Analysis
Sell EUR/CHF BreakoutThe EUR/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Wedge Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 0.9385
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.9350
2nd Support – 0.9330
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 0.9410. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Kumba Iron Ore Analysis 10/15/24DISCLOSURE: As of 10/15/24 I have no open positions in Kumba Iron Ore JSE: KIO
Introduction:
Kumba Iron Ore is a South African Iron Ore mining company. They operate 3 mines in South Africa, all of which are quality assets operating profitably at current Iron Ore prices. The second business segment is logistics, or the transport of minerals across South Africa and internationally.
Fundamentals:
Looking at the 3 mines and their average costs the company is profitable at any Iron Ore prices about $40/metric ton. Well below the current prices. The return on the company's assets is very high and debt is negligible. The mine's have a long runway of 20+ years before they are at risk of running dry. With a long runway, profitable mines, the company looks attractive on a fundamentals basis.
Iron Ore spot price:
Current Iron prices are around $100/metric ton. Iron being a commodity tied to the general economy could see a drop in an economic downturn. $50 Iron could be possible atleast in the short term with an upside of $200/metric ton in a good economic environment for Iron.
tradingeconomics.com
Valuations:
Kumba Iron Ore is currently trading at a P/CF and a P/E of 3.67 and 5.69 respectively. By both metrics the company is very cheap relative to the fundamentals. With a dividend yield of 11% easily covered by the company's cash flows Kumba Iron Ore looks very attractive for a long term investor bullish on Iron Ore.
If you enjoyed this report follow for more!
PM for consulting, portfolio analysis, and research requests.
Comcast Corporation Analysis 10/15/24Disclosure: As of 10/15 I am long Comcast Corporation NYSE: NASDAQ:CMCSA
Comcast is a media and telecom company. They have several business divisions including news, movies, and telecom services.
Looking at their business they own several well known brands like MSNBC, Sky News, Xfinity, and Universal Studios.
Fundamentals:
Looking at the fundamentals of the business it is very stable with return on equity in the teens for multiple economic cycles. Alongside stable margins, paying back shareholders through buybacks and dividends and the responsible usage of debt it appears management is doing a good job running the business.
This can be seen in the earnings and revenue growth over the years. Data going back to 2017 is remarkably stable in both revenue and earnings growth.
Valuations: Looking at the valuations at a P/E of 10 and a dividend/buyback yield of 4% that gives me the minimum 15% return I am looking for in a long term hold. This does not account for future growth.
Calculating for growth I would be happy to earn 18% annual on an investment at current prices. Of course this is just an estimate of the fair value for the company. But I would be still buying at any price below $50/share.
Conclusion:
As with most mature companies this investment should be thought of in a very long term compounding model for determining present value. Similar to in my NASDAQ:TROW analysis a holding period for mature companies should be as long as possible assuming the business is growing and doing well. This allows the earnings to compound and grow into perpetuity.
If you found this article useful follow for my previous research and new research coming out regularly.
PEPE’s Next Move: Anticipating a Correction Amidst OvervaluationIn the wake of the recent rally in BINANCE:BTCUSDT , BINANCE:1000PEPEUSDT.P has followed suit, joining the upward momentum and achieving fresh higher highs. Looking at historical patterns, it's plausible that we could witness a 10% retracement in the coming days, as corrections have been common following similar surges. Furthermore, we’ve been tracking a month-long upward trend where strategic pullbacks have consistently set the stage for new highs, reinforcing the potential for a short-term decline.
The current price action appears somewhat inflated, especially when considering key indicators such as the EMA200 and Bollinger Bands , both of which suggest overvaluation at this stage. With these confluences in mind, I foresee a potential move towards filling the imbalance that has been left behind by recent price spikes.
For this setup, I have identified two target profit zones:
TP1: 0.0100676
TP2: 0.0096963
To manage risk, the stop-loss is placed at 0.0112460, allowing for a balanced approach that accounts for market volatility while still capturing potential downside movement.
Sell EUR/USD Strong DollarThe EUR/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.0937, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0885
2nd Support – 1.0860
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.0960. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 15, 2024 EURUSDThe EUR/USD pair reached a new ten-week low on Monday, marking the start of the new trading week with another decline. The euro lost 0.25% against the dollar, breaching its 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) as a result of the dollar's strength and the euro's general weakening.
