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Bitcoin can continue to decline inside range to 54800 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. By observing the chart, we can see that the price some days ago entered to triangle, where it at once started to decline from the resistance line and soon fell below the 61200 level, breaking it. Then the price dropped more and broke the 53300 level, reaching the support line of the triangle, after which it turned around and started to grow. In a short time price rose to a resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, breaking the 53300 level one more time. BTC some time traded near the resistance level and then fell to the support line of the triangle and then quickly rose to the resistance line of this pattern, breaking the resistance level. But then the price made impulse down, thereby exiting from the triangle pattern and breaking the 61200 level too. Also, BTC started to trades inside the range, where it declined to support level, which coincided with the buyer zone and at once rebounded up. A not long time ago price reached a resistance level and soon rolled down, and now it declining. So, for this case, I think that the price can rise to the resistance level and then continue to fall to almost the support level. That's why I set my TP at 54800 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
6
GOLD - Price can start to decline to $2520 support levelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Recently price traded near $2475 level, bouncing down to $2438 points, and started to grow in wedge. In wedge, price soon broke $2475 level and then rose to resistance line, but quickly turned around and fell below. Price made a fake breakout of $2520 level, but soon backed up and some time traded near this level. Also, Gold even some time entered to support area, after which it later made a correction to support line of wedge. After this movement, XAU made an upward impulse, thereby exiting from wedge and breaking $2520 level. Now, I think Gold, after upward movement, can start to decline to $2520 support level. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WalterMoon
13
USDJPY: Slight Bullish Bias This Week? (19/09/2024)As of September 19, 2024, traders are closely monitoring the USDJPY pair for potential bullish momentum. Several fundamental factors and market conditions indicate that the pair might see a slight upward bias this week. Let’s dive into the key drivers affecting the USDJPY price action. 1. Diverging Central Bank Policies One of the primary influences on USDJPY is the monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ). - Federal Reserve’s Stance: As we move into the week, the market expects the Fed to maintain a hawkish stance or at least keep interest rates elevated. Although there’s some speculation about a possible pause in future rate hikes, the Fed's priority remains controlling inflation. This higher interest rate environment in the US makes the US dollar more attractive, pushing USDJPY upwards. - Bank of Japan’s Ultra-Loose Policy: In contrast, the BoJ continues its ultra-loose monetary policy, aiming to stimulate Japan’s sluggish economy. Despite rising inflation in Japan, the BoJ has shown little inclination to raise rates aggressively. This Interest rate differential between the US and Japan tends to weaken the yen, giving a bullish outlook for USDJPY. 2. Risk Sentiment in Global Markets Risk sentiment plays a crucial role in the movement of USDJPY. When global markets are in a risk-off mode, investors tend to flock to safe-haven assets like the Japanese yen, strengthening it. However, recent global economic data and financial news have maintained a somewhat stable risk appetite, leaning towards a risk-on environment. - US Economic Data: Recent reports from the US, such as better-than-expected retail sales and strong labor market data, continue to support the narrative of economic resilience. This fuels demand for the dollar and supports USDJPY’s bullish momentum. - Global Geopolitical Risks: While geopolitical tensions in regions like Europe and the Middle East may inject some volatility, there hasn’t been a major shift toward a risk-off sentiment that would heavily favor the yen. For now, dollar strength seems to dominate. 