XRP: Poised at the Edge of Momentum – What's Next?The cryptocurrency market never sleeps, and XRP is the perfect reflection of this restless spirit. Currently trading at $2.8295, XRP finds itself teetering on the brink of a crucial breakout, with just a 2.9% gap from its all-time high of $2.9138, achieved 43 days ago. The question on every trader's mind: is this the moment of ignition, or will the asset take a breather?
Recent patterns highlight a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) patterns reveal the persistence of increased buy volumes, though intermittent sell-offs indicate a battle for control. From a technical perspective, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 74.95, signaling that XRP is flirting with overbought territory. Yet, this could either confirm a surge or warn of an impending pullback.
Fundamentally, Ripple’s ongoing legal clarity and the adoption of RLUSD stablecoin are boosting market confidence. Combined with the upward trend supported by key moving averages—MA50 at $2.5597 and MA100 at $2.5201—XRP could be primed for its next big leap.
Your Move: XRP's future is a coin flip between testing its psychological barriers at $3.00 and retracing to stronger support at $2.66. Are you ready to seize the opportunity as XRP prepares to define its next chapter? Stay tuned, as the market reveals its hand.
XRP Tradingmap: Patterns in Motion
Step 1: The Build-Up Begins - Buy Volumes Max (01:00 UTC)
The sequence kicks off with the "Buy Volumes Max" pattern. At this point, the price opened at $2.6765 and closed higher at $2.7918, signaling strong buying momentum. The main_direction was bullish, validated by the immediate follow-up pattern. This set the stage for the next price action.
Step 2: Rally Confirmed - Increased Buy Volumes (02:00 UTC)
True to the bullish call of the previous pattern, the price climbed further, opening at $2.7918 and closing higher at $2.8474. This confirms the integrity of the earlier pattern and keeps the bullish sentiment alive. Trigger points were respected as prices didn’t dip below the lows of the previous three bars ($2.6383). Confidence grows as buyers continue to dominate.
Step 3: Profit-Taking Warning - VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern (03:00 UTC)
Here comes a shift. The market signals caution with a "VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern." Despite opening high at $2.8474, the price closed lower at $2.8304. The main_direction flipped bearish, and this was confirmed as the subsequent pattern saw a slight price drop. Traders who spotted this sell signal had a chance to lock in gains before the retracement deepened.
Step 4: Brief Reprieve - Increased Buy Volumes (17:00 UTC)
Bulls briefly regained control, as prices opened at $2.6146 and closed higher at $2.6553. However, the movement lacked the strength seen in earlier buy patterns. While the main_direction of this pattern was bullish, subsequent price action indicates that this bounce was fleeting—a classic bull trap for unprepared traders.
Step 5: The Market Takes a Turn - VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern (19:00 UTC)
The sell-off resumes with another VSA sell pattern. The price slid lower, respecting the bearish direction outlined earlier. Opening at $2.682 and closing at $2.6626, this pattern further solidified bearish control. Trigger points were cleanly activated as prices failed to regain previous highs, providing traders with an opportunity to ride the downtrend.
Step 6: Strategy Reset - The Bigger Picture Emerges
The sequence highlighted above demonstrates the power of reading patterns within a cohesive framework. Early buy signals paved the way for strong upward momentum, but the subsequent sell patterns hinted at deeper corrections. By following the roadmap, investors could have avoided traps and maximized profits during the transition from bullish to bearish phases.
What’s Next?
XRP’s roadmap reveals its inherent volatility. Each pattern offers insight into market behavior, but success comes from aligning these signals with a broader strategy. Stay tuned for the next move—will bulls or bears take the crown?
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
Support Levels:
$2.6666 – First line of defense. If this level doesn’t hold, it’s likely to flip into resistance, attracting sellers like bees to honey.
$2.5783 – A deeper support level where buyers might regroup. If broken, expect it to act as a ceiling for any bounces.
$2.2748 – Critical zone for bulls to keep control. If this level is lost, momentum shifts decisively in favor of the bears.
$2.1349 – The market’s last-ditch effort to keep things afloat. Failure here could open the floodgates.
$1.9667 – A psychological barrier where value hunters might step in. But remember, if it cracks, it’s a wall on the way up.
Resistance Levels:
While the chart doesn’t scream significant resistance levels, any failed support will naturally transform into tough barriers for a comeback rally.
Powerful Resistance Levels:
$1.1047 – A long-term level where sellers are likely to dig in their heels. Watch for strong rejections here.
$0.5538 – Key zone for the long game. If this level is reached and rejected, the bears could strengthen their grip.
$0.5032 – An area that will attract big players if prices retrace this far. Keep an eye on the price action here.
$0.3646 – The fortress of resistance. If bulls manage to breach this, it’s a signal of a major shift in market sentiment.
Trading Strategies Using Rays: A Path Through the Fibonacci Framework
Concept of Rays
The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" approach is a unique method that applies Fibonacci-based geometric principles to map the dynamics of price movement. These rays act as predictive tools, marking zones where significant price interactions occur—either signaling a continuation or a reversal. By focusing on interactions with these rays, traders can better gauge probabilities without attempting to pinpoint exact levels in a nonlinear financial system.
How Rays Work
Fibonacci Rays: Constructed at mathematically significant angles starting from the initial movement, not extremum points. This increases accuracy in trending or corrective phases.
Dynamic Levels: These rays adapt to new patterns, automatically updating ranges for potential price movements.
Moving Averages as Dynamic Factors: Key levels align with Moving Averages (MA50, MA100, MA200), providing strong zones of interaction.
