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Fundamental Market Analysis for July 29, 2024 GBPUSDThe Pound-Dollar pair is trading on a stronger note around 1.28750 in the early hours of European trading on Monday. The dollar's decline amid hopes of an interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) in September is providing some support to the major pair. The US Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision will be published on Wednesday, no changes in the rate are expected. Most analysts and traders expect the Fed to leave the interest rate unchanged at its next meeting on Wednesday. The U.S. Federal Reserve may signal this week that an interest rate cut is around the corner, although many expect it to hold rates steady until its next rate decision in September. Investors now see the first rate cut coming by mid-September, estimating a 100% Fed rate cut of at least a quarter percentage point by then, according to CME FedWatch Tool data. Traders will also be watching the FOMC press conference closely for new stimulus. A dovish FOMC tone could undermine the US Dollar and create a tailwind for GBP/USD. As for the British Pound, the Bank of England may cut interest rates at its August meeting on Thursday, which would be the first rate cut since 2020. Markets are predicting a 50% probability of a quarter-point rate cut on Thursday, although opinions are divided on whether the cut will happen now or at the next meeting in September. Trading recommendation: Trade in the 1.28400-1.28850 channel on a bounce from the levels.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Positive Outlook for Polkadot (DOT) PriceDespite the drop in Polkadot (DOT) price earlier this month, investors remain optimistic about this cryptocurrency and continue to invest in it. The steady increase in capital inflows since mid-month indicates growing interest and confidence in the Polkadot project. These factors suggest a strong belief in the project's potential, which could lead to sustainable price growth in the future. To confirm a real upward trend, Polkadot needs to break out of the current range between $5.5 and $6.5. If this happens, the price could reach $7.2 and $8.3. The current range is suitable for entry, with a stop-loss for this analysis being a daily candle closing below $5.5.
Long
by Cryptowormshot
4
Silver likely more downside to come...Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. Looking at the chart.it seems more bearish than bull, likely looking for pullback to short. Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
FX_IDC:XAGUSDShort
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
Usd potential reversal?Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. Gonna be neutral for USD this week, wanting to see how the price action plays out with the avalanche of news coming out . Let's watch and play along. I do see a potential turn here. Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
TVC:DXY
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
In-Depth Gold Analysis: Market Trends,Price Targets,Key PatternsHello everyone, I would like to share my perspective on gold. Personally, I believe that gold will retest the 2405 to 2415 levels, and then it will start to decline to the first target of 2350, followed by the second target of 2320, and finally the third and final target of 2290. Especially since gold has formed a high(2484) and a lower higher(2431), then broke below the low of the last high it formed(MSS). It is now returning to test the FVG it left behind at the levels of 2405 to 2415. Classically, it is trading within a channel inside another price channel, with its peak approximately at the 2407 level. I expect it to rise to this peak and break through it to draw liquidity up to 2415, and then decline to the levels I mentioned earlier. We can also observe the head and shoulders pattern that has formed, remaining stable below it, with a target of 2290.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by tameraamr
BTC.........Is it Accumulation or Distribution?????Price is with a range from 72k to 58k, with price pushing lower and trading within the 66k lvl. With the FED holding rates at 5.50% and signaling that it may hold rates at current lvls for longer, it is hitting the crypto market. There is a lot of self-fulling prophecy out there about when the FED will cut rates, with some looking at the timeframe being in September. There is a FED rate decision in July which could set the stage for the September Rate Decision. Before then, the FOMC Minutes will be coming out, along with another NFP and inflation rate reading. With traders and investors wanting to see some reprieve and a stronger FED Dot Plot pointing at 2 or more rate hikes for the year, a lower printing on the NFP and inflation and a slowing economy, will give some cheer to the market and push BTC higher. But on the other side, strong economic printing and inflation stagnating and staying where it is at or rising, will likely sweep the legs of crypto and cause price to fall. The US economy (whether you believe so or not) data is showing that there is no need to start reducing rates as of yet. GDP is around 3%, unemployment isn't to bad. Wage Growth is still up there near 5%. Inflation is still above 3% and the FED is reducing its balance sheet. The technicals are showing mixed data which could keep price from finding a trajectory until a solid catalyst comes out. The daily chart is showing price is form either a cup and handle or a double top. If the cup and handle pattern is correct then some type of strong catalyst came out (likely the NFP printed a extremely weak number, inflation dropped considerably, a string of bad US economy data) and had enough force to break out of the very strong 72k resistance. If that