Buy Volumes
A strong push saw PEIPEI climbing from $0.04001 to $0.0419, confirming buy-side momentum. This setup followed a classic VSA Buy Pattern, hinting at sustained upside pressure.
February 22, 08:00 UTC – Buy Volumes Take Over (Sell Reversal Fails)
Instead of holding the gains, PEIPEI saw an aggressive reversal with a close at $0.03969, undercutting previous lows. This was a failed bullish continuation, showing early signs of weakness.
February 22, 23:00 UTC – Sell Volumes Max – Bears Take Over
The real shift came when the increased sell volumes kicked in, dropping PEIPEI from $0.04134 to $0.0389. This was the first real test of bearish strength, confirming a shift in sentiment.
February 23, 13:00 UTC – Increased Sell Volumes – Momentum Confirmed
With PEIPEI closing at $0.03909, the downtrend gained serious traction. This was a strong signal that any rebounds were short-lived—sellers were in control.
February 23, 14:00-15:00 UTC – VSA Buy Patterns Attempt a Comeback
Two consecutive VSA Buy Patterns formed, but failed to hold ground above $0.04032, proving that bulls lacked conviction.
February 24, 06:00 UTC – Buy Volumes Take Over (But Sellers Strike Back)
Another brief bullish surge saw PEIPEI push toward $0.03836, only to close weaker at $0.03804. This was another case of a fake breakout, reinforcing bearish momentum.
February 24, 22:00 UTC – Sell Volumes Spike Again
This was the final confirmation—PEIPEI dropped from $0.03651 to $0.03358, closing near its lowest levels. At this stage, bears completely dominated the market, signaling potential for even lower prices.
Key Takeaways for Traders:
The roadmap is clear—bearish pressure has been unrelenting. Every bullish attempt has been met with strong resistance, with failed buy patterns reinforcing short-term downside bias. With PEIPEI trading at $0.03381, traders should keep an eye on $0.03697 resistance—a break above it could be the first sign of a real comeback. Until then, this remains a sell-the-rally environment.
Technical & Price Action Analysis – Key Levels to Watch
PEIPEI is at a make-or-break zone, and every trader should have these key levels on their radar. If these supports don’t hold, expect them to flip into resistance—trading is all about adapting to the tape.
Support Levels:
$0.02977 – First line of defense. If buyers don’t show up here, expect this to act as resistance on any weak bounces.
Resistance Levels:
$0.03697 – Immediate barrier. A strong close above signals momentum, otherwise it’s a bull trap.
$0.04004 – The last short-term lid before bigger breakouts. Rejection here = more downside.
$0.04921 – A serious level. Any push toward this zone needs real volume behind it.
$0.05701 – Psychological battle zone. If price reaches here, momentum traders will pile in.
$0.06098 – Major inflection point. If we see exhaustion here, expect a hard rejection.
Powerful Support Levels:
$0.08812 – If we ever get back here, it’s either a full reversal or a massive fakeout. A close below? Lights out for bulls.
Right now, sellers are in control, but levels are made to be broken. Trade the confirmation, not the emotion.
Trading Strategies Based on Rays – Optimistic & Pessimistic Scenarios
The VSA Rays on the chart provide the foundation for trade setups. These rays, built on Fibonacci-based angles, define key interaction zones where price either bounces or breaks through, signaling the next directional move. Positions should be taken only after confirmation, meaning interaction with the ray and the first impulse in the expected direction. The movement will continue from one ray to the next, making them the core framework for entries and exits.
Optimistic Scenario – Bulls Take Control
Entry: On confirmation above $0.03697, the first resistance ray.
Target 1: $0.04004 – If volume supports the move, this level is the first checkpoint.
Target 2: $0.04921 – Breakout above will trigger FOMO buying.
Target 3: $0.05701 - $0.06098 – Final target if bulls maintain control, where major profit-taking is expected.
Stop Loss: Below $0.03697, as failure to hold means the breakout is invalid.
📌 Dynamic Factors to Watch:
– MA50 (0.03797) & MA100 (0.03869) → If price breaks above and holds, this strengthens bullish momentum.
– RSI moving above 50 → Signals increased buying strength.
Pessimistic Scenario – Bears Regain Dominance
Entry: On rejection at $0.03697, confirming resistance.
Target 1: $0.02977 – Key support where a short trade can take partial profits.