Ascending and Descending Rays: These define movement boundaries, marking pathways for price to travel from one ray to another.
Optimistic Scenario
Entry Point: Interaction with a descending ray around $2.6666 (support). If the price bounces above this ray and confirms with a close above MA50 at $2.5597, the movement could head upward.
Target 1: $2.8295 – Interaction with the next ray above creates an opportunity to scale out partial profits.
Target 2: $2.9138 – Absolute high from recent history; a breakout here could extend gains toward higher Fibonacci levels.
Dynamic Factors: If RSI remains above 70 while interacting with ascending rays, the bullish scenario strengthens.
Pessimistic Scenario
Entry Point: Price interaction with an ascending ray near $2.6666, but fails to close above MA50, confirming bearish sentiment.
Target 1: $2.5783 – Initial support zone becomes the first profit target in the downtrend.
Target 2: $2.2748 – Second ray below and the next potential reaction level for a partial exit.
Target 3: $2.1349 – A critical area where price may consolidate or reverse.
Dynamic Factors: Watch for Moving Averages flipping into resistance zones, confirming further downward pressure.
Trade Ideas Using Rays
Long Trade from $2.6666 to $2.8295: Enter long when price interacts with the ray at $2.6666, confirming with a bullish close above MA50. Scale out at $2.8295, targeting the upper ray.
Short Trade from $2.6666 to $2.5783: Enter short if price interacts with $2.6666 but fails to break above MA50. Target $2.5783 for a clean exit at the next ray.
Breakout Trade above $2.9138: Go long if price cleanly breaks $2.9138, with a tight stop below the breakout candle. Use dynamic Fibonacci rays to set extended targets.
Reversal Trade at $2.1349: A bounce off the $2.1349 ray could signal a countertrend move. Enter with confirmation from price closing above MA200, targeting $2.2748.
Trading is all about finding those key levels where the magic happens, and now it's your chance to engage. Have questions about the analysis? Drop them right in the comments—I’m here to discuss, clarify, and brainstorm with you!
Found this idea helpful? Don’t forget to hit Boost and save it for later so you can track how price moves along the rays. Observing these levels in real-time will not only sharpen your skills but also deepen your understanding of how market dynamics work.
Curious about my indicator? The strategy you see here, drawing all the rays and levels automatically, is part of a private setup. If you’re interested in using it, feel free to reach out to me via direct message—I’ll explain how we can make that happen.
Need a custom analysis for your favorite asset? Whether you want it shared publicly or kept private for your eyes only, I’m open to discussing options. Just let me know in the comments or via DM, and I’ll do my best to help.
Remember, these rays work across all assets, and the price often respects them like clockwork. If you want me to mark up specific assets for you, write in the comments and don’t forget to hit Boost. I’ll tackle requests as time permits.
Finally, make sure to follow me here on TradingView for more in-depth ideas and strategies. This is where I share all my updates, and I’d love to have you as part of my trading community.
Let’s trade smarter together! 🚀
Analysis
Bitcoin Inches Closer to Breaking Point: What’s Next?Bitcoin Faces a Decisive Moment: Will It Break Through?
Bitcoin is trading at 96,829.3, marking a 10.7% drop from its all-time high of 108,421.6, achieved just 29 days ago. Market indicators paint a mixed picture: RSI14 at 60.2 signals an approach to overbought territory, while MFI remains steady at 54.8, hinting at moderate market momentum. Adding to the tension, a VSA Sell Pattern 2 has emerged, suggesting a potential short-term pullback.
The critical levels to watch are 94,568 as support and 100,606 as resistance—key points that could determine the direction of Bitcoin’s next major move. Will the bulls regain control and push Bitcoin beyond its resistance, or will the bears drive a correction toward the lower support levels? The stakes are high, and today could set the stage for weeks to come. Are you ready to navigate this pivotal moment?
Bitcoin Pattern Roadmap: Key Moves and What They Mean
Understanding Bitcoin’s recent price movements through the lens of patterns provides traders with valuable insights into the market's rhythm. Below is a detailed roadmap based on the sequential analysis of VSA and volume-based patterns. Only the patterns that correctly confirmed their trigger points and main directions are included to give you a focused view of the market’s true behavior.
January 13, 2025 – VSA Sell Pattern 2 : This sell pattern emerged with a main direction of downward pressure, starting from an open of 97,150.0 and closing at 96,655.5. The next price action confirmed the bearish sentiment as the market continued to dip, validating this signal.
January 13, 2025 – Increased Buy Volumes : Just hours later, buy volumes spiked, signaling potential recovery. The open at 91,080.9 led to a close of 91,784.8, and this bullish momentum carried through the following session, reinforcing confidence in this pattern’s accuracy.
January 13, 2025 – Sell Volumes Takeover : Although the main direction suggested bullish activity, this pattern didn’t fully validate, as subsequent candles demonstrated indecision. This indicates it might have been a false signal.
January 12, 2025 – VSA Buy Pattern 1 : This key pattern predicted upward momentum with an open at 93,862.8 and a close at 93,973.9. Its main direction played out as expected, with prices climbing steadily in subsequent bars, cementing its effectiveness.
January 11, 2025 – VSA Buy Pattern 3 : Marking another bullish signal, this pattern triggered upward movement from 94,024.2 to 94,323.5. The continuation of this trend confirmed it as a reliable forecast for the short term.
What Does This Mean for Traders?
Each pattern, when validated by subsequent price action, adds to the roadmap of Bitcoin’s trajectory. The market’s consistent respect for key support and resistance levels underscores the reliability of technical patterns. Use this roadmap to position yourself strategically, keeping an eye on similar setups to anticipate the next big move. Are you ready to align with the market’s flow?