The latest results of the European Central Bank's (ECB) lending survey are scheduled for release on Tuesday, and investors will be monitoring for any indications regarding the overall health of the European banking sector this week.
The final European harmonised consumer price index (HICP) inflation data is scheduled for release on Thursday morning, but is unlikely to have a significant impact on market volatility as investors focus on the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting, where a 25-basis point interest rate cut is expected.
The next significant data release from the US is scheduled for Thursday, when US retail sales are expected to show a modest increase of 0.3% m/m in September, following a relatively subdued August reading of 0.1%.
Trade recommendation: Trading predominantly Sell orders from the current price level.
Sell GBP/USD Bearish ChannelThe GBP/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward Bearish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.3062. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2988
2nd Support – 1.2960
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.3090. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Today High Impact News :
GBP - GDP, Trade Balance
EUR - German CPI
USD - PPI
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Sell XAU/USD (Gold) Channel FormationThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a Channel Formation pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 2650, This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2624
2nd Support – 2607
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 2668. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Bitcoin will exit from pennant and continue to fall to 59KHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. By observing the chart, we can see that the price some days ago entered to wedge, where it at once rebounded from the resistance line and fell to the support line, breaking the support level. After this movement, BTC started to grow and soon reached 57600, which coincided with the support area, broke it, and made a retest. Then it a little, after which made a correction to the support level and then made an impulse up to the resistance line of the wedge, which coincided with the 64000 level with the seller zone. Bitcoin some time traded near this level and later broke it, after which even exited from the wedge, but then it started to decline inside the downward pennant. Later price broke the 64000 level and dropped to the support line of the wedge, turned around and in a short time rose to the resistance level, but a not long time ago it turned around and fell to the support line. Now, the price trades near this line and I think it can rise a little and then continue to decline, thereby exiting from the pennant. For this case, I set my TP at 59000 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
HelenP. I Gold will make correction and then rebound up to $2700Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Some days ago price declined to support 2, which coincided with the support zone, and some time traded near this level, even falling to the support zone. Later XAU dropped to the trend line and then started to grow inside the pennant pattern, where it rebounded from the support zone and rose to support 1, which coincided with one more support zone. Soon, the price broke this level and even rose higher than the support zone, after which reached the resistance line of the pennant. But then, XAU turned around and started to decline. The price quickly declined to support 1, where it touched the trend line, after which Gold rebounded up and reached the resistance line of the pennant again. So, at the moment, I expect that XAUUSD will make a small correction movement, after which continue to move up. Price can exit from pennant as well, and then make retest, or at once continue to grow. That's why I set my goal at 2700 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
$Gold Market UpdateI’m currently watching a potential trap in the gold uptrend, and we just executed a perfect trade off the second retracement after a pullback. Given the rising tensions in the Middle East, there’s a strong possibility of a sharp surge in TVC:GOLD prices.
With Israel tightening its preparations for potential military action, markets may react with flight-to-safety sentiment, pushing gold prices higher. The overall trend remains bullish.
Happy Trading.
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 14, 2024 USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair is unable to capitalize on a modest rise in the Asian session or find support above 149.000 and is pulling back a few pips from the highest level since August 16 reached on Monday. Prices are dipping below 148.500, or a fresh daily low in the last hour, and for the moment appear to have broken the dollar's three-day winning streak, although the fundamental backdrop warrants caution from bearish traders.
Japan's Deputy Finance Minister for International Affairs Atsushi Mimura said that the government will keep an eye on currency movements, including speculative moves, fueling speculation of possible intervention. This, in turn, provides some support for the Japanese Yen (JPY) and attracts sellers to the USD/JPY pair. Meanwhile, the decreasing chances of another interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) in 2024 and a more aggressive easing policy from the Federal Reserve (Fed) should continue to serve as a tailwind for the currency pair.
Japan's new Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba stunned markets last week by stating that the economy is not ready for further rate hikes. In addition, political uncertainty ahead of the October 27 general election may keep JPY bulls on the sidelines. Meanwhile, good US jobs data for the month released on Friday led investors to further reduce bets on a massive Fed rate cut in November. This helped the US Dollar (USD) maintain its recent strong rise to a seven-week high and should serve as a tailwind for the USD/JPY pair.
