Is JASMY done? Taking a look at the daily chart, we see JASMY has been in a down trend (lower highs and lower lows) since the beginning of June falling back into this consolidation range where it was bound for 3 months during February - May. The fact that price has made a complete retracement of the breakout and back into the old consolidation channel, testing its low, is not a good sign to me.
The yellow lines on the chart represent the consolidation's boundaries with the top acting as strong resistance and the bottom now acting as strong support again. There's an intermediate level that acts as support/resistance around the .021 area.
The selloff on Monday, August 5th had substantial volume (last time we had that high of a volume was in February) which indicates to me that a large amount of coins were sold that day and people were taking their profits or getting out of their positions.
Moving forward, I would expect price to be bound within the range of this consolidation channel and if it breaks below it, the next support zone I see is around .012 - .013.
If price makes its way down to .015 - .016 again and consolidates there, it could be a great opportunity for a long position as that level is extremely strong. But, I need more data supporting that thesis before considering an actual entry.
Good luck to you all.
Analysis
Bitcoin Short - Continue correction on the way - BTC SHORTBitcoin Short - Continue correction on the way - BTC SHORT
In the future, after a short rise, Bitcoin will continue its path towards price correction up to 40K , and after that, it should be seen whether it will break the resistance on its way or return to take over the new peak.
XAUUSD ( UNDER BULLISH PRESSURE ) (4H)XAUUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency, the price is under upward pressure , until the price trading above support level (1) at 2,367$.
Upward Zone : until the price trading above support level (1) , indicates further up trading , currently the price trading above turning level at 2,391 , to support reach of a resistance level (1) around 2,420$ , to confirm upward , price need breaking by close 4h candle above 2,420$ to reach resistance level (2) at 2,440$ , may be the price reserve and breaking turning level to reaching a support level (1) at 2,367$ , after starting a upward .
Downward Zone: should the price reserve and breaking turning level , indicates dropping to support level (1) around 2,367$ , to confirm downward , the price it will be breaking 2,367$ , by closing 4h candle below it to reach support level (2) at 2,337$ .
Corrective level :Price may make a correction at 2,391$ & 2,367$ , before rising .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 2,420$, 2,440$ , 2,460$.
SUPPORT LEVEL : 2,367$ , 2,337$ , 2,303$.
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 7, 2024 USDJPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) continues to lose ground against the US Dollar (USD) for the second consecutive day. This decline can be attributed to comments from Bank of Japan (BoJ) Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida on Wednesday: "We will not raise rates when markets are unstable," according to Reuters.
Deputy Governor Uchida also noted that the BoJ's interest rate strategy will adapt if market volatility changes economic forecasts, risk assessments or projections. Given recent market volatility, he emphasized the need to carefully monitor the economic and price effects of its policy, stating, "We should maintain the current degree of monetary policy easing for the time being."
The upside potential for the USD/JPY pair may be limited as the U.S. dollar faces challenges and markets expect a more significant rate cut in September. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the probability of a 50 basis points (bps) interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) in September is 67.5%, up from 13.2% a week earlier.
Trading recommendation: Trade mainly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Bitcoin UpdateOn August 5th, Bitcoin dropped below the 50,000 mark, invalidating a previously established channel. Currently, Bitcoin is testing the 57,000 level. If this test is successful, Bitcoin could rise to the 61,000 level, where it may face a minor retest before continuing its upward trajectory. However, the heavy order concentration and liquidations between the 60,000 and 63,000 levels could present significant challenges.
Optimistic Scenario (Green Arrow):
After navigating the fluctuations above the order block, Bitcoin successfully tests the blue line, confirming support, and continues its upward trend.
Pessimistic Scenario (Red Arrow):
Bitcoin faces substantial resistance within the 60,000 to 63,000 range due to high order activity, leading to a reversal and a potential decline back to the 45,000 level.
GBPJPY ( UNDER STRONG DOWNWARD PRESSURE ) ( 4H )GBPJPY
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure , until trading below turning level at 183.919 .
TURNING LEVEL : the price of this level at 183.919 , so until the price trade below this level indicates likely to reach a support level (1) , but if the breaking by open 4h candle above this level reach a resistance level (1) .