3. Japanese Economic Conditions Japan’s economy continues to struggle with low growth despite rising inflation. The BoJ’s consistent approach to stimulus, combined with the government's push for wage growth, has not yet translated into significant yen strength. Additionally, trade deficits in Japan, exacerbated by higher import costs, have weighed on the yen’s valuation. Without a major shift in BoJ policy or a significant improvement in Japan's economic performance, the yen will likely remain under pressure, keeping USDJPY on a slightly bullish path. 4. US Bond Yields US Treasury yields are another major factor driving the USDJPY. Higher US bond yields, often seen in response to tighter monetary policy and strong economic data, make the dollar more attractive to foreign investors. The upward trajectory of bond yields has been a persistent theme, reinforcing dollar strength. If this trend continues through the week, we can expect additional support for USDJPY. 5. Technical Indicators Looking at the technical analysis for USDJPY, the pair has been trading near key resistance levels in recent sessions. If the pair breaks above these resistance zones, we could see further bullish momentum. - Key Support and Resistance Levels: The 145.00 level has been a psychological support level for USDJPY, while 148.50 serves as resistance. Should the pair break beyond this resistance, it could trigger more buying pressure, pushing USDJPY higher. Conclusion: USDJPY’s Slight Bullish Bias In conclusion, the USDJPY pair is expected to exhibit a slight bullish bias this week, primarily driven by: - Monetary policy divergence between the Fed and BoJ. - Favorable US economic data and rising Treasury yields. - Limited economic growth in Japan, with persistent trade deficits. - Stable global risk sentiment supporting the dollar over the yen. Traders should keep an eye on US bond yields, Fed comments, and any sudden shifts in risk sentiment or geopolitical events, as these could influence USDJPY’s trajectory throughout the week. --- Keywords: - USDJPY forecast - USDJPY bullish bias - USDJPY analysis September 2024 - USDJPY technical analysis - USDJPY key drivers - USDJPY trading strategy - USDJPY and Federal Reserve policy - USDJPY support and resistance levels - USDJPY risk sentiment - USDJPY bond yields impact
Short
by PERFECT_MFG
GBPUSD: After the FED, Awaiting the BOE and BOJ!The GBP/USD pair found support near the 1.3150 area on Thursday, temporarily halting the correction from the recent high of 1.3300, the highest level since March 2022. The 4-hour RSI remains close to 70, suggesting that the pair could enter overbought territory in the short term if it continues to rise. The bullish sentiment for GBP/USD has been supported by expectations of an aggressive rate cut from the Fed, which has weakened the US Dollar. This week, markets are awaiting the rate decisions from the Bank of England (BoE) and the Bank of Japan (BOJ). In the short term, GBP/USD could consolidate above 1.3200 before potentially resuming its rise toward 1.3260 and 1.3300. On the downside, a break below 1.3150 would open the door for a drop towards 1.3100, especially if US economic data supports a rebound in the dollar.
Short
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
3
USDCAD - UNDER DOWNWARD PRESSURE - 4HUSDCAD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Currently, prices are trading below the resistance trend line and the turning level at 1.361. This sets the stage by identifying that the price is under a key resistance line and turning level, specifically at the 1.361 level. The resistance line acts as a ceiling preventing further upward movement. As long as trading remains below this level, a decline is expected, potentially reaching 1.354 and 1.350. Here, you're forecasting a possible downward trend. If prices don't break through 1.361, the expectation is for them to move lower, first targeting 1.354, and possibly continuing to 1.350. These levels are likely key support level where the price could find temporary stability. However, breaking this level would indicate a rise toward 1.370. This section shifts the focus to an alternative outcome. If the price breaches the 1.361 resistance, it would signal the start of an upward movement, aiming for the next key level at 1.370. To confirm an uptrend, it is necessary to break through this level, which would then target the next level at 1.374. Finally, you're stating that for a true and sustained uptrend to be confirmed, the price must break through 1.370. Once this happens, the price is expected to head towards the next resistance level at 1.374. UPWARD TARGET : 1.370 , 1.374. DOWNWARD TARGET : 1.354 , 1.350.