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Support and Resistance Levels
When it comes to Bitcoin, traders know the game revolves around critical support and resistance zones. These levels act as battle lines between bulls and bears, determining the market’s next big move. Let’s break them down:
Support Levels:
94,568 – A short-term safety net; losing this could bring the price closer to bearish territory.
Resistance Levels:
100,606 – The immediate hurdle for bulls; cracking this will likely spark another rally.
106,064.7 – A critical zone, closely tied to Bitcoin’s previous highs.
Powerful Support Levels:
76,701.7 – A major fallback point for long-term bulls; losing this would signal deeper corrections.
67,838.7 – A heavy-duty level that has historically held strong.
60,295.6 – The last line of defense before bears fully take over.
Powerful Resistance Levels:
47,122.4 – A significant cap that has consistently rejected upward momentum in prior moves.
28,696.9 – The line in the sand for lower-range movements.
What Happens If Levels Break?
In trading, it’s all about respecting the levels. If these supports don’t hold, you can bet they’ll flip to resistance zones, making it harder for bulls to reclaim lost ground. Conversely, breaking through resistance means these levels often become strong floors, giving momentum traders something solid to lean on. Always keep an eye on these key points—they’re your roadmap to understanding where the action will heat up next.
Concept of Rays: Precision Trading with Dynamic Levels
The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" concept revolutionizes technical analysis by leveraging Fibonacci-based rays that dynamically adapt to market conditions. Unlike traditional methods, these rays are drawn from the origin of a movement pattern, allowing traders to anticipate price reactions with unmatched precision. Let’s dive into how this works and explore two trading scenarios for Bitcoin using data from the latest analysis.
Core Concept: Trading with Rays
Price interactions with rays signal high-probability zones for either reversals or continuations. These interactions, combined with moving averages and VSA patterns, create a powerful framework for identifying entry and exit points. The first movement usually extends from one ray to the next, offering defined profit targets at each level.
Two Scenarios for Trading Rays
Optimistic Scenario: Bitcoin breaks through resistance at 100,606 (MA50 intersection) after interacting with an ascending ray. This move could target the next ray and establish:
First target: 106,064.7 (Resistance Level).
Second target: A retest of the 108,421.6 all-time high.
If momentum sustains, price may form a new trend, requiring recalibration of rays to extend future targets.
Pessimistic Scenario: Bitcoin fails to hold support at 94,568 and interacts with a descending ray, initiating a deeper correction. Likely targets:
First target: 76,701.7 (Powerful Support Level).
Second target: 67,838.7, marking a significant bearish continuation zone.
In this case, descending rays will guide the market lower, adjusting with each corrective phase.
Trade Opportunities Based on Rays
Long Trade : Enter at 94,568 support after confirming interaction with an ascending ray and bullish VSA pattern. First target: 100,606; Second target: 106,064.7.
Short Trade : Enter below 94,568 after interaction with a descending ray and bearish VSA confirmation. First target: 76,701.7; Second target: 67,838.7.
Breakout Long : Position after a confirmed breakout above 100,606, targeting 106,064.7 as the next ray intersection.
Reversal Short : Look for rejection at 106,064.7 and enter a short trade, targeting a return to 100,606.
Key Insights for Traders
The power of rays lies in their adaptability. Whether in bullish or bearish conditions, rays dynamically update to reflect new patterns. Traders can confidently position themselves after price interaction with these rays, knowing that the movement will likely extend to the next ray. Each target is clearly defined, providing a structured path for managing risk and reward.
Combine these strategies with the VSA patterns visible on your charts to sharpen your execution and stay ahead of the market. Are you ready to trade with precision?
What’s Next? Let’s Talk and Trade Together
If you’ve got questions or want to dive deeper into this analysis, drop them in the comments below—I’m always happy to discuss and share insights. Don’t forget to give this post a Boost and save it to revisit later. Watching how the price respects the rays and levels is one of the best ways to truly understand trading and refine your strategy.
My proprietary indicator draws all the rays and levels automatically, but it’s available only privately. If you’re interested in using it, just send me a message—I’ll walk you through how it works. And yes, the same approach applies to any asset, not just Bitcoin. If there’s a particular market you’d like analyzed, let me know! Some analyses I can share openly, while others can be done privately, tailored to your needs.
Finally, if you’re curious about how price moves along these rays or want me to chart a specific asset for you, make sure to Boost this idea and share your request in the comments. I’ll do my best to cover as many as possible.
Follow me here on TradingView to stay updated—this is where I share my ideas and insights regularly. Let’s trade smarter, together!
Apple Inc. (AAPL) Comprehensive Market Analysis and StrategyGreetings traders and investors! Denis Mikheev here with an in-depth analysis of Apple Inc. (AAPL) using advanced tools from TheWaved™. Buckle up as we dive into the technical, fundamental, and price action analysis to forecast price movements and provide actionable trading strategies.
Current Market Overview
Apple’s current price stands at $235.43, approximately 9.48% below its absolute high of $260.10 reached on December 26, 2024. Despite this pullback, the stock shows strong resilience, supported by robust fundamentals and technical setups.
Support and Resistance Levels
Support Zones:
$228.75
$224.05
$217.13
Resistance Zones:
$237.05
$242.41
$244.67
Key Levels for Monitoring:
Powerful Resistance at $258.55
Critical Support at $217.55
Technical Indicators Analysis
Moving Averages (1-hour interval):
MA50: $238.39
MA100: $241.09
MA200: $247.59
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
1-hour RSI: 49.41 (neutral zone)
Daily RSI: 34.6 (oversold zone suggests potential reversal)
Volume Indicators:
MFI60 (Money Flow Index): 49.28 (neutral, no divergence noted).