resistance is broken with enough force to push it up to 75k pretty quickly, there isn't much to stop it. But if the double top is correct, then price will likely push to the 62k and test the 60k a few times before breaking below it. If the 58k is broken and price is able to hold at the 57k for a few days to a week, then price will likely drop further, below the 55k. Data is going to be the driving point for what price will do. If data keeps printing good and bad, then it will likely cause confusion for traders and investors and they will likely take the course of exiting. There are some prominent players out there like Michael Saylor (MicroStrategy) and other advocates of BTC (Robert Kiyosaki) that are likely to stay in and potentially keep price from tumbling greatly; but it still depends when the masses and hedge funds want to start piling in. I am thinking that if BTC does drop and hits below the 55k, there is likely to be a huge spike in buying up BTC as the self-fulling prophecy will be strong. The catalyst is likely to be when the FED will start reducing rates as eventually the economy will need some assistance. But the real question, is if the economy does push into a recession, will there be another case of QE and Stimulus pushed out (bailouts) if inflation is still around 2.5%-3%? Either way, I am still building a position on BTC even if it pushes below the 50k lvl.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by DollarSaenz
CRYPTO TOTAL MARKET CAP (BULLISH IDEA)Hello Avid reader, I would like to share my take on the possible scenario for the Crypto Market. 1 - The market has been in consolidation phase for the past 4 months , creating a Typical Bull-Flag pattern . 2 - As you can see that the lows of the channel have been tested 4 times, but the selling pressure got absorbed on each test, signaling a Strong reversal. 3 - The mid of the channel (represented by dotted white line) precisely provided resistance / support to the PA in all the previous moves which is clearly visible on the chart. But the thing which I would like to highlight here, is that this time, the Price, very comfortably broke through the mid-zone and re-tested it as Support. 4 - There is a BISI (Buy-Side Imbalance & Sell-side inefficiency) highlighted by the green box. The PA might indulge this zone to grab un-touched Liquidity. 5 - USDT's Dominance is weakening and has formed a Bear-Flag pattern. Areas of interest are market on the chart. 6 - In Summary, I expect the Crypto Market cap to rise significantly in the upcoming weeks, especially in Q4 2024 & subsequently, in Q1 2025. We are likely to face some resistance in the 2.5 T to 2.55 T area, as highlighted in the red box. Thereafter, 2.7 T and 3 T would be my areas of interest for selling. Thanks.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by shadowkh1
3
$GROK Looks good to go long!🚨 $GROK is forming a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern on the 12H chart, which is typically a continuation pattern. 📈 Entry Point: 688 to 760 🎯 Targets: $0.00860 $0.00976 $0.01089 $0.01170 $0.01292 $0.01455 🔄 Trading Options: $GROK is available for trading in both spot and futures markets. You can purchase it on the spot market, or if you prefer to go long on futures, consider setting a stop-loss at $0.00621. 📊 About $GROK: GROK is a promising project in the crypto space, aiming to revolutionize transactions with its innovative technology. Their mission is to provide seamless and secure transactions across different networks. 📢 DYOR, NFA
MEXC:GROKUSDT.PLong
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
Bitcoin Showing Strength, Daily Volumetric bull candlesticks !Bitcoin is following the path according to the pullbacks we have been predicting since it fell to the demand zone. Please check each bullish candle that Bitcoin forms after each pullback, it shows strength every time Following the smart money concepts and with the movement it is making based on the structure, I am expecting Bitcoin to reach my point of interest very soon. However, before reaching my point of interest, I believe we have to consider that we will see 1 to 2 small pullbacks. Thank you for following my analysis.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by RocketMike111
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 26, 2024 EURUSDThe Euro-dollar pair is trading near 1.08600 during the Asian session on Friday, continuing to rise after rebounding from the two-week low of 1.08250 recorded on Wednesday. The rise in EUR/USD is attributed to a weaker US Dollar (USD) ahead of the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index for June. However, the US Dollar may limit its decline as stronger US economic data has reduced some expectations of a rate cut in September. On Thursday, US gross domestic product (GDP) for the second quarter (Q2) came in stronger than expected. This followed the US PMI data released on Wednesday, which pointed to an acceleration in private sector activity in July, indicating that growth in the US is resilient despite higher interest rates. US GDP rose 2.8% on a seasonally adjusted and inflation-adjusted annualized basis from the previous reading of 1.4% and beat forecasts of 2%. In addition, the composite PMI rose to 55.0 from a previous reading of 54.8, the highest reading since April 2022 and indicative of steady growth over the past 18 months. The Euro struggled as the European Central Bank's (ECB) near-term outlook remains uncertain due to strong expectations of additional rate cuts. The ECB is expected to cut interest rates two more times this year as price pressures are expected to remain at current levels for a year and only return to the bank's target level in 2025. Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Buy orders from the current price level.