Short
by ArinaKarayi
Amazon (AMZN): Swing Trade & Chart Analysis UpdateTwo months ago, we anticipated a pullback to wave (2), and after a brief pump, we saw an immediate sell-off. The fascinating part? Amazon dropped 25% and reversed almost perfectly on the long-held trendline, which hasn’t been adjusted. It's incredible how simple technicals can sometimes work so well. We've now pushed back into the $183-190 range. This could be a relief pump, likely short-lived. While we aren’t ruling out a rise above the current wave (1), we’re leaning toward a flat correction, as wave A was fast. If correct, we should turn soon and continue downward with a 5-wave structure into the 50-78.6% Fibonacci retracement target area. No limit orders yet, but we're setting alerts to better time our entry. 🔥
NASDAQ:AMZNShort
by freeguy_by_wmc
3
Sell EURUSD Channel Breakout (FOMC) The EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.1117, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.1076 2nd Support – 1.1051 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.1152. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
2
HelenP. I Bitcoin can decline a little more and then start growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. A not long time ago price rebounded from the support level and tried to grow, but after it rose a little higher than the resistance zone, it dropped below the 58300 level, breaking it. Then BTC made a retest of this level and continued to decline to the trend line. After the price fell to this line, it turned around and started to grow inside the upward channel, where it some time rose near the trend line, which support line of the channel and later rebounded up. Bitcoin almost reached the 58300 support level, but then made correction, after which continued to move up. When the price reached the 58300 level, it at once broke it and rose to the resistance line of the channel. But recently price rebounded and made a correction movement to the support level. And now it continues to trades near this level inside the resistance area in an upward channel. In my mind, BTCUSDT will fall to the trend line and then rebound and start to grow to the resistance line of the channel. That's why I set my goal at 60800 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Long
by FirstNameHelen
4
EURAUD - Technical Analysis [Short Setup]🔹 EURAUD Analysis on 30M chart - The current Trend is BEARISH - There is no Bullish divergences - Using trendline to take trade on HL 🔹 Trade Plan - Entry Level = 1.64757 - Stop Loss = 1.11500 - TP1 = 1.64385 - TP2 = 1.64191 🔹 Risk Management - First TP is 1:1 - Second TP is 1:2 🔹 How to Take Trade? - Only risk 2% of your portfolio - Take 1% risk entry with 1:1 RR - Take 1% risk entry with 1:2 RR Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea! ✌🏼
Short
by Bountysoul
Sell GBPCHF UK CPIThe GBP/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.1136, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.1080 2nd Support – 1.1040 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.1190. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
1
Today’s (17-9-2024) US Retail sales data Affects Gold Prices why we sell Gold today ??? well many will tell answer is simple that gold is overbought and everyone is selling..... But That's not a whole case. - Yes gold was overbought and running on High uptrend. - From our past Encounter with gold suggested Small Changes in US Retail sales data will Endup in big change in gold,and it happeded as per our prophecy. - Buyer around the world are running heavy profit they has to close position and book profit will force price to come downside. So this is it... Stay tune for more update from us will come back with another Facinating trade.. Keep following keep trading and Remember Buy high Sell low....
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by forextrade119
XAUUSD | Bearish DivergenceCurrently, XAUUSD (Gold) is in an uptrend, making new higher highs and higher lows while moving within a parallel channel, supported by its trendline. Additionally, fundamental factors are pushing gold to reach new highs. However, on the 1-hour time frame, there is a hidden bearish divergence, suggesting a potential trend reversal into a downtrend. This indicates that we may soon see the formation of new lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL), and the price could move towards a high-demand zone. Moreover, with high-impact USD news expected this week, we anticipate a potential retracement in price. After this pullback, we could expect an upward rally in gold. In summary: 1: Uptrend: Gold is making higher highs and higher lows, moving within a parallel channel. 2: Fundamentals: Support the uptrend and push for new highs. 3: Hidden Bearish Divergence: On the 1-hour chart, indicating a potential shift to a downtrend. 4: High-Impact USD News: Expected to cause a retracement, followed by a potential upward rally. Expectation: A short-term pullback, followed by a possible continuation of the uptrend. These factors suggest short-term downside potential before a likely continuation of the uptrend.
TVC:GOLDShort
by awaisulabdeen
Sell EURCHF Triangle BreakoutThe EUR/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 0.9395 Target Levels: 1st Support – 0.9353 2nd Support – 0.9324 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 0.9412. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
5