Target 2: $0.02448 – The lowest price in recent history, where liquidity may spike.
Stop Loss: Above $0.03697, as a breakout would invalidate the short setup.
📌 Bearish Confirmation Factors:
– Price rejection at MA50/MA100 → Means upside momentum is weakening.
– RSI failing to break 40 → Confirms continued downside pressure.
Potential Trade Setups Based on Key Levels & Rays
Breakout Buy: If price closes above $0.03697, enter long with targets at $0.04004 and $0.04921.
Support Bounce Buy: If $0.02977 holds with a strong bounce and volume, enter long targeting $0.03697.
Short Rejection Trade: If price rejects $0.03697 with no bullish confirmation, enter short with $0.02977 as target.
Breakdown Short: If price loses $0.02977, short targeting $0.02448, the last major low.
The key takeaway? Price moves from ray to ray. Wait for confirmation, trade with the trend, and let the market show its hand before committing. 🚀
Let’s Talk – Drop Your Questions Below!
Trading is all about understanding levels and tracking price movement in real time—so don’t just read this and scroll past. Hit Boost, save this post, and come back later to see how price reacts to my mapped-out levels. Spoiler: it usually does.
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GOLD Bullish Bias! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is making a bullish
Rebound from the support
Cluster of rising and horizontal
Support levels so as Gold is
Trading in an uptrend we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
HAG Long: A trade based on the current geopolitical climateHENSOLDT AG ( HAG ) continues to respect its long-term ascending channel, with price action now testing multi-year resistance. Heightened geopolitical tensions, particularly between the US, EU, and Russia, coincide with recent upward momentum. Historically, international conflicts have bolstered defence equities, and the current macro backdrop remains consistent with that theme.
A sustained breakout above resistance could signal a shift in market expectations, while the underlying trend reflects the broader geopolitical landscape. Ironically, the chart represents the doomsday clock better than the clock itself. The irony doesn't end there, for global peace lies below the support for this stock. As soon as supporters of this stock take their hands off the wheel, peace inches closer. Bears on defence stocks bring peace. 🏝️
For now, it's time to be a bull. Probably.
Bitcoin Holds Strong: $100K Breakout or Pullback Ahead?#Bitcoin Update
Bitcoin remains in a tight consolidation phase after rebounding from key support.
Support at $93,700 Holding: BTC has successfully defended the ascending trendline and 200 EMA, showing strong buyer interest around this level.
Range-bound movement: The price continues to hover between the ATH resistance and the lower support, forming a key accumulation zone.
Breakout Watch: A daily close above the $100,000 resistance could lead to a breakout, while a failure to hold support may trigger a correction.
Traders should keep an eye on BTC’s next move, as volatility could increase soon.
DYOR, NFA
#BTC #Crypto
EURUSD - the upcoming US PCE & the ECB rate decisionAt the moment, we are seeing that the bulls are fighting hard to keep MARKETSCOM:EURUSD elevated. But they are struggling to overcome some key resistance barriers. But the upside doesn't look very promising, due to the upcoming US PCE numbers and the ECB rate decision. Let's dig into the possible near-term outcome scenarios for the $FX_IDC:EURUSD.
What are your thoughts on this?
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GBP/USD Wedge Breakout (24.2.25)The GBP/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2567
2nd Support – 1.2515
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1000000MOG: Is This the Last Chance to Buy Before a Breakout?The Moment of Decision: 1000000MOGUSDT at a Pivotal Crossroad
The crypto market is never short on surprises, and 1000000MOGUSDT is now in the spotlight. After tumbling 81.6% from its all-time high of $4.0531, the asset is showing signs of an imminent shift. Currently trading at $0.7458, it hovers near key resistance at $0.7693—a critical level that could define its next big move.
Technically, RSI (14) sits at 42.18, hinting at a potential reversal from oversold conditions. Meanwhile, MFI (60) has risen to 58.03, signaling increasing buying pressure. But is it enough for a breakout?
Recent VSA Buy Patterns suggest institutional accumulation, while yesterday's sell-off exhausted downward momentum. The battle between bulls and bears is heating up, and the next few sessions could set the tone for the coming weeks.
Could this be the final dip before an explosive move? Or will bears push it deeper into uncertainty? The answer lies in the price action around $0.7693—a breakout could bring a swift rally toward $0.8465 and beyond. Are you ready for what comes next?