This in turn suggests that any subsequent decline could still be seen as a buying opportunity, so it is prudent to wait for strong follow-through selling before confirming that the uptrend from a week ago has exhausted itself. As for further developments, there are no major economic data releases on Monday that could influence the market. Nevertheless, speeches by influential FOMC members may have an impact on the USD later in the North American session. In addition, geopolitical events should give a short-term impetus to the USD/JPY pair.
Trading recommendation: Trade mainly with Buy orders from the current price level.
Sell GBP/USD Triangle Breakout The GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.3055
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2988
2nd Support – 1.2960
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Euraud likely can see more downsideHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Overall a bearish chart on the daily, now with the rejection as last R zone on daily, likely to see more downside on EA.
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
*********************************************************************
Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
*********************************************************************
EURUSD Daily previewFX:EURUSD
Here are the key levels from the perspective of the daily chart for the next week on EURUSD, which are important for me to trade, and at these levels I monitor Price Action and orderflow to confirm a market turn at the indicated SR levels or a breakout and continuation of the trend. If you want a more specific description or an explanation of my levels on the chart, please ask in the comments if you don't understand something and thanks for follow me :)
If you want more views on Forex, or other markets, or other time frames, please request it in the comments, until Sunday evening you will have my view of that market and its outlook for the next week here for free
Milan
Uber (UBER): What a ride!Uber (UBER): NYSE:UBER
We've recently added Uber to our portfolio, noting its astonishing 400% rise from the COVID-19 low of $13.71. This surge is significant, and we anticipate that in the current wave 3 we're experiencing, the price could reach between $101 and $201. The precise target seems to lean towards the $101 mark, aligning with the 161.8% extension level. Currently, the high is at $81.86. We expect a pullback in the coming days and weeks to between $59.40 and $52.46, corresponding to the 38.2% to 50% retracement levels.
There's a possibility of forming an Expanded Flat leading to wave 4, a pattern observed in waves 1 and 2, suggesting a potential deviation from the anticipated zigzag or other formations. Thus, surpassing the $81.86 mark would not be incorrect, provided it does not exceed the 138% threshold. Following this wave 4, we foresee the completion of wave 3 at a minimum of $101. A limit order will be placed at the first sign of weakness.
HelenP. I Bitcoin will small correct and then rise to trend lineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Some days ago, the price reached the trend line and at once rebounded and made a strong impulse down to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone. BTC some time traded inside this area and then dropped to the support level, breaking the 63600 level. Then price some time traded near the support level, and later declined to the support area, after which turned around and started to grow to the resistance level. In a short time, BTC rose to the 63600 level and even rose to the trend line, but then at once turned around and dropped back to the support level, making a fake breakout of the 63600 level. After this movement, the price turned around and started to grow, and now I expect that BTCUSDT will make small correction to the support level. Then it can turn around and start to move up to the trend line, therefore I set my goal at 63000 points, which coincided with this line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Gold can reach resistance line of channel and then start to fallHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price bounced from the support level and started to grow near the support line to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone. Soon, the price broke the 2665 level and rose a little higher, but soon turned around and started to decline inside the downward channel, where it broke the support line with the 2665 level again. Gold dropped to the support line of the channel and then made impulse up to the resistance level and then continued to fall. Also later, the price reached the resistance level again, after which rebounded and dropped to the support line of the downward channel, breaking the 2625 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. But a not long time ago it turned around and bounced up to this level, broke it again, and continued to move up. At the moment, Gold trades almost near the resistance line of the channel, so, I expect that it can reach the resistance line and then start to decline. Also, I think the price can break the support level and continue to fall, therefore I set my TP at 2615 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURO - Price can grow to resistance area and then continue fallHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price fell to resistance area, but soon broke $1.1005 resistance level and entered to flat.
In flat, price in a short time rose to $1.1175 level, which coincided with one more resistance area.
Also, EUR entered to this area, but soon turned around and made correction movement to $1.1005 level.
Then price made upward impulse resistance area, which coincided with top part of flat, but soon started to decline.
Euro made fake breakout of $1.1175 level and fell near resistance line, exiting from flat and breaking $1.1005 level too.
In my mind, price can grow to resistance area and then it bounce down to $1.0850
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️