Bitcoin Cycles: Predicted Highs and Lows for 2025-2026 In this post, we will explore the Bitcoin market cycle in an effort to predict when the next cycle's top and bottom might occur, along with their potential price levels. Our analysis will cover several key concepts, including the Four-Year Cycle Theory, peak-to-peak and bottom-to-bottom analysis, cycle timing (peak-to-bottom), and the idea of diminishing returns, to support our forecast. Lets go! The Four-Year Cycle Theory: The Four-Year Cycle Theory in Bitcoin refers to a recurring market cycle that aligns with the Bitcoin halving event, which occurs approximately every four years. It suggests that Bitcoin's price moves in predictable cycles, driven largely by the dynamics of supply and demand, with the halving event acting as a significant catalyst. The theory suggests that each four-year cycle consists of four distinct phases: a. Accumulation (Bear Market Bottom) b. Uptrend (Bull Market Start) c. Parabolic Rise (Bull Market Peak) d. Correction (Bear Market Crash) The halving significantly reduces the rate at which new Bitcoin is mined, which leads to a supply reduction. As supply decreases while demand stays the same or increases (due to growing adoption, media attention, etc.), the price often rises after the halving leading to phase c. the Parabolic Rise. With the basics of the Four-Year Cycle Theory covered, we can now analyze the intervals between cycle peaks and bottoms. Cycle interval analysis: A cycle analysis aims to identify recurring patterns by analyzing the time and price movements between key events, such as market tops (peaks) and bottoms, in the case of Bitcoin the halving event may also be considered. By examining these cyclical behaviors it is attempted to predict future tops and bottoms. The simplest and easiest-to-understand patterns are: 1. Top-to-Top The time difference between consecutive market tops 2. Top-to-Bottom The time difference between a market top to the next market bottom. 3. Bottom-to-Top The time difference between a market bottom to the next market top. 4. Bottom-to-Bottom The time difference between consecutive market bottoms. There are however also more advanced patterns such as: 5. All-Time-High Break to Top The time difference between a break of the last cycle top to the next market top. 6. Halving event to top The time difference between the halving event to the next market top. It can be observed that market cycle patterns in the 2nd cycle are shorter compared to those in the 3rd and 4th cycles. This is likely due to a lack of market maturation or the fact that it occurs before the first halving. What stands out is the similarity between the 3rd and 4th cycle patterns. By averaging these cycles, we can predict the 5th cycle. Even more striking is that several of these predictions closely match the subsequent cycle top AND bottom. The predicted upcoming market cycle top is predicted as follows: Based on the Top-to-Top pattern, the market top is forecasted for November 3, 2025. According to the Bottom-to-Bottom pattern, the top is expected on October 13, 2025. The Halving Event-to-Top pattern suggests a market peak on October 6, 2025. Additionally, the ATH-Break-to-Top pattern indicates that the Parabolic Rise of the current cycle will begin on December 9, 2024. The predicted upcoming market cycle bottom is predicted as follows: Based on the Bottom-to-Bottom pattern, the market bottom is forecasted for October 19th 2026. According to the Top-to-Bottom pattern, the market bottom is forecasted for October 26th 2026. Here is a graphical overview of our prediction timelines: Price prediction using diminishing Returns: In the context of Bitcoin and market cycles, diminishing returns refers to the phenomenon where, as Bitcoin’s market matures and more capital or resources are invested, the incremental gains or price increases from additional investments become smaller over time. In essence this means the following: Bull Market Peaks: As a market cycle reaches its peak, diminishing returns become evident. The price increases become smaller and less dramatic each cycle compared to earlier in the cycle. Bear Market Corrections: Following the peak, the market often enters a correction phase where prices decline significantly. The decline also becomes smaller and less dramatic compared to earlier cycles. In essence, this results in less dramatic bull cycles but also less severe declines during bear markets: Here is a table overview with the values: The effects of diminishing returns are clearly observable, with one exception: the Cycle Top to the next Cycle Bottom in Cycle 3, which saw a 6x loss. However, if we take the effects of diminishing returns into consideration, we can make the following conclusions: The next Cycle Top will likely not exceed the Cycle 4 Top-to-Top multiplier of 3.4x, meaning it is unlikely to exceed a price of 224K. The next Cycle Top will likely not exceed the Cycle 4 Bot-to-Top multiplier of 20.5x, meaning it is even more unlikely to exceed a price of 333K. After considering the effects of diminishing returns, we believe a Top-to-Top multiplier in the range of 2 to 2.6 is realistic. Therefore, we predict a cycle top price of $131,000 to $170,000. Regarding the next bear market Bottom: The next Cycle Bottom will likely be below the Cycle 4 Bot-to-Bot multiplier of 5.1x, meaning it will likely be below 83K. We believe a Bot-to-Bot multiplier in the range of 3 to 4 is realistic. Therefore, we predict a cycle bottom price of $49,000 to $65,000. Final Conclusion: Predicted Cycle Top: The upcoming market cycle top is forecasted to occur in October or November 2025. Based on our analysis, we predict a price range of $131,000 to $170,000. Predicted Cycle Bottom: The upcoming market cycle bottom is forecasted to occur in October or November 2026. Based on our analysis, we predict a price range of $49,000 to $65,000. These predictions incorporate the effects of diminishing returns and historical cycle patterns.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Cryptonerds
3
NVIDIA (NVDA): Our Next Move After Predicting the TopJust 14 days ago, we analyzed NVIDIA and concluded that we might see a small push upward followed by a pullback. We were correct, although the last small push didn't materialize. Still, we're pretty happy that we called the top on NVDA accurately, and perhaps some of you were able to capitalize on it. If so, that makes us even happier 😄 Since our last analysis, NVIDIA has fallen by 21%, bringing us into the area where we should be looking for long positions. We're about to do just that, even though it's risky. We're planning to enter a long position on NVIDIA, with our stop loss set below the end of Wave (4) for invalidation. We don't have a specific target set for NVDA, and we'll be monitoring it closely. Given the risk involved, we won't be over-leveraging here. Let's see if we can get it right again!