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
$TNSR looks like a strong long opportunity!🚨 $TNSR is forming a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern on the 4H chart, which is typically a continuation pattern. 📈 Entry Point: CMP and Accumulating up to $0.45 🎯 Targets: Midterm Goal: $0.664 Long Term Goal: $1.088 Trading Options: NASDAQ:INSR is available for trading in both spot and futures markets. You can purchase it on the spot market, or if you prefer to go long on futures, consider setting a stop-loss at $0.425. 📊 About $TNSR: INSR is a promising project in the crypto space, aiming to revolutionize transactions with its innovative technology. Their mission is to provide seamless and secure transactions across different networks. 📢 DYOR, NFA #Crypto
Long
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
Buy EUR/JPY Head & Shoulder PatternThe EUR/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to formation Head & Shoulder pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 167.12. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 169.38 2nd Support – 171.10 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 164.60. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
4
Collecting Rollover while the TRY RangesThe CBRT has raised rates from 8.5% in June 2023 to currently standing at 50%. There was a recent CBRT meeting where rates where held at 50%. There has been a roll coaster for inflation YoY which was below 20% in 2020, rose as high as 36% in 2021, pushed up to 85.50% in 2022, dropped in 2023 to around 38% at its lowest, then pushed higher to standing at 69.8% currently. It is projected that inflation will push above the 70% lvl this year and eventually cap out and start pushing lower. The Lira is being hit hard and has lost over 80% of its value over five years due to the unorthodox method the President implemented. But with this said, there are things going for the TRY, which is a nice carry trade (I'm in it to win it...corny (yeah I know)), with around an 18%-27% annualized gain (fluctuates), this could be some serious gains (and price has been ranging, so that is good). With the FED potentially go to lower rates in September and with the CBRT having rates at 50%, this could cause the TRY to either keep ranging or eventually push lower. But the CBRT might have to raise rates higher in order to fight inflation that is almost 20% higher than its interest rate. This makes the 30 lvl seem that much more plausible to be hit. Additionally, price is trading towards the 32 lvl and has attempted to trade below the 30 lvl a couple of times. So another hit to the 30 lvl support could potentially push it to my price target of around 27 (mean while I'll be able to collect some rollover). A standard lot holding this pair could bring in around $49 a day (depending on the rate for that day) which is a decent amount. The margin requirement for this pair, at least with my broker is 1:4, which means this pair is highly volatile and risky. This pair can move thousands of pips in a matter of seconds and the spreads are sometimes outrageous. But, around a 1.2 micro lot would be less than $375 in margin, each pip would be a $0.01 move, and rollover per day earned would be around $0.56 a day. The is a good chance that price will stay were it is at and push lower. The 33-35 lvl is the cap, but for price to push as high as 35, there would have to some strong catalysts to make that happen. I think this is all a self-fulling prophecy with all waiting to see when the FED will make its move. For now, the plan is to keep building in this pair, collect rollover, and wait until at least the 30 lvl is hit to make another decision on whether I want to see it play through to the 27 lvl.
Short
by DollarSaenz
5
BTC/USDT 4H Long Analysis: Key Levels and Market OutlookEllipse has entered a long position at 59.2K, reflecting confidence in the bullish signals present despite some concerns. 4-Hour Chart Analysis: Bullish Signals: Price breakout above the Ichimoku cloud Lagging Span (Chikou) has broken out of the cloud Lagging Line (Chikou) is clear of both price and cloud Pivot reversal (24/12) Tenkan-Sen (TK) is above Kijun-Sen (KJ) Future Senkou Span B points upwards These bullish signals indicate a potential upward momentum in the short term. Concerns on the 4-Hour Chart: Low volume in the market Price remains below the 200 EMA 100 EMA is below the 200 EMA While we have several bullish signals, the low volume and position of the EMAs suggest caution. Zooming Out to the Daily Chart: Bullish Signals: Price is above both Tenkan-Sen (TK) and Kijun-Sen (KJ) Price is above the 200 EMA on the daily chart Found support on the 200 EMA daily and monthly pivot (S1) These signals suggest a stronger bullish trend when viewed on a longer timeframe. Bearish Signals on the Daily Chart: Tenkan-Sen (TK) is below Kijun-Sen (KJ) Price is still under the daily Ichimoku cloud Future cloud (Senkou Span) is bearish Despite the bullish signals, the bearish cloud configuration and the position of the Tenkan-Sen and Kijun-Sen warrant caution. Key Resistance Levels: 200 EMA on the 4-hour chart at 61.2K Yearly pivot R2 at 62.7K Lower boundary of the daily cloud at 64.3K These resistance points are crucial levels to watch for potential price rejections. BTC/USDT shows mixed signals across different timeframes. On the 4-hour chart, several bullish indicators suggest potential upward movement, but the low volume and the EMA configuration urge caution. The daily chart shows a more pronounced bullish trend above the 200 EMA, yet the bearish cloud and Tenkan-Sen/Kijun-Sen arrangement could limit gains. Key resistance levels should be monitored closely for any breakout confirmation or potential reversals. Trade safe and always consider multiple factors in your analysis!
by Cryptonerds