Key Patterns and Historical Analysis
From recent pattern sequences:
January 13, 2025: Increased Sell Volumes with a 6.84% movement, indicating short-term bearish pressure.
January 10, 2025: Multiple “Sell Volumes Take Over” patterns with mixed buy and sell signals.
January 8, 2025: VSA Buy Pattern Extra suggests a medium-term bullish rebound pending confirmation.
These patterns align with a potential range-bound movement in the near term before a decisive breakout.
Price Action Analysis
Apple’s price action over the past week has formed a consolidative structure near key support levels. Observations include:
Lower highs and consistent testing of the $228.75 support.
A potential inverted head-and-shoulders pattern forming on the 1-hour chart, with a neckline at $237.05.
Price tightly correlates with the 50-day MA, suggesting a tug-of-war between bulls and bears.
Fundamental Insights
Apple’s upcoming quarterly results are projected to beat consensus estimates, driven by robust iPhone and service segment sales. Furthermore, macroeconomic conditions, such as softening interest rate hikes, could favor tech stocks in the medium term.
Trading Strategy
Short-Term Strategy:
Entry: Buy near $228.75 support level.
Stop Loss: $224.05 to minimize downside risk.
Targets:
$237.05
$242.41
Confirmation: Look for RSI divergence or a bullish engulfing candle.
Medium-Term Strategy:
Monitor breakout above $237.05 for long positions.
Resistance to Watch: $244.67 and $250.34.
Use trailing stops to secure profits.
Long-Term Strategy:
Accumulate near $217.13 if tested, considering its historical significance as a strong support level.
Target: $258.55 with a 6-12 month horizon.
Risk Management
Employ disciplined risk management:
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Maintain a minimum of 1:2.
Position Sizing: Limit exposure to 2% of your trading capital per trade.
Stop-Loss Placement: Use dynamic stop-loss levels based on ATR (Average True Range).
Market Outlook
1. Short-Term: Expect consolidation between $228.75 and $237.05, with potential for a breakout.
2. Medium-Term: A bullish continuation is likely if $242.41 resistance is cleared.
3. Long-Term: A test of the $258.55 resistance is probable, contingent on broader market sentiment.
Concept of Rays
Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept
Core Idea
My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns.
Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible
Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement.
How Rays Work
Fibonacci Rays: Each ray corresponds to a specific angle of inclination, which is mathematically significant and correlates with natural proportions and the start of movement.
Primary Advantage: Rays are constructed from the beginning of a movement pattern, rather than traditional extremum points commonly used in classical technical analysis. This allows for the rapid and accurate accounting of new trend or corrective movement phases.
Adaptability: When a new pattern emerges, rays are automatically adjusted to show the potential movement range. Price may exit this range and enter another, interacting similarly with a different ray.
Rays are Ascending and Descending: They define the boundary of the movement channel.
How to Use Rays
Historical Analysis: On historical charts, observe how price interacted with rays. This helps evaluate how often levels defined by rays led to significant movement changes.
Real-Time Monitoring: By observing current price behavior relative to rays, you can highlight key points where scenarios such as reversal or continuation are likely.
Confirmation Tool: Rays do not replace other analysis methods but enhance them, adding a structured perspective on market behavior.
Conclusion
Apple remains a solid investment with clear technical setups and a favorable long-term outlook. Utilizing TheWaved™ tools, we’ve pinpointed actionable strategies to navigate its price movements effectively. Remember to follow your trading plan and adapt to market conditions.
For any queries or further clarifications, feel free to reach out via direct messages. All our professional-grade indicators are accessible via the link in our profile. Let’s trade smarter, not harder!
Stay disciplined and trade safely,
Denis Mikheev
TheWaved™
GOOGLE INC. (NASDAQ: GOOG) ANALYSIS AND TRADING PLANWelcome to a detailed analysis of Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG). Using advanced analytical tools, including the proprietary TheWaved™ platform, this report dissects recent market behavior and provides actionable insights for traders and investors. Let’s explore the technical and fundamental dynamics of the stock and forecast future price movements with key support and resistance zones.
Overview of Current Market Position
Ticker: NASDAQ-GOOG
Current Price: $193.52
52-Week High: $202.88 (28 days ago)
52-Week Low: $83.45 (803 days ago)
Key Indicators:
RSI (14): 54.92 (neutral)
MFI (60): 41.67 (indicating low buying pressure)
Moving Averages (Daily):
MA50: $183.31
MA100: $173.39
MA200: $172.54
Technical Analysis
Support Levels:
187.16 | 185.08 | 181.41 | 176.09 | 173.53
Resistance Levels:
202.88 | 197.62 | 194.55
Moving Averages Insight:
The stock trades slightly below the MA50 and MA100 on the daily chart, indicating a potential bearish short-term outlook. However, the long-term trend remains intact as the price remains above MA200.
VSA Patterns:
Recent trading sessions highlighted critical Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) patterns:
Sell Volumes Max (2025-01-13 14:00 UTC): Increased sell volumes pushed prices down by 4.42%.
VSA Buy Pattern 3 (2025-01-13 10:00 UTC): Signals potential for a rebound after testing lower supports.
Trendline and Channel Analysis:
GOOG’s price action is constrained within an ascending channel since October 2024. The lower boundary aligns with the $188.00 support zone, while the upper resistance lies near $202.00.