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by freeguy_by_wmc
AUDCHF / TECHNICAL ANALYSIS / FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS ~ PROPFIRMThis is my analysis for audchf, the graph shows fundamental analysis and technical analysis. This entry mentioned here is open with sell top in my propfirm account *Fundingpips* 100k. Everything is clear, I didn't detail the fundamental analysis, I just put it as a final observation, as the fundamental analysis is done with a set of information and rate cuts. Feel free to comment, this is just my entry, it doesn't mean I'm 100% right, sometimes the market isn't right.
Short
by bruno_ovelheiro
The High Revenue Low Float Case Of Coca-Cola Consolidated NASDAQ:COKE recently seemed to have a double bottom form in Coca-Cola Consolidated Stock , Where a recovery seems possible after having a small pullback in share price. NASDAQ:COKE Recently a lot of debt was added onto the balance sheet due to the buyback programs initiated by the management like ("$1 billion share repurchase program for its common stock.") "(Aug 20, 2024)" The Valuation seems interesting at its 22.4x PE Ratio, and its Price to Sales 1.7x, and its 9.5x Price to book Ratio. It will for sure be interesting to see how the stock performs as time goes on! --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Balance Sheet: Cash: US$1.90b Debt: US$1.79b Total Liabilities: US$4.46b Total Assets: US$5.66b Debt to Equity Ratio: 149.4% --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor and in no way am I signaling a sell, buy, or hold opinion on this stock (Coca-Cola Consolidated) I am just giving my personal opinion as a hobby trader, I have no certifications and I am not a financial analyst, I also may be wrong about how I feel about the stock. I want you to do plenty more research on this and the stocks you are interested in because the stock market always holds a lot of risk that may be different for each investor and trader. Please do not make opinions based on this or any idea. Please be careful! --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Idea:
NASDAQ:COKELong
by BullishCanadianInvestor
GOOGLE looking strong ! we identified a important area. Google needs to break the bearish sequence channel. We have discovered several inflection points that create a very important zone, which is fully respected. When the price falls into this zone, it simply bounces because historically, these inflection points (green circles) have shown a liquidity and trend action. If you can see on the 3rd circle, there is a high-volume candle that, upon rejecting the downtrend, creates a zone that could become a support zone if the price were to fall, and that’s exactly what happened in our 4th circle. GOOGL is undoubtedly showing a lot of strength; however, this coming week, Google needs to show the same strength it has demonstrated over the last two days. In other words, we need enough volume for the price to break the sequential channel and see Google back above 168 or more. We will see how it goes this week. Thank you for supporting my analysis. Best regards.
NASDAQ:GOOGLLong
by RocketMike111
1
EURO - Price can little grow and then continue fall in channelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 A few moments ago price entered to wedge, where it at once bounced from resistance line and fell to support line. Then price bounced up from this line and rose higher than $1.0900 level, after which reached resistance line of wedge. Next, EUR corrected, after which continued to move up inside wedge and later price exited from this pattern. After this, price entered to falling channel, where it at once rose higher than $1.1155 level, but soon broke it again. Euro continued to decline inside falling channel until it reached support line, after which it recently bounced up. Now, I think price can make a small movement up and then continue to decline to $1.0975 support line of channel. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Short
by WalterMoon
4
Gold Analysis for Upcoming Week Monday 16.Sep.24Hi followers, I hope everyone is gearing up for a profitable week ahead. Here’s my analysis for the upcoming week based on the chart above: Gold has been trending upwards within a 15-minute channel. I anticipate that the price may test the bottom of this channel, which is around 2572-2575. Following this, I expect a potential increase to reach last week's high of 2586. Afterward, a retracement to approximately 2545 seems likely. Stay tuned for updates, and best of luck with your trades!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by tanhaed