1000000MOGUSDT Roadmap: The Pattern Trail to a Breakout
The market never moves in a straight line—it’s a battle of bulls and bears, and 1000000MOGUSDT is no exception. Let’s break down the key patterns that have shaped the recent price action, focusing only on those that played out as expected.
Feb 21, 17:00 UTC – Sell Volumes Max (Main Direction: Sell)
The heavy sell-off at $0.7875, closing at $0.7571, set the stage for a bearish move. The next pattern confirmed this sentiment, as buyers failed to regain control, pushing the price further down.
Feb 22, 18:00 UTC – VSA Sell Pattern 4 (Main Direction: Sell)
The textbook bearish setup worked like a charm. The price opened at $0.7996, attempted a push higher to $0.8191, but ultimately closed lower at $0.7870. This confirmed sellers’ dominance, setting the tone for further downside.
Feb 23, 15:00 UTC – Increased Sell Volumes (Main Direction: Sell)
Sell pressure kept building, with the price opening at $0.7823 and dropping to $0.7539. This was another clean confirmation that sellers were running the show.
Feb 24, 04:00 UTC – Sell Volumes Max (Main Direction: Sell)
Another bearish wave sent the price down to $0.7429, hitting a low of $0.7350. At this point, the market was looking oversold, but without a strong reversal pattern, buyers had no reason to step in.
Feb 24, 05:00 UTC – Sell Volumes Take Over (Main Direction: Buy)
Finally, a shift. The market bounced from $0.7383 to $0.7663, marking the first real attempt by buyers to flip the script. This pattern suggested a potential trend reversal—but was it enough?
The verdict? The last confirmed buy signal indicates that 1000000MOGUSDT may have hit a local bottom. With resistance looming at $0.7693, a breakout above this level could trigger a trend reversal, bringing bulls back into the game.
Technical & Price Action Analysis
When it comes to 1000000MOGUSDT, the game is all about key levels. Respect them, and you ride the wave. Ignore them, and you're swimming against the current. Here's what matters right now:
Resistance Levels:
$0.7693 – First major barrier; a breakout here could confirm bullish strength.
$0.8465 – If buyers take control, this is the next checkpoint.
$1.0149 – A key psychological level, marking a major shift in momentum.
$1.4334 – If we get here, expect serious volatility.
$1.9514 – The final boss before reclaiming lost highs.
Powerful Resistance Levels:
$0.5326 – If the market tanks, this level flips to a strong resistance on any rebound attempt.
Support Levels:
Watch for potential bounces, but if these levels don’t hold, they turn into resistance real quick.
Powerful Support Levels:
$2.1798 – A level too far now, but if we ever reclaim it, the game changes entirely.
Bottom line: if $0.7693 gives way, $0.8465 is on the radar. But if we break down, $0.5326 could become a serious problem for any recovery. Stay sharp, follow the levels, and trade with conviction.
Trading Strategies Using Rays: Optimistic & Pessimistic Scenarios
Concept of Rays: The market is a living system, and price moves dynamically within it. My proprietary method uses Fibonacci-based rays, which create adaptive levels that predict interactions between price and key zones. These rays don’t provide a static price target but act as guides—once price interacts with a ray, we wait for dynamic confirmations (patterns, volumes, and price action) before making a trade. Each movement extends from one ray to another, forming a structured, mathematically predictable path.
Optimistic Scenario: Bullish Movement from Support
If price confirms support at a key level and interacts positively with a VSA ray, we look for a continuation upward:
Entry: Buy on a strong bounce from $0.7458 with confirmation from VSA patterns.
First Target: $0.7693 (first major resistance & ray intersection).
Second Target: $0.8465 (continuation if the first breakout holds).
Third Target: $1.0149 (strong psychological level, potential liquidity grab).
Dynamic Factors Supporting the Trade:
Moving Averages (MA50: 0.783, MA100: 0.7757, MA200: 0.7807) act as additional resistance points—watch for price interaction at these levels before continuation.
RSI (42.18) is still in a neutral zone but could flip bullish if price holds above MA100.
MFI (58.03) suggests growing demand, adding strength to a breakout.
Pessimistic Scenario: Bearish Breakdown Below Support
If price fails to hold key levels, sellers regain control, and we shift to a shorting mindset:
Entry: Short after rejection from $0.7693, confirming downward momentum.
First Target: $0.7458 (previous support turned resistance).
Second Target: $0.5326 (historical powerful resistance that could flip to strong support).