Price Action Insight:
The recent lower highs and consistent rejection at $194.71 suggest a strong overhead supply zone. A break and close above $195.00 will be a decisive bullish trigger.
Key Oscillators:
RSI indicates no overbought/oversold condition, leaving room for directional moves.
Stochastic cross above 50 strengthens the probability of an upward trajectory.
Fundamental Analysis
Google continues to show robust performance driven by its advertising and cloud businesses. Recent developments include:
Q4 Earnings are expected to show a revenue growth of 11% YOY, boosted by robust ad demand and cloud service expansion.
Strong financial metrics: Cash reserves of $130 billion with minimal debt.
AI innovations: Google’s advancements in AI-based ad targeting offer a competitive edge over rivals.
Market sentiment: Increasing institutional accumulation as hedge funds position for long-term growth.
Forecast and Trading Plan
Short-Term Projection:
Price action indicates consolidation within $188.00-$195.00. Traders should monitor the $195.00 breakout level closely.
Medium-Term Projection:
Given the strength in fundamentals and supportive technicals, we anticipate an upward breakout, testing $202.88.
Long-Term Projection:
Once the stock decisively clears $202.88, a rally towards $215.00-$220.00 could unfold, aligning with the next Fibonacci extensions.
Trade Levels:
Entry: Buy at $188.00-$189.50 after confirmation of support.
Stop-Loss: Place at $185.00.
Take-Profit Targets:
Target 1: $195.00
Target 2: $202.88
Target 3: $215.00
Bearish Scenario:
A breakdown below $185.00 could accelerate selling pressure towards $176.00. In this scenario, adopt a defensive approach or short-term bearish bias.
Risk Management:
Maintain a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:3. Leverage smaller position sizes when trading near key support or resistance levels.
Conclusion
The technical and fundamental landscape for GOOG appears balanced, with bullish potential outweighing downside risks. Short-term traders can capitalize on the current consolidation phase, while long-term investors may find value in accumulating positions near support zones. Using TheWaved™’s advanced analytics, we’ll provide real-time updates as price action unfolds.
Concept of Rays
Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept
Core Idea
My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns.
Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible
Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement.
How Rays Work
Fibonacci Rays: Each ray corresponds to a specific angle of inclination, which is mathematically significant and correlates with natural proportions and the start of movement.
Primary Advantage: Rays are constructed from the beginning of a movement pattern, rather than traditional extremum points commonly used in classical technical analysis. This allows for the rapid and accurate accounting of new trend or corrective movement phases.
Adaptability: When a new pattern emerges, rays are automatically adjusted to show the potential movement range. Price may exit this range and enter another, interacting similarly with a different ray.
Rays are Ascending and Descending: They define the boundary of the movement channel.
If you have questions or need personalized analysis for other stocks, feel free to reach out in direct messages. All indicators and tools mentioned are available via our profile link.
Thank you for reading, and as always, trade safely and strategically!
Denis Mikheev - TheWaved™
Amazon Stock Analysis: Navigating the Path Between E-Commerce
Amazon Stock Analysis: Navigating the Path Between E-Commerce Strength and Market Volatility
Introduction
Hello, traders and investors! It’s Denis Mikheev from TheWaved™, here to deliver an in-depth analysis of Amazon’s stock (NASDAQ: AMZN). With the help of our premium tools and techniques, we’re diving deep into technical, VSA, and fundamental analysis to uncover the best strategies for the upcoming market movements. Let’s break down what’s happening with AMZN and set clear targets for trading this powerhouse of e-commerce.
Recent Performance and Market Context
Amazon’s current price sits at $219.27, with a noticeable decline from its 2024 absolute high of $233. This 5.89% drop aligns with recent sell-offs driven by macroeconomic headwinds and profit-taking from the December highs.
The stock is trading in a consolidation phase, sitting between strong support zones at $214.99 and $209.11 and resistance levels at $223 and $228. With the broader NASDAQ index displaying mixed momentum, Amazon remains a critical stock to watch.
Support Levels:
-
1. 214.99
2. 209.11
3. 198.78
4. 182.62
5. 177.95
Resistance Levels:
-
1. 214.99
2. 209.11
3. 198.78
4. 182.62
5. 177.95
Powerful Resistance Levels:
-
1. 180.095
2. 151.49
3. 116.04
4. 87.57
Technical Analysis: Key Levels and Trends
Support Levels: 214.99, 209.11, 198.78
Resistance Levels: 223.00, 228.00, 233.00
Key Moving Averages:
- MA50 (Hourly): 220.01
- MA200 (Hourly): 223.16
RSI Insights: The RSI-14 currently reads 52.91, indicating a neutral market condition but leaning towards bullish potential on strong volume signals.
These technical indicators suggest price consolidation, but with bullish potential as the RSI edges upward and MA200 looms as a key dynamic resistance level.
Volume Spread Analysis (VSA): Detecting Market Intentions
Analyzing VSA patterns from recent trading sessions reveals mixed signals. A notable “Buy Volumes Take Over” pattern on January 10 suggested short-term buying strength, but was quickly followed by a reversal due to increased sell volumes. This signals that smart money may be accumulating positions before a larger move.
Price Action and Patterns
On January 6, a strong “Buy Volumes Max” pattern indicated bullish intentions, but resistance at $228.23 capped further growth.
On January 7, a “VSA Sell Pattern 3rd” hinted at a bearish reversal, driving prices back to support levels.
Key takeaway: The interaction between support at $214.99 and resistance at $223 will be pivotal in determining the next directional breakout.