RESISTANCE ZONE : this zone between 191.007 and 198.018 , in order to see this zone the price need breaking turning level at 183.919 , breaking this price indicates an increase and reaching the resistance level (1) at 191.007 , then stabilizing above resistance level (1) likely to reach of a resistance level (2) at 198.018 , after breaking this zone it will be attempt to reach resistance level (3) at 203.869 , selling have already increase in this zone .
SUPPORT ZONE : this zone between 180.401 & 177.400 , until the price trading below turning level or stabilizing below this level indicates to reach of a support level (1) at 180.401 , by open 4h or 1h candle below support level (1) , it indicates to reaching support level (2) around 177.400 .
CORRECTIVE : the price corrective at 183.919 , before dropping .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 191.007 , 198.018, 203.869 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 180.401 , 177.400 .
Sell GBP/USD Triangle BreakoutThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.2760
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2680
2nd Support – 1.2637
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.2834. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Dogecoin Buying Opportunity?As you can see on the daily chart, dogecoin is trending downwards in this channel. Buyers seem unable to break above .12800 resistance at the moment.
If price breaks below the support line, I will wait to see how price reacts to the potential buy zone for a long position/dead cat bounce.
If price retests the support line and doesn't break it, I might enter for a scalp to the upside.
If price breaks above the channel and creates a new trend upwards, I will enter long.
What are your thoughts on dogecoin?
COINBASE:DOGEUSD
JASMY breaking down? Where to buy?As you can see on the daily chart, JASMY is continuing its way down. It looks like an inverted cup and handle with current price breaking below the handle and retesting it.
If further downside occurs, I will expect price to trade within the marked Potential Buy Zone which happens to be around the top of the previous consolidation's range.
I will continue to monitor price and look for opportunities in the PBZ if price makes its way there.
What do you think? Do you agree or disagree? Are you bullish or bearish? Why?
#Bitcoin It's Over? 🚨 #Bitcoin Update: Big changes could be coming!🚨
We're close to seeing a major shift in the market. The Super Trend indicator, which has been positive since early 2023, might turn negative soon. If Bitcoin closes below $56,000 in the next few days, it could mean the end of the current bull run.
Watch the charts closely! If the price stays above $56,000 and bounces back, we might see a strong recovery. But if it falls below, the bears might take over.
Stay alert and trade wisely! 📈💡
#Crypto
IN EXPLANATION
We are on the verge of confirming a reversal on the larger time frame.
The Super Trend indicator, which has been green throughout the entire market since the beginning of 2023, was also red during the market's decline in 2022. This indicator has been effective in determining whether we are in a bear market or a bull market on the larger time frames, rather than the short-term. While we may experience short-term dips or bearish trends, the Super Trend indicator highlights the broader bullish and bearish movements. It will turn red, confirming a bearish trend reversal on the larger time frame and indicating a bear market if we see a four-day candle close below approximately 56,000.
This would confirm a trend reversal pattern. For the market to continue, the price needs to remain above 56,000 and rebound from this level soon. This could potentially lead to the formation of a giant bull flag. However, if this pullback persists over the next few days and we see a four-day candle close below 56,000 in three days, it could signal the end of the bull market.
Thanks, like and follow if you like my updates!
Sell Gold (Xau/Usd) BreakoutThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 2430, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2385.50
2nd Support – 2358
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 2480. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
GOLD ( SENSITIVE WEEKLY ) (1D)XAUUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Fundamental : due to the fight in the middle east , gold prices complete instability .
Tendency, the price under bullish pressure , until trade below 2,427$ .
Upward Zone : In order to see an increase, as long as the price trade turning level at 2,427$, it indicates a reach of resistance levels (1) at 2,482$ , then as it stabilizes on the turning level we may see new resistance zones around 2,520$ and 2,560$ .
Downward Zone: by breaking turning level by open 1d candle below this level , it indicates a reach of the support level (1) at 2,364$, then stabilizing below this level is likely to reach the support level (2) at 2,297 .
Corrective Level :Price may make a correction at 2,427$ , before rising .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 2,482$ , 2,520$ , 2,560$ .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 2,364$ , 2,297$ .