Third Target: $0.4999 (absolute low, potential liquidity hunt).
Dynamic Factors Confirming the Short Trade:
Failure to break MA100 and MA200 signals continued bearish trend.
RSI below 40 would confirm oversold conditions, increasing downside pressure.
If volume spikes on a breakdown, it suggests institutional distribution rather than weak hands selling.
Key Trading Playbook
Buy on confirmed interaction with a bullish ray at $0.7458, ride to $0.7693.
Sell if price rejects $0.7693 with weak volume—target $0.7458 or $0.5326.
Breakout trade: If $0.8465 is taken out with momentum, next stop is $1.0149.
Short if price collapses under $0.7458, aiming for $0.5326.
Bottom line: Every move starts with a ray and follows a ray. Let the price confirm the interaction, then ride the wave.
Call to Action: Let’s Talk Trading!
Alright, traders, now it’s your move! 🚀 If you have questions, insights, or just want to discuss the setup, drop a comment below—I read everything and respond when I can. Let’s break this market down together!
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Fundamental Market Analysis for February 24, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) continued to strengthen against its U.S. counterpart last week and pushed the USD/JPY pair down to 149.000, its lowest level since early December, during Monday's Asian session. Japan's strong Consumer Price Index (CPI) released on Friday complemented last week's encouraging Q4 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth report. This, along with expectations that solid wage growth will drive consumer spending, suggests that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may raise interest rates more aggressively than originally anticipated and continues to support the Japanese Yen.
In addition, the emergence of new US Dollar (USD) selling is favorable for the JPY and has contributed to the USD/JPY pair declining for the fourth consecutive day, marking the seventh day of negative movement in the last eight. Meanwhile, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda showed willingness to increase government bond purchases if long-term interest rates rise sharply. This in turn led to a further decline in Japanese government bond (JGB) yields from the multi-year peak reached last week, which triggered some intraday JPY selling and helped the currency pair bounce more than 50 pips from the daily low.
Trading recommendation: SELL 149.200, SL 149.800, TP 148.300
Gold's Next Move – 3000 in Sight or Deeper Correction First?🔥 Gold Market Analysis – Are We Heading for a New ATH? 🔥
📈 Extreme Bullish Momentum – But Signs of Exhaustion?
Last week, price showed strong bullish momentum, pushing to a new all-time high (ATH). However, despite this strength, we have also seen deep pullbacks, signaling that sellers are active at key levels.
🔍 Key Observations:
✅ 4H Bullish FVG (2923 - 2915) has been tested 3 times – Each time, price has bounced significantly, with one of those bounces even leading to a new ATH.
✅ Friday’s reaction off this zone suggests buyers are still defending it, but price is struggling to push up as aggressively as before.
✅ Liquidity Sweep & Strong Rejection – We swept the 4H Asia high, tapped into a 1H Bearish OB (2947 - 2940) just above the liquidity grab, and then dumped 100+ pips 📉.
🔮 Possible Scenarios Moving Forward:
📌 Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation 🚀
Price could attempt to fill the 4H Bullish FVG (2923 - 2915) and then bounce back up, targeting the ATH again.
If we break above the 1H Bearish OB (2947 - 2940), it could trigger further bullishness, potentially driving price towards 3000.
📌 Scenario 2 – Deeper Pullback Before Another Push Up 🔻
If price fails to hold the 4H FVG, we could see a drop down to the 4H Bullish OB (2886 - 2877), where buyers are likely waiting.
A strong reaction from this zone could set up a higher low formation, allowing bulls to re-enter and push towards the ATH again.
💡 Final Thoughts:
The market is at a critical point, and liquidity sweeps are playing a major role in shaping price action. If we see a clean break above resistance, 3000+ could be in sight. However, failure to hold key demand zones might lead to deeper corrections before another bullish leg.
🔥 Stay patient, follow the levels, and trade smart! 🔥
GBP/JPY - Triangle Breakout (Weekly Forecast Feb 24-28)The GBP/JPY Pair on the H4 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 185.04
2nd Support – 182.94
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Let the games begin!!! BTC retracement in play!Double top creation after an ATH seems to be a character trait of BTC after a certain someone gets into office. Moreover, bearish reversal patterns on two higher timeframes (D-Head & Shoulder/4hr- M pattern) further solidifies the inevitable retracement that's needed before the major crypto surge that most are anticipating.