Fundamental Factors to Watch
Amazon’s fundamentals remain strong, with steady revenue growth driven by AWS (cloud services) and robust e-commerce performance during the holiday season. However, rising interest rates and inflationary pressures continue to dampen consumer spending and could act as a headwind.
Trading Plan: Targets and Stop-Loss Levels
Based on the current setup, here’s a practical trading roadmap:
Short-Term Bullish Scenario:
Entry: Above $223 after confirmation of a breakout.
Targets: $228, $233.
Stop-Loss: $220.
Bearish Alternative:
Entry: Below $214 with strong bearish candles.
Targets: $209, $198.78.
Stop-Loss: $217.
Forecast: Where Are We Headed?
In the short term, Amazon is poised for a potential bullish breakout if it clears resistance at $223. However, caution is warranted if macroeconomic conditions shift. Our long-term view remains cautiously optimistic, with a forecast targeting $240+ by Q2 2025 as the broader market stabilizes.
Conclusion and Call to Action
This analysis is powered by TheWaved™, utilizing advanced tools and methodologies. If you have any questions or want a deeper dive into our methods, feel free to reach out via direct messages. Remember, all the professional indicators and insights are available in the profile header. Follow for more ideas, and let’s trade smarter, not harder!
Concept of Rays
Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept
Core Idea
My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns.
Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible
Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement.
Stay sharp, trade safe, and may the markets favor your strategy!
Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) Comprehensive AnalysisOverview
Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) has been a focal point of market activity, showcasing significant volatility and creating substantial opportunities for both short-term traders and long-term investors. The current price is $411.58, with the stock trading below its absolute high of $488.54 recorded on December 18, 2024. This represents a deviation of approximately -15.75% from the peak. This technical and fundamental analysis will leverage advanced tools, including VSA patterns, price action analysis, and volume dynamics, to project future movements.
Technical Analysis
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Support Levels: $383.30, $376.04, $358.62.
Resistance Levels: $420.00, $430.50, $448.00.
Moving Averages
MA50: $394.08
MA100: $397.55
MA200: $413.63
The price currently trades above the MA50 but below the MA200, suggesting consolidation within a broader bullish trend. The RSI (14) at 70.76 signals overbought conditions on shorter intervals, necessitating caution for immediate buy entrie.
Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) and Patterns
Recent trading data reveals patterns indicative of institutional activity:
Buy Volumes (Jan 13): Closing at $391.96 with increased buying pressure, marking a 14.61% movement from its three-bar low of $380.07.
VSA Manipulation Patterns: A confirmed "Buy Pattern 3" formed on January 13, showcasing a potential bullish continuation with a high of $396.95.
Predicted Scenarios
Short-Term (1 Week):
Tesla appears poised to test its $420 resistance level based on bullish volume patterns. A break above $420 with significant volume could target $430 as the next level of interest. However, failure to breach $420 may result in a retracement to $400-$405 support.
Medium-Term (1 Month):
Given the observed bullish manipulation patterns and technical support at $383, Tesla may aim for a recovery toward its MA200 at $413. If sustained buying interest persists, the stock might challenge its December highs.
Long-Term (3-6 Months):
Tesla’s trajectory could see it revisiting the $450-$470 range, contingent upon macroeconomic conditions and its quarterly earnings surpassing market expectations. The psychological level of $500 remains a potential long-term target if the broader market maintains bullish momentum.
Stop-Loss and Target Levels
Proposed Trade Setup:
Entry: $412.00
Stop-Loss: $400.00
Target 1: $420.00
Target 2: $435.00
Target 3: $450.00
Fundamental Analysis
Tesla remains a key player in the EV market, with growing adoption of its vehicles worldwide. Its latest production numbers exceeded market expectations, signaling robust demand despite economic headwinds. Recent initiatives in energy storage and AI-based technology further diversify its revenue streams, underpinning its premium valuation.
Conclusion
Tesla's technical and fundamental indicators suggest a cautiously bullish outlook. While short-term retracements are possible, the stock's overall trend aligns with upward momentum, supported by strong institutional interest and robust fundamentals.
For further inquiries or personalized trading setups, feel free to contact me directly. All relevant indicators and tools used for this analysis can be found in the profile header.
Concept of Rays
Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept
Core Idea
My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns.
Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible
Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement.
How Rays Work
Fibonacci Rays: Each ray corresponds to a specific angle of inclination, which is mathematically significant and correlates with natural proportions and the start of movement.
Primary Advantage: Rays are constructed from the beginning of a movement pattern, rather than traditional extremum points commonly used in classical technical analysis. This allows for the rapid and accurate accounting of new trend or corrective movement phases.
Adaptability: When a new pattern emerges, rays are automatically adjusted to show the potential movement range. Price may exit this range and enter another, interacting similarly with a different ray.
Rays are Ascending and Descending: They define the boundary of the movement channel.
How to Use Rays
Historical Analysis: On historical charts, observe how price interacted with rays. This helps evaluate how often levels defined by rays led to significant movement changes.
Real-Time Monitoring: By observing current price behavior relative to rays, you can highlight key points where scenarios such as reversal or continuation are likely.
Confirmation Tool: Rays do not replace other analysis methods but enhance them, adding a structured perspective on market behavior.
Scientific Basis
Fibonacci proportions, underlying the construction of rays, are observed in nature, physics, and financial markets, making them a universal tool.
Geometric angles and trends are based on mathematical analysis of historical price behavior.
The principle of minimizing subjectivity in analysis is also applied: rays are constructed strictly algorithmically, excluding human bias.
Why It Matters
My name is Denis Mikheev, and my method does not offer magical solutions or "predictions" of exact price movements. Instead, it identifies key interaction zones where market participants, as well as automated market-maker algorithms, are likely to make decisions. This allows you to act based on probabilities, not guesses.
Example Visualization
On a chart with rays already constructed, you can see:
How price reacts to intersections or proximity to rays.
Where current interaction points may signal potential changes in movement dynamics.
Trade Safe!
Denis MikheevTheWaved™ Team
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 14, 2025 GBPUSDGBP/USD faltered as markets changed their expectations for interest rates before the end of the year, sending the pair to fresh 15-month lows and breaking through 1.2100, but then ended trading near the 1.2230 starting point.
It has been a quiet start to the week, but more inflation data from both the US and the UK will give traders plenty of material to ponder as they try to determine the first quarter rate differential forecast. The Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to keep interest rates steady for the first half of the year, while the Bank of England (BoE) will have to choose between keeping interest rates stable in a still-high inflation environment and risking an inflationary spike to support the floundering UK economy with further rate cuts.
Tuesday's significant data of the week will start with the US Producer Price Index (PPI), which is expected to rise to 3.7% y/y in December from the previous reading of 3.4%. Wednesday will see the release of UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation, which is also expected to accelerate in the near term, with a rise to 0.4% m/m versus the previous reading of 0.1%.
US CPI inflation, also out on Wednesday, is forecast to rise to 2.8% from 2.7%, US retail sales data is expected on Thursday and UK retail sales round out the list of important data this week.
Trading recommendation: Watching the level of 1.2150, trading mainly with Sell orders
GBP/USD Channel BreakoutThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2365
2nd Support – 1.2460
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AUD/USD Analysis, Key Points, and Trading PlanKey Points:
Strong Support/Resistance: .63000
1 Hour Breakthrough & Retest Point: .61800
Next Target: .60000
AU is overall bearish in a trading range of .63000-.60000
We can potentially see a retest to .61800 before seeing more bearish momentum.
I will keep you updated on new information given throughout the week.
LONG GBP/GPY!Here is my current idea on GBP JPY for this week/month.
Price has already bounced off the .618 level and unless I see new market structure being formed on the MTF (4HR etc) i will continue to believe price will reach the .705 fib level.
If not I will update the chart and find a long position.
As seen from the chart, I have 3 targets in place for this bullish idea, and I will need to see a close above 194.2 to validate it.
Inflation rate news also coming on the 15th which could explain the bleeding of all GBP pairs last week and we are already near 'priced in' levels. But I will be cautious and leave an update on my thought process when it happens.
Thanks if you took the time to read and good luck.
Tensorium (TNSR) - AI token of the future? As presented in my first analysis, there is now an update on Tensorium (TNSR)
The AI token that has a particularly high potential due to what is behind it.
As mentioned, technical analysis of a token with a low Mcap is difficult due to the relatively small number of traders and the influence of bots.
Nevertheless, a symmetrical triangle is forming on the daily chart. This formation has a measured target of approx. 0.025$
So I definitely want to be there when it breaks out, the increasing volume and the large number of traders that this breakout attracts can lead to extremely high momentum.
The yellow boundary lines are set to close, which is usually much more meaningful than high/high or low/low lines.
XAGUSD - Short SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels.
In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level lower, this indicates on probable distribution Wyckoff range.
But to take more statistically probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and in this case we can notice sign of weakness (reaching the middle of the range), so potentially there is a higher probability to see price lower.
Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 13, 2025 EURUSDData from the US Bureau of Labour Statistics (BLS) released on Friday reported that non-farm payroll employment (NFP) rose by 256k in December, exceeding market expectations of 160k and beating the revised November figure of 212k (previously reported at 227k).
The unemployment rate fell to 4.1% in December from 4.2% in November. Annual wage inflation, as measured by the change in average hourly earnings, fell slightly to 3.9% from 4%.
US labour market data for December is likely to reinforce the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) stance on keeping interest rates unchanged in January, which will support the dollar against other currencies. Markets expect the Fed to keep the benchmark overnight interest rate in the range of 4.25%-4.50% at its 28-29 January meeting.
In addition, traders expect four interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank (ECB), which are expected to occur at each meeting through the summer. ECB policymakers seem to be comfortable with these expectations as inflationary pressures in the Eurozone remain largely under control.
The head of the ECB and the Bank of France said that interest rates will continue to move towards a neutral rate ‘without slowing down by the summer’ if upcoming data confirm that ‘the pullback in price pressures does not remain in place’.
Trade recommendation: Trading mainly with Sell orders from the current price level.
NVO LongNovo Nordisk, a global leader in diabetes and obesity treatments, has traditionally maintained a solid financial standing with strong revenue growth, impressive profitability, and a robust pipeline of new treatments. However, the company has recently faced a significant dip in its stock price, largely due to market concerns related to its obesity treatment segment. While these concerns may reflect short-term volatility or market uncertainty, it’s important to recognize that the company's underlying fundamentals remain strong.
When evaluating the company through the lens of intrinsic value indicators—such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratios, and projected growth rates—Novo Nordisk appears to be trading at a favorable price relative to its long-term growth potential. This suggests that, despite the recent drop in stock price, the company’s shares may be undervalued, offering a potentially attractive entry point for investors who are willing to take a long-term view.
In the long run, the obesity treatment market is expected to grow, and Novo Nordisk’s leadership in this space, along with its diversified portfolio and innovation-driven strategy, could well position it to benefit from future market developments. Therefore, the current stock price may present a buying opportunity for those who believe in the company’s continued strength and market leadership.