AUD/JPY 4H: Potential Reversal at Support Zone !!Price Action: The price is trading below the 200-period EMA, indicating that the general trend is bearish. However, there's a price bounce near the orange box (support zone), suggesting that a reversal could occur from this level.
Support and Resistance Zones:
The support zone is the orange box around 95.85–96.10. Price is near the lower bound of this zone, which could provide a buying opportunity if the price holds above it.
Resistance is at the higher level of around 97.55, and there's also a minor resistance around 96.70, which is likely a short-term obstacle.
EMA (200): The 200-period EMA (at 96.69) is acting as a dynamic resistance, contributing to the overall bearish bias. If price closes above it, there could be a shift in sentiment.
Potential Trade Setup: The analysis shows a possible buying opportunity if price holds above the orange box (95.85–96.10). A potential upside target would be around the 97.55 level, which aligns with previous price action resistance.
Overall, this chart is suggesting a bounce off the support zone with a possible move towards resistance. However, the trend remains bearish as long as the price stays below the 200 EMA.
EUR/JPY Bearish Setup | Rejection from 200 EMA & Supply ZoneEUR/JPY Analysis (Daily Timeframe) 📉🔥
Key Observations:
Price at 159.804 (-0.07%), showing minor bearish sentiment.
200 EMA Resistance (162.206) 🚧
Price previously rejected from this level, reinforcing it as a strong resistance zone.
Bearish Retest of Supply Zone (162.000 - 162.500) 🛑
Price attempted to break above but failed, leading to rejection and a move downward.
Breakout from Ascending Channel 📉
Price previously followed an upward trend but broke below, signaling a shift to bearish momentum.
Target at 155.732 (Next Support) 🎯
A blue arrow suggests an expected drop toward this key support.
Bias: Bearish 📉
Confirmation: If price fails to reclaim 160.500, further downside is likely.
Bearish Entry: Below 159.500 with a target at 155.732.
Invalidation: A daily close above 162.200 would shift bias to bullish.
🚨 Watch for rejection candles or strong bearish momentum for a sell setup! 🚨
Fundamental Market Analysis for February 21, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair declined after hitting a two-month high of 1.26740 on Friday and was trading near 1.26700 at the time of writing during the Asian session. However, the pair strengthened as the US Dollar (USD) struggled amid weak jobless claims data and mixed signals from the Federal Reserve (Fed).
Initial jobless claims in the US rose to 219,000 in the week ended February 14, above the expected 215,000. Jobless claims also rose slightly to 1.869 million, just below the forecast of 1.87 million.
Additionally, GBP/USD rose amid improving market sentiment after US President Donald Trump signaled potential progress in trade talks with China, easing market fears over tariffs.
On Thursday, Fed chief Adriana Kugler said U.S. inflation still has “some way to go” before it reaches its 2% target, acknowledging uncertainty in the future, Reuters reported.
Meanwhile, St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem emphasized the potential risks of stagflation and rising inflation expectations. Atlanta Fed President Rafael Bostic left open the possibility of two rate cuts this year depending on economic conditions.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.26700, SL 1.27300, TP 1.25600
CHFJPY at Key Support Level - Potential Buy SetupOANDA:CHFJPY is at a significant demand zone that has consistently triggered bullish reversals in the past. This zone has previously acted as a strong support level and now as price tests this area again, it creates a potential opportunity for buyers to regain control.
I expect the price to move toward 168.60. On the other hand, a break below this support could signal further downside.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
AUD/USD Triangle Breakout (19.2.25)The AUD/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 0.6391
2nd Resistance – 0.6404
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GBP/JPY Triangle Pattern (14.2.25)The GBP/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 189.83
2nd Support – 188.42
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NZD/JPY - H1 Chart - Trendline Breakout (18.02.2025)The NZD/JPY Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 86.00
2nd Support – 85.60
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EUR/USD Wedge Breakout (17.2.25)The EUR/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0413
2nd Support – 1.0375
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EURNZD - Buy Setup at key ZoneOANDA:EURNZD is currently in a significant support zone, which has times before been a turning point for bullish moves. The recent bearish pressure brings the price into this critical area once again, creating a potential buying opportunity.
If bullish signals emerge, such as strong buying volume or bullish candlestick patterns, I expect the price to move toward 1,83700. However, a break below this support would invalidate the bullish bias and could lead to further declines.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!