#DYOR
HelenP. I Euro can rebound from trend line and continue to fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. If we look at the char we can see how the price reached the trend line and then at once dropped to resistance 2, which coincided with the resistance zone. Later price broke resistance 2 and the nsome time traded below this level, after which declined to resistance 1. But then the Euro made impulse up to resistance 2, making a gap, after which continued to trades near resistance 2. When the price reached the trend line, it started to decline near this line and later declined to resistance 1, after which turned around and in a short time rose to the trend line, after which dropped below resistance 1, breaking it too. But soon, the Euro turned around and tried to back up, and failed, after which continued to fall near the trend line. For this case, I expect that EURUSD will rise to the trend line and then continue to decline next. That's why I set my goal at 1.01 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Gold can exit from wedge and rebound down from resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. By observing the chart, we can see that the price entered to downward wedge, where it at once started to decline and soon reached a resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and broke it. Next, the price continued to fall and later declined to support line of the wedge, breaking the support level as well. But when Gold touched the support line, it at once made a strong impulse up to the seller zone, breaking the support level one more time. Then price little grew higher than the seller zone, after which it turned around and made a correction to the support level, breaking the 2690 level one more time. After this, Gold some time traded near the support level and then backed up to the seller zone rose higher than this area again, and then rebounded down to the support line of the wedge. Then price turned around and started to grow and in a short time rose almost to the resistance line of the wedge. So, in my opinion, Gold can exit from the wedge, reach resistance level, and then start to decline. For this reason, I set my TP at 2620 points, which coincides with the support line of the wedge. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD D1 BEARISH, RETURN TO PARITY ?Lot of confluence factors indicate that EUR is going to give way to USD
COT Delta = black line dropping hard, Institutions are heavily short
YIELD Differential = green/red line, nosedive lower
LIQUIDITY Differential = orange line = FED more restrictive than ECB ?
GAPS = Next Weekly gap is 150 pips lower @ 1.01 = Yearly S1
PIVOTS = Price below Yearly PP, heading for Yearly S1 @ 1.0050 = GAP Low
FUNDAMENTALS = USD beats EUR on pretty much all metrics
ECONOMICS = Germany, the EU-powerhouse, in multi-year recession
POLITICS = Trust is fading, most EU-countries (will) vote for change
Looking for a drop in price to 1.01, probably return to parity before spring
HelenP. I Bitcoin can correct to trend line and then rebound upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. In this chart, we can see how the price rose to the trend line and then turned around and dropped to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone. After this, the price tried to grow but failed and broke the 101000 level and continued to fall to the support level, which coincided with the support zone, and when BTC reached this level, it at once rebounded up. Then price turned around and made a correction movement to the support level, after which repeated movement up to almost the resistance level. Next, Bitcoin made a correction to the 93200 support level again and even entered to support zone, but soon turned around and rebounded up to the trend line. When the price reached this line, it broke it and made a retest, after which continued to grow to a resistance zone. So, when BTC entered to resistance area, it turned around and at once dropped to the trend line, breaking the resistance level one more time. Just now, the price trades near the support level and I expect that BTCUSDT will correct to the trend line and then start to grow. For this case, I set my goal at 97000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
EUR/USD Bearish PennantThe EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Pennant pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0242
2nd Support – 1.0205
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Gas panic in Europe: reserves depleting at record paceEurope is facing unprecedented depletion of gas reserves due to cold weather and technical challenges. According to EU gas storage data, storage levels have fallen to 70%, significantly lower than last year’s 86%. Analysts note that this situation is unique in the last seven years.
Adding to the strain, Norway’s Hammerfest plant, which supplies liquefied natural gas (LNG), has halted operations due to compressor issues. This suspension intensifies pressure on the gas market, especially in light of the cessation of Russian gas transit through Ukraine.
The European gas market is set for potential price increases in the coming months. Current storage challenges and reduced supply volumes heighten the likelihood of price hikes, particularly if the cold weather persists. Additionally, the reduction in Russian gas supplies forces the EU to compete more aggressively for LNG on the global market.
Advantages of investing in #GAS in 2025:
Rising energy demand: Increased gas consumption during the winter and limited supply create conditions for sustained price growth. Investing in #GAS could yield high returns during the current energy crisis.
Global LNG competition: Europe and Asia are actively competing for access to LNG. This boosts market liquidity and enhances its appeal to traders and investors.
Inflation hedge: Energy resources, including gas, are a traditional way to protect investments from inflation risks.
Transition to LNG: As part of supply diversification, Europe is increasing the share of LNG in its energy mix, supporting demand for gas futures.
High volatility: Significant price fluctuations present possibilities for short-term profits, particularly amidst geopolitical instability and weather anomalies.
Analysts at FreshForex believe that 2025 is the ideal time to invest in #GAS! Limited reserves, high demand, and volatility create perfect conditions for substantial profits. Don’t miss the chance to capitalize on the year’s leading energy resource!
#Ethereum Alert: Breakout Ahead!🚀 #Ethereum Chart Analysis: Potential Breakout Ahead!
Take a look at the symmetrical triangle forming on the CRYPTOCAP:ETH chart.
The price is consolidating within converging trendlines, signalling a potential breakout on the horizon.
🔥 Key Levels to Watch:
Support: ~$3,200
Resistance: ~$3,500
With the current price action, we could be approaching a decisive move. The big question: Will CRYPTOCAP:ETH break upwards or downwards? 🤔
Whatever CRYPTOCAP:ETH does, most of the #alts will follow.
Stay sharp, traders! Watch for volume spikes and confirmation before making moves.
Let us know your predictions below! 👇
DYOR. NFA
